Japanese stocks jumped to a near 7-1/2-year high on Thurs-
day as a weak yen drove exporter shares, while the mood
was also supported by data showing U.S.
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Epic research daily special report 04 dec-2014.pdf
1. DAILY REPORT
04th DECEMBER 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
Global markets at a glance
Japanese stocks jumped to a near 7-1/2-year high on Thurs- day as a weak yen drove exporter shares, while the mood was also supported by data showing U.S. economic resil- ience and expectations of more stimulus from ECB. The Nikkei benchmark rose 0.8 percent to 17,856.89 by 0124 GMT after earlier hitting 17,912.59, the highest mark since July 2007. The index is on course for a fifth straight day of gains. The broader Topix also scaled a six-year peak, adding 0.8 percent to 1,441.33.
Wall Street Update
US stocks rose on Wednesday, with both the Dow and S&P 500 ending at records, as data pointed to improving condi- tions in the US services sector, boosting cyclical stocks. Both the Dow and S&P also ticked to intraday records in a quiet session, with many traders looking ahead to tomor- row's key meeting of the ECB.
The DJI average rose 33.07 points, or 0.18 percent, to 17,912.62, the S&P 500 gained 7.78 points, or 0.38 percent, to 2,074.33 and the Nasdaq added 18.66 points, or 0.39 percent, to 4,774.47. NYSE advancers outnumbered declin- ers 2,012 to 1,079, for a 1.86-to-1 ratio; on the Nasdaq, 1,674 issues rose and 1,036 fell, for a 1.62-to-1 ratio. The S&P 500 posted 113 new 52-week highs and 2 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 139 new highs and 72 new lows. About 6.1 bn shares traded on all US platforms
Previous day Roundup
Equity benchmarks closed flat amid consolidation on Wednesday but the broader markets outperformed front- line indices. In fact, the CNX Midcap index ended at record closing high, up 1.5%. The 30-share BSE Sensex fell 1.30pts to 28442.71 while the 50-share NSE Nifty rose 12.95 points to 8537.65. About 1926 shares have advanced, 1088 shares declined, and 117 shares are unchanged on the BSE.
Index stats
The Market was very volatile in last session. The sartorial indices performed as follow; Consumer Durables [up 27.49pts], Capital Goods [up 156.69pts], PSU [up 73.35pts], FMCG [up 3.40pts], Realty [up 22.02pts], Power [up 22.45pts], Auto [up 255.69pts], Healthcare [up 2.27pts], IT [down 21.18pts], Metals [up 4.27Pts], TECK [down 9.60pts], Oil& Gas [up 104.41pts].
World Indices
Index
Value
% Change
D J l
17912.62
+0.18
S&P 500
2074.33
+0.38
NASDAQ
4774.47
+0.39
EURO STO
3247.72
+0.29
FTSE 100
6716.63
-0.38
Nikkei 225
17849.55
+0.73
Hong Kong
23606.64
+0.76
Top Gainers
Company
CMP
Change
% Chg
JINDALSTEL
153.20
20.45
7.85
ONGC
373.00
12.50
3.47
CIPLA
659.90
20.50
3.20
BHEL
279.00
7.55
2.78
ASIANPAINT
788.90
18.85
2.45
Top Losers
Company
CMP
Change
% Chg
DRREDDY
3,505.80
85.60
-2.38
HDFC
1,104.70
20.40
-1.81
ZEEL
375.35
6.45
-1.69
BHARTIARTL
378.50
5.85
-1.52
HINDALCO
168.60
2.45
-1.43
Stocks at 52 Week’s High
Symbol
Prev. Close
Change
%Chg
AXISBANK
498.15
5.15
1.04
BHARATFORG
1,000.60
13.70
1.39
EICHERMOT
15,360.00
1000.95
6.97
HAVELLS
332.10
10.85
3.38
ICICIBANK
1,793.00
22.50
1.27
Indian Indices
Company
CMP
Change
% Chg
NIFTY
8537.65
+12.95
+0.15
SENSEX
28442.71
-1.30
0.00
Stocks at 52 Week’s Low
Symbol
Prev. Close
Change
%Chg
- -
2. DAILY REPORT
04th DECEMBER 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
STOCK RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE]
1. ENGINEER INDIA [FUTURE]
ENGINEER INDIA FUTURE is looking strong on charts, long
build up has been seen, we may see more upside, if it sus-tains
above 250 levels. We advise buying around 245-250
levels with strict stop loss of 235 for the targets of 255-265.
