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Special report by epic research 21 nov 2013
1. DAILY REPORT
21st NOVEMBER. 2013
Global markets at a glance
European shares inched higher on Wednesday, recovering
some of their poise after weakness in the previous session,
with a report that the European Central Bank was mulling
setting negative deposit rates.
The FTSEurofirst 300 ended up 0.1% at 1,297.36 points, off
a session high of 1,302.21 points. Euro STOXX 50, meanwhile, shed 0.1% to 3,047.32 points.
Wall Street update
The Dow Jones industrial average fell 66.21 points, or 0.41
percent, to end at 15,900.82. The Standard & Poor's 500
Index declined 6.50 points, or 0.36 percent, to finish at
1,781.37. The Nasdaq Composite Index dropped 10.28
points, or 0.26 percent, to close at 3,921.27.
During the regular session, the Dow popped above 16,000
at one point to touch an intraday high of 16,016.85. The
blue-chip average has traded above 16,000 over the last
couple of sessions but has failed to close above that level,
while the S&P 500 has been unable to close above 1,800.
Previous day Roundup
Indian shares fell nearly 1.5% on Wednesday, marking
their biggest single-day percentage fall in nearly 1-1/2
months, as blue chips slumped on profit-booking after
three consecutive sessions of gains. Sentiment was also hit
after FII sold 6.68 billion rupees worth of Indian equity derivatives on Tuesday. Heavy overseas buying of over $1.2
billion in Nov so far has boosted domestic shares recently.
BSE index fell 1.22%, or 255.69 pts, to end at 20,635.13. It
fell nearly 1.5% during the day, its biggest single-day percentage fall since Sept. 30. The broader NSE index fell
1.3%, or 80.45 points, to end at 6,122.90.
Index stats
The Bankex and Bank Nifty both advanced 0.41% respectively. All the sectors advanced Capital Goods [down
108.86pts], Oil & Gas [down 99.00pts], Realty [down
5.93pts], TECK [down 59.09pts], IT [down 88.52pts], FMCG
[down 57.87pts], AUTO [down 150.57pts], PSU [down
32.95pts], Consumer Durables [down 93.97pts], Power
[down 4.60pts], and Healthcare [down 102.98pts] except
that of Metals which were moved slightly up; Metals [up
15.13pts].
YOUR MINTVISORY
World Indices
Index
Value
% Change
15,900.82
-0.41
S&P 500
1,781.37
-0.36
NASDAQ
EURO STO
FTSE 100
3,921.27
3,047.32
6,681.08
-0.26
-0.06
-0.25
Nikkei 225
Hong Kong
15,322.46
23,573.84
+1.63
-0.54
DJl
Top Gainers
Company
CMP
Change
% Chg
COAL INDIA
272.45
4.90
+1.83
SSLT
186.95
2.25
+1.22
79.25
0.35
+0.44
1,057.50
1.00
+0.09
CMP
Change
% Chg
1,046.30
47.90
335.10
120.75
38.70
1.75
10.40
3.50
-3.57
-3.52
-3.01
-2.82
Prev. Close
Change
%Chg
1,478.20
6.45
-0.43
AJANTAPHARM
991.50
12.50
+1.28
BFUTILITIE
376.90
2.60
-0.69
GMBRREW
94.15
1.10
-1.15
1,385.15
180.35
14.97
Prev. Close
Change
%Chg
93.50
106.40
4.90
3.65
-4.98
-3.32
CMP
Change
% Chg
6,122.90
20,635.13
-80.45
-255.69
-1.30
-1.22
TATAPOWER
ACC
Top Losers
Company
ICICIBANK
JPASSOCIAT
BPCL
HINDALCO
Stocks at 52 Week’s high
Symbol
ABBOTINDIA
JUSTDIAL
Stocks at 52 Week’s Low
Symbol
JPOLYINVST
SPECIALITY
Indian Indices
Company
NIFTY
SENSEX
Call us at +91-731-6642300
2. DAILY REPORT
21st NOVEMBER. 2013
EQUITY CASH & FUTURE
STOCK RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE]
1. ICICI BANK
STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH]
1. WYETH LTD
ICICI BANK FUTURE is looking weak on charts, short build
down has been seen, we may see more downside, if it continues to sustain below 1050, We advise selling around
1060-1050 levels with strict stop loss of 1080 for the targets of 1035-1020 levels.
WYETH LTD is looking strong on charts. We advise buying
above 780 levels with strict stop loss of 755 for the targets
of 805-830 levels.
2. COAL INDIA
COAL INDIA FUTURE is looking strong on charts, long build
down has been seen, we may see more downside, if it continues to sustain above 275, We advise buying above 275
levels with strict stop loss of 270 for the targets of 279-282
levels.
