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2020
NAR Flash Survey:
Economic Pulse
National Association of REALTORS®
Research Group
April 19-20, 2020
©2020 National Association of REALTORS®
All Rights Reserved.
May not be reprinted in whole or in part
without permission of the National
Association of REALTORS®.
For reprint information, contact
data@realtors.org.
NAR Research Staff:
Lawrence Yun, Ph.D.
Chief Economist and Senior Vice President
Jessica Lautz, Dr.RealEst.
Vice President, Demographics and Behavioral Insights
Meredith Dunn
Manager
Lisa Herceg
Director, Business Insights
Brian Horowitz
Research Analyst, Business Insights
Anna Schnerre
Research Associate, Business Insights
NAR Flash Survey: Economic Pulse April 19-20, 2020
2
Methodology
The survey was deployed on
Sunday, April 19th, and was
closed on Monday April 20th.
Dates
The margin of error for overall results is +/-1.81 percent. This response rate is high
enough and the margin of error is low enough that the results can be considered
quantitative and reflective of all members within this margin of error.
3
Sample
The survey was delivered to a
random sample of 89,813
members. The survey had 2,915
useable responses. The
response rate was 3.25 percent.
For 97 percent of respondents,
the majority of their business is
residential. Seventy-seven
percent of members work in a
local market where there are
presumed or confirmed cases
of COVID-19.
NAR Flash Survey: Economic Pulse April 19-20, 2020
Tenants Paying Rent
Of those who work with residential tenants, 37 percent of property managers cited having no
issues with their tenants paying the rent, compared to 61 percent of individual landlords. Forty-
seven percent of property managers reported being able to accommodate their tenants who
cannot pay rent and 20 percent cited it being difficult. Among individual landlords, 24 percent
of individual landlords reported being able to accommodate their tenants who cannot pay rent
and nine percent cited it being difficult. Small portions (less than 10 percent) of property
managers and individual landlords reported tenants terminating their leases.
4
IN REGARDS TO CORONAVIRUS (COVID-19), HAVE YOU SEEN
ANY TENANTS WHO ARE UNABLE TO PAY THEIR RENT?:
4%
6%
9%
20%
24%
47%
61%
37%
% 30% 60% 90%
Individual landlord
Property manager
No issues, rents are being paid on time
Yes, asking to delay paying their rent, and will be accommodating
knowing the circumstances
Yes, asking to delay paying their rent, and will be difficult to allow
Yes, leases are being terminated
NAR Flash Survey: Economic Pulse April 19-20, 2020
Social Distancing and
Transactions
Twenty-seven percent of members were able to complete nearly all aspects of transactions
while respecting social distance. With minor modifications such as using masks and gloves, 40
percent felt person-to-person interactions were still required. Ten percent postponed home
searching and 18 percent stated that the mandate of stay-at-home prevents them from
completing transactions.
5
HOW WOULD YOU ASSESS SOCIAL DISTANCING GUIDANCE AND
REAL ESTATE TRANSACTION, ESPECIALLY WITH MORE USE OF
VIRTUAL TOURS, ELECTRONIC SIGNATURES, AND EXTERIOR-ONLY
HOME APPRAISALS?
5%
10%
18%
27%
40%
% 30% 60%
Residential Members
Some aspects still require person-to-person interactions, though masks and
gloves could lessen the risk of spreading the virus
Nearly all aspect of the transaction can be done while respecting social
distancing
Government mandate of stay-at-home, including not permitting private
showings is leading to near impossibility of getting deals done
Home searching has to be postponed because of the need for close person-to-
person interactions and with strangers
Other
NAR Flash Survey: Economic Pulse April 19-20, 2020
Technology Tools
Members are using a number of technology tools to communicate with clients. Most often
technology tools are used to communicate with buyers. The most common tech tools used are
e-signatures, social media, messaging apps, and virtual tours.
6
WHAT TECHNOLOGY TOOLS ARE YOU USING TO CULTIVATE NEW
RELATIONSHIPS AND COMMUNICATE WITH CLIENTS?
53%
39%
28%
10%
46%
19%
52%
34%
52%
58%
83%
43%
70%
38%
28%
45%
41%
76%
39%
65%
34%
31%
38%
32%
33%
20%
61%
34%
% 50% 100%
Webex/Zoom
Messaging
apps
Virtual tours
E-signatures
E-closing
technology
Social media
Live videos
Future Clients Sellers Buyers Do not use
NAR Flash Survey: Economic Pulse April 19-20, 2020
Buyer Behavior
Forty-four percent of members reported buyers are delaying their home purchase for a couple
of months. Twenty-two percent stopped looking due to concern of loosing their job. Nine
percent reported members are continuing the process, but only relying on virtual
communication. Seven percent reported clients are deciding not to buy or sell indefinitely. Ten
percent reported there is no change in client behavior, and they continue to meet in person.
