April 10, 2025 - Dubai, UAE
Agile at the Crossroads
Navigating a Post-Framework World
SUPPORTERS
GOLD PARTNER
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Today’s
Session
1. Where we’ve been
2. Some possible explanations
3. A post-framework toolkit
PART 1:
WHERE WE’VE BEEN
Every great cause
begins as a movement,
becomes a business,
and eventually
degenerates into a
racket.
Eric Hoffer, The
Temper of Our Time
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Begins as a movement…
“Conversational”
“Adaptive”
“Lightweight”
“Essential”
“Lean”
“AGILE!”
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Becomes a business…
Scrum
Capital-C
Coaching
Certifications
Agile
Transformations
Conferences
Kanban Jira
Training
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Eventually degenerates into a racket.
Agility Health
Big
Consultants
Agility industrial
complex
SAFe
Agile Playbooks
The Agile Industrial Complex
imposing methods on people is an
absolute travesty.
Martin Fowler
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Tales of four travesties
Influential US Bank Global Pharmaceutical Global Consumer
Electronics
Large US Financial Services
“Agile”
investm
ent
● SAFe-by-the Book
● Installed by Big
Consultants
● Agile “Center of
Excellence”
● Agile
Transformation
according to Big
Consultant
playbooks
● Agile Coaches
● Agile “Center of
Excellence”
● Three+ Agile
Transformations
● Ubiquitous Scrum
● Agile Coaches
● Agile “Center of
Excellence”
● Three+ Agile
Transformations
● Ubiquitous Scrum
● SAFe-light
● 50+ Agile
Coaches
● High scores on
“Agile Maturity”
Outcom
es
Longer delivery times,
lost contracts, layoffs
New digital product 1.0
never even delivered
after 1 year, $5 mil.
New Product
Introductions regularly
late by average of 18
months
Time from concept to
market: 2.5 years
Most frameworks teach useful things.
They simply
are blind to context,
are ignorant of human change and
entice us to cede control to them.
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Recent history of agile
1990s
Lightweight Methods
lightweight software development
methods evolved in reaction to the
prevailing heavyweight methods
(often referred to collectively as
waterfall)
2001
Spotify Model
Henrik Kniberg and Anders
Ivarsson publish the so-called
Spotify model published,
promptly misappropriated.
2012
Manifesto
The Agile Alliance,
published the Manifesto
for Agile Software
Development.
2007-09
Quest for Acceptance
Martin Fowler (2018): “Back 10
years ago, the challenge was
people taking agile at all
seriously”
2018
Agile Layoffs
Companies like Capital
One lay off “agile” roles;
others follow
2024
Agile Alliance joins
PMI
On Dec. 31, Agile
Alliance entered into a
strategic partnership
with the Project
Management Institute
(PMI), and we will now
refer to our organization
as PMI Agile Alliance.
ME Agile
Summit!
2025
HBR Cover
“Agile at Scale”
The New New
Product
Development
Game
Groundbreaking
article by Hirotaka
Takeuchi and
Ikujiro Nonaka
1986
2020s
We
are
here!
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Management (and Consultants) Abhor a Vacuum: “Post-Agile” Frameworks
Product Model
OKRs
Vibe coding
Chat-Oriented
Programming (CHOP)
Maturity
assessments
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Is Agile Dead? Explanations
● Agile has “won”
● Agile has failed
● Agile has morphed
● Agile “by any other name”
● The question is moot, since AI is taking over the world!
PART 2:
WHY? SOME POSSIBLE EXPLANATIONS
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1.Agility is difficult.
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2. Organizational-management
culture is often incompatible
with agility.
But we did have an opinion about the first one:
which is “Individuals and Interactions over
Processes and Tools.”
Martin Fowler
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Organizational Culture
Practices
Outcomes follow
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Values
Practices follow
Outcomes follow
Culture follows
Culture wins
Culture speaks more loudly than practices
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Structure
Bonus system
Goals
Rewards
Punishments
Team design
Information
flow
Career paths
Policies
Measurement
What is the structure saying?
Values
Practices follow
Outcomes follow
Culture follows
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Kanban Culture Model
What are the beliefs that inform the values that lead to the structure?
Values
Practices follow
Outcomes follow
Culture follows
Structure
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Example: Theory X and Theory Y
Beliefs Value Structures
The average worker is lazy, venal
and stupid.
Employee goals and organizational
goals are in opposition.
You didn't want them to decide
how to work but somebody else,
somebody who was a more
intelligent and educated.
● The people who are doing the work
should not decide how to do it: We
make them work in x framework.
● It should be a separate group of
planners who does this: We will train
people in special roles and designate
them as leaders.
● Everyone needs to work in the same
way.
The average worker is naturally
intrinsically motivated and thrives
when his or her basic psychological
needs for autonomy, competence,
and relatedness are satisfied.
Organizations can fulfill these
needs by providing people with
clear strategic direction,
meaningful feedback, a sense of
connection to their work and
colleagues, and space to work
in a way that suits them.
