Uncertainty is pervasive in economic systems, including future prices, wealth, commodity availability, and other people's actions. Rational responses to uncertainty include buying insurance (health, life, auto) and maintaining a portfolio of contingent consumption goods. Under uncertainty, people choose state-contingent consumption plans to maximize expected utility. With competitive insurance markets where premiums equal expected costs, risk-averse individuals fully insure. Diversification and mutual insurance help spread risks across states of nature.
Summing up about growing and non growing perpetuities wacc levered and tax sa...Futurum2
In this note we reconsider in detail the proper discount rate for cash flows in perpetuity, the present value of tax savings and the calculation of terminal value. The note clarifies the use of real discount rates and concludes with a formulation that is inflation-neutral for a given assumption on the discount rate for the tax savings. We find that the only discount rate for tax savings that makes the value of the perpetuity inflation-neutral is Kd, the cost of debt. We also reconsider the intuitive approach to calculate the cost of capital for perpetuities from the nominal rates that compose that cost of capital, and then
converting it into real cost of capital using Fisher relationship.
Los ácido nucleicos almacenan y trasmiten la información genética. La mayoría de esta información se expresa por una clase de biopolímeros llamados proteínas
Transporte, almacenamiento de moléculas pequeñas, organización estructural de las células y los tejidos.
Anticuerpos, factores de coagulación, enzimas.
Son moléculas altamente complejas: mioglobina, hemoglobina etc.
Summing up about growing and non growing perpetuities wacc levered and tax sa...Futurum2
In this note we reconsider in detail the proper discount rate for cash flows in perpetuity, the present value of tax savings and the calculation of terminal value. The note clarifies the use of real discount rates and concludes with a formulation that is inflation-neutral for a given assumption on the discount rate for the tax savings. We find that the only discount rate for tax savings that makes the value of the perpetuity inflation-neutral is Kd, the cost of debt. We also reconsider the intuitive approach to calculate the cost of capital for perpetuities from the nominal rates that compose that cost of capital, and then
converting it into real cost of capital using Fisher relationship.
Los ácido nucleicos almacenan y trasmiten la información genética. La mayoría de esta información se expresa por una clase de biopolímeros llamados proteínas
Transporte, almacenamiento de moléculas pequeñas, organización estructural de las células y los tejidos.
Anticuerpos, factores de coagulación, enzimas.
Son moléculas altamente complejas: mioglobina, hemoglobina etc.
PROYECTO DECRETO
“Por el cual se reglamentan parcialmente las Leyes 9 de 1979, 73 de 1988 y 1805 de 2016, en relación con los componentes anatómicos, y se modifican los artículos 7o, 61 y 88 del Decreto 4725 de 2005” Minsalud República de Colombia
PROYECTO DECRETO
“Por el cual se reglamentan parcialmente las Leyes 9 de 1979, 73 de 1988 y 1805 de 2016, en relación con los componentes anatómicos, y se modifican los artículos 7o, 61 y 88 del Decreto 4725 de 2005” Minsalud República de Colombia
Stem Cell clinical grade Biology for human therapies. Clase para maestría en Ciencias Básicas Odontológicas en la Universidad El Bosque. Colombia. 2018
Reproducción o reconstitución completa o parcial de los tejidos periodontales en altura y en función, es decir, la formación de hueso alveolar por fibras colágenas funcionalmente orientadas sobre el cemento
¿Cómo publicar en revistas académicas indexadas peer review?Juan Carlos Munévar
Uno de los grandes problemas que enfrenta un investigador surge cuando tiene que dar a conocer sus resultados, pues escribir no resulta tarea fácil, más aún cuando el mundo actual se mueve en una especie de perfeccionamiento del vocabulario científico y surgen palabras muy complejas, como manifestación de dichos cambios
Biología del Osteoclasto Conocidas como las únicas células capaces de reabsorber hueso. Son células multinucleadas, derivadas de precursores hematopoyéticos en médula ósea
Degrada hueso y otros tejidos que han sufrido mineralización secretando enzimas proteolíticas como catepsina K al espacio extracelular.
