3. Introduction
- Accurate understanding of what the project is all about is very important.
- Failure of understanding or start off in the wrong direction will lead to:
- Realization of wrong direction in partway of the project, you need to start
all over again
- End up convincing client to accept a project that was never intended
- You will persist with wrong project, and it will end up being rejected.
4. Steps for Building
Financial Models
Discussion
with
management
01
Building
assumptions
02
Building
template for
model
03
Uploading
historical
financial data
04
Projecting the
balance sheet
and profit and
loss account
05
Additional
schedules
and
projections
06
Cash flow
statement
07
Preparing
Ratio Analysis
08
Valuation
09
5. Discussion with Management
- Management serves as primary source of information about future plans and trends.
- To determine or confirm the scope and target of your model.
- Be prepared to go back to the section heads and ask the same or similar question from a
position of better understanding.
- After discussion, you are able to determine the nature, scope, and purpose of the assignment.
- Three steps to ensure better understanding:
- Gauging Management Expectation
- Knowing Your Client’s Business
- Department Heads
7. Knowing your
client’s business
- Need to know the industry of the business
and identify any peculiarities due to
geographical location and those industry
specific matters.
- Need to gain some knowledge of the
industry trends and client’s competitors.
- If client operates in a specialized industry,
you need to consider consulting with
someone who is an expert in that field.
- Whenever there is uncertainty, corroborative
evidence is one of the best forms of
assurance that you are doing the right thing.
8. Department
Heads
- It is the department heads that will contribute the most toward
building assumptions about future growth and expected trends.
- They have been in their respective areas of expertise for years
and have come to understand the business better than most.
- As a result, you should place reliance on their responses.
- You should be a position to assess how competent they are to
given credible insight into the company’s plans.
9. Building Assumptions
- Build up a set of assumptions to bridge the gap between actual performance and future
results.
- Although you will need to project every single item in the model, your assumptions will focus
on items that will have a material effect on the final results.
- Your assumptions will need to consider whether items will increase, decrease or stay same.
- How you calculate the projected change is referred to as the growth driver.
10. Building a Template for your Model
- Build template to make your financial model easier and faster to navigate and update.
- You could standardize and simplifying the model by using template.
- Build a template with standard format and simple rules guiding how data is to be input and
presented.
- In general, you will require at least six columns of figures, three each of historical and
projected years, and another three or four columns for descriptive information.
- The major decision is whether to adopt a single-worksheet or multiple-worksheet approach.
11. Multiple-Worksheet
Approach
- Each worksheet s dedicated to one
statement.
- To facilitate efficient navigation through
your model, you should ensure that
each year is in the same column on
each worksheet.
12. Single-worksheet approach (1)
- You must ensure that you maintain a
standard layout for all statement right from
the onset.
- Any changes to column width or attempts to
insert or delete columns will affect all
statements since they are stacked one on
top of the other.
- Important part: Grouping of each statement.
- Excel allows you to group rows so that they
can be collapsed and hidden or expanded
and revealed by clicking the – or + signs that
are displayed alongside the row labels when
the group is created
13. Single-worksheet approach (2)
- There are vertical lines down the left border, just
before the row numbers.
- The length of each vertical line covers the range of
rows included in that particular group.
- The collapse or expand button is displayed at the end
of the line, just after the last row of the group.
- It appears as a – sign when the group is expanded.
- Clicking the – sign will collapse the group and turn the
sign to a + sign.
- Click + sign if you wish to expand the group.
- You will create the group so that when you collapse a
statement, the title of that statement will remain visible.
14. Single-worksheet approach (2)
- There are vertical lines down the left border, just before the row numbers.
- The length of each vertical line covers the range of rows included in that particular group.
- The collapse or expand button is displayed at the end of the line, just after the last row of the group.
- It appears as a – sign when the group is expanded.
- Clicking the – sign will collapse the group and turn the sign to a + sign.
- Click + sign if you wish to expand the group.
- You will create the group so that when you collapse a statement, the title of that statement will remain visible.
