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Introduction to
Price Action Trading
Varun Kumar Pothula
(Quantitative Analyst at QuantInsti)
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● Basics of price action trading
● Tools of price action trading
● Chart patterns
● Pivot Points
Key Takeaways
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Process of studying basic price behaviour across time to make trading decisions
○ No technical indicators involved
○ Popular among retail traders
○ Intraday trading and swing trading
Price Action Trading
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Example
90
80
120
81
119
80
82
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Example
90
80
120
81
119
80
Buy ?
Sell ?
82
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● Supply and Demand Analysis
● Support and Resistance
● Chart Patterns
● Pivot points
PAT - Tools
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Supply and Demand Analysis
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Price Action
$100
$200
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Price Action
$100
$200
$125
$175
$150
$115
$120
$160
Imbalance in supply and demand forces
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Supply
● Sell orders
● Buy orders < Sell orders
● Sellers are dominant
● Decline in prices
Demand
● Buy orders
● Buy orders > Sell orders
● Buyers are dominant
● Increase in prices
Supply and Demand
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Supply and Demand Analysis
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Supply and Demand Analysis
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Supply and Demand Analysis
Sellers
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Supply and Demand Analysis
Supply Zone
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Supply and Demand Analysis
Buyers
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Supply and Demand Analysis
Demand Zone
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Supply and Demand Analysis
Demand Zone
Supply Zone
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Trades
Trade-1: Buy
Trade-1: Sell Trade-2: Sell
Trade-2: Buy
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Support and Resistance
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Support and Resistance
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Support and Resistance
Resistance
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Support and Resistance
Support
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Chart Patterns
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Chart Patterns
Demand Zone
Supply Zone
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Chart Patterns
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Chart Patterns
Reversal Patterns Continuation Patterns
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Patterns Patterns
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Reversal Patterns
Bearish Reversal Bullish Reversal
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Bearish Reversal Patterns
Bearish Reversal Pattern
Uptrend Trend
Reversal
Signals a supply zone and indicates a possible reversal of the uptrend
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Bearish Reversal Patterns
Top-1
NECKLINE
Top-2 Top-3
Head and Shoulders Double Top Triple Top
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Bullish Reversal Patterns
Bullish Reversal Pattern
Downtrend Trend
Reversal
Signals a demand zone and indicates a possible reversal of the downtrend
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Bullish Reversal Patterns
NECKLINE
Bottom-2 Bottom-3
Bottom-1
Inverse Head and Shoulders Double Bottom Triple Bottom
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Continuation Patterns
Continuation Pattern
Uptrend
Uptrend
In an uptrend, a continuation pattern signals the
formation of a demand zone and indicates the
continuation of the uptrend
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Continuation Patterns
Bull Flag Pennant Ascending Triangle
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Continuation Patterns
Continuation Pattern
Downtrend
Downtrend
In an downtrend, a continuation pattern
signals the formation of a supply zone and
indicates the continuation of the
downtrend
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Continuation Patterns
Bear Flag Pennant Descending Triangle
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Patterns - Price Action
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HH
HH
HH
HH
Patterns- Example
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HH
HH
HH
HH
LH
Patterns- Example
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HH
HH
HH
HH
Patterns- Example
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HH
HH
HH
HH
LH
Patterns- Example
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Head And Shoulders
HH
HH
HH
HH
LH
HEAD
LEFT SHOULDER RIGHT SHOULDER
UPTREND
NECKLINE
DOWNTREND
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● Indicates weakness in an uptrend
● Possible reversal of an uptrend
Head And Shoulders
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HEAD
LEFT SHOULDER RIGHT SHOULDER
UPTREND
NECKLINE
DOWNTREND
Lower High Indicating Weakness in an uptrend
Breakout of Support Indicates Strength of Sellers
Price Action
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UPTREND
NECKLINE
Stop-Loss Above the Right Shoulder
Enter short at breakout of the neckline
SL
Entry
H
TAKE PROFIT
H
Trading Head and Shoulders Pattern
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Pivot Points
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Pivot Points are significant levels used to determine directional
movement and potential support/resistance levels.
