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North Pointe Sales Meeting
Working in a
Changing Market
How to keep your sanity when those
around you are losing it
1
November 7, 2023
Homesale Complete Services
2
Dan Ranck
Cell: (717) 271-2400
NMLS # 140989
James Ream
Cell: (484) 824-3630
NMLS # 1598468
4.96 / 5
2022 Average
Survey Score
Why a Government Loan May be Best For a
“Good” Borrower
• Mortgage Insurance
 FHA & USDA both have standard MI rates for everyone
 VA does not have any type of monthly MI
 Conv MI rates vary based on LTV, credit score, number of
borrowers, location, property type and DTI
 Due to these factors, the government program rates are often
lower for the average first time home buyer
 The average life of a mortgage is 7-8 years, due to refinancing or
selling. Most higher LTV Conventional loans do not benefit from
their MI going away in this time frames
3
Why a Government Loan May be Best For a
“Good” Borrower
Example: $250,000 home purchase, for a single borrower with a
680 credit score
4
$176.39 in monthly savings with FHA instead of Conventional
-OR-
Borrower could afford a house that is $25,000 more
FHA Monthly MI
$110.57
Conv Monthly MI
$286.96
Why a Government Loan May be Best For a
“Good” Borrower
• Higher Debt-to-Income (DTI) Limits
 FHA and VA both allow DTI’s of up to 55%
 When might this be a great option:
o They already own a home and want to buy
before they sell (no current FHA loan)
o Not all of their income sources are able to be
used at this time
o Conv loans are usually limited to a DTI of
about 45%, so a borrower could qualify for a
larger purchase price using FHA
5
Why a Government Loan May be Best For a
“Good” Borrower
• Past Credit Issues
 Conventional loans have the
strictest and longest timeframes
for past credit issues such as
Foreclosure, Short Sale and
Bankruptcy
 A government loan is the best
option to get your buyer in a
home sooner
6
But What About the Appraisal?
• If a property is in decent condition
and/or built within the past forty
years, this shouldn’t be a concern
• Options exist such as switching to a
Conventional Loan (if applicable) or
doing a 203K Renovation Loan
7
Homesale Complete Services
8
Sarah Tompos
(717) 587-7666
stompos@homesale.com
Alexis Mull
amull@homesale.com
9
10
11
Homesale Complete Services
12
James White
(717) 575-4014
JamesWhite@homesale.com
13
14
15
16
October Peak Performers
17
October Peak Performers
18
October Peak Performers
19
BHHS Franchise Awards – 3rd Quarter 2023
20
21
Bulk Registration Cost: $450
Social Registration Cost: $450
Agent Services NEW WEBSITE
22
HomesaleAgentServices.com
Submitting a HUD Offer
• www.HUDHomestore.com and
search properties
• Click the ‘HUD Registered Bidder’ tab
in the lower right-hand corner and
follow the instructions
• NAID #: WSTGOI2133
• For any questions please contact
Katharine Marion: kmarion@homesale.com
Phone: 717-572-4876
23
• Updated its consumer-facing website to provide
more of what consumers want
• Goal: To generate more engagement & touch
points on their site -and- it’s paying off
• Homes.com lead looks like this
24
Make sure you don’t miss
any leads from Homes.com
Add noreply@homes.com to
your contacts
https://drive.google.com/file/d/1INllOjUUwGpQQ1Me-EkRCfZyHaBdjW2T/view
Top Real Estate Property Portals (Sept. 2023)
25
0
50
100
150
200
250
Zillow Homes.com Realtor.com Redfin
226
100
74
52
Unique
Visitors
(millions)
Source: Businesswire.com & Zillow
HomesaleCenter.com has a NEW Home
26
• You can now find Homesale
Center in the BHHS Resource
Center
• Log-in through your Homesale
Google account
• Old platform is still available
at previous URL for a limited
time
Use SOCi to Auto-post Your NEW Listings