2. EICHER MOTOR [FUTURE]
EICHER MOTOR FUTURE is looking strong on charts, long
build up has been seen, we may see more upside, if it sus-tains
above 15200 levels. We advise buying on dips around
15300-15400 levels with strict stop loss of 15100 for the
targets of 15600-15800 levels.
EQUITY CASH & FUTURE
STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH]
1. ESSAR OIL
ESSAR OIL is looking strong on charts, we may see more
upside, if it sustains above 115 levels. We advise buying
around 112-115 levels with strict stop loss of 105 for the
targets of 120-125 levels.
MACRO NEWS
The government was set to kick off its 58,000-crore dis-investment
program for 2014-15 on Friday, with dilution
of a five per cent stake in Steel Authority of India Ltd.
Activity in India's services sector expanded at its fastest
rate in five months in November, driven by surging new
orders as firms cut prices on tumbling raw material
costs, a business survey showed on Wednesday. The
outlook was clouded, however, by business confidence
slumping to a more than seven-year low. The HSBC Ser-vices
PMI, compiled by Markit, rose to 52.6 in Novem-ber.
Growth in October had stalled at 50, the level that
demarcates growth from contraction.
Central Bank Of India board approves raising equity capi-tal
by issuing up to 8.29 crore preference shares worth
Rs 626.23 crore to LIC.
MCX puts its stake in MCX-SX and MCX-SX Clearing Cor-poration
on the block -Seeks to bids from bankers/
entities interested in acquiring stake.
ICICI - HDFC Bank cut term deposit rates by 25-50 bps.
FDI can now be brought in to construction projects for a
period of 10 years.
3. DAILY REPORT
04th DECEMBER 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
FUTURE & OPTION
MOST ACTIVE PUT OPTION
Symbol
Op- tion
Type
Strike Price
LTP
Traded Volume (Contracts)
Open Interest
NIFTY
PE
8,500
55
4,40,363
52,02,575
NIFTY
PE
8,400
29.3
3,17,974
44,64,225
NIFTY
PE
8,300
15.35
2,11,846
41,68,725
BANKNIFTY
PE
18,000
95
36,802
6,68,300
RELAINCE
PE
940
6.8
2,192
7,93,500
INFY
PE
2,100
28.45
1,643
1,64,500
JINDALSTEEL
PE
140
3.1
1,510
16,38,000
SBIN
PE
320
9.7
1,299
20,38,750
MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION
Symbol
Op- tion
Type
Strike Price
LTP
Traded Volume (Contracts)
Open Interest
NIFTY
CE
8,600
77.3
5,64,239
55,48,725
NIFTY
CE
8,700
39.2
4,44,481
56,45,525
NIFTY
CE
8,800
17.8
2,82,893
47,85,775
BANKNIFTY
CE
19,000
194
38,348
6,18,875
RELAINCE
CE
1,000
11
5,439
21,48,750
ONGC
CE
380
9.3
3,738
14,09,500
ICICIBANK
CE
1,800
47.95
3,658
5,73,500
RELIANCE
CE
980
17.5
3,141
5,69,000
FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS
BUY
OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY
SELL
No. of
Contracts
Amount in Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
NET AMOUNT
INDEX FUTURES
36043
851.09
83328
1848.07
697670
16227.72
-996.99
INDEX OPTIONS
427708
10460.09
390617
9485.52
2406711
61165.44
974.58
STOCK FUTURES
69238
2272.92
84046
2710.04
1762706
53693.63
-437.12
STOCK OPTIONS
47126
1542.15
46058
1509.27
66856
2022.34
32.88
TOTAL
-426.65
STOCKS IN NEWS Axis Bank raises Rs 5700 crore by selling long-term infrastructure bonds to clutch of investors ICICI Bank goes ex-stock split in ratio 10:2 - Hindustan Zinc stake sale likely by March-end, could yield Rs 20,000 crore. NMDC is putting final touches to a blue print to raise output of iron ore more than threefold by 2025 to 100 million tonnes, IOC and MRPL in non-binding MoU with Mauritius’ STC.
