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Chapter 1
Data and Statistics I need
help!
Applications in Economics
Data
Data Sources
Descriptive Statistics
Statistical Inference
Computers and
Statistical Analysis
Applications in Economics
Statistics: a methodology to use data to
learn the “truth.” i.e., Uncover the true
data mechanism
Probability: Branch of mathematics that
models of the truth
In economics, we estimate and test economic models
and their predictions
Use empirical models for prediction,
forecasting, and policy analysis.
Applications in Business
Statistical quality
control charts are used to monitor
the output of a production process.
 Production
Electronic point-of-sale scanners at
retail checkout counters are used to
collect data for a variety of marketing
research applications.
 Marketing
Applications in Finance
Financial advisors use statistical models
to guide their investment advice.
 Finance
Annual Earn/
Company Sales($M) Share($)
Data, Data Sets,
Elements, Variables, and Observations
Dataram 73.10 0.86
EnergySouth 74.00 1.67
Keystone 365.70 0.86
LandCare 111.40 0.33
Psychemedics 17.60 0.13
Variables
Data Set
Element
Names
Dataram
EnergySouth
Keystone
LandCare
Psychemedics
Data and Data Sets
 Data are the facts and figures collected,
summarized, analyzed, and interpreted.
 The data collected in a particular study are referred
to as the data set.
 The elements are the entities on which data are
collected.
 A variable is a characteristic of interest for the elements.
 The set of measurements collected for a particular
element is called an observation.
 The total number of data values in a data set is the
number of elements multiplied by the number of
variables.
Elements, Variables, and Observations
Scales of Measurement
Qualitative Quantitative
Numerical Numerical
Nonnumerical
Data
Nominal Ordinal Nominal Ordinal Interval Ratio
Scales of Measurement
The scale indicates the data summarization and
statistical analyses that are most appropriate.
The scale determines the amount of information
contained in the data.
Scales of measurement include:
Nominal
Ordinal
Interval
Ratio
Scales of Measurement
 Nominal
A nonnumeric label or numeric code may be used.
Data are labels or names used to identify an
attribute of the element.
Example:
Students of a university are classified by the
dorm that they live in using a nonnumeric label
such as Farley, Keenan, Zahm, Breen-Phillips,
and so on.
A numeric code can be used for
the school variable (e.g. 1: Farley, 2: Keenan,
3: Zahm, and so on).
Scales of Measurement
 Nominal
Scales of Measurement
 Ordinal
A nonnumeric label or numeric code may be used.
The data have the properties of nominal data and
the order or rank of the data is meaningful.
Scales of Measurement
 Ordinal
Example:
Students of a university are classified by their
class standing using a nonnumeric label such as
Freshman, Sophomore, Junior, or Senior.
A numeric code can be used for
the class standing variable (e.g. 1 denotes
Freshman, 2 denotes Sophomore, and so on).
Scales of Measurement
 Interval
Interval data are always numeric.
The data have the properties of ordinal data, and
the interval between observations is expressed in
terms of a fixed unit of measure.
Scales of Measurement
 Interval
Example: Average Starting Salary Offer 2003
Economics/Finance: $40,084
History: $32,108
Psychology: $27,454
Econ & Finance majors earn $7,976 more than
History majors and $12,630 more than
Psychology majors.
Source: National Association of Colleges and Employers
Scales of Measurement
 Ratio
The data have all the properties of interval data
and the ratio of two values is meaningful.
Variables such as distance, height, weight, and time
use the ratio scale.
This scale must contain a zero value that indicates
that nothing exists for the variable at the zero point.
Scales of Measurement
 Ratio
Example:
Econ & Finance majors salaries are 1.24 times
History major salaries and are 1.46 times
Psychology major salaries
Data can be qualitative or quantitative.
The appropriate statistical analysis depends
on whether the data for the variable are qualitative
or quantitative.
There are more options for statistical
analysis when the data are quantitative.
Qualitative and Quantitative Data
Qualitative Data
Labels or names used to identify an attribute of each
element. E.g., Black or white, male or female.
Referred to as categorical data
Use either the nominal or ordinal scale of
measurement
Can be either numeric or nonnumeric
Appropriate statistical analyses are rather limited
Quantitative Data
Quantitative data indicate how many or how much:
Discrete, if measuring how many. E.g., number
of 6-packs consumed at tail-gate party
Continuous, if measuring how much. E.g., pounds
of hamburger consumed at tail-gate party
Quantitative data are always numeric.
Ordinary arithmetic operations are meaningful for
quantitative data.
Cross-Sectional Data
Cross-sectional data observations across individuals
at the same point in time.
Example: the growth rate from 1960 to 2004 of
each country in the world (about 182 of them).
Example: wages for head of household in
Indiana
Time Series Data
Time series data are collected over several time
periods.
Example: the sequence of U.S. GDP growth each
Year from 1960 to 2005
Example: the sequence of Professor Mark’s wage
each year from 1983 to 2005.