27
• Manage content on
Facebook Business Page,
Instagram Business Account,
Google Business Page, LinkedIn, & Twitter
• New Feature - Toggle on the slider to activate
the New Listings Auto Poster
NOTE: Social Media Connector defaulted to OFF on
November 6th to avoid duplicate postings
November Training Sessions
28
• Run Your Business Like a CEO – Thursday, November 16th (10:00-11:00 AM)
Learn how to structure your finances, prepare for tax season and plan for your
future with Alex Abbenante from Dergalis Associates
Click to Register: https://homesale.zoom.us/meeting/register/tZ0qcu6trj4tGdaSUZgoIh6fG6vGJKLiNyFW#/registration
• Short Sales & Foreclosures – Thursday, November 9th (2:30-3:30 PM)
Click to Register: https://homesale.zoom.us/meeting/register/tZUtc-6grj8iHtNH7v3bdcizTAoT80W9oOjb
• New Builds – Thursday, November 16th (2:30-3:30 PM)
Click to Register: https://homesale.zoom.us/meeting/register/tZ0qceyvrjItE9d_jtMOnfhL_GBInATCRKNb
• Understanding Your Clients – Thursday, November 30th (2:30-3:30 PM)
Click to Register: https://homesale.zoom.us/meeting/register/tZUtc-6grj8iHtNH7v3bdcizTAoT80W9oOjb
NOTE: Prior to taking this class, attendee should take the DISC Assessment.
Click here to access DISC Assessment: https://profiles.innermetrix.com/VO/3470a4ea/
Nationwide Industrial Vacancy Rates
29
SOURCE:
Only 8 out of 75 geographic areas
have vacancy rates under 2% - - -
and Pennsylvania has 3 of them
Agency in Pennsylvania
30
Working in a Changing
Market
How to keep your sanity when those
around you are losing it
We Have to Start Controlling the Narrative
by Understanding What is Going on in 2024 and Beyond
32
11/07/2023
Average 30-year Fixed Interest Rate (5 years)
33
11/07/2023
3.94%
3.11% 2.96%
5.34%
6.76%
6.14%
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
(Projected)
Freddie Mac Average of Fannie Mae, MBA and NAR
Record low interest rates were a
once in a 50-year occurrence. Get
used to the new normal.
Average 30-year Fixed Interest Rate (50 years)
34
11/07/2023
8.86%
12.70%
8.12%
6.27%
4.09%
7.76%
1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s 2010s
SOURCE: Freddie Mac
11/06/2023
Today’s interest rate is lower than what
occurred in the 70’s, 80’s and 90’s
Current Loans w/Mortgage Rate at Time of Origination
35
11/07/2023
SOURCE: FHFA
 3% 3.01-4% 4.01-5% 5.01-6%  6%
44.7%
26.0%
20.3%
5.3% 3.7%
At least 97% of the sellers with an
existing mortgage in the market
today have an interest rate that is
lower than today’s current rate of
7.76%
Percent Equity in Residence
36
11/07/2023
38.7%
30.0%
20.8%
8.6%
1.72% 0.12%
Own FREE and Clear At Least 50% Equity 30-50% Equity
10-30% Equity 0-10% Equity Negative Equity
SOURCE: FHFA, Census, Attom
2/3’s of homeowners have
more than 50% equity
in their homes
U.S. Properties with Foreclosure Filings (Quarterly)
37
200,000
150,000
100,000
50,000
0
11/07/2023
27,016
124,539
SOURCE:
HEADLINE: Foreclosure filings
have gone up 461% in three years
U.S. Properties with Foreclosure Filings (Quarterly)
38
11/07/2023
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
700,000
800,000
900,000
1,000,000
0
SOURCE:
Foreclosures are 720% less than
what they were during the market
crash of 2008-2011
Foreclosures
in Pennsylvania
(January – June 2023)
39
11/07/2023
• .12% of all housing units
have filed for foreclosure
• 1 in every 810 housing
units have filed for foreclosure
SOURCE:
1. Manage Your Time and Energy
40
11/07/2023
1. Manage Your Time and Energy
• You are your most valuable asset – continually upgrade yourself and
you will become indispensable
• Learn to time block
• Important to take time for yourself
41
11/07/2023
2. Get Used to Moving at the Speed of Unknown
42
