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Tamohara Investment Managers - Monthly Newsletter March 2015
As an investment team we believe in the influence of long term structural changes which can have a profound
impact over a period of time and change the course of action for Individuals, Corporates and Societies. In this
Newsletter, we have attempted to list down some structural changes witnessed by India in last few months
which make us confident that the next few years would unleash tremendous opportunities for entrepreneurship
and wealth creation
An Emerging Indian Society: Young, Confident and Decisive
Social media is transformational in many aspects but its power to change the way we Communicate, Network
and Convey our thoughts has unleashed a revolution in the entire world. India, with its young population has
been not been left untouched. We witnessed a silent revolution driven by impact of social media which in turn
will have a deep impact in the way our country is governed for next many years to come.
One of the biggest change in world’s largest democracy is the emerging significance of the Power of Vote. Indian
citizens understood the authority of electorate and “TO VOTE” became the new trend and Inked Finger became
a new status symbol. As the revolution unfolded we saw voting percentages soar in election after election, The
Power of democracy finally lead to a clearly decisive mandate for growth and prosperity.
Another extraordinary event unfolded in last in last couple of years was the Rise of a Common Man to become
the Chief Minister of a state in the shortest possible time, ever seen in the history of Indian politics. A change
which was By the People, Of the People and For the People.
We have never witnessed changes of this magnitude in the Indian political system and this clearly reflects the
appetite to bring change for growth and prosperity.
Policy Environment - Good Governance, Transparency and Growth
Last week the new government announced its first full-fledged Budget and we believe that it delivered on the
strategic policy direction moving towards Transparency and Good Governance to achieve long term growth
targets. We believe that the government is focussed towards building strong foundation to deliver sustainable
growth over a longer period of time.
We do like the overall policy direction and goal setting done by the government since they came into power
and we think steps like replacing Planning Commission with National Institution of Transforming India (NITI)
promoting cooperative federalism with states, Digital India movement to leverage on technology to connect
government with the citizens, Swachh Bharat Abhiyan, Jan Dhan Yojana which has already delivered 125mn
bank accounts, Complete deregulation of Diesel Prices, and Make in India campaign to increase manufacturing
in India and improve Ease of doing business are all steps in right direction. We think the biggest game changer
could be Direct Benefit Transfer (DBT) of subsidies which is already under successful implementation with LPG
subsidy for 100mn citizens being transferred directly in their bank accounts. We agree with the economic
survey that a large part of subsidy is still being utilised by the affluent and efficient subsidy management can go
a long way in structurally improving the finances of the government. The efforts focus towards Infrastructure
and Investment revival is being initiated with increase in FDI in Defence, Construction, Railways, Proposed Land
Ordinance Bill and Successful Auction of Coal Mines. The Railway ministry is also aiming to improve efficiencies,
upgrade infrastructure, increase capacity utilisations and focus on customer satisfaction.
Strictly confidential. Please do not redistribute.
