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Digging Deeper
Into Key Areas

 Strictly Financials


      Jan. 3 , 2013

                       1
Donald W. Reynolds National Center
    for Business Journalism
    at Arizona State University




               Strictly Financials   2
n    James K. Gentry, Ph.D.
n    Clyde M. Reed Teaching Professor
n    School of Journalism and Mass Communications
n    University of Kansas
n    jgentry@ku.edu




                         Strictly Financials         3
n    Gary Trennepohl, Ph.D.
n    ONEOK Chair and President’s Council Professor of Finance
n    Oklahoma State University
n    Trustee, Oklahoma Teachers Retirement System
n    Member, OSU Foundation Investment Committee
n    gary.trennepohl@okstate.edu




                          Strictly Financials                    4
Topics
n    Goodwill, impairment
n    Pro forma
n    Bank financials
n    Comparing companies: A Changing
      Industry
n    The concepts and your companies


                  Strictly Financials   5
Goodwill, Impairment




         Strictly Financials   6
Goodwill
n    Difference between what a firm pays to buy
      another company and the book value (total
      assets minus total liabilities) of that company.
n    Has been written off over time, typically 40
      years
n    No longer amortize
n    Other intangible assets will continue to be
      amortized over useful lives.


                      Strictly Financials           7
Impairment
n    Instead of writing off over time, now use
      “impairment testing”
n    The impairment is expensed on the
      income statement.




                    Strictly Financials      8
Examples
n    Crocs
n    McClatchy
n    Gannett
n    New York Times
n    HP



                 Strictly Financials   9
Pro Forma




        Strictly Financials   10
Pro Forma Results
n    Critics: Selectively defined earnings
n    Expenses against earnings are not
      standardized across an industry.
n    SEC’s Regulation G (1/03) states that
      non-GAAP numbers used in an
      earnings release must be accompanied
      by, and reconciled with, the “most
      directly comparable GAAP number.”
                   Strictly Financials   11
Pro Forma Results
n    Recommendation: GAAP results should
      precede pro forma results in earnings
      releases.
n    Headlines should show GAAP earnings.
n    Many firms say pro forma has value.
n    Common form: EBITDA. Also, OIBDA.
n    “As a matter of form”

                  Strictly Financials   12
Examples
n    Dow
n    Sprint
n    HP




               Strictly Financials   13
Bank Financial Statements
1.    The business of a bank
2.    The balance sheet
3.    The income statement
4.    Some key financial ratios
5.    Sources of bank data
The Business of a Bank
n    Banks are a “financial intermediary,”
      taking in money from “savers” and
      loaning it out to “investors” - they buy
      and sell money.
n    For most banks, the majority of their
      earnings come from interest income on
      loans, and interest earned on securities.

                     Strictly Financials      15
The Business of a Bank
n    Banks also earn fee income for
      services.
n    Banks’ two main risks are:
      n    Interest-rate risk
      n    “credit risk”




                          Strictly Financials   16
The Income Statement
    Net interest Income
  - Provision for loan losses
 = Net Income after PLL
+/- Net non-interest income
 = Net Income Before Taxes
  - Taxes (many small banks are S corps)
  = Net Income


               Strictly Financials         17
The Bank Balance Sheet
                               Assets                 = Liabilities + Capital
                  n    Cash +                              n     Deposits
Primary Reserve                Fed Funds loaned
                         n 
                                                                   n    Demand Deposits
                  n    Securities                                 n    Savings Deposits
Secondary Res.           n    U.S. Governments                    n    Now/Money Market Accts.
                  n    Loans                                      n    CDs, Time Deposits
                         n    Real Estate                  n     Non-deposit Borrowings
                         n    Commercial                          n    Fed Funds purchased
                         n    Consumer                            n    Repo agreements
                  n    Premises- Fixed                     n     Long term debt
                        Asset                               n     Equity Capital
                  n    Misc. Assets



                                             Strictly Financials                                   18
Three Key Ratios
n    Return on Assets = Net Income/(Avg. Total Assets)
       n  Typically runs around 1.0% to 1.5%

       n  Averages 4 quarters of total assets for the

           denominator to smooth effect of asset swings
n    Return on Equity = (Net Income)/(Equity capital)
       n  Will be different for publicly traded banks versus

           private banks
n    Capitalization Ratio = Equity/(Total Avg. Assets)
       n  Tier 1 Capital should be ≥10%




