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DAILY
COMMODITY
7 November 2019
REOPORT
TECHNICAL OUTLOOK
BULLION
Gold prices inched higher in the previous session but broadly is
stuck in the broad range of $1,470 and $1,520 for the last one
month. In the recent past, updates related to trade talks between
the US and China is creating further confusion in the market.
There has been few twists and turns in the past fewweeks, like
APEC meet in Chile being canceled, China putting up a clause that
it will sign the “Phase one” deal only when it gets firmer US
commitments on lifting tariffs, and now US officials commenting
todelay the meeting between both the leaders could support
precious metal prices. The meeting between both the country
leaders which was expected in thismonth, could be delayed until
December. There is still optimism in the comments of both the
countries officials although the continuous delay in the meeting is
keeping market participants on the edge. All eyes will be on the
BOE policy meet that is scheduled later today, a dovish
commentary is expected although no major change in rates is
expected. Today, gold on MCX is expected to quote in range of
₹38,050 and ₹38,550.
ENERGY
Crude prices remained steady in morning session after sliding
1.5% in yesterday’s session after reports of OPEC+ countries
won’t be going for deeper oil-supply cuts when OPEC meets in
Dec. Markets were once again worried on worries after
unconfirmed news that long-awaited interim deal to dial back
crippling U.S.-China trade war could be delayed. Reports suggest
that China want U.S. to drop 15% tariffs on about $125 billion
worth of Chinese goods that went into effect on Sept. 1. They are
also seeking relief from earlier 25% tariffs on about $250 billion of
imports from machinery. To add to pressure, EIA data showed a
build of 7.93 bpd compared with expectation for 1.5Mbpd build.
Gasoline and distillate inventories dropped 2.8 Mbpd and
622,000Bpd which gave some support to prices.U.S. crude
exports fell nearly 1 Mbpd.Refinery crude runs fell by 237,000Bpd
and Refinery utilization rates fell by 1.7% to 86% of total
capacity.The drop-off in refining utilization and slump in exports
are tied to reduced tanker availability due to U.S. sanctions on
Chinese shipping firm COSCO.
INTERNATIONAL MARKET
TODAY’S DATA
7 November 2019
2
TECHNICAL OUTLOOK
BASE METALS
Base metals complex remained flat but markets were once again worried on worries after unconfirmed news that long-
awaited interim deal to dial back a crippling U.S.-China trade war could be delayed. For Copper, Chile’s mine reports suggest
that companies have mostly maintained production and kept operations running normally in face of weeks of unrest.
Meanwhile, China’s output of stainless steel raw material nickel pig iron will be reduced after ban on nickel ore exports from
Indonesia and can have a knock-on effect on production of Nickel. Lead prices fell as rising stockpiles in China and falling
premiums for nearby material on LME pointed to a better supplied market.Lead inventories in ShFE warehouses have ticked
up to 21,411 tonnes from around 15,500 a month ago. LME Stock were at 70,000 tonnes are also up from 10-year lows
around 55,000 tonnes in July.
7 November 2019
3
7 November 2019
GOLD
4
7 November 2019
NICKEL
5
7 November 2019
NATURAL GAS
6
7 November 2019
COPPER
7
7 November 2019
ZINC
7
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Daily commodity report

  • 2. TECHNICAL OUTLOOK BULLION Gold prices inched higher in the previous session but broadly is stuck in the broad range of $1,470 and $1,520 for the last one month. In the recent past, updates related to trade talks between the US and China is creating further confusion in the market. There has been few twists and turns in the past fewweeks, like APEC meet in Chile being canceled, China putting up a clause that it will sign the “Phase one” deal only when it gets firmer US commitments on lifting tariffs, and now US officials commenting todelay the meeting between both the leaders could support precious metal prices. The meeting between both the country leaders which was expected in thismonth, could be delayed until December. There is still optimism in the comments of both the countries officials although the continuous delay in the meeting is keeping market participants on the edge. All eyes will be on the BOE policy meet that is scheduled later today, a dovish commentary is expected although no major change in rates is expected. Today, gold on MCX is expected to quote in range of ₹38,050 and ₹38,550. ENERGY Crude prices remained steady in morning session after sliding 1.5% in yesterday’s session after reports of OPEC+ countries won’t be going for deeper oil-supply cuts when OPEC meets in Dec. Markets were once again worried on worries after unconfirmed news that long-awaited interim deal to dial back crippling U.S.-China trade war could be delayed. Reports suggest that China want U.S. to drop 15% tariffs on about $125 billion worth of Chinese goods that went into effect on Sept. 1. They are also seeking relief from earlier 25% tariffs on about $250 billion of imports from machinery. To add to pressure, EIA data showed a build of 7.93 bpd compared with expectation for 1.5Mbpd build. Gasoline and distillate inventories dropped 2.8 Mbpd and 622,000Bpd which gave some support to prices.U.S. crude exports fell nearly 1 Mbpd.Refinery crude runs fell by 237,000Bpd and Refinery utilization rates fell by 1.7% to 86% of total capacity.The drop-off in refining utilization and slump in exports are tied to reduced tanker availability due to U.S. sanctions on Chinese shipping firm COSCO. INTERNATIONAL MARKET TODAY’S DATA 7 November 2019
  • 3. 2 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK BASE METALS Base metals complex remained flat but markets were once again worried on worries after unconfirmed news that long- awaited interim deal to dial back a crippling U.S.-China trade war could be delayed. For Copper, Chile’s mine reports suggest that companies have mostly maintained production and kept operations running normally in face of weeks of unrest. Meanwhile, China’s output of stainless steel raw material nickel pig iron will be reduced after ban on nickel ore exports from Indonesia and can have a knock-on effect on production of Nickel. Lead prices fell as rising stockpiles in China and falling premiums for nearby material on LME pointed to a better supplied market.Lead inventories in ShFE warehouses have ticked up to 21,411 tonnes from around 15,500 a month ago. LME Stock were at 70,000 tonnes are also up from 10-year lows around 55,000 tonnes in July. 7 November 2019
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