Budget 2015- A Step Forward
Budget 2015 was a step further in the same direction and had a lot of ideas which if implemented well could
have a long term positive impact on Indian Economy. We highlight few strategic ideas from the budget which
we believe will be catalyst for future growth
- A Clear roadmap to implement GST from 1 April 2016 – This could be a big game changer for the Indian
economy
- Focus towards Ease of Doing business and promote entrepreneurship
o Quick resolution of commercial disputes- To set up separate commercial division within court
o Proposal to introduce Public Contracts (Resolution of Disputes) Bill- Step to make
Government Accountable
o Comprehensive Bankruptcy Code of global standards
o Proposed Draft legislation to address the issue of multiple permissions before setting up a
business
- Improved tax compliance and curbing Black Money in the system
o New Provision in Law to deal with Black Money stashed abroad
o Benami Transactions (Prohibition) Amendment Bill – A Step towards unlocking domestic black
money
o Prohibition of acceptance or payment Rs 20,000 or more in cash for Purchase of immovable
property and mandatory quoting of PAN for purchase or sale exceeding Rs1 lac – To curb black
money transactions in Real estate
o Removal of Wealth tax – simplification and tax collection efficiency
o Roadmap for simplification of corporate taxes over next 4 years – Reduce tax rate to 25% and
rationalise exemptions to reduce disputes
- Rebuilding Confidence of Global Investors
o Deferment of GAAR by 2 years to resolve contentious issues and to clarify that it will apply
prospectively
o Rationalisation of MAT provision for FII investment
o Tax pass through and foreign investments for AIF’s, REITS
o Modification of Permanent Establishment Norms
o Removal of distinction between FDI and FPI- composite cap
- Revival of investment cycle and ease of financing
o PPP to be revitalised with more onus on Government
o Push for plug and play infrastructure projects – announced 5 UMPP
o Setting up of Public Debt Management Agency to develop Bond Market in India and bring
India’s external and domestic debt under one roof
- Merger of FMC with SEBI to promote a robust commodities market
- Gold Monetisation and Sovereign Gold Bond
- Autonomous Bank Board Bureau- To improve the governance of public sector bank, a step towards
establishing holding and investment company for banks
As we move ahead, we do understand that successful execution of the ideas and strategies will determine
success, however we believe that tailwinds due to fall in global commodity prices, benign inflation and falling
interest rates, coupled with clear policy direction and a strong government, will act as catalysts in India’s growth
for many years to come
Strictly confidential. Please do not redistribute.
Disclaimer
This document has been prepared by Tamohara Investment Managers Private Limited (“Tamohara”) and is provided to you for information only. This document
does not constitute a prospectus, offer, invitation or solicitation and is not intended to provide the sole basis for any evaluation of the investment product or
any other matters discussed in this document. This document is made available to you because Tamohara believes that you have sufficient knowledge,
experience and/or professional advice to understand and make your own independent evaluation of the risks and rewards of the investments and/or other
matters discussed in this document and to make your own independent decision whether to implement the same. Any view expressed in the document is
generic and not a personal recommendation and/or advice. It does not consider your risk tolerance, financial situation, knowledge and experience. Please
discuss with your investment advisor if you seek advice on whether the proposed investment product are appropriate for you. The investments discussed in this
document may not be suitable for all investors. Investments are subject to market risk. There can be no assurance or guarantee that any investment will achieve
any particular return. Unless expressly stated, products are not guaranteed by Tamohara or their affiliates or any government entity. Past performance is not
necessarily an indicator of future performance. Actual results may vary significantly from the forward looking statements contained in this document due to
various risks and uncertainties, including the effect of economic and political conditions in India and outside India, volatility in interest rates and the securities
market, new regulations and government policies that may impact the business of Tamohara as well as its ability to implement the strategy. The information
contained in this document has been obtained from sources that Tamohara believes are reliable but Tamohara do not represent or warrant that it is accurate
or complete, and such information may be incomplete or condensed. Neither Tamohara, nor any affiliate, nor any of their respective officers, directors, partners,
or employees accepts any liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any upon this document or its contents, or for any omission. The
views in this document are generally those of Tamohara and are subject to change without notice, and Tamohara has no obligation to update its views or the
information in this document. Tamohara or its affiliates may have acted upon or have made use of material in this document prior to its publication. Tamohara
