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DNV GL © 2014 SAFER, SMARTER, GREENERDNV GL © 2014 SAFER, SMARTER, GREENERDNV GL © 2014
Ungraded
Monday, October 19, 2015
Alexander Novie
ENERGY
Sociodemographics & Sustainability
Value Propositions in DSM Programs
1
BECC 2015 Conference
DNV GL © 2014
Outline
Equity in mature EE/DSM programs
• Articulating sustainability value propositions to diverse audiences
Sociodemographic approach
• Increasing diversity and identifying opportunities
New policy levers in CPP/CEIP
• Using EE/DSM as a resource for “vulnerable” communities
2
DNV GL © 2014
Theoretical frameworks &
background
Social and behavioral aspects of energy use
•“Where and who are the people in energy policies?” vs. PTEM
•Use and behavior patterns based on socioeconomic, lifestyle,
race/ethnicity and gender
Analyzing demographics in EE/DSM
•Participation equity
•Applying residential segmentation to commercial energy users
Looking at unique needs of vulnerable groups
•Local market nuances used to define “hard-to-reach” populations
•Value propositions & EE as economic development tool
3
DNV GL © 2014
DSM program participation:
equity & engagement
DSM programs are
maturing
• Most of the low-hanging fruit
has been eaten
Utilities are shifting
their focus
• “Meeting goal”  broader
strategies of customer
engagement and satisfaction
• Using EE/DSM as economic
development tool
A nuanced view of
equity is key
• Sociodemographic overlays
can provide additional insight
to the traditional focus on
customer load, size and
market verticals
4
DNV GL © 2014
Sociodemographics: what factors?
Culture, ethnicity and race
• Different notions of trust with energy
providers and installation contractors
Language matters
• Non-English speaking households are much
less likely to be aware of potential energy-
saving appliances (Murray & Mills 2011)
Urbanity matters
• Rural facilities often have different
consumption profiles; reach of contractor
network and campaigns
5
DNV GL © 2014
Changing sociodemographics:
increasing diversity
6
Source: Pew Research Center (2015)
DNV GL © 2014
Total population & Hispanic/Latino
7
25%
35%
13%
10% 10%
46%
82%
25%
28%
43%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
AZ NV NM CA All US
Percent Population Increase from 2000 - 2010:
Total & Hispanic or Latino
Total Population Hispanic/Latino Population
DNV GL © 2014
Foreign-born persons since 1980
8
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
NM AZ NV CA US NM AZ NV CA US NM AZ NV CA US NM AZ NV CA US
1980 1990 2000 2010
%ofPopulationthatisForeign-Born
Growth in Foreign-Born Populations in NM, AZ, NV, & CA: 1980-2010
DNV GL © 2014
Public opinion:
views on the climate problem
9
Source: Pew Research Center (2015)
70
56
44
50
19
26
22
23
11
17
31
25
Hispanic/Latino
African American
White
U.S. Adults
Because of human activity Because of natural patterns
There is no solid evidence
DNV GL © 2014
Public opinion:
support for climate initiatives
10
Source: PPIC (2015)
76%
75%
71%
65%
African American Latinos Asians Whites
Support for GHG reduction in California
(SB-32)
DNV GL © 2014
Other “hard-to-reach” in SW
Low-
income
Minority-
owned
firms
Older
adults
11
DNV GL © 2014
Tucson area:
kWh savings & per-capita income
12
DNV GL © 2014
Identifying opportunity:
small businesses in Southern Arizona
13
Small Businesses & Program Potential in Santa Cruz County, Arizona
Zip Code
Total C&I
Businesses
Businesses
with 1 to 4
Employees
Businesses
with 5 to 9
Employees
Ratio of
Businesses
<10
Employees
Projects
Completed
ITD
Potential
Market
Remaining
85621 725 381 166 75% 73 86%
85646 74 51 12 85% 5 92%
85648 197 104 34 70% 16 88%
Santa Cruz
Summary
996 536 212 77% 134 87%
DNV GL © 2014
Takeaways for DSM programs
Understanding the
communities within
the marketplaces
• Defining “hard-to-reach”
groups to focus on equity &
engagement
Analyzing data-
driven marketing
and outreach
• Digging deeper into data
analytics and looking at the
“who” and “why” behind
the models
14
Question and refine how sustainability
value propositions are communicated
DNV GL © 2014
Broader implications: CPP & CEIP
Clean Power Plan
(CPP) framed in
environmental
justice language
• Resources for “vulnerable”
and “overburdened”
communities
Clean Energy
Investment
Program (CEIP)
• 2-1 ERCs for EE projects in
low-income and
communities of color
15
2-1 in 2020
DNV GL © 2014
Areas of future research
How do we define
low-income and
communities of
color for program
design?
Rethinking
program
eligibility?
• Low-income individuals
are already overburdened
by paperwork!
