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5 Ways to Trade Currencies Kathy Lien  Director of Currency Research
[object Object],[object Object],Disclaimer
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Agenda
Exercise Your Brain
Brain Teasers
OTTFFSS _?  Brain Teasers
3 Trading Perspectives
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],3 Trading Perspectives
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],3 Ms of Trading
5 Ways to Trade
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],5 Ways to Trade
EUR/USD Source: DealBook 360 Sticking with the Trend
USD/JPY Source: DealBook 360 Sticking with the Trend
Sticking with the Trend ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
EUR/USD Source: DealBook 360 The First Break
AUD/JPY Source: DealBook 360 The First Break
GBP/USD Source: DealBook 360 Retrace
USD/CHF Source: DealBook 360 Retrace
Sticking with the Trend Increase Your Chance of Success  By Keeping an Eye on Data
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Going for Yield The views of the author are not necessarily those of GFT, its owners, officers, agents or employees. In addition, any projections or views of the market  provided by the author may not prove to be accurate.
Source: DealBook 360 AUD/USD +45% then -35% Going for Yield
Source: DealBook 360 EUR/JPY +30% the  -33% Going for Yield
Going for Yield How Can you Determine Where  Interest Rates Are Headed? Put Yourself Into the Shoes of the Central Banker
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Anticipating News
Friday January 23, 2009 UK GDP (Q4) 4:30 AM ET Expectations:  -1.2% (QoQ) / -1.4% (YoY) Previous: -0.6% (QoQ) / 0.3% (YoY) Our Call:  Weaker GDP Anticipating News
Source: DealBook 360 GDP -1.5% QoQ -1.8% YoY Canadian Retail Sales
What are the Clues?  Anticipating News
Retail Sales + Trade Balance = GDP Anticipating News Source: Bloomberg
January 19, 2009 New Zealand Consumer Prices (QoQ) 4:45 PM ET Expectations:  -0.4% QoQ, 3.5% YoY Previous:  1.5% QoQ , 5.1% YoY Our Call:  Weaker CPI Anticipating News
Source: DealBook 360 NZD CPI -0.5% QoQ 3.4% YoY New Zealand CPI
Anticipating News What are the Clues?  German Retail Sales and Factory Orders Were Weak
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Following the Flow
Source: DealBook 360 UK GDP Fall More than Expected 0 70 -80 Pips UK GDP
Source: DealBook 360 NZD CPI Weaker than Expected 70 Pips New Zealand CPI
Picking Tops and Bottoms is Tempting, But Tough! Source: DealBook 360 -35% -7500 Pips In 4 months Fading Market Sentiment
Source: DealBook 360 Magazine Covers
Magazine Covers
Trader What Kind of Trader Are You?
What kind of Trader are You? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Bonus! Trading Strategy:  Extension Fade
Extension Fade
Extension Fade
Extension Fade
Extension Fade Trading Rules ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],The views of the author are not necessarily those of GFT, its owners, officers, agents or employees. In addition, any projections or views of the market provided by the author may  not prove to be accurate.
Source: DealBook 360 Extension Fade
Source: DealBook 360 Extension Fade
Extension Fade Does the Strategy Work for Other Currency Pairs?
Source: DealBook 360 USD/CAD Example
Extension Fade Can the First Target be Altered?
Extension Fade What Happens if the Move Continues for More than 7 Days?
Extension Fade
Source: DealBook 360 GBP/USD Example
Extension Fade Can You Trade a 6 Day Fade?
Questions? Agenda
Join Us! Premium Presentation Feb 23, 4:30pm – 6:00pm Strategies to Effectively Anticipate and React to Currency News *Open to new and existing GFT Clients Limited seating. Inquire at GFT Booth.
