Knowledgefaber
                                                                                  Emerging Opportunities - Emerging Economies

                                                                                                                       December 12, 2011
E-Tailing landscape in India: Existing scenario and the way
forward
                                                                                                                          Prepared by:
                                                                                                                             Amit Goel
                                                                                                                           Vipul Vohra
                                                                                                                        Tricha Sharma
This document is prepared by Knowledgefaber as a part of its research offerings                                          Sumit Kumar
                                                                                                                              July 2011
Table of Contents

     Contents                                                                  Slide No.
     1. What is E-Commerce?
        1.1 Definition of E-commerce                                                   3
        1.2 Most significant advantage of online retailers                             4
     2. Indian E-Commerce Industry
        2.1 E-Commerce Industry in India – Stupendous Growth                           5
        2.2 Evolution of E-tailing in India                                          6-7
        2.3 What things current E-tailers are doing right vis-à-vis past               8
     3.Analysis of current trends in Indian E-tailing
        3.1 Product categories suitable for E-tailing                                  9
        3.2 Performance metrics for E-tailing and current trends                   10-11
     4. E-Tailing formats in India
        4.1 E-Commerce formats in India                                               12
        4.2 Generic E-tailers                                                         13
        4.3 Online store of physical retailers                                        14
        4.4 Niche Players                                                             15
        4.5 Daily deal sites                                                          16
        4.6 Online travel websites                                                    17
     5. VCs and investors – how the money is pouring in?                              18
     6. Looking into the future
        6.1 Existing E-tailers                                                        19
        6.2 VCs/investors                                                             20
     7. Appendix                                                                      21

December 12, 2011                                                          2               KF
1.1 Definition of E-commerce


                                               E-commerce: What the term means

   Use of the term “E-commerce” has expanded to include various business models but primarily it include
     Conduct of a financial transaction by electronic means or electronic buying of products, services or information using internet as a
       platform
       This electronic buying process encompasses all the steps involved in a transaction such as on-line marketing, ordering payment
       and support for delivery
       This process also includes electronic provision of services such as after sales and customer care




             How the business model of online retailers add value compared to physical retailers?

  Physical Retailer                                                       Online Retailer or E-tailer
  Advantages:                                                             Advantages:
       Provides face to face selling making shopping an                        Cost effective as online retailers does not have to invest in
       experience                                                              physical infrastructure (store, real estate cost, sales force
       Customers get access to better product information                      etc.)
       through in-store sales representatives                                  Provides ease and convenience of shopping at any time
  Disadvantages:                                                               and from any location
       Higher costs of operation (real estate costs, store costs,         Disadvantages:
       pilferage losses and store sales force costs) than online               Have to invest in logistics operations
       retailers                                                               Highly competitive (millions of sites competing against the
                                                                               same set of customers resulting in low customer stickiness)
                                                                               Business models of many online retail formats are still
                                                                               unproven with players struggling to break even
                                                                               Little customer interaction (phone lines, email inquiries)

December 12, 2011                                                     3                                                                     KF
1.2 Lower Prices:                      Most significant advantage of online retailers



   An Example: How E-tailers are attracting consumers by offering 20-30% lower prices than physical
                                               retailers
                                                                               Huge benefits for online shoppers:
    MRP of a book in a physical
                                                                                    Online retailers are looking for customer acquisition mainly
    book store = INR 500
                                                                                    and not for profits
                                                                                    As a result, Indian online retailers are offering products
                                                                                    at just about cost price or at a marginal loss
                                                                                    Lower prices of a book coupled with free delivery and
                                                                                    Cash-on-delivery option is a huge boon for the
    Estimated cost at which online                                                  customer
    retailer purchases directly from                                                Example on the left illustrates how consumer is
    the publisher = ~ 40 – 60% of MRP                                               benefitting from low price model of Indian online
    depending upon economies of                                                     retailers
    scale = INR 200 - 300
                                                                               Total estimated cost to the online retailers = ~ INR
                                                                               270-370


    Estimated cost of shipping is INR                                          Listed price on the website = INR 324 (Whole profit
    20-50 + COD charges (Higher of                                             margins are passed on to the consumers)
    INR 30 or 2.1% of package value)
    = ~ INR 70                                                                 MRP in physical book store at 10% discount = INR 450

                                                                                  Total savings for the consumer = INR
                                                                                               126 or 28%
    Source: E-commerce in India: The second coming, Forbes.com
    Note: If a player has its own logistics team, then COD charges are replaced by cash management costs which are very less

December 12, 2011                                                         4                                                                    KF
2.1 E-Commerce Industry in India – Stupendous Growth


                       Indian E-Commerce industry                                 Steep growth in Indian E-commerce Industry
                        Coming off age in recent years                                     Industry witnessing a boom
           Indian E-commerce industry has come a long way
                                                                      50,000                                                            46,520
           since the tumultuous days of dotcom bubble                                              CAGR – 54.6%
           Floodgates were opened by online travel sites like         40,000
           IRCTC and makemytrip.com which changed the way                                                                    31,598
           Indians book travel tickets                                30,000
                                                                                                                    19,688
           Rapidly increasing Internet user base and rising middle    20,000                        14,030
           class with disposable income has contributed to the                        8,146
                                                                      10,000
           flourishing of industry
           Secure online transaction environment, measures like               -
           Cash-on-delivery, focus on customer service has                            2007            2008       2009        2010        2011
           motivated Indian consumers to place their trust in                                           Market Size (INR Cr)
           online shopping
                                                                          Source: Indian E-commerce report, IAMAI

               Online Shopping behavior among Indians                      Market share of various categories in Indian E-commerce
                  Based upon survey in 4 metro cities                       Online travel dominates the online spending by Indians

                                                                                                    Other Online E-tailing
                                                            17.4 Mn                                  Services      7%
                                              Active User                                               5%
                                                 base                                         Financial
                                                                                              Services
                                                                                                 6%
                                                                                            Digital
                                                                                          Downloads
                                                Looked                                       2%
                                                only for    13.6 Mn
                                              information

                                                Bought                                                                                Online Travel
                                               products/    7.4 Mn                                                                        80%
                                               services

    Source: Indian E-commerce report, IAMAI                               Source: Indian E-commerce report, IAMAI