Pivot Points
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Calculation of Pivot Points
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Calculation of Pivot Points
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Calculation of Pivot Points
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● Leading indicator
→ Has predictive power
● Helps to identify support and resistance levels in advance
→ Can be used for planning entries and exits
Benefits of Using Pivot Points
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● Traditional
● Woodies
● Camarilla
● Fibonacci
Different Kinds of Pivot Points
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Woodies Pivots
PP = (High + Low + 2*Close) / 4
R1 = (2 * P) - Low
R2 = P + (High - Low)
R3 = High + 2 *(P - Low)
S1 = (2 * P) - High
S2 = P - (High - Low)
S3 = Low - 2* (High - P)
Traditional Pivots
P = (High + Low + Close) / 3
R1 = (2 * P) - Low
R2 = P + (High - Low)
R3 = P + 2 * (High - Low)
S1 = (2 * P) - High
S2 = P - (High - Low)
S3 = P - 2 * (High - Low)
Different Kinds of Pivot Points
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L1 = Close - Range * (1.1 / 12)
L2 = Close - Range * (1.1 / 6)
L3 = Close - Range * (1.1 / 4)
L4 = Close - Range * (1.1 / 2)
L5 = Close - (H5 - Close)
L6 = Close - (H6 - Close)
H1 = Close + Range * (1.1 / 12)
H2 = Close + Range * (1.1 / 6)
H3 = Close + Range * (1.1 / 4)
H4 = Close + Range * (1.1 / 2)
H5 = Close * (High/Low)
H6 = H5 + 1.168 * (H5 - H4)
P = (High + Low + Close) / 3
Camarilla Pivots
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R1
R2
R3
S1
S2
S3
P
R6
R5
R4
R1, R2, R3
S1, S2, S3
P
S4
S5
S6
Woodies vs Camarilla Pivots
Weekly
Intraday
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● Calculated using Fibonacci series
● 0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144…….
○ 0 + 1 = 1
○ 1 + 1 = 2
○ 1 + 2 = 3
○ 2 + 3 = 5
● Fibonacci ratios → 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, and 100%
Fibonacci Pivots
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0,
21 / 34 = 61.8%
34 / 55 = 61.8%
55 / 89 = 61.8%
Fibonacci Ratios
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0,
21 / 55 = 38.1%
34 / 89 = 38.2%
55 / 144 = 38.2%
Fibonacci Ratios
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0,
21 / 89 = 23.6%
34 / 144 = 23.6%
55 / 233 = 23.6%
Fibonacci Ratios
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Fibonacci Ratios
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Fibonacci Ratios
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Fibonacci Ratios
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Fibonacci Ratios
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Complete Webinar Recording
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Thank You!

Price Action Trading - An Introduction

  • 1.
    All rights reserved.©QuantInsti Quantitative Learning Pvt Ltd. Not to be distributed without written permission from QuantInsti. Introduction to Price Action Trading Varun Kumar Pothula (Quantitative Analyst at QuantInsti)
  • 2.
    All rights reserved.©QuantInsti Quantitative Learning Pvt Ltd. Not to be distributed without written permission from QuantInsti. ● Basics of price action trading ● Tools of price action trading ● Chart patterns ● Pivot Points Key Takeaways
  • 3.
    All rights reserved.©QuantInsti Quantitative Learning Pvt Ltd. Not to be distributed without written permission from QuantInsti. Process of studying basic price behaviour across time to make trading decisions ○ No technical indicators involved ○ Popular among retail traders ○ Intraday trading and swing trading Price Action Trading
  • 4.
    All rights reserved.©QuantInsti Quantitative Learning Pvt Ltd. Not to be distributed without written permission from QuantInsti. Example 90 80 120 81 119 80 82
  • 5.
    All rights reserved.©QuantInsti Quantitative Learning Pvt Ltd. Not to be distributed without written permission from QuantInsti. Example 90 80 120 81 119 80 Buy ? Sell ? 82
  • 6.
    All rights reserved.©QuantInsti Quantitative Learning Pvt Ltd. Not to be distributed without written permission from QuantInsti. ● Supply and Demand Analysis ● Support and Resistance ● Chart Patterns ● Pivot points PAT - Tools
  • 7.
    All rights reserved.©QuantInsti Quantitative Learning Pvt Ltd. Not to be distributed without written permission from QuantInsti. Supply and Demand Analysis
  • 8.
    All rights reserved.©QuantInsti Quantitative Learning Pvt Ltd. Not to be distributed without written permission from QuantInsti. Price Action $100 $200
  • 9.
    All rights reserved.©QuantInsti Quantitative Learning Pvt Ltd. Not to be distributed without written permission from QuantInsti. Price Action $100 $200 $125 $175 $150 $115 $120 $160 Imbalance in supply and demand forces
  • 10.