11/07/2023
2. Get Used to Moving at the Speed of Unknown
• More change will occur in this industry over the next five years
than we have experienced over the last twenty-five years
• Technology and Artificial Intelligence Tools will revolutionize how
we do business – Chat GPT, Virtual Showings, CubiCasa
• Changes in the industry are coming – lawsuits, commissions,
agency, Associations, MLS’s
43
11/07/2023
3. Build Trust and Nurture Connections
44
11/07/2023
3. Build Trust and Nurture Connections
• Learn from others in the industry - collaborate
• Network to stay in front of people
• Stay in touch
• Over the next two years, there are going to be 7 million new babies,
3 million marriages and 50 million job switches . . . our work of
human connections happens around these moments
45
11/07/2023
4. Improve Your Community
46
11/07/2023
4. Improve Your Community
• The more you give within your community, the more you will get
back
• Volunteer or raise money for something that has impact for you
• Shift your perspective from ‘Houses to Humans’
47
11/07/2023
48
11/07/2023
The Pessimist complains
about the wind.
The Optimist expects it
to change.
The Leader adjusts
the sails.
- John Maxwell
49
Tom Blefko
Director of Operations
North Pointe Office
Associate Broker, REALTOR®
Office: (717) 560-9100
Cell: (717) 587-6600
Email: tblefko@homesale.com
• 2022 Distinguished Service Award
• 2021 REALTOR® of the Year
• 2021 President
• 2009 Volunteer of the Year
Presenter Contact Information

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Working in a Changing Market - How to keep your sanity when those around you are losing it

  • 1. North Pointe Sales Meeting Working in a Changing Market How to keep your sanity when those around you are losing it 1 November 7, 2023
  • 2. Homesale Complete Services 2 Dan Ranck Cell: (717) 271-2400 NMLS # 140989 James Ream Cell: (484) 824-3630 NMLS # 1598468 4.96 / 5 2022 Average Survey Score
  • 3. Why a Government Loan May be Best For a “Good” Borrower • Mortgage Insurance  FHA & USDA both have standard MI rates for everyone  VA does not have any type of monthly MI  Conv MI rates vary based on LTV, credit score, number of borrowers, location, property type and DTI  Due to these factors, the government program rates are often lower for the average first time home buyer  The average life of a mortgage is 7-8 years, due to refinancing or selling. Most higher LTV Conventional loans do not benefit from their MI going away in this time frames 3
  • 4. Why a Government Loan May be Best For a “Good” Borrower Example: $250,000 home purchase, for a single borrower with a 680 credit score 4 $176.39 in monthly savings with FHA instead of Conventional -OR- Borrower could afford a house that is $25,000 more FHA Monthly MI $110.57 Conv Monthly MI $286.96
  • 5. Why a Government Loan May be Best For a “Good” Borrower • Higher Debt-to-Income (DTI) Limits  FHA and VA both allow DTI’s of up to 55%  When might this be a great option: o They already own a home and want to buy before they sell (no current FHA loan) o Not all of their income sources are able to be used at this time o Conv loans are usually limited to a DTI of about 45%, so a borrower could qualify for a larger purchase price using FHA 5
  • 6. Why a Government Loan May be Best For a “Good” Borrower • Past Credit Issues  Conventional loans have the strictest and longest timeframes for past credit issues such as Foreclosure, Short Sale and Bankruptcy  A government loan is the best option to get your buyer in a home sooner 6
  • 7. But What About the Appraisal? • If a property is in decent condition and/or built within the past forty years, this shouldn’t be a concern • Options exist such as switching to a Conventional Loan (if applicable) or doing a 203K Renovation Loan 7