7
IN GENERAL, HOW HAS THE CORONAVIRUS (COVID-19) CHANGED
CLIENTS' ATTITUDES WITH REGARDS TO BUYING A HOME?
NAR Flash Survey: Economic Pulse April 19-20, 2020
8%
7%
9%
10%
22%
44%
Residential
Members
Delaying the process a couple of months
Stopped looking due to concern about job or loss of job
No change, continuing to meet with clients and show properties in person
Continuing the process, but relying only on virtual communication ( i.e. virtual tours)
Deciding not to buy indefinitely
Other
Buyer Interest
Eighty-seven percent of members cited a decline in buyer interest. Forty percent reported a
decline by more than 50 percent. Ten percent of members cited no change in activity and
three percent cited an increase in activity.
Thirty-one percent of those who worked with buyers who put contracts on homes this week
had at least one buyer who put in a contract without physically seeing the home. Among
members who worked with a buyer who put a contract on a home this week, the median
amount of homes toured, either virtually or in person, before putting a contract on a home was
three.
8
HOW HAS CORONAVIRUS (COVID-19) AFFECTED HOME BUYER
INTEREST IN YOUR MARKET?
3% 10% 10% 21% 16% 40%
0% 50% 100%
Residential Members
Increase in activity No change in activity
Declined by less than 10% Declined by 10%-30%
Declined by 31%-50% Declined by more than 50%
NAR Flash Survey: Economic Pulse April 19-20, 2020
Buyer Expectations of Home
Prices
Sixty-four percent of members said buyers are expecting a decline in home prices. Of this
share, 17 percent expect a less than five percent decrease and the largest portion (24 percent)
expect a decrease by five to 10 percent.
9
IN GENERAL, ARE HOME BUYERS EXPECTING LOWER PRICES NOW?
36% 17% 24% 9% 14%
0% 50% 100%
Residential
Members
No, not expecting lower prices Yes, by less than 5%
Yes, by 5-10% Yes, by 11-15%
More than 15%
NAR Flash Survey: Economic Pulse April 19-20, 2020
Seller Behavior
Similar to buyers’ behaviors, 55 percent of members reported sellers are delaying their home
sale for a couple of months. Seventeen percent reported members are continuing the process,
but only relying on virtual communication. Eight percent reported clients are deciding not to
buy or sell indefinitely. Eight percent reported there is no change in client behavior, and they
continue to meet in person.
10
IN GENERAL, HOW HAS THE CORONAVIRUS (COVID-19) CHANGED
CLIENTS' ATTITUDES WITH REGARDS TO SELLING A HOME?
55% 17% 8% 13% 7%
0% 50% 100%
Residential
Members
Delaying the process a couple of months
Continuing the process, but relying only on virtual communication
Deciding not buy/sell indefinitely
No change, continuing to meet w/clients and show properties in person
Other
NAR Flash Survey: Economic Pulse April 19-20, 2020
Sellers Reduced Listing Price
Sixty-three percent of members reported working with home sellers. Of those who are
currently working with sellers, 74 percent said that no sellers have reduced the price to attract
buyers. Fifteen percent reported sale prices reduced by five percent or less. Only two percent
reported 15 percent or more.
11
IN GENERAL, HAVE ANY OF YOUR HOME SELLERS RECENTLY
REDUCED PRICE TO ATTRACT BUYERS?
2%
1%
9%
15%
74%
% 30% 60% 90%
Residential Members
No, have not lowered price Yes, by less than 5%
Yes, by 5-10% Yes, by 11-15%
More than 15%
NAR Flash Survey: Economic Pulse April 19-20, 2020
Seller Behavior
Of those who are working with home sellers with active listings, the majority reported
changing how their clients’ home is viewed while the home remains on the market. Ninety-
three percent reported that home sellers have made changes including stopping open houses,
or requiring all those who enter the home to take appropriate precautions before entering
home.
12
IN REGARDS TO CORONAVIRUS (COVID-19), HAVE YOU SEEN ANY OF
THE FOLLOWING CHANGES IN HOME SELLER LISTING BEHAVIOR?
