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Accountable Care Organizations,
  Bundled Payments, and the
     Future of Health Care

                    David Harlow JD MPH
                   THE HARLOW GROUP LLC

                            blog • healthblawg.com
October 27, 2011            twitter • @healthblawg
Interactive Housekeeping . . .

• Questions and comments
  – Webinar chat window
  – Livetweeting the webinar, and a real-time
    tweetchat -- #ACOchat -- http://j.mp/ACOchat
• Links to all government ACO issuances from
  October 20
  – http://j.mp/ACOfinal
We are challenged by shifting sands
High-performing health care providers
       can be integrated into
high-performing health care systems
What are the
federales trying to
   accomplish?

The “Triple Aim”

   Better care
  Better health
  Lower costs
ACO: Getting more elegant
ACO is one tool to get providers
  to manage a population of
           patients
How? Financial incentives.
         $18,000,000


         $16,000,000


          $14,000,000                                         Yr 1    Yr 2


          $12,000,000                                         Yr 3    Yr 4

          $10,000,000
                                                              Yr 5

            $8,000,000


            $6,000,000


            $4,000,000


             $2,000,000


                        $0

                             Billings
                                        Dartmouth
                                                    Everett
                                                                 Forsyth
                                                                             Geisinger
                                                                                         Marshfield
                                                                                                      Middlesex
                                                                                                                   Park
                                                                                                                  Nicollet   St. John's
                                                                                                                                          Michigan
Graphic courtesy Jaan Sidorov, Disease Management Care Blog
What
 is
 an
ACO?
ACO Basics
Single entity                     33 performance measures
Three-year commitment             Patient engagement
One-way or two-way risk-sharing   Patient-centeredness
PCPs and broader network          Stark/AKS
5000 patient minimum              IRS
                                  Antitrust
Proposed Rule versus Final Rule
           http://j.mp/ACOchart
Final ACO quality measures
      http://j.mp/ACOqualitymeasures
ACO
regulations
coordinate
  across
 numerous
  Federal
 agencies
All in all, ACO risk/reward ratio
          seems skewed
IT infrastructure cost estimate
            >$1.5m
More details from the ACO
rules, and traps for the unwary
Rolling start dates due to lateness
         in finalizing rules
Over 60% of health care provider
executives said earlier this year
  they intend to form an ACO
Culture of Collaboration
Opportunities for
physician-led ACOs
Even if an ACO is not in your
immediate future, these principles
          will affect you

            Bundled     Commercial
           Payments       ACOs




             Pay for       Other
          Performance   Innovations
MSSP is just one arrow in the quiver

 •Medicare Shared Savings Program – “Traditional” ACO
 •Advance Payment Initiative
 •Pioneer ACO
 •Other CMS Innovation Center Initiatives
CMS Bundled Payment Initiative

 Bundled
Payments




            ACO “lite”
            MS-DRG-specific
            Gainsharing

            . . . Bundled Payment Pilot - 2013
Care Coordination Initiatives
Commercial plans are
  non-standardized
Jeff Goldsmith: Suggests 3
commercial ACO payment systems
 for 3 different types of providers

                   Primary
                               • Risk-adjusted
                                 capitation


                  Emergency
                               • Fee-for-
                                 service


                   Specialty
                               • Bundled
                                 payments
What can you do now to prepare
       for the future?
Physicians
are central to
     the
development
    of an
accountable
    care
organization
You cannot manage what you do
         not measure
Opportunity for all providers: Be the
go-to (cost-effective) guys (or gals)
.
David Harlow JD MPH
Thank You   THE HARLOW GROUP LLC

                   for contact info
                txt dharlow to 50500
                 or scan the QR code

                  harlowgroup.net
                  healthblawg.com
              twitter.com/healthblawg
              david@harlowgroup.net

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Accountable Care Organizations, Bundled Payments and the Future of Health Care