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Raccomandazioni per la valutazione 
preoperatoria dei pazienti adulti per 
chirurgia non cardiaca: 
blocco I con enfasi sulle condizioni 
caCrladudioi aMecllonhi e 
Libero professionista 
2011-2012
Prediction is very difficult, 
especially about the future. 
—Niels Bohr
Cardiovascular risk? 
• major cardiovascular complications 
(MACE,event) 
– cardiac arrest, non-fatal & fatal 
–myocardial infarction, non fatal & fatal 
– heart failure, 
– clinically relevant arrhythmias, 
– stroke
Clinical steps 
Assessment,preop visit 
Detection of clinical conditions:clinical risk factors 
Exercise capacity 
Preop testing 
Surgery risk 
Prediction of risk
Foundations:ESA 2010 
• 1)Guidelines for pre-operative cardiac risk assessment 
and perioperative cardiac management in non-cardiac 
surgery 
– The Task Force for Preoperative Cardiac Risk Assessment and 
Perioperative Cardiac Management in Non-cardiac Surgery of 
the European Society of Cardiology (ESC) and endorsed by 
the European Society of naesthesiology (ESA) 
– European Journal of Anaesthesiology 2010, 27:92– 
137 
• Republished with permission from Eur Heart J. 2009; 
22:2769–2812 
• Aim:individualized patient assessment
ESA 2011 
• European Journal of Anaesthesiology: 
• October 2011 - Volume 28 - Issue 10 - p 684–722 
• Guidelines 
• Preoperative evaluation of the adult patient 
undergoing non-cardiac surgery: guidelines from the 
European Society of Anaesthesiology 
• De Hert, Stefan; Imberger, Georgina; Carlisle, John; 
Diemunsch, Pierre; Fritsch, Gerhard; Moppett, Iain; 
Solca, Maurizio; Staender, Sven; Wappler, Frank; 
Smith, Andrew; the Task Force on Preoperative 
Evaluation of the Adult Noncardiac Surgery Patient of 
the European Society of Anaesthesiology
Foundations : 
• Perioperative cardiac evaluation, monitoring, 
and risk reduction strategies in noncardiac 
surgery patients 
– Erik J. Bakker, Niels J.C. Ravensbergen and Don 
Poldermans 
– Current Opinion in Critical Care 2011,17:409–415
Foundations : 
• ACC/AHA 2007 Guidelines on Perioperative 
Cardiovascular Evaluation and Care for 
Noncardiac Surgery: Executive Summary: A Report of the American College 
of Cardiology/American Heart Association Task Force on Practice Guidelines (Writing Committee to 
Revise the 2002 Guidelines on Perioperative Cardiovascular Evaluation for Noncardiac 
Surgery):Developed in Collaboration With the American Society of 
• Echocardiography, American Society of Nuclear Cardiology, Heart Rhythm Society, Society of 
Cardiovascular Anesthesiologists, Society for Cardiovascular Angiography and Interventions, Society 
for Vascular Medicine and Biology, and Society for Vascular Surgery. 
• Fleisher LA, Beckman JA, Brown KA, Calkins H, Chaikof E,Fleischmann KE, Freeman WK, Froehlich 
JB, Kasper EK, Kersten JR,Riegel B, Robb JF, Smith SC Jr, Jacobs AK, Adams CD, Anderson JL,Antman 
EM, Buller CE, Creager MA, Ettinger SM, Faxon DP, Fuster V,Halperin JL, Hiratzka LF, Hunt SA, Lytle 
BW, Md RN, Ornato JP, Page RL,Riegel B, Tarkington LG, Yancy CW. 
• Circulation 2007; 116:1971–1996. 
• Aim:creating a risk profile
ESA 2011 
• The potential legal implications may be an area of 
concern. 
• It cannot be overemphasised that guidelines may 
not be appropriate for all clinical situations. 
• The decision whether or not to follow a 
recommendation from a guideline must be made 
by the responsible physician on an individual basis, 
taking into account both the specific conditions of 
the patient and the available resources. 
• Therefore, deviations from guidelines for specific 
reasons remain possible and certainly should not 
be interpreted as a basis for claims of negligence.
• Specific conditions and available resources…… 
• What if resources are scarce???? 
• Decision not to follow a 
guideline……documentare perché!!!
Rischio in anestesia:risk factors 
paziente 
anestesia 
chirurgia 
Ambiente….sala 
operatoria 
..organization 
anestesista 
chirurgo
Limitazioni della lettura 
• Non si parla del rischio tecnico,legato alle attrezzature o alle diverse 
tecniche di anestesia 
• La lettura è piuttosto focalizzata alla valutazione preoperatoria,con 
excursus nella dinamica operatoria (presunta almeno….),escludendo 
malattie rare ,gravidanza e includendo: 
– Malattie cardiovascolari 
– Malattie resp(fumo,COPD,OSA…) 
– Mal.renali 
– Diabete 
– Obesità 
– Disordini coagulativi 
– Anemia e tecniche di conservazione del sangue 
– Anziano 
– Alccolismo 
– Allergia 
• Ci si limita alla chir.noncardiaca
Altri argomenti della lettura(se ci sarà 
tempo) 
• Trattamento della terapia in corso in caso di: 
– Antitrombotici e anest.locoregionale; 
– Erbe e similari 
– Psicotropici 
– Ponte perioperatorio della terapia anticoagulante 
• Tests preop 
• Valutazione delle vie aeree 
• Informazione del paziente
Aim of preop evaluation 
• 1) identify those patients for whom the perioperative period 
may constitute an increased risk of morbidity and mortality, 
aside from the risks associated with the underlying disease. 
– Specialist assessment(cardiologist) 
– Identify patients with excessive risk 
• 2)help us to design perioperative strategies that aim to reduce 
additional perioperative risks. 
– Optimization??? initiation, continuation, or optimization of 
cardiovascular medication) and interventional cardiovascular 
treatment strategies (CABG???) 
• 3)identification of the most appropriate testing and avoidance 
of unnecessary testing 
– non-invasive and invasive testing are not only associated with 
patient discomfort and financial burden, but also with morbidity and 
mortality related to the test procedure,false test results, and 
postponement of required surgery;
Come può la visita preop modificare il 
trattamento? 
Valutaz cardiaca 
preop 
Stratificazione 
del rischio 
cardiaco 
Conduzione 
periop 
preop 
Terapia medica 
Indicazione 
chirurgica 
Terapia chirurgica 
intraop 
Tipo di anestesia 
Anestetici 
monitoraggio 
postop 
Monitoraggio 
Terapia medica 
Follow up
• HOW, WHEN AND BY WHOM SHOULD 
PATIENTS BE EVALUATED PREOPERATIVELY? 
Preoperative evaluation of the adult patient 
undergoing non-cardiac surgery: guidelines from 
the European Society of Anaesthesiology 2010
Preop assessment 
• tools to screen patient history and physical status (such as 
questionnaires, either paper-based or electronic-based, to be 
filled by the patient alone or in conjunction with a health 
professional; interviews by either medical or non-medical 
health professionals); 
• timing of preoperative assessment (including studies looking 
at preoperative interventions aimed at improving patient 
outcome); smoking cessation, 
– alcohol abstinence, 
– optimisation of medical condition 
– weight loss 
• professional qualification necessary to perform the 
preoperative evaluation (nurse, physician assistant,family 
physician/general practitioner, surgeon, anaesthesia trainee 
or anaesthesia specialist).
Medical optimization 
• Reduce mortality and morbidity after major vascular 
surgery (level of evidence: 3) 
• Smoking cessation has definitely shown to be 
beneficial (level of evidence: 1þ) even if an optimal 
duration has not been identified (level of evidence: 
2þ) 
– (the majority of studies put it between 4 and 8 weeks (level of evidence: 1- 
1þ2), 
• Short lasting alcohol abstinence (1 week) has not been 
shown to be beneficial (level of evidence: 2)whereas 
longer (1 month) abstinence has demonstrated 
positive effects (level of evidence: 1)
Percentage of newly diagnosed comorbidities 
Dawson J, Vig S, Choke E, et al. Medical optimisation can reduce morbidity and mortality associated with elective aortic aneurysm repair. 
Eur J Vasc Endovasc Surg 2007; 33:100–104 
St George's Vascular Institute, London, UK. 
comprehensive assessment to identify 
comorbidities,
Optimization 
Dawson J, Vig S, Choke E, et al. Medical optimisation can reduce morbidity and mortality associated with 
elective aortic aneurysm repair. Eur J Vasc Endovasc Surg 2007; 33:100–104 
Cardiology referral 
44% 
Pneumologist 
referral 32% 
Renal referral 16% 
55% resulted in a change 
in management (75% 
change in medications, 
23% referred for CABG or 
coronary stent, 2.5 
referred for pacemaker 
63% resulted in a change 
of management 
23% resulted in a change 
of management (50% 
drug change, 50% 
planned peri-operative 
dialysis).
Risk factors 
Dawson J, Vig S, Choke E, et al. Medical optimisation can reduce morbidity and 
mortality associated with elective aortic aneurysm repair. Eur J Vasc Endovasc Surg 
2007; 33:100–104 
• an abnormal echocardiogram was associated 
with postoperative pneumonia (OR 6.9, 95% CI 1.6e29, P ¼ 0.01) 
and death (OR 7.9, 95% CI 1.15e54, P ¼ 0.036). 
• Pre-operative intervention by a renal physician was associated 
with a reduction in post-operative renal 
impairment (OR 0.12, 95% CI 0.03e0.45, P ¼ 0.002) 
• pre-operative intervention by a cardiologist was associated 
with a reduction in respiratory complications (OR 
0.7, 95% CI 0.05e0.99, P ¼ 0.049).
SMOKING
Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2010 Jul 7;(7):CD002294. 
Interventions for preoperative smoking cessation. 
Thomsen T, Villebro N, Møller AM. 
• Five trials examined the effect of smoking intervention on 
postoperative complications. 
• Pooled risk ratios were 0.70 (95% CI 0.56 to 0.88) for 
developing any complication; and 0.70 (95% CI 0.51 to 0.95) 
for wound complications. 
• Exploratory subgroup analyses showed a significant effect 
of intensive intervention on any complications; RR 0.42 
(95% CI 0.27 to 0.65) and on wound complications RR 0.31 
(95% CI 0.16 to 0.62). 
• For brief interventions the effect was not statistically 
significant but CIs do not rule out a clinically significant 
effect (RR 0.96 (95% CI 0.74 to 1.25) for any complication, 
RR 0.99 (95%CI 0.70 to 1.40) for wound complications).
Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2010 Jul 7;(7):CD002294. 
Interventions for preoperative smoking cessation. 
Thomsen T, Villebro N, Møller AM.
Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2010 Jul 7;(7):CD002294. 
Interventions for preoperative smoking cessation. 
Thomsen T, Villebro N, Møller AM.
A U T H O R S ’ C O N C L U S I O N S Cochrane 
Database Syst Rev. 2010 Jul 7 
Implications for practice 
• The results of this updated reviewindicate that preoperative smoking 
intervention is beneficial for changing smoking behaviour 
perioperatively and in the long term, and for reducing the 
incidence of complications. 
• Exploratory subgroup analyses of two smaller trials suggest that intensive 
intervention over a period of four to eight weeks before surgery and including 
NRT,may support smoking cessation and reduce postoperative morbidity. 
• Six trials testing brief interventions, on the other hand, increased smoking cessation 
• at the time of surgery but failed to detect a statistically significant effect on 
postoperative morbidity. 
• Based on this evidence, intensive interventions for 4-8 weeks before surgery, and 
including NRT, appear relevant for patients scheduled to undergo surgery 4 weeks or 
more after diagnosis. 
• We suggest that smokers scheduled for surgery less than 4 weeks after diagnosis, like 
all smokers, be advised to quit and offered effective interventions, including 
behavioural support and pharmacotherapy.
ALCOHOL
Postoperative outcome following anorectal surgery in alcohol 
users;withdrawal vs continuous drinking 
Tonnesen H, Rosenberg J, Nielsen HJ, Rasmussen V, Hauge C, Pedersen IK, Kehlet H. Effect of preoperative abstinence on 
poor postoperative outcome in alcohol misusers: randomised controlled trial. BMJ. 1999 May 15;318(7194):1311-6. 
elective colorectal surgery. 
Withdrawal from alcohol consumption for 1 month before operation (disulfiram controlled) compared with 
continuous drinking 
% No alcohol X 1 
month 
Continuous 
drinking 
Any Ko 31 73 
Major Ko 12,5 42 
Minor Ko 25 58 
Secondary surg 12,5 42 
Myocardial ischaemia and arrhythmias occurred less often in the intervention 
group; there were also significantly fewer episodes of sudden hypoxaemia 
heart rate and plasma concentrations of catecholamines and interleukin 6, was 
significantly smaller in the intervention group,
Conclusions from Tonnesen H, Rosenberg J, Nielsen HJ, Rasmussen V, 
Hauge C, Pedersen IK, Kehlet H. 
Effect of preoperative abstinence on poor postoperative outcome in alcohol misusers: 
randomised controlled trial. BMJ. 1999 May 15;318(7194):1311-6. 
• One month of preoperative alcohol 
abstinence reduces postoperative 
morbidity in alcohol abusers. 
• The mechanism is probably reduced 
preclinical organ dysfunction and 
reduction of the exaggerated response to 
surgical stress.
ESA 2010 Recommendations 
• (1) Preoperative standardised questionnaires may be helpful in improving 
anaesthesia valuation in a variety of situations (grade of recommendation: D). 
• (2) If a preoperative questionnaire is implemented,great care should be 
taken in its design (grade of recommendation: D), and a computer-based version 
should be used whenever possible (grade of recommendation:C). 
• (3) Preoperative evaluation should be carried out with sufficient time 
before the scheduled procedure to allow for the implementation of any 
advisable preoperative intervention aimed at improving patient outcome 
(grade of recommendation: D). 
• (4) Preoperative assessment should at least be completed by an 
anaesthetist (grade of recommendation:D), but the screening of patients could be 
carried out effectively either by trained nurses (grade of recommendation: C) or 
anaesthesia trainees (grade of recommendation: D). 
• (5) A pharmacy personnel member may usefully be included in preoperative 
assessment, in order to reduce discrepancies in postoperative drug orders 
(grade of recommendation: C). 
• (6) There is insufficient evidence to recommend that the preferred model is 
that a patient should be seen by the same anaesthetist from preoperative 
assessment through to anaesthesiaadministration (grade ofrecommendation: D).
Wijeysundera, D N, AustinPC, Beattie WS, Hux JE, Laupacis A A 
Population-Based Study of Anesthesia Consultation Before Major 
Noncardiac Surgery .Arch Intern Med. 2009;169(6):595-602 
• Background: In single-center studies, consultation byan anesthesiologist days to weeks before surgery was associated 
• with reduced patient anxiety, case cancellations on the day of surgery, and duration of hospitalization. 
• Nonetheless, the impact of anesthesia consultation on outcomes in the population remains unclear. 
• Methods: We used population-based, linked, administrative databases to conduct a cohort 
study of patients,aged 40 years and older, who underwent selected elective intermediate-to 
high-risk noncardiac surgical procedures in Ontario, Canada, between April 1, 1994, and 
March 31, 2004. Propensity-score methods were used to construct a matched-pairs cohort that resolved important 
differences between patients who underwent consultation and those who did not. We then determined 
• the association of consultation (within 60 days before surgery) with hospital length of stay and postoperative mortality 
• (30-day and 1-year) rates within the matched 
• pairs. Results: Of the 271 082 patients in the entire cohort, 39%(n=104 716) underwent 
anesthesia consultation. The proportion of patients who underwent consultation 
increased from 19% in 1994 to 53% in 2003. Within the matched-pairs (n=180 
254), consultation was associated with reduced mean hospital length of stay (8.17 
days vs 8.52 days; difference, −0.35 days; 95% confidence interval [CI], −0.27 to 
−0.43; P.001). Consultation was not associated with reduced mortality at 30 days 
(relative risk, 1.04; 95% CI, 0.96 to 1.13; P=.36) or 1 year (relative risk, 0.98; 95% CI, 
0.95 to 1.02; P=.20). 