December 12, 2011                                                     5                                                                               KF
2.2 Evolution of E-tailing in India before 2007




        • Started in 1996 IndiaMart is the               • Rediff.com started its
          oldest and largest online B2B                    online shopping portal in
          marketplace in India                             2001 focusing on
        • It broke-even in the very first year             electronic market
          of its launch & has registered                 • In 2009, Rediff.com                • In the year 2006
          profitable growth in all years of its            generated revenues of INR            Network 18 group
          operations                                       120 crore                                                        • Future Group started its
                                                                                                started
                                                                                                Homeshop18.com and            online shopping portal
                                                                                                compareIndia.com.             FutureBazaar.com in
                      • In 1998, Sify Technologies                                                                            2007.
                        started its B2C portal                                                • bsbazaar.com starts
                                                                                                operation in 2006. The      • FutureBazaar.com
                        targeting growing internet                   • eBay entered the                                       registered revenues of Rs
                        user base.                                     Indian market with       site is owned by
                                                                                                Business standard &           122 crore i.e., 1.5 per cent
                      • Sify has found it difficult to                 acquisition of                                         of total sales of the Future
                        grow                                           Baazee.com for Rs        indiaplaza.in
                                                                                                                              group
                                                                       230 crore.
                                       • Indiaplaza.in launched      • eBay sells diverse
                                         a niche portal for            range of products in
                                         selling books.                the Indian market
                                       • Indiaplaza.in was
                                         acquired by Fabmall in
                                         2000, name was
                                         retained




                         1996                     1998            2000              2002             2004                2006               2008


December 12, 2011                                                             6                                                                       KF
2.2 Evolution of E-tailing in India Post 2007




                                                                                                                             Foreign retailers
                                                                                                                             planning to enter India
                                                                                       Different E-commerce
                                                  Funds starts flowing in              formats emerges in                Amazon.com, the world’s
      E-commerce sector in                        the sector                           Indian market                     leading online firm, is also
      India experiences                                                                                                  making plans to set up
                                                                                       Launched in early 2010,           operations in India
      resurgence                                 Indian E-commerce industry
                                                 starts attracting a lot of            Snapdeal is the most
         E-commerce wave in India
                                                 attention and various new             successful daily deals
         resurges as players like
                                                 players launches operations           website in India. It is
         Flipkart and Infibeam start
                                                                                       growing by 40 -50% every
         operation focusing on bridging
                                                                                       month and have more
         the gap which exists in
                                                                                       than 400 employees            Taggle.com, a deal
         customer service and quality
                                                                                       establishing its presence     website closed its
         of existing e-tailers
                                                                                       in 50 cities (as of May       operations citing ongoing
                                                                                       2011)                         unprofitable price wars in
                                                       Indian E-commerce sector                                      the industry
                                                       starts generating interest
                                                       amongst investors and VC
                                                       firms and funds start flowing
                                                       in




      2007                                2008                                 2009                           2010              2011              2012


December 12, 2011                                                               7                                                                       KF
2.3 What things current E-tailers are doing right vis-à-vis past
2010-2020 in India might become the decade of "Ecommerce". Early entrants in this domain adopted low pricing
strategy with little focus on timely delivery. This resulted in slow off-take for the industry. However, in our
research studies and consulting assignments in last 3 yrs, we have observed definitive trends wherein a growing
number of customers are beginning to buy online, often high value products. Credit goes to few players/enablers
whose high attention to detail and process innovations resulted in on-time delivery and quality products.


                    Introduction to Cash on Delivery and E-wallet

                    • Cash on delivery has been a successful method to attract Indian consumers who are wary of
                     shopping online because of online scams. This approach has been successful in solving the twin
                     problems – “bridging trust deficit” in the minds of Indian consumers for transacting online and the
                     low penetration of debit/credit card



                    On time Delivery

                    •The consumers refrain from buying online as they do not know when goods will arrive. But,
                     nowadays, Ecommerce companies have been managing quick turnaround and delivery times.
                     Features like order tracking has helped the customers know the status of their order
                    • Still, Indian players have not been able to attain “same day delivery”


                    User Experience and Customer support

                    • Companies have invested in features like user friendly websites, call center for assisting customers
                     in placing and tracking orders or lodging complaints, customer friendly return policies etc.


                    Branded Products at Heavily discounted Prices

                    • Ecommerce companies have leaner operations to facilitate direct buying from vendors and cutting
                    down costs which they are able to pass on to the consumers

December 12, 2011                                                 8                                                          KF
3.1 Product categories suitable for e-tailing
          Knowledgefaber has categorized various product categories based upon price value and
          supply chain complexity to analyze current and future product mix in Indian E-tailing
          market


                                                       4                                                   3
                High                                Electronics,                                    Cars,
                                                     mobiles,                                   motorcycles,
                                                     cameras,                           B2B          AC
                                                       home                          Commerce – (manufactur
                                                    appliances,                       machinery ers selling
                                                     High-end                         and other directly) etc.
       Value                                          jewelry                          high value
                                                                                        products

                                                                                                               B2B Commerce –
                                                     Books,                                                    Corporate gifting,
                                                      CDs,                                             2          promotional
                                                    Personal                                                   items, stationary
                                                      Care,                                                           etc.
                                                    Apparels,                                         Vegetables,
                    Low                              Shoes,                                             Poultry
                                                     Bags,                                             products,
                                                    perfumes                                          Automotive
                                                                                                      spare parts
                                                      1                                                    &
                                                                                                      accessories


                                                 Low                                                   High
                                                        Supply Chain complexity
      Indian e-tailers are currently operating in quadrants 1 and 4 mainly. Challenge going forwards is to add more and more
      product categories in these quadrants
      Quadrant 3 is the category most difficult to sell online but is profitable
      Quadrant 2 also contains product categories which require robust infrastructure to sell online and some of the categories
      like grocery, vegetables etc. are also not very profitable
  Supply Chain complexity – includes parameters like ease of procurement, storage, handling, transportation, packaging, delivery and
  installation/demos (if required)
December 12, 2011                                                           9                                                          KF
3.2 Performance metrics in E-tailing and current trends
          Knowledgefaber has come up with performance metrics (analogous to physical retail)
          to evaluate the existing trends in Indian E-tailing
     Performance Metrics in      Corresponding Performance
                                                                      Current trends in Indian E-tailing
         physical retail           Metrics in online retail