Los grandes volúmenes de datos o “Big Data” retos y oportunidades. Discernir información relevante, sintetizarla y extraer conocimiento de ella es, cada vez, un aspecto más crítico en la sociedad en que vivimos.
Profundización en Biologia Osea para postgrados en el área de la saludJuan Carlos Munévar
Fundamentos en Biología ósea; acople de remodelado y modelado óseo, vías de señalización, regulación endocrina, procesos de mineralización, nucleación, crecimiento cristalino, estructura y ultraestructura, catepsinas, anhidrasa carbónica, borde rugoso, zona clara, canales de cloro, citocinas, canopia, pericitos, basic multicellular unit, Bone remodelling unit
240529_Teleprotection Global Market Report 2024.pdfMadhura TBRC
The teleprotection market size has grown
exponentially in recent years. It will grow from
$21.92 billion in 2023 to $28.11 billion in 2024 at a
compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 28.2%. The
teleprotection market size is expected to see
exponential growth in the next few years. It will grow
to $70.77 billion in 2028 at a compound annual
growth rate (CAGR) of 26.0%.
From Slave to Scourge: The Existential Choice of Django Unchained. The Philos...Rodney Thomas Jr
#SSAPhilosophy #DjangoUnchained #DjangoFreeman #ExistentialPhilosophy #Freedom #Identity #Justice #Courage #Rebellion #Transformation
Welcome to SSA Philosophy, your ultimate destination for diving deep into the profound philosophies of iconic characters from video games, movies, and TV shows. In this episode, we explore the powerful journey and existential philosophy of Django Freeman from Quentin Tarantino’s masterful film, "Django Unchained," in our video titled, "From Slave to Scourge: The Existential Choice of Django Unchained. The Philosophy of Django Freeman!"
From Slave to Scourge: The Existential Choice of Django Unchained – The Philosophy of Django Freeman!
Join me as we delve into the existential philosophy of Django Freeman, uncovering the profound lessons and timeless wisdom his character offers. Through his story, we find inspiration in the power of choice, the quest for justice, and the courage to defy oppression. Django Freeman’s philosophy is a testament to the human spirit’s unyielding drive for freedom and justice.
Don’t forget to like, comment, and subscribe to SSA Philosophy for more in-depth explorations of the philosophies behind your favorite characters. Hit the notification bell to stay updated on our latest videos. Let’s discover the principles that shape these icons and the profound lessons they offer.
Django Freeman’s story is one of the most compelling narratives of transformation and empowerment in cinema. A former slave turned relentless bounty hunter, Django’s journey is not just a physical liberation but an existential quest for identity, justice, and retribution. This video delves into the core philosophical elements that define Django’s character and the profound choices he makes throughout his journey.
Link to video: https://youtu.be/GszqrXk38qk
Meet Crazyjamjam - A TikTok Sensation | Blog EternalBlog Eternal
Crazyjamjam, the TikTok star everyone's talking about! Uncover her secrets to success, viral trends, and more in this exclusive feature on Blog Eternal.
Source: https://blogeternal.com/celebrity/crazyjamjam-leaks/
In the vast landscape of cinema, stories have been told, retold, and reimagined in countless ways. At the heart of this narrative evolution lies the concept of a "remake". A successful remake allows us to revisit cherished tales through a fresh lens, often reflecting a different era's perspective or harnessing the power of advanced technology. Yet, the question remains, what makes a remake successful? Today, we will delve deeper into this subject, identifying the key ingredients that contribute to the success of a remake.
As a film director, I have always been awestruck by the magic of animation. Animation, a medium once considered solely for the amusement of children, has undergone a significant transformation over the years. Its evolution from a rudimentary form of entertainment to a sophisticated form of storytelling has stirred my creativity and expanded my vision, offering limitless possibilities in the realm of cinematic storytelling.