does not provide legal or tax advice and should you deem it necessary to obtain such advice, you should approach independent professional tax or legal advisors
to obtain the same. This document is confidential and may not be reproduced or disclosed (in whole or part) to any other person without our prior written
permission. The manner of distribution of this document and the availability of the products may be restricted by law or regulation in certain countries and
persons who come into possession of this document are required to inform themselves of and observe such restrictions. This document is not directed to, nor
intended for distribution or use by, any person or entity in any jurisdiction or country where the publication or availability of this document or such distribution
or use would be contrary to local law or regulation, including for the avoidance of doubt the US. The contents of this document have not been reviewed by any
regulatory authority in India or in any other jurisdiction. If you have any doubt about any of the contents of this document, you should obtain independent
professional advice. The product strategies mentioned in the document may change depending upon the market conditions and the same may not be relevant
in future. The sector(s)/stock(s)/issuer(s) mentioned in this document do not constitute any recommendation of the same and Tamohara or its directors, officers,
partners or employees may or may not have any position in these sector(s)/stock(s)/issuer(s)

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Tamohara Investment Newsletter - March'15

  • 1. Strictly confidential. Please do not redistribute. Tamohara Investment Managers - Monthly Newsletter March 2015 As an investment team we believe in the influence of long term structural changes which can have a profound impact over a period of time and change the course of action for Individuals, Corporates and Societies. In this Newsletter, we have attempted to list down some structural changes witnessed by India in last few months which make us confident that the next few years would unleash tremendous opportunities for entrepreneurship and wealth creation An Emerging Indian Society: Young, Confident and Decisive Social media is transformational in many aspects but its power to change the way we Communicate, Network and Convey our thoughts has unleashed a revolution in the entire world. India, with its young population has been not been left untouched. We witnessed a silent revolution driven by impact of social media which in turn will have a deep impact in the way our country is governed for next many years to come. One of the biggest change in world’s largest democracy is the emerging significance of the Power of Vote. Indian citizens understood the authority of electorate and “TO VOTE” became the new trend and Inked Finger became a new status symbol. As the revolution unfolded we saw voting percentages soar in election after election, The Power of democracy finally lead to a clearly decisive mandate for growth and prosperity. Another extraordinary event unfolded in last in last couple of years was the Rise of a Common Man to become the Chief Minister of a state in the shortest possible time, ever seen in the history of Indian politics. A change which was By the People, Of the People and For the People. We have never witnessed changes of this magnitude in the Indian political system and this clearly reflects the appetite to bring change for growth and prosperity. Policy Environment - Good Governance, Transparency and Growth Last week the new government announced its first full-fledged Budget and we believe that it delivered on the strategic policy direction moving towards Transparency and Good Governance to achieve long term growth targets. We believe that the government is focussed towards building strong foundation to deliver sustainable growth over a longer period of time. We do like the overall policy direction and goal setting done by the government since they came into power and we think steps like replacing Planning Commission with National Institution of Transforming India (NITI) promoting cooperative federalism with states, Digital India movement to leverage on technology to connect government with the citizens, Swachh Bharat Abhiyan, Jan Dhan Yojana which has already delivered 125mn bank accounts, Complete deregulation of Diesel Prices, and Make in India campaign to increase manufacturing in India and improve Ease of doing business are all steps in right direction. We think the biggest game changer could be Direct Benefit Transfer (DBT) of subsidies which is already under successful implementation with LPG subsidy for 100mn citizens being transferred directly in their bank accounts. We agree with the economic survey that a large part of subsidy is still being utilised by the affluent and efficient subsidy management can go a long way in structurally improving the finances of the government. The efforts focus towards Infrastructure and Investment revival is being initiated with increase in FDI in Defence, Construction, Railways, Proposed Land Ordinance Bill and Successful Auction of Coal Mines. The Railway ministry is also aiming to improve efficiencies, upgrade infrastructure, increase capacity utilisations and focus on customer satisfaction.