• Conclusions: Preoperative anesthesia consultation is associated 
• with reduced length of stay but not with reduced 
• mortality. Future research should evaluate the costeffectiveness 
• of the increasing use of anesthesia 
• consultation.
Single center results: 
• preoperative anesthesia consultation clinics showed measurable benefits in several single-center studies. 
• They were associated with reduced patient anxiety,3 
• Reduced case cancellations on the day of surgery,4,5 
• Reduced duration of hospitalization,5,6 
• Reduced hospital costs.6 
• 3. Klopfenstein CE, Forster A, Van Gessel E. Anesthetic assessment in an outpatient 
• consultation clinic reduces preoperative anxiety. Can J Anaesth. 2000; 
• 47(6):511-515. 
• 4. Ferschl MB, Tung A, Sweitzer B, Huo D, Glick DB. Preoperative clinic visits reduce 
• operating room cancellations and delays. Anesthesiology. 2005;103(4): 
• 855-859. 
• 5. van Klei WA, Moons KG, Rutten CL, et al. The effect of outpatient preoperative 
• evaluation of hospital inpatients on cancellation of surgery and length of hospital 
• stay. Anesth Analg. 2002;94(3):644-649. 
• 6. Pollard JB, Garnerin P, Dalman RL. Use of outpatient preoperative evaluation to 
• decrease length of stay for vascular surgery. Anesth Analg. 1997;85(6):1307- 
• 1311.
OUTCOME OF PATIENTS (WITH AND 
WITOUT CARDIAC RISK)AFTER 
NONCARDIAC SURGERY
Magnitude of risk of major 
perioperative cardiac events 
• Patients experiencing an MI after noncardiac 
surgery have a hospital mortality rate of 15%– 
25%(5–8) 
• nonfatal perioperative MI is an independent risk 
factor for cardiovascular death and nonfatal MI 
during the 6 months following surgery (hazard ratio 
18; 95% confidence interval [CI] 6–57)(9 ) 
• Patients who have a cardiac arrest after 
noncardiac surgery have a hospital mortality rate 
of 65%(10) 
• nonfatal perioperative cardiac arrest is a risk 
factor for cardiac death during the 5 years 
following surgery(11)
Outcomes of major perioperative cardiac events in patients 
undergoing noncardiac surgery: prospective cohort studies with samples >300 patients,no 
restrictions as to the type of surgery (e.g., vascular surgery) and that required patients to have at least 1 
measurement of a cardiac enzyme or biomarker after surgery.(5–8,12–14 ) 
Poise I 8351 patients. 190 centers in 23 countries 2007-2008 
5% 
Gilbert 2035 pts in 2 teaching canadian 
Hospitals 
1999 2,4% 1,8% 6,4%
Occurrence of major periop cardiac events in 
patients at risk and without risk 
• 1.7%,with a cardiovascular cause 0,5%.Major Dutch University 
Boersma,2005,108.000 pts,1991-2000 
• 2.1% Lee 
• 3.9% (95% CI 3.3%–4.6%) pooled data from praevious table) 
• Vs 
• 5% of unselected patients (mortality 11.6%)(Poise 1 ) 
– Characteristics and short-term prognosis of perioperative myocardial infarction in patients 
undergoing noncardiac surgery: a cohort study. 
Devereaux PJ, Xavier D, Pogue J, Guyatt G, Sigamani A, Garutti I, Leslie K, Rao-Melacini P, Chrolavicius S, 
Yang H, Macdonald C, Avezum A, Lanthier L, Hu W, Yusuf S; POISE (PeriOperative ISchemic Evaluation) 
Investigators. Ann Intern Med. 2011 Apr 19;154(8):523-8 
• Vs 
– 6,4 %unselected patients ,death 2,4% 
– Gilbert K, Larocque BJ, Patrick LT. Prospective evaluation of cardiac risk indices for 
patients undergoing noncardiac surgery. Ann Intern Med 2000;133:356-9
Differences in incidences 
• Patient selection 
• Surgery selection(major…????) 
• Endpoint MI definition 
• …..organization,skills…….
Magnitude of the problem 
• Ageing of population 
• Elderly people requirement for surgery are 4 
times +> general population 
• Rising frequency of interventions with age 
• Incresing number of elderly patients with 
comorbidities 
• Number of affected individuals higher in 
countries with high cardiovascular 
morbidity(Central-east Europe)
Pathophysiology of perioperative 
cardiac events 
• Cardiac death 
• etiology??? 
–Ischemia? 
–Arrhythmia? 
–pre-existing cardiomyopathy ?
Pathophysiology of perioperative 
cardiac events:Cardiac arrest 
• only 1 study examined the cause of cardiac arrest in patients undergoing 
noncardiac surgery. 
• Sprung and colleagues 
– Sprung J, Warner ME, Contreras MG, Schroeder DR, Beighley CM, Wilson GA, et al. 
Predictors of survival following cardiac arrest in patients undergoing noncardiac surgery: 
a study of 518 294 patients at a tertiary referral center. Anesthesiology 2003;99:259-69 
– evaluated 223 cases of perioperative cardiac arrest that occurred between 
the start of anesthesia and discharge from the recovery room in patients 
undergoing noncardiac surgery at a single centre from 1990 to 2000. 
– A committee of staff anesthesiologists, anesthesia chief residents, certified 
nurse anesthetists and recovery room nurses reviewed all cases and judged 
the probable cause of each cardiac arrest. 
– dominant causes:cardiac causes (e.g., MI) and bleeding . 
– Confidence in these conclusions will require a multicentre study of all cardiac 
arrests that occur in the postoperative period (i.e., from the start of surgery to 
30 days after surgery).
Sprung J, Warner ME, Contreras MG, Schroeder DR, Beighley CM, Wilson 
GA, et al. Predictors of survival following cardiac arrest in patients 
undergoing noncardiac surgery: a study of 518 294 patients at a tertiary 
referral center. Anesthesiology 2003;99:259-69
Autopsy findings 
• 50-90% associated with plaque rupture and 
thrombus 
• Remaining cases associated with DO2/VO2 
mismatch 
– Dawood Int J Cardiol 1996,57:37-44 
– Cohen MC Cardiovasc Pathol 1999,8,133-39
of periop MI … 
from:Perioperative cardiac events in patients 
undergoing noncardiac surgery: a review of the 
magnitude of the problem, the 
pathophysiology of the events 
and methods to estimate and communicate risk 
P.J. Devereaux, Lee Goldman, Deborah J. Cook, 
Ken Gilbert, Kate Leslie, Gordon H. Guyatt
Preoperative cardiac risk assessment 
• Risk estimate 
Patient • Acceptance /refusal 
info 
• Periop management 
• Choice of surg.technique 
• Postop 
care;location,intensity… 
Decision 
making 
improv 
e 
overall 
patient 
outco 
me
independent predictors 
of adverse perioperative cardiac outcome 
•Active cardiac conditions 
• High risk surgical procedure 
• Poor exercise tolerance
I marcatori clinici 
condizioni associate ad alto rischio per complicanze cardiovascolari perioperatorie: 
• 1)instabilità coronarica;per esempio un MI recente o una 
angina instabile o severa; 
• 2)Insufficienza cardiaca scompensata;NYHA Classe IV o 
una insufficienza in peggioramento o di nuova insorgenza; 
• 3)aritmie significative;blocco AV di alto grado(Mobitz 2,BAV 
3,aritmie ventricolari sintomatiche,aritmie sopraventricolari con ritmo 
cardiaco non controllato,tachicardia sintomatica,tachicardia 
ventricolare di nuova scoperta. 
• 4)malattia valvolare severa,cioè stenosi aortica serrata o 
stenosi mitralica sintomatica. 
– Active Cardiac Conditions for Which the Patient Should Undergo Evaluation 
and Treatment Before Noncardiac Surgery (Class I, Level of Evidence: B)
Intermediate Clinical risk factors 
• Ischemic heart disease including mild angina 
pectoris (CCS class I or II) or prior MI by history or 
pathologic Q wave 
• Compensated or prior heart failure (HF) 
• Diabetes mellitus 
• Renal insufficiency (preoperative creatinine >2.0 
mg/dL [177 μmol/L]) 
• Cerebrovascular disease 
– (See RCRI) 
– Careful assessment of the patient status,which may necessitate 
noninvasive testing
Obese patients 
• 2009 AHA scientific advisory 
• Increased risk because: 
– Heart failure (Myocardial steatosis) 
– Sleep apnea +/- pulmonary hypertension 
– Dvt 
– Pulmonary embolism 
• ???? 
• Poor exercise tolerance 
• Specific tests should be performed only if 
the results will change management
CORONARY ARTERY 
DISEASE(CAD)
Incidenza di mortalità periop in 
pazienti con CAD(n=1632) Eagle et al 
High risk surgery >=4% Low risk surgery<=4% 
Abdominal 4% Urologic 1.8 
Vascolar 11.3 Orthopedic 1.2 
Thoracic 7.7 Skin 0 
Head neck 7.3 Miscellaneous 3
Outcome cardiaco per chirurgia 
maggiore non cardiaca Eagle et al,Circulation 1997 96 
1892-7 
N=395 
N=582 
N=964
Circulation. 1997;96:1882-1887.Cardiac Risk of Noncardiac Surgery 
Influence of Coronary Disease and Type of Surgery in 3368 Operations 
Kim A. Eagle, MD; Charanjit S. Rihal, MD; Mary C. Mickel, MS; David R. Holmes, MD; 
Eric D. Foster, MD; Bernard J. Gersh, MBBS; for the CASS Investigators; ; University of 
Michigan Heart Care Program 
• The Figure illustrates the outcomes of those patients who underwent "high-risk" 
noncardiac surgery, that is, combined myocardial infarction or death rate ≥4% in 
medically treated patients with known coronary disease. As one can see, 
abdominal, vascular, thoracic, and head and neck surgery each had a combined 
rate of myocardial infarction and/or death ≥4%. The Figure indicates that 
patients undergoing "higher-risk" noncardiac surgery on average had 
a lower perioperative risk if they had undergone prior coronary 
bypass surgery. For the higher-risk patients overall, postoperative 
death was 3.3% in medically treated patients versus 1.7% in those 
having had prior coronary bypass surgery (P=.03). Similarly, the rate of 
myocardial infarction for high-risk surgical patients was lower if prior coronary 
bypass surgery had been performed. In this case, the rate was 2.7% among 582 
patients who were being treated medically compared with 0.8% among 964 who 
had undergone prior coronary bypass surgery (P=.002). Table 2 indicates, on 
average, that patients undergoing the lower-risk operations such as urologic, 
orthopedic, breast, and skin operations had very low risks of operative myocardial 
infarction or death that were not significantly affected by having had prior bypass 
surgery.
ATRIAL FIBRILLATION ,(AF),HEART 
INSUFFICIENCY-FAILURE(HF),AORTIC 
STENOSIS(AS),CORONARY 
ISCHEMIA(IHD,ISCHEMIC HEART 
DISEASE)…
AF
Importance of AF 
• Death rates are doubled 
by AF, independently of 
other known predictors 
of mortality. 
• Only antithrombotic 
therapy has been 
shown to reduce AF-related 
deaths
Circulation. 2011 Jul 19;124(3):289-96. Mortality and readmission of patients 
with heart failure, atrial fibrillation, or coronary artery disease undergoing 
noncardiac surgery: an analysis of 38 047 patients.van Diepen S, Bakal JA, 
McAlister FA, Ezekowitz JA. 
consecutive patients with either nonischemic HF (NIHF; n=7700), ischemic HF (IHF; n=12 249), CAD (n=13 786), or 
AF (n=4312) who underwent noncardiac surgery between April 1, 1999, and September 31, 2006, in Alberta, 
Canada.
30 day periop mortality stratified by admission and type of surgery 
Circulation. 2011 Jul 19;124(3):289-96. Mortality and readmission of patients with heart failure, atrial 
fibrillation, or coronary artery disease undergoing noncardiac surgery: an analysis of 38 047 
patients.van Diepen S, Bakal JA, McAlister FA, Ezekowitz JA. 
consecutive patients with either nonischemic HF (NIHF; n=7700), ischemic HF (IHF; n=12 249), CAD 
(n=13 786), or AF (n=4312) who underwent noncardiac surgery between April 1, 1999, and September 
31, 2006, in Alberta, Canada. 
18 
16 
14 
12 
10 
8 
6 
4 
2 
0 
HF non isch 
HF isch 
CAD 
AF
Circulation. 2011 Jul 19;124(3):289-96. Mortality and readmission of patients with heart 
failure, atrial fibrillation, or coronary artery disease undergoing noncardiac surgery: an 
analysis of 38 047 patients.van Diepen S, Bakal JA, McAlister FA, Ezekowitz JA. 
• 3 principal findings 
• 1) patients with HF or AF are at substantially higher risk of 
postoperative mortality than patients with CAD, and this 
risk is higher than previously appreciated by perioperative 
cardiac risk prediction models 
• 2) patients with HF undergoing routine minor surgical 
procedures are not low risk, as highlighted by the 4% risk of 
mortality within 30 days of purportedly minor outpatient 
surgical procedures,such as a colonoscopies, 
bronchoscopies, and cystoscopies. 
• 3)mortality rates are particularly high for those patients 
undergoing surgery within 4 weeks of an incident diagnosis 
of HF or AF and further highlighted by the risk carried by a 
recent HF rehospitalization on postoperative mortality.
• Camm AJ, Kirchhof P, Lip GY, et al. Guidelines 
for the management of atrial fibrillation: the 
Task Force for the Management of Atrial 
Fibrillation of the European Society of 
Cardiology (ESC). Eur Hear J 2010; 31:2369– 
2429
HF=EF(???)
Patients with HF (suspected or known) 
• preoperative evaluation by a specialist to assess the severity 
of the disease and to ensure optimal medical therapy. 
• stress echocardiography + serum concentrations of brain 
natriuretic peptide (BNP) or 
• its inactive precursor N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic 
peptide (NT-proBNP) for risk stratification. 
• Multiple long-term medications, including angiotensin-converting 
enzyme (ACE) inhibitors, angiotensin-II-receptor 
blockers,b-blockers, aldosterone antagonists, diuretics… 
– associated side-effects (mostly electrolyte disturbances,renal 
insufficiency, and intraoperative therapy-resistant hypotension). 
– As there is evidence that the perioperative use of ACE inhibitors, b-blockers, 
statins, and aspirin improves outcome in patients with LV 
dysfunction undergoing major vascular surgery, perioperative 
continuation of such therapy is recommended in this patient 
population
EF preop e outcome cardiaco 
postop.(Franco et al,J Vasc Surg 10;656:1989) 
EF>55% 
N=50 
EF 35-55% 
N=20 
EF 20-35% 
N=15 
MI 19% 15% 20% 
Morte 0 0 13%
A comparison of data 
Perioperative mortality and 30 days readmission rate for patients 
with HF operated for noncardiac surgery 
Preoperative evaluation at the Internal 
Medicine Preoperative 
Assessment Consultation and T 
reatment (IMPACT) 
Center at the Cleveland Clinic
Left ventricular function and postoperative outcome :% 
Flu WJ, van Kuijk JP, Hoeks SE, Kuiper R, Schouten O, Goei D, Elhendy A, Verhagen HJ, Thomson IR, Bax JJ, Fleisher LA, Poldermans D. 
Prognostic implications of asymptomatic left ventricular dysfunction in patients undergoing vascular surgery. Anesthesiology. 2010 
Jun;112(6):1316-24. 