NIFTY FUTURE
Nifty Future closed flat in the last trading session. We advise buying around 8600-8610with strict stop loss 8550 for the targets of 8660-8710
INDICES
R2
R1
PIVOT
S1
S2
NIFTY
8,569.58
8,553.62
8,530.98
8,515.02
8,492.38
BANK NIFTY
18,834.82
18,740.33
18,629.17
18,534.68
18,423.52
4. DAILY REPORT
04th DECEMBER 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
NCDEX
RECOMMENDATIONS
SILVER
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY SILVER DEC ABOVE 37410 TGTS 37610,37910 SL BE- LOW 37110
SELL SILVER DEC BELOW 36770 TGTS 36570,36270 SL ABOVE 37070
GOLD
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GOLD DEC ABOVE 26550 TGTS 26630,26730 SL BELOW 26470
SELL GOLD DEC BELOW 26310 TGTS 26230,26130 SL ABOVE 26410
COMMODITY ROUNDUP
Platinum demand in India is likely to rise 25 per cent in 2015 on the back of growing consumers’ interest in bridal jewellery and other innovative collections. In its latest quar- terly analysis, London-based World Platinum Investment Council (WPIC) has pegged India’s platinum demand at 125,000 ounce (oz) in 2015, compared with 100,000 oz in 2014. The Gem & Jewellery Export Promotion Council (GJEPC) estimates India’s platinum import during April- October 2014 at $11.99 million against $6.81 million im- ported in the year-ago period.
Zinc prices rose by 0.44% to Rs 137.25 per kg in futures trading Yesterday in tandem with a firming trend overseas Besides, increased demand from consuming industries in the spot market supported the uptrend. At the Multi Com- modity Exchange, zinc for delivery in December moved up by 60 paise, or 0.44%, to Rs 137.25 per kg in a business turnover of 400 lots. Likewise, the metal for delivery in January edged up by 50 paise, or 0.36%, to Rs 137.65 per kg in nine lots. Attributed the rise in zinc futures to fresh posi- tions created by participants on the back of a firm global trend on speculation that demand is rising as vehicle sales and construction spending beat estimates in the US, the second-largest base metals consumer. Meanwhile, zinc for delivery in three months added 0.3% to $2,218.75 a metric tonne on the London Metal Exchange.
Aluminium prices edged up by 0.61% to Rs 122.95 per kg in futures trade yesterday as participants enlarged positions amid a firming trend overseas. Besides, strong demand in spot markets influenced metal prices. At the Multi Com- modity Exchange, aluminium for delivery in January 2015 inched up by 75 paise, or 0.61%, to Rs 122.95 per kg in a business turnover of 29 lots. Likewise, the metal for deliv- ery in December traded higher by 60 paise, or 0.49%, to Rs 122.60 per kg in 9 lots. Apart from increased domestic de- mand, a firming global trend as vehicle sales and construc- tion spending beat estimates in the US, boosting demand prospects in the second-largest base metals consumer, helped aluminium futures to trade higher. Globally, alumin- ium for delivery in three months advanced 0.3% to $1,983.25 a metric tonne on the London Metal Exchange
5. DAILY REPORT
04th DECEMBER 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
RECOMMENDATIONS
DHANIYA
BUY DHANIYA JAN ABOVE 13335 TGTS 13365,13415 SL 13285
SELL DHANIYA JAN BELOW 13220 TGTS 13190,13140 SL 13270
GUARSGUM
BUY GUARGUM JAN ABOVE 13430 TGTS 13480,13580 SL 13330
SELL GUARGUM JAN BELOW 13290 TGTS 13240,13140 SL 13380
NCDEX
NCDEX ROUNDUP
India’s vegetable oil import is likely to hit a new record this year at 12.3 million tonnes (mt) due to continuous rise in demand amid falling prices and lower output from domestic sources. At this level, however, vegetable oil import will rise six per cent from 11.62 mt in the previous year.