● The best architectures, requirements,
and designs emerge from self-
organizing teams.
● At regular intervals, the team reflects on
how to become more effective, then
tunes and adjusts its behavior
accordingly.
MATTPHILIP.WORDPRESS.COM
Example: Theory X and Theory Y
Beliefs Value Structures
The average worker is lazy, venal
and stupid.
Employee goals and organizational
goals are in opposition.
You didn't want them to decide
how to work but somebody else,
somebody who was a more
intelligent and educated.
● The people who are doing the work
should not decide how to do it: We
make them work in x framework.
● It should be a separate group of
planners who does this: We will train
people in special roles and designate
them as leaders.
● Everyone needs to work in the same
way.
The average worker is naturally
intrinsically motivated and thrives
when his or her basic psychological
needs for autonomy, competence,
and relatedness are satisfied.
Organizations can fulfill these
needs by providing people with
clear strategic direction,
meaningful feedback, a sense of
connection to their work and
colleagues, and space to work
in a way that suits them.
● The best architectures, requirements,
and designs emerge from self-
organizing teams.
● At regular intervals, the team reflects on
how to become more effective, then
tunes and adjusts its behavior
accordingly.
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3. Change Management
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Revolutionary Change, Never-Ending Troughs of Despair
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4. Frameworks have become
synonymous with agile
Agile has become
overdecorated.
Alistair Cockburn
Agile is simply:
ways of working informed by the
Agile Manifesto
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5. Ignorance of complexity
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Ordered
Complicated
Repetitive
Good practice
Clear
Best practice
What is our environment?
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Most of our work is novel
Complex
Unique
Emergent practice
Chaos
Novel practice
Complicated
Repetitive
Good practice
Clear
Best practice
Confused
Sweet spot for agile Sweet spot for lean
Governing
Constraints
Enabling
Constraints
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Choose for yourself
Martin Fowler
If you're doing Extreme Programming the
same way as you were doing it a year ago,
you're no longer doing Extreme Programming.
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Product Manager?
Change Management?
Delivery Lead?
Organizational Refactorer?
(What is that?!)
Where to turn?
Learning and Development/
Training?
Part 3:
A Post-Framework Toolkit
In times of change learners
inherit the earth; while the
learned find themselves
beautifully equipped to
deal with a world that no
longer exists.
Eric Hoffer
There’s going to be significantly less demand for
trying to get their folks to follow a framework
better. Wondering whether to learn Scrum or
Kanban is like thinking about what side of the
Titanic would be better to be on. It won’t matter.
You need another skill set than teaching people
how to follow a framework.
Al Shalloway
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Antidotes to Framework Fatigue
1. Beliefs instead of Practices
2. Guidebooks instead of Playbooks
3. Complexity instead of Complicated, but…
4. Simplify instead of Decorate
5. Yokoten instead of Standardization
6. Flow instead of Friction
7. Invite instead of Inflict
8. Create instead of Coordinate*
* credit: Hiten Sha
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1.Beliefs instead of
Practices
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2. Guidebooks instead of
Playbooks
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3. Complexity instead of
Complicated
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Most of our work is novel; work accordingly
Complex
Unique
Emergent practice
Chaos
Novel practice
Complicated
Repetitive
Good practice
Clear
Best practice
Confused
● Make decisions in situations of high
uncertainty.
● “Allow ideas that are not useful to fail in small,
contained and tolerable ways.” —Dave
Snowden
● “What didn’t work three years ago may work
today.” —Dave Wegan
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4. Simplify instead of
Decorate
Everything should be
as simple as it can be,
but not simpler.
Albert Einstein*
* probably
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Kokoro
https://alistair.cockburn.us/wp-content/uploads/2018/02/The-Heart-of-Agile-Technical-Report.pdf
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5. Yokoten instead of
Standardization
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Problems with centralized standards
We need everyone
to standardize on
sprints and points so
that we can compare
apples to apples…
But don't worry,
we're not going to
compare teams.
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Jason Yip
Problems with centralized standards
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Yokoten: Bridging (Not Copy-Pasting)
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6. Flow instead of Friction
Confusion, waste, and friction are
the leading causes of transformation
failures.
Flow Engineering book
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7. Invite instead of Inflict
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8. Create instead of
Coordinate
MAKE NOT MANAGE
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Antidotes to Framework Fatigue
1. Beliefs instead of Practices
2. Guidebooks instead of Playbooks
3. Complexity instead of Complicated, but…
4. Simplify instead of Decorate
5. Yokoten instead of Standardization
6. Flow instead of Friction
7. Invite instead of Inflict
8. Create instead of Coordinate*
* credit: Hiten Sha)
April 10, 2025 - Dubai, UAE
Thank You!
SUPPORTERS
GOLD PARTNER

Agile at the Crossroads: Navigating a Post-Framework World by Matthew Philip