50 
45 
40 
35 
30 
25 
20 
15 
10 
5 
0 
Normal LV function 
asympt isolated 
diastolic LV 
function 
asympt sist LV 
dissfunction 
symptomatic 
HeartFailure 
%
Operative mortality 
Hammill BG,Curtis,LH,Bennett-Guerrior E,O’Connor,CM,Jollis JC,Schulman KA,Hernandez AF.Impact of heart failure on patients 
undergoing major noncardiac surgery.Anesthesiology 2008;108:559-67 
HF CAD normal 
total 8 3,1 2,4 
> Knee amput 25.8 18 16 
<knee amput 12.8 10.4 7.2 
Carotid endarterec tomy 2,5 1,2 0,9 
Colon cancer resection 11.9 6.3 5.4 
Hip replacement 8.4 3.9 2.8 
Knee replacement 0.9 0.4 0.3 
Laparoscopic 
5.6 2.1 1.8 
cholecystectomy 
Lower extremity bypass 8.1 3.7 4.1 
Open AAA repair 10.3 5.8 4.8 
Other abdominal cancer 
11.8 4.3 4.9 
resections 
Pulmonary cancer 
resection 
10.2 6.0 4.1 
Spinal fusion 3.8 2.1 1.3
30 day readmission 
Hammill BG,Curtis,LH,Bennett-Guerrior E,O’Connor,CM,Jollis JC,Schulman KA,Hernandez AF.Impact of heart failure on patients 
undergoing major noncardiac surgery.Anesthesiology 2008;108:559-67 
HF CAD normal 
total 17.1 10.8 8.1 
> Knee amput 25.2 21.6 18.9 
<knee amput 24.1ns 23.4ns 19.9 ns 
Carotid endarterectomy 15.2 10.8 8.7 
Colon cancer resection 18 13.2 10.5 
Hip replacement 16.6 10.3 8.8 
Knee replacement 9.9 6.2 4.7 
Laparoscopic 
16.4 10.1 8.4 
cholecystectomy 
Lower extremity bypass 27.2 18.2 16.2 
Open AAA repair 14.8 10.3 11.4 
Other abdominal cancer 
17.3 12.6 11.8 
resections 
Pulmonary cancer 
resection 
17.4 15.5 11.3 
Spinal fusion 13.3 9.4 7.7
Conclusion from the study of Hammil et al 
• Heart Failure patients : 
–mortality risk 63% 
–Readmission risk 51%
Periop cardiovascular events are associated 
World J Surg. 2011 Nov;35(11):2411-6.Increased aortic stiffness can predict perioperative 
cardiovascular outcomes in patients undergoing noncardiac, nonvascular surgery. 
Biteker M, Duman D, Dayan A, Ilhan E 
• Impaired elastic properties of the aorta 
are associated with increased 
Periop.Cardiovasc.Event rates in patients 
undergoing noncardiac, nonvascular 
surgery 
• Aortic distensibility and strain(echo) 
• Diabetes mellitus 
• LVEF
Insomma….. 
• Insuff cardiaca e FA prognosi 
peggiore della ischemia 
miocardica!!
Valvular heart 
disease……. 
AORTIC STENOSIS(AS)
Severe valvular disease 
(part of the active cardiac conditions) 
• stenosis is severe when: 
• Mitral stenosis is symptomatic 
• Aortic stenosis: 
– Mean pressure gradient > 40 mmHg 
– Area< 1cm2 
– Symptomatic
Monin J-L, Lancellotti P, Monchi M, et al. Risk score for predicting outcome in 
patients with asymptomatic aortic stenosis. Circulation 2009; 120: 69–75 
3 parameters were 
independent 
predictors of outcome: 
female sex, serum BNP, 
and peak 
aortic-jet velocity at 
baseline. 
Risk score was calculated according to the following formula: 
Score[=peak velocity (m/s)x 2]+(natural logarithm of BNP x1.5)+1.5 (if female sex).
HYPERTENSION AS A RISK FACTOR
• its importance as a clinical risk 
factor is still debated……………..
Weksler N, Klein M, Szendro G, Rozentsveig V, Schily M, Brill S, 
Tarnopolski A, Ovadia L, Gurman GM: The dilemma of immediate 
preoperative hypertension: to treat and operate, or to postpone 
surgery? J Clin Anesth 2003; 15: 179-83 
• There is a great deal of debate regarding a trigger to delay or cancel a 
surgical procedure in a patient with poorly or untreated hypertension 
• In the absence of end-organ changes, such as renal 
insufficiency or left ventricular hypertrophy with strain, it 
would seem appropriate to proceed with surgery. 
• A randomized trial of treated hypertensive patients without known 
CAD who presented the morning of surgery with an elevated diastolic 
blood pressure was unable to demonstrate any difference in outcome 
between those who were actively treated versus those in whom 
surgery was delayed. 
• In contrast, a patient with a markedly elevated blood pressure and the new 
onset of a headache should have surgery delayed for further evaluation and 
potential treatment..
Howell SJ, Sear YM, Yeates D, Goldacre M, Sear JW, Foëx P. 
Hypertension, admission blood pressure and perioperative 
cardiovascular risk. Anaesthesia 1996;51:1000-1004. 
• A retrospective case-controlled study which 
found that a history of hypertension was an 
important predictor for perioperative cardiac 
death but not admission blood pressure. 
• The study implies that end-organ damage 
resulting from hypertension is the likely villain 
in this group of patients.
Forrest plot for a meta-analysis of the risk of perioperative 
cardiovascular complications in hypertensive and normotensive patients. 
Howell SJ, Sear JW, Foex P. Hypertension, hypertensive heart disease and perioperative cardiac risk. Br 
J Anaesth 2004; 92:570–83
SITE AND EXTENT OF 
SURGERY:SURGERY 
CONTRIBUTION…
La stratificazione chirurgica degli interventi dal punto di vista 
del rischio cardiaco (ASA/AHA); 
surgical risk estimates 
• rischio di MI o morte cardiaca superiore al 5%: 
– chirurgia vascolare maggiore(aortica) e quella periferica; 
• a rischio intermedio ,compreso fra 1 e 5%: 
la chirurgia intraperitoneale ed intratoracica 
endoarterectomia carotidea 
chirurgia della testa e del collo 
chirurgia ortopedica maggiore 
chir prostatica. 
• rischio minore,inferiore all’1% : 
– procedure endoscopiche(urol/ortop), 
– superficie corporea 
– chirurgia per cataratta 
– Chir mammaria. 
ESA 2010
Trapianti?????vedi il registro 
olandese …. 
Da :Priebe,BJA 2011
Noordzij PG, Poldermans D, Schouten O, et al. Postoperative mortality in The 
Netherlands: a population-based analysis of surgery-specific risk in adults. 
Anesthesiology 2010; 112:1105–1115. 
• . 
• 3.7 million surgical procedures 
• 102 hospitals in The Netherlands during 1991-2005. 
• Patients older than 20 yr who underwent an elective, nonday 
case, open surgical procedure were enrolled. 
• Patient data included main (discharge) diagnosis, secondary diagnoses, dates of admission and discharge, death 
during admission, operations, age, sex, and a limited number of comorbidities classified according to the 
International Classification of Diseases 9th revision Clinical Modification. 
• The main outcome measure was postoperative all-cause mortality. Univariable and multivariable logistic regression 
analyses were applied to evaluate the relationship between type of surgery and the main outcome. 
• RESULTS: 
• Postoperative all-cause death was observed in 67,879 patients (1.85%). 
• In a model based on a classification into 11 main surgical categories, breast surgery was associated with lowest 
mortality (adjusted incidence, 0.07%), and vascular surgery was associated with highest mortality (adjusted 
incidence, 5.97%). In a model based on 36 surgical subcategories, the adjusted mortality ranged from 0.07% for 
hernia nuclei pulposus surgery to 18.5% for liver transplant. The c-index of the 36-category model was 0.88, 
which was significantly (P < 0.001) higher than the c-index that was associated with the simple surgical classification 
(low vs. high risk) in the commonly used Revised Cardiac Risk Index (c-index, 0.83). 
• CONCLUSIONS: 
• This population-based study provided a detailed and contemporary overview of postoperative mortality for the entire 
surgical spectrum, which may act as reference standard for surgical outcome in Western populations
trapianti 
milza 
Fegato 
pancreas 
stomaco 
Esofago 
intestino
Severe(cardiac death,MI,alveolar pulm.edema,cardiac arrest,non fatal 
ventric.tachycardia or fibrillation) and serious cardiac complications( 
unstable angina,CHF without pulm edema) 
Kumar R, McKinney WP, Raj G, Heudebert GR, Heller HJ, Koetting M, et al. Adverse cardiac events 
after surgery: assessing risk in a veteran population. J Gen Intern Med 2001;16:507-18 
Surgery Complications:severe Serious 
aortic 24% 32% 
carotid 8.3% 10% 
Vasc periph. 11.8% 14.7% 
Intrabdominal & 
intrathoracic 
9% 13.1% 
Head,neck,major 
orthopedic,neurosurg 
2.9% 3.3% 
Ophtalmic,maxillo 
facial,plastic,low risk 
orthopedic, 
0.27% 1.1%
FUNCTIONAL 
CAPACITY
MET: equivalenti energetici 
1 MET is defined as 3.5 mL O2 uptake/kg per min, which is the resting oxygen uptake in a sitting position) 
indice delle possibilità energetiche per varie attività 
• scaletta dei MET :risposta a domande semplici,quali: 
• sei in grado di avere cura di te stesso?mangiare,bere,usare la toilette(MET 1)?; 
• puoi camminare in casa (MET 2) ; 
• puoi camminare 100-200m in piano alla velocità di 3-4.5 Km/h?(Met 3); 
• puoi eseguire lavori di casa leggeri come spolverare o lavare i piatti?(MET 4); 
• puoi salire una rampa di scale o in salita?o camminare in piano a 6,5 Km/h o 
correre per una breve distanza?(Met 5). 
• Puoi fare lavori di casa pesanti come spazzare i pavimenti o sollevare o 
muovere mobilio pesante(Met 6-7)? 
• Puoi partecipare a attività ricreative leggere come giocare a golf,a 
bocce,ballare,giocare a tennis in doppio,o lanciare la palla a baseball o 
calcio(MET 8-9)? 
• Puoi partecipare a sport pesanti come il nuoto,tennis in 
singolo,calcio,pallacanestro o sci?(Met 10).
Reilly DF, McNeely MJ, Doerner D, et al. Self-Reported Exercise Tolerance 
and the Risk of Serious Perioperative Complications. Arch Intern 
Med. 1999; 159: 2185-2192. 
• Division of General Internal Medicine, University of Washington Medical Center, Seattle 98195-6330, USA. 
dreilly@u.washington.edu 
• To determine the relationship between self-reported exercise tolerance and serious perioperative complications. 
• 600 consecutive outpatients referred to a medical consultation clinic at a tertiary care medical center for 
preoperative evaluation before undergoing 612 major noncardiac procedures. 
• Patients were asked to estimate the number of blocks they could walk and 
flights of stairs they could climb without experiencing symptomatic limitation. 
Patients who could not walk 4 blocks and climb 2 flights of stairs were 
considered to have poor exercise tolerance. 
• All patients were evaluated for the development of 26 serious complications that occurred during hospitalization. 
• RESULTS: 
• Patients reporting poor exercise tolerance had more perioperative complications (20.4% vs 10.4%; P<.001). 
Specifically, they had more myocardial ischemia (P = .02) and more cardiovascular (P = .04) and neurologic (P = 
.03) events. Poor exercise tolerance predicted risk for serious complications independent of all other patient 
characteristics, including age (adjusted odds ratio, 1.94; 95% confidence interval, 1.19-3.17). The likelihood of a 
serious complication occurring was inversely related to the number blocks that could be walked (P = .006) or 
flights of stairs that could be climbed (P = .01). Other patient characteristics predicting serious complications in 
multivariable regression analysis included history of congestive heart failure, dementia, Parkinson disease, and 
smoking greater than or equal to 20 pack-years. 
• CONCLUSION: 
• Self-reported exercise tolerance can be used to predict in-hospital perioperative risk, even when using relatively 
simple and familiar measures. 
• Comment in
25 
20 
15 
10 
5 
0 
good exercise tolerance 
poor exercise tolerance 
Reilly DF, McNeelyMJ, Doerner D, et al. Self-Reported 
Exercise Tolerance and the Risk of Serious Perioperative 
Complications. Arch InternMed. 1999; 159: 2185-2192.
Br J Anaesth. 2011 Oct 5. Validity of the 6 min walk test in prediction 
of the anaerobic threshold before major non-cardiac surgery. 
Sinclair RC, Batterham AM, Davies S, Cawthorn L, Danjoux GR. 
• Source 
• Department of Anaesthesia, The James Cook University Hospital, Middlesbrough, UK. 
• For perioperative risk stratification, a robust, practical test could be used where cardiopulmonary exercise testing (CPET) is unavailable. The aim of 
this study was to assess the utility of the 6 min walk test (6MWT) distance to discriminate between low and high anaerobic threshold (AT) in patients 
awaiting major non-cardiac surgery. 
• METHODS: 
• /st>In 110 participants, we obtained oxygen consumption at the AT from CPET and recorded the distance walked (in m) during a 6MWT. Receiver 
operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was used to derive two different cut-points for 6MWT distance in predicting an AT of <11 ml O(2) kg(-1) 
min(-1); one using the highest sum of sensitivity and specificity (conventional method) and the other adopting a 2:1 weighting in favour of sensitivity. 
In addition, using a novel linear regression-based technique, we obtained lower and upper cut-points for 6MWT distance that are predictive of an AT 
that is likely to be (P≥0.75) <11 or >11 ml O(2) kg(-1) min(-1). 
• RESULTS: 
• /st>The ROC curve analysis revealed an area under the curve of 0.85 (95% confidence interval, 0.77-0.91). The optimum cut-points were <440 m 
(conventional method) and <502 m (sensitivity-weighted approach). The regression-based lower and upper 6MWT distance cut-points were <427 
and >563 m, respectively. 
• CONCLUSIONS: 
• /st>Patients walking >563 m in the 6MWT do not routinely require CPET; those walking <427 m should be referred for further evaluation. In 
situations of 'clinical uncertainty' (≥427 but ≤563 m), the number of clinical risk factors and magnitude of surgery should be incorporated into the 
decision-making process. The 6MWT is a useful clinical tool to screen and risk stratify patients in departments where CPET is unavailable. 
• Test robusto pratico: se in 6 min cammina > 563 mt è ok
When exercise capacity is unclear 
• cardiopulmonary exercise testing may be 
performed 
• Wilson et al. [7] 
– 847 patients,infra-abdominal surgery. 
– An anaerobic threshold of less than 11 ml/kg/min 
was associated with a relative risk (RR) of 6.8 
[95%confidence interval (CI) 1.6–29.5] of in-hospital 
mortality.
• Low exercise tolerance is 
associated with poor 
perioperative outcome. 
• Older P, Smith R, Courtney P, Hone R. Pre-operative evaluation of cardiac failure and 
ischemia in elderly patients by cardiopulmonary exercise testing. Chest 1993; 104: 701–4 
• Older P, Hall A, Hader R. Cardiopulmonary exercise testing as a screening test for peri-operative 
management of major surgery in the elderly. Chest 1999; 116: 355–62 
• Win T, Jackson A, Sharples L, et al. Cardiopulmonary exercise tests and lung cancer surgical 
outcome. Chest 2005; 127:1159–65 
• Murray P, Whiting P, Hutchinson SP, Ackroyd R, Stoddard CJ,Billings C. Pre-operative shuttle 
walking testing and outcome after oesophagogastrectomy. Br J Anaesth 2007;99: 809–11 
• Carlisle J, Swart M. Mid-term survival after abdominal aortic aneurysm surgery predicted 
by cardiopulmonary exercise testing. Br J Surg 2007; 94: 966–9 
• Crawford RS, Cambria RP, Abularrage CJ, et al. Pre-operative functional status predicts peri-operative 
outcomes after infrainguinal bypass surgery. J Vasc Surg 2010; 51: 351–9
Cardiac tests 
•Incremental shuttle 
walk test( ISWT) I 
•Cardiopulmonary 
exercise testing
Integrated assessment of cardiopulmonary function 
• Cardiopulmonary exercise testing (CPET) 
• global assessment of the integrated response to exercise 
involving the pulmonary, cardiovascular, and skeletal muscle 
systems. 
• CPET is a programmed exercise test on either a cycle ergometer 
or a treadmill during which inspired and expired gases are 
measured through a facemask or a mouthpiece. 