Disclaimer DISCLAIMER: GFT refers to Global Futures & Forex, Ltd. and all of its divisions, branches and subsidiaries, including Global Forex Trading, GFT Global Markets Asia Pte. Ltd. and GFT Global Markets UK Limited. [In the United Kingdom,] GFT Global Markets UK Limited is authorized and regulated by the United Kingdom Financial Services Authority. Each investment product is offered only to and from jurisdictions where solicitation and sale are lawful. Trading of foreign exchange contracts, contracts for differences, derivatives and other investment products which are leveraged, can carry a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. It is possible to lose more than the initial investment. In Australia, GFT means Global Futures & Forex, Ltd. ARBN 103 508 461, AFS License 226625. A Product Disclosure Statement (PDS) is available at _www.gft.com.au. You should read and consider the PDS before making any decision to deal in GFT products. This [advertisement] is published by GFT Global Markets Asia Pte. Ltd. (Company Registration Number 200717665N) in Singapore for informational purposes only and is not an offer or a solicitation to deal in any investment product or to enter into any legal relations, nor an advice or a recommendation with respect to such investment product. © 2009 Global Futures & Forex, Ltd. All rights reserved. DISCLAIMER: This presentation and the information provided here should not be relied upon as a substitute for extensive independent research before making your investment decisions. Global Forex Trading is merely providing this presentation for your general information. This presentation and its information does not take into account any particular individual’s investment objectives, financial situation, or needs. All investors should obtain advice based on their unique situation before making any investment decision based upon this forum or any information contained within. In addition, any projections or views of the market provided by the author may not prove to be accurate. Global Forex Trading, Boris Schlossberg, and Kathy Lien will not be responsible for any losses incurred on investments made by readers and clients as a result of any information contained in this column. Global Forex Trading, Boris Schlossberg, and Kathy Lien do not render investment, legal, accounting, tax or other professional advice. If such advice is sought, or other expert assistance is required, the services of a competent professional should be sought. CD08BKU.002.021809

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Five Ways Trade Currencies

  • 1. 5 Ways to Trade Currencies Kathy Lien Director of Currency Research
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 6. OTTFFSS _? Brain Teasers
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10. 5 Ways to Trade
  • 11.
  • 12. EUR/USD Source: DealBook 360 Sticking with the Trend
  • 13. USD/JPY Source: DealBook 360 Sticking with the Trend
  • 14.
  • 15. EUR/USD Source: DealBook 360 The First Break
  • 16. AUD/JPY Source: DealBook 360 The First Break
  • 19. Sticking with the Trend Increase Your Chance of Success By Keeping an Eye on Data
  • 20.
  • 21. Source: DealBook 360 AUD/USD +45% then -35% Going for Yield
  • 22. Source: DealBook 360 EUR/JPY +30% the -33% Going for Yield
  • 23. Going for Yield How Can you Determine Where Interest Rates Are Headed? Put Yourself Into the Shoes of the Central Banker
  • 24.
  • 25. Friday January 23, 2009 UK GDP (Q4) 4:30 AM ET Expectations: -1.2% (QoQ) / -1.4% (YoY) Previous: -0.6% (QoQ) / 0.3% (YoY) Our Call: Weaker GDP Anticipating News
  • 26. Source: DealBook 360 GDP -1.5% QoQ -1.8% YoY Canadian Retail Sales
  • 27. What are the Clues? Anticipating News
  • 28. Retail Sales + Trade Balance = GDP Anticipating News Source: Bloomberg
  • 29. January 19, 2009 New Zealand Consumer Prices (QoQ) 4:45 PM ET Expectations: -0.4% QoQ, 3.5% YoY Previous: 1.5% QoQ , 5.1% YoY Our Call: Weaker CPI Anticipating News
  • 30. Source: DealBook 360 NZD CPI -0.5% QoQ 3.4% YoY New Zealand CPI
  • 31. Anticipating News What are the Clues? German Retail Sales and Factory Orders Were Weak
  • 32.
  • 33. Source: DealBook 360 UK GDP Fall More than Expected 0 70 -80 Pips UK GDP
  • 34. Source: DealBook 360 NZD CPI Weaker than Expected 70 Pips New Zealand CPI
  • 35. Picking Tops and Bottoms is Tempting, But Tough! Source: DealBook 360 -35% -7500 Pips In 4 months Fading Market Sentiment
  • 36. Source: DealBook 360 Magazine Covers
  • 38. Trader What Kind of Trader Are You?
  • 39.
  • 40. Bonus! Trading Strategy: Extension Fade
  • 44.
  • 45. Source: DealBook 360 Extension Fade
  • 46. Source: DealBook 360 Extension Fade
  • 47. Extension Fade Does the Strategy Work for Other Currency Pairs?
  • 48. Source: DealBook 360 USD/CAD Example
  • 49. Extension Fade Can the First Target be Altered?
  • 50. Extension Fade What Happens if the Move Continues for More than 7 Days?