Delay in the monsoon, coupled with an overall deficit of showers this season, has resulted in the sharp decline in the oilseeds output this kharif harvesting season. The first ad- vanced estimate of India’s oilseeds output at 19.66 mt, a sharp decline from 22.41 mt in the previous year and 21.83 per cent of the target. The decline in oilseeds production would lead to decline in the vegetable oil output, while the sharp upsurge in demand on falling prices is set to widen the deficit.
The world's biggest palm oil producers, Indonesia and Ma- laysia, are set to benefit from an imminent fall in rapeseedoutput in India, a top industry body said on Wednesday. India imports palm oils mainly from Indonesia and Malaysia. In 2013-14, its palm oil imports fell for the first time in four years. Traders forecast India's rapeseed output could fall a tenth in 2014-15 as farmers sowed the main winter oilseed crop on a smaller area than the previ- ous season because of poor soil moisture in the main grow- ing areas.
NCDEX INDICES
Index
Value
% Change
CASTOR SEED
4595
+0.88
CHANA
3039
-1.68
CORIANDER
12855
-0.03
COTTON SEED
1341
-0.15
GAUR SEED
4731
+1.96
JEERA
12310
+1.23
MUSTARDSEED
3930
+0.46
SOYBEAN
3245
-0.95
SUGAR M GRADE
2730
-0.07
TURMERIC
6430
-0.03
6. DAILY REPORT
04th DECEMBER 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
GBP/INR
BUY GBPINR DEC ABOVE 97.45 TGT 97.65 ,97.85 SL 97.20
SELL GBPINR DEC BELOW 97.38 TGT 97.20 97.00 SL 97.60
EUR/INR
BUY EURINR DEC ABOVE 76.80 TGT 77.00,77.20 SL 76.55
SELL ECURINR DEC FROM TOP LEVEL 77.30 TGT 77.10 ,76.90
SL 77.50
CURRENCY MARKET UPDATES:
The Indian rupee ended marginally lower on Wednesday in line with Asian peers on global dollar strength, but volumes dipped due to a strike by state-run lenders in northern In- dia. Most emerging Asian currencies skidded lower as the dollar climbed to a seven-year high against the yen, on a more bullish outlook for the world's largest economy.
All eyes are now on the European Central Bank policy meet- ing today amid speculation that the euro zone will opt for further quantitive measures to stoke up inflation. Further ahead, the focus will be on U.S. jobs data on Friday. The partially convertible rupee closed at 61.9050/9150 per dol- lar compared with 61.88/89 on Tuesday.
State-run bank unions across India are pressing for early wage increases through a 4-day relay strike action, their third nationwide in the last year. Wednesday's session was marked by a strike at lenders based in the country's north. Bank staff in the Western region, including Mumbai, will be off work on Friday. In the offshore non-deliverable forwards market, the one-month contract was at 62.15/25, while the three-month was at 62.65/75.
The dollar rose to fresh seven year peaks against the yen on Wednesday as the diverging policy outlook between the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan continued to pres- sure the yen lower. USD/JPY touched highs of 119.44, the most since August 2007 and was last at 119.27, almost un- changed for the day. The yen has weakened broadly since the BoJ unexpectedly expanded its stimulus program in late October. In contrast, the Fed wound up its asset purchase program in October and is weighing whether or not the economy is strong enough to start raising interest rates next year. The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of six major currencies, was at 88.76, the strongest level since May 2010.
RBI Reference Rate
Currency
Rate
Currency
Rate
Rupee- $
61.8866
Yen-100
51.9300
Euro
76.5723
GBP
96.8278
MCX COMMODITIES & CURRENCY
7. DAILY REPORT
04th DECEMBER 2014
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CALL REPORT
PERFORMANCE UPDATES
Date
Commodity/ Currency Pairs
Contract
Strategy
Entry Level
Target
Stop Loss
Remark
03/12/14
NCDEX GUARGUM
DEC.