• This test provides information on oxygen uptake and utilization. 
• The most commonly used data from this test are : 
• O2 consumption at peak exercise (VO2peak) and at anaerobic 
threshold (VO2AT),defined as the point when metabolic 
demands exceed oxygen delivery, and anaerobic metabolism 
begins to occur.
CPET as a risk predictor: 
• low risk: VO2peak >15 mL/kg/min and VO2AT >11mL/kg/min. (= 
4/5 METs ) 
• pulmonary lobectomy or pneumonectomy:VO2peak <20mL/kg/min was a 
predictor of pulmonary complications, cardiac complications, and mortality; 
VO2peak <12 mL/kg/min was associated with a 13-fold higher rate of 
mortality 
– . Brunelli A, Belardinelli R, Refai M, Salati M, Socci L, Pompili C, Sabbatini A. Peak oxygen consumption during cardiopulmonary exercise test 
improves risk stratification in candidates to major lung resection. Chest 2009; 135:1260–1267. 
• 187 elderly ,major abdominal surgery;overall mortality 5.9%. 
• Patients who had a VO2AT <11mL/kg/min mortality 18% ;VO2AT 
>11mL/kg/min mortality 0.8% (risk ratio 24,95% CI 3.1–183). 
• Older P, Smith R, Courtney P, Hone R. Preoperative evaluation of cardiac failure and ischemia in elderly patients by cardiopulmonary exercise 
testing. Chest 1993; 104:701–704. 
• signs of myocardial ischaemia during testing: mortality 42% for patients 
whose VO2AT <11 mL/kg/min and only 4% for those whose VO2AT was >11 
mL/kg/min(
prognostic information in heart failure patients 
• Normal: HR increases 
fairly linearly with VO2 
until max HR reached; O2 
pulse increases linearly 
until a plateau occurs 
• Heart disease: HR vs. VO2 
curve shifts leftward and 
up; O2 pulse reaches an 
early plateau 
– SV limitation requires 
higher HR for any level of 
work
Anaerobic Threshold 
• Estimation of the onset of metabolic acidosis 
• Occurs at approximately 40-50% VO2max in 
normal individuals 
– low (early) AT suggests problems in O2 delivery, muscle 
oxidative capacity, or both 
• More important is whether it occurs, rather than 
at what %VO2max 
– indicates test is at least close to maximal exercise 
– not under voluntary control, not affected by 
psychological factors
Anaerobic Threshold 
• Direct measurement requires measuring 
lactate levels in blood 
– requires frequent blood sampling; impractical 
• Noninvasive assessment using gas exchange 
parameters 
– buffering of lactate by bicarbonate produces 
disproportionate increase in VCO2 
– “V-slope method”
Anaerobic Threshold: V-Slope Method
Ventilatory Response to Exercise 
• Normal resting VE: 5-10 L/min 
– higher suggests anxiety, low suggests either equipment 
problems or is of no significance 
• Normally, there is adequate ventilatory reserve 
during exercise 
– MVV = predicted maximum VE 
– peak VE close to or above predicted max VE indicates a 
ventilatory limitation 
– early in exercise, increase in VE due to increase in VT; later 
mainly from increase in RR
Ventilatory Response to Exercise 
• Normal subjects reach 
only about 75% MVV 
with predicted 
VO2max 
• Lung disease: curve 
shifts up and left, and 
MVV is reduced
QUINDI FIN QUI ABBIAMO VISTO:
Fattori che determinano il rischio 
cardiaco periop 
• Marcatori clinici 
• Intervento chirurgico 
• Capacità funzionale
Condizioni associate ad alto rischio per 
complicanze cardiovascolari 
perioperatorie 
• Presenza dei fattori predittivi di aumentato 
rischio cardiovascolare periop 
• Scarsa capacità funzionale(<4 MET) 
• Chirurgia ad alto rischio (rischio 
cardiovascolare periop > 5%)
Allora ,se rimuoviamo i pazienti con il 
rischio + alto……….. 
• ‘major clinical predictors’ or ‘active cardiac 
conditions’.( AHA/ACC And ESC algorithms ) 
which have the highest specificity for an adverse 
cardiac outcome, effectively reduces both the 
disease prevalence and the risk of a cardiac event 
in the remaining population. 
• It is from this population, with a reduced pre-test 
probability, that we now need to effectively 
discriminate patients at increased cardiovascular 
risk.
Cardiac evaluation and care algorithm for patients undergoing noncardiac surgery, based on 
active cardiac conditions, known cardiovascular disease, and cardiac risk factors in patients 
aged 50 years or older. 
Freeman W K , Gibbons R J Mayo Clin Proc. 2009;84:79-90
Recommendations 
• (1) If active cardiac disease is suspected in a 
patient scheduled for surgery, the patient 
should be referred to a cardiologist for 
assessment and possible treatment (grade of 
recommendation: D). 
• (2) In patients currently taking b-blocking or 
statin therapy, this treatment should be 
continued perioperatively (grade of 
recommendation: A).
PREDICTIVE 
INDICES,SCORES,….
Preoperative cardiac risk assessment:Clinical indices 
• generic indices 
• Lee 
• Goldman 
• Larsen 
• Gilbert 
• estimate a patient’s risk through determination of how many predictors of risk 
(e.g., history of angina, diabetes, emergent surgery) the patient has. 
• Bayesian risk indices 
• Kumar 
• Detsky 
• modify the hospital’s average cardiac event rate for a specific surgery (pretest 
probability) through use of a patient’s individual index score (likelihood ratio), 
which is based on how many predictors of risk (e.g., history of angina, 
diabetes) the patient has; this results in an estimate of the patient’s risk of a 
perioperative cardiac event (posttest probability).
Decision tools 
• American College of Physicians (ACP) and American College 
of Cardiology/American Heart Association (ACC/AHA), 
– algorithmic approaches that make direct recommendations 
about whether to pursue cardiac testing. 
– These tools are designed to be widely applicable to potential 
candidates for noncardiac surgery. 
• risk score or index 
– which the user must interpret and translate into perioperative 
recommendations. 
– The physician must also assure that the index is appropriate to 
the patient being evaluated by considering the original study’s 
patient selection criteria, the setting in which the rule was 
validated (eg, referral center), and which outcomes the rule 
predicts.
Critical Elements for Risk Stratification in 
Patients Undergoing Noncardiac Surgery 
• Risk-assessment tool must be accurate 
• Predicts perioperative events (positive likelihood ratio 10) 
• Predicts absence of perioperative events (negative likelihood 
ratio 0.2) 
• Risk-assessment tool must influence outcome 
• Identifies subgroups in which surgery should be cancelled or 
treatment changed 
• Identifies subgroups that do or do not benefit from proven 
therapy to reduce risk 
• Risk-assessment tool must have a favorable harms–benefit 
tradeoff
Risk factor Definition (Goldman) points Definition (Detsky) point 
s 
CAD MI within 6 months 10 MI within 6 months 10 
MI > 6 months ago 5 
class III angina 10 
class IV angina 20 
unstable angina within 6 months 10 
CHF S3 gallop or JVD 11 pulmonary edema within 1 week 
Ever 
10 
5 
Rhythm rhythm other than sinus or PACs 
on last ECG prior to surgery 
7 rhythm other than sinus or sinus 
+ PACs on last ECG 
5 
> 5 PVCs/minute at any time 
before surgery 
7 > 5 PVCs/minute at any time 5 
Valvular disease important aortic stenosis 3 suspected critical aortic stenosis 20 
General medical 
status 
pO2 < 60 or PCO2 >50 or K+ < 3.0 or HCO3 < 20 
or BUN > 50 or Cr > 3.0 or signs of chronic liver 
disease or bedridden from noncardiac causes 
3 same as Goldman 5 
Age > 70 5 70 5 
Surgery type intraperitoneal, intrathoracic or 
aortic 
3 emergency surgery 10
Goldman index Detsky index 
• Class I < 15, 
• Class II = 20-30 
• Class III > 30 
points 
• Class I < 5, 
• Class II = 6-12 
• Class III = 13-25 
• Class IV >25 points. 
Cardiac risk estimate Goldman DEtsky 
low low 
<30 <15 
Cardiac risk estimate 
high >25 >30
Goldman index 
Class Point 
Prob. of life-threatening 
complications 
I 0-5 0.7 
II 6-12 5 
III 13-25 11 
IV >25 22
Revised cardiac risk index(RCRI) 
Lee TH, Marcantonio ER, Mangione CM, Thomas EJ, Polanczyk CA, Cook EF, Sugarbaker 
DJ, Donaldson MC, Poss R, Ho KK, Ludwig LE, Pedan A, Goldman L: Derivation and 
Prospective Validation of a Simple Index for Prediction of Cardiac Risk of Major 
Noncardiac Surgery. Circulation 1999; 100: 1043-1049 
• High risk surgery 
• intraperitoneal, intrathoracic or suprainguinal vascular procedures 
• Ischemic heart disease 
(MI,+stress test results,current complaint of chest pain or nitrate 
use,ECG with pathological Q waves) 
• H/O CHF 
(pulm edema,parox,noct.dyspnea,S3 gallop or pulm.rales on physical 
examination,RX with pulmonary vascular resistance ) 
• H/O Cerebrovascular disease: 
(Stroke ,TIA) 
• Insulin therapy for DM 
• Preop Cr>2.0mg/dl 
1 point each
Preoperative cardiac risk stratification: 
Revised Cardiac Risk Index:estimated risk of a major 
cardiac event according to the Lee index predictors 
Class Number 
of predictors 
Major cardiac 
events, % * 
All cardiac 
events, % ** 
I 0 0.4 
(0.1-0.8) 
0.5 
(0.05-1.5) 
II 1 1.0 
(0.5-1.4) 
0.9 
(0.3-2.1) 
III 2 2.4 
(1.3-3.5) 
6.6 
(3.9-10.3) 
IV ≥3 5.4 
(2.8-7.9) 
11.0 
(5.8-18.4) 
•*Major cardiac events = cardiac arrest, MI (fatal or non-fatal) 
•**All cardiac events = cardiac arrest, MI (fatal or non-fatal), pulmonary edema, or complete heart block. 
Lee TH. Circulation. 1999;100:1043-9. 
Bertges, 
Vasc 
surg. 
2.6 
6.7, 
11.6, 
18.4 
Cardiovasc 
ular 
Death 
0.3 
0.7 
1.7 
3.6
Performance (and limitations) of RCRI 
• moderately well in distinguishing patients at low compared 
to high risk for all types of non-cardiac surgery 
• less accurate in patients undergoing only vascular non-cardiac 
surgery. 
• RCRI did not predict all-cause mortality well, but this is 
expected, as it does not capture risk factors for noncardiac 
causes of perioperative mortality. 
• Only one third of perioperative deaths are due to cardiac 
causes. 
• The original RCRI risk prediction model did not take 
mortality into account 
• Emergency surgery not included
Risk factors and severity of disease 
• RCRI : dichotomous risk factors vs a continuum of severity 
• as the severity of a risk factor increases, there is a proportional 
‘semi-logarithmic’ increase in patient risk:Risk factor thresholds: their 
existence underscrutiny. Br Med J 2002; 324: 1570–6 
• Seattle Heart Failure Model:Levy WC, Mozaffarian D, Linker DT, et al. The Seattle heart failure 
• model: prediction of survival in heart failure. Circulation 2006;113: 1424–33 
• A 50-yr-old female with heart failure of ischaemic aetiology,NYHA grade 2, and an 
ejection fraction of 55% has an expected 1 yr mortality of 12% and a mean life 
expectancy of 6.2 yr. 
• A 75-yr-old male with heart failure of ischaemic aetiology, NYHA grade 3, and an 
ejection fraction of 30% has an expected 1 yr mortality of 21% and a mean life 
expectancy of 3.9 yr. 
• Despite this difference in risk, the RCRI would allocate an equal risk score to both 
these patients. 
• Thus, the risk associated with the diagnosis of heart failure in the individual patient 
has been replaced 0by a generic risk factor describing the risk associated with the 
diagnosis of heart failure in a population.
New York Heart Association functional classification of 
heart disease 
NYHA 
Class 1 No limitations Ordinary activity does not 
cause symptoms 
Class 2 Slight limitations Comfortable at rest, 
ordinary activity causes 
symptoms 
Class 3 Marked limitations Comfortable at rest, less 
than ordi nary activity 
causes symptoms 
Class 4 Inability to carry on any 
physical activity 
Symptoms at rest
A more subtle classification of surgery and age allowed a better 
predictive value: Boersma E, Kertai MD, Schouten O, Bax JJ, Noordzij P, Steyerberg EW,Schinkel AF, 
van Santen M, Simoons ML, Thomson IR, Klein J, van Urk H,Poldermans D. Perioperative cardiovascular mortality 
in noncardiac surgery: validation of the Lee cardiac risk index. Am J Med 2005; 
118:1134–1141
Case 1 
A 72 year old male is admitted to the hospital with a left hip 
fracture. A preoperative medical evaluation is requested by the 
orthopedic surgeon. The injury was suffered after he tripped on a 
rug in his home. He is fairly active and walks approximately one 
mile daily with rare angina and can climb 2 flights of stairs in his 
home without difficulty. 
His past medical history is notable for CAD with prior MI and 
subsequent CABG x3; hypertension; prior TIA; and recently 
diagnosed type 2 diabetes mellitus. 
Current medications: aspirin 325 mg qd, simvastatin 20 mg qd, 
glyburide 5 mg bid, atenolol 25 mg qd, and lisinopril 10 mg qd. 
Vital signs on admission are pulse 84 and blood pressure 162/90. 
Cardiopulmonary examination is unremarkable. ECG is notable 
for pathologic q waves in leads 1 and avL.
Case 1 
1) What is the estimated cardiac risk? 
“His past medical history is notable for CAD with prior MI 
and subsequent CABG x3; hypertension; prior TIA; and 
recently diagnosed type 2 diabetes mellitus.” 
– RCRI score = 2 
– ~5-10% risk of perioperative cardiac 
complications
RCRI within specialties 
• Ackland et al.demonstrated that, in patients undergoing major 
orthopedic surgery, a RCRI at least 3 is associated with a 1.7-fold 
increase in noncardiac complications (infectious, respiratory, and 
neurological) and prolonged hospital stay. 
• Bertges et al. ( Vascular Study Group-Cardiac Risk Index (VSG-CRI), 
which adds age,smoking, COPD, and beta-blocker use, and predicts 
a risk of cardiac complications ranging from 2.6 to 14.3%.) reported 
that the RCRI underestimates the risk of cardiac complications in 
their cohort of vascular surgery patients. 
– Observed event rates were 2.6,6.7, 11.6, and 18.4% in patients with 0, 
1, 2, and at least 3 risk factors. This model might be more appropriate 
than the RCRI for risk stratification of vascular surgery patients.
Arch Intern Med. 2006 Apr 24;166(8):914-20.Predicting medical and 
surgical complications of carotid endarterectomy: comparing the risk 
indexes.Press MJ, Chassin MR, Wang J, Tuhrim S, Halm EA. 
• Department of Health Policy, Mount Sinai School of Medicine, New York, NY 10029, USA. 
• A multicenter retrospective observational cohort study of 1998 patients undergoing carotid endarterectomy (CEA). 
• Complications within 30 days of surgery : death or nonfatal stroke and cardiac, noncardiac medical, minor neurologic, and 
wound complications. 
• Logistic regression and receiver operating characteristic curve analyses assessed the predictive abilities of the Goldman, Detsky, 
Revised Cardiac Risk, and American Society of Anesthesiologists indexes and of 2 CEA-specific risk models (the Halm and Tu 
scores). 
• RESULTS: 
• Death or stroke occurred in 3.2% of patients, cardiac complications in 4.0%, 
noncardiac medical complications in 3.2%, minor neurologic complications in 6.9%, 
and wound complications in 6.0%. 