                                                                  With increasing internet penetration and effective
        Number of footfalls        Traffic volume on website   marketing by e-tailing companies, traffic growth has been
                                                                                        robust


     Footfall-sales conversion                                   Traffic-sales conversion are bound to be lower than
                                    Traffic-sales conversion
                                                                 physical retail and currently hovers around 3 – 6%


                                  Sales growth from existing   With market in nascent stage, established categories like
     Same-store sales growth                                       books, mobile, electronics etc. are experiencing
                                      product categories
                                                                                  significant growth

                                    Sales growth from new       Current e-tailing players enjoy higher growth from new
      New-store sales growth
                                      product categories              product categories due to low base effect

                                                               To increase the average basket size of the customers, e-
        Average basket size            Average cart size             tailers resort to bundling and dynamic buying
                                                                recommendations, practices which are still in nascent
                                                                             stage in Indian e-tailing industry

                                                                   Indian e-tailing websites are experiencing high
          Repeat purchase              Repeat purchase         percentage of repeat purchases with 50-70% customers
                                                                             being the repeat purchasers


    Customer acquisition cost      Customer acquisition cost        Indian e-tailers are currently in the process of
                                                                establishing a brand and hence high acquisition costs




December 12, 2011                                      10                                                           KF
3.2 Performance metrics in E-tailing and current trends
          Knowledgefaber has come up with performance metrics (unique to E-tailing industry)
                                                                         E-
          to evaluate the existing trends in Indian E-tailing

     Performance Metrics in online retail                       Current trends in Indian E-tailing


                                               It is defined as the interval between the time when an order is received
               Order Processing Time           and when it is shipped. Ideally, it should be lesser than 24 hours but no
                                                Indian online retailer has been able to achieve this standard currently


                                                Time taken to ship order to the customer’s door step. Few players like
                     Shipping Time             Flipkart have been able to reduce delivery time greatly by operating their
                                                own logistics operations but still no Indian player has achieved “same
                                                                             day” delivery


                                                Only few players have implemented consumer friendly return policies.
            Return policies/mechanism          But robust return mechanism is still a missing link for many Indian online
                                                                              retailers




       Average time spent on site per user     With increase in product categories and online catalogues, average time
                                                     spent by Indian online shoppers has been steadily increasing



                                                Many Indian online retailers are constantly investing in up gradation of
                    Site performance           technology. As a result, user experience in terms of site performance is
                                                                         improving all the time




December 12, 2011                                11                                                                   KF
4.1 E-Commerce formats in India

                               Major E-Commerce Formats in India

                                        E-tailing Formats in India



     Generic E - tailers   Online stores of                                             Online
                                                     Niche Players   Deal aggregators
                           physical retailers                                           Travel




December 12, 2011                                       12                                       KF
4.2 E-tailing formats in India



                                    Generic E-tailers
                                         Website acts as the sole front end of the respective player where customers
                                         can choose from online catalogue and place order.
                    Overview             Telephonic sales channels are also established to augment sales
                                         E.g. – Flipkart, Infibeam, Letsbuy.com etc.



                                         Revenue through online (sometimes inbound telephonic also) product sales
          Business Model & Target
                                         Internet savvy customers mostly in Tier I and Tier II cities
                 Segment


                                         Scalability depends upon internet traffic growth rate and a change in
                                         consumer buying behavior
                    Scalability          Existing set of low prices are helping to attract throng of customers and
                                         enabling E-tailers to scale up


                                         Low investment needed in front end and hence able to offer lower prices and
                                         wider product variety
                    Strengths            Provides ease and convenience of shopping from any location or at any time




                                         Needs to have a robust backend to ensure timely delivery and service level
                                         Managing return supply chain is a complex challenge for existing players
                    Challenges           Online stores have to ensure safety and security of payments to abridge trust
                                         deficit existing in the mind of consumers


December 12, 2011                             13                                                                         KF
4.3 E-tailing formats in India



                                    Online stores of physical retailers
                                                 Many Indian retailers operate online portals to adopt a multi channel retail
                                                 strategy and complement their physical stores
                    Overview                     Online stores targets acquiring new customers who are more convenience
                                                 driven rather than looking for in-store experience



                                                 Revenue through online (sometimes inbound telephonic also) product sales
          Business Model & Target                Existing/new set of customers who prefer convenience more than in-store
                 Segment                         experience



                                                 Scalability is driven by brand value of the physical retailer and convenience
                                                 factor demand amongst its consumers
                    Scalability                  Scalability in this model will happen only with a paradigm shift in consumer
                                                 preference for convenience rather than in-store experience


                                                 Existing brand in physical domain helps win over the customers
                                                 Online stores acts as extension of physical business enabling a player to
                    Strengths                    execute multi channel retail strategy




                                                 Pricing decisions becomes very critical as offering lower prices on online
                                                 portal compared to physical stores will give rise to a “price arbitrage”
                    Challenges                   Physical retailer has to invest in backend infrastructure and logistics to ship
                                                 directly to retail customers


December 12, 2011                                     14                                                                           KF
4.4 E-tailing formats in India



                                    Niche Players
                                       Unlike generic E-tailers, niche players in E-commerce are just focussing on a
                                       single product category/type
                    Overview           Niche product categories includes apparel, footwear, baby care, personal care
                                       etc.




