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CSL MARKET
REVIEW
Perfect your investment Strategy with CSL daily
insight into the Nigerian Equity Markets
September 3, 2015
Office: 01-2713923, 01-2713920; Mobile: 08068015502; 08055250071; Email: cslservice@fcmb.com; Click here to register
1
Retail Views
NSE…
Further to booking activities and general bearish sentiment kept the
NSE ASI in negative territory as the benchmark index lost 1.61% before
the closing bell. Although we saw a slight recovery in the Banking sector
on the back of gains recorded by Stanbic(+5.45%), UBA(4.85%) and
FBNH(1.97%), other sectorial indices lost points on the backdrop of
Dangcem(-5.00%), Wapco(-3.96%), flourmill(-5.00%) Seplat(-3.12%)
and NNFM(-4.97%) .
ASI-year-to-date stands at -15.19% while market capitalisation lost
N164billion. Among the broad indices, volume and value traded
depreciated by 38% and 36% respectively from the previous session
indicating weak demand postures. Top in the gainers’ chart are VONO
(N1.06), TRANSEXPR (N1.05) and STANBIC (N23.20) while ACCESS
(N5.02), DANGCEM (N165.30) and PZ (N25.28) led the decliners.
UBA PLC released their H1 2015 result declaring an interim dividend of
20kobo. See next page for details.
Index is expected to close lower in the last session of the week. Value
stocks appear ripe for another round of bargain hunt.
28,000.00
29,000.00
30,000.00
31,000.00
32,000.00
1.000
6.000
11.000
16.000
3-wk Trajectory : ASI vs Value
Traded
Value Traded ASI
Market Wrap
ASI -1.61% 29,393.77
Index Yr-to-date -15.19%
Market Cap. N10.108Tn
Traded value N2,898Bn
Key Gainers Close (N) %Chg.
Stanbic 23.20 5.45
Transcorp 2.30 5.02
Dangflour 2.99 4.91
Uba 3.46 4.85
Intbrew 17.86 5.00
Key Losers Close (N) %Chg.
Access 5.02 -5.10
Dangcem 165.30 -5.00
Pz 25.28 -5.00
Flourmill 22.06 -5.00
Ubn 5.82 -4.90
Global Markets Close %Chg.
FTSE 100 6,085.35 0.44
The DOW 16,218.13 0.99
S & P 500 1,929.68 0.83
Nikkei 225 18,095.40 -0.39
Kenya NSE 142.52 -0.42
Source : Bloomberg
Fixed Income & Commodities
NITTY
3-Month 14.5998
6-Month 15.4631
9-Month 15.4761
12-Month 16.0856
Crude Oil Spot Price
Brent Crude Us$51.77
Office: 01-2713923, 01-2713920; Mobile: 08068015502; 08055250071; Email: cslservice@fcmb.com; Click here to register
2
NASD OTC Market.....
The momentum in market rallied northwards in all directions. The Unlisted Securities Index and market
capitalization further appreciated from yesterday’s figures by 0.23% (2.16basis points) and 5.58% (N26.85bn);
leaving them to close 940.60basis points and N508.21bn respectively in 33deals.
Today’s activity levels witnessed a negotiated cross deal of 140,000units NDEP executed at N175.00; even as the
market witnessed additional appreciation in volumes and values traded by +667.09% and +139.66 %; to offer
427,450units and N53.77m.
In all 11 securities traded today, only one (1) price appreciation recorded in CSCS Plc (+11.11%) N7.00. As for
decliners Friesland Campina Wamco Plc lost -1.83% and Golden Capital -11.11%.
Given the profit taking by investors in the general market; we still anticipate bargain positioning by investors, thus
we advise cautious trading with a view of mid to long term approach.