    All rights reserved.©QuantInsti Quantitative Learning Pvt Ltd. Not to be distributed without written permission from QuantInsti. Supply ● Sell orders ● Buy orders < Sell orders ● Sellers are dominant ● Decline in prices Demand ● Buy orders ● Buy orders > Sell orders ● Buyers are dominant ● Increase in prices Supply and Demand
  • 11.
    All rights reserved.©QuantInsti Quantitative Learning Pvt Ltd. Not to be distributed without written permission from QuantInsti. Supply and Demand Analysis
  • 12.
    All rights reserved.©QuantInsti Quantitative Learning Pvt Ltd. Not to be distributed without written permission from QuantInsti. Supply and Demand Analysis
  • 13.
    All rights reserved.©QuantInsti Quantitative Learning Pvt Ltd. Not to be distributed without written permission from QuantInsti. Supply and Demand Analysis Sellers
  • 14.
    All rights reserved.©QuantInsti Quantitative Learning Pvt Ltd. Not to be distributed without written permission from QuantInsti. Supply and Demand Analysis Supply Zone
  • 15.
    All rights reserved.©QuantInsti Quantitative Learning Pvt Ltd. Not to be distributed without written permission from QuantInsti. Supply and Demand Analysis Buyers
  • 16.
    All rights reserved.©QuantInsti Quantitative Learning Pvt Ltd. Not to be distributed without written permission from QuantInsti. Supply and Demand Analysis Demand Zone
  • 17.
    All rights reserved.©QuantInsti Quantitative Learning Pvt Ltd. Not to be distributed without written permission from QuantInsti. Supply and Demand Analysis Demand Zone Supply Zone
  • 18.
    All rights reserved.©QuantInsti Quantitative Learning Pvt Ltd. Not to be distributed without written permission from QuantInsti. Trades Trade-1: Buy Trade-1: Sell Trade-2: Sell Trade-2: Buy
  • 19.
    All rights reserved.©QuantInsti Quantitative Learning Pvt Ltd. Not to be distributed without written permission from QuantInsti. Support and Resistance
  • 20.
    All rights reserved.©QuantInsti Quantitative Learning Pvt Ltd. Not to be distributed without written permission from QuantInsti. Support and Resistance
  • 21.
    All rights reserved.©QuantInsti Quantitative Learning Pvt Ltd. Not to be distributed without written permission from QuantInsti. Support and Resistance Resistance
  • 22.
    All rights reserved.©QuantInsti Quantitative Learning Pvt Ltd. Not to be distributed without written permission from QuantInsti. Support and Resistance Support
  • 23.
    All rights reserved.©QuantInsti Quantitative Learning Pvt Ltd. Not to be distributed without written permission from QuantInsti. Chart Patterns
  • 24.
    All rights reserved.©QuantInsti Quantitative Learning Pvt Ltd. Not to be distributed without written permission from QuantInsti. Chart Patterns Demand Zone Supply Zone
  • 25.
    All rights reserved.©QuantInsti Quantitative Learning Pvt Ltd. Not to be distributed without written permission from QuantInsti. Chart Patterns
  • 26.
    All rights reserved.©QuantInsti Quantitative Learning Pvt Ltd. Not to be distributed without written permission from QuantInsti. Chart Patterns Reversal Patterns Continuation Patterns
  • 27.
    All rights reserved.©QuantInsti Quantitative Learning Pvt Ltd. Not to be distributed without written permission from QuantInsti. Patterns Patterns
  • 28.
    All rights reserved.©QuantInsti Quantitative Learning Pvt Ltd. Not to be distributed without written permission from QuantInsti. Reversal Patterns Bearish Reversal Bullish Reversal
  • 29.
    All rights reserved.©QuantInsti Quantitative Learning Pvt Ltd. Not to be distributed without written permission from QuantInsti. Bearish Reversal Patterns Bearish Reversal Pattern Uptrend Trend Reversal Signals a supply zone and indicates a possible reversal of the uptrend
  • 30.
    All rights reserved.©QuantInsti Quantitative Learning Pvt Ltd. Not to be distributed without written permission from QuantInsti. Bearish Reversal Patterns Top-1 NECKLINE Top-2 Top-3 Head and Shoulders Double Top Triple Top
  • 31.
    All rights reserved.©QuantInsti Quantitative Learning Pvt Ltd. Not to be distributed without written permission from QuantInsti. Bullish Reversal Patterns Bullish Reversal Pattern Downtrend Trend Reversal Signals a demand zone and indicates a possible reversal of the downtrend
  • 32.