Data Sources
 Existing Sources
Within a firm – almost any department
Business database services – Dow Jones & Co.
Government agencies - U.S. Department of Labor
Industry associations – Travel Industry Association
of America
Special-interest organizations – Graduate Management
Admission Council
Collect your own
 Statistical Studies
Data Sources
In experimental studies variables of interest
are identified. Then additional factors are
varied to obtain data that tells us how
those factors influence the variables.
In observational (nonexperimental) studies we
cannot control or influence the
variables of interest.
a survey is a
good example
Descriptive Statistics
 Descriptive statistics are the tabular, graphical,
and numerical methods used to summarize data.
Example: Hudson Auto Repair
The manager of Hudson Auto
would like to understand the cost
of parts used in the engine
tune-ups performed in the
shop. She examines 50
customer invoices for tune-ups. The costs of parts,
rounded to the nearest dollar, are listed on the next
slide.
91 78 93 57 75 52 99 80 97 62
71 69 72 89 66 75 79 75 72 76
104 74 62 68 97 105 77 65 80 109
85 97 88 68 83 68 71 69 67 74
62 82 98 101 79 105 79 69 62 73
Example: Hudson Auto Repair
 Sample of Parts Cost for 50 Tune-ups
Tabular Summary:
Frequency and Percent Frequency
50-59
60-69
70-79
80-89
90-99
100-109
2
13
16
7
7
5
50
4
26
32
14
14
10
100
(2/50)100
Parts
Cost ($)
Parts
Frequency
Percent
Frequency
Graphical Summary: Histogram
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
Parts
Cost ($)
Frequency
50-59 60-69 70-79 80-89 90-99 100-110
Tune-up Parts Cost
Numerical Descriptive Statistics
 Hudson’s average cost of parts, based on the 50
tune-ups studied, is $79 (found by summing the
50 cost values and then dividing by 50).
 The most common numerical descriptive statistic
is the average (or sample mean).
Statistical Inference
Population
Sample
Statistical inference
Census
Sample survey
- the set of all elements of interest in a
particular study
- a subset of the population
- the process of using data obtained
from a sample to make estimates
and test hypotheses about the
characteristics of a population
- collecting data for a population
- collecting data for a sample
Process of Statistical Inference
1. Population
consists of all
tune-ups. Average
cost of parts is
unknown.
2. A sample of 50
engine tune-ups
is examined.
3. The sample data
provide a sample
average parts cost
of $79 per tune-up.
4. The sample average
is used to estimate the
population average.

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Lecture 1.ppt

  • 1.
  • 2. Chapter 1 Data and Statistics I need help! Applications in Economics Data Data Sources Descriptive Statistics Statistical Inference Computers and Statistical Analysis
  • 3. Applications in Economics Statistics: a methodology to use data to learn the “truth.” i.e., Uncover the true data mechanism Probability: Branch of mathematics that models of the truth In economics, we estimate and test economic models and their predictions Use empirical models for prediction, forecasting, and policy analysis.
  • 4. Applications in Business Statistical quality control charts are used to monitor the output of a production process.  Production Electronic point-of-sale scanners at retail checkout counters are used to collect data for a variety of marketing research applications.  Marketing
  • 5. Applications in Finance Financial advisors use statistical models to guide their investment advice.  Finance
  • 6. Annual Earn/ Company Sales($M) Share($) Data, Data Sets, Elements, Variables, and Observations Dataram 73.10 0.86 EnergySouth 74.00 1.67 Keystone 365.70 0.86 LandCare 111.40 0.33 Psychemedics 17.60 0.13 Variables Data Set Element Names Dataram EnergySouth Keystone LandCare Psychemedics
  • 7. Data and Data Sets  Data are the facts and figures collected, summarized, analyzed, and interpreted.  The data collected in a particular study are referred to as the data set.
  • 8.  The elements are the entities on which data are collected.  A variable is a characteristic of interest for the elements.  The set of measurements collected for a particular element is called an observation.  The total number of data values in a data set is the number of elements multiplied by the number of variables. Elements, Variables, and Observations
  • 9. Scales of Measurement Qualitative Quantitative Numerical Numerical Nonnumerical Data Nominal Ordinal Nominal Ordinal Interval Ratio
  • 10. Scales of Measurement The scale indicates the data summarization and statistical analyses that are most appropriate. The scale determines the amount of information contained in the data. Scales of measurement include: Nominal Ordinal Interval Ratio
  • 11. Scales of Measurement  Nominal A nonnumeric label or numeric code may be used. Data are labels or names used to identify an attribute of the element.
  • 12. Example: Students of a university are classified by the dorm that they live in using a nonnumeric label such as Farley, Keenan, Zahm, Breen-Phillips, and so on. A numeric code can be used for the school variable (e.g. 1: Farley, 2: Keenan, 3: Zahm, and so on). Scales of Measurement  Nominal
  • 13. Scales of Measurement  Ordinal A nonnumeric label or numeric code may be used. The data have the properties of nominal data and the order or rank of the data is meaningful.