YOUR MINTVISORY
MACRO NEWS
Telecom operator Sistema Shyam Teleservices today
reported widening of net loss to Rs 760 crore for the
third quarter ended September 30, 2013 mainly on account of forex loss and business restructuring. The company had posted a net loss of Rs 495.5 cr for the same
period a year ago. The revenues also declined by about
30% to Rs 284.4 cr during the reported quarter vs Rs
404 cr in the same period a year ago.
Diesel prices will be deregulated in six months with
gradual price increases.
DBS Bank to open 50 branches in India in 3 years
Gujarat State Petroleum Corporation (GSPC) has decided not to pick up more than one per cent of equity in
the upcoming Rs 21,396-crore mega petrochemical project of ONGC Petro Additions (OPAL) on account of cost
escalations.
Board okays sale of Jet Privilege Flyer programme to
arm -Company, Etihad also agreed to make equity investment in Jet Privilege. Etihad to hold 50.1 percent
stake in Jet Privilege. Jet Privilege transaction is subject
to Competition Commission of India (CCI) nod.
Call us at +91-731-6642300
3. DAILY REPORT
FUTURE & OPTION
21st NOVEMBER. 2013
MOST ACTIVE PUT OPTION
Symbol
Option
Type
Strike
Price
LTP
Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Open
Interest
NIFTY
PE
6,200
99.00
6,07,498
39,03,450
NIFTY
PE
6,100
48.15
5,06,732
45,23,200
NIFTY
PE
6,000
20.85
2,60,281
56,98,600
BANK NIFTY
PE
11,000 199.55
39,369
2,50,050
SBIN
PE
1,800
42.80
10,652
2,38,750
INFY
PE
3,400
29.30
2,462
1,78,500
RELIANCE
PE
880
22.00
2,107
3,42,750
AXISBANK
PE
1,100
15.90
2,999
3,23,500
Strike
Price
LTP
Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
STOCKS IN NEWS
Tata Motors lines up two car launches in 2014.
Arvind Ltd. may buy 49% in Calvin Klein India
Diageo may knock some of United Spirits' lossmaking brands to improve its margins
SAIL plans to raise iron ore output capacity to 43
million tonne by full year 2016
Coal India invites applications from state entities for
coal import
Open
Interest
NIFTY FUTURE
MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION
Symbol
Option
Type
NIFTY
CE
6,200
32.50
6,00,83
51,26,100
NIFTY
CE
6,300
10.55
5,07,931
61,05,750
NIFTY
CE
6,400
2.70
2,37,324
49,03,950
BANKNIFTY
CE
12,000
11,500
31.00
38,345
SBIN
CE
1,850
14.75
11,619
3,72,875
RELIANCE
CE
880
7.30
4,422
7,45,250
MCDOWELL-N
CE
2,600
17.00
5,848
3,48,875
DLF
CE
160
1.75
3,438
27,67,000
AXISBANK
CE
1,150
17.00
3,535
3,71,250
Nifty Future closed in the red in the last trading session. We advise selling around 6180-6200 with strict
stop loss of 6235 for the targets of 6150-6100 levels.
FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS
BUY
SELL
OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY
No. of Amount in
No. of Amount in
No. of
Contracts
Crores Contracts
Crores Contracts
Amount in
Crores
NET AMOUNT
INDEX FUTURES
76244
2340.18
81889
2511.81
489237
14893.20
-171.63
INDEX OPTIONS
624136
19121.70
586955
17986.85
1762011
53789.87
1134.85
STOCK FUTURES
51882
1410.87
70739
1933.44
1103309
29969.36
-522.57
STOCK OPTIONS
55195
1456.58
57918
1534.64
77465
2058.35
-78.06
TOTAL
362.59
INDICES
NIFTY
S2
S1
PIVOT
R1
R2
6047.33
6085.11
6144.73
6182.51
6242.13
NIFTYJUNIOR
12020.11
12094.23
12213.61
12287.73
12407.11
BANK NIFTY
10758.78
10862.96
11009.73
11113.91
11260.68
YOUR MINTVISORY
Call us at +91-731-6642300
4. DAILY REPORT
21st NOVEMBER. 2013
COMMODITY MCX
RECOMMENDATIONS
GOLD
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GOLD ABOVE 30500 TGTS 30600/30800 SL 30350
SELL GOD BELOW 29970 TGTS 29870/29700 SL 30100
CRUDE
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY CRUDE ABOVE 5950 TGTS 6000/6050 STRICT SL 5870
SELL CRUDE BELOW 5800 TGTS 5750/5700 STRICT SL 5870
YOUR MINTVISORY
COMMODITY ROUNDDOWN
India crude oil prices edged higher due to short covering
and was seen trading up on Wednesday amid a slight recovery in global crude oil futures. NYMEX crude oil for
January delivery was seen trading at $93.89 per barrel as
of 15.35 IST. Crude oil futures on India's Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) for December delivery was seen trading with a gain of 0.47% at Rs.5928 per barrel as of 15.37
IST on Wednesday. WTI crude oil edged up from a fivemonth low on speculation that demand for crude rose as
crude oil refineries raised their output after ending seasonal maintenance. Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development has cut its global growth forecasts.