Hollywood Actress - The 250 hottest galleryZsolt Nemeth
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Experience the thrill of Progressive Puzzle Adventures, like Scavenger Hunt Games and Escape Room Activities combined Solve Treasure Hunt Puzzles online.
Maximizing Your Streaming Experience with XCIPTV- Tips for 2024.pdfXtreame HDTV
In today’s digital age, streaming services have become an integral part of our entertainment lives. Among the myriad of options available, XCIPTV stands out as a premier choice for those seeking seamless, high-quality streaming. This comprehensive guide will delve into the features, benefits, and user experience of XCIPTV, illustrating why it is a top contender in the IPTV industry.
From the Editor's Desk: 115th Father's day Celebration - When we see Father's day in Hindu context, Nanda Baba is the most vivid figure which comes to the mind. Nanda Baba who was the foster father of Lord Krishna is known to provide love, care and affection to Lord Krishna and Balarama along with his wife Yashoda; Letter’s to the Editor: Mother's Day - Mother is a precious life for their children. Mother is life breath for her children. Mother's lap is the world happiness whose debt can never be paid.
Scandal! Teasers June 2024 on etv Forum.co.zaIsaac More
Monday, 3 June 2024
Episode 47
A friend is compelled to expose a manipulative scheme to prevent another from making a grave mistake. In a frantic bid to save Jojo, Phakamile agrees to a meeting that unbeknownst to her, will seal her fate.
Tuesday, 4 June 2024
Episode 48
A mother, with her son's best interests at heart, finds him unready to heed her advice. Motshabi finds herself in an unmanageable situation, sinking fast like in quicksand.
Wednesday, 5 June 2024
Episode 49
A woman fabricates a diabolical lie to cover up an indiscretion. Overwhelmed by guilt, she makes a spontaneous confession that could be devastating to another heart.
Thursday, 6 June 2024
Episode 50
Linda unwittingly discloses damning information. Nhlamulo and Vuvu try to guide their friend towards the right decision.
Friday, 7 June 2024
Episode 51
Jojo's life continues to spiral out of control. Dintle weaves a web of lies to conceal that she is not as successful as everyone believes.
Monday, 10 June 2024
Episode 52
A heated confrontation between lovers leads to a devastating admission of guilt. Dintle's desperation takes a new turn, leaving her with dwindling options.
Tuesday, 11 June 2024
Episode 53
Unable to resort to violence, Taps issues a verbal threat, leaving Mdala unsettled. A sister must explain her life choices to regain her brother's trust.
Wednesday, 12 June 2024
Episode 54
Winnie makes a very troubling discovery. Taps follows through on his threat, leaving a woman reeling. Layla, oblivious to the truth, offers an incentive.
Thursday, 13 June 2024
Episode 55
A nosy relative arrives just in time to thwart a man's fatal decision. Dintle manipulates Khanyi to tug at Mo's heartstrings and get what she wants.
Friday, 14 June 2024
Episode 56
Tlhogi is shocked by Mdala's reaction following the revelation of their indiscretion. Jojo is in disbelief when the punishment for his crime is revealed.
Monday, 17 June 2024
Episode 57
A woman reprimands another to stay in her lane, leading to a damning revelation. A man decides to leave his broken life behind.
Tuesday, 18 June 2024
Episode 58
Nhlamulo learns that due to his actions, his worst fears have come true. Caiphus' extravagant promises to suppliers get him into trouble with Ndu.
Wednesday, 19 June 2024
Episode 59
A woman manages to kill two birds with one stone. Business doom looms over Chillax. A sobering incident makes a woman realize how far she's fallen.
Thursday, 20 June 2024
Episode 60
Taps' offer to help Nhlamulo comes with hidden motives. Caiphus' new ideas for Chillax have MaHilda excited. A blast from the past recognizes Dintle, not for her newfound fame.
Friday, 21 June 2024
Episode 61
Taps is hungry for revenge and finds a rope to hang Mdala with. Chillax's new job opportunity elicits mixed reactions from the public. Roommates' initial meeting starts off on the wrong foot.
