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COMMODITY
REPORT BASE METAL
19 October
2019
1
BASE METAL REPORT
19 October 2019
COMMODITY REPORT BULLION -
GOLDFactors Influencing the Market
The London Metal Exchange’s cash-settled alumina futures contract, which is settled
against a basket of prices that includes Fastmarkets’ index, traded for the first time on
Thursday October 17.
TECHNICALANALYSIS
(ALUMINIUM)
The last few sessions ended up in sideways trend along with some corrections inside the channel.
The market is expected to continue on the bearish momentum based on the current price action,
once the same breaks below a key support holding at 133. The downside rally could be testing all
the way through 132-130 levels in the upcoming sessions. Alternatively, if key support holds
strong then the market might retest the same and turn bullish. The upside rally could test up to
136 level. Key resistance holds at 136.
RESEARCH RECOMMENDATION
SELL BELOW 133 TARGET 132-130 STOP LOSS 134.50
1
BASE METAL REPORT
19 October 2019
COMMODITY REPORT BULLION -
GOLDFactors Influencing the Market
The London Metal Exchange three-month copper price was subdued during the morning
trading session on Friday October 18 despite significant outflows and a large fresh
cancelation of material.
TECHNICALANALYSIS
(COPPER)
The last few sessions been in sideways trend along with some corrections inside the channel. The market
is expected to continue on bearish momentum based on the current price action, once the same breaks
below a key support holding at 436. The downside rally could be testing all the way through 432-425
levels in the upcoming sessions. Alternatively, if the key support holds strong then the market might
retest the same and turn bullish once again. The upside rally could test up to 445 level. Key resistance
holds at 445.
RESEARCH RECOMMENDATION
SELL BELOW 436 TARGET 432-425 STOP LOSS 439
1
BASE METAL REPORT
19 October 2019
COMMODITY REPORT BULLION -
GOLDFactors Influencing the Market
Lead stocks rose by 25.2% or 3,936 tonnes in the seven days from October 11 to 19,558
tonnes. The largest inflow in lead inventories was registered at Zhejiang Tianchuan
warehouse in Zhejiang, at 2,511 tonnes or 72.8% of its stocks. This brought its.
TECHNICALANALYSIS
(LEAD)
The last few sessions ended up in sideways trend along with some corrections inside the channel. The
market is expected to continue on bullish momentum based on the current price action, once the same
breaks above a key resistance holding at 157. The upside rally could be testing all the way up to 158-160
levels in the upcoming sessions. Alternatively, if the key resistance holds strong then the market might
retest the same and turn bearish once again. The downside rally could test up to 152 level. Key support
holds at 152.
RESEARCH RECOMMENDATION
BUY ABOVE 157 TARGET 158-160 STOP LOSS 156
1
BASE METAL REPORT
19 October 2019
COMMODITY REPORT BULLION -
GOLDFactors Influencing the Market
“Nickel has started to fall, on the one hand reflecting the lack of buyers in the physical market, but
with yet another 4,000 tonnes of warrants cancelled leaving just over 50,000 tonnes of available
stocks,” Kingdom Futures chief executive officer Malcolm Freeman said in a morning note.
TECHNICALANALYSIS
(NICKEL)
The last few sessions been in sideways trend along with some corrections inside the channel. The market
is expected to continue on the bearish term based on the current price action, once the same breaks
below a key support holding at 1168. The downside rally could be testing all the way through 1150-1130
levels in the upcoming sessions. Alternatively, if the key support holds strong then the market might
retest the same and turn bullish. The upside rally could test up to 1220 level. Key resistance holds at
1220.
RESEARCH RECOMMENDATION
SELL BELOW 1168 TARGET 1150-1130 STOP LOSS 1180
1
BASE METAL REPORT
19 October 2019
COMMODITY REPORT BULLION -
GOLDFactors Influencing the Market
The most-traded December zinc contract on the SHFE stood at 18,905 yuan ($2,670) per
tonne as at 10.26am Shanghai time, down by 165 yuan per tonne from Tuesday’s close
of 19,070 yuan per tonne.
TECHNICALANALYSIS
(ZINC)
The last few sessions ended up sideways in trend along with some corrections inside the channel. The
market is expected to continue on bullish momentum based on the current price action, once the same
breaks above a key resistance holding at 185.50. The upside rally could be testing all the way through
187-189 levels in the upcoming sessions. Alternatively, if the key resistance holds strong then the
market might retest the same and turn bearish once again. The downside rally could test up to 180 level.
Key support holds at 180.
