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Dr Jacoline Bouvy
Senior Scientific Adviser
Science, Policy and Research Programme
Medical advances and the changing role of real-world
evidence
• Established in 1999
• Aim: to reduce variation in the availability and
quality of treatments and care (the so called
‘postcode lottery’)
• To resolve uncertainty about which medicines and
treatments work best and which represent best
value for money for the NHS
The background: why NICE was set up
Evidence-based
guidance and advice for
health, public health and
social care
Quality standards
and performance
metrics for those
providing and
commissioning
health, public health
and social care
Information
services for
commissioners,
practitioners and
managers
Improving outcomes for people
NICE
Clinical
practice
Social care
New drugs
Indicators
Quality
standards
Public
health
Medtech
and
diagnostics
The NICE portfolio in 2018
• Based on the best evidence available
• Expert input
• Patient and carer involvement
• Independent advisory committees
• Consultation
• Regular review
• Open and transparent process
• Social values and equity considerations
Core principles of NICE’s work
Scientific
Rigour
Inclusiveness
Transparency
Independence
Challenge
Review
Support for
implementation
Timeliness
Procedural principles for guidance development
NICE
Guidance
Our role: how does NICE develop recommendations?
NICE guidance takes into
account both clinical
effectiveness and cost
effectiveness
What works? And how much does it cost?
Recommendations
Committee decision making
Clinical
effectiveness
Other health
benefits
Innovation
Equality
legislation
Social value judgements
Extent of
uncertainty
Cost-
effectiveness
• How well does the drug/treatment work in relation to how much it costs
compared to standard practice in the NHS ?
• Recognises the reality of fixed NHS resources
• Exposes the opportunity cost of new interventions, that is if you spend
money on a new healthcare intervention, you have to take away the
health care from someone else
• Enables consistency and fairness across all decisions
Economic evaluation of new drugs/treatments
Establishing value: cost effectiveness
Cost per QALY (£’000)
Research Priorities
Patient
preferences
Implementation of
guidance
Data
visualisation Data
science
Precision
medicine
Cross-sector
comparisons
NICE
research
priorities
Data
science
Precision
medicine
Real-
world
data
Adaptive
pathways
Anticipating and
influencing
external change
Andrew Obenshain, Bluebird’s head of Europe, said:
“Europe will be the first market. We’re having very pro-active early
discussions. We don’t plan to come and surprise governments.”
(Telegraph, 6 August 2017)
• Regulatory approvals based on:
• Non-comparative studies
• Single-arm trials
• Basket trials
• Small patient numbers
• Promise of highly innovative treatments…
• …but with considerable uncertainty (esp long-
term outcomes)
• …and usually, (very) expensive
Implications
• Increasing availability of data
offers opportunities
• Advanced analytics & machine
learning
• Need for quality standards
Real-world evidence
Grandjean, Martin (2014). "La connaissance est un réseau". Les Cahiers du Numérique 10 (3): 37-54.
• The changing nature of medical innovations change the evidence available to inform NICE
guidance…
• …accelerating the need for better utilisation of real-world data and advanced analytics
• Quality standards are needed to ensure evidence generated using real-world data and
advanced analytics to inform decisions is robust and valid
Conclusions
• www.nice.org.uk/research
• Jacoline.Bouvy@nice.org.uk
Thank you

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Medical and scientific advances and ethics

Editor's Notes

  1. NICE does not just assess how much a new treatment, medicine or medical device costs: we balance this carefully with how well it works compared to the treatment currently used in the NHS. We do not compare with a placebo, like in RCTs – we compare with how patients are being treated already. Does the new drug offer a sufficient advantage compared to current treatment, to justify its price?
  2. Quality Adjusted Life Years – QALYs – are a tool that NICE uses to understand how well a new drug or treatment works, and to compare that with the current standard practice in the NHS.