Monday, 24 June 2024
Episode 62
Taps seizes new information and recruits someone on the inside. Mary's new job
Young Tom Selleck: A Journey Through His Early Years and Rise to Stardomgreendigital
Introduction
When one thinks of Hollywood legends, Tom Selleck is a name that comes to mind. Known for his charming smile, rugged good looks. and the iconic mustache that has become synonymous with his persona. Tom Selleck has had a prolific career spanning decades. But, the journey of young Tom Selleck, from his early years to becoming a household name. is a story filled with determination, talent, and a touch of luck. This article delves into young Tom Selleck's life, background, early struggles. and pivotal moments that led to his rise in Hollywood.
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Early Life and Background
Family Roots and Childhood
Thomas William Selleck was born in Detroit, Michigan, on January 29, 1945. He was the second of four children in a close-knit family. His father, Robert Dean Selleck, was a real estate investor and executive. while his mother, Martha Selleck, was a homemaker. The Selleck family relocated to Sherman Oaks, California. when Tom was a child, setting the stage for his future in the entertainment industry.
Education and Early Interests
Growing up, young Tom Selleck was an active and athletic child. He attended Grant High School in Van Nuys, California. where he excelled in sports, particularly basketball. His tall and athletic build made him a standout player, and he earned a basketball scholarship to the University of Southern California (U.S.C.). While at U.S.C., Selleck studied business administration. but his interests shifted toward acting.
Discovery of Acting Passion
Tom Selleck's journey into acting was serendipitous. During his time at U.S.C., a drama coach encouraged him to try acting. This nudge led him to join the Hills Playhouse, where he began honing his craft. Transitioning from an aspiring athlete to an actor took time. but young Tom Selleck became drawn to the performance world.
Early Career Struggles
Breaking Into the Industry
The path to stardom was a challenging one for young Tom Selleck. Like many aspiring actors, he faced many rejections and struggled to find steady work. A series of minor roles and guest appearances on television shows marked his early career. In 1965, he debuted on the syndicated show "The Dating Game." which gave him some exposure but did not lead to immediate success.
The Commercial Breakthrough
During the late 1960s and early 1970s, Selleck began appearing in television commercials. His rugged good looks and charismatic presence made him a popular brand choice. He starred in advertisements for Pepsi-Cola, Revlon, and Close-Up toothpaste. These commercials provided financial stability and helped him gain visibility in the industry.
Struggling Actor in Hollywood
Despite his success in commercials. breaking into large acting roles remained a challenge for young Tom Selleck. He auditioned and took on small parts in T.V. shows and movies. Some of his early television appearances included roles in popular series like Lancer, The F.B.I., and Bracken's World. But, it would take a
Create a Seamless Viewing Experience with Your Own Custom OTT Player.pdfGenny Knight
As the popularity of online streaming continues to rise, the significance of providing outstanding viewing experiences cannot be emphasized enough. Tailored OTT players present a robust solution for service providers aiming to enhance their offerings and engage audiences in a competitive market. Through embracing customization, companies can craft immersive, individualized experiences that effectively hold viewers' attention, entertain them, and encourage repeat usage.
Skeem Saam in June 2024 available on ForumIsaac More
Monday, June 3, 2024 - Episode 241: Sergeant Rathebe nabs a top scammer in Turfloop. Meikie is furious at her uncle's reaction to the truth about Ntswaki.
Tuesday, June 4, 2024 - Episode 242: Babeile uncovers the truth behind Rathebe’s latest actions. Leeto's announcement shocks his employees, and Ntswaki’s ordeal haunts her family.
Wednesday, June 5, 2024 - Episode 243: Rathebe blocks Babeile from investigating further. Melita warns Eunice to stay clear of Mr. Kgomo.
Thursday, June 6, 2024 - Episode 244: Tbose surrenders to the police while an intruder meddles in his affairs. Rathebe's secret mission faces a setback.
