One often hears gamblers say something along the lines of, “This game just seems like a trap.” Do oddsmakers truly try to bait you into betting the wrong side? Joe Duffy, America’s greatest sports handicapper breaks it down. He answers with examples and tells us how there is a powerful message in every point spread, especially in these so called “trap” games. Duffy is CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com
2. Seems like oddsmakers
baiting you to “bet them”
Bookies never intentionally
set a line based on trying to get
you to bet a side
There is always knowledge
to be gained by line
To some examples…
3. CFB: When oddsmakers tell you the
lower ranked team is the better team,
bet them
o Lower ranked away teams not
getting at least 3 points 12-2 SU and
ATS since 2015
o HFA is 3 points
o The square figures if a team is
higher ranked, they are better
Odds are lead indicators,
rankings/records lag indicators
4. NFL favorite has four less
wins than their opponent
o Trap, you have to bet the
dog?
o Favorite despite four
fewer wins or more are 40-
22 ATS
44-21 SU
5. NBA away favorites despite a
worse record
Trap, how can you not bet
better team as home underdogs?
o Away favorites in said
situation 314-235-7 for 57
percent
o Bigger favorite, winning
percentage goes up