• All risk models (except the Tu score) significantly predicted cardiac complications 
equally well (P<.05). All 6 risk models were equivalent in predicting noncardiac medical complications. Only the Revised 
Cardiac Risk Index and the 2 CEA-specific risk models (Halm and Tu scores) predicted death or stroke and minor neurologic and 
wound complications. The Halm score was superior in predicting death or stroke compared with the Tu score and the Revised 
Cardiac Risk Index (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, 0.72 vs 0.62 and 0.61, respectively; P<.05). Patients 
with cardiac, noncardiac medical, minor neurologic, or wound complications had 3- to 16-fold increased odds of death or 
stroke. 
• CONCLUSION: 
• The Halm score CEA-specific risk model and the generic Revised Cardiac Risk Index predicted a broad range of medical, 
neurologic, and surgical complications following CEA 
• Tu JV, Wang H, Bowyer B, Green L, Fang J, Kucey D. Risk factors for death or 
• stroke after carotid endarterectomy: observations from the Ontario Carotid Endarterectomy 
• Registry. Stroke. 2003;34:2568-2573. 
• Halm EA, Hannan EL, Rojas M, et al. Clinical and operative predictors of outcomes 
• of carotid endarterectomy. J Vasc Surg. 2005;42:420-428
Arch Intern Med. 
2006 Apr 
24;166(8):914-20. 
Predicting medical 
and surgical 
complications of 
carotid 
endarterectomy: 
comparing the risk 
indexes. 
Press MJ, Chassin 
MR, Wang J, 
Tuhrim S, Halm 
EA.
Arch Intern Med. 2006 Apr 24;166(8):914-20. 
Predicting medical and surgical complications of carotid endarterectomy: 
comparing the risk indexes. 
Press MJ, Chassin MR, Wang J, Tuhrim S, Halm EA
Gilbert K, Larocque BJ, Patrick LT. Prospective evaluation of cardiac 
risk indices for patients undergoing noncardiac surgery. Ann Intern 
Med 2000;133:356-9 
Existing indices 
for prediction 
of cardiac 
complications 
perform better 
than chance, 
but no index is 
significantly 
superior.
. 
Grading of Angina of by the Canadian CardiovascularSociety 
• I. "Ordinary physical activity does not cause ... angina," such as walking 
and climbing stairs. Angina with strenuous or rapid or prolonged exertion 
at work or recreation. 
• II. "Slight limitation of ordinary activity." Walking or climbing stairs rapidly, 
walking uphill, walking or stair climbing after meals, or in cold, or in wind, 
or under emotional stress, or only during the few hours after awakening. 
Walking more than 2 blocks on the level and climbing more than one flight 
of ordinary stairs at a normal pace and in normal conditions. 
• III. "Marked limitation of ordinary physical activity." Walking one to two 
blocks on the level and clim-bing one flight of stairs in normal conditions 
and at normal pace. 
• IV. "Inability to carry on any physical activity without discomfort.- anginal 
syndrome may be present at rest."
Ann Intern Med. 2010 Jan 5;152(1):26-35. 
Systematic review: prediction of perioperative cardiac 
complications and mortality by the revised cardiac risk 
index.Ford MK, Beattie WS, Wijeysundera DN. 
• Source 
• Toronto General Hospital and University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada. 
• Abstract 
• BACKGROUND: 
• The Revised Cardiac Risk Index (RCRI) is widely used to predict perioperative cardiac complications. 
• PURPOSE: 
• To evaluate the ability of the RCRI to predict cardiac complications and death after noncardiac surgery. 
• DATA SOURCES: 
• MEDLINE, EMBASE, and ISI Web of Science (1966 to 31 December 2008). 
• STUDY SELECTION: 
• Cohort studies that reported the association of the RCRI with major cardiac complications (cardiac death, myocardial infarction, and nonfatal cardiac 
arrest) or death in the hospital or within 30 days of surgery. 
• DATA EXTRACTION: 
• Two reviewers independently extracted study characteristics, documented outcome data, and evaluated study quality. 
• DATA SYNTHESIS: 
• Of 24 studies (792 740 patients), 18 reported cardiac complications; 6 of the 18 studies were prospective and had uniform outcome surveillance and 
blinded outcome adjudication. The RCRI discriminated moderately well between patients at low versus high risk for cardiac events after mixed 
noncardiac surgery (area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve [AUC], 0.75 [95% CI, 0.72 to 0.79]); sensitivity, 0.65 [CI, 0.46 to 0.81]; 
specificity, 0.76 [CI, 0.58 to 0.88]; positive likelihood ratio, 2.78 [CI, 1.74 to 4.45]; negative likelihood ratio, 0.45 [CI, 0.31 to 0.67]). Prediction of 
cardiac events after vascular noncardiac surgery was less accurate (AUC, 0.64 [CI, 0.61 to 0.66]; sensitivity, 0.70 [CI, 0.53 to 0.82]; specificity, 0.55 [CI, 
0.45 to 0.66]; positive likelihood ratio, 1.56 [CI, 1.42 to 1.73]; negative likelihood ratio, 0.55 [CI, 0.40 to 0.76]). Six studies reported death, with a 
median AUC of 0.62 (range, 0.54 to 0.78). A pooled AUC for predicting death could not be calculated because of very high heterogeneity (I(2) = 95%). 
• LIMITATION: 
• Studies generally were of low methodological quality, had varied definitions of cardiac events, and were statistically and clinically heterogeneous. 
• CONCLUSION: 
• The RCRI discriminated moderately well between patients at low versus high risk for cardiac events after mixed noncardiac surgery. It did not 
perform well at predicting cardiac events after vascular noncardiac surgery or at predicting death. High-quality research is needed in this area of 
perioperative medicine.
Computation of the cardiac risk 
from: Kumar R, McKinney WP, Raj G, Heudebert GR, Heller HJ, Koetting M, et al. Adverse cardiac events after 
surgery: assessing risk in a veteran population. J Gen Intern Med 2001;16:507-18 
Preop risk variable points Odds 
ratio(OR) 
MI < 6 mo 25 4.9 
Emerg surgery 15 2.6 
MI > 6 mo 10 2.2 
Praevious CHF(but > 1 
10 1.9 
week) 
Rythm non sinus 10 1.7
1)Select a point indicating 
the selected complication 
rate on the the pretest side 
of the nomogram 
2)Connect this point to a 
point on the center column 
that reflect the index score 
and associated likelihood 
ratio 
3)Extend this line to intersect 
the left post test side of the 
nomogram 
The point of tintersection 
gives the post test 
probability,i.e. the risk of 
perioperative cardiac 
complications 
Kumar R, McKinney WP, Raj G, Heudebert GR, 
Heller HJ, Koetting M, et al. Adverse cardiac events 
after surgery: assessing risk in a veteran 
population. J Gen Intern Med 2001;16:507-18 
VA nomogram
PECULIAR CARDIAC RISK INDICES
Burris JM, Subramanian A, Sansgiry S, et al. Perioperative 
atrial arrhythmias in noncardiothoracic patients: a review of 
risk factors and treatment strategies in the veteran 
population. Am J Surg 2010; 200:601–605. 
• Department of General Surgery, Michael E. DeBakey Veterans Affairs Medical Center, Houston, TX, 
USA. 
• Perioperative atrial arrhythmias (PAAs) in noncardiothoracic patients 
• The surgical intensive care unit database was queried for patients who developed 
PAAs from 2008 to 2009 
• 561 patients were admitted to the surgical intensive care unit. 
• 354 (63%) had noncardiothoracic surgery, and 30 (8.5%) developed PAAs. 
• The mean age of patients with PAAs was 66 ± 7.3 years, compared with 64 ± 11 years for controls (P 
= NS), with most patients undergoing general (60%) and vascular (33%) surgery. PAA patients were 
more likely to have coronary artery disease (P = .029), cardiomegaly (P = .011), and premature atrial 
contractions (P = .016) and to take aspirin (P = .010). On multivariate logistic regression, predictors 
of atrial arrhythmias were premature atrial contractions, preoperative hypokalemia, intraoperative 
adverse events, and cardiomegaly. Most PAA patients received amiodarone (63%). Ten percent 
required electrical cardioversion, and 26% received anticoagulation. PAA patients had significantly 
longer intensive care unit lengths of stay (P = .032). 
• CONCLUSION: 
• Coronary artery disease, cardiomegaly, hypokalemia, and premature atrial contractions were 
significantly associated with PAAs in noncardiothoracic patients. Prospective studies are needed to 
define treatment guidelines
Burris JM, Subramanian A, Sansgiry S, et al. Perioperative atrial 
arrhythmias in noncardiothoracic patients: a review of risk factors and 
treatment strategies in the veteran population. Am J Surg 2010; 
200:601–605. 
• predictors of atrial arrhythmias: 
– Coronary artery disease 
– premature atrial contractions 
– preoperative hypokalemia 
– intraoperative adverse events 
– cardiomegaly.
J Vasc Surg. 2010 Sep;52(3):674-83, 683.e1-683.e3. Epub 2010 Jun 8. 
The Vascular Study Group of New England Cardiac Risk Index (VSG-CRI) predicts cardiac 
complications more accurately than the Revised Cardiac Risk Index in vascular surgery patients. 
Bertges DJ, Goodney PP, Zhao Y, Schanzer A, Nolan BW, Likosky DS, Eldrup-Jorgensen J, 
Cronenwett JL; Vascular Study Group of New England. 
• Source 
• Divisions of Vascular Surgery of University of Vermont College of Medicine, Burlington, Vt 05401, USA. daniel.bertges@vtmednet.org 
• Abstract 
• OBJECTIVE: 
• The Revised Cardiac Risk Index (RCRI) is a widely used model for predicting cardiac events after noncardiac surgery. We compared the accuracy of the RCRI with a new, vascular surgery-specific 
model developed from patients within the Vascular Study Group of New England (VSGNE). 
• METHODS: 
• We studied 10,081 patients who underwent nonemergent carotid endarterectomy (CEA; n = 5293), lower extremity bypass (LEB; n = 2673), endovascular abdominal aortic aneurysm 
repair (EVAR; n = 1005), and open infrarenal abdominal aortic aneurysm repair (OAAA; n = 1,110) within the VSGNE from 2003 to 2008. First, we analyzed the ability of the RCRI to predict 
in-hospital major adverse cardiac events, including myocardial infarction (MI), arrhythmia, or congestive heart failure (CHF) in the VSGNE cohort. Second, we used a derivation cohort of 
8208 to develop a new cardiac risk prediction model specifically for vascular surgery patients. Chi-square analysis identified univariate predictors, and multivariate logistic regression was 
used to develop an aggregate and four procedure-specific risk prediction models for cardiac complications. Calibration and model discrimination were assessed using Pearson correlation 
coefficient and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. The ability of the model to predict cardiac complications was assessed within a validation cohort of 1873. Significant 
predictors were converted to an integer score to create a practical cardiac risk prediction formula. 
• RESULTS: 
• The overall incidence of major cardiac events in the VSGNE cohort was 6.3% (2.5% MI, 3.9% arrhythmia, 
1.8% CHF). The RCRI predicted risk after CEA reasonably well but substantially underestimated risk after 
LEB, EVAR, and OAAA for low- and higher-risk patients. Across all VSGNE patients, the RCRI 
underestimated cardiac complications by 1.7- to 7.4-fold based on actual event rates of 2.6%, 6.7%, 11.6%, 
and 18.4% for patients with 0, 1, 2, and >or=3 risk factors. In multivariate analysis of the VSGNE cohort, 
independent predictors of adverse cardiac events were (odds ratio [OR]) increasing age (1.7-2.8), smoking 
(1.3), insulin-dependent diabetes (1.4), coronary artery disease (1.4), CHF (1.9), abnormal cardiac stress 
test (1.2), long-term beta-blocker therapy (1.4), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (1.6), and 
creatinine >or=1.8 mg/dL (1.7). Prior cardiac revascularization was protective (OR, 0.8). Our aggregate 
model was well calibrated (r = 0.99, P < .001), demonstrating moderate discriminative ability (ROC curve = 
0.71), which differed only slightly from the procedure-specific models (ROC curves: CEA, 0.74; LEB, 0.72; 
EVAR, 0.74; OAAA, 0.68). Rates of cardiac complications for patients with 0 to 3, 4, 5, and >or=6 VSG risk 
factors were 3.1%, 5.0%, 6.8%, and 11.6% in the derivation cohort and 3.8%, 5.2%, 8.1%, and 10.1% in the 
validation cohort. The VSGNE cardiac risk model more accurately predicted the actual risk of cardiac 
complications across the four procedures for low- and higher-risk patients than the RCRI. When the VSG 
Cardiac Risk Index (VSG-CRI) was used to score patients, six categories of risk ranging from 2.6% to 14.3% 
(score of 0-3 to 8) were discernible. 
• CONCLUSIONS: 
• The RCRI substantially underestimates in-hospital cardiac events in patients undergoing elective or urgent vascular surgery, especially after LEB, EVAR, and OAAA. The VSG-CRI more 
accurately predicts in-hospital cardiac events after vascular surgery and represents an important tool for clinical decision making
The Vascular Study Group of New England Cardiac Risk 
Index (VSG-CRI 
estimate of RISK in vascular surgery patients 
Risk factors Lee RCIR VSG CRI VSG risk factors 
0 2.6 3.1%, 0 to 3 
1 6.7%, 5.0% 4- 5 
2 11.6% 6.8% 6 
3 or + 18.4 11.6-14,3 >6
VSGNE 
The Vascular Study Group of New England Cardiac Risk 
Index (VSG-CRI 
• independent predictors of adverse cardiac 
events for vascular surgery were : 
• increasing age (1.7-2.8), 
• smoking (1.3), 
• insulin-dependent diabetes (1.4), 
• coronary artery disease (1.4), 
• CHF (1.9), 
• abnormal cardiac stress test (1.2), 
• long-term beta-blocker therapy (1.4) 
• chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (1.6) 
• creatinine >or=1.8 mg/dL (1.7). 
– Prior cardiac revascularization was protective (OR, 0.8)
Head Neck. 2010 Nov;32(11):1485-93. 
Incidence and prediction of major cardiovascular complications 
in head and neck surgery. 
Datema FR, Poldermans D, Baatenburg de Jong RJ 
• . 
• Source 
• Department of Otorhinolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery, Erasmus Medical Center, Rotterdam, The Netherlands. f.datema@erasmusmc.nl 
• Abstract 
• BACKGROUND: 
• Patients with head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) usually have a history of tobacco and alcohol abuse. These 2 
intoxications not only are main oncologic risk factors but also show a strong causal relationship with certain comorbid conditions. 
Examples are coronary artery disease, stroke, renal dysfunction, and heart failure, which are all proven major risk factors for an adverse 
postoperative outcome after stressful noncardiac surgery. Preoperative identification of these conditions could lead to preventive 
measures in patients with HNSCC that undergo extensive surgery. Preventing morbidity and mortality is of medical and economical 
importance. 
• METHODS: 
• All comorbidity of 135 consecutive patients with HNSCC that underwent extensive oncologic and reconstructive surgery as the first form 
of treatment between 2001 and 2007 was investigated. Based on these data, a Lee Cardiac Risk Index (LCRI) Score and an overall Adult 
Comorbidity Evaluation (ACE-27) severity score were calculated. The predictive value of these scores and the American Society of 
Anesthesiologists' (ASA) classification toward major cardiovascular complication development were investigated. Major cardiovascular 
complications were defined as: cardiac death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, heart failure, and cardiac arrhythmias. The impact of 
these complications on duration of hospitalization, medical costs, and short-term mortality (defined as death within 6 months after 
primary tumor diagnosis) were investigated as well. The cardioprotective effect of preoperatively prescribed beta blockers and statins 
are discussed. 
