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MONTHLY REPORT
ROLLOVER 28 SEP 2019
1
DERIVATIVES MONTHLY ROLLOVERREPORT
SEPTEMBER EXPIRY DERIVATIVESSUMMARY
The Nifty moved in a broader range of 1,000 points in
September series as it started with a good amount of short
positions where the benchmark index breached the
previous expiry month's low and corrected in the first
fortnight of the series.
The fall was on the back of a short build-up and we didn't
see any noticeable short-covering till the middle of the
month. However, the index started rebounding in the
second half of the series and managed to close almost 10
percent higher from the month’s low of 10,670.
The Nifty has seen 73 percent of rollover for October
series, which is almost 10 percent higher than the last
series of rollover data (68 percent). At the same time, the
rollover is almost equal to 3-month average of 73.6 percent
and 6-month average of 73 percent.
NIFTY SEPTEMBER SERIES OPTION
DATA
Moreover, broader range of the Nifty Rollover percent data
in the last six month is still 65 to 80 percent, while in F&O
stocks Grasim Industries, Mahanagar Gas, Glenmark,
BOSCH , Marico, Petronet LNG and M&M Financial
saw the highest rollover of more than 98 percent.
Research Desk – Rollover
Report
28 SEPTEMBER 2019
2
Nifty Rollover Vs Marketwide Rollover
ROLLOVER SYNOPSIS
Marketwide rolls were near 51.01% vs. 3M average of 51.66%
Nifty rolls were at 38.29% against the 3M average of 38.51%
Highest rollover was seen in Berger Paints, Piramal Enterprises, Bata India, UPL and CESC
Rollover activity was relatively low in HCL Technology, ONGC, Vedanta, Coal India and Voltas
SECTOR INSIGHTS:
Telecom, Oil_Gas, Banking, Power and Infrastructure sectors witnessed higher rollovers compared to same day of previous
expiry.
Textile, Technology, Automobile, Metals and sectors witnessed lower rollovers compared to same day of previous expiry.
Highest rollover in current expiry: Realty, Fertilisers, Pharma, Cement and Media.
Lowest rollover in current expiry: Textile, Technology, Telecom, Power and FMCG.
Research Desk – Rollover
Report
28 SEPTEMBER 2019
Research Desk – Rollover
Report
28 SEPTEMBER 2019
2
OCTOBER SERIES OUTLOOK
The Nifty is starting the new series with less than 1.5
million shares, which is second lowest Nifty OI ever seen
in last 3 years. The significantly lower OI can be attributed
to the closure seen among short positions in the last week.
The roll spread has also increased gradually towards 60
points in the settlement suggesting lack of short rollover
into new series.
The Nifty traded with a negative bias in most part of the
series and tested lows of 106300 on penultimate
Thursday. However, announcement of corporate tax cut
triggered sharp rally of almost 900 points and Nifty finally
settles the series with almost 5% gains near 11550 levels.
