The steps are as follows:
Step 1: installing required libraries to R environment
Step 2: Generating Token Key from Facebook
Step 3: Retrieving Information from Facebook
Step 4: Advance Graphical Representation
Downscaling global climate model outputs to fine scales sanjaya ratnayakePixel Clear (Pvt) Ltd
Even though standard precipitation index (SPI) is not a drought predicting tool using downscaled results it was possible to forecast SPI. Forecasted SPI can use for two purposes. Firstly, in order to implement better drought relief payment policy. Secondly, to better water resource planning in order to reduce agriculture risk. Statistical downscaling procedure was developed over Sri Lanka for drought risk. The system was based on Climate Information tool Kit 2.0 (CLIK) by Asia-Pacific Economic Corporation (APEC) Climate Center (APCC). As the predictor region El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) region was considered because recent droughts are more influenced by ENSO compared to traditional South West monsoons (SWM) and North East monsoon (NEM) for the island. Seasonal drought study was carried out considering 3 months intervals for 4 seasons January to March (JFM), April to June (AMJ), July to September (JAS) and October to November (OND). In order to identify optimal SPI scales, models, variables and NINO regions for each season a preliminary study was carried out using a sample stations and based on the results detailed study was carried out for 34 stations covering central and southern parts of the island. Heidke skill score was considered as the categorical verification measure. In order to improve the magnitude of forecasted SPI 2 variance inflation techniques were employed. In CLIK multi model ensemble (MME) predictions were tested considering 3 deterministic models: simple composition method (SCM), multiple regression method (MRG) and synthetic multi model super ensemble method (SSE). However due to low resolution regression based downscaling was considered. Interestingly central high hills showed a very high correlation with ENSO during OND. For highly skilled stations drought characteristics such as trends, onset, duration, frequency and severity can be calculate. Our results highlight that CLIK is skillful over Sri Lanka. Specially in identifying best downscaling characteristics over a station.
The steps are as follows:
Step 1: installing required libraries to R environment
Step 2: Generating Token Key from Facebook
Step 3: Retrieving Information from Facebook
Step 4: Advance Graphical Representation
Downscaling global climate model outputs to fine scales sanjaya ratnayakePixel Clear (Pvt) Ltd
Even though standard precipitation index (SPI) is not a drought predicting tool using downscaled results it was possible to forecast SPI. Forecasted SPI can use for two purposes. Firstly, in order to implement better drought relief payment policy. Secondly, to better water resource planning in order to reduce agriculture risk. Statistical downscaling procedure was developed over Sri Lanka for drought risk. The system was based on Climate Information tool Kit 2.0 (CLIK) by Asia-Pacific Economic Corporation (APEC) Climate Center (APCC). As the predictor region El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) region was considered because recent droughts are more influenced by ENSO compared to traditional South West monsoons (SWM) and North East monsoon (NEM) for the island. Seasonal drought study was carried out considering 3 months intervals for 4 seasons January to March (JFM), April to June (AMJ), July to September (JAS) and October to November (OND). In order to identify optimal SPI scales, models, variables and NINO regions for each season a preliminary study was carried out using a sample stations and based on the results detailed study was carried out for 34 stations covering central and southern parts of the island. Heidke skill score was considered as the categorical verification measure. In order to improve the magnitude of forecasted SPI 2 variance inflation techniques were employed. In CLIK multi model ensemble (MME) predictions were tested considering 3 deterministic models: simple composition method (SCM), multiple regression method (MRG) and synthetic multi model super ensemble method (SSE). However due to low resolution regression based downscaling was considered. Interestingly central high hills showed a very high correlation with ENSO during OND. For highly skilled stations drought characteristics such as trends, onset, duration, frequency and severity can be calculate. Our results highlight that CLIK is skillful over Sri Lanka. Specially in identifying best downscaling characteristics over a station.