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Auto Lending Naysayers Are 
Neglecting Key Facts 
Jerry Podczaski, 
Global Consulting Practice, 
Experian Decision Analytics 
©2014 Experian Information Solutions, Inc. All rights reserved. Experian and the marks used herein are service marks or registered trademarks of Experian Information Solutions, Inc. Other product and company names mentioned herein are the 
trademarks of their respective owners. No part of this copyrighted work may be reproduced, modified, or distributed in any form or manner without the prior written permission of Experian. 
Experian Public.
Figure 1: Consumer Credit Product Volumes Since 2006 – 
Experian Intelliview Data 
180 
160 
140 
120 
100 
80 
60 
40 
20 
0 
Index, 2006 Q1 =100 
Figure 1 
Consumer Credit Product Volumes Since 2006 
HELOCs 
Quarter 
Auto Loans and Leases 
Mortgages 
Personal Loans 
Home Equity Loans 
Bankcards 
2 ©2014 Experian Information Solutions, Inc. All rights reserved. 
Experian Public.
Figure 2: Auto Loan and Lease Volumes by Financial 
Institution Type - Experian Intelliview Data 
Auto Loan and Lease Volumes By Financial Institution Type 
$160 
$140 
$120 
$100 
$80 
$60 
$40 
$20 
$0 
Quarterly Volume in $billions 
Figure 2 
All Auto Loans and Leases 
Captive Auto Banks 
Credit Unions 
Quarter 
Finance Companies 
3 ©2014 Experian Information Solutions, Inc. All rights reserved. 
Experian Public.
4 Experian-Oliver Wyman Market Intelligence Report 
VantageScore Overview 
VantageScore Credit Tiers 
Super prime 781-850 
Prime 661-780 
Near prime 601-660 
Subprime 500-600 
Deep subprime 300-499 
©2014 Experian Information Solutions, Inc. All rights reserved. 
Experian Public. 
VantageScore®, which is used by lenders 
and now available to consumers, is the first 
credit score developed cooperatively by 
Experian and the other national credit 
reporting companies. 
The VantageScore 3.0 model ranges from 
300 - 850 with a high score = low risk. 
Note: Each lender determines credit quality tiers according to their own lending strategies. The credit tier breakdown is offered only 
as an approximation. 
VantageScore is a registered trademark of VantageScore Solutions, LLC.
Figure 4: Auto Loan and Lease Volumes by Credit Grade– 
Experian Intelliview Data 
$60 
$50 
$40 
$30 
$20 
$10 
$0 
Quarterly Originations (in $billions) 
Figure 4 
Auto Loan and Lease Volumes By Credit Grade 
Super-prime 
Quarter 
Near-prime 
Prime 
Subprime 
Deep Subprime 
5 ©2014 Experian Information Solutions, Inc. All rights reserved. 
Experian Public.
Figure 5: Auto Loan and Lease Volumes by Credit Grade 2014 
Q2 – Experian Intelliview Data 
45% 
40% 
35% 
30% 
25% 
20% 
15% 
10% 
5% 
0% 
Figure 5 
Auto Loan and Lease Volumes By Credit Grade 2014-Q2 
3.50% 
2.71% 
Super-prime 
Prime 
5.71% 
Near-prime 
8.43% 
Subprime 
Deep Subprime 
4.11% 
6.90% 
11.69% 
13.81% 
9.29% 
2.78 
3.68% 
5.95% 
9.32% 
Existing APRs Above Column 
5.27% 
3.23% 
11.15% 
18.20% 
12.17% 
Banks Captive Auto Credit Union Finance 
Proportion of Origination Volume 
3.04% 
19.78% 
6 ©2014 Experian Information Solutions, Inc. All rights reserved. 
Experian Public.
Figure 6: Auto Loan and Lease Average Size by Financial 
Institution – Experian Intelliview Data 
$25,000 
$20,000 
$15,000 
$10,000 
$5,000 
$0 
All Auto Loans and Leases 
Quarter 
Banks 
Finance Companies 
Captive Auto 
Credit Unions 
7 ©2014 Experian Information Solutions, Inc. All rights reserved. 
Experian Public.
Figure 7: Auto Loan and Lease APRs by Credit Grade – 
Experian Intelliview Data 
20% 
18% 
16% 
14% 
12% 
10% 
8% 
6% 
4% 
2% 
0% 
APR 
Figure 7 
Auto Loan and Lease APRs By Credit Grade 
Quarter 
Deep Subprime 
Subprime 
Near-prime 
Prime 
Super-prime 
8 ©2014 Experian Information Solutions, Inc. All rights reserved. 
Experian Public.