Name Period Dividend Bonus Closure date
Payment
date Name Period
Turnover
(N'mil) %Chg PBT (N'mil) PAT (N'mil) %Chg
UBA PLC H1 2015 20 Kobo Nil 10-11th Sep-15 16-Sep-15 UBA H1 2015 166,943 20.8% 39,046 31,999 40.0%
​Nigerian Enamelware FY 2014 45 Kobo Nil 11th Sep 2015 29-Sep-15 ARBICO FY 2014 3,717 11.0% 252- 259- -193.2%
PZ FY 2014 61 kobo Nil 14/18-Sep2015 30-Sep-15 CUTIX Q1 2015 665 15.7% 66 43 48.3%
GTB H1 2015 25 kobo Nil 08-Sep-15 21-Sep-15 HONYFLOUR Q1 2015 12,797 -7.7% 394 283 -38.7%
Access H1 2015 25 kobo Nil 03-Sep-15 10-Sep-15 OKOMU OIL H1 2015 4,991 2.5% 2,139 1,842 30.3%
7up FY 2014 275 kobo Nil 17-Jul-15 29-Sep-15 FTN COCOA FY 2014 247 -46.3% 577- 577- -181.6%
ETI FY 2014 Nil 1 for 15 22-Jul-15 N/A PZ FY 2014 73,126 0.3% 6,557 4,571 -10.1%
UACN H1 2015 175 kobo Nil 10-Jul-15 24-Sep-15 FLOURMILL Q1 2015 82,281 -2.0% 1,188 972 -65.6%
Academy Press FY2014 Nil 1 for 5 07-Aug-15 N/A GTB H1 2015 152,995 15.0% 63,111 53,373 21.3%
Honeywell Flour Mills FY 2014 5 kobo Nil 18-Sep-15 25-Sep-15 ACCESS H1 2015 168,642 43.7% 39,113 31,287 38.5%
Red Star Express FY 2014 35 kobo Nil 07-Aug-15 14-Sep-15 STERLING H1 2015 55,042 11.5% 6,055 5,425 6.9%
Northern Nigeria Fl. FY2014 30 kobo Nil R.T BRISCOE H1 2015 6,418 -36.3% 961,662- 961,662- -730.8%
Flour Mills of Nigeria FY2014 210 kobo Nil 14-Aug-15 14-Sep-15 MULTIVERSE H1 2015 27,010 0.0% 171,011- 171,011- -6.7%
Triple Gee FY2014 4 kobo Nil ZENITH H1 2015 229,082 24.2% 72,201 53,180 12.1%
Mansard (Interim) H1 2015 3 kobo Nil 14-Oct-15 26-Oct-15
Custodian&Allied(Interim) H1 2015 6 kobo Nil 21-Aug-15 15-Sep-15
SCOA FY2014 7.5 kobo Nil 28-Aug-15 24-Sep-15​
Union Diagnostic FY2014 ​2.5 kobo ​Nil 21-Aug-15 02-Oct-15
Corporate Action (August 2015) Company Result (August 2015)
900.00
1000.00
12-Aug
14-Aug
16-Aug
18-Aug
20-Aug
22-Aug
24-Aug
26-Aug
28-Aug
30-Aug
01-Sep
03-Sep
Index
Period
Unlisted Securities Index curve
Office: 01-2713923, 01-2713920; Mobile: 08068015502; 08055250071; Email: cslservice@fcmb.com; Click here to register
3
News Highlight – Dangote Cement
Again, Dangote cuts cement price
This morning, Dangote Cement (Buy, Target Price: N198.4, Current Price: N174.0) announced that it has
cut the price of its 3X cement brand in Nigeria by N300 (US$1.5) per 50kg bag (N6000 per tonne). According
to Onne van der Weijde, the Chief Executive of Dangote Cement, “Our cost-saving initiatives in Nigeria have
enabled us to cut the price of cement to a level that is good for consumers yet still allows us to achieve strong
returns that are sustainable in the longer term.”
This is not the first time Dangote Cement has cut the price of cement. On 3 November 2014, Dangote Cement
cut cement prices by 13.9% but quickly reversed that decision in December 2014.
Following the November 2014 announcement of a cut in cement prices, Dangote Cement shares were
marked down 12.3% that week. We believe investors may react negatively to today’s announcement and we
expect to see some sell pressure on Dangote Cement stocks.