7%
10%
4%
5%
19%
34%
41%
44%
54%
55%
63%
71%
0% 50% 100%
Residential
Members
Stop open houses
Buyers need to take precautions upon
entering (hand sanitizer/wash
hands/gloves/shoe covers/masks)
Home Inspectors need to take precautions
upon entering (hand sanitizer/wash
hands/gloves/shoe covers/masks)
Appraisers need to take precautions upon
entering (hand sanitizer/wash
hands/gloves/shoe covers/masks)
Rely on virtual tours
In-person showings not allowed
Rely on virtual showings
Rely on virtual open house
Obtain home inspection before listing
home for sale
Leave open windows on home tours
Other
No change
NAR Flash Survey: Economic Pulse April 19-20, 2020
Residential Closing Delays
Of those who are closing transactions, 47 percent of residential members have reported no
closing delays. Delays in closing happened for a number of reasons including delays with
financing, buyers no longer qualifying due to loss of job, home inspections, final walk-
throughs, title searches, and in-person signatures.
13NAR Flash Survey: Economic Pulse April 19-20, 2020
16%
7%
12%
16%
19%
31%
34%
43%
47%
0% 50%
Residential
Members
No delays
Financing
Buyer no longer qualifies due to job
loss
Appraisals
Home inspection
Final walk throughs
Title search
In-person signature
Other
The National Association of REALTORS® is America’s largest trade association,
representing more than 1.4 million members, including NAR’s institutes, societies and
councils, involved in all aspects of the real estate industry. NAR membership includes
brokers, salespeople, property managers, appraisers, counselors and others engaged in
both residential and commercial
real estate.
The term REALTOR® is a registered collective membership mark that identifies a
real estate professional who is a member of the National Association of REALTORS®
and subscribes to its strict Code of Ethics.
Working for America’s property owners, the National Association provides a facility for
professional development, research and exchange of information among its members
and to the public and government for the purpose of preserving the free enterprise
system and the right to own real property.
NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
RESEARCH GROUP
The Mission of the NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® Research Group is to
produce timely, data-driven market analysis and authoritative business intelligence to
serve
members, and inform consumers, policymakers and the media in a professional and
accessible
manner.
To find out about other products from NAR’s Research Group, visit
nar.realtor/research-and-statistics
NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®
Research Group
500 New Jersey Avenue, NW
Washington, DC 20001
202-383-1000
data@realtors.org
14
NAR Flash Survey: Economic Pulse April 19-20, 2020

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NAR FLASH SURVEY April 19-20, 2020

  • 1. 2020 NAR Flash Survey: Economic Pulse National Association of REALTORS® Research Group April 19-20, 2020
  • 2. ©2020 National Association of REALTORS® All Rights Reserved. May not be reprinted in whole or in part without permission of the National Association of REALTORS®. For reprint information, contact data@realtors.org. NAR Research Staff: Lawrence Yun, Ph.D. Chief Economist and Senior Vice President Jessica Lautz, Dr.RealEst. Vice President, Demographics and Behavioral Insights Meredith Dunn Manager Lisa Herceg Director, Business Insights Brian Horowitz Research Analyst, Business Insights Anna Schnerre Research Associate, Business Insights NAR Flash Survey: Economic Pulse April 19-20, 2020 2
  • 3. Methodology The survey was deployed on Sunday, April 19th, and was closed on Monday April 20th. Dates The margin of error for overall results is +/-1.81 percent. This response rate is high enough and the margin of error is low enough that the results can be considered quantitative and reflective of all members within this margin of error. 3 Sample The survey was delivered to a random sample of 89,813 members. The survey had 2,915 useable responses. The response rate was 3.25 percent. For 97 percent of respondents, the majority of their business is residential. Seventy-seven percent of members work in a local market where there are presumed or confirmed cases of COVID-19. NAR Flash Survey: Economic Pulse April 19-20, 2020