    All rights reserved.©QuantInsti Quantitative Learning Pvt Ltd. Not to be distributed without written permission from QuantInsti. Bullish Reversal Patterns NECKLINE Bottom-2 Bottom-3 Bottom-1 Inverse Head and Shoulders Double Bottom Triple Bottom
  • 33.
    All rights reserved.©QuantInsti Quantitative Learning Pvt Ltd. Not to be distributed without written permission from QuantInsti. Continuation Patterns Continuation Pattern Uptrend Uptrend In an uptrend, a continuation pattern signals the formation of a demand zone and indicates the continuation of the uptrend
  • 34.
    All rights reserved.©QuantInsti Quantitative Learning Pvt Ltd. Not to be distributed without written permission from QuantInsti. Continuation Patterns Bull Flag Pennant Ascending Triangle
  • 35.
    All rights reserved.©QuantInsti Quantitative Learning Pvt Ltd. Not to be distributed without written permission from QuantInsti. Continuation Patterns Continuation Pattern Downtrend Downtrend In an downtrend, a continuation pattern signals the formation of a supply zone and indicates the continuation of the downtrend
  • 36.
    All rights reserved.©QuantInsti Quantitative Learning Pvt Ltd. Not to be distributed without written permission from QuantInsti. Continuation Patterns Bear Flag Pennant Descending Triangle
  • 37.
    All rights reserved.©QuantInsti Quantitative Learning Pvt Ltd. Not to be distributed without written permission from QuantInsti. Patterns - Price Action
  • 38.
    All rights reserved.©QuantInsti Quantitative Learning Pvt Ltd. Not to be distributed without written permission from QuantInsti. HH HH HH HH Patterns- Example
  • 39.
    All rights reserved.©QuantInsti Quantitative Learning Pvt Ltd. Not to be distributed without written permission from QuantInsti. HH HH HH HH LH Patterns- Example
  • 40.
    All rights reserved.©QuantInsti Quantitative Learning Pvt Ltd. Not to be distributed without written permission from QuantInsti. HH HH HH HH Patterns- Example
  • 41.
    All rights reserved.©QuantInsti Quantitative Learning Pvt Ltd. Not to be distributed without written permission from QuantInsti. HH HH HH HH LH Patterns- Example
  • 42.
    All rights reserved.©QuantInsti Quantitative Learning Pvt Ltd. Not to be distributed without written permission from QuantInsti. Head And Shoulders HH HH HH HH LH HEAD LEFT SHOULDER RIGHT SHOULDER UPTREND NECKLINE DOWNTREND
  • 43.
    All rights reserved.©QuantInsti Quantitative Learning Pvt Ltd. Not to be distributed without written permission from QuantInsti. ● Indicates weakness in an uptrend ● Possible reversal of an uptrend Head And Shoulders
  • 44.
    All rights reserved.©QuantInsti Quantitative Learning Pvt Ltd. Not to be distributed without written permission from QuantInsti. HEAD LEFT SHOULDER RIGHT SHOULDER UPTREND NECKLINE DOWNTREND Lower High Indicating Weakness in an uptrend Breakout of Support Indicates Strength of Sellers Price Action
  • 45.
    All rights reserved.©QuantInsti Quantitative Learning Pvt Ltd. Not to be distributed without written permission from QuantInsti. UPTREND NECKLINE Stop-Loss Above the Right Shoulder Enter short at breakout of the neckline SL Entry H TAKE PROFIT H Trading Head and Shoulders Pattern
  • 46.
    All rights reserved.©QuantInsti Quantitative Learning Pvt Ltd. Not to be distributed without written permission from QuantInsti. Pivot Points
  • 47.
    All rights reserved.©QuantInsti Quantitative Learning Pvt Ltd. Not to be distributed without written permission from QuantInsti. Pivot Points are significant levels used to determine directional movement and potential support/resistance levels. Pivot Points
  • 48.
    All rights reserved.©QuantInsti Quantitative Learning Pvt Ltd. Not to be distributed without written permission from QuantInsti. Calculation of Pivot Points
  • 49.
    All rights reserved.©QuantInsti Quantitative Learning Pvt Ltd. Not to be distributed without written permission from QuantInsti. Calculation of Pivot Points
  • 50.
    All rights reserved.©QuantInsti Quantitative Learning Pvt Ltd. Not to be distributed without written permission from QuantInsti. Calculation of Pivot Points
  • 51.