  • 14. Scales of Measurement  Ordinal Example: Students of a university are classified by their class standing using a nonnumeric label such as Freshman, Sophomore, Junior, or Senior. A numeric code can be used for the class standing variable (e.g. 1 denotes Freshman, 2 denotes Sophomore, and so on).
  • 15. Scales of Measurement  Interval Interval data are always numeric. The data have the properties of ordinal data, and the interval between observations is expressed in terms of a fixed unit of measure.
  • 16. Scales of Measurement  Interval Example: Average Starting Salary Offer 2003 Economics/Finance: $40,084 History: $32,108 Psychology: $27,454 Econ & Finance majors earn $7,976 more than History majors and $12,630 more than Psychology majors. Source: National Association of Colleges and Employers
  • 17. Scales of Measurement  Ratio The data have all the properties of interval data and the ratio of two values is meaningful. Variables such as distance, height, weight, and time use the ratio scale. This scale must contain a zero value that indicates that nothing exists for the variable at the zero point.
  • 18. Scales of Measurement  Ratio Example: Econ & Finance majors salaries are 1.24 times History major salaries and are 1.46 times Psychology major salaries
  • 19. Data can be qualitative or quantitative. The appropriate statistical analysis depends on whether the data for the variable are qualitative or quantitative. There are more options for statistical analysis when the data are quantitative. Qualitative and Quantitative Data
  • 20. Qualitative Data Labels or names used to identify an attribute of each element. E.g., Black or white, male or female. Referred to as categorical data Use either the nominal or ordinal scale of measurement Can be either numeric or nonnumeric Appropriate statistical analyses are rather limited
  • 21. Quantitative Data Quantitative data indicate how many or how much: Discrete, if measuring how many. E.g., number of 6-packs consumed at tail-gate party Continuous, if measuring how much. E.g., pounds of hamburger consumed at tail-gate party Quantitative data are always numeric. Ordinary arithmetic operations are meaningful for quantitative data.
  • 22. Cross-Sectional Data Cross-sectional data observations across individuals at the same point in time. Example: the growth rate from 1960 to 2004 of each country in the world (about 182 of them). Example: wages for head of household in Indiana
  • 23. Time Series Data Time series data are collected over several time periods. Example: the sequence of U.S. GDP growth each Year from 1960 to 2005 Example: the sequence of Professor Mark’s wage each year from 1983 to 2005.
  • 24. Data Sources  Existing Sources Within a firm – almost any department Business database services – Dow Jones & Co. Government agencies - U.S. Department of Labor Industry associations – Travel Industry Association of America Special-interest organizations – Graduate Management Admission Council Collect your own
  • 25.  Statistical Studies Data Sources In experimental studies variables of interest are identified. Then additional factors are varied to obtain data that tells us how those factors influence the variables. In observational (nonexperimental) studies we cannot control or influence the variables of interest. a survey is a good example
  • 26. Descriptive Statistics  Descriptive statistics are the tabular, graphical, and numerical methods used to summarize data.
  • 27. Example: Hudson Auto Repair The manager of Hudson Auto would like to understand the cost of parts used in the engine tune-ups performed in the shop. She examines 50 customer invoices for tune-ups. The costs of parts, rounded to the nearest dollar, are listed on the next slide.
  • 28. 91 78 93 57 75 52 99 80 97 62 71 69 72 89 66 75 79 75 72 76 104 74 62 68 97 105 77 65 80 109 85 97 88 68 83 68 71 69 67 74 62 82 98 101 79 105 79 69 62 73 Example: Hudson Auto Repair  Sample of Parts Cost for 50 Tune-ups
  • 29. Tabular Summary: Frequency and Percent Frequency 50-59 60-69 70-79 80-89 90-99 100-109 2 13 16 7 7 5 50 4 26 32 14 14 10 100 (2/50)100 Parts Cost ($) Parts Frequency Percent Frequency
  • 30. Graphical Summary: Histogram 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 Parts Cost ($) Frequency 50-59 60-69 70-79 80-89 90-99 100-110 Tune-up Parts Cost
  • 31. Numerical Descriptive Statistics  Hudson’s average cost of parts, based on the 50 tune-ups studied, is $79 (found by summing the 50 cost values and then dividing by 50).  The most common numerical descriptive statistic is the average (or sample mean).
  • 32. Statistical Inference Population Sample Statistical inference Census Sample survey - the set of all elements of interest in a particular study - a subset of the population - the process of using data obtained from a sample to make estimates and test hypotheses about the characteristics of a population - collecting data for a population - collecting data for a sample
  • 33. Process of Statistical Inference 1. Population consists of all tune-ups. Average cost of parts is unknown. 2. A sample of 50 engine tune-ups is examined. 3. The sample data provide a sample average parts cost of $79 per tune-up. 4. The sample average is used to estimate the population average.