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RECURSOS HÍDRICOS 
Assessment Report and 
its implications to Latin 
Sebastian Vicuña 
The IPCC Fifth 
American 
Lima COP2...
Algunos mensajes claves 
Ya se observan las primeras evidencias de impactos del 
cambio climático en Latinoamérica 
Estos ...
120 Cambios observados 
atribuibles total o 
parcialmente al cambio 
climático
Magrin et al. 2014
Magrin et al. 2014
RETROCESO EN GLACIARES TROPICALES Y EXTRATROPICALES 
Área de los glaciares 
tropicales se ha reducido 
entre un 20-50% en ...
Magrin et al. 2014
CHILE SURESTE DE 
Pasquini et al, 2006 
CENTRO-SUR DE 
Vicuna et al, 2013 
SURAMERICA
Pasquini et al, 2006 
CENTRO-SUR DE 
CHILE SURESTE DE 
SURAMERICA
Magrin et al. 2014
EL AUMENTO EN EMISIONES 
CONTRIUBUYE AL CRECIENTE 
CALENTAMIENTO GLOBAL Y 
AUMENTA LA PROBABILIDAD DE 
IMPACTOS SEVEROS Y ...
Nuevos escenarios para la región 
(IPCC-AR5) 
IPCMCa,g 2ri0n1 e4t al. 2014
IPCC, 2014
Contexto para la region – Centro y Sudamérica
LA ADAPTACIÓN 
CONTEXTO PARA 
LATINOAMERICA
100 
90 
80 
70 
60 
50 
40 
30 
20 
10 
0 
Alta dependencia interna y externa 
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 
Participac...
Disminución en vulnerabilidad pero aumento complejidad 
1.0 
0.9 
0.8 
0.7 
0.6 
0.5 
0.4 
0.3 
0.2 
0.1 
0.0 
0 5 10 15 2...
Algunos mensajes claves 
Ya se observan las primeras evidencias de impactos del 
cambio climático en Latinoamérica 
Estos ...
The IPCC Fifth Assessment Report and its implications to Latin American - Sebastian Vicuña
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The IPCC Fifth Assessment Report and its implications to Latin American - Sebastian Vicuña

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Apresentação exibida durante o debate “Adaptación al Cambio Climático en América Latina: Hacia un abordaje transformacional”, promovido durante a COP20 pela SAE/PR em parceria com a Fundação Avina.

Saiba mais: http://www.sae.gov.br/site/?p=26315#ixzz3LgVZHK1c

Published in: Environment
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The IPCC Fifth Assessment Report and its implications to Latin American - Sebastian Vicuña

  1. 1. RECURSOS HÍDRICOS Assessment Report and its implications to Latin Sebastian Vicuña The IPCC Fifth American Lima COP20, 8 Diciembre 2014
  2. 2. Algunos mensajes claves Ya se observan las primeras evidencias de impactos del cambio climático en Latinoamérica Estos impactos aumentan en la medida que aumentan las emisiones de gases de efecto invernadero El contexto particular de Latinoamérica va a requerir de nuevas y más intensas formas de adaptación al futuro
  3. 3. 120 Cambios observados atribuibles total o parcialmente al cambio climático
  4. 4. Magrin et al. 2014
  5. 5. Magrin et al. 2014
  6. 6. RETROCESO EN GLACIARES TROPICALES Y EXTRATROPICALES Área de los glaciares tropicales se ha reducido entre un 20-50% en los últimos 50 años y los glaciares extratropicales se adelgazan a un ritmo de cerca de 1 m de agua equivalente/año) Rabatel, 2012
  7. 7. Magrin et al. 2014
  8. 8. CHILE SURESTE DE Pasquini et al, 2006 CENTRO-SUR DE Vicuna et al, 2013 SURAMERICA
  9. 9. Pasquini et al, 2006 CENTRO-SUR DE CHILE SURESTE DE SURAMERICA
  10. 10. Magrin et al. 2014
  11. 11. EL AUMENTO EN EMISIONES CONTRIUBUYE AL CRECIENTE CALENTAMIENTO GLOBAL Y AUMENTA LA PROBABILIDAD DE IMPACTOS SEVEROS Y PELIGROSOS
  12. 12. Nuevos escenarios para la región (IPCC-AR5) IPCMCa,g 2ri0n1 e4t al. 2014
  13. 13. IPCC, 2014
  14. 14. Contexto para la region – Centro y Sudamérica
  15. 15. LA ADAPTACIÓN CONTEXTO PARA LATINOAMERICA
  16. 16. 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Alta dependencia interna y externa 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 Participacion agricultura en PIB (%) PIB per capita (Miles USD/Cap) 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 Altas tasas de urbanización 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 Poblacion urbana (%) PIB per capita (Miles USD/Cap) World Bank, 2007 por agricultura Altos ingresos Bajos ingresos Ingresos medios Latinoamérica World Bank, 2007
  17. 17. Disminución en vulnerabilidad pero aumento complejidad 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 Indice de Desarrollo Humano GDP per capita (Miles USD/Cap) Human Development Report (UNDP, 2011) World Bank (2011) Magrin et al. 2014
  18. 18. Algunos mensajes claves Ya se observan las primeras evidencias de impactos del cambio climático en Latinoamérica Estos impactos aumentan en la medida que aumentan las emisiones de gases de efecto invernadero El contexto particular de Latinoamérica va a requerir de nuevas y más intensas formas de adaptación al futuro

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