Friday, June 7, 2024 - Episode 245: Rathebe’s antics reach Kganyago. Tbose dodges a bullet, but a nightmare looms. Mr. Kgomo accuses Melita of witchcraft.
Monday, June 10, 2024 - Episode 246: Ntswaki struggles on her first day back at school. Babeile is stunned by Rathebe’s romance with Bullet Mabuza.
Tuesday, June 11, 2024 - Episode 247: An unexpected turn halts Rathebe’s investigation. The press discovers Mr. Kgomo’s affair with a young employee.
Wednesday, June 12, 2024 - Episode 248: Rathebe chases a criminal, resorting to gunfire. Turf High is rife with tension and transfer threats.
Thursday, June 13, 2024 - Episode 249: Rathebe traps Kganyago. John warns Toby to stop harassing Ntswaki.
Friday, June 14, 2024 - Episode 250: Babeile is cleared to investigate Rathebe. Melita gains Mr. Kgomo’s trust, and Jacobeth devises a financial solution.
Monday, June 17, 2024 - Episode 251: Rathebe feels the pressure as Babeile closes in. Mr. Kgomo and Eunice clash. Jacobeth risks her safety in pursuit of Kganyago.
Tuesday, June 18, 2024 - Episode 252: Bullet Mabuza retaliates against Jacobeth. Pitsi inadvertently reveals his parents’ plans. Nkosi is shocked by Khwezi’s decision on LJ’s future.
Wednesday, June 19, 2024 - Episode 253: Jacobeth is ensnared in deceit. Evelyn is stressed over Toby’s case, and Letetswe reveals shocking academic results.
Thursday, June 20, 2024 - Episode 254: Elizabeth learns Jacobeth is in Mpumalanga. Kganyago's past is exposed, and Lehasa discovers his son is in KZN.
Friday, June 21, 2024 - Episode 255: Elizabeth confirms Jacobeth’s dubious activities in Mpumalanga. Rathebe lies about her relationship with Bullet, and Jacobeth faces theft accusations.
Monday, June 24, 2024 - Episode 256: Rathebe spies on Kganyago. Lehasa plans to retrieve his son from KZN, fearing what awaits.
Tuesday, June 25, 2024 - Episode 257: MaNtuli fears for Kwaito’s safety in Mpumalanga. Mr. Kgomo and Melita reconcile.
Wednesday, June 26, 2024 - Episode 258: Kganyago makes a bold escape. Elizabeth receives a shocking message from Kwaito. Mrs. Khoza defends her husband against scam accusations.
Thursday, June 27, 2024 - Episode 259: Babeile's skillful arrest changes the game. Tbose and Kwaito face a hostage crisis.
Friday, June 28, 2024 - Episode 260: Two women face the reality of being scammed. Turf is rocked by breaking
Panchayat Season 3 - Official Trailer.pdfSuleman Rana
The dearest series "Panchayat" is set to make a victorious return with its third season, and the fervor is discernible. The authority trailer, delivered on May 28, guarantees one more enamoring venture through the country heartland of India.
Jitendra Kumar keeps on sparkling as Abhishek Tripathi, the city-reared engineer who ends up functioning as the secretary of the Panchayat office in the curious town of Phulera. His nuanced depiction of a young fellow exploring the difficulties of country life while endeavoring to adjust to his new environmental factors has earned far and wide recognition.
Neena Gupta and Raghubir Yadav return as Manju Devi and Brij Bhushan Dubey, separately. Their dynamic science and immaculate acting rejuvenate the hardships of town administration. Gupta's depiction of the town Pradhan with an ever-evolving outlook, matched with Yadav's carefully prepared exhibition, adds profundity and credibility to the story.
New Difficulties and Experiences
The trailer indicates new difficulties anticipating the characters, as Abhishek keeps on wrestling with his part in the town and his yearnings for a superior future. The series has reliably offset humor with social editorial, and Season 3 looks ready to dig much more profound into the intricacies of rustic organization and self-awareness.