  • 2. Strictly confidential. Please do not redistribute. Budget 2015- A Step Forward Budget 2015 was a step further in the same direction and had a lot of ideas which if implemented well could have a long term positive impact on Indian Economy. We highlight few strategic ideas from the budget which we believe will be catalyst for future growth - A Clear roadmap to implement GST from 1 April 2016 – This could be a big game changer for the Indian economy - Focus towards Ease of Doing business and promote entrepreneurship o Quick resolution of commercial disputes- To set up separate commercial division within court o Proposal to introduce Public Contracts (Resolution of Disputes) Bill- Step to make Government Accountable o Comprehensive Bankruptcy Code of global standards o Proposed Draft legislation to address the issue of multiple permissions before setting up a business - Improved tax compliance and curbing Black Money in the system o New Provision in Law to deal with Black Money stashed abroad o Benami Transactions (Prohibition) Amendment Bill – A Step towards unlocking domestic black money o Prohibition of acceptance or payment Rs 20,000 or more in cash for Purchase of immovable property and mandatory quoting of PAN for purchase or sale exceeding Rs1 lac – To curb black money transactions in Real estate o Removal of Wealth tax – simplification and tax collection efficiency o Roadmap for simplification of corporate taxes over next 4 years – Reduce tax rate to 25% and rationalise exemptions to reduce disputes - Rebuilding Confidence of Global Investors o Deferment of GAAR by 2 years to resolve contentious issues and to clarify that it will apply prospectively o Rationalisation of MAT provision for FII investment o Tax pass through and foreign investments for AIF’s, REITS o Modification of Permanent Establishment Norms o Removal of distinction between FDI and FPI- composite cap - Revival of investment cycle and ease of financing o PPP to be revitalised with more onus on Government o Push for plug and play infrastructure projects – announced 5 UMPP o Setting up of Public Debt Management Agency to develop Bond Market in India and bring India’s external and domestic debt under one roof - Merger of FMC with SEBI to promote a robust commodities market - Gold Monetisation and Sovereign Gold Bond - Autonomous Bank Board Bureau- To improve the governance of public sector bank, a step towards establishing holding and investment company for banks As we move ahead, we do understand that successful execution of the ideas and strategies will determine success, however we believe that tailwinds due to fall in global commodity prices, benign inflation and falling interest rates, coupled with clear policy direction and a strong government, will act as catalysts in India’s growth for many years to come
  • 3. Strictly confidential. Please do not redistribute. Disclaimer This document has been prepared by Tamohara Investment Managers Private Limited (“Tamohara”) and is provided to you for information only. This document does not constitute a prospectus, offer, invitation or solicitation and is not intended to provide the sole basis for any evaluation of the investment product or any other matters discussed in this document. This document is made available to you because Tamohara believes that you have sufficient knowledge, experience and/or professional advice to understand and make your own independent evaluation of the risks and rewards of the investments and/or other matters discussed in this document and to make your own independent decision whether to implement the same. Any view expressed in the document is generic and not a personal recommendation and/or advice. It does not consider your risk tolerance, financial situation, knowledge and experience. Please discuss with your investment advisor if you seek advice on whether the proposed investment product are appropriate for you. The investments discussed in this document may not be suitable for all investors. Investments are subject to market risk. There can be no assurance or guarantee that any investment will achieve any particular return. Unless expressly stated, products are not guaranteed by Tamohara or their affiliates or any government entity. Past performance is not necessarily an indicator of future performance. Actual results may vary significantly from the forward looking statements contained in this document due to various risks and uncertainties, including the effect of economic and political conditions in India and outside India, volatility in interest rates and the securities market, new regulations and government policies that may impact the business of Tamohara as well as its ability to implement the strategy. The information contained in this document has been obtained from sources that Tamohara believes are reliable but Tamohara do not represent or warrant that it is accurate or complete, and such information may be incomplete or condensed. Neither Tamohara, nor any affiliate, nor any of their respective officers, directors, partners, or employees accepts any liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any upon this document or its contents, or for any omission. The views in this document are generally those of Tamohara and are subject to change without notice, and Tamohara has no obligation to update its views or the information in this document. Tamohara or its affiliates may have acted upon or have made use of material in this document prior to its publication. Tamohara does not provide legal or tax advice and should you deem it necessary to obtain such advice, you should approach independent professional tax or legal advisors to obtain the same. This document is confidential and may not be reproduced or disclosed (in whole or part) to any other person without our prior written permission. The manner of distribution of this document and the availability of the products may be restricted by law or regulation in certain countries and persons who come into possession of this document are required to inform themselves of and observe such restrictions. This document is not directed to, nor intended for distribution or use by, any person or entity in any jurisdiction or country where the publication or availability of this document or such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation, including for the avoidance of doubt the US. The contents of this document have not been reviewed by any regulatory authority in India or in any other jurisdiction. If you have any doubt about any of the contents of this document, you should obtain independent professional advice. The product strategies mentioned in the document may change depending upon the market conditions and the same may not be relevant in future. The sector(s)/stock(s)/issuer(s) mentioned in this document do not constitute any recommendation of the same and Tamohara or its directors, officers, partners or employees may or may not have any position in these sector(s)/stock(s)/issuer(s)