                         Strictly Financials                19
The Texas Ratio
n    Texas Ratio = (non-performing loans+OREO)
                     Equity + Loan loss Reserves
      n    Think of it as the ratio of troubled loans to “capital”
      n    OREO is Other Real Estate Owned
      n    Early-warning system to measure a bank’s potential for
            failure.
      n    Banks tend to fail as TR approaches 100% (troubled bank)
      n    Don’t get a mortgage loan from a troubled bank.
      n    Data to calculate at http://www2.fdic.gov/sdi/main.asp. Use
            “non-performing assets and bank real estate owned/equity
            and loss reserves”

                              Strictly Financials                   20
Key Issues for Banks in 2013
n    True form and impact of Dodd/Frank Bill
       n    CFPB begins life January 2013, and most rules still being
             written.
       n    CFPB answers only to Fed.
       n    Banks are either OCC; Fed or State/FDIC regulated. How
             will these regulators interact with CFPB?
n    “TAG” =Transaction Account Guaranty expires in
      2012.
       n    FDIC-insurance limits revert to $250,000 maximum.
       n    Will consumers withdraw funds from local banks now?
n    Basel III - More new and complicated rules for calculating
      “risk-based” capital

                               Strictly Financials                   21
Sources of Banking Data
n    The Uniform Bank Performance Report
      (UBPR) is provided by federal
      regulators so analysts can compare
      bank performance against peer groups.
n    Web link:
      n    www.ffiec.gov
n    Another source for large banks is:
      n    www.BankRegData.com
                        Strictly Financials   22
Doing Comparisons
n    Common-size analysis is an excellent
      tool for comparing companies,
      regardless of size.
n    Companies in the same industry might
      have similar or widely differing
      statements. Common size brings out
      those similarities and differences.


                  Strictly Financials    23
Comparing Companies:
A Changing Industry




         Strictly Financials   24
The “Traditional” Companies
n    CVS Caremark
n    Walgreen
n    Rite Aid
n    They’ve been evolving.




                  Strictly Financials   25
Model Is Changing
n    Business models are changing
      everywhere.
n    Pharmacies have been quietly changing
      for the past several years. Now, a
      somewhat new entrant poses a big
      threat.



                  Strictly Financials   26
A “Disruptive Technology”?
n    Express Scripts
n    How will it change, and how will its
      model change the business?
n    Is this an example of a “disruptive
      technology” in the Clayton Christensen
      sense?



                   Strictly Financials    27
The Concepts and
Your Companies
n    What issues do you want to discuss?




                   Strictly Financials      28

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"Digging Deeper" by Jimmy Gentry and Gary Trennepohl

