The document discusses measles case numbers from Cuba from 1980 to 2000, showing a decline from thousands of cases to zero after 1993. It also provides measles case data from Egypt and Uganda during the same time period, with varying trends. The document cautions against using a partial data set to make predictions about a whole, and questions whether measles can be considered eradicated worldwide based on the data presented.

1. Zachary Clark Standard Indicator 5.5.10 October 07 2007

2. Standard 5.5.10 Explain the danger in using only a portion of data collected to describe a whole

3. What is a prediction?

4. Measles

5. Cuban Measles Cases 1980 3,924

6. Cuban Measles Cases 1990 12

7. Cuban Measles Cases 1991 17

8. Cuban Measles Cases 1992 12

9. Cuban Measles Cases 1993 0

10. Cuban Measles Cases 1994 0

11. Cuban Measles Cases 1995 1

12. Cuban Measles Cases 1995-2000 0

13. What do you think will happen to the number of Measles cases in Cuba for the next 10 years? 20 years? 30 years?

14. Based on the data you have seen, what can you predict about measles outbreaks trends in other countries? Do you think that measles outbreaks are diminishing throughout the world?

15. Measles Cases in Egypt 1980-838 1995-1,833 1990-887 1996-4,403 1991-1,231 1997-4,606 1992-4,403 1998-4,868 1993-2,874 1999-1,547 1994-1,444 2000-2,633

16. Measles Cases in Uganda 1980-13,415 1990-2,637 1991- N/A 1992-36,511 1993- N/A 1994-49,815 1995-42,659 1996-26,198 1997-12,562 1998-42,528 1999-42,737 2000-42,554

17. Can you say that measles has been eradicated throughout the world?

18. The End Please enjoy the rest of your day