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ME 120 Experimental Methods


       Accuracy, Precision, and
         Error in Measurement

                     BJ Furman
                     17AUG05

                     BJ Furman   SJSU MAE




Error in Measurement
  Error = ε ≡ xmeas - xtrue
      Error is present in every measurement
      Best we can do is estimate a bound on ε with some
      level of certainty
        -u ≤ ε ≤ u      (n:1)
   where u is the uncertainty estimated at odds of n:1,
   or equivalently,
        xmeas- u ≤ xtrue ≤ xmeas+ u  (n:1)
     Wider interval at higher odds
     Narrower interval at lower odds


                     BJ Furman   SJSU MAE




                                                          1
The Goal
  Statements of uncertainty associated with
  measurement results
      “A measurement result is complete only when
      accompanied by a quantitative statement of its
      uncertainty.”
     Guidelines for Evalutating and Expressing the Uncertainty of NIST Measurement
                                         Results, NIST Tech. Note 1297 1994 Edition

      Example
        • Y= y ± uc(y)       95% confidence or (n:1) odds




                              BJ Furman   SJSU MAE




Probability and Odds
  Probability ≡ the likelihood of a particular event taking
  place measured with reference to all possible events.
      The probability of rolling ‘snake eyes’ [••] with a pair of dice is
      1/36

  Odds ≡ the ratio of the probability of an event to the
  probability that it does not happen:
      odds = p/(1-p)
      The odds of rolling snake eyes with a pair of dice is
      (1/36)÷(35/36) ⇒ 1 in 35
      Helpful in magnifying small or large probabilities by expressing
      them as a ratio of whole numbers.
      What probability does odds of 19:1 correspond to?


                              BJ Furman   SJSU MAE




                                                                                      2
Important Definitions
                   Calibration=the process of applying known values of
                   a measurand to determine the response of a
                   measurement system
                            Static Calibration=calibration using a constant measurand
                             • Ex. Weights applied to a scale
                            Dynamic Calibration=calibration using a time-dependent
                            measurand
                             • Ex. Sinusoidal, step, impact
                   Sensitivity=the change of output (measured value)
                   per unit of input (measurand). Sensitivity is the slope of
                   the static calibration curve at a given value of the input.



                                                 BJ Furman   SJSU MAE




Calibration, Sensitivity, and Linearity
                                                 Sensor Calibration

                   40

                   35

                   30
 Output, y units




                   25
                                                                              K=sensitivity
                   20

                   15

                   10

                    5

                    0
                        0              5             10                 15           20       25
                                                   Measurand input, x units



                                                 BJ Furman   SJSU MAE




                                                                                                   3
Important Definitions , cont.
   Accuracy=the closeness of a measured value
   to the actual value being measured
   Repeatability (precision)=the ability of an
   instrument to repeat an output when
   measuring a given quantity under identical
   conditions
   Resolution=the smallest increment of change
   in the measured value that can be determined
   from the readout or recording instrument



                   BJ Furman        SJSU MAE




Accuracy, Repeatability, and Systematic Error
                               Accuracy




                                          Repeatability




                   BJ Furman        SJSU MAE




                                                          4
Calibration and Repeatability
                                      Sensor Calibration Repeated Several Times

                   40

                   35

                   30
 Output, y units




                                                                                       meas. 1
                   25
                                                                                       meas. 2
                   20                                                                  meas. 3
                                                                                       meas. 4
                   15
                                                                                       meas. 5
                   10

                    5

                    0
                        0             5           10             15       20      25
                                               Measurand input, x units



                                                  BJ Furman   SJSU MAE




Components of Uncertainty
                   Random effects (random or precision errors)
                            Occur differently for each measurement
                            Creates a distribution of values
                            Arise from uncontrolled variables, e.g., _________________
                            Can use statistical methods to estimate the likely range that
                            the true value lies in
                   Systematic effects (systematic or bias errors)
                            Occur the same way for each measurement
                             • Ex: 1st down measurement chain – too many links
                             • Ex: Bubble level - vial misaligned
                            Arise from:
                             •   Calibration error
                             •   Loading error
                             •   Measurement disturbance
                             •   Aging of components in measurement equipment
                             •   Uncontrolled variables
                                                  BJ Furman   SJSU MAE




                                                                                                 5
Components of Uncertainty, cont.
                   Systematic effects, cont.
                            In general, need more than statistical methods to
                            determine
                             • Can estimate using:
                                  Comparison with more accurate standards
                                  Compare with a different method of measuring the same
                                  variable
                                  Self-calibration (reversal) sometimes
                                  Inter-laboratory comparison
                                  Experience




                                                  BJ Furman   SJSU MAE




Calibration and Hysteresis
                                          Sensor Calibration with Hysteresis

                   35

                   30

                   25                         g
                                          sin
 Output, y units




                                      rea
                   20
                                   inc
                   15
                                                                            ing
                                                                         eas
                                                                      ecr
                   10
                                                                  d
                    5

                    0
                        0             5               10                 15       20      25
                                                   Measurand input, x units



                                                  BJ Furman   SJSU MAE




                                                                                               6
References
  Beckwith, T. G., Marangoni, R. D., Lienhard, J. H.,
  Mechanical Measurements, Addison-Wesley, Reading, MA,
  1995.
  Figliola, R. S., Beasley, D. E., Theory and Design for
  Mechanical Measurements, 3rd ed., J. Wiley & Sons, New
  York, 2000.
  “Accuracy Specifications for Mensor Products,” Technical
  Note 6, Mensor Corp., www.mensor.com, September, 2002.
  NIST/SEMATECH e-Handbook of Statistical Methods,
  http://www.itl.nist.gov/div898/handbook/, September, 2002.
  Taylor, B. N., Kuyatt, C. E., Guidelines for Evaluating and
  Expressing the Uncertainty of NIST Measurement Results,
  NIST Technical Note 1297, 1994 edition.