Watchers can hope to see a greater amount of the enchanting and particular residents who have become fan top picks. Their connections and the one of a kind cut of-life situations give a reviving and interesting portrayal of provincial India, featuring the two its appeal and its difficulties.
A Mix of Humor and Heart
One of the signs of "Panchayat" is its capacity to mix humor with sincere narrating. The trailer features minutes that guarantee to convey giggles, as well as scenes that pull at the heartstrings. This equilibrium has been a critical calculate the show's prosperity, resounding with crowds across different socioeconomics.
Creation Greatness
The creation quality remaining parts first rate, with the beautiful setting of Phulera town filling in as a scenery that upgrades the narrating. The meticulousness in portraying provincial life, joined with sharp composition and solid exhibitions, guarantees that "Panchayat" keeps on hanging out in the packed web series scene.
Expectation and Delivery
As the delivery date draws near, expectation for "Panchayat" Season 3 is at a record-breaking high. The authority trailer has previously created critical buzz, with fans enthusiastically anticipating the continuation of Abhishek Tripathi's excursion and the new undertakings that lie ahead in Phulera.
All in all, the authority trailer for "Panchayat" Season 3 recommends that watchers are in for another drawing in and engaging ride. Yet again with its charming characters, convincing story, and ideal mix of humor and show, the new season is set to enamor crowds. Write in your schedules and prepare to get back to the endearing universe of "Panchayat."
Tom Selleck Net Worth: A Comprehensive Analysisgreendigital
Over several decades, Tom Selleck, a name synonymous with charisma. From his iconic role as Thomas Magnum in the television series "Magnum, P.I." to his enduring presence in "Blue Bloods," Selleck has captivated audiences with his versatility and charm. As a result, "Tom Selleck net worth" has become a topic of great interest among fans. and financial enthusiasts alike. This article delves deep into Tom Selleck's wealth, exploring his career, assets, endorsements. and business ventures that contribute to his impressive economic standing.
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Early Life and Career Beginnings
The Foundation of Tom Selleck's Wealth
Born on January 29, 1945, in Detroit, Michigan, Tom Selleck grew up in Sherman Oaks, California. His journey towards building a large net worth began with humble origins. , Selleck pursued a business administration degree at the University of Southern California (USC) on a basketball scholarship. But, his interest shifted towards acting. leading him to study at the Hills Playhouse under Milton Katselas.
Minor roles in television and films marked Selleck's early career. He appeared in commercials and took on small parts in T.V. series such as "The Dating Game" and "Lancer." These initial steps, although modest. laid the groundwork for his future success and the growth of Tom Selleck net worth. Breakthrough with "Magnum, P.I."
The Role that Defined Tom Selleck's Career
Tom Selleck's breakthrough came with the role of Thomas Magnum in the CBS television series "Magnum, P.I." (1980-1988). This role made him a household name and boosted his net worth. The series' popularity resulted in Selleck earning large salaries. leading to financial stability and increased recognition in Hollywood.
"Magnum P.I." garnered high ratings and critical acclaim during its run. Selleck's portrayal of the charming and resourceful private investigator resonated with audiences. making him one of the most beloved television actors of the 1980s. The success of "Magnum P.I." played a pivotal role in shaping Tom Selleck net worth, establishing him as a major star.
Film Career and Diversification
Expanding Tom Selleck's Financial Portfolio
While "Magnum, P.I." was a cornerstone of Selleck's career, he did not limit himself to television. He ventured into films, further enhancing Tom Selleck net worth. His filmography includes notable movies such as "Three Men and a Baby" (1987). which became the highest-grossing film of the year, and its sequel, "Three Men and a Little Lady" (1990). These box office successes contributed to his wealth.
Selleck's versatility allowed him to transition between genres. from comedies like "Mr. Baseball" (1992) to westerns such as "Quigley Down Under" (1990). This diversification showcased his acting range. and provided many income streams, reinforcing Tom Selleck net worth.