INDICES SEPTEMBER SERIES
OPTION DATA
On the options front, the new series is starting with the
major Call and Put base at 115 strikes indicating some
range bound movement in the coming sessions. However,
we believe major support for the Nifty should be
considered near 11200-11250 levels, above which one
should trade with positive bias. On the higher side,
intermediate highs of 11700 is likely to remain an
intermediate hurdle
Average OI Current Previous
Symbol
Current
Rollover %
Previous
Rollover %
6 Month Avg
Rollover %
3 Month Avg
Rollover %
Current OI Total OI Roll Cost % Roll Cost %
Bank Nifty 57.62 66.41 75.5 74.6 675960 1594860 0.76 0.49
Nifty 73.08 68.76 73.8 74.3 5707125 21196500 0.53 0.53
2
Top Stock Rollovers
Stock Rollover_% 6_Month_Avg
GRASIM 99.46 93.31
CIPLA 99.31 89.33
PEL 99.29 89.45
BIOCON 99.21 91.57
DIVISLAB 99.17 92.6
MGL 99.08 94.11
GLENMARK 99.05 95.17
LUPIN 98.97 89.41
ADANIENT 98.95 97.57
M&MFIN 98.87 94.32
CADILAHC 98.64 95.56
BOSCHLTD 98.56 94.25
BANKBARODA 98.54 89.52
DLF 98.42 87.65
PIDILITIND 98.4 93.26
UPL 98.29 84.24
AUROPHARMA 98.28 93.24
MARICO 98.25 92.48
BHARATFORG 98.22 95.02
UNIONBANK 98.22 97.46
DISHTV 98.21 95.35
BERGEPAINT 98.16 94.79
PETRONET 98.15 91.57
MOTHERSUMI 98.08 93
OIL 98.05 90.92
PAGEIND 97.91 90.45
AMBUJACEM 97.81 91.59
TORNTPOWER 97.75 90.29
SAIL 97.74 91.69
IDFCFIRSTB 97.62 95.3
Research Desk – Rollover
Report
28 SEPTEMBER 2019
2
Bottom Stock Rollovers
Stock Rollover_% 6_Month_Avg
APOLLOHOSP 62.8 94.42
INFRATEL 72.39 86.5
UBL 74.74 95.93
HINDUNILVR 78.34 89.93
TORNTPHARM 80.53 85.3
INFY 81.03 89.32
VOLTAS 83.16 92.81
VEDL 83.7 90.3
NESTLEIND 84.27 93.8
MARUTI 84.72 88.84
MINDTREE 84.79 89.1
ICICIBANK 84.9 85.09
ADANIPORTS 85.19 85.06
JUBLFOOD 85.2 94.27
UJJIVAN 86.21 93.91
JUSTDIAL 86.82 91.81
INDIGO 86.95 83.27
KOTAKBANK 87.35 81.52
APOLLOTYRE 87.63 89.35
COALINDIA 87.94 77.3
HDFCBANK 88.13 80.7
NTPC 88.98 76.45
MFSL 89.6 93.83
HAVELLS 89.61 89.32
BRITANNIA 89.94 82.82
CHOLAFIN 90.13 91.83
NIITTECH 90.42 82.36
ASIANPAINT 90.56 87.63
CENTURYTEX 90.7 98.01
HEROMOTOCO 90.84 87.98
Research Desk – Rollover
Report
28 SEPTEMBER 2019
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Monthly report rollover

  • 2. 1 DERIVATIVES MONTHLY ROLLOVERREPORT SEPTEMBER EXPIRY DERIVATIVESSUMMARY The Nifty moved in a broader range of 1,000 points in September series as it started with a good amount of short positions where the benchmark index breached the previous expiry month's low and corrected in the first fortnight of the series. The fall was on the back of a short build-up and we didn't see any noticeable short-covering till the middle of the month. However, the index started rebounding in the second half of the series and managed to close almost 10 percent higher from the month’s low of 10,670. The Nifty has seen 73 percent of rollover for October series, which is almost 10 percent higher than the last series of rollover data (68 percent). At the same time, the rollover is almost equal to 3-month average of 73.6 percent and 6-month average of 73 percent. NIFTY SEPTEMBER SERIES OPTION DATA Moreover, broader range of the Nifty Rollover percent data in the last six month is still 65 to 80 percent, while in F&O stocks Grasim Industries, Mahanagar Gas, Glenmark, BOSCH , Marico, Petronet LNG and M&M Financial saw the highest rollover of more than 98 percent. Research Desk – Rollover Report 28 SEPTEMBER 2019