                                       Revenue through online (sometimes inbound telephonic also) product sales
          Business Model & Target
                                       Internet savvy and price conscious customers mostly in Tier I and Tier II cities
                 Segment


                                       Scalability is limited as they are catering to niche demands
                                       It is imperative to offer a host of products to gain new customers and hence
                    Scalability        niche players will scale up based upon depth of variety they are offering




                                       Wide product variety at lower prices
                                       Ease and convenience of shopping from any location or at any time
                    Strengths



                                       Niche players are focussing on “touch and feel” intensive products (apparel,
                                       footwear etc.) which involves high consumer inertia regarding online buying
                    Challenges         Maintaining a balance between brand exclusivity and lower prices than
                                       physical stores


December 12, 2011                           15                                                                            KF
4.5 E-tailing formats in India



                                  Deal Aggregators/Daily Deal Websites
                                                Offers discount coupons to consumers for various products and services
                                                (restaurants, spas, hotels, travel deals etc.)
                    Overview                    Front end includes a website where discount coupons can be purchased and
                                                a sales force which enlists merchants and deals




                                                Revenue sharing/commission received via merchants
          Business Model & Target
                                                Internet savvy and price conscious customers mostly in Tier I and Tier II cities
                 Segment


                                                Scalability is a function of number of merchants/variety of deals one can bring
                                                to the table, which is in turn driven by sales force on the ground. Hence,
                    Scalability                 scalability is limited




                                                Acts as aggregator of demand and enable partner merchants to enjoy
                                                economies of scale and higher sales volume
                    Strengths



                                                Merchant ends up making no money on many deals as lack of repeat
                                                purchases nullify initial investment by the merchant in the deal
                    Challenges                  Encourages “deal hunting” mind set among consumers lowering her price
                                                expectations for the products and services


December 12, 2011                                    16                                                                            KF
4.6 Online travel websites



                                    Online travel websites
                                           This category consists of players who focuses on meeting a single consumer
                                           need through wide range of products (air travel, rail travel, hotel
                    Overview               accommodation, travel packages etc.)
                                           Focuses mainly on convenience rather than low prices




                                           Revenue through online (sometimes inbound telephonic also) tickets/package
          Business Model & Target
                                           sales
                 Segment


                                           Travel websites have been able to scale up based upon convenience as the
                                           central tenet of their value proposition
                    Scalability



                                           Ease and convenience of shopping from any location or at any time
                                           Wide range of choices for consumers and these websites acts as “one stop
                    Strengths              solution”




                                           Highly competitive landscape
                                           Players like makemytrip and cleartrip have to compete with end-service
                    Challenges             providers which operates their own websites (irctc.co.in, indigo.in etc.)



December 12, 2011                               17                                                                      KF
5. VCs and Investors – How the money is pouring in?

                                                  VC Funding – Sudden rush to paint the “white space”

                VC Funding – Huge growth in year 2011                                                VC Funding amount by investors
        350                                                                          100
                                                                            305
                                                                                                             82
        280                                                                            80


        210                                                                            60


        140             114                                                            40                                  36            35
                                                                                                31
                                                                                                                                                                23
          70                                                     55                    20                                                            16
                                            45


            -                                                                           -
                        2008               2009                 2010      2011 YTD          Accel India Tiger Capital   IndoUS        Helion         Nexus    Sequoia
                                                                                                                        Venture      Venture        Venture   Capital
                                      Total Investments ($ million)                                       Investments from 2009 to 2011 ($ million)
       Source: Venture Intelligence                                                         Source: Venture Intelligence

                                                      Top PE/VC investments in E-commerce for YTD
                      Company                                                        Investor                                                 Amount($mn)
   Yatra Online                                         Intel Capital, Norwest, Valiant Capital                                     45
   Fashion and You                                      Sequoia, Intel Capital, Norwest, Nokia Growth Partners                      40
   Snapdeal.com (Jasper Infotech)                       Nexus, IndoUS Ventures, Bessemer                                            40
   Naaptol.com                                          NEA, Canaan Partners, SVB                                                   25
   Flipkart                                             Tiger Global                                                                20
     Source: Venture Intelligence

December 12, 2011                                                                 18                                                                                    KF
6.1 Looking into the future


      Looking into the future – What should various e-tailers do to sustain this golden era of Indian E-commerce

                               E-tailing Players

                                  Currently all E-tailing players are focusing more on acquiring customers and shaping purchasing habits rather than
                                  profitability
                                  However, waging price wars to acquire customers is not a long-term winning formula, as the recent closure of
                                  Taggle (a daily deal site) shows
                                  Rather existing players needs to focus on building a unique customer value proposition, rather than becoming a “me
                                  too” player, through host of measures such as:
      E-tailers should
                                  Building a robust supply chain and logistics infrastructure –
       look at building
                                       Using best practices for inventory optimization
      unique customer                  Inbound and outbound transportation spend optimization
             value                     De-bottle necking procurement and shipping operations
         propositions                  Implementing industry wide best practices in sourcing and fulfillment operations
          rather than             Wide product variety
                                       Keep on adding more and more product categories/merchants to capture more and more of the “long tail” of
         waging price
                                       Indian E-shoppers
             wars                      Develop competitive and innovative “white spaces” to fuel future growth
                                  Technology
                                       With smartphones and tablets on a high growth path in Indian market, it makes absolute sense to launch a
                                       user friendly mobile application (should be as interactive an intuitive as the website)
                                       Using web analytics to analyze consumer behavior and strategize future sales and marketing campaigns
                                  Geographic expansion
                                       Using hub and spoke model of fulfillment, Indian online retailers can look at expanding geographically into
                                       other South East Asian markets
                                  Increasing customer retention through Customer loyalty Programs
                                     Card-based/ reward points based loyalty programs are very helpful in retaining customers and motivating them
                                     to make repeat purchases (makemytrip.com has launched a rewards program off late)



    Note: Knowledgefaber offers a comprehensive set of consulting services in each of the above mentioned domain and growth areas
December 12, 2011                                                        19                                                                          KF
6.2 Looking into the future


               Looking into the future – What should various VCs/investors look at for generating returns?




                                    VCs/investors

                                       Looking at new “white spaces” in the domain
       VCs/investors                       VCs and Investors are always looking to invest in high growth unexplored areas (“white space”). But,
                                           Indian E-tailing is becoming more and more crowded
       should look to
                                          Hence, it is imperative for VCs/investors to look for new white spaces in this domain rather than backing
        back players                      any “me too/also ran player”
         with robust                      Example of white space - Enablers in E-tailing ecosystem like:
          business                                 An analytics player which can provide innovative tools specially designed for E-tailing players
         models or                                 (Netflix and Amazon makes extensive use of analytics to develop competitive advantages)
                                                   A logistics provider/ shipper specially catering to online retailers
        exciting new
                                              Or,
        players in E-                              Players offering new product/service categories like providing skilled labor, auto accessories etc.
       tailing domain
                                       Backing only those existing players who possess robust business models and better profit margin
                                       visibility
                                            Currently, no investments in Indian E-tailing are made based upon current profits because none exists
                                            Existing players are likely to continue focus on aggressive customer acquisition and next series of funding
                                            would be utilized for this only
                                            However, going forward, existing players have to focus on profitability to exhibit sustainability and viability
                                            of their business models