BUY
13020
13070-13170
12930
BOOKED FULL PROFIT
03/12/14
NCDEX GUARGUM
DEC.
SELL
12810
12760-12660
12900
SL TRIGGERED
03/12/14
NCDEX DHANIYA
DEC.
BUY
12965
12995-13045
12915
NOT EXEUCTED
03/12/14
NCDEX DHANIYA
DEC.
SELL
12770
12740-12690
12820
BOOKED PROFIT
03/12/14
EUR/INR
DEC.
BUY
77.45
77.65-77.85
77.20
NOT EXECUTED
03/12/14
EUR/INR
DEC.
SELL
77.80- 77.85
77.60-77.40
78.05
NOT EXECUTED
03/12/14
JPY/INR
DEC.
BUY
52.40
52.55-52.70
52.20
NOT EXECUTED
03/12/14
JPY/INR
DEC.
SELL
52.80- 52.85
52.75-52.60
53.00
NOT EXECUTED
Date
Scrip
CASH/ FUTURE/ OPTION
Strategy
Entry Level
Target
Stop Loss
Remark
28/11/14
NIFTY
FUTURE
BUY
8555-8560
8610-8660
8505
NOT EXECUTED
28/11/14
BAJAJAUTO
FUTURE
BUY
2640-2670
2700-2740
2610
CALL OPEN
28/11/14
ADANI PORT
FUTURE
SELL
294-295
292-288
298
SL TRIGGERED
28/11/14
MOTILAL OSWAL
CASH
BUY
240-245
250-265
230
NOT EXECUTED
26/11/14
ZEE
FUTURE
BUY
380-385
395-405
370
CALL OPEN
26/11/14
BIOCON
FUTURE
BUY
460-465
475-485
450
CALL OPEN
25/11/14
TCS
FUTURE
BUY
2630-2650
2680-2700
2600
BOOKED FULL PROFIT
24/11/14
KTKBANK
FUTURE
BUY
140-142
145-148
135
BOOKED FULL PROFIT
17/11/14
COALINDIA
FUTURE
BUY
350-355
365-375
340
CALL OPEN
13/11/14
HOTEL LEELA
CASH
BUY
24-25
28-30
22
CALL OPEN
07/11/14
ZUARI AGRO
CASH
BUY
280-290
315-330
260
CALL OPEN
8. DAILY REPORT
04th DECEMBER 2014
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
NEXT WEEK'S U.S. ECONOMIC REPORTS
ECONOMIC CALENDAR
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Disclaimer
TIME (ET)
REPORT
PERIOD
ACTUAL
CONSENSUS FORECAST
PREVIOUS
MONDAY, DEC. 01
9:45 AM
MARKIT PMI
NOV.
--
54.7
10 AM
ISM
NOV.
58.5%
59.0%
TUESDAY, DEC. 02
10 AM
CONSTRUCTION SPENDING
OCT.
0.5%
-0.4%
TBA
MOTOR VEHICLE SALES
NOV.
16.6 MLN
16.5 MLN
WEDNESDAY, DEC. 03
8:15 AM
ADP EMPLOYMENT
NOV.
--
230,000
8:30 AM
PRODUCTIVITY
Q3
1.7%
2.0%
8:30 AM
UNIT LABOR COSTS
Q3
0.6%
0.3%
10 AM
ISM NONMANUFACTURING
NOV.
58.0%
57.1%
2 PM
BEIGE BOOK
THURSDAY, DEC. 04
8:30 AM
WEEKLY JOBLESS CLAIMS
NOV. 29
N/A
N/A
FRIDAY, DEC. 05
8:30 AM
NONFARM PAYROLLS
NOV.
230,000
214,000
8:30 AM
UNEMPLOYMENT RATE
NOV.
5.7%
5.8%
8:30 AM
TRADE DEFICIT
OCT.
-$41.5 BLN
-$43.0 BLN
10 AM
FACTORY ORDERS
OCT.
0.0%
-0.6%
3 PM
CONSUMER CREDIT
OCT.
--
$15.9 BLN