• RESULTS: 
• Twenty-two patients developed 23 major cardiovascular complications (16.3%). In univariate and multivariate analyses, a higher LCRI 
score was associated with an increased risk for major cardiovascular complications, as was an age >70 years (all values of p < .01). The 
area under the receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve (AUC) for the multivariate model was 0.84, indicating a good prognostic 
value. In univariate and multivariate analysis, a higher ACE-27 score was associated with an increased risk for major cardiovascular 
complications, as was as age >70 years (all values of p < .01). The AUC for this model was 0.84, indicating a performance similar to that 
of the LCRI score model. No statistically significant results were found for the ASA scores (p = .38). Preoperative beta-blocker use 
showed a significant cardioprotective function in univariate analysis, whereas statins did not. The mean duration of hospitalization was 
prolonged by 7 days in patients with a major cardiovascular complication. In economic terms, this means a cost increase of at least 3500 
euros. None of the patients died during admission because of a major cardiovascular complication. The short-term mortality rate was 
11.1%, but no specific cardiovascular cause of death was reported in these patients. 
• CONCLUSIONS: 
• Prevention of major complication occurrence after extensive HNSCC surgery is of medical and economic importance. Our results show that the ACE-27 and the LCRI are suitable 
instruments for preoperative major cardiovascular complication risk assessment. Addition of the variable age >70 years shows an improvement in predictive value of both instruments. 
Because of its simplicity we advise the implementation of the LCRI into preoperative HNSCC screening protocols. We advise the exploration of low-dose long-acting beta blockers as a 
preventive treatment strategy
Indian J Anaesth. 2010 May;54(3):219-25. 
Comparative evaluation of ASA classification and ACE-27 index as morbidity 
scoring systems in oncosurgeries. 
Thomas M, George NA, Gowri BP, George PS, Sebastian P 
• . 
• Source 
• Department of Anaesthesiology, Regional Cancer Centre, Thiruvananthapuram, Kerala, India. 
• Abstract 
• The primary intention of the study was to find out whether Adult Comorbidity Evaluation Index 
(ACE-27) was better than the American Society of Anaesthesiologists' (ASA) risk classification 
system in predicting postoperative morbidity in head and neck oncosurgery. Another goal was to 
identify other risk factors for complications which are not included in these indexes. Univariate and 
multivariate analyses were performed on 250 patients to determine the impact of seven variables 
on morbidity-ACE-27 grade, ASA class, age, sex, duration of anaesthesia, chemotherapy and 
radiotherapy. In univariate analysis ACE-27 index, ASA score, duration of anaesthesia, radiotherapy 
and chemotherapy were significant. As both comorbidity scales were significant in univariate 
analysis they were analyzed together and separately in multivariate analysis to illustrate their 
individual strength. In the first multivariate analysis (excluding ACE-27 grade) ASA class, duration of 
anaesthesia, radiotherapy and chemotherapy were significant. The positive predictive value (PPV) 
of this model to predict morbidity was 60.86% and negative predictive value (NPV) was 77.9%. The 
sensitivity was 75% and specificity 62.2%. In the second multivariate analysis (excluding ASA class) 
ACE-27 grade, duration of anaesthesia and radiotherapy were significant. The PPV of this model to 
predict morbidity was 62.1% and NPV was 76.5%. The sensitivity was 61.6% and specificity 70.9%. 
In the third multivariate analysis which included both ACE-27 grade and ASA class only ASA class, 
duration of anaesthesia, radiotherapy and chemotherapy remained significant. In conclusion, ACE- 
27 grade and ASA class were reliable predictors of major complications but ASA class had more 
impact on complications than ACE-27 grade
Comorbidity calculator 
• on http://oto.wustl.edu/clinepi/calc.html 
(Clinical Outcomes Research Office’s Website).
National Surgical Quality Improvement Program(NSQIP) 
Circulation. 2011 Jul 26;124(4):381-7.. 
Development and validation of a risk calculator for prediction of cardiac risk after surgery. 
Gupta PK, Gupta H, Sundaram A, Kaushik M, Fang X, Miller WJ, Esterbrooks DJ, Hunter CB, Pipinos II, Johanning 
JM, Lynch TG, Forse RA, Mohiuddin SM, Mooss AN. 
, • Patients who underwent surgery were identified 
from the American College of Surgeons' 2007 
National Surgical Quality Improvement Program 
database, a multicenter (>250 hospitals) 
prospective database (211410 patients) 
• The cardiac risk calculator provides a risk 
estimate of perioperative myocardial infarction or 
cardiac arrest and is anticipated to simplify the 
informed consent process. 
• Its predictive performance surpasses that of the 
Revised Cardiac Risk Index
Preoperative variables significantly associated with an increased risk 
for MI/CA Circulation. 2011 Jul 26;124(4):381-7. Epub 2011 Jul 5. 
Development and validation of a risk calculator for prediction of cardiac risk after surgery. 
Gupta PK, Gupta H, Sundaram A, Kaushik M, Fang X, Miller WJ, Esterbrooks DJ, Hunter CB, Pipinos II, Johanning JM, 
Lynch TG, Forse RA, Mohiuddin SM, Mooss AN. 
ASA class, 
dependent functional 
status, 
increasing age, 
abnormal creatinine 
(1.5 mg/dL) 
type of surgery 
organ-based classification of 
is the most appropriate approach for MICA 
risk assessment, providing a more precise 
estimate of risk.
• available online at 
http://www.surgicalriskcalcul 
ator.com/miorcardiacarrest 
• free download. 
• When the required input is entered into this calculator for a 
given patient, it returns a model-based percent estimate of 
MICA 
• In the risk calculator, values are entered as 0 and 1 for 
absence or presence, respectively, of the significant 
predictive factors or as the actual value for continuous 
variables
• Perioperative Cardiac Risk Calculator 
• Full methodology in the paper- 
Circulation. 2011 Jul 26;124(4):381-7. Epub 2011 Jul 5. 
• 
• For accompanying editorial, click here 
• 
• For excel 2007 or above users, you can download the cardiac risk calculator here. 
• For excel 2003 users, you can download the risk calculator here 
• 
• Iphone version available through the app - 'Calculate' by QxMD
Dove lo trovate……. 
• Perioperative Cardiac Risk Calculator - Surgical Risk Calculator 
• www.surgicalriskcalculator.com/miorcardiacarr... - Traduci questa pagina 
• Hai fatto +1 pubblicamente su questo elemento. Annulla 
• Full methodology in the paper-. Circulation. 2011 Jul 26;124(4):381-7. Epub 2011 Jul 5. For 
accompanying editorial, click here. For excel 2007 or above users , ... 
• Development and Validation of a Risk Calculator for Prediction of ... 
• circ.ahajournals.org/content/124/4/381.full.pdf - Traduci questa pagina 
• Hai fatto +1 pubblicamente su questo elemento. Annulla 
• di PK Gupta - 2011 - Citato da 2 
26 Jul 2011 – http://www.surgicalriskcalculator.com/miorcardiacarrest for free download. 
When the required input is entered into this calculator for a given ...
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• Ricerca Google per “surgery 
risk calculator”
www.vasgbi.com/riskdets 
ky.htmCopia cache - 
Simili - Traduci questa 
pagina 
Detsky and 
Goldman 
calculators.
Calculations of risk scores 
Possum e 
derivati,EPASS,VBHOM,surgical 
apgar,Saps,Apache,Sofa….
Risk prediction on line 
• Risk prediction in surgery 
[http://www.riskprediction.org.uk/p 
pindex.php]. 
• SFAR
Surgical Risk scores 
• ACPGBI CRC Model - Association of Coloproctology of GB & I Colorectal Cancer Model for 
mortality in colorectal cancer 
• ACPGBI MBO Model - Association of Coloproctology of GB & I model for mortality 
prediction in malignant bowel obstruction 
• ACPGBI Lymph Node Harvesting Model - Association of Coloproctology of GB & I model for 
determining the number of nodes that should be found in each resection 
• St Mark's Lymph Node Positivity Model - calculates the probability of lymph node 
metastases in patients undergoing local resection of rectal cancers and for patients whose 
nodal harvest was not sufficient to adequately stage the rectal cancer. 
• CCF CLC Model - The Cleveland Clinic Colorectal Laparoscopic Conversion Model for 
prediction of conversion of lapararoscopic to open surgery in patients undergoing colonic 
or rectal surgery for benign or malignant disease. 
• CCF IPF Model - The Cleveland Clinic Ileal Pouch Failure Model for prediction of ileal pouch 
failure in patients undergoing restorative proctocolectomy. 
• CR-POSSUM - Used for predicting mortality in Colorectal Surgery (benign & malignant) 
• P-POSSUM - Used for predicting mortality (& morbidity by POSSUM) in General Surgery 
• O-POSSUM - Used for predicting mortality in Oesophagogastric Surgery 
• Vascular-POSSUM - Used for predicting mortality in Vascular Surgery (all 4 models available 
• MUST screening tool (malnutrition)
•POSSUM: 
• physiological and operative 
severity scoring system for 
enumeration of morbidity and 
mortality
• MedCalc: Perioperative Cardiac Evaluation 
• Guidelines for Perioperative Cardiovascular 
Evaluation for Noncardiac Surgery 
American College of Cardiology / American Heart 
Association 
JACC 1996; 27:910-948; and Circulation 1996; 
93:1278-1317. 
Pocket Guideline: requires Adobe Acrobat Reader 
• Go BACK
TABLE 1 
Progra 
m 
informa 
tion 
Algorith 
m 
Progra 
m Version Size Cost Source 
ACC/AH 
A1 2002 
STAT 
Cardiac 
Clearanc 
e 
1.1 97 KB Free 
http://w 
ww.statc 
oder.com 
Detsky3 MedRule 
s 2.5 324 KB Free 
http://pb 
rain.hyp 
ermart.n 
et/ 
Detsky6 InfoRetri 
ever 
4.2 
(beta) 2.1 MB 
Beta is 
free;cost 
of final 
version 
unknown 
http://w 
ww.infop 
oems.co 
m
• STAT Cardiac Clearance (September 10, 2001) 
• STAT Cardiac Clearance will help guides clinicians through steps for evaluating patients before they go in for non-cardiac 
surgery. 
It uses the guidelines set by the American College of Cardiology, the American Heart Association Task Force on 
Practice Guidelines and the American College of Physicians. 
This item is part of the collection: Tucows Software Library 
Identifier: tucows_214418_STAT_Cardiac_Clearance 
Date: 2001-09-10 
Creator: http://www.statcoder.com/ 
Rights: Freeware 
Publisher: Tucows Inc. 
Mediatype: software 
Addeddate: 2004-10-17 22:10:26 
Publicdate: 2004-10-25 11:45:05 
Keywords: palm pilot; palm pilot software; palm pilot downloads; palm; palm os; downloads; palm downloads 
• 
Individual Files 
• Whole Item Format Size clearance.zip ZIP 78.6 KB Image Files Item Image Screenshot of STAT Cardiac Clearance 9.2 
KB 
Information Format Size tucows_214418_STAT_Cardiac_Clearance_files.xml Metadata [file] 
tucows_214418_STAT_Cardiac_Clearance_meta.xml Metadata 1.5 KB 
tucows_214418_STAT_Cardiac_Clearance_reviews.xml Metadata 197.0 B
STAT Cardiac Clearance (September 
10, 2001)
Medrules 
• Current Medical Therapeutics (September 7, 2000) 
• Current Medical Therapeutics is designed for the resident or internist. 
All one has to do to utilize the program is simply input the name of an acute medical condition. 
Once that is complete, you can view a whole document that will explain the "dos and don'ts" for each condition. 
This item is part of the collection: Tucows Software Library 
Identifier: tucows_79012_Current_Medical_Therapeutics 
Date: 2000-09-07 
Creator: http://pbrain.hypermart.net/files/MedRx4.zip 
Tucows_rating: 4 
Rights: Freeware 
Publisher: Tucows Inc. 
Mediatype: software 
Addeddate: 2004-10-17 22:03:14 
Publicdate: 2004-10-26 02:09:43 
Keywords: palm pilot; palm pilot software; palm pilot downloads; palm; palm os; downloads; palm downloads 
• 
Individual Files 
• Whole Item Format Size currentmed.zip ZIP 43.7 KB Image Files Item Image Screenshot of Current Medical 
Therapeutics 2.3 KB 
Information Format Size tucows_79012_Current_Medical_Therapeutics_files.xml Metadata [file] 
tucows_79012_Current_Medical_Therapeutics_meta.xml Metadata 1.4 KB
Medrules Detsky
Infopoems
B. M. Biccard* and R. N. Rodseth) British Journal of Anaesthesia 107 (2): 133– 
43 (2011 
Utility of clinical risk predictors for preoperative 
cardiovascular risk prediction 
• Summary. Cardiovascular risk prediction using clinical risk factors is integral to both the 
• European and the American algorithms for preoperative cardiac risk assessment and 
• perioperative management for non-cardiac surgery. We have reviewed these risk factors 
• and their ability to guide clinical decision making. We examine their limitations and 
• attempt to identify factors which may improve their performance when used for clinical 
• risk stratification. To improve the performance of the clinical risk factors, it is necessary 
• to create uniformity in the definitions of both cardiovascular outcomes and the clinical 
• risk factors. The risk factors selected should reflect the degree of organ dysfunction 
• rather than a historical diagnosis. Parsimonious model design should be applied, making 
• use of a minimal number of continuous variables rather than creating overfitted models. 
• The inclusion of age in the model may assist partly in controlling for the duration of risk 
• factor exposure. Risk assignment should occur throughout the perioperative period and 
• the risk factors chosen for model inclusion should vary depending on when the 
• assignment occurs (before operation, intraoperatively, or after operation).
ESA recommendations 2011
• With our current approach to risk 
stratification, it is true that ‘we are not yet 
near the situation where we can give a specific 
risk value for an individual’, although this is 
what we should strive for” 
– B. M. Biccard,R. N. Rodseth. Utility of clinical risk predictors for 
preoperative cardiovascular risk prediction.British Journal of Anaesthesia 
107 (2): 133–43 (2011)
STEND
TESTING
Io consiglio 
• avoid overly aggressive preoperative 
investigation. 
– The ACC/AHA state in their guideline on 
perioperative risk assessment that “intervention is 
rarely necessary simply to lower the risk of 
surgery unless such intervention is indicated 
irrespective of the preoperative context.”
Scopi dei test aggiuntivi cardiovascolari 
• Fornire una misura obbiettiva di capacità 
funzionale 
• Identificare una ischemia preop miocardica 
importante 
• Diagnosticare aritmie cardiache rilevanti 
• Stimare il rischio cardiaco periop e definire una prognosi
Invasive tests and CABG 
• Coronary arteriography has a 0.3% mortality risk. 
• Coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) is associated 
with an overall operative mortality risk of 3%.11 
• In patients undergoing noncardiac surgery who have 
significant coronary artery disease without antecedent 
CABG, overall cardiac mortality is 2.4%, compared with 
0.5% for those with antecedent CABG.12 
• Therefore, performing otherwise unnecessary bypass 
grafting simply to lower the risk of a subsequent 
surgical procedure incurs an antecedent mortality of 
greater than 3% from the CABG, whereas proceeding 
directly to the indicated procedure, on average, 
produces a 2.4% cardiac mortality.
• However, patients who are otherwise candidates for CABG may be first 
identified when being evaluated for another surgical procedure. In such 
cases, when the intended surgery can be safely delayed, performing the 
CABG first is then most logical because the combined mortality of the 
procedures will be lowest when the CABG is performed first. 
• All of these tools focus exclusively on cardiovascular risk stratification or 
preoperative cardiac management (except the decision tool of Steyerburg 
et al 7; see below). Interestingly, few or none incorporate such risk factors 
as smoking, hypertension, or serum albumin, which are not independent 
predictors of major perioperative cardiac events. Two risk factors common 
to all algorithms are heart failure and prior myocardial infarction (MI). 
Seven of the 8 algorithms incorporate renal insufficiency, signs or 
symptoms of current coronary ischemia, and age. In branching algorithms, 
factors that may be included in an algorithm may not always be 
considered for a particular patient.
• intervention is rarely necessary to simply 
lower the risk of surgery unless such 
intervention is indicated irrespective of the 
preoperative context. 
• No test should be performed unless it is likely 
to influence patient treatment. 
• The goal of the consultation is the optimal 
care of the patient
Noninvasive cardiac testing 
• is recommended in patients at increased risk of cardiac 
complications in the 2009 ESC guidelines on perioperative care [4]. 