    Note: Knowledgefaber offers a comprehensive set of consulting services in PE advisory and growth consulting
December 12, 2011                                                           20                                                                            KF
7. Appendix




                    Appendix




December 12, 2011        21    KF
7. Appendix
          Evolution of secure payment gateways has acted as a catalyst for the growth of E-tailing
          in India

                                      List of payment gateways in India

            Company
            Cc Avenue                                         HDFC

            Times of Money DirecPay                           ICICI Payseal

            EBS                                               Transecute

            ABC Payments                                      Pay U (MIH Venture)

            Paypal                                            Indiapay Payment Solutions




December 12, 2011                                 22                                            KF
7. Appendix
          E-commerce industry has been growing at a robust pace for past 3 years and is expected
          to sustain this momentum

                                                     Growth of E-commerce industry over the years

            Year                        Dec 2007             Dec 2008            Dec 2009       Dec 2010(E)    Dec 2011(E)
            Total Market Size           8146                 14,030              19,688         31,598         46,520

            Online Travel               6250 (77% of total   10,500 (75%)        14,953 (76%)   25,258 (80%)   37,890 (81%)
            Industry                    E-commerce
                                        market)
            Online Non-                 1896 (23% of total   3530 (25%)          4,735 (24%)    6340 (20%)     8,630 (19%)
            Travel Industry             E-commerce
                                        market)
            E-tailing                   978                  1,120               1,550          2,050          2,700
            Digital Downloads           238                  290                 435            680            1,100
            or Paid Content
            Subscription

            Financial Services                               1200                1540           2000

            Other Online                680                  920                 1210           1610           2,150
            Services (Incl.
            Online Classified)
           Source: Indian E-commerce report, IAMAI




December 12, 2011                                                           23                                                KF
7. Appendix
          E-tailing industry is dominated by computers and mobiles



                                                     Break up of E-tailing industry
                                                         Other products (toys, gifts,
                                                                  flowers)
                                                Home & kitchen
                                                                     3%
                                                  appliances
                                                     4%
                               Electronic durables
                                      13%
                                                                                        Computer accessories &
                                                                                             peripherals
                                                                                                36%




                        Personal Items
                             19%




                                                             Cameras & mobiles
                                                                   25%

                          Source: Indian E-commerce report, IAMAI




December 12, 2011                                                    24                                          KF
Thank You !


                       Contact     Amit Goel, CEO, Knowledgefaber

                www.knowledgefaber.com                  amit@knowledgefaber.com


            Registered Office                                 Corporate Office
Knowledgefaber, 203, 2nd Floor, Promenade,        Knowledgefaber, 404/405, Prestige Center
         Dasarahalli Extension,                          Point, Cunningham Road
         Bangalore, KA 560024                             Bangalore, KA 560052
                  India                                            India
                                                         Phone: +91-80- 41231576



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Knowledgefaber E-commerce Paper: Focus on E-tailing

