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April 24, 2012
Charts That Count
US Student Loans - See Any Similarities to the US Housing Market?
$1 trillion (yes with a "t") and counting. US student loans are a prime candidate to be the source of
a future financial crisis with the predictable QE response, bank bail-outs and all around money
supply shenanigans. It is estimated that $85 billion in student debt was delinquent in Q3 of
2011. The use of debt to fund post-secondary education in the US has risen sharply over the
years:




Total U.S. student-loan debt has reached almost $1 trillion.




None of this will come as a surprise to those acquainted with the basic economic concept that you
get more of whatever you subsidize and typically at higher than market clearing prices. So in the
same way that artificially low interest rates and risk subsidies from Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac
drove home ownership rates and prices to unsustainable levels, subsidized loans to students have
lead to the rapid growth in what can only be described as the diploma mill business while at the
same time pushing the cost of such education to stratospheric levels.

Saskatchewan Farmland Values Increase 21% in 2011?
According to the recently released report on farmland values issued by Farm Credit Canada "In the
second half of 2011, farmland values in Saskatchewan increased an average of 10.1%, the highest
average increase across Canada. This followed gains of 11.6% and 2.7% in the previous two
reporting periods, continuing the decade-long trend of price increases that began in 2002. In
Saskatchewan, farmland values increased by an average of 1.8% per month in 2011. The results in
Saskatchewan, which has 40% of Canada's arable land, appear to mirror what's occurring in the
United States, where double-digit increases in farmland values have been reported in several corn
and soybean states."




"The ongoing strength of commodity prices combined with a land market that had historically
increased at a slower rate than in other areas of the country are two contributing factors to the
current value increase. The rising values are also attributed to good seeding and harvest conditions
in most areas of the province, coupled with low interest rates."


Regards

Agcapita


Legal Notice: Copyright material, please do not re-use without consent. The opinions, estimates, projections
and other information contained herein are not intended and are not to be construed as an offer to sell, or a
solicitation to buy any securities, including any exempt market securities, nor shall such opinions, estimates,
projections and other information be considered as investment advice or as a recommendation to enter into
any transaction. Please contact your registered investment adviser for information that is tailored to your
specific needs.
 	
  

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April 24 2012 - Charts that Count

  • 1. April 24, 2012 Charts That Count US Student Loans - See Any Similarities to the US Housing Market? $1 trillion (yes with a "t") and counting. US student loans are a prime candidate to be the source of a future financial crisis with the predictable QE response, bank bail-outs and all around money supply shenanigans. It is estimated that $85 billion in student debt was delinquent in Q3 of 2011. The use of debt to fund post-secondary education in the US has risen sharply over the years: Total U.S. student-loan debt has reached almost $1 trillion. None of this will come as a surprise to those acquainted with the basic economic concept that you
  • 2. get more of whatever you subsidize and typically at higher than market clearing prices. So in the same way that artificially low interest rates and risk subsidies from Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac drove home ownership rates and prices to unsustainable levels, subsidized loans to students have lead to the rapid growth in what can only be described as the diploma mill business while at the same time pushing the cost of such education to stratospheric levels. Saskatchewan Farmland Values Increase 21% in 2011? According to the recently released report on farmland values issued by Farm Credit Canada "In the second half of 2011, farmland values in Saskatchewan increased an average of 10.1%, the highest average increase across Canada. This followed gains of 11.6% and 2.7% in the previous two reporting periods, continuing the decade-long trend of price increases that began in 2002. In Saskatchewan, farmland values increased by an average of 1.8% per month in 2011. The results in Saskatchewan, which has 40% of Canada's arable land, appear to mirror what's occurring in the United States, where double-digit increases in farmland values have been reported in several corn and soybean states." "The ongoing strength of commodity prices combined with a land market that had historically increased at a slower rate than in other areas of the country are two contributing factors to the current value increase. The rising values are also attributed to good seeding and harvest conditions in most areas of the province, coupled with low interest rates." Regards Agcapita Legal Notice: Copyright material, please do not re-use without consent. The opinions, estimates, projections and other information contained herein are not intended and are not to be construed as an offer to sell, or a
  • 3. solicitation to buy any securities, including any exempt market securities, nor shall such opinions, estimates, projections and other information be considered as investment advice or as a recommendation to enter into any transaction. Please contact your registered investment adviser for information that is tailored to your specific needs.