Also, we believe the read-through for Lafarge Africa's (Under Review) operations in Nigeria is bad, as these
have higher operating costs than Dangote Cement in Nigeria. Lafarge Africa may have to follow suit in
cutting prices, in our view.
Office: 01-2713923, 01-2713920; Mobile: 08068015502; 08055250071; Email: cslservice@fcmb.com; Click here to register
4
Important Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
CSL STOCKBROKERS LIMITED (CSLS) is regulated and authorized by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) of Nigeria and the Nigerian
Stock Exchange (NSE). The details of the authorization can be viewed at the SEC Website at http://www.sec.gov.ng/consolidated-list-of-capital-
market-operators.html and at the NSE Website at http://www.nse.com.ng/Regulation/ForBrokers/Pages/Dealing-Members.asp.
RELIANCE ON THIS NOTE FOR THE PURPOSE OF ENGAGING IN ANY INVESTMENT ACTIVITY MAY EXPOSE YOU TO A SIGNIFICANT RISK OF
LOSS. By receiving this document, you will not be deemed a client or provided with the protections afforded to clients of CSLS. When distributing
this document, CSLS or any member of the First City Group is not acting for anyrecipient of this document and will not be responsible for providing
advice to any recipient in relation to this document. Accordingly, CSLS will not be responsible to any recipient for providing the protections
afforded to its clients.
If you are in the UK, the protections of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (FSMA) or Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) do not apply to
any investment activity engaged in as a result of this communication; and any resulting transaction would not fall within the jurisdiction of any
FSMA or FCA dispute resolution or compensation scheme. By accepting this document you confirm that you are so aware of the above stated. If
you do not accept the above stated and/or if the distribution of this document is otherwise unlawful where you are, you are required to return the
document immediately to CSLS.
This document is not an offer to buy or sell or to solicit an offer to buy or sell any security. This document does not provide individually tailored
investment advice. It has been prepared without regard to the individual financial circumstances and objectives of persons who receive it. The
appropriateness of a particular investment will depend on an investor’s individual circumstances and objectives. The investments and shares
referred to in this document may not be suitable for all investors.
CSLS is a member of the FCMB Group Plc (“the Group”), a group of companies which includes First City Monument Bank Ltd., FCMB Capital
Markets Ltd, First City Asset Management and FCMB UK. Either CSLS or any other member of the Group may effect transactions in shares
mentioned herein, may take proprietary trading positions in those shares, and may receive remuneration for the publication of its research and
for other services. Accordingly, this document may not be considered as objective or impartial. Additionally, information may be available to
CSLS or the Group, which is not reflected in this material. Further information on CSLS’ policy regarding potential conflicts of interest in the
context of investment research and CSLS’ policy on disclosure and conflicts in general are available on request.
This document is based on information obtained from sources it believes are reliable but which it has not independently verified. Neither CSLS
nor its advisors, directors or employees make any guarantee, representation or warranty as to its accuracy, reasonableness or completeness and
neither CSLS nor its advisors, directors or employees accepts any responsibility or liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise) for any loss
howsoever arising from any use of this document or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with this document. The opinions contained in
thisdocumentare subject tochangewithoutnoticeandnotto bereliedupon andshouldnotbeusedin substitution fortheexerciseofindependent
judgment.
Past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. Investments may go down in value as well as up and you may not get back the full
amount invested. Where an investment is denominated in a currency other than the local currency of the recipient of the research report, changes
in the exchange rates may have an adverse effect on the value, price or income of that investment. In case of investments for which there is no
recognized market it may be difficult for investors to sell their investments or to obtain reliable information about its value or the extent of the
risk to which it is exposed.
The information contained in this document is confidential and is solely for use of those persons to whom it is addressed and may not be
reproduced, further distributed to any other person or published, in whole or in part, for any purpose.