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    Knowledgefaber Emerging Opportunities - Emerging Economies December 12, 2011 E-Tailing landscape in India: Existing scenario and the way forward Prepared by: Amit Goel Vipul Vohra Tricha Sharma This document is prepared by Knowledgefaber as a part of its research offerings Sumit Kumar July 2011
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    Table of Contents Contents Slide No. 1. What is E-Commerce? 1.1 Definition of E-commerce 3 1.2 Most significant advantage of online retailers 4 2. Indian E-Commerce Industry 2.1 E-Commerce Industry in India – Stupendous Growth 5 2.2 Evolution of E-tailing in India 6-7 2.3 What things current E-tailers are doing right vis-à-vis past 8 3.Analysis of current trends in Indian E-tailing 3.1 Product categories suitable for E-tailing 9 3.2 Performance metrics for E-tailing and current trends 10-11 4. E-Tailing formats in India 4.1 E-Commerce formats in India 12 4.2 Generic E-tailers 13 4.3 Online store of physical retailers 14 4.4 Niche Players 15 4.5 Daily deal sites 16 4.6 Online travel websites 17 5. VCs and investors – how the money is pouring in? 18 6. Looking into the future 6.1 Existing E-tailers 19 6.2 VCs/investors 20 7. Appendix 21 December 12, 2011 2 KF
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    1.1 Definition ofE-commerce E-commerce: What the term means Use of the term “E-commerce” has expanded to include various business models but primarily it include Conduct of a financial transaction by electronic means or electronic buying of products, services or information using internet as a platform This electronic buying process encompasses all the steps involved in a transaction such as on-line marketing, ordering payment and support for delivery This process also includes electronic provision of services such as after sales and customer care How the business model of online retailers add value compared to physical retailers? Physical Retailer Online Retailer or E-tailer Advantages: Advantages: Provides face to face selling making shopping an Cost effective as online retailers does not have to invest in experience physical infrastructure (store, real estate cost, sales force Customers get access to better product information etc.) through in-store sales representatives Provides ease and convenience of shopping at any time Disadvantages: and from any location Higher costs of operation (real estate costs, store costs, Disadvantages: pilferage losses and store sales force costs) than online Have to invest in logistics operations retailers Highly competitive (millions of sites competing against the same set of customers resulting in low customer stickiness) Business models of many online retail formats are still unproven with players struggling to break even Little customer interaction (phone lines, email inquiries) December 12, 2011 3 KF
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    1.2 Lower Prices: Most significant advantage of online retailers An Example: How E-tailers are attracting consumers by offering 20-30% lower prices than physical retailers Huge benefits for online shoppers: MRP of a book in a physical Online retailers are looking for customer acquisition mainly book store = INR 500 and not for profits As a result, Indian online retailers are offering products at just about cost price or at a marginal loss Lower prices of a book coupled with free delivery and Cash-on-delivery option is a huge boon for the Estimated cost at which online customer retailer purchases directly from Example on the left illustrates how consumer is the publisher = ~ 40 – 60% of MRP benefitting from low price model of Indian online depending upon economies of retailers scale = INR 200 - 300 Total estimated cost to the online retailers = ~ INR 270-370 Estimated cost of shipping is INR Listed price on the website = INR 324 (Whole profit 20-50 + COD charges (Higher of margins are passed on to the consumers) INR 30 or 2.1% of package value) = ~ INR 70 MRP in physical book store at 10% discount = INR 450 Total savings for the consumer = INR 126 or 28% Source: E-commerce in India: The second coming, Forbes.com Note: If a player has its own logistics team, then COD charges are replaced by cash management costs which are very less December 12, 2011 4 KF
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    2.1 E-Commerce Industryin India – Stupendous Growth Indian E-Commerce industry Steep growth in Indian E-commerce Industry Coming off age in recent years Industry witnessing a boom Indian E-commerce industry has come a long way 50,000 46,520 since the tumultuous days of dotcom bubble CAGR – 54.6% Floodgates were opened by online travel sites like 40,000 IRCTC and makemytrip.com which changed the way 31,598 Indians book travel tickets 30,000 19,688 Rapidly increasing Internet user base and rising middle 20,000 14,030 class with disposable income has contributed to the 8,146 10,000 flourishing of industry Secure online transaction environment, measures like - Cash-on-delivery, focus on customer service has 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 motivated Indian consumers to place their trust in Market Size (INR Cr) online shopping Source: Indian E-commerce report, IAMAI Online Shopping behavior among Indians Market share of various categories in Indian E-commerce Based upon survey in 4 metro cities Online travel dominates the online spending by Indians Other Online E-tailing 17.4 Mn Services 7% Active User 5% base Financial Services 6% Digital Downloads Looked 2% only for 13.6 Mn information Bought Online Travel products/ 7.4 Mn 80% services Source: Indian E-commerce report, IAMAI Source: Indian E-commerce report, IAMAI December 12, 2011 5 KF
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    2.2 Evolution ofE-tailing in India before 2007 • Started in 1996 IndiaMart is the • Rediff.com started its oldest and largest online B2B online shopping portal in marketplace in India 2001 focusing on • It broke-even in the very first year electronic market of its launch & has registered • In 2009, Rediff.com • In the year 2006 profitable growth in all years of its generated revenues of INR Network 18 group operations 120 crore • Future Group started its started Homeshop18.com and online shopping portal compareIndia.com. FutureBazaar.com in • In 1998, Sify Technologies 2007. started its B2C portal • bsbazaar.com starts operation in 2006. The • FutureBazaar.com targeting growing internet • eBay entered the registered revenues of Rs user base. Indian market with site is owned by Business standard & 122 crore i.e., 1.5 per cent • Sify has found it difficult to acquisition of of total sales of the Future grow Baazee.com for Rs indiaplaza.in group 230 crore. • Indiaplaza.in launched • eBay sells diverse a niche portal for range of products in selling books. the Indian market • Indiaplaza.in was acquired by Fabmall in 2000, name was retained 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 December 12, 2011 6 KF
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    2.2 Evolution ofE-tailing in India Post 2007 Foreign retailers planning to enter India Different E-commerce Funds starts flowing in formats emerges in Amazon.com, the world’s E-commerce sector in the sector Indian market leading online firm, is also India experiences making plans to set up Launched in early 2010, operations in India resurgence Indian E-commerce industry starts attracting a lot of Snapdeal is the most E-commerce wave in India attention and various new successful daily deals resurges as players like players launches operations website in India. It is Flipkart and Infibeam start growing by 40 -50% every operation focusing on bridging month and have more the gap which exists in than 400 employees Taggle.com, a deal customer service and quality establishing its presence website closed its of existing e-tailers in 50 cities (as of May operations citing ongoing 2011) unprofitable price wars in Indian E-commerce sector the industry starts generating interest amongst investors and VC firms and funds start flowing in 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 December 12, 2011 7 KF
