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1 of 7
- Valapet Badri
1
Objectives
High frequency quantitative modeling and trading
in US stocks(NYSE and NASDAQ Markets)
Achieve this in an optimal time frame and
generate revenue stream for the firm
2
Critical Success Factors
Availability of tools and information in proper
format
The most liquid stocks tick information would be
available initially as a snapshot
Sufficient infrastructure and Statistical software (S-
plus /Matlab) are available to perform quant.
Analysis.
My goal initially would be to focus on
establishing a basic environment
Minimal amount of time to be spent on pure
IT allied endeavors although they are
important for overall success of the project
3
Facts & AdvantagesThere are other Hi-frequency hedge funds who have been in
operation for 8+ years and are ahead in terms of experience
and models for quant analysis and trading strategies
There are no standard textbooks for this areas that provide a
guide to success
How to take advantage and address gaps?
Develop High Frequency model that utilizes
recent developments in stock market
Existing time tested quant principles and recent academic
developments
“Get the right mix of industry models and academic models and
generate revenue within optimal time frame”
4
Example approaches
Models under the framework of Engle (2000) such as
Exponential ACD model, UHF-GARCH and more.
Bayesian Inference via Filtering for Model
 Continuous-time Likelihood, Posterior, and Bayes Factors
 Filtering Equations and Evolution Equations for Bayes
Factors
Two Computational Approaches and their Consistency
 The Markov Chain Approx. Method and nearly likelihood
etc.
 Particle Filtering (or Sequential Monte Carlo)
A Micro movement Model
 Random-arrival-time State Space Model
More Financial and Market Microstructure Applications
(Frequentist approaches – interpolation, averaging, Splines)
5
Next steps
Establishing a basic environment and acquire necessary
tools and infrastructure(details will be provided)
Explore promising approaches suggested to come up
with a quantitative model and transformation of the tick
level information.
Follow current industry trend and use a mix of Engle(Rob
Engle- Nobel laureate) type of time series analysis and other
approaches to generate revenue
6
Next steps
Establishing a basic environment and acquire necessary
tools and infrastructure(details will be provided)
Explore promising approaches suggested to come up
with a quantitative model and transformation of the tick
level information.
Follow current industry trend and use a mix of Engle(Rob
Engle- Nobel laureate) type of time series analysis and other
approaches to generate revenue
6

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High Frequency Trading Model Development

  • 2. Objectives High frequency quantitative modeling and trading in US stocks(NYSE and NASDAQ Markets) Achieve this in an optimal time frame and generate revenue stream for the firm 2
  • 3. Critical Success Factors Availability of tools and information in proper format The most liquid stocks tick information would be available initially as a snapshot Sufficient infrastructure and Statistical software (S- plus /Matlab) are available to perform quant. Analysis. My goal initially would be to focus on establishing a basic environment Minimal amount of time to be spent on pure IT allied endeavors although they are important for overall success of the project 3
  • 4. Facts & AdvantagesThere are other Hi-frequency hedge funds who have been in operation for 8+ years and are ahead in terms of experience and models for quant analysis and trading strategies There are no standard textbooks for this areas that provide a guide to success How to take advantage and address gaps? Develop High Frequency model that utilizes recent developments in stock market Existing time tested quant principles and recent academic developments “Get the right mix of industry models and academic models and generate revenue within optimal time frame” 4
  • 5. Example approaches Models under the framework of Engle (2000) such as Exponential ACD model, UHF-GARCH and more. Bayesian Inference via Filtering for Model  Continuous-time Likelihood, Posterior, and Bayes Factors  Filtering Equations and Evolution Equations for Bayes Factors Two Computational Approaches and their Consistency  The Markov Chain Approx. Method and nearly likelihood etc.  Particle Filtering (or Sequential Monte Carlo) A Micro movement Model  Random-arrival-time State Space Model More Financial and Market Microstructure Applications (Frequentist approaches – interpolation, averaging, Splines) 5
  • 6. Next steps Establishing a basic environment and acquire necessary tools and infrastructure(details will be provided) Explore promising approaches suggested to come up with a quantitative model and transformation of the tick level information. Follow current industry trend and use a mix of Engle(Rob Engle- Nobel laureate) type of time series analysis and other approaches to generate revenue 6
  • 7. Next steps Establishing a basic environment and acquire necessary tools and infrastructure(details will be provided) Explore promising approaches suggested to come up with a quantitative model and transformation of the tick level information. Follow current industry trend and use a mix of Engle(Rob Engle- Nobel laureate) type of time series analysis and other approaches to generate revenue 6