Figure 8: Auto Loan and Lease Volumes 2014 Q2 by State – 
Experian Intelliview Data 
Auto Loan and Lease Volumes 2014 Q2 By State 
TX 
11.8% 
CA 
10.9% 
FL 
6.7% 
NY 
5.0% 
PA 
3.8% 
IL 
OH 3.7% 
3.5% 
GA 
3.3% 
Figure 8 
MI 
3.1% 
NC 
2.9% 
All Else 
35.7% 
VA 
2.7% 
NJ 
2.6% 
MD 
2.0% 
AZ 
2.2% 
9 ©2014 Experian Information Solutions, Inc. All rights reserved. 
Experian Public.
10 Experian-Oliver Wyman Market Intelligence Report 
IntelliView 
Stay ahead of the trends 
with Experian IntelliView 
 A unique combination of industry leading assets 
from Experian and Oliver Wyman 
 Current Experian – Oliver Wyman Market 
Intelligence Reports in an online format 
– Hundreds of pre-defined reports 
– Create custom reports and views using 
intuitive prompts 
– Download instantly to PDF or MS Excel 
 24 x 7 access to timely and invaluable information 
given current economic and credit volatility 
 Automatic quarterly updates 
 Wide range of consumer lending products 
 Origination, outstanding loans and credit 
performance trends 
 Industry benchmarking 
©2014 Experian Information Solutions, Inc. All rights reserved. 
Experian Public.
Jerry Podczaski 
Senior Business Consultant 
Experian Decision Analytics’ Global Consulting Practice 
Jerry Podczaski brings a formidable record of U.S. and international consulting successes within the 
financial services industry to Experian. Podczaski has been a management consultant in the financial 
services industry for the past eight years. Prior to that, he spent seventeen years in executive roles at large 
financial service companies such as Wells Fargo and Nations Bank. His area of expertise is credit risk 
management. 
Jerry Podczaski has unique experience, with an understanding of every major consumer lending product 
(mortgages, home equity lending, credit cards, auto lending), as well as small business lending. He brings 
deep, rich expertise in optimizing credit and risk infrastructure, incorporating methodologies, policies, 
controls, compliance, systems, people, and processes. Podczaski is a respected leader and mentor with 
superior skills in change management. 
An accomplished SAS programmer, Podczaski’s skill provides the ability for data analytics that compliments 
his long experience. 
“Working with a client and building an understanding of their business and 
circumstances excites me. I enjoy creating relationships that prevail. 
11 ©2014 Experian Information Solutions, Inc. All rights reserved. 
Experian Public.
©2012 2014 Experian Information Solutions, Inc. All rights reserved. 
12 Experian Public. 
Discover how an Experian business 
consultant can help you strengthen 
your credit and risk management 
strategies and processes: 
http://ex.pn/DA_GCP

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Auto lending naysayers are neglecting key facts

  • 1. Auto Lending Naysayers Are Neglecting Key Facts Jerry Podczaski, Global Consulting Practice, Experian Decision Analytics ©2014 Experian Information Solutions, Inc. All rights reserved. Experian and the marks used herein are service marks or registered trademarks of Experian Information Solutions, Inc. Other product and company names mentioned herein are the trademarks of their respective owners. No part of this copyrighted work may be reproduced, modified, or distributed in any form or manner without the prior written permission of Experian. Experian Public.
  • 2. Figure 1: Consumer Credit Product Volumes Since 2006 – Experian Intelliview Data 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 Index, 2006 Q1 =100 Figure 1 Consumer Credit Product Volumes Since 2006 HELOCs Quarter Auto Loans and Leases Mortgages Personal Loans Home Equity Loans Bankcards 2 ©2014 Experian Information Solutions, Inc. All rights reserved. Experian Public.
  • 3. Figure 2: Auto Loan and Lease Volumes by Financial Institution Type - Experian Intelliview Data Auto Loan and Lease Volumes By Financial Institution Type $160 $140 $120 $100 $80 $60 $40 $20 $0 Quarterly Volume in $billions Figure 2 All Auto Loans and Leases Captive Auto Banks Credit Unions Quarter Finance Companies 3 ©2014 Experian Information Solutions, Inc. All rights reserved. Experian Public.
  • 4. 4 Experian-Oliver Wyman Market Intelligence Report VantageScore Overview VantageScore Credit Tiers Super prime 781-850 Prime 661-780 Near prime 601-660 Subprime 500-600 Deep subprime 300-499 ©2014 Experian Information Solutions, Inc. All rights reserved. Experian Public. VantageScore®, which is used by lenders and now available to consumers, is the first credit score developed cooperatively by Experian and the other national credit reporting companies. The VantageScore 3.0 model ranges from 300 - 850 with a high score = low risk. Note: Each lender determines credit quality tiers according to their own lending strategies. The credit tier breakdown is offered only as an approximation. VantageScore is a registered trademark of VantageScore Solutions, LLC.
