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Coronaimpacts
industryoutlook
It’s a compilation of information form many sources
By Grey And White
Contoso
Pharmaceuticals
Coronavirushasnow
affectedover1,18,000
peopleworldwide,and
causednearly4,300deaths,
withinfectionsonevery
continentexceptAntarctica.
India
COVID-19 cases surpass 1,000-mark
on March 29; death toll rises to 27
But Overall a good statistics so far.
Contoso
Pharmaceuticals
Peak Demand touches lower while
Spot Prices go down
Power demanddropsas
offices staypluggedout
Contoso
Pharmaceuticals
A u t o m a ke r s , s m a r t p h o n e m a ke r s , c o n s u m e r
e l e c t r o n i c f i r m s , a p p l i a n c e m a j o r s a n d m a n y
o t h e r s h a v e o r d e r e d s h u t d o w n s t i l l m o n t h - e n d
Manufacturing grindstoa
haltinkeysectors
Contoso
Pharmaceuticals
Contoso
PharmaceuticalsYour
Name
Who are you?
Why are you qualified to present today?
EXPORT ORIENTED BUSINESSES
Textile
Con Exports will be hit asWest is badly affected.
PROS There can be shift of focus from China to India
Exports of fish and meat
CON Will remain impacted for a while.
PROS Will normalise as theVirus Scare goes away
Cement
CON Demand is shrunk with project sites locked-down
PROS Lower energy prices
Oil producers
Russia and Middle East, two largest producers and exporters of oil have increased production.
This has reduced the price of oil sharply.This is putting pressure on levered oil producers
Contoso
Pharmaceuticals
Construction
Over 30% construction workers have already stopped reporting to
work at sites due to fear of infection.
Across the country, around 18,000 projects are under construction
and are impacted by these developments.
8
At this point, no property registrations are taking place and all
new project launches are postponed
Contoso
Pharmaceuticals
REALESTATE-RESIDENTIAL
"This is a time when AV technology to enable virtual
site visits and walk-throughs will gain increased
relevance and use,"
- Anuj Puri, Chairman , Anarock
"We too have begun to see a dip in traffic on all our
platforms,“
-Dhruv Agarwala, Group CEO, Housing.com and
PropTiger.com
“Complete lockdown means lesser sales since most of
the transaction closures happen only after site visits.
Housing prices have corrected by 15-20 per cent in
the last few years and further decline is unlikely,”
- Shalin Raina , MD- Residential Services, Cushman and
Wakefield
9
"Housing sales may see a sharp dip for at least the next one quarter... Even if the situation settles down quickly,
it may take time for homebuyers to come back to the market,“ - Anurag Mathur, CEO Savills
Contoso
Pharmaceuticals
INDUSTRYSENTIMENT
“Shops and malls across India
are closed and demand too is
down. Hence the factory closure
will not impact business much,”
-Kamal Nandi, business head at
Godrej Appliances
“In an extreme case such as a
complete shutdown of all
factories by all industries for
one month, we estimate that
real manufacturing GVA would
fall by a sharp 5% in FY21”
-Sachchidanand Shukla, chief
economist, Mahindra Group
Pharma companies in panic
mode as lockdown hits supply
chain
Contoso
Pharmaceuticals
Nomura economist Robert Subbaraman
“Indiahadafactorgoingforitwhichwaskeepingthescourgeat
bay.Indiadoesnothaveastronglinkswith Chinaintermsofvisitor
arrivalsandsoforthinsomeoftheseotherAsiancountriesbutalso
theeconomicspill-oversfromChinaontoIndiaarenotsevere.”
-Nomura economist Robert Subbaraman
Contoso
Pharmaceuticals
Nomura economist Robert Subbaraman
(a)ThesegmentswhereIndiadependsonChinaforimports—like
electronics,chemicals,pharmaceutical,solar—arelikelytosee
supply-sideshocks
(b)Anegativedemandimpactcouldbejustamatteroftimefor
IndiaincasetheworldeconomyslowsdownbecauseofChina.
-Nomura economist Sonal Verma
Contoso
Pharmaceuticals
C O MPENSATIO N
• Consulting Firms including Big 4 defer promotions, appraisals, bonuses
and salaries amid virus crisis
• Construction dependent companies see their annual revenue erode by 8-
10% due to lockdown, salary cuts, deferred salary revisions and
promotions are being decided.
