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2008 US
RECESSION
#1 Economy. $14.7 trillion.   #1 Manufacturer.   #1 Trading Nation.
140,000


120,000


100,000


 80,000


 60,000


 40,000


 20,000


     -
Manufacturing                                                           31%

Social Service                                                  27%

        Trade                                 15%

       Techn.                        7%

     Prof.Org.                  5%

      Transp.               4%

     Oth.Ret.               4%

     Adv.Edu               3%

    Oth.Manf.          3%

    CrossSec          1%

                 0%        5%         10%   15%     20%   25%     30%         35%
31%


          15%
                          27%

Manufacturing   Social Service   Trade   Other Sectors
10,463,000
Manf.                                              57%

       Trade                      20%

   Transp.                 6%

       Techn.             6%

 Soc.Serv.            4%

  Prof.Org.           3%

 Oth.Manf.           2%

 CrossSec            2%

  Oth.Ret.           2%

  Adv.Edu

-10%            0%         10%   20%    30%   40%   50%   60%
-193.5                                                                         -151                                                                                 -73.4



                                                                                                                                                                         -73.5

      -194
                                                                                   -151.5                                                                                -73.6



                                                                                                                                                                         -73.7
     -194.5

                                                                                    -152                                                                                 -73.8
e1




                                                                           e2




                                                                                                                                                                    e7
      -195                                                                                                                                                               -73.9



                                                                                   -152.5                                                                                  -74

     -195.5
                                                                                                                                                                         -74.1



                                                                                    -153                                                                                 -74.2
      -196


                                                                                                                                                                         -74.3



     -196.5                                                                        -153.5                                                                                -74.4
              1990   1995   2000                      2005          2010                    1990          1995               2000           2005          2010                   1990      1995     2000   2005   2010

       130                                                                         134.4                                                                                 100.8



                                                                                   134.2
     129.8
                                                                                                                                                                         100.6


                                                                                     134
     129.6
                                                                                                                                                                         100.4

                                                                                   133.8
     129.4
                                                                                                                                                                         100.2
                                                                                   133.6

     129.2




                                                                                                                                                                 e6
                                                                           e5
e8




                                                                                   133.4                                                                                  100

       129
                                                                                   133.2
                                                                                                                                                                          99.8

     128.8
                                                                                     133
                                                                                                                                                                          99.6
     128.6                                                                         132.8


                                                                                                                                                                          99.4
     128.4                                                                         132.6



                                                                                   132.4                                                                                  99.2
     128.2                                                                                                                                                                       1990      1995     2000   2005   2010
                                                                                            1990          1995               2000           2005          2010
              1990   1995   2000                      2005          2010
                                        60.7                                                                                 134.4



                                        60.6                                                                                 134.2



                                                                                                                              134
                                        60.5


                                                                                                                             133.8
                                        60.4

                                                                                                                             133.6
                                        60.3
                                   e4




                                                                                                                        e3




                                                                                                                             133.4

                                        60.2

                                                                                                                             133.2

                                        60.1
                                                                                                                              133


                                         60
                                                                                                                             132.8


                                        59.9
                                                                                                                             132.6



                                        59.8                                                                                 132.4
                                               1990          1995           2000                   2005          2010                1990          1995      2000                   2005     2010
Trans. -9.5975*Manf -18.68*Trade -10.72*Expenditure - .74526*Receipts +
         37.498*H.Price + .24044*FEDFundRate -5.4982*E.Price = e1
Techn. + 5.8934*Manf + 7.3473*Trade + 5.6809*Expenditure -18.934*H.Price -
            0.27489*M2Stock - 0.11858*FEDFundRate + 2.9075*E.Price = e6
     100.8




     100.6




     100.4




     100.2
e6




       100




      99.8




      99.6




      99.4




      99.2
             1990        1995            2000           2005            2010
Social Ser. + 3.5351*Manf + 4.3259*Trade + 3.1639*Expenditure + .26596*Receipts
                 -12.431*H.Price -.070038*FEDFundRate + 1.7818*E.Price = e4
       60.7



       60.6



       60.5



       60.4



       60.3
e4




       60.2



       60.1



        60



       59.9



       59.8
              1990         1995            2000            2005            2010
Manufacturing and Trade were
                  the culprits
Promote Manufacturing
Boost Consumer Confidence
Changes in Immigration Policy

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Senior Seminar Paper Presentation

  • 2. #1 Economy. $14.7 trillion. #1 Manufacturer. #1 Trading Nation.
  • 4. Manufacturing 31% Social Service 27% Trade 15% Techn. 7% Prof.Org. 5% Transp. 4% Oth.Ret. 4% Adv.Edu 3% Oth.Manf. 3% CrossSec 1% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%
  • 5. 31% 15% 27% Manufacturing Social Service Trade Other Sectors
  • 7. Manf. 57% Trade 20% Transp. 6% Techn. 6% Soc.Serv. 4% Prof.Org. 3% Oth.Manf. 2% CrossSec 2% Oth.Ret. 2% Adv.Edu -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
  • 8. -193.5 -151 -73.4 -73.5 -194 -151.5 -73.6 -73.7 -194.5 -152 -73.8 e1 e2 e7 -195 -73.9 -152.5 -74 -195.5 -74.1 -153 -74.2 -196 -74.3 -196.5 -153.5 -74.4 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 130 134.4 100.8 134.2 129.8 100.6 134 129.6 100.4 133.8 129.4 100.2 133.6 129.2 e6 e5 e8 133.4 100 129 133.2 99.8 128.8 133 99.6 128.6 132.8 99.4 128.4 132.6 132.4 99.2 128.2 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 60.7 134.4 60.6 134.2 134 60.5 133.8 60.4 133.6 60.3 e4 e3 133.4 60.2 133.2 60.1 133 60 132.8 59.9 132.6 59.8 132.4 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010
  • 9. Trans. -9.5975*Manf -18.68*Trade -10.72*Expenditure - .74526*Receipts + 37.498*H.Price + .24044*FEDFundRate -5.4982*E.Price = e1
  • 10. Techn. + 5.8934*Manf + 7.3473*Trade + 5.6809*Expenditure -18.934*H.Price - 0.27489*M2Stock - 0.11858*FEDFundRate + 2.9075*E.Price = e6 100.8 100.6 100.4 100.2 e6 100 99.8 99.6 99.4 99.2 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010
  • 11. Social Ser. + 3.5351*Manf + 4.3259*Trade + 3.1639*Expenditure + .26596*Receipts -12.431*H.Price -.070038*FEDFundRate + 1.7818*E.Price = e4 60.7 60.6 60.5 60.4 60.3 e4 60.2 60.1 60 59.9 59.8 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010
  • 12. Manufacturing and Trade were the culprits

Editor's Notes

  1. The economy of the United States is the world's largest national economy since the1870sIts nominal GDP was estimated to be nearly $14.7 trillion in 2010,[1] approximately a quarter of nominal global GDPMost of the economy is classified as services. The country remains the world's largest manufacturer, representing a fifth of the global manufacturing output
  2. Size of the main sectors % at the beginning of the recession Trend over time 3 main sectors
  3. 8%
  4. Solutions