  • 4. Tenants Paying Rent Of those who work with residential tenants, 37 percent of property managers cited having no issues with their tenants paying the rent, compared to 61 percent of individual landlords. Forty- seven percent of property managers reported being able to accommodate their tenants who cannot pay rent and 20 percent cited it being difficult. Among individual landlords, 24 percent of individual landlords reported being able to accommodate their tenants who cannot pay rent and nine percent cited it being difficult. Small portions (less than 10 percent) of property managers and individual landlords reported tenants terminating their leases. 4 IN REGARDS TO CORONAVIRUS (COVID-19), HAVE YOU SEEN ANY TENANTS WHO ARE UNABLE TO PAY THEIR RENT?: 4% 6% 9% 20% 24% 47% 61% 37% % 30% 60% 90% Individual landlord Property manager No issues, rents are being paid on time Yes, asking to delay paying their rent, and will be accommodating knowing the circumstances Yes, asking to delay paying their rent, and will be difficult to allow Yes, leases are being terminated NAR Flash Survey: Economic Pulse April 19-20, 2020
  • 5. Social Distancing and Transactions Twenty-seven percent of members were able to complete nearly all aspects of transactions while respecting social distance. With minor modifications such as using masks and gloves, 40 percent felt person-to-person interactions were still required. Ten percent postponed home searching and 18 percent stated that the mandate of stay-at-home prevents them from completing transactions. 5 HOW WOULD YOU ASSESS SOCIAL DISTANCING GUIDANCE AND REAL ESTATE TRANSACTION, ESPECIALLY WITH MORE USE OF VIRTUAL TOURS, ELECTRONIC SIGNATURES, AND EXTERIOR-ONLY HOME APPRAISALS? 5% 10% 18% 27% 40% % 30% 60% Residential Members Some aspects still require person-to-person interactions, though masks and gloves could lessen the risk of spreading the virus Nearly all aspect of the transaction can be done while respecting social distancing Government mandate of stay-at-home, including not permitting private showings is leading to near impossibility of getting deals done Home searching has to be postponed because of the need for close person-to- person interactions and with strangers Other NAR Flash Survey: Economic Pulse April 19-20, 2020
  • 6. Technology Tools Members are using a number of technology tools to communicate with clients. Most often technology tools are used to communicate with buyers. The most common tech tools used are e-signatures, social media, messaging apps, and virtual tours. 6 WHAT TECHNOLOGY TOOLS ARE YOU USING TO CULTIVATE NEW RELATIONSHIPS AND COMMUNICATE WITH CLIENTS? 53% 39% 28% 10% 46% 19% 52% 34% 52% 58% 83% 43% 70% 38% 28% 45% 41% 76% 39% 65% 34% 31% 38% 32% 33% 20% 61% 34% % 50% 100% Webex/Zoom Messaging apps Virtual tours E-signatures E-closing technology Social media Live videos Future Clients Sellers Buyers Do not use NAR Flash Survey: Economic Pulse April 19-20, 2020
  • 7. Buyer Behavior Forty-four percent of members reported buyers are delaying their home purchase for a couple of months. Twenty-two percent stopped looking due to concern of loosing their job. Nine percent reported members are continuing the process, but only relying on virtual communication. Seven percent reported clients are deciding not to buy or sell indefinitely. Ten percent reported there is no change in client behavior, and they continue to meet in person. 7 IN GENERAL, HOW HAS THE CORONAVIRUS (COVID-19) CHANGED CLIENTS' ATTITUDES WITH REGARDS TO BUYING A HOME? NAR Flash Survey: Economic Pulse April 19-20, 2020 8% 7% 9% 10% 22% 44% Residential Members Delaying the process a couple of months Stopped looking due to concern about job or loss of job No change, continuing to meet with clients and show properties in person Continuing the process, but relying only on virtual communication ( i.e. virtual tours) Deciding not to buy indefinitely Other
  • 8. Buyer Interest Eighty-seven percent of members cited a decline in buyer interest. Forty percent reported a decline by more than 50 percent. Ten percent of members cited no change in activity and three percent cited an increase in activity. Thirty-one percent of those who worked with buyers who put contracts on homes this week had at least one buyer who put in a contract without physically seeing the home. Among members who worked with a buyer who put a contract on a home this week, the median amount of homes toured, either virtually or in person, before putting a contract on a home was three. 8 HOW HAS CORONAVIRUS (COVID-19) AFFECTED HOME BUYER INTEREST IN YOUR MARKET? 3% 10% 10% 21% 16% 40% 0% 50% 100% Residential Members Increase in activity No change in activity Declined by less than 10% Declined by 10%-30% Declined by 31%-50% Declined by more than 50% NAR Flash Survey: Economic Pulse April 19-20, 2020
  • 9. Buyer Expectations of Home Prices Sixty-four percent of members said buyers are expecting a decline in home prices. Of this share, 17 percent expect a less than five percent decrease and the largest portion (24 percent) expect a decrease by five to 10 percent. 9 IN GENERAL, ARE HOME BUYERS EXPECTING LOWER PRICES NOW? 36% 17% 24% 9% 14% 0% 50% 100% Residential Members No, not expecting lower prices Yes, by less than 5% Yes, by 5-10% Yes, by 11-15% More than 15% NAR Flash Survey: Economic Pulse April 19-20, 2020