  • 3. 2 Nifty Rollover Vs Marketwide Rollover ROLLOVER SYNOPSIS Marketwide rolls were near 51.01% vs. 3M average of 51.66% Nifty rolls were at 38.29% against the 3M average of 38.51% Highest rollover was seen in Berger Paints, Piramal Enterprises, Bata India, UPL and CESC Rollover activity was relatively low in HCL Technology, ONGC, Vedanta, Coal India and Voltas SECTOR INSIGHTS: Telecom, Oil_Gas, Banking, Power and Infrastructure sectors witnessed higher rollovers compared to same day of previous expiry. Textile, Technology, Automobile, Metals and sectors witnessed lower rollovers compared to same day of previous expiry. Highest rollover in current expiry: Realty, Fertilisers, Pharma, Cement and Media. Lowest rollover in current expiry: Textile, Technology, Telecom, Power and FMCG. Research Desk – Rollover Report 28 SEPTEMBER 2019
  • 4. Research Desk – Rollover Report 28 SEPTEMBER 2019 2 OCTOBER SERIES OUTLOOK The Nifty is starting the new series with less than 1.5 million shares, which is second lowest Nifty OI ever seen in last 3 years. The significantly lower OI can be attributed to the closure seen among short positions in the last week. The roll spread has also increased gradually towards 60 points in the settlement suggesting lack of short rollover into new series. The Nifty traded with a negative bias in most part of the series and tested lows of 106300 on penultimate Thursday. However, announcement of corporate tax cut triggered sharp rally of almost 900 points and Nifty finally settles the series with almost 5% gains near 11550 levels. INDICES SEPTEMBER SERIES OPTION DATA On the options front, the new series is starting with the major Call and Put base at 115 strikes indicating some range bound movement in the coming sessions. However, we believe major support for the Nifty should be considered near 11200-11250 levels, above which one should trade with positive bias. On the higher side, intermediate highs of 11700 is likely to remain an intermediate hurdle Average OI Current Previous Symbol Current Rollover % Previous Rollover % 6 Month Avg Rollover % 3 Month Avg Rollover % Current OI Total OI Roll Cost % Roll Cost % Bank Nifty 57.62 66.41 75.5 74.6 675960 1594860 0.76 0.49 Nifty 73.08 68.76 73.8 74.3 5707125 21196500 0.53 0.53
  • 5. 2 Top Stock Rollovers Stock Rollover_% 6_Month_Avg GRASIM 99.46 93.31 CIPLA 99.31 89.33 PEL 99.29 89.45 BIOCON 99.21 91.57 DIVISLAB 99.17 92.6 MGL 99.08 94.11 GLENMARK 99.05 95.17 LUPIN 98.97 89.41 ADANIENT 98.95 97.57 M&MFIN 98.87 94.32 CADILAHC 98.64 95.56 BOSCHLTD 98.56 94.25 BANKBARODA 98.54 89.52 DLF 98.42 87.65 PIDILITIND 98.4 93.26 UPL 98.29 84.24 AUROPHARMA 98.28 93.24 MARICO 98.25 92.48 BHARATFORG 98.22 95.02 UNIONBANK 98.22 97.46 DISHTV 98.21 95.35 BERGEPAINT 98.16 94.79 PETRONET 98.15 91.57 MOTHERSUMI 98.08 93 OIL 98.05 90.92 PAGEIND 97.91 90.45 AMBUJACEM 97.81 91.59 TORNTPOWER 97.75 90.29 SAIL 97.74 91.69 IDFCFIRSTB 97.62 95.3 Research Desk – Rollover Report 28 SEPTEMBER 2019
  • 6. 2 Bottom Stock Rollovers Stock Rollover_% 6_Month_Avg APOLLOHOSP 62.8 94.42 INFRATEL 72.39 86.5 UBL 74.74 95.93 HINDUNILVR 78.34 89.93 TORNTPHARM 80.53 85.3 INFY 81.03 89.32 VOLTAS 83.16 92.81 VEDL 83.7 90.3 NESTLEIND 84.27 93.8 MARUTI 84.72 88.84 MINDTREE 84.79 89.1 ICICIBANK 84.9 85.09 ADANIPORTS 85.19 85.06 JUBLFOOD 85.2 94.27 UJJIVAN 86.21 93.91 JUSTDIAL 86.82 91.81 INDIGO 86.95 83.27 KOTAKBANK 87.35 81.52 APOLLOTYRE 87.63 89.35 COALINDIA 87.94 77.3 HDFCBANK 88.13 80.7 NTPC 88.98 76.45 MFSL 89.6 93.83 HAVELLS 89.61 89.32 BRITANNIA 89.94 82.82 CHOLAFIN 90.13 91.83 NIITTECH 90.42 82.36 ASIANPAINT 90.56 87.63 CENTURYTEX 90.7 98.01 HEROMOTOCO 90.84 87.98 Research Desk – Rollover Report 28 SEPTEMBER 2019
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