• ECG is recommended in patients with clinical risk factors or 
undergoing intermediate or high-risk surgery. 
• Assessment of left ventricular function should be considered in 
patients undergoing high-risk surgery. 
• Cardiac stress testing is recommended in patients with 3 or + RCRI 
risk factors undergoing highrisk surgery and may be considered in 
ntermediaterisk surgery and patients with two or less risk factors 
undergoing high-risk surgery. 
– Multiple options for cardiac stress testing are available, including 
exercise electrocardiography, dobutamine stress echocardiography 
(DSE), MRI, and nuclear imaging.
Dipiridamolo tallio 
• the presence of a redistribution defect on 
dipyridamole thallium imaging in patients 
undergoing peripheral vascular surgery is 
predictive of postoperative cardiac events. In 
order to increase the predictive value of the 
test, several strategies have been suggested. 
Lung uptake, left ventricular cavity dilation, 
and redistribution defect size have all been 
shown to be predictive of subsequent 
morbidity.10
Dobutamine stress test 
• Dobutamine stress echocardiography has been suggested as the best 
preoperative test in several recent meta-analyses.11 The appearance of 
new or worsened regional wall motion 
abnormalities is considered a positive test. The 
advantage of this test is that it is a dynamic assessment of ventricular 
function. Dobutamine echocardiography has also been studied and was 
found to have among the best positive and negative predictive values. 
Poldermans et al. demonstrated that the group at greatest risk were those 
who demonstrated regional wall motion abnormalities at low heart rates.12 
The presence of 5 or more segments of new regional wall motion 
abnormalities denotes a high risk group who did not benefit from 
perioperative beta blockade in one trial.13 Beattie and colleagues 
performed a meta-analysis of stress echocardiography versus thallium 
imaging and demonstrate that stress echocardiography has better negative 
predicative characteristics.11 A moderate-to-large perfusion defect by 
either test predicted postoperative MI and death
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Raccomandazioni val reope mal card pptx

  • 1. Raccomandazioni per la valutazione preoperatoria dei pazienti adulti per chirurgia non cardiaca: blocco I con enfasi sulle condizioni caCrladudioi aMecllonhi e Libero professionista 2011-2012
  • 2.
  • 3. Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future. —Niels Bohr
  • 4. Cardiovascular risk? • major cardiovascular complications (MACE,event) – cardiac arrest, non-fatal & fatal –myocardial infarction, non fatal & fatal – heart failure, – clinically relevant arrhythmias, – stroke
  • 5. Clinical steps Assessment,preop visit Detection of clinical conditions:clinical risk factors Exercise capacity Preop testing Surgery risk Prediction of risk
  • 6.
  • 7. Foundations:ESA 2010 • 1)Guidelines for pre-operative cardiac risk assessment and perioperative cardiac management in non-cardiac surgery – The Task Force for Preoperative Cardiac Risk Assessment and Perioperative Cardiac Management in Non-cardiac Surgery of the European Society of Cardiology (ESC) and endorsed by the European Society of naesthesiology (ESA) – European Journal of Anaesthesiology 2010, 27:92– 137 • Republished with permission from Eur Heart J. 2009; 22:2769–2812 • Aim:individualized patient assessment
  • 8. ESA 2011 • European Journal of Anaesthesiology: • October 2011 - Volume 28 - Issue 10 - p 684–722 • Guidelines • Preoperative evaluation of the adult patient undergoing non-cardiac surgery: guidelines from the European Society of Anaesthesiology • De Hert, Stefan; Imberger, Georgina; Carlisle, John; Diemunsch, Pierre; Fritsch, Gerhard; Moppett, Iain; Solca, Maurizio; Staender, Sven; Wappler, Frank; Smith, Andrew; the Task Force on Preoperative Evaluation of the Adult Noncardiac Surgery Patient of the European Society of Anaesthesiology
  • 9. Foundations : • Perioperative cardiac evaluation, monitoring, and risk reduction strategies in noncardiac surgery patients – Erik J. Bakker, Niels J.C. Ravensbergen and Don Poldermans – Current Opinion in Critical Care 2011,17:409–415
  • 10. Foundations : • ACC/AHA 2007 Guidelines on Perioperative Cardiovascular Evaluation and Care for Noncardiac Surgery: Executive Summary: A Report of the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association Task Force on Practice Guidelines (Writing Committee to Revise the 2002 Guidelines on Perioperative Cardiovascular Evaluation for Noncardiac Surgery):Developed in Collaboration With the American Society of • Echocardiography, American Society of Nuclear Cardiology, Heart Rhythm Society, Society of Cardiovascular Anesthesiologists, Society for Cardiovascular Angiography and Interventions, Society for Vascular Medicine and Biology, and Society for Vascular Surgery. • Fleisher LA, Beckman JA, Brown KA, Calkins H, Chaikof E,Fleischmann KE, Freeman WK, Froehlich JB, Kasper EK, Kersten JR,Riegel B, Robb JF, Smith SC Jr, Jacobs AK, Adams CD, Anderson JL,Antman EM, Buller CE, Creager MA, Ettinger SM, Faxon DP, Fuster V,Halperin JL, Hiratzka LF, Hunt SA, Lytle BW, Md RN, Ornato JP, Page RL,Riegel B, Tarkington LG, Yancy CW. • Circulation 2007; 116:1971–1996. • Aim:creating a risk profile
  • 11. ESA 2011 • The potential legal implications may be an area of concern. • It cannot be overemphasised that guidelines may not be appropriate for all clinical situations. • The decision whether or not to follow a recommendation from a guideline must be made by the responsible physician on an individual basis, taking into account both the specific conditions of the patient and the available resources. • Therefore, deviations from guidelines for specific reasons remain possible and certainly should not be interpreted as a basis for claims of negligence.
  • 12. • Specific conditions and available resources…… • What if resources are scarce???? • Decision not to follow a guideline……documentare perché!!!
  • 13. Rischio in anestesia:risk factors paziente anestesia chirurgia Ambiente….sala operatoria ..organization anestesista chirurgo
  • 14. Limitazioni della lettura • Non si parla del rischio tecnico,legato alle attrezzature o alle diverse tecniche di anestesia • La lettura è piuttosto focalizzata alla valutazione preoperatoria,con excursus nella dinamica operatoria (presunta almeno….),escludendo malattie rare ,gravidanza e includendo: – Malattie cardiovascolari – Malattie resp(fumo,COPD,OSA…) – Mal.renali – Diabete – Obesità – Disordini coagulativi – Anemia e tecniche di conservazione del sangue – Anziano – Alccolismo – Allergia • Ci si limita alla chir.noncardiaca
  • 15. Altri argomenti della lettura(se ci sarà tempo) • Trattamento della terapia in corso in caso di: – Antitrombotici e anest.locoregionale; – Erbe e similari – Psicotropici – Ponte perioperatorio della terapia anticoagulante • Tests preop • Valutazione delle vie aeree • Informazione del paziente
  • 16. Aim of preop evaluation • 1) identify those patients for whom the perioperative period may constitute an increased risk of morbidity and mortality, aside from the risks associated with the underlying disease. – Specialist assessment(cardiologist) – Identify patients with excessive risk • 2)help us to design perioperative strategies that aim to reduce additional perioperative risks. – Optimization??? initiation, continuation, or optimization of cardiovascular medication) and interventional cardiovascular treatment strategies (CABG???) • 3)identification of the most appropriate testing and avoidance of unnecessary testing – non-invasive and invasive testing are not only associated with patient discomfort and financial burden, but also with morbidity and mortality related to the test procedure,false test results, and postponement of required surgery;
  • 17. Come può la visita preop modificare il trattamento? Valutaz cardiaca preop Stratificazione del rischio cardiaco Conduzione periop preop Terapia medica Indicazione chirurgica Terapia chirurgica intraop Tipo di anestesia Anestetici monitoraggio postop Monitoraggio Terapia medica Follow up
  • 18. • HOW, WHEN AND BY WHOM SHOULD PATIENTS BE EVALUATED PREOPERATIVELY? Preoperative evaluation of the adult patient undergoing non-cardiac surgery: guidelines from the European Society of Anaesthesiology 2010
  • 19. Preop assessment • tools to screen patient history and physical status (such as questionnaires, either paper-based or electronic-based, to be filled by the patient alone or in conjunction with a health professional; interviews by either medical or non-medical health professionals); • timing of preoperative assessment (including studies looking at preoperative interventions aimed at improving patient outcome); smoking cessation, – alcohol abstinence, – optimisation of medical condition – weight loss • professional qualification necessary to perform the preoperative evaluation (nurse, physician assistant,family physician/general practitioner, surgeon, anaesthesia trainee or anaesthesia specialist).
  • 20. Medical optimization • Reduce mortality and morbidity after major vascular surgery (level of evidence: 3) • Smoking cessation has definitely shown to be beneficial (level of evidence: 1þ) even if an optimal duration has not been identified (level of evidence: 2þ) – (the majority of studies put it between 4 and 8 weeks (level of evidence: 1- 1þ2), • Short lasting alcohol abstinence (1 week) has not been shown to be beneficial (level of evidence: 2)whereas longer (1 month) abstinence has demonstrated positive effects (level of evidence: 1)
  • 21. Percentage of newly diagnosed comorbidities Dawson J, Vig S, Choke E, et al. Medical optimisation can reduce morbidity and mortality associated with elective aortic aneurysm repair. Eur J Vasc Endovasc Surg 2007; 33:100–104 St George's Vascular Institute, London, UK. comprehensive assessment to identify comorbidities,
  • 22. Optimization Dawson J, Vig S, Choke E, et al. Medical optimisation can reduce morbidity and mortality associated with elective aortic aneurysm repair. Eur J Vasc Endovasc Surg 2007; 33:100–104 Cardiology referral 44% Pneumologist referral 32% Renal referral 16% 55% resulted in a change in management (75% change in medications, 23% referred for CABG or coronary stent, 2.5 referred for pacemaker 63% resulted in a change of management 23% resulted in a change of management (50% drug change, 50% planned peri-operative dialysis).
  • 23. Risk factors Dawson J, Vig S, Choke E, et al. Medical optimisation can reduce morbidity and mortality associated with elective aortic aneurysm repair. Eur J Vasc Endovasc Surg 2007; 33:100–104 • an abnormal echocardiogram was associated with postoperative pneumonia (OR 6.9, 95% CI 1.6e29, P ¼ 0.01) and death (OR 7.9, 95% CI 1.15e54, P ¼ 0.036). • Pre-operative intervention by a renal physician was associated with a reduction in post-operative renal impairment (OR 0.12, 95% CI 0.03e0.45, P ¼ 0.002) • pre-operative intervention by a cardiologist was associated with a reduction in respiratory complications (OR 0.7, 95% CI 0.05e0.99, P ¼ 0.049).
  • 25. Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2010 Jul 7;(7):CD002294. Interventions for preoperative smoking cessation. Thomsen T, Villebro N, Møller AM. • Five trials examined the effect of smoking intervention on postoperative complications. • Pooled risk ratios were 0.70 (95% CI 0.56 to 0.88) for developing any complication; and 0.70 (95% CI 0.51 to 0.95) for wound complications. • Exploratory subgroup analyses showed a significant effect of intensive intervention on any complications; RR 0.42 (95% CI 0.27 to 0.65) and on wound complications RR 0.31 (95% CI 0.16 to 0.62). • For brief interventions the effect was not statistically significant but CIs do not rule out a clinically significant effect (RR 0.96 (95% CI 0.74 to 1.25) for any complication, RR 0.99 (95%CI 0.70 to 1.40) for wound complications).
  • 26. Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2010 Jul 7;(7):CD002294. Interventions for preoperative smoking cessation. Thomsen T, Villebro N, Møller AM.
  • 27. Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2010 Jul 7;(7):CD002294. Interventions for preoperative smoking cessation. Thomsen T, Villebro N, Møller AM.
  • 28. A U T H O R S ’ C O N C L U S I O N S Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2010 Jul 7 Implications for practice • The results of this updated reviewindicate that preoperative smoking intervention is beneficial for changing smoking behaviour perioperatively and in the long term, and for reducing the incidence of complications. • Exploratory subgroup analyses of two smaller trials suggest that intensive intervention over a period of four to eight weeks before surgery and including NRT,may support smoking cessation and reduce postoperative morbidity. • Six trials testing brief interventions, on the other hand, increased smoking cessation • at the time of surgery but failed to detect a statistically significant effect on postoperative morbidity. • Based on this evidence, intensive interventions for 4-8 weeks before surgery, and including NRT, appear relevant for patients scheduled to undergo surgery 4 weeks or more after diagnosis. • We suggest that smokers scheduled for surgery less than 4 weeks after diagnosis, like all smokers, be advised to quit and offered effective interventions, including behavioural support and pharmacotherapy.
  • 30. Postoperative outcome following anorectal surgery in alcohol users;withdrawal vs continuous drinking Tonnesen H, Rosenberg J, Nielsen HJ, Rasmussen V, Hauge C, Pedersen IK, Kehlet H. Effect of preoperative abstinence on poor postoperative outcome in alcohol misusers: randomised controlled trial. BMJ. 1999 May 15;318(7194):1311-6. elective colorectal surgery. Withdrawal from alcohol consumption for 1 month before operation (disulfiram controlled) compared with continuous drinking % No alcohol X 1 month Continuous drinking Any Ko 31 73 Major Ko 12,5 42 Minor Ko 25 58 Secondary surg 12,5 42 Myocardial ischaemia and arrhythmias occurred less often in the intervention group; there were also significantly fewer episodes of sudden hypoxaemia heart rate and plasma concentrations of catecholamines and interleukin 6, was significantly smaller in the intervention group,
  • 31. Conclusions from Tonnesen H, Rosenberg J, Nielsen HJ, Rasmussen V, Hauge C, Pedersen IK, Kehlet H. Effect of preoperative abstinence on poor postoperative outcome in alcohol misusers: randomised controlled trial. BMJ. 1999 May 15;318(7194):1311-6. • One month of preoperative alcohol abstinence reduces postoperative morbidity in alcohol abusers. • The mechanism is probably reduced preclinical organ dysfunction and reduction of the exaggerated response to surgical stress.
  • 32. ESA 2010 Recommendations • (1) Preoperative standardised questionnaires may be helpful in improving anaesthesia valuation in a variety of situations (grade of recommendation: D). • (2) If a preoperative questionnaire is implemented,great care should be taken in its design (grade of recommendation: D), and a computer-based version should be used whenever possible (grade of recommendation:C). • (3) Preoperative evaluation should be carried out with sufficient time before the scheduled procedure to allow for the implementation of any advisable preoperative intervention aimed at improving patient outcome (grade of recommendation: D). • (4) Preoperative assessment should at least be completed by an anaesthetist (grade of recommendation:D), but the screening of patients could be carried out effectively either by trained nurses (grade of recommendation: C) or anaesthesia trainees (grade of recommendation: D). • (5) A pharmacy personnel member may usefully be included in preoperative assessment, in order to reduce discrepancies in postoperative drug orders (grade of recommendation: C). • (6) There is insufficient evidence to recommend that the preferred model is that a patient should be seen by the same anaesthetist from preoperative assessment through to anaesthesiaadministration (grade ofrecommendation: D).
  • 33. Wijeysundera, D N, AustinPC, Beattie WS, Hux JE, Laupacis A A Population-Based Study of Anesthesia Consultation Before Major Noncardiac Surgery .Arch Intern Med. 2009;169(6):595-602 • Background: In single-center studies, consultation byan anesthesiologist days to weeks before surgery was associated • with reduced patient anxiety, case cancellations on the day of surgery, and duration of hospitalization. • Nonetheless, the impact of anesthesia consultation on outcomes in the population remains unclear. • Methods: We used population-based, linked, administrative databases to conduct a cohort study of patients,aged 40 years and older, who underwent selected elective intermediate-to high-risk noncardiac surgical procedures in Ontario, Canada, between April 1, 1994, and March 31, 2004. Propensity-score methods were used to construct a matched-pairs cohort that resolved important differences between patients who underwent consultation and those who did not. We then determined • the association of consultation (within 60 days before surgery) with hospital length of stay and postoperative mortality • (30-day and 1-year) rates within the matched • pairs. Results: Of the 271 082 patients in the entire cohort, 39%(n=104 716) underwent anesthesia consultation. The proportion of patients who underwent consultation increased from 19% in 1994 to 53% in 2003. Within the matched-pairs (n=180 254), consultation was associated with reduced mean hospital length of stay (8.17 days vs 8.52 days; difference, −0.35 days; 95% confidence interval [CI], −0.27 to −0.43; P.001). Consultation was not associated with reduced mortality at 30 days (relative risk, 1.04; 95% CI, 0.96 to 1.13; P=.36) or 1 year (relative risk, 0.98; 95% CI, 0.95 to 1.02; P=.20). • Conclusions: Preoperative anesthesia consultation is associated • with reduced length of stay but not with reduced • mortality. Future research should evaluate the costeffectiveness • of the increasing use of anesthesia • consultation.
