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BY
TRISHALA BHAN
๏ƒ’ Origin and
characteristics of
INR
๏ƒ’ Analysis of
Indian Rupee Vs US
Dollars since 2005
The Indian currency Rupee has been derived
from a Sanskrit word.
Ancient India was the earliest issuers of coins(6th century
BC)
Over the next few centuries as empires rose and fell the
coinage system reflected the dynasties,socio-political
events,Gods,nature etc
Sher Shah Suri during his 5 year rule issued silver coins and called
them โ€˜Rupaiyaโ€™.
It remained in use for Mughal,Maratha and british era.
Acute shortage of coins durin WW1
led to printing of notes.
During political unrest of 18th century
agency houses developed banks
which printed their own currencies.
In 1858 British gained control of 100
princely states which led to the coins
having images of British Monarchs
After independence the currencies
issued have been:Ashokan Pillar
and Mahatama Gandhi banknotes
The Govt
on advice
of Indiaโ€™s
central
bank i.e.
RBI
decides on
various
denominati
ons to be
issued
Coins are
minted
by the
Govt and
RBIโ€™s
role is
only to
distribute
it.
Faced 2
devaluation
s in 1966
and 1991
Each note has
17 languages
Its made of
cotton and cotton
rag
Has security
features like
watemark
window, security
thread etc
Latest symbol
was adopted in
2010
2005 44.01
2006 45.17
2007 41.20
2008 43.41
2009 48.32
2010 45.65
2011 46.61
2012 53.34
2013 58.52
YEAR
Indian currency system is a hybrid exchange system i.e.
it allows exchange rate to flow in a particular direction
until a particular range beyond which the Government
intervenes.
The various factors affecting the exchange rate of INR Vs
USD are :
Interest Rates: Higher interest rates attract foreign capital to
India which means supply of dollars.
RBI: If rupee value appreciates RBI buys Dollars,while it
sells Dollars if rupee value depreciates.
Huge Trade Deficits: Indiaโ€™s import > exports which has led
to trade deficit.It widened to 40,000 cr in 2013 due to ever
increasing imports which further increased Dollar demand
and led to its further appreciation as compared to rupee
iv. Lower Capital Inflows: Various policis,restrictions
etc have reduced the foreign inflows
v . Crude oil prices: India is major crude oil
importerโ€ฆ.Increase in oil prices leads to inflation.It
means more Dollars required to pay the price.This
results in reduction of rupees worth as compared to
dollars.
vi. Forex reserves: The level of forex reserves In india is
expressed in Dollars.Hence when USD appreciates as
compared to rupee the forex reserve declines.
vii. Relative Inflation Rate: Inflation rate and interest
rates have inverse relationships.Given the slowdown in
India the โ€˜cost pushโ€™ rather than โ€˜demand pullโ€™ is
increasing inflation further. This in turn is leading to
appreciation of USD as compared to INR
Indian rupee om

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Indian rupee om

  • 2. ๏ƒ’ Origin and characteristics of INR ๏ƒ’ Analysis of Indian Rupee Vs US Dollars since 2005
  • 3. The Indian currency Rupee has been derived from a Sanskrit word. Ancient India was the earliest issuers of coins(6th century BC) Over the next few centuries as empires rose and fell the coinage system reflected the dynasties,socio-political events,Gods,nature etc Sher Shah Suri during his 5 year rule issued silver coins and called them โ€˜Rupaiyaโ€™. It remained in use for Mughal,Maratha and british era.
  • 4. Acute shortage of coins durin WW1 led to printing of notes. During political unrest of 18th century agency houses developed banks which printed their own currencies. In 1858 British gained control of 100 princely states which led to the coins having images of British Monarchs After independence the currencies issued have been:Ashokan Pillar and Mahatama Gandhi banknotes
  • 5. The Govt on advice of Indiaโ€™s central bank i.e. RBI decides on various denominati ons to be issued Coins are minted by the Govt and RBIโ€™s role is only to distribute it. Faced 2 devaluation s in 1966 and 1991 Each note has 17 languages Its made of cotton and cotton rag Has security features like watemark window, security thread etc Latest symbol was adopted in 2010
  • 6. 2005 44.01 2006 45.17 2007 41.20 2008 43.41 2009 48.32 2010 45.65 2011 46.61 2012 53.34 2013 58.52 YEAR
  • 7. Indian currency system is a hybrid exchange system i.e. it allows exchange rate to flow in a particular direction until a particular range beyond which the Government intervenes. The various factors affecting the exchange rate of INR Vs USD are : Interest Rates: Higher interest rates attract foreign capital to India which means supply of dollars. RBI: If rupee value appreciates RBI buys Dollars,while it sells Dollars if rupee value depreciates. Huge Trade Deficits: Indiaโ€™s import > exports which has led to trade deficit.It widened to 40,000 cr in 2013 due to ever increasing imports which further increased Dollar demand and led to its further appreciation as compared to rupee
  • 8. iv. Lower Capital Inflows: Various policis,restrictions etc have reduced the foreign inflows v . Crude oil prices: India is major crude oil importerโ€ฆ.Increase in oil prices leads to inflation.It means more Dollars required to pay the price.This results in reduction of rupees worth as compared to dollars. vi. Forex reserves: The level of forex reserves In india is expressed in Dollars.Hence when USD appreciates as compared to rupee the forex reserve declines. vii. Relative Inflation Rate: Inflation rate and interest rates have inverse relationships.Given the slowdown in India the โ€˜cost pushโ€™ rather than โ€˜demand pullโ€™ is increasing inflation further. This in turn is leading to appreciation of USD as compared to INR