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    2.3 What thingscurrent E-tailers are doing right vis-à-vis past 2010-2020 in India might become the decade of "Ecommerce". Early entrants in this domain adopted low pricing strategy with little focus on timely delivery. This resulted in slow off-take for the industry. However, in our research studies and consulting assignments in last 3 yrs, we have observed definitive trends wherein a growing number of customers are beginning to buy online, often high value products. Credit goes to few players/enablers whose high attention to detail and process innovations resulted in on-time delivery and quality products. Introduction to Cash on Delivery and E-wallet • Cash on delivery has been a successful method to attract Indian consumers who are wary of shopping online because of online scams. This approach has been successful in solving the twin problems – “bridging trust deficit” in the minds of Indian consumers for transacting online and the low penetration of debit/credit card On time Delivery •The consumers refrain from buying online as they do not know when goods will arrive. But, nowadays, Ecommerce companies have been managing quick turnaround and delivery times. Features like order tracking has helped the customers know the status of their order • Still, Indian players have not been able to attain “same day delivery” User Experience and Customer support • Companies have invested in features like user friendly websites, call center for assisting customers in placing and tracking orders or lodging complaints, customer friendly return policies etc. Branded Products at Heavily discounted Prices • Ecommerce companies have leaner operations to facilitate direct buying from vendors and cutting down costs which they are able to pass on to the consumers December 12, 2011 8 KF
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    3.1 Product categoriessuitable for e-tailing Knowledgefaber has categorized various product categories based upon price value and supply chain complexity to analyze current and future product mix in Indian E-tailing market 4 3 High Electronics, Cars, mobiles, motorcycles, cameras, B2B AC home Commerce – (manufactur appliances, machinery ers selling High-end and other directly) etc. Value jewelry high value products B2B Commerce – Books, Corporate gifting, CDs, 2 promotional Personal items, stationary Care, etc. Apparels, Vegetables, Low Shoes, Poultry Bags, products, perfumes Automotive spare parts 1 & accessories Low High Supply Chain complexity Indian e-tailers are currently operating in quadrants 1 and 4 mainly. Challenge going forwards is to add more and more product categories in these quadrants Quadrant 3 is the category most difficult to sell online but is profitable Quadrant 2 also contains product categories which require robust infrastructure to sell online and some of the categories like grocery, vegetables etc. are also not very profitable Supply Chain complexity – includes parameters like ease of procurement, storage, handling, transportation, packaging, delivery and installation/demos (if required) December 12, 2011 9 KF
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    3.2 Performance metricsin E-tailing and current trends Knowledgefaber has come up with performance metrics (analogous to physical retail) to evaluate the existing trends in Indian E-tailing Performance Metrics in Corresponding Performance Current trends in Indian E-tailing physical retail Metrics in online retail With increasing internet penetration and effective Number of footfalls Traffic volume on website marketing by e-tailing companies, traffic growth has been robust Footfall-sales conversion Traffic-sales conversion are bound to be lower than Traffic-sales conversion physical retail and currently hovers around 3 – 6% Sales growth from existing With market in nascent stage, established categories like Same-store sales growth books, mobile, electronics etc. are experiencing product categories significant growth Sales growth from new Current e-tailing players enjoy higher growth from new New-store sales growth product categories product categories due to low base effect To increase the average basket size of the customers, e- Average basket size Average cart size tailers resort to bundling and dynamic buying recommendations, practices which are still in nascent stage in Indian e-tailing industry Indian e-tailing websites are experiencing high Repeat purchase Repeat purchase percentage of repeat purchases with 50-70% customers being the repeat purchasers Customer acquisition cost Customer acquisition cost Indian e-tailers are currently in the process of establishing a brand and hence high acquisition costs December 12, 2011 10 KF
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    3.2 Performance metricsin E-tailing and current trends Knowledgefaber has come up with performance metrics (unique to E-tailing industry) E- to evaluate the existing trends in Indian E-tailing Performance Metrics in online retail Current trends in Indian E-tailing It is defined as the interval between the time when an order is received Order Processing Time and when it is shipped. Ideally, it should be lesser than 24 hours but no Indian online retailer has been able to achieve this standard currently Time taken to ship order to the customer’s door step. Few players like Shipping Time Flipkart have been able to reduce delivery time greatly by operating their own logistics operations but still no Indian player has achieved “same day” delivery Only few players have implemented consumer friendly return policies. Return policies/mechanism But robust return mechanism is still a missing link for many Indian online retailers Average time spent on site per user With increase in product categories and online catalogues, average time spent by Indian online shoppers has been steadily increasing Many Indian online retailers are constantly investing in up gradation of Site performance technology. As a result, user experience in terms of site performance is improving all the time December 12, 2011 11 KF
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    4.1 E-Commerce formatsin India Major E-Commerce Formats in India E-tailing Formats in India Generic E - tailers Online stores of Online Niche Players Deal aggregators physical retailers Travel December 12, 2011 12 KF
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    4.2 E-tailing formatsin India Generic E-tailers Website acts as the sole front end of the respective player where customers can choose from online catalogue and place order. Overview Telephonic sales channels are also established to augment sales E.g. – Flipkart, Infibeam, Letsbuy.com etc. Revenue through online (sometimes inbound telephonic also) product sales Business Model & Target Internet savvy customers mostly in Tier I and Tier II cities Segment Scalability depends upon internet traffic growth rate and a change in consumer buying behavior Scalability Existing set of low prices are helping to attract throng of customers and enabling E-tailers to scale up Low investment needed in front end and hence able to offer lower prices and wider product variety Strengths Provides ease and convenience of shopping from any location or at any time Needs to have a robust backend to ensure timely delivery and service level Managing return supply chain is a complex challenge for existing players Challenges Online stores have to ensure safety and security of payments to abridge trust deficit existing in the mind of consumers December 12, 2011 13 KF
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    4.3 E-tailing formatsin India Online stores of physical retailers Many Indian retailers operate online portals to adopt a multi channel retail strategy and complement their physical stores Overview Online stores targets acquiring new customers who are more convenience driven rather than looking for in-store experience Revenue through online (sometimes inbound telephonic also) product sales Business Model & Target Existing/new set of customers who prefer convenience more than in-store Segment experience Scalability is driven by brand value of the physical retailer and convenience factor demand amongst its consumers Scalability Scalability in this model will happen only with a paradigm shift in consumer preference for convenience rather than in-store experience Existing brand in physical domain helps win over the customers Online stores acts as extension of physical business enabling a player to Strengths execute multi channel retail strategy Pricing decisions becomes very critical as offering lower prices on online portal compared to physical stores will give rise to a “price arbitrage” Challenges Physical retailer has to invest in backend infrastructure and logistics to ship directly to retail customers December 12, 2011 14 KF
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    4.4 E-tailing formatsin India Niche Players Unlike generic E-tailers, niche players in E-commerce are just focussing on a single product category/type Overview Niche product categories includes apparel, footwear, baby care, personal care etc. Revenue through online (sometimes inbound telephonic also) product sales Business Model & Target Internet savvy and price conscious customers mostly in Tier I and Tier II cities Segment Scalability is limited as they are catering to niche demands It is imperative to offer a host of products to gain new customers and hence Scalability niche players will scale up based upon depth of variety they are offering Wide product variety at lower prices Ease and convenience of shopping from any location or at any time Strengths Niche players are focussing on “touch and feel” intensive products (apparel, footwear etc.) which involves high consumer inertia regarding online buying Challenges Maintaining a balance between brand exclusivity and lower prices than physical stores December 12, 2011 15 KF