                       BJ Furman   SJSU MAE




                                                                7

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Accuracy & error

  • 1. ME 120 Experimental Methods Accuracy, Precision, and Error in Measurement BJ Furman 17AUG05 BJ Furman SJSU MAE Error in Measurement Error = ε ≡ xmeas - xtrue Error is present in every measurement Best we can do is estimate a bound on ε with some level of certainty -u ≤ ε ≤ u (n:1) where u is the uncertainty estimated at odds of n:1, or equivalently, xmeas- u ≤ xtrue ≤ xmeas+ u (n:1) Wider interval at higher odds Narrower interval at lower odds BJ Furman SJSU MAE 1
  • 2. The Goal Statements of uncertainty associated with measurement results “A measurement result is complete only when accompanied by a quantitative statement of its uncertainty.” Guidelines for Evalutating and Expressing the Uncertainty of NIST Measurement Results, NIST Tech. Note 1297 1994 Edition Example • Y= y ± uc(y) 95% confidence or (n:1) odds BJ Furman SJSU MAE Probability and Odds Probability ≡ the likelihood of a particular event taking place measured with reference to all possible events. The probability of rolling ‘snake eyes’ [••] with a pair of dice is 1/36 Odds ≡ the ratio of the probability of an event to the probability that it does not happen: odds = p/(1-p) The odds of rolling snake eyes with a pair of dice is (1/36)÷(35/36) ⇒ 1 in 35 Helpful in magnifying small or large probabilities by expressing them as a ratio of whole numbers. What probability does odds of 19:1 correspond to? BJ Furman SJSU MAE 2
  • 3. Important Definitions Calibration=the process of applying known values of a measurand to determine the response of a measurement system Static Calibration=calibration using a constant measurand • Ex. Weights applied to a scale Dynamic Calibration=calibration using a time-dependent measurand • Ex. Sinusoidal, step, impact Sensitivity=the change of output (measured value) per unit of input (measurand). Sensitivity is the slope of the static calibration curve at a given value of the input. BJ Furman SJSU MAE Calibration, Sensitivity, and Linearity Sensor Calibration 40 35 30 Output, y units 25 K=sensitivity 20 15 10 5 0 0 5 10 15 20 25 Measurand input, x units BJ Furman SJSU MAE 3
  • 4. Important Definitions , cont. Accuracy=the closeness of a measured value to the actual value being measured Repeatability (precision)=the ability of an instrument to repeat an output when measuring a given quantity under identical conditions Resolution=the smallest increment of change in the measured value that can be determined from the readout or recording instrument BJ Furman SJSU MAE Accuracy, Repeatability, and Systematic Error Accuracy Repeatability BJ Furman SJSU MAE 4
  • 5. Calibration and Repeatability Sensor Calibration Repeated Several Times 40 35 30 Output, y units meas. 1 25 meas. 2 20 meas. 3 meas. 4 15 meas. 5 10 5 0 0 5 10 15 20 25 Measurand input, x units BJ Furman SJSU MAE Components of Uncertainty Random effects (random or precision errors) Occur differently for each measurement Creates a distribution of values Arise from uncontrolled variables, e.g., _________________ Can use statistical methods to estimate the likely range that the true value lies in Systematic effects (systematic or bias errors) Occur the same way for each measurement • Ex: 1st down measurement chain – too many links • Ex: Bubble level - vial misaligned Arise from: • Calibration error • Loading error • Measurement disturbance • Aging of components in measurement equipment • Uncontrolled variables BJ Furman SJSU MAE 5
  • 6. Components of Uncertainty, cont. Systematic effects, cont. In general, need more than statistical methods to determine • Can estimate using: Comparison with more accurate standards Compare with a different method of measuring the same variable Self-calibration (reversal) sometimes Inter-laboratory comparison Experience BJ Furman SJSU MAE Calibration and Hysteresis Sensor Calibration with Hysteresis 35 30 25 g sin Output, y units rea 20 inc 15 ing eas ecr 10 d 5 0 0 5 10 15 20 25 Measurand input, x units BJ Furman SJSU MAE 6
  • 7. References Beckwith, T. G., Marangoni, R. D., Lienhard, J. H., Mechanical Measurements, Addison-Wesley, Reading, MA, 1995. Figliola, R. S., Beasley, D. E., Theory and Design for Mechanical Measurements, 3rd ed., J. Wiley & Sons, New York, 2000. “Accuracy Specifications for Mensor Products,” Technical Note 6, Mensor Corp., www.mensor.com, September, 2002. NIST/SEMATECH e-Handbook of Statistical Methods, http://www.itl.nist.gov/div898/handbook/, September, 2002. Taylor, B. N., Kuyatt, C. E., Guidelines for Evaluating and Expressing the Uncertainty of NIST Measurement Results, NIST Technical Note 1297, 1994 edition. BJ Furman SJSU MAE 7