• In Financial Services : Insurance companies are little less impacted and
expect to continue with growth
• most of the banks are badly hit due to growing NPAs, and NPAs may
increase in number due to economic crunch
Contoso
Pharmaceuticals
JO B MARKET
• Consumer, retail and services sectors (travel, tourism, hospitality,
logistics) can shed ONE LAC JOBS
• Manufacturing, power, infrastructure, mining, agriculture and
construction will shrink by about 70,000 including unorganised
sectors
• E Logistics and E Commerce will continue to hire
• Pharma, FMCG and the telecom hiring will be up

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Covid19 impacts various industries

  • 1. Coronaimpacts industryoutlook It’s a compilation of information form many sources By Grey And White
  • 3.
  • 4. Contoso Pharmaceuticals Peak Demand touches lower while Spot Prices go down Power demanddropsas offices staypluggedout
  • 5. Contoso Pharmaceuticals A u t o m a ke r s , s m a r t p h o n e m a ke r s , c o n s u m e r e l e c t r o n i c f i r m s , a p p l i a n c e m a j o r s a n d m a n y o t h e r s h a v e o r d e r e d s h u t d o w n s t i l l m o n t h - e n d Manufacturing grindstoa haltinkeysectors
  • 7. Contoso PharmaceuticalsYour Name Who are you? Why are you qualified to present today? EXPORT ORIENTED BUSINESSES Textile Con Exports will be hit asWest is badly affected. PROS There can be shift of focus from China to India Exports of fish and meat CON Will remain impacted for a while. PROS Will normalise as theVirus Scare goes away Cement CON Demand is shrunk with project sites locked-down PROS Lower energy prices Oil producers Russia and Middle East, two largest producers and exporters of oil have increased production. This has reduced the price of oil sharply.This is putting pressure on levered oil producers
  • 8. Contoso Pharmaceuticals Construction Over 30% construction workers have already stopped reporting to work at sites due to fear of infection. Across the country, around 18,000 projects are under construction and are impacted by these developments. 8 At this point, no property registrations are taking place and all new project launches are postponed
  • 9. Contoso Pharmaceuticals REALESTATE-RESIDENTIAL "This is a time when AV technology to enable virtual site visits and walk-throughs will gain increased relevance and use," - Anuj Puri, Chairman , Anarock "We too have begun to see a dip in traffic on all our platforms,“ -Dhruv Agarwala, Group CEO, Housing.com and PropTiger.com “Complete lockdown means lesser sales since most of the transaction closures happen only after site visits. Housing prices have corrected by 15-20 per cent in the last few years and further decline is unlikely,” - Shalin Raina , MD- Residential Services, Cushman and Wakefield 9 "Housing sales may see a sharp dip for at least the next one quarter... Even if the situation settles down quickly, it may take time for homebuyers to come back to the market,“ - Anurag Mathur, CEO Savills
  • 10. Contoso Pharmaceuticals INDUSTRYSENTIMENT “Shops and malls across India are closed and demand too is down. Hence the factory closure will not impact business much,” -Kamal Nandi, business head at Godrej Appliances “In an extreme case such as a complete shutdown of all factories by all industries for one month, we estimate that real manufacturing GVA would fall by a sharp 5% in FY21” -Sachchidanand Shukla, chief economist, Mahindra Group Pharma companies in panic mode as lockdown hits supply chain
  • 11.
  • 12. Contoso Pharmaceuticals Nomura economist Robert Subbaraman “Indiahadafactorgoingforitwhichwaskeepingthescourgeat bay.Indiadoesnothaveastronglinkswith Chinaintermsofvisitor arrivalsandsoforthinsomeoftheseotherAsiancountriesbutalso theeconomicspill-oversfromChinaontoIndiaarenotsevere.” -Nomura economist Robert Subbaraman
  • 13. Contoso Pharmaceuticals Nomura economist Robert Subbaraman (a)ThesegmentswhereIndiadependsonChinaforimports—like electronics,chemicals,pharmaceutical,solar—arelikelytosee supply-sideshocks (b)Anegativedemandimpactcouldbejustamatteroftimefor IndiaincasetheworldeconomyslowsdownbecauseofChina. -Nomura economist Sonal Verma
  • 14. Contoso Pharmaceuticals C O MPENSATIO N • Consulting Firms including Big 4 defer promotions, appraisals, bonuses and salaries amid virus crisis • Construction dependent companies see their annual revenue erode by 8- 10% due to lockdown, salary cuts, deferred salary revisions and promotions are being decided. • In Financial Services : Insurance companies are little less impacted and expect to continue with growth • most of the banks are badly hit due to growing NPAs, and NPAs may increase in number due to economic crunch
  • 15. Contoso Pharmaceuticals JO B MARKET • Consumer, retail and services sectors (travel, tourism, hospitality, logistics) can shed ONE LAC JOBS • Manufacturing, power, infrastructure, mining, agriculture and construction will shrink by about 70,000 including unorganised sectors • E Logistics and E Commerce will continue to hire • Pharma, FMCG and the telecom hiring will be up