© CSLS 2013. All rights reserved
CSL STOCKBROKERS LIMITED
Member of the Nigerian Stock Exchange
First City Plaza, 44 Marina,
PO Box 9117,
Lagos State, NIGERIA

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Csl daily market update 03092015

  • 1. CSL MARKET REVIEW Perfect your investment Strategy with CSL daily insight into the Nigerian Equity Markets September 3, 2015
  • 2. Office: 01-2713923, 01-2713920; Mobile: 08068015502; 08055250071; Email: cslservice@fcmb.com; Click here to register 1 Retail Views NSE… Further to booking activities and general bearish sentiment kept the NSE ASI in negative territory as the benchmark index lost 1.61% before the closing bell. Although we saw a slight recovery in the Banking sector on the back of gains recorded by Stanbic(+5.45%), UBA(4.85%) and FBNH(1.97%), other sectorial indices lost points on the backdrop of Dangcem(-5.00%), Wapco(-3.96%), flourmill(-5.00%) Seplat(-3.12%) and NNFM(-4.97%) . ASI-year-to-date stands at -15.19% while market capitalisation lost N164billion. Among the broad indices, volume and value traded depreciated by 38% and 36% respectively from the previous session indicating weak demand postures. Top in the gainers’ chart are VONO (N1.06), TRANSEXPR (N1.05) and STANBIC (N23.20) while ACCESS (N5.02), DANGCEM (N165.30) and PZ (N25.28) led the decliners. UBA PLC released their H1 2015 result declaring an interim dividend of 20kobo. See next page for details. Index is expected to close lower in the last session of the week. Value stocks appear ripe for another round of bargain hunt. 28,000.00 29,000.00 30,000.00 31,000.00 32,000.00 1.000 6.000 11.000 16.000 3-wk Trajectory : ASI vs Value Traded Value Traded ASI Market Wrap ASI -1.61% 29,393.77 Index Yr-to-date -15.19% Market Cap. N10.108Tn Traded value N2,898Bn Key Gainers Close (N) %Chg. Stanbic 23.20 5.45 Transcorp 2.30 5.02 Dangflour 2.99 4.91 Uba 3.46 4.85 Intbrew 17.86 5.00 Key Losers Close (N) %Chg. Access 5.02 -5.10 Dangcem 165.30 -5.00 Pz 25.28 -5.00 Flourmill 22.06 -5.00 Ubn 5.82 -4.90 Global Markets Close %Chg. FTSE 100 6,085.35 0.44 The DOW 16,218.13 0.99 S & P 500 1,929.68 0.83 Nikkei 225 18,095.40 -0.39 Kenya NSE 142.52 -0.42 Source : Bloomberg Fixed Income & Commodities NITTY 3-Month 14.5998 6-Month 15.4631 9-Month 15.4761 12-Month 16.0856 Crude Oil Spot Price Brent Crude Us$51.77
  • 3. Office: 01-2713923, 01-2713920; Mobile: 08068015502; 08055250071; Email: cslservice@fcmb.com; Click here to register 2 NASD OTC Market..... The momentum in market rallied northwards in all directions. The Unlisted Securities Index and market capitalization further appreciated from yesterday’s figures by 0.23% (2.16basis points) and 5.58% (N26.85bn); leaving them to close 940.60basis points and N508.21bn respectively in 33deals. Today’s activity levels witnessed a negotiated cross deal of 140,000units NDEP executed at N175.00; even as the market witnessed additional appreciation in volumes and values traded by +667.09% and +139.66 %; to offer 427,450units and N53.77m. In all 11 securities traded today, only one (1) price appreciation recorded in CSCS Plc (+11.11%) N7.00. As for decliners Friesland Campina Wamco Plc lost -1.83% and Golden Capital -11.11%. Given the profit taking by investors in the general market; we still anticipate bargain positioning by