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    4.5 E-tailing formatsin India Deal Aggregators/Daily Deal Websites Offers discount coupons to consumers for various products and services (restaurants, spas, hotels, travel deals etc.) Overview Front end includes a website where discount coupons can be purchased and a sales force which enlists merchants and deals Revenue sharing/commission received via merchants Business Model & Target Internet savvy and price conscious customers mostly in Tier I and Tier II cities Segment Scalability is a function of number of merchants/variety of deals one can bring to the table, which is in turn driven by sales force on the ground. Hence, Scalability scalability is limited Acts as aggregator of demand and enable partner merchants to enjoy economies of scale and higher sales volume Strengths Merchant ends up making no money on many deals as lack of repeat purchases nullify initial investment by the merchant in the deal Challenges Encourages “deal hunting” mind set among consumers lowering her price expectations for the products and services December 12, 2011 16 KF
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    4.6 Online travelwebsites Online travel websites This category consists of players who focuses on meeting a single consumer need through wide range of products (air travel, rail travel, hotel Overview accommodation, travel packages etc.) Focuses mainly on convenience rather than low prices Revenue through online (sometimes inbound telephonic also) tickets/package Business Model & Target sales Segment Travel websites have been able to scale up based upon convenience as the central tenet of their value proposition Scalability Ease and convenience of shopping from any location or at any time Wide range of choices for consumers and these websites acts as “one stop Strengths solution” Highly competitive landscape Players like makemytrip and cleartrip have to compete with end-service Challenges providers which operates their own websites (irctc.co.in, indigo.in etc.) December 12, 2011 17 KF
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    5. VCs andInvestors – How the money is pouring in? VC Funding – Sudden rush to paint the “white space” VC Funding – Huge growth in year 2011 VC Funding amount by investors 350 100 305 82 280 80 210 60 140 114 40 36 35 31 23 70 55 20 16 45 - - 2008 2009 2010 2011 YTD Accel India Tiger Capital IndoUS Helion Nexus Sequoia Venture Venture Venture Capital Total Investments ($ million) Investments from 2009 to 2011 ($ million) Source: Venture Intelligence Source: Venture Intelligence Top PE/VC investments in E-commerce for YTD Company Investor Amount($mn) Yatra Online Intel Capital, Norwest, Valiant Capital 45 Fashion and You Sequoia, Intel Capital, Norwest, Nokia Growth Partners 40 Snapdeal.com (Jasper Infotech) Nexus, IndoUS Ventures, Bessemer 40 Naaptol.com NEA, Canaan Partners, SVB 25 Flipkart Tiger Global 20 Source: Venture Intelligence December 12, 2011 18 KF
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    6.1 Looking intothe future Looking into the future – What should various e-tailers do to sustain this golden era of Indian E-commerce E-tailing Players Currently all E-tailing players are focusing more on acquiring customers and shaping purchasing habits rather than profitability However, waging price wars to acquire customers is not a long-term winning formula, as the recent closure of Taggle (a daily deal site) shows Rather existing players needs to focus on building a unique customer value proposition, rather than becoming a “me too” player, through host of measures such as: E-tailers should Building a robust supply chain and logistics infrastructure – look at building Using best practices for inventory optimization unique customer Inbound and outbound transportation spend optimization value De-bottle necking procurement and shipping operations propositions Implementing industry wide best practices in sourcing and fulfillment operations rather than Wide product variety Keep on adding more and more product categories/merchants to capture more and more of the “long tail” of waging price Indian E-shoppers wars Develop competitive and innovative “white spaces” to fuel future growth Technology With smartphones and tablets on a high growth path in Indian market, it makes absolute sense to launch a user friendly mobile application (should be as interactive an intuitive as the website) Using web analytics to analyze consumer behavior and strategize future sales and marketing campaigns Geographic expansion Using hub and spoke model of fulfillment, Indian online retailers can look at expanding geographically into other South East Asian markets Increasing customer retention through Customer loyalty Programs Card-based/ reward points based loyalty programs are very helpful in retaining customers and motivating them to make repeat purchases (makemytrip.com has launched a rewards program off late) Note: Knowledgefaber offers a comprehensive set of consulting services in each of the above mentioned domain and growth areas December 12, 2011 19 KF
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    6.2 Looking intothe future Looking into the future – What should various VCs/investors look at for generating returns? VCs/investors Looking at new “white spaces” in the domain VCs/investors VCs and Investors are always looking to invest in high growth unexplored areas (“white space”). But, Indian E-tailing is becoming more and more crowded should look to Hence, it is imperative for VCs/investors to look for new white spaces in this domain rather than backing back players any “me too/also ran player” with robust Example of white space - Enablers in E-tailing ecosystem like: business An analytics player which can provide innovative tools specially designed for E-tailing players models or (Netflix and Amazon makes extensive use of analytics to develop competitive advantages) A logistics provider/ shipper specially catering to online retailers exciting new Or, players in E- Players offering new product/service categories like providing skilled labor, auto accessories etc. tailing domain Backing only those existing players who possess robust business models and better profit margin visibility Currently, no investments in Indian E-tailing are made based upon current profits because none exists Existing players are likely to continue focus on aggressive customer acquisition and next series of funding would be utilized for this only However, going forward, existing players have to focus on profitability to exhibit sustainability and viability of their business models Note: Knowledgefaber offers a comprehensive set of consulting services in PE advisory and growth consulting December 12, 2011 20 KF
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    7. Appendix Appendix December 12, 2011 21 KF
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    7. Appendix Evolution of secure payment gateways has acted as a catalyst for the growth of E-tailing in India List of payment gateways in India Company Cc Avenue HDFC Times of Money DirecPay ICICI Payseal EBS Transecute ABC Payments Pay U (MIH Venture) Paypal Indiapay Payment Solutions December 12, 2011 22 KF
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    7. Appendix E-commerce industry has been growing at a robust pace for past 3 years and is expected to sustain this momentum Growth of E-commerce industry over the years Year Dec 2007 Dec 2008 Dec 2009 Dec 2010(E) Dec 2011(E) Total Market Size 8146 14,030 19,688 31,598 46,520 Online Travel 6250 (77% of total 10,500 (75%) 14,953 (76%) 25,258 (80%) 37,890 (81%) Industry E-commerce market) Online Non- 1896 (23% of total 3530 (25%) 4,735 (24%) 6340 (20%) 8,630 (19%) Travel Industry E-commerce market) E-tailing 978 1,120 1,550 2,050 2,700 Digital Downloads 238 290 435 680 1,100 or Paid Content Subscription Financial Services 1200 1540 2000 Other Online 680 920 1210 1610 2,150 Services (Incl. Online Classified) Source: Indian E-commerce report, IAMAI December 12, 2011 23 KF
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    7. Appendix E-tailing industry is dominated by computers and mobiles Break up of E-tailing industry Other products (toys, gifts, flowers) Home & kitchen 3% appliances 4% Electronic durables 13% Computer accessories & peripherals 36% Personal Items 19% Cameras & mobiles 25% Source: Indian E-commerce report, IAMAI December 12, 2011 24 KF
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    Thank You ! Contact Amit Goel, CEO, Knowledgefaber www.knowledgefaber.com amit@knowledgefaber.com Registered Office Corporate Office Knowledgefaber, 203, 2nd Floor, Promenade, Knowledgefaber, 404/405, Prestige Center Dasarahalli Extension, Point, Cunningham Road Bangalore, KA 560024 Bangalore, KA 560052 India India Phone: +91-80- 41231576 25 KF