    All rights reserved.©QuantInsti Quantitative Learning Pvt Ltd. Not to be distributed without written permission from QuantInsti. ● Leading indicator → Has predictive power ● Helps to identify support and resistance levels in advance → Can be used for planning entries and exits Benefits of Using Pivot Points
  • 52.
    All rights reserved.©QuantInsti Quantitative Learning Pvt Ltd. Not to be distributed without written permission from QuantInsti. ● Traditional ● Woodies ● Camarilla ● Fibonacci Different Kinds of Pivot Points
  • 53.
    All rights reserved.©QuantInsti Quantitative Learning Pvt Ltd. Not to be distributed without written permission from QuantInsti. Woodies Pivots PP = (High + Low + 2*Close) / 4 R1 = (2 * P) - Low R2 = P + (High - Low) R3 = High + 2 *(P - Low) S1 = (2 * P) - High S2 = P - (High - Low) S3 = Low - 2* (High - P) Traditional Pivots P = (High + Low + Close) / 3 R1 = (2 * P) - Low R2 = P + (High - Low) R3 = P + 2 * (High - Low) S1 = (2 * P) - High S2 = P - (High - Low) S3 = P - 2 * (High - Low) Different Kinds of Pivot Points
  • 54.
    All rights reserved.©QuantInsti Quantitative Learning Pvt Ltd. Not to be distributed without written permission from QuantInsti. L1 = Close - Range * (1.1 / 12) L2 = Close - Range * (1.1 / 6) L3 = Close - Range * (1.1 / 4) L4 = Close - Range * (1.1 / 2) L5 = Close - (H5 - Close) L6 = Close - (H6 - Close) H1 = Close + Range * (1.1 / 12) H2 = Close + Range * (1.1 / 6) H3 = Close + Range * (1.1 / 4) H4 = Close + Range * (1.1 / 2) H5 = Close * (High/Low) H6 = H5 + 1.168 * (H5 - H4) P = (High + Low + Close) / 3 Camarilla Pivots
  • 55.
    All rights reserved.©QuantInsti Quantitative Learning Pvt Ltd. Not to be distributed without written permission from QuantInsti. R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 P R6 R5 R4 R1, R2, R3 S1, S2, S3 P S4 S5 S6 Woodies vs Camarilla Pivots Weekly Intraday
  • 56.
    All rights reserved.©QuantInsti Quantitative Learning Pvt Ltd. Not to be distributed without written permission from QuantInsti. ● Calculated using Fibonacci series ● 0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144……. ○ 0 + 1 = 1 ○ 1 + 1 = 2 ○ 1 + 2 = 3 ○ 2 + 3 = 5 ● Fibonacci ratios → 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, and 100% Fibonacci Pivots
  • 57.
    All rights reserved.©QuantInsti Quantitative Learning Pvt Ltd. Not to be distributed without written permission from QuantInsti. 0, 21 / 34 = 61.8% 34 / 55 = 61.8% 55 / 89 = 61.8% Fibonacci Ratios
  • 58.
    All rights reserved.©QuantInsti Quantitative Learning Pvt Ltd. Not to be distributed without written permission from QuantInsti. 0, 21 / 55 = 38.1% 34 / 89 = 38.2% 55 / 144 = 38.2% Fibonacci Ratios
  • 59.
    All rights reserved.©QuantInsti Quantitative Learning Pvt Ltd. Not to be distributed without written permission from QuantInsti. 0, 21 / 89 = 23.6% 34 / 144 = 23.6% 55 / 233 = 23.6% Fibonacci Ratios
  • 60.
    All rights reserved.©QuantInsti Quantitative Learning Pvt Ltd. Not to be distributed without written permission from QuantInsti. Fibonacci Ratios
  • 61.
    All rights reserved.©QuantInsti Quantitative Learning Pvt Ltd. Not to be distributed without written permission from QuantInsti. Fibonacci Ratios
  • 62.
    All rights reserved.©QuantInsti Quantitative Learning Pvt Ltd. Not to be distributed without written permission from QuantInsti. Fibonacci Ratios
  • 63.
    All rights reserved.©QuantInsti Quantitative Learning Pvt Ltd. Not to be distributed without written permission from QuantInsti. Fibonacci Ratios
  • 64.
    All rights reserved.©QuantInsti Quantitative Learning Pvt Ltd. Not to be distributed without written permission from QuantInsti. Complete Webinar Recording
  • 65.
    All rights reserved.©QuantInsti Quantitative Learning Pvt Ltd. Not to be distributed without written permission from QuantInsti. Thank You!