  • 8. Homesale Complete Services 8 Sarah Tompos (717) 587-7666 stompos@homesale.com Alexis Mull amull@homesale.com
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  • 12. Homesale Complete Services 12 James White (717) 575-4014 JamesWhite@homesale.com
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  • 20. BHHS Franchise Awards – 3rd Quarter 2023 20
  • 21. 21 Bulk Registration Cost: $450 Social Registration Cost: $450
  • 22. Agent Services NEW WEBSITE 22 HomesaleAgentServices.com
  • 23. Submitting a HUD Offer • www.HUDHomestore.com and search properties • Click the ‘HUD Registered Bidder’ tab in the lower right-hand corner and follow the instructions • NAID #: WSTGOI2133 • For any questions please contact Katharine Marion: kmarion@homesale.com Phone: 717-572-4876 23
  • 24. • Updated its consumer-facing website to provide more of what consumers want • Goal: To generate more engagement & touch points on their site -and- it’s paying off • Homes.com lead looks like this 24 Make sure you don’t miss any leads from Homes.com Add noreply@homes.com to your contacts https://drive.google.com/file/d/1INllOjUUwGpQQ1Me-EkRCfZyHaBdjW2T/view
  • 25. Top Real Estate Property Portals (Sept. 2023) 25 0 50 100 150 200 250 Zillow Homes.com Realtor.com Redfin 226 100 74 52 Unique Visitors (millions) Source: Businesswire.com & Zillow
  • 26. HomesaleCenter.com has a NEW Home 26 • You can now find Homesale Center in the BHHS Resource Center • Log-in through your Homesale Google account • Old platform is still available at previous URL for a limited time
  • 27. Use SOCi to Auto-post Your NEW Listings 27 • Manage content on Facebook Business Page, Instagram Business Account, Google Business Page, LinkedIn, & Twitter • New Feature - Toggle on the slider to activate the New Listings Auto Poster NOTE: Social Media Connector defaulted to OFF on November 6th to avoid duplicate postings
  • 28. November Training Sessions 28 • Run Your Business Like a CEO – Thursday, November 16th (10:00-11:00 AM) Learn how to structure your finances, prepare for tax season and plan for your future with Alex Abbenante from Dergalis Associates Click to Register: https://homesale.zoom.us/meeting/register/tZ0qcu6trj4tGdaSUZgoIh6fG6vGJKLiNyFW#/registration • Short Sales & Foreclosures – Thursday, November 9th (2:30-3:30 PM) Click to Register: https://homesale.zoom.us/meeting/register/tZUtc-6grj8iHtNH7v3bdcizTAoT80W9oOjb • New Builds – Thursday, November 16th (2:30-3:30 PM) Click to Register: https://homesale.zoom.us/meeting/register/tZ0qceyvrjItE9d_jtMOnfhL_GBInATCRKNb • Understanding Your Clients – Thursday, November 30th (2:30-3:30 PM) Click to Register: https://homesale.zoom.us/meeting/register/tZUtc-6grj8iHtNH7v3bdcizTAoT80W9oOjb NOTE: Prior to taking this class, attendee should take the DISC Assessment. Click here to access DISC Assessment: https://profiles.innermetrix.com/VO/3470a4ea/
  • 29. Nationwide Industrial Vacancy Rates 29 SOURCE: Only 8 out of 75 geographic areas have vacancy rates under 2% - - - and Pennsylvania has 3 of them
  • 31. Working in a Changing Market How to keep your sanity when those around you are losing it
  • 32. We Have to Start Controlling the Narrative by Understanding What is Going on in 2024 and Beyond 32 11/07/2023
  • 33. Average 30-year Fixed Interest Rate (5 years) 33 11/07/2023 3.94% 3.11% 2.96% 5.34% 6.76% 6.14% 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 (Projected) Freddie Mac Average of Fannie Mae, MBA and NAR Record low interest rates were a once in a 50-year occurrence. Get used to the new normal.
