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Atlantic Tropical Depression ANA Wind Speed Probabilities
Number 12
000
FONT11 KNHC 102031
PWSAT1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012015
2100 UTC SUN MAY 10 2015
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 34.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
NEW YORK CITY 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
ATLANTIC CITY 34 X 1( 1) 8( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
DOVER DE 34 X 2( 2) 6( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
WASHINGTON DC 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
OCEAN CITY MD 34 X 5( 5) 9(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
RICHMOND VA 34 X 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
NORFOLK NAS 34 1 13(14) 2(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
NORFOLK VA 34 1 13(14) 2(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
WALLOPS CDA 34 X 8( 8) 6(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
RALEIGH NC 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 1 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 4 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
WILMINGTON NC 34 8 X( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAPWSAT1.shtml

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Atlantic Tropical Depression ANA Wind Speed Probabilities Number 12

  • 1. Atlantic Tropical Depression ANA Wind Speed Probabilities Number 12 000 FONT11 KNHC 102031 PWSAT1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012015 2100 UTC SUN MAY 10 2015 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
  • 2. FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
  • 3. LOCATION KT YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) NEW YORK CITY 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ATLANTIC CITY 34 X 1( 1) 8( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) DOVER DE 34 X 2( 2) 6( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
  • 4. WASHINGTON DC 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) OCEAN CITY MD 34 X 5( 5) 9(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) RICHMOND VA 34 X 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) NORFOLK NAS 34 1 13(14) 2(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) NORFOLK VA 34 1 13(14) 2(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) WALLOPS CDA 34 X 8( 8) 6(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) RALEIGH NC 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CAPE HATTERAS 34 1 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) MOREHEAD CITY 34 4 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) WILMINGTON NC 34 8 X( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) $$ FORECASTER PASCH http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAPWSAT1.shtml