RESEARCH RECOMMENDATION
BUY ABOVE 185.50 TARGET 187-189 STOP LOSS 184
3
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Commodity report base metal

  • 2. 1 BASE METAL REPORT 19 October 2019 COMMODITY REPORT BULLION - GOLDFactors Influencing the Market The London Metal Exchange’s cash-settled alumina futures contract, which is settled against a basket of prices that includes Fastmarkets’ index, traded for the first time on Thursday October 17. TECHNICALANALYSIS (ALUMINIUM) The last few sessions ended up in sideways trend along with some corrections inside the channel. The market is expected to continue on the bearish momentum based on the current price action, once the same breaks below a key support holding at 133. The downside rally could be testing all the way through 132-130 levels in the upcoming sessions. Alternatively, if key support holds strong then the market might retest the same and turn bullish. The upside rally could test up to 136 level. Key resistance holds at 136. RESEARCH RECOMMENDATION SELL BELOW 133 TARGET 132-130 STOP LOSS 134.50
  • 3. 1 BASE METAL REPORT 19 October 2019 COMMODITY REPORT BULLION - GOLDFactors Influencing the Market The London Metal Exchange three-month copper price was subdued during the morning trading session on Friday October 18 despite significant outflows and a large fresh cancelation of material. TECHNICALANALYSIS (COPPER) The last few sessions been in sideways trend along with some corrections inside the channel. The market is expected to continue on bearish momentum based on the current price action, once the same breaks below a key support holding at 436. The downside rally could be testing all the way through 432-425 levels in the upcoming sessions. Alternatively, if the key support holds strong then the market might retest the same and turn bullish once again. The upside rally could test up to 445 level. Key resistance holds at 445. RESEARCH RECOMMENDATION SELL BELOW 436 TARGET 432-425 STOP LOSS 439
  • 4. 1 BASE METAL REPORT 19 October 2019 COMMODITY REPORT BULLION - GOLDFactors Influencing the Market Lead stocks rose by 25.2% or 3,936 tonnes in the seven days from October 11 to 19,558 tonnes. The largest inflow in lead inventories was registered at Zhejiang Tianchuan warehouse in Zhejiang, at 2,511 tonnes or 72.8% of its stocks. This brought its. TECHNICALANALYSIS (LEAD) The last few sessions ended up in sideways trend along with some corrections inside the channel. The market is expected to continue on bullish momentum based on the current price action, once the same breaks above a key resistance holding at 157. The upside rally could be testing all the way up to 158-160 levels in the upcoming sessions. Alternatively, if the key resistance holds strong then the market might retest the same and turn bearish once again. The downside rally could test up to 152 level. Key support holds at 152. RESEARCH RECOMMENDATION BUY ABOVE 157 TARGET 158-160 STOP LOSS 156
  • 5. 1 BASE METAL REPORT 19 October 2019 COMMODITY REPORT BULLION - GOLDFactors Influencing the Market “Nickel has started to fall, on the one hand reflecting the lack of buyers in the physical market, but with yet another 4,000 tonnes of warrants cancelled leaving just over 50,000 tonnes of available stocks,” Kingdom Futures chief executive officer Malcolm Freeman said in a morning note. TECHNICALANALYSIS (NICKEL) The last few sessions been in sideways trend along with some corrections inside the channel. The market is expected to continue on the bearish term based on the current price action, once the same breaks below a key support holding at 1168. The downside rally could be testing all the way through 1150-1130 levels in the upcoming sessions. Alternatively, if the key support holds strong then the market might retest the same and turn bullish. The upside rally could test up to 1220 level. Key resistance holds at 1220. RESEARCH RECOMMENDATION SELL BELOW 1168 TARGET 1150-1130 STOP LOSS 1180
  • 6. 1 BASE METAL REPORT 19 October 2019 COMMODITY REPORT BULLION - GOLDFactors Influencing the Market The most-traded December zinc contract on the SHFE stood at 18,905 yuan ($2,670) per tonne as at 10.26am Shanghai time, down by 165 yuan per tonne from Tuesday’s close of 19,070 yuan per tonne. TECHNICALANALYSIS (ZINC) The last few sessions ended up sideways in trend along with some corrections inside the channel. The market is expected to continue on bullish momentum based on the current price action, once the same breaks above a key resistance holding at 185.50. The upside rally could be testing all the way through 187-189 levels in the upcoming sessions. Alternatively, if the key resistance holds strong then the market might retest the same and turn bearish once again. The downside rally could test up to 180 level. Key support holds at 180. RESEARCH RECOMMENDATION BUY ABOVE 185.50 TARGET 187-189 STOP LOSS 184
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