investors, thus we advise cautious trading with a view of mid to long term approach. Name Period Dividend Bonus Closure date Payment date Name Period Turnover (N'mil) %Chg PBT (N'mil) PAT (N'mil) %Chg UBA PLC H1 2015 20 Kobo Nil 10-11th Sep-15 16-Sep-15 UBA H1 2015 166,943 20.8% 39,046 31,999 40.0% ​Nigerian Enamelware FY 2014 45 Kobo Nil 11th Sep 2015 29-Sep-15 ARBICO FY 2014 3,717 11.0% 252- 259- -193.2% PZ FY 2014 61 kobo Nil 14/18-Sep2015 30-Sep-15 CUTIX Q1 2015 665 15.7% 66 43 48.3% GTB H1 2015 25 kobo Nil 08-Sep-15 21-Sep-15 HONYFLOUR Q1 2015 12,797 -7.7% 394 283 -38.7% Access H1 2015 25 kobo Nil 03-Sep-15 10-Sep-15 OKOMU OIL H1 2015 4,991 2.5% 2,139 1,842 30.3% 7up FY 2014 275 kobo Nil 17-Jul-15 29-Sep-15 FTN COCOA FY 2014 247 -46.3% 577- 577- -181.6% ETI FY 2014 Nil 1 for 15 22-Jul-15 N/A PZ FY 2014 73,126 0.3% 6,557 4,571 -10.1% UACN H1 2015 175 kobo Nil 10-Jul-15 24-Sep-15 FLOURMILL Q1 2015 82,281 -2.0% 1,188 972 -65.6% Academy Press FY2014 Nil 1 for 5 07-Aug-15 N/A GTB H1 2015 152,995 15.0% 63,111 53,373 21.3% Honeywell Flour Mills FY 2014 5 kobo Nil 18-Sep-15 25-Sep-15 ACCESS H1 2015 168,642 43.7% 39,113 31,287 38.5% Red Star Express FY 2014 35 kobo Nil 07-Aug-15 14-Sep-15 STERLING H1 2015 55,042 11.5% 6,055 5,425 6.9% Northern Nigeria Fl. FY2014 30 kobo Nil R.T BRISCOE H1 2015 6,418 -36.3% 961,662- 961,662- -730.8% Flour Mills of Nigeria FY2014 210 kobo Nil 14-Aug-15 14-Sep-15 MULTIVERSE H1 2015 27,010 0.0% 171,011- 171,011- -6.7% Triple Gee FY2014 4 kobo Nil ZENITH H1 2015 229,082 24.2% 72,201 53,180 12.1% Mansard (Interim) H1 2015 3 kobo Nil 14-Oct-15 26-Oct-15 Custodian&Allied(Interim) H1 2015 6 kobo Nil 21-Aug-15 15-Sep-15 SCOA FY2014 7.5 kobo Nil 28-Aug-15 24-Sep-15​ Union Diagnostic FY2014 ​2.5 kobo ​Nil 21-Aug-15 02-Oct-15 Corporate Action (August 2015) Company Result (August 2015) 900.00 1000.00 12-Aug 14-Aug 16-Aug 18-Aug 20-Aug 22-Aug 24-Aug 26-Aug 28-Aug 30-Aug 01-Sep 03-Sep Index Period Unlisted Securities Index curve
  • 4. Office: 01-2713923, 01-2713920; Mobile: 08068015502; 08055250071; Email: cslservice@fcmb.com; Click here to register 3 News Highlight – Dangote Cement Again, Dangote cuts cement price This morning, Dangote Cement (Buy, Target Price: N198.4, Current Price: N174.0) announced that it has cut the price of its 3X cement brand in Nigeria by N300 (US$1.5) per 50kg bag (N6000 per tonne). According to Onne van der Weijde, the Chief Executive of Dangote Cement, “Our cost-saving initiatives in Nigeria have enabled us to cut the price of cement to a level that is good for consumers yet still allows us to achieve strong returns that are sustainable in the longer term.” This is not the first time Dangote Cement has cut the price of cement. On 3 November 2014, Dangote Cement cut cement prices by 13.9% but quickly reversed that decision in December 2014. Following the November 2014 announcement of a cut in cement prices, Dangote Cement shares were marked down 12.3% that week. We believe investors may react negatively to today’s announcement and we expect to see some sell pressure on Dangote Cement stocks. Also, we believe the read-through for Lafarge Africa's (Under Review) operations in Nigeria is bad, as these have higher operating costs than Dangote Cement in Nigeria. Lafarge Africa may have to follow suit in cutting prices, in our view.