MCX copper for November delivery witnessed a decline
in the morning pressured by firm INR. However, the
prices managed to recover the losses in the afternoon
session. MCX copper for November delivery was seen
trading with a gain of 0.23% at Rs.436.15 per kilogram as
of 16.44 IST on Wednesday.
Gold shipped from Hong Kong to the mainland, used as a
proxy for Chinese demand as bullion imports are a state
secret, nearly tripled to 855 tonnes in the year to September China, set to pass India this year, as the world's
top gold consumer, has imported a fifth more bullion
than data from its traditional conduit Hong Kong show,
as it brings in the metal via other routes. Exports from
Switzerland -home to the world's biggest gold refineries are also being shipped directly to ShanghaI.
Silver prices rose by 0.48% to Rs 47,105 per kg in futures
trading yesterday as speculators enlarged positions despite a weakening trend in global markets. At the Multi
Commodity Exchange, silver for delivery in March next
year rose by Rs 324, or 0.48%, to Rs 47,105 per kg in business turnover of four lots. Likewise, the white metal for
delivery in December traded higher by Rs 196, or 0.43%,
to Rs 45,636 per kg in 229 lots. Fresh positions built up by
speculators helped silver futures to trade higher but a
weak trend overseas limited gains. Meanwhile, silver
rose 0.60% to $20.25 an ounce in Singapore.
Call us at +91-731-6642300
5. DAILY REPORT
21st NOVEMBER. 2013
NCDEX
RECOMMENDATIONS
CASTORSEED
NCDEX INDICES
Index
Value
% Change
Barley
1282
0.00
Castor Seed
3885
-0.31
Chana
2960
-0.74
Chilli
6588
-3.99
Coriander
7110
+0.64
Cotton Seed Oilcake
1444
+0.14
12620
+0.74
Mustard seed
3670
0.00
Ref Soya Oil
706.2
-0.04
Turmeric
5082
-1.74
Jeera
SELL CASTORSEED JAN BELOW 4255 TG 4225,4280 SL 4295
BUY CASTORSEED JAN ABOVE 4320 TG 4360,4400 SL 4280
DHANIYA
SELL DHANIYA DEC BELOW 7280 TG 7250,7210 SL 7330
BUY DHANIYA DEC BELOW 7370 TG 7400,7440 SL 7320
YOUR MINTVISORY
NCDEX ROUNDDOWN
Sugar cane prices have increased 17 percent on average
for the last three years , while sugar prices have been
lower by nearly 10 percent year-on-year (Y-o-Y) leading
to deep losses by the industry.. expectations on higher
surplus sugar production in India is expected to keep India sugar futures negative for short term. India the
world's second largest sweetner producer may produce
higher than its total demand. India sugar prices was seen
trading up on Wednesday due to short covering only
even as commodity trend looks negative for near term.
The futures on National Commodity and Derivatives Exchange (NCDEX) for December delivery was seen trading
with a gain of 0.75% at Rs.2828 per 100 kgs as of 12.14
IST on Wednesday.
The Centre will take a call on a host of measures - including revising the duty drawback rate for sugar exports,
providing interest-free loans for millers and lowering the
time frame for re-export of imported raw sugar - in eight
to 10 days to bail out the sector. Senior ministers met on
Wednesday to take stock of the crisis, caused by mounting cane arrears and huge unsold stock.
Call us at +91-731-6642300
6. DAILY REPORT
21st NOVEMBER. 2013
CURRENCY
RBI Reference Rate
Currency
Rate Currency
Rupee- $
62.5580 Yen-100
Euro
84.7104 GBP
JP[Y/INR
JPY/INR has closed @62.6900. If it sustains above the level
of 62.82, it can touch the level of 62.99 & 63.17. If it breaks
the level of 62.15 it can touch the level of 61.99 & 61.78.
GBP/INR
GBP/INR has closed @101.0900. If it sustains above the
level of 101.40, it can touch the level of 101.613 & 101.83.
If it breaks the level of 100.25 it can touch the level of
100.05 & 99.89.