  • 34. Average 30-year Fixed Interest Rate (50 years) 34 11/07/2023 8.86% 12.70% 8.12% 6.27% 4.09% 7.76% 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s 2010s SOURCE: Freddie Mac 11/06/2023 Today’s interest rate is lower than what occurred in the 70’s, 80’s and 90’s
  • 35. Current Loans w/Mortgage Rate at Time of Origination 35 11/07/2023 SOURCE: FHFA  3% 3.01-4% 4.01-5% 5.01-6%  6% 44.7% 26.0% 20.3% 5.3% 3.7% At least 97% of the sellers with an existing mortgage in the market today have an interest rate that is lower than today’s current rate of 7.76%
  • 36. Percent Equity in Residence 36 11/07/2023 38.7% 30.0% 20.8% 8.6% 1.72% 0.12% Own FREE and Clear At Least 50% Equity 30-50% Equity 10-30% Equity 0-10% Equity Negative Equity SOURCE: FHFA, Census, Attom 2/3’s of homeowners have more than 50% equity in their homes
  • 37. U.S. Properties with Foreclosure Filings (Quarterly) 37 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 11/07/2023 27,016 124,539 SOURCE: HEADLINE: Foreclosure filings have gone up 461% in three years
  • 38. U.S. Properties with Foreclosure Filings (Quarterly) 38 11/07/2023 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 600,000 700,000 800,000 900,000 1,000,000 0 SOURCE: Foreclosures are 720% less than what they were during the market crash of 2008-2011
  • 39. Foreclosures in Pennsylvania (January – June 2023) 39 11/07/2023 • .12% of all housing units have filed for foreclosure • 1 in every 810 housing units have filed for foreclosure SOURCE:
  • 40. 1. Manage Your Time and Energy 40 11/07/2023
  • 41. 1. Manage Your Time and Energy • You are your most valuable asset – continually upgrade yourself and you will become indispensable • Learn to time block • Important to take time for yourself 41 11/07/2023
  • 42. 2. Get Used to Moving at the Speed of Unknown 42 11/07/2023
  • 43. 2. Get Used to Moving at the Speed of Unknown • More change will occur in this industry over the next five years than we have experienced over the last twenty-five years • Technology and Artificial Intelligence Tools will revolutionize how we do business – Chat GPT, Virtual Showings, CubiCasa • Changes in the industry are coming – lawsuits, commissions, agency, Associations, MLS’s 43 11/07/2023
  • 44. 3. Build Trust and Nurture Connections 44 11/07/2023
  • 45. 3. Build Trust and Nurture Connections • Learn from others in the industry - collaborate • Network to stay in front of people • Stay in touch • Over the next two years, there are going to be 7 million new babies, 3 million marriages and 50 million job switches . . . our work of human connections happens around these moments 45 11/07/2023
  • 46. 4. Improve Your Community 46 11/07/2023
  • 47. 4. Improve Your Community • The more you give within your community, the more you will get back • Volunteer or raise money for something that has impact for you • Shift your perspective from ‘Houses to Humans’ 47 11/07/2023
  • 48. 48 11/07/2023 The Pessimist complains about the wind. The Optimist expects it to change. The Leader adjusts the sails. - John Maxwell
  • 49. 49 Tom Blefko Director of Operations North Pointe Office Associate Broker, REALTOR® Office: (717) 560-9100 Cell: (717) 587-6600 Email: tblefko@homesale.com • 2022 Distinguished Service Award • 2021 REALTOR® of the Year • 2021 President • 2009 Volunteer of the Year Presenter Contact Information

Editor's Notes

  1. People are only moving if they have to. It is imperative that you stay in touch with these people because when they need to move, they will contact the person that has kept them educated on the real estate market