  • 5. Figure 4: Auto Loan and Lease Volumes by Credit Grade– Experian Intelliview Data $60 $50 $40 $30 $20 $10 $0 Quarterly Originations (in $billions) Figure 4 Auto Loan and Lease Volumes By Credit Grade Super-prime Quarter Near-prime Prime Subprime Deep Subprime 5 ©2014 Experian Information Solutions, Inc. All rights reserved. Experian Public.
  • 6. Figure 5: Auto Loan and Lease Volumes by Credit Grade 2014 Q2 – Experian Intelliview Data 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Figure 5 Auto Loan and Lease Volumes By Credit Grade 2014-Q2 3.50% 2.71% Super-prime Prime 5.71% Near-prime 8.43% Subprime Deep Subprime 4.11% 6.90% 11.69% 13.81% 9.29% 2.78 3.68% 5.95% 9.32% Existing APRs Above Column 5.27% 3.23% 11.15% 18.20% 12.17% Banks Captive Auto Credit Union Finance Proportion of Origination Volume 3.04% 19.78% 6 ©2014 Experian Information Solutions, Inc. All rights reserved. Experian Public.
  • 7. Figure 6: Auto Loan and Lease Average Size by Financial Institution – Experian Intelliview Data $25,000 $20,000 $15,000 $10,000 $5,000 $0 All Auto Loans and Leases Quarter Banks Finance Companies Captive Auto Credit Unions 7 ©2014 Experian Information Solutions, Inc. All rights reserved. Experian Public.
  • 8. Figure 7: Auto Loan and Lease APRs by Credit Grade – Experian Intelliview Data 20% 18% 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% APR Figure 7 Auto Loan and Lease APRs By Credit Grade Quarter Deep Subprime Subprime Near-prime Prime Super-prime 8 ©2014 Experian Information Solutions, Inc. All rights reserved. Experian Public.
  • 9. Figure 8: Auto Loan and Lease Volumes 2014 Q2 by State – Experian Intelliview Data Auto Loan and Lease Volumes 2014 Q2 By State TX 11.8% CA 10.9% FL 6.7% NY 5.0% PA 3.8% IL OH 3.7% 3.5% GA 3.3% Figure 8 MI 3.1% NC 2.9% All Else 35.7% VA 2.7% NJ 2.6% MD 2.0% AZ 2.2% 9 ©2014 Experian Information Solutions, Inc. All rights reserved. Experian Public.
  • 10. 10 Experian-Oliver Wyman Market Intelligence Report IntelliView Stay ahead of the trends with Experian IntelliView  A unique combination of industry leading assets from Experian and Oliver Wyman  Current Experian – Oliver Wyman Market Intelligence Reports in an online format – Hundreds of pre-defined reports – Create custom reports and views using intuitive prompts – Download instantly to PDF or MS Excel  24 x 7 access to timely and invaluable information given current economic and credit volatility  Automatic quarterly updates  Wide range of consumer lending products  Origination, outstanding loans and credit performance trends  Industry benchmarking ©2014 Experian Information Solutions, Inc. All rights reserved. Experian Public.
  • 11. Jerry Podczaski Senior Business Consultant Experian Decision Analytics’ Global Consulting Practice Jerry Podczaski brings a formidable record of U.S. and international consulting successes within the financial services industry to Experian. Podczaski has been a management consultant in the financial services industry for the past eight years. Prior to that, he spent seventeen years in executive roles at large financial service companies such as Wells Fargo and Nations Bank. His area of expertise is credit risk management. Jerry Podczaski has unique experience, with an understanding of every major consumer lending product (mortgages, home equity lending, credit cards, auto lending), as well as small business lending. He brings deep, rich expertise in optimizing credit and risk infrastructure, incorporating methodologies, policies, controls, compliance, systems, people, and processes. Podczaski is a respected leader and mentor with superior skills in change management. An accomplished SAS programmer, Podczaski’s skill provides the ability for data analytics that compliments his long experience. “Working with a client and building an understanding of their business and circumstances excites me. I enjoy creating relationships that prevail. 11 ©2014 Experian Information Solutions, Inc. All rights reserved. Experian Public.
  • 12. ©2012 2014 Experian Information Solutions, Inc. All rights reserved. 12 Experian Public. Discover how an Experian business consultant can help you strengthen your credit and risk management strategies and processes: http://ex.pn/DA_GCP