  • 5. Office: 01-2713923, 01-2713920; Mobile: 08068015502; 08055250071; Email: cslservice@fcmb.com; Click here to register 4 Important Risk Warnings and Disclaimers CSL STOCKBROKERS LIMITED (CSLS) is regulated and authorized by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) of Nigeria and the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE). The details of the authorization can be viewed at the SEC Website at http://www.sec.gov.ng/consolidated-list-of-capital- market-operators.html and at the NSE Website at http://www.nse.com.ng/Regulation/ForBrokers/Pages/Dealing-Members.asp. RELIANCE ON THIS NOTE FOR THE PURPOSE OF ENGAGING IN ANY INVESTMENT ACTIVITY MAY EXPOSE YOU TO A SIGNIFICANT RISK OF LOSS. By receiving this document, you will not be deemed a client or provided with the protections afforded to clients of CSLS. When distributing this document, CSLS or any member of the First City Group is not acting for anyrecipient of this document and will not be responsible for providing advice to any recipient in relation to this document. Accordingly, CSLS will not be responsible to any recipient for providing the protections afforded to its clients. If you are in the UK, the protections of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (FSMA) or Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) do not apply to any investment activity engaged in as a result of this communication; and any resulting transaction would not fall within the jurisdiction of any FSMA or FCA dispute resolution or compensation scheme. By accepting this document you confirm that you are so aware of the above stated. If you do not accept the above stated and/or if the distribution of this document is otherwise unlawful where you are, you are required to return the document immediately to CSLS. This document is not an offer to buy or sell or to solicit an offer to buy or sell any security. This document does not provide individually tailored investment advice. It has been prepared without regard to the individual financial circumstances and objectives of persons who receive it. The appropriateness of a particular investment will depend on an investor’s individual circumstances and objectives. The investments and shares referred to in this document may not be suitable for all investors. CSLS is a member of the FCMB Group Plc (“the Group”), a group of companies which includes First City Monument Bank Ltd., FCMB Capital Markets Ltd, First City Asset Management and FCMB UK. Either CSLS or any other member of the Group may effect transactions in shares mentioned herein, may take proprietary trading positions in those shares, and may receive remuneration for the publication of its research and for other services. Accordingly, this document may not be considered as objective or impartial. Additionally, information may be available to CSLS or the Group, which is not reflected in this material. Further information on CSLS’ policy regarding potential conflicts of interest in the context of investment research and CSLS’ policy on disclosure and conflicts in general are available on request. This document is based on information obtained from sources it believes are reliable but which it has not independently verified. Neither CSLS nor its advisors, directors or employees make any guarantee, representation or warranty as to its accuracy, reasonableness or completeness and neither CSLS nor its advisors, directors or employees accepts any responsibility or liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise) for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this document or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with this document. The opinions contained in thisdocumentare subject tochangewithoutnoticeandnotto bereliedupon andshouldnotbeusedin substitution fortheexerciseofindependent judgment. Past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. Investments may go down in value as well as up and you may not get back the full amount invested. Where an investment is denominated in a currency other than the local currency of the recipient of the research report, changes in the exchange rates may have an adverse effect on the value, price or income of that investment. In case of investments for which there is no recognized market it may be difficult for investors to sell their investments or to obtain reliable information about its value or the extent of the risk to which it is exposed. The information contained in this document is confidential and is solely for use of those persons to whom it is addressed and may not be reproduced, further distributed to any other person or published, in whole or in part, for any purpose. © CSLS 2013. All rights reserved CSL STOCKBROKERS LIMITED Member of the Nigerian Stock Exchange First City Plaza, 44 Marina, PO Box 9117, Lagos State, NIGERIA