  • 10. Seller Behavior Similar to buyers’ behaviors, 55 percent of members reported sellers are delaying their home sale for a couple of months. Seventeen percent reported members are continuing the process, but only relying on virtual communication. Eight percent reported clients are deciding not to buy or sell indefinitely. Eight percent reported there is no change in client behavior, and they continue to meet in person. 10 IN GENERAL, HOW HAS THE CORONAVIRUS (COVID-19) CHANGED CLIENTS' ATTITUDES WITH REGARDS TO SELLING A HOME? 55% 17% 8% 13% 7% 0% 50% 100% Residential Members Delaying the process a couple of months Continuing the process, but relying only on virtual communication Deciding not buy/sell indefinitely No change, continuing to meet w/clients and show properties in person Other NAR Flash Survey: Economic Pulse April 19-20, 2020
  • 11. Sellers Reduced Listing Price Sixty-three percent of members reported working with home sellers. Of those who are currently working with sellers, 74 percent said that no sellers have reduced the price to attract buyers. Fifteen percent reported sale prices reduced by five percent or less. Only two percent reported 15 percent or more. 11 IN GENERAL, HAVE ANY OF YOUR HOME SELLERS RECENTLY REDUCED PRICE TO ATTRACT BUYERS? 2% 1% 9% 15% 74% % 30% 60% 90% Residential Members No, have not lowered price Yes, by less than 5% Yes, by 5-10% Yes, by 11-15% More than 15% NAR Flash Survey: Economic Pulse April 19-20, 2020
  • 12. Seller Behavior Of those who are working with home sellers with active listings, the majority reported changing how their clients’ home is viewed while the home remains on the market. Ninety- three percent reported that home sellers have made changes including stopping open houses, or requiring all those who enter the home to take appropriate precautions before entering home. 12 IN REGARDS TO CORONAVIRUS (COVID-19), HAVE YOU SEEN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CHANGES IN HOME SELLER LISTING BEHAVIOR? 7% 10% 4% 5% 19% 34% 41% 44% 54% 55% 63% 71% 0% 50% 100% Residential Members Stop open houses Buyers need to take precautions upon entering (hand sanitizer/wash hands/gloves/shoe covers/masks) Home Inspectors need to take precautions upon entering (hand sanitizer/wash hands/gloves/shoe covers/masks) Appraisers need to take precautions upon entering (hand sanitizer/wash hands/gloves/shoe covers/masks) Rely on virtual tours In-person showings not allowed Rely on virtual showings Rely on virtual open house Obtain home inspection before listing home for sale Leave open windows on home tours Other No change NAR Flash Survey: Economic Pulse April 19-20, 2020
  • 13. Residential Closing Delays Of those who are closing transactions, 47 percent of residential members have reported no closing delays. Delays in closing happened for a number of reasons including delays with financing, buyers no longer qualifying due to loss of job, home inspections, final walk- throughs, title searches, and in-person signatures. 13NAR Flash Survey: Economic Pulse April 19-20, 2020 16% 7% 12% 16% 19% 31% 34% 43% 47% 0% 50% Residential Members No delays Financing Buyer no longer qualifies due to job loss Appraisals Home inspection Final walk throughs Title search In-person signature Other
  • 14. The National Association of REALTORS® is America’s largest trade association, representing more than 1.4 million members, including NAR’s institutes, societies and councils, involved in all aspects of the real estate industry. NAR membership includes brokers, salespeople, property managers, appraisers, counselors and others engaged in both residential and commercial real estate. The term REALTOR® is a registered collective membership mark that identifies a real estate professional who is a member of the National Association of REALTORS® and subscribes to its strict Code of Ethics. Working for America’s property owners, the National Association provides a facility for professional development, research and exchange of information among its members and to the public and government for the purpose of preserving the free enterprise system and the right to own real property. NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® RESEARCH GROUP The Mission of the NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® Research Group is to produce timely, data-driven market analysis and authoritative business intelligence to serve members, and inform consumers, policymakers and the media in a professional and accessible manner. To find out about other products from NAR’s Research Group, visit nar.realtor/research-and-statistics NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® Research Group 500 New Jersey Avenue, NW Washington, DC 20001 202-383-1000 data@realtors.org 14 NAR Flash Survey: Economic Pulse April 19-20, 2020