  • 52. Source: DealBook 360 GBP/USD Example
  • 53. Extension Fade Can You Trade a 6 Day Fade?
  • 55. Join Us! Premium Presentation Feb 23, 4:30pm – 6:00pm Strategies to Effectively Anticipate and React to Currency News *Open to new and existing GFT Clients Limited seating. Inquire at GFT Booth.
  • 56. Disclaimer DISCLAIMER: GFT refers to Global Futures & Forex, Ltd. and all of its divisions, branches and subsidiaries, including Global Forex Trading, GFT Global Markets Asia Pte. Ltd. and GFT Global Markets UK Limited. [In the United Kingdom,] GFT Global Markets UK Limited is authorized and regulated by the United Kingdom Financial Services Authority. Each investment product is offered only to and from jurisdictions where solicitation and sale are lawful. Trading of foreign exchange contracts, contracts for differences, derivatives and other investment products which are leveraged, can carry a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. It is possible to lose more than the initial investment. In Australia, GFT means Global Futures & Forex, Ltd. ARBN 103 508 461, AFS License 226625. A Product Disclosure Statement (PDS) is available at _www.gft.com.au. You should read and consider the PDS before making any decision to deal in GFT products. This [advertisement] is published by GFT Global Markets Asia Pte. Ltd. (Company Registration Number 200717665N) in Singapore for informational purposes only and is not an offer or a solicitation to deal in any investment product or to enter into any legal relations, nor an advice or a recommendation with respect to such investment product. © 2009 Global Futures & Forex, Ltd. All rights reserved. DISCLAIMER: This presentation and the information provided here should not be relied upon as a substitute for extensive independent research before making your investment decisions. Global Forex Trading is merely providing this presentation for your general information. This presentation and its information does not take into account any particular individual’s investment objectives, financial situation, or needs. All investors should obtain advice based on their unique situation before making any investment decision based upon this forum or any information contained within. In addition, any projections or views of the market provided by the author may not prove to be accurate. Global Forex Trading, Boris Schlossberg, and Kathy Lien will not be responsible for any losses incurred on investments made by readers and clients as a result of any information contained in this column. Global Forex Trading, Boris Schlossberg, and Kathy Lien do not render investment, legal, accounting, tax or other professional advice. If such advice is sought, or other expert assistance is required, the services of a competent professional should be sought. CD08BKU.002.021809

Editor's Notes

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  20. Good Morning, my name is Kathy Lien, the Chief Currency Strategist of Forex Capital Markets.It is certainly good to see so many people interested in foreign exchange. If you haven’t realized it yet, currencies have recently become one of the hottest products to trade. With $1.9 trillion in daily turnover, it is the largest market in the world. In the past, access to this mkt was restricted to large players such as hedge funds, CTAs and institutional investors due to regulation, capital requirements and technology.
  21. <number>
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  24. Good Morning, my name is Kathy Lien, the Chief Currency Strategist of Forex Capital Markets.It is certainly good to see so many people interested in foreign exchange. If you haven’t realized it yet, currencies have recently become one of the hottest products to trade. With $1.9 trillion in daily turnover, it is the largest market in the world. In the past, access to this mkt was restricted to large players such as hedge funds, CTAs and institutional investors due to regulation, capital requirements and technology.
  25. It is certainly good to see so many people interested in foreign exchange. If you haven’t realized it yet, currencies have recently become one of the hottest products to trade. With $1.9 trillion in daily turnover, it is the largest market in the world. In the past, access to this mkt was restricted to large players such as hedge funds, CTAs and institutional investors due to regulation, capital requirements and technology.
  26. Good Morning, my name is Kathy Lien, the Chief Currency Strategist of Forex Capital Markets.It is certainly good to see so many people interested in foreign exchange. If you haven’t realized it yet, currencies have recently become one of the hottest products to trade. With $1.9 trillion in daily turnover, it is the largest market in the world. In the past, access to this mkt was restricted to large players such as hedge funds, CTAs and institutional investors due to regulation, capital requirements and technology.
  27. Good Morning, my name is Kathy Lien, the Chief Currency Strategist of Forex Capital Markets.It is certainly good to see so many people interested in foreign exchange. If you haven’t realized it yet, currencies have recently become one of the hottest products to trade. With $1.9 trillion in daily turnover, it is the largest market in the world. In the past, access to this mkt was restricted to large players such as hedge funds, CTAs and institutional investors due to regulation, capital requirements and technology.