YOUR MINTVISORY
Rate
62.5100
100.7747
CURRENCY ROUNDDOWN
The rupee snapped a four-day winning streak on Wednesday, weighed down by weaker domestic shares and hurt by
broad-based dollar buying from corporates and oil refiners.
The losses came even as Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke reiterated its commitment to easy policy, echoing
dovish comments from Chair nominee Janet Yellen last
week. Investors are also looking ahead for minutes from the
Federal Reserve's October meeting to garner clues about
when it might start tapering its monetary stimulus. Net dollar inflows into equity and debt markets so far this month
have been clearly insufficient to meet the demand from oil
companies in the same period, weighing on the rupee.
The partially convertible rupee closed at 62.57/58 per dollar, compared with 62.36/37 on Tuesday. It weakened as
much as 62.68 during the day. It had gained 2.2 percent in
the past four sessions. A large part of the dollar demand by
state-run oil companies, which was diverted to a special
window by the RBI in August, has returned to markets recently, adding selling pressure on the rupee. That is offsetting what has been strong foreign buying of shares, reaching
a net $1 billion so far in November, that had helped lift the
rupee. In the offshore non-deliverable forwards, the onemonth contract was at 63.09, while the three-month was at
64.19.
The yen weakened slightly in early Asian trade on Thursday
ahead of the latest policy review details from the Bank of
Japan expected to emphasize continued aggressive easing.
USD/JPY traded at 100.13, up 0.10%, in a range of 100.02 100.14 ahead of the policy announcement at 1230 local
time (0330 GMT) with the benchmark rate forecast stable at
0.10%. BoJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda will hold a news conference at 1530 local time (0630 GMT). Also on the horizon
Thursday is the closely watched HSBC November flash purchasing managers index for China, forecast to come out at
50.8, easing from 50.9 for the final in October.
Call us at +91-731-6642300
7. DAILY REPORT
21st NOVEMBER. 2013
CALL REPORT
PERFORMANCE UPDATES
Date
Commodity/ Currency
Pairs
Contract
Strategy
Entry Level
Target
Stop Loss
Remark
19/11/13
NCDEX CASTOR SEED
JAN.
SELL
4290
4260-4220
4340
BOOKED PROFIT
19/11/13
NCDEX CASTOR SEED
JAN.
BUY
4330
4360-4400
4280
NOT EXECUTED
19/11/13
NCDEX DHANIYA
DEC.
BUY
7370
7400-7450
7320
NO PROFIT NO LOSS
19/11/13
NCDEX DHANIYA
DEC.
SELL
7220
7190-7150
7270
SL TRIGGERED
19/11/13
USD/INR
NOV.
SELL
62.25
62.12-61.96
NOT EXECUTED
19/11/13
USD/INR
NOV.
BUY
62.90
63.09-63.30
NOT EXECUTED
19/11/13
GBP/INR
NOV.
SELL
100.20
100.03-99.84
NOT EXECUTED
19/11/13
GBP/INR
NOV.
BUY
100.90
101.11-101.35
BOOKED PROFIT
18/11/13
MCX SILVER
DEC
BUY
46700
46950-47300
46400
NOT EXECUTED
18/11/13
MCX SILVER
DEC
SELL
45100
44850-44600
45400
SL TRIGGERED
18/11/13
MCX GOLD
DEC.
BUY
30200
30280-30380
30100
BOOKED FULL PROFIT
18/11/13
MCX GOLD
DEC.
SELL
29950
29880-29780
30050
NOT XECUTED
Date
Scrip
CASH/
FUTURE/
OPTION
Strategy
Entry Level
Target
Stop Loss
Remark
06/11/13
NIFTY
FUTURE
SELL
6270
6250-6220
6305
BOOKED PROFIT
06/11/13
ITC
FUTURE
SELL
320
317-312
325
NO PROFIT NO LOSS
06/11/13
YESBANK
FUTURE
SELL
370
367-362
375
SL TRIGGERED
06/11/13
REC
CASH
BUY
214
217-222
209
NOT EXECUTED
US ECONOMIC REPORT
TIME (ET)
REPORT
PERIOD
ACTUAL
CONSENSUSFORECAST
PREVIOUS
THURSDAY, NOV. 21
8:30 AM
WEEKLY JOBLESS CLAIMS
11/16
N/A
8:30 AM
PRODUCER PRICE INDEX
OCT.
-0.2%
-0.1%
8:30 AM
CORE PPI
OCT.
0.1
0.1%
8:58 AM
MARKIT FLASH PMI
NOV.
--
51.8
10 AM
PHILLY FED
NOV.
15.0
19.8
10 AM
LEADING INDICATORS
OCT.
--
N/A
FRIDAY, NOV. 22
10 AM
JOB OPENINGS
SEPT.
3.9 mln
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