  • 1. Digging Deeper Into Key Areas Strictly Financials Jan. 3 , 2013 1
  • 2. Donald W. Reynolds National Center for Business Journalism at Arizona State University Strictly Financials 2
  • 3. n  James K. Gentry, Ph.D. n  Clyde M. Reed Teaching Professor n  School of Journalism and Mass Communications n  University of Kansas n  jgentry@ku.edu Strictly Financials 3
  • 4. n  Gary Trennepohl, Ph.D. n  ONEOK Chair and President’s Council Professor of Finance n  Oklahoma State University n  Trustee, Oklahoma Teachers Retirement System n  Member, OSU Foundation Investment Committee n  gary.trennepohl@okstate.edu Strictly Financials 4
  • 5. Topics n  Goodwill, impairment n  Pro forma n  Bank financials n  Comparing companies: A Changing Industry n  The concepts and your companies Strictly Financials 5
  • 6. Goodwill, Impairment Strictly Financials 6
  • 7. Goodwill n  Difference between what a firm pays to buy another company and the book value (total assets minus total liabilities) of that company. n  Has been written off over time, typically 40 years n  No longer amortize n  Other intangible assets will continue to be amortized over useful lives. Strictly Financials 7
  • 8. Impairment n  Instead of writing off over time, now use “impairment testing” n  The impairment is expensed on the income statement. Strictly Financials 8
  • 9. Examples n  Crocs n  McClatchy n  Gannett n  New York Times n  HP Strictly Financials 9
  • 10. Pro Forma Strictly Financials 10
  • 11. Pro Forma Results n  Critics: Selectively defined earnings n  Expenses against earnings are not standardized across an industry. n  SEC’s Regulation G (1/03) states that non-GAAP numbers used in an earnings release must be accompanied by, and reconciled with, the “most directly comparable GAAP number.” Strictly Financials 11
  • 12. Pro Forma Results n  Recommendation: GAAP results should precede pro forma results in earnings releases. n  Headlines should show GAAP earnings. n  Many firms say pro forma has value. n  Common form: EBITDA. Also, OIBDA. n  “As a matter of form” Strictly Financials 12
  • 13. Examples n  Dow n  Sprint n  HP Strictly Financials 13
  • 14. Bank Financial Statements 1.  The business of a bank 2.  The balance sheet 3.  The income statement 4.  Some key financial ratios 5.  Sources of bank data
  • 15. The Business of a Bank n  Banks are a “financial intermediary,” taking in money from “savers” and loaning it out to “investors” - they buy and sell money. n  For most banks, the majority of their earnings come from interest income on loans, and interest earned on securities. Strictly Financials 15
  • 16. The Business of a Bank n  Banks also earn fee income for services. n  Banks’ two main risks are: n  Interest-rate risk n  “credit risk” Strictly Financials 16
  • 17. The Income Statement Net interest Income - Provision for loan losses = Net Income after PLL +/- Net non-interest income = Net Income Before Taxes - Taxes (many small banks are S corps) = Net Income Strictly Financials 17
  • 18. The Bank Balance Sheet Assets = Liabilities + Capital n  Cash + n  Deposits Primary Reserve Fed Funds loaned n  n  Demand Deposits n  Securities n  Savings Deposits Secondary Res. n  U.S. Governments n  Now/Money Market Accts. n  Loans n  CDs, Time Deposits n  Real Estate n  Non-deposit Borrowings n  Commercial n  Fed Funds purchased n  Consumer n  Repo agreements n  Premises- Fixed n  Long term debt Asset n  Equity Capital n  Misc. Assets Strictly Financials 18
  • 19. Three Key Ratios n  Return on Assets = Net Income/(Avg. Total Assets) n  Typically runs around 1.0% to 1.5% n  Averages 4 quarters of total assets for the denominator to smooth effect of asset swings n  Return on Equity = (Net Income)/(Equity capital) n  Will be different for publicly traded banks versus private banks n  Capitalization Ratio = Equity/(Total Avg. Assets) n  Tier 1 Capital should be ≥10% Strictly Financials 19
  • 20. The Texas Ratio n  Texas Ratio = (non-performing loans+OREO) Equity + Loan loss Reserves n  Think of it as the ratio of troubled loans to “capital” n  OREO is Other Real Estate Owned n  Early-warning system to measure a bank’s potential for failure. n  Banks tend to fail as TR approaches 100% (troubled bank) n  Don’t get a mortgage loan from a troubled bank. n  Data to calculate at http://www2.fdic.gov/sdi/main.asp. Use “non-performing assets and bank real estate owned/equity and loss reserves” Strictly Financials 20
  • 21. Key Issues for Banks in 2013 n  True form and impact of Dodd/Frank Bill n  CFPB begins life January 2013, and most rules still being written. n  CFPB answers only to Fed. n  Banks are either OCC; Fed or State/FDIC regulated. How will these regulators interact with CFPB? n  “TAG” =Transaction Account Guaranty expires in 2012. n  FDIC-insurance limits revert to $250,000 maximum. n  Will consumers withdraw funds from local banks now? n  Basel III - More new and complicated rules for calculating “risk-based” capital Strictly Financials 21
  • 22. Sources of Banking Data n  The Uniform Bank Performance Report (UBPR) is provided by federal regulators so analysts can compare bank performance against peer groups. n  Web link: n  www.ffiec.gov n  Another source for large banks is: n  www.BankRegData.com Strictly Financials 22
  • 23. Doing Comparisons n  Common-size analysis is an excellent tool for comparing companies, regardless of size. n  Companies in the same industry might have similar or widely differing statements. Common size brings out those similarities and differences. Strictly Financials 23
  • 24. Comparing Companies: A Changing Industry Strictly Financials 24
  • 25. The “Traditional” Companies n  CVS Caremark n  Walgreen n  Rite Aid n  They’ve been evolving. Strictly Financials 25
  • 26. Model Is Changing n  Business models are changing everywhere. n  Pharmacies have been quietly changing for the past several years. Now, a somewhat new entrant poses a big threat. Strictly Financials 26
  • 27. A “Disruptive Technology”? n  Express Scripts n  How will it change, and how will its model change the business? n  Is this an example of a “disruptive technology” in the Clayton Christensen sense? Strictly Financials 27
  • 28. The Concepts and Your Companies n  What issues do you want to discuss? Strictly Financials 28