  28. Good Morning, my name is Kathy Lien, the Chief Currency Strategist of Forex Capital Markets.It is certainly good to see so many people interested in foreign exchange. If you haven’t realized it yet, currencies have recently become one of the hottest products to trade. With $1.9 trillion in daily turnover, it is the largest market in the world. In the past, access to this mkt was restricted to large players such as hedge funds, CTAs and institutional investors due to regulation, capital requirements and technology.
  29. Good Morning, my name is Kathy Lien, the Chief Currency Strategist of Forex Capital Markets.It is certainly good to see so many people interested in foreign exchange. If you haven’t realized it yet, currencies have recently become one of the hottest products to trade. With $1.9 trillion in daily turnover, it is the largest market in the world. In the past, access to this mkt was restricted to large players such as hedge funds, CTAs and institutional investors due to regulation, capital requirements and technology.
  30. Good Morning, my name is Kathy Lien, the Chief Currency Strategist of Forex Capital Markets.It is certainly good to see so many people interested in foreign exchange. If you haven’t realized it yet, currencies have recently become one of the hottest products to trade. With $1.9 trillion in daily turnover, it is the largest market in the world. In the past, access to this mkt was restricted to large players such as hedge funds, CTAs and institutional investors due to regulation, capital requirements and technology.
  31. Good Morning, my name is Kathy Lien, the Chief Currency Strategist of Forex Capital Markets.It is certainly good to see so many people interested in foreign exchange. If you haven’t realized it yet, currencies have recently become one of the hottest products to trade. With $1.9 trillion in daily turnover, it is the largest market in the world. In the past, access to this mkt was restricted to large players such as hedge funds, CTAs and institutional investors due to regulation, capital requirements and technology.
  32. Good Morning, my name is Kathy Lien, the Chief Currency Strategist of Forex Capital Markets.It is certainly good to see so many people interested in foreign exchange. If you haven’t realized it yet, currencies have recently become one of the hottest products to trade. With $1.9 trillion in daily turnover, it is the largest market in the world. In the past, access to this mkt was restricted to large players such as hedge funds, CTAs and institutional investors due to regulation, capital requirements and technology.
  33. Good Morning, my name is Kathy Lien, the Chief Currency Strategist of Forex Capital Markets.It is certainly good to see so many people interested in foreign exchange. If you haven’t realized it yet, currencies have recently become one of the hottest products to trade. With $1.9 trillion in daily turnover, it is the largest market in the world. In the past, access to this mkt was restricted to large players such as hedge funds, CTAs and institutional investors due to regulation, capital requirements and technology.
  34. Good Morning, my name is Kathy Lien, the Chief Currency Strategist of Forex Capital Markets.It is certainly good to see so many people interested in foreign exchange. If you haven’t realized it yet, currencies have recently become one of the hottest products to trade. With $1.9 trillion in daily turnover, it is the largest market in the world. In the past, access to this mkt was restricted to large players such as hedge funds, CTAs and institutional investors due to regulation, capital requirements and technology.
  35. Good Morning, my name is Kathy Lien, the Chief Currency Strategist of Forex Capital Markets.It is certainly good to see so many people interested in foreign exchange. If you haven’t realized it yet, currencies have recently become one of the hottest products to trade. With $1.9 trillion in daily turnover, it is the largest market in the world. In the past, access to this mkt was restricted to large players such as hedge funds, CTAs and institutional investors due to regulation, capital requirements and technology.
  36. Good Morning, my name is Kathy Lien, the Chief Currency Strategist of Forex Capital Markets.It is certainly good to see so many people interested in foreign exchange. If you haven’t realized it yet, currencies have recently become one of the hottest products to trade. With $1.9 trillion in daily turnover, it is the largest market in the world. In the past, access to this mkt was restricted to large players such as hedge funds, CTAs and institutional investors due to regulation, capital requirements and technology.
  37. Good Morning, my name is Kathy Lien, the Chief Currency Strategist of Forex Capital Markets.It is certainly good to see so many people interested in foreign exchange. If you haven’t realized it yet, currencies have recently become one of the hottest products to trade. With $1.9 trillion in daily turnover, it is the largest market in the world. In the past, access to this mkt was restricted to large players such as hedge funds, CTAs and institutional investors due to regulation, capital requirements and technology.
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