Television Resurgence with "Blue Bloods"
Sustaining Wealth through Consistent Success
In 2010, Tom Selleck began starring as Frank Reagan i
Meet Dinah Mattingly – Larry Bird’s Partner in Life and Loveget joys
Get an intimate look at Dinah Mattingly’s life alongside NBA icon Larry Bird. From their humble beginnings to their life today, discover the love and partnership that have defined their relationship.
2. Uncertainty is Pervasive
What is uncertain in economic
systems?
–tomorrow’s prices
–future wealth
–future availability of commodities
–present and future actions of other
people.
3. Uncertainty is Pervasive
What are rational responses to
uncertainty?
–buying insurance (health, life,
auto)
–a portfolio of contingent
consumption goods.
4. States of Nature
Possible states of Nature:
–“car accident” (a)
–“no car accident” (na).
Accident occurs with probability πa,
does not with probability πna ;
πa +πna = 1.
Accident causes a loss of $L.
5. Contingencies
A contract implemented only when a
particular state of Nature occurs is
state-contingent.
E.g. the insurer pays only if there is
an accident.
7. State-Contingent Budget
Constraints
Each $1 of accident insurance costs
γ.
Consumer has $m of wealth.
Cna is consumption value in the no-
accident state.
Ca is consumption value in the
accident state.
14. State-Contingent Budget
Constraints
Buy $K of accident insurance.
Cna = m - γK.
Ca = m - L - γK + K = m - L + (1- γ)K.
So K = (Ca - m + L)/(1- γ)
And Cna = m - γ (Ca - m + L)/(1- γ)
15. State-Contingent Budget
Constraints
Buy $K of accident insurance.
Cna = m - γK.
Ca = m - L - γK + K = m - L + (1- γ)K.
So K = (Ca - m + L)/(1- γ)
And Cna = m - γ (Ca - m + L)/(1- γ)
I.e. C
m L
Cna a=
−
−
−
−
γ
γ
γ
γ1 1
19. Preferences Under Uncertainty
Think of a lottery.
Win $90 with probability 1/2 and win
$0 with probability 1/2.
U($90) = 12, U($0) = 2.
Expected utility is
20. Preferences Under Uncertainty
Think of a lottery.
Win $90 with probability 1/2 and win
$0 with probability 1/2.
U($90) = 12, U($0) = 2.
Expected utility is
EU U($90) U($0)= × + ×
= × + × =
1
2
1
2
1
2
12
1
2
2 7.
21. Preferences Under Uncertainty
Think of a lottery.
Win $90 with probability 1/2 and win
$0 with probability 1/2.
Expected money value of the lottery
is
EM $90 $0= × + × =
1
2
1
2
45$ .
22. Preferences Under Uncertainty
EU = 7 and EM = $45.
U($45) > 7 ⇒ $45 for sure is
preferred to the lottery ⇒ risk-
aversion.
U($45) < 7 ⇒ the lottery is preferred
to $45 for sure ⇒ risk-loving.
U($45) = 7 ⇒ the lottery is preferred
equally to $45 for sure ⇒ risk-
neutrality.
34. Preferences Under Uncertainty
What is the MRS of an indifference
curve?
Get consumption c1 with prob. π1 and
c2 with prob. π2 (π1 + π2 = 1).
EU = π1U(c1) + π2U(c2).
For constant EU, dEU = 0.
41. Choice Under Uncertainty
Q: How is a rational choice made
under uncertainty?
A: Choose the most preferred
affordable state-contingent
consumption plan.
49. Competitive Insurance
Suppose entry to the insurance
industry is free.
Expected economic profit = 0.
I.e. γK - πaK - (1 - πa)0 = (γ - πa)K = 0.
I.e. free entry ⇒ γ = πa.
If price of $1 insurance = accident
probability, then insurance is fair.