17. Single-worksheet approach (3)
- This arrangement gives a cascading effect and facilitates quick navigation between headings
of the same level, using Excel keyboard shortcuts.
- There is not an issue if statements are stacked one on top of another.
Colour-Coding Freeze Panes Rounding Off
• To differentiate between
typed-in (hardcoded) cells
that may be changed and
revised and those cells
retaining formulas.
• Leave title and column
headings visible when you
scroll down below their usual
level of visibility.
• Round off the figures so that
all the years fit within one
screen width.
18. Updating Historical Financial Data
(1)
- With historical data, we are interested in the balance sheet, profit and loss account and cash flow
statement.
- It is common, in the course of preparing financial statements, to have a number of initial drafts that
may have content that will be superseded when the final statements are agreed upon.
- Ensure that the financials you are given are the final audited financial statements.
- The more information you have, the more accurate your projections will be.
- Generally, historical data is limited to 5 years, with another 5 years of projected financials
- You will need to tidy up the data to bring formatting and arrangement in line with your model
template and resolve other anomalies.
21. Projecting the balance sheet and profit
and loss account (1)
- To project the financials, you need to determine the growth drivers for the balance sheet and profit
and loss account.
- Growth drivers are those parameters that best capture the movement in individual items over the
years.
- The nature of the item and your expertise will determine which parameter you select as an
appropriate growth driver.
- Once the historical growth drivers have been calculated, you will need to project them over the next
5 years.
- You will be guided by your notes on the discussions with management and the section heads for
the suggestions on how growth is likely to behave in the next 5 years.
23. Additional schedules and projections (1)
- At this stage, it would have come to your attention that Balance Check for projected years is now red and FALSE.
- This is because the balance sheet and profit and loss statement are incomplete.
- There are some items such as CapEx, depreciation, loans and interest.
- Asset Schedule is prepared to capture the movement in property, plant and machinery.
- Debt Schedule is prepared to map the movement in secured and unsecured loans.
- Use BASE method to obtain closing balances and the accumulated depreciation charges.
- Equity is represented by share capital and accumulated reserves that have not been distributed.
- Additions to share capital will be reflected here, as well as movement in reserves as a result of profit or loss for the
year, and dividends and other distributions.
- The final balances of the share capital and reserves are taken to the balance sheet.
- At this stage, the profit and loss accounts for the projected years are now complete.
- Balance check is still showing red FALSE as pending cash value from cash flow statement
26. Cash flow statement (1)
- The cash balance is a fallout from all transactions carried out during the period under review.
- This fact is captured in the cash flow statement, which considers the inflows and outflows of
cash.
- The net result is then applied to the opening balance to arrive at the closing cash balance at the
period end.
- When the closing cash balance is taken to the balance sheet, the balance check for the
projected years should now show TRUE on a green background, giving some assurance that
calculations up till that point are correct.
28. Preparing Ratio Analysis
- After conducted three-statement model (in
previous sections), now we need to access the
health of company.
- Ratio analysis can provide insights about the
profitability, liquidity, efficiency and debt
management of a company for the year, as well
as over a period.
- You should be able to interpret the ratio you
choose and include qualitative assistance to the
decision making process.
29. Valuation
Relative Approach Absolute Approach
• The comparative company method of valuation:
- Obtain value of a business by looking at
the value of similar business and their
trading multiples, e.g. EV/ EBITDA
• The precedent transaction method:
- Compare the business to other similar
businesses in the industry that have
recently been sold or acquired. You can
use multiples to derive a value for your
business or company.
• This approach estimates all future free cash flows of
the company and discounts it back to today.
• Also known as Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) method.
• Considers that the worth of the company can be
equated to the amount of cash you can generate after
considering:
a. Free cash flow
b. Time value of money
c. Discount factor
d. Cost of capital
e. Weighted average cost of capital
f . Terminal growth rate
g. Terminal value
• DCF results in the highest value for the entity but is
widely considered to be most accurate.