16
DNV GL © 201417
Remember the people
behind the data
DNV GL © 2014
SAFER, SMARTER, GREENER
www.dnvgl.com
SAFER, SMARTER, GREENER
www.dnvgl.com
Thank you!
alexander.novie@dnvgl.com
18

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Sociodemographics & Sustainability Value Propositions in DSM Programs

  • 1. DNV GL © 2014 SAFER, SMARTER, GREENERDNV GL © 2014 SAFER, SMARTER, GREENERDNV GL © 2014 Ungraded Monday, October 19, 2015 Alexander Novie ENERGY Sociodemographics & Sustainability Value Propositions in DSM Programs 1 BECC 2015 Conference
  • 2. DNV GL © 2014 Outline Equity in mature EE/DSM programs • Articulating sustainability value propositions to diverse audiences Sociodemographic approach • Increasing diversity and identifying opportunities New policy levers in CPP/CEIP • Using EE/DSM as a resource for “vulnerable” communities 2
  • 3. DNV GL © 2014 Theoretical frameworks & background Social and behavioral aspects of energy use •“Where and who are the people in energy policies?” vs. PTEM •Use and behavior patterns based on socioeconomic, lifestyle, race/ethnicity and gender Analyzing demographics in EE/DSM •Participation equity •Applying residential segmentation to commercial energy users Looking at unique needs of vulnerable groups •Local market nuances used to define “hard-to-reach” populations •Value propositions & EE as economic development tool 3
  • 4. DNV GL © 2014 DSM program participation: equity & engagement DSM programs are maturing • Most of the low-hanging fruit has been eaten Utilities are shifting their focus • “Meeting goal”  broader strategies of customer engagement and satisfaction • Using EE/DSM as economic development tool A nuanced view of equity is key • Sociodemographic overlays can provide additional insight to the traditional focus on customer load, size and market verticals 4
  • 5. DNV GL © 2014 Sociodemographics: what factors? Culture, ethnicity and race • Different notions of trust with energy providers and installation contractors Language matters • Non-English speaking households are much less likely to be aware of potential energy- saving appliances (Murray & Mills 2011) Urbanity matters • Rural facilities often have different consumption profiles; reach of contractor network and campaigns 5
  • 6. DNV GL © 2014 Changing sociodemographics: increasing diversity 6 Source: Pew Research Center (2015)
  • 7. DNV GL © 2014 Total population & Hispanic/Latino 7 25% 35% 13% 10% 10% 46% 82% 25% 28% 43% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% AZ NV NM CA All US Percent Population Increase from 2000 - 2010: Total & Hispanic or Latino Total Population Hispanic/Latino Population
  • 8. DNV GL © 2014 Foreign-born persons since 1980 8 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 NM AZ NV CA US NM AZ NV CA US NM AZ NV CA US NM AZ NV CA US 1980 1990 2000 2010 %ofPopulationthatisForeign-Born Growth in Foreign-Born Populations in NM, AZ, NV, & CA: 1980-2010
  • 9. DNV GL © 2014 Public opinion: views on the climate problem 9 Source: Pew Research Center (2015) 70 56 44 50 19 26 22 23 11 17 31 25 Hispanic/Latino African American White U.S. Adults Because of human activity Because of natural patterns There is no solid evidence
  • 10. DNV GL © 2014 Public opinion: support for climate initiatives 10 Source: PPIC (2015) 76% 75% 71% 65% African American Latinos Asians Whites Support for GHG reduction in California (SB-32)
  • 11. DNV GL © 2014 Other “hard-to-reach” in SW Low- income Minority- owned firms Older adults 11
  • 12. DNV GL © 2014 Tucson area: kWh savings & per-capita income 12
  • 13. DNV GL © 2014 Identifying opportunity: small businesses in Southern Arizona 13 Small Businesses & Program Potential in Santa Cruz County, Arizona Zip Code Total C&I Businesses Businesses with 1 to 4 Employees Businesses with 5 to 9 Employees Ratio of Businesses <10 Employees Projects Completed ITD Potential Market Remaining 85621 725 381 166 75% 73 86% 85646 74 51 12 85% 5 92% 85648 197 104 34 70% 16 88% Santa Cruz Summary 996 536 212 77% 134 87%
  • 14. DNV GL © 2014 Takeaways for DSM programs Understanding the communities within the marketplaces • Defining “hard-to-reach” groups to focus on equity & engagement Analyzing data- driven marketing and outreach • Digging deeper into data analytics and looking at the “who” and “why” behind the models 14 Question and refine how sustainability value propositions are communicated
  • 15. DNV GL © 2014 Broader implications: CPP & CEIP Clean Power Plan (CPP) framed in environmental justice language • Resources for “vulnerable” and “overburdened” communities Clean Energy Investment Program (CEIP) • 2-1 ERCs for EE projects in low-income and communities of color 15 2-1 in 2020
  • 16. DNV GL © 2014 Areas of future research How do we define low-income and communities of color for program design? Rethinking program eligibility? • Low-income individuals are already overburdened by paperwork! 16
  • 17. DNV GL © 201417 Remember the people behind the data
  • 18. DNV GL © 2014 SAFER, SMARTER, GREENER www.dnvgl.com SAFER, SMARTER, GREENER www.dnvgl.com Thank you! alexander.novie@dnvgl.com 18