51. Competitive Insurance
When insurance is fair, rational
insurance choices satisfy
I.e. MU(c ) MU(c )a na=
γ
γ
π
π
π
π1 1−
=
−
=a
a
a
na
MU(c )
MU(c )
a
na
52. Competitive Insurance
When insurance is fair, rational
insurance choices satisfy
I.e.
Marginal utility of income must be
the same in both states.
γ
γ
π
π
π
π1 1−
=
−
=a
a
a
na
MU(c )
MU(c )
a
na
MU(c ) MU(c )a na=
54. Competitive Insurance
How much fair insurance does a risk-
averse consumer buy?
Risk-aversion ⇒ MU(c) ↓ as c ↑.
MU(c ) MU(c )a na=
55. Competitive Insurance
How much fair insurance does a risk-
averse consumer buy?
Risk-aversion ⇒ MU(c) ↓ as c ↑.
Hence
MU(c ) MU(c )a na=
c c .a na=
56. Competitive Insurance
How much fair insurance does a risk-
averse consumer buy?
Risk-aversion ⇒ MU(c) ↓ as c ↑.
Hence
I.e. full-insurance.
MU(c ) MU(c )a na=
c c .a na=
61. “Unfair” Insurance
Rational choice requires
Since
Hence for a risk-averter.
γ
γ
π
π1−
= a
na
MU(c )
MU(c )
a
na
γ
γ
π
π1 1−
>
−
a
a
, MU(c ) > MU(c )a na
c < ca na
62. “Unfair” Insurance
Rational choice requires
Since
Hence for a risk-averter.
I.e. a risk-averter buys less than full
“unfair” insurance.
γ
γ
π
π1−
= a
na
MU(c )
MU(c )
a
na
γ
γ
π
π1 1−
>
−
a
a
, MU(c ) > MU(c )a na
c < ca na
63. Uncertainty is Pervasive
What are rational responses to
uncertainty?
–buying insurance (health, life,
auto)
–a portfolio of contingent
consumption goods.
64. Uncertainty is Pervasive
What are rational responses to
uncertainty?
–buying insurance (health, life,
auto)
–a portfolio of contingent
consumption goods.
65. Uncertainty is Pervasive
What are rational responses to
uncertainty?
–buying insurance (health, life,
auto)
–a portfolio of contingent
consumption goods.
?
66. Diversification
Two firms, A and B. Shares cost $10.
With prob. 1/2 A’s profit is $100 and
B’s profit is $20.
With prob. 1/2 A’s profit is $20 and
B’s profit is $100.
You have $100 to invest. How?
67. Diversification
Buy only firm A’s stock?
$100/10 = 10 shares.
You earn $1000 with prob. 1/2 and
$200 with prob. 1/2.
Expected earning: $500 + $100 = $600
68. Diversification
Buy only firm B’s stock?
$100/10 = 10 shares.
You earn $1000 with prob. 1/2 and
$200 with prob. 1/2.
Expected earning: $500 + $100 = $600
69. Diversification
Buy 5 shares in each firm?
You earn $600 for sure.
Diversification has maintained
expected earning and lowered risk.
70. Diversification
Buy 5 shares in each firm?
You earn $600 for sure.
Diversification has maintained
expected earning and lowered risk.
Typically, diversification lowers
expected earnings in exchange for
lowered risk.
71. Risk Spreading/Mutual Insurance
100 risk-neutral persons each
independently risk a $10,000 loss.
Loss probability = 0.01.
Initial wealth is $40,000.
No insurance: expected wealth is
0 99 40 000 0 01 40 000 10 000
39 900
⋅ × + ⋅ −
=
$ , ($ , $ , )
$ , .
72. Risk Spreading/Mutual Insurance
Mutual insurance: Expected loss is
Each of the 100 persons pays $1 into
a mutual insurance fund.
Mutual insurance: expected wealth is
Risk-spreading benefits everyone.
0 01 10 000 100⋅ × =$ , $ .
$ , $ $ , $ , .40 000 1 39 999 39 900− = >