  • 34. Single center results: • preoperative anesthesia consultation clinics showed measurable benefits in several single-center studies. • They were associated with reduced patient anxiety,3 • Reduced case cancellations on the day of surgery,4,5 • Reduced duration of hospitalization,5,6 • Reduced hospital costs.6 • 3. Klopfenstein CE, Forster A, Van Gessel E. Anesthetic assessment in an outpatient • consultation clinic reduces preoperative anxiety. Can J Anaesth. 2000; • 47(6):511-515. • 4. Ferschl MB, Tung A, Sweitzer B, Huo D, Glick DB. Preoperative clinic visits reduce • operating room cancellations and delays. Anesthesiology. 2005;103(4): • 855-859. • 5. van Klei WA, Moons KG, Rutten CL, et al. The effect of outpatient preoperative • evaluation of hospital inpatients on cancellation of surgery and length of hospital • stay. Anesth Analg. 2002;94(3):644-649. • 6. Pollard JB, Garnerin P, Dalman RL. Use of outpatient preoperative evaluation to • decrease length of stay for vascular surgery. Anesth Analg. 1997;85(6):1307- • 1311.
  • 35. OUTCOME OF PATIENTS (WITH AND WITOUT CARDIAC RISK)AFTER NONCARDIAC SURGERY
  • 36. Magnitude of risk of major perioperative cardiac events • Patients experiencing an MI after noncardiac surgery have a hospital mortality rate of 15%– 25%(5–8) • nonfatal perioperative MI is an independent risk factor for cardiovascular death and nonfatal MI during the 6 months following surgery (hazard ratio 18; 95% confidence interval [CI] 6–57)(9 ) • Patients who have a cardiac arrest after noncardiac surgery have a hospital mortality rate of 65%(10) • nonfatal perioperative cardiac arrest is a risk factor for cardiac death during the 5 years following surgery(11)
  • 37. Outcomes of major perioperative cardiac events in patients undergoing noncardiac surgery: prospective cohort studies with samples >300 patients,no restrictions as to the type of surgery (e.g., vascular surgery) and that required patients to have at least 1 measurement of a cardiac enzyme or biomarker after surgery.(5–8,12–14 ) Poise I 8351 patients. 190 centers in 23 countries 2007-2008 5% Gilbert 2035 pts in 2 teaching canadian Hospitals 1999 2,4% 1,8% 6,4%
  • 38. Occurrence of major periop cardiac events in patients at risk and without risk • 1.7%,with a cardiovascular cause 0,5%.Major Dutch University Boersma,2005,108.000 pts,1991-2000 • 2.1% Lee • 3.9% (95% CI 3.3%–4.6%) pooled data from praevious table) • Vs • 5% of unselected patients (mortality 11.6%)(Poise 1 ) – Characteristics and short-term prognosis of perioperative myocardial infarction in patients undergoing noncardiac surgery: a cohort study. Devereaux PJ, Xavier D, Pogue J, Guyatt G, Sigamani A, Garutti I, Leslie K, Rao-Melacini P, Chrolavicius S, Yang H, Macdonald C, Avezum A, Lanthier L, Hu W, Yusuf S; POISE (PeriOperative ISchemic Evaluation) Investigators. Ann Intern Med. 2011 Apr 19;154(8):523-8 • Vs – 6,4 %unselected patients ,death 2,4% – Gilbert K, Larocque BJ, Patrick LT. Prospective evaluation of cardiac risk indices for patients undergoing noncardiac surgery. Ann Intern Med 2000;133:356-9
  • 39. Differences in incidences • Patient selection • Surgery selection(major…????) • Endpoint MI definition • …..organization,skills…….
  • 40. Magnitude of the problem • Ageing of population • Elderly people requirement for surgery are 4 times +> general population • Rising frequency of interventions with age • Incresing number of elderly patients with comorbidities • Number of affected individuals higher in countries with high cardiovascular morbidity(Central-east Europe)
  • 41. Pathophysiology of perioperative cardiac events • Cardiac death • etiology??? –Ischemia? –Arrhythmia? –pre-existing cardiomyopathy ?
  • 42. Pathophysiology of perioperative cardiac events:Cardiac arrest • only 1 study examined the cause of cardiac arrest in patients undergoing noncardiac surgery. • Sprung and colleagues – Sprung J, Warner ME, Contreras MG, Schroeder DR, Beighley CM, Wilson GA, et al. Predictors of survival following cardiac arrest in patients undergoing noncardiac surgery: a study of 518 294 patients at a tertiary referral center. Anesthesiology 2003;99:259-69 – evaluated 223 cases of perioperative cardiac arrest that occurred between the start of anesthesia and discharge from the recovery room in patients undergoing noncardiac surgery at a single centre from 1990 to 2000. – A committee of staff anesthesiologists, anesthesia chief residents, certified nurse anesthetists and recovery room nurses reviewed all cases and judged the probable cause of each cardiac arrest. – dominant causes:cardiac causes (e.g., MI) and bleeding . – Confidence in these conclusions will require a multicentre study of all cardiac arrests that occur in the postoperative period (i.e., from the start of surgery to 30 days after surgery).
  • 43. Sprung J, Warner ME, Contreras MG, Schroeder DR, Beighley CM, Wilson GA, et al. Predictors of survival following cardiac arrest in patients undergoing noncardiac surgery: a study of 518 294 patients at a tertiary referral center. Anesthesiology 2003;99:259-69
  • 44. Autopsy findings • 50-90% associated with plaque rupture and thrombus • Remaining cases associated with DO2/VO2 mismatch – Dawood Int J Cardiol 1996,57:37-44 – Cohen MC Cardiovasc Pathol 1999,8,133-39
  • 45. of periop MI … from:Perioperative cardiac events in patients undergoing noncardiac surgery: a review of the magnitude of the problem, the pathophysiology of the events and methods to estimate and communicate risk P.J. Devereaux, Lee Goldman, Deborah J. Cook, Ken Gilbert, Kate Leslie, Gordon H. Guyatt
  • 46. Preoperative cardiac risk assessment • Risk estimate Patient • Acceptance /refusal info • Periop management • Choice of surg.technique • Postop care;location,intensity… Decision making improv e overall patient outco me
  • 47. independent predictors of adverse perioperative cardiac outcome •Active cardiac conditions • High risk surgical procedure • Poor exercise tolerance
  • 48. I marcatori clinici condizioni associate ad alto rischio per complicanze cardiovascolari perioperatorie: • 1)instabilità coronarica;per esempio un MI recente o una angina instabile o severa; • 2)Insufficienza cardiaca scompensata;NYHA Classe IV o una insufficienza in peggioramento o di nuova insorgenza; • 3)aritmie significative;blocco AV di alto grado(Mobitz 2,BAV 3,aritmie ventricolari sintomatiche,aritmie sopraventricolari con ritmo cardiaco non controllato,tachicardia sintomatica,tachicardia ventricolare di nuova scoperta. • 4)malattia valvolare severa,cioè stenosi aortica serrata o stenosi mitralica sintomatica. – Active Cardiac Conditions for Which the Patient Should Undergo Evaluation and Treatment Before Noncardiac Surgery (Class I, Level of Evidence: B)
  • 49. Intermediate Clinical risk factors • Ischemic heart disease including mild angina pectoris (CCS class I or II) or prior MI by history or pathologic Q wave • Compensated or prior heart failure (HF) • Diabetes mellitus • Renal insufficiency (preoperative creatinine >2.0 mg/dL [177 μmol/L]) • Cerebrovascular disease – (See RCRI) – Careful assessment of the patient status,which may necessitate noninvasive testing
  • 50. Obese patients • 2009 AHA scientific advisory • Increased risk because: – Heart failure (Myocardial steatosis) – Sleep apnea +/- pulmonary hypertension – Dvt – Pulmonary embolism • ???? • Poor exercise tolerance • Specific tests should be performed only if the results will change management
  • 52. Incidenza di mortalità periop in pazienti con CAD(n=1632) Eagle et al High risk surgery >=4% Low risk surgery<=4% Abdominal 4% Urologic 1.8 Vascolar 11.3 Orthopedic 1.2 Thoracic 7.7 Skin 0 Head neck 7.3 Miscellaneous 3
  • 53. Outcome cardiaco per chirurgia maggiore non cardiaca Eagle et al,Circulation 1997 96 1892-7 N=395 N=582 N=964
  • 54. Circulation. 1997;96:1882-1887.Cardiac Risk of Noncardiac Surgery Influence of Coronary Disease and Type of Surgery in 3368 Operations Kim A. Eagle, MD; Charanjit S. Rihal, MD; Mary C. Mickel, MS; David R. Holmes, MD; Eric D. Foster, MD; Bernard J. Gersh, MBBS; for the CASS Investigators; ; University of Michigan Heart Care Program • The Figure illustrates the outcomes of those patients who underwent "high-risk" noncardiac surgery, that is, combined myocardial infarction or death rate ≥4% in medically treated patients with known coronary disease. As one can see, abdominal, vascular, thoracic, and head and neck surgery each had a combined rate of myocardial infarction and/or death ≥4%. The Figure indicates that patients undergoing "higher-risk" noncardiac surgery on average had a lower perioperative risk if they had undergone prior coronary bypass surgery. For the higher-risk patients overall, postoperative death was 3.3% in medically treated patients versus 1.7% in those having had prior coronary bypass surgery (P=.03). Similarly, the rate of myocardial infarction for high-risk surgical patients was lower if prior coronary bypass surgery had been performed. In this case, the rate was 2.7% among 582 patients who were being treated medically compared with 0.8% among 964 who had undergone prior coronary bypass surgery (P=.002). Table 2 indicates, on average, that patients undergoing the lower-risk operations such as urologic, orthopedic, breast, and skin operations had very low risks of operative myocardial infarction or death that were not significantly affected by having had prior bypass surgery.
  • 55.
  • 56. ATRIAL FIBRILLATION ,(AF),HEART INSUFFICIENCY-FAILURE(HF),AORTIC STENOSIS(AS),CORONARY ISCHEMIA(IHD,ISCHEMIC HEART DISEASE)…
  • 57. AF
  • 58. Importance of AF • Death rates are doubled by AF, independently of other known predictors of mortality. • Only antithrombotic therapy has been shown to reduce AF-related deaths
  • 59. Circulation. 2011 Jul 19;124(3):289-96. Mortality and readmission of patients with heart failure, atrial fibrillation, or coronary artery disease undergoing noncardiac surgery: an analysis of 38 047 patients.van Diepen S, Bakal JA, McAlister FA, Ezekowitz JA. consecutive patients with either nonischemic HF (NIHF; n=7700), ischemic HF (IHF; n=12 249), CAD (n=13 786), or AF (n=4312) who underwent noncardiac surgery between April 1, 1999, and September 31, 2006, in Alberta, Canada.
  • 60. 30 day periop mortality stratified by admission and type of surgery Circulation. 2011 Jul 19;124(3):289-96. Mortality and readmission of patients with heart failure, atrial fibrillation, or coronary artery disease undergoing noncardiac surgery: an analysis of 38 047 patients.van Diepen S, Bakal JA, McAlister FA, Ezekowitz JA. consecutive patients with either nonischemic HF (NIHF; n=7700), ischemic HF (IHF; n=12 249), CAD (n=13 786), or AF (n=4312) who underwent noncardiac surgery between April 1, 1999, and September 31, 2006, in Alberta, Canada. 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 HF non isch HF isch CAD AF
  • 61. Circulation. 2011 Jul 19;124(3):289-96. Mortality and readmission of patients with heart failure, atrial fibrillation, or coronary artery disease undergoing noncardiac surgery: an analysis of 38 047 patients.van Diepen S, Bakal JA, McAlister FA, Ezekowitz JA. • 3 principal findings • 1) patients with HF or AF are at substantially higher risk of postoperative mortality than patients with CAD, and this risk is higher than previously appreciated by perioperative cardiac risk prediction models • 2) patients with HF undergoing routine minor surgical procedures are not low risk, as highlighted by the 4% risk of mortality within 30 days of purportedly minor outpatient surgical procedures,such as a colonoscopies, bronchoscopies, and cystoscopies. • 3)mortality rates are particularly high for those patients undergoing surgery within 4 weeks of an incident diagnosis of HF or AF and further highlighted by the risk carried by a recent HF rehospitalization on postoperative mortality.
  • 62. • Camm AJ, Kirchhof P, Lip GY, et al. Guidelines for the management of atrial fibrillation: the Task Force for the Management of Atrial Fibrillation of the European Society of Cardiology (ESC). Eur Hear J 2010; 31:2369– 2429
  • 64. Patients with HF (suspected or known) • preoperative evaluation by a specialist to assess the severity of the disease and to ensure optimal medical therapy. • stress echocardiography + serum concentrations of brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) or • its inactive precursor N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) for risk stratification. • Multiple long-term medications, including angiotensin-converting enzyme (ACE) inhibitors, angiotensin-II-receptor blockers,b-blockers, aldosterone antagonists, diuretics… – associated side-effects (mostly electrolyte disturbances,renal insufficiency, and intraoperative therapy-resistant hypotension). – As there is evidence that the perioperative use of ACE inhibitors, b-blockers, statins, and aspirin improves outcome in patients with LV dysfunction undergoing major vascular surgery, perioperative continuation of such therapy is recommended in this patient population
  • 65. EF preop e outcome cardiaco postop.(Franco et al,J Vasc Surg 10;656:1989) EF>55% N=50 EF 35-55% N=20 EF 20-35% N=15 MI 19% 15% 20% Morte 0 0 13%
  • 66. A comparison of data Perioperative mortality and 30 days readmission rate for patients with HF operated for noncardiac surgery Preoperative evaluation at the Internal Medicine Preoperative Assessment Consultation and T reatment (IMPACT) Center at the Cleveland Clinic
  • 67. Left ventricular function and postoperative outcome :% Flu WJ, van Kuijk JP, Hoeks SE, Kuiper R, Schouten O, Goei D, Elhendy A, Verhagen HJ, Thomson IR, Bax JJ, Fleisher LA, Poldermans D. Prognostic implications of asymptomatic left ventricular dysfunction in patients undergoing vascular surgery. Anesthesiology. 2010 Jun;112(6):1316-24. 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Normal LV function asympt isolated diastolic LV function asympt sist LV dissfunction symptomatic HeartFailure %
  • 68. Operative mortality Hammill BG,Curtis,LH,Bennett-Guerrior E,O’Connor,CM,Jollis JC,Schulman KA,Hernandez AF.Impact of heart failure on patients undergoing major noncardiac surgery.Anesthesiology 2008;108:559-67 HF CAD normal total 8 3,1 2,4 > Knee amput 25.8 18 16 <knee amput 12.8 10.4 7.2 Carotid endarterec tomy 2,5 1,2 0,9 Colon cancer resection 11.9 6.3 5.4 Hip replacement 8.4 3.9 2.8 Knee replacement 0.9 0.4 0.3 Laparoscopic 5.6 2.1 1.8 cholecystectomy Lower extremity bypass 8.1 3.7 4.1 Open AAA repair 10.3 5.8 4.8 Other abdominal cancer 11.8 4.3 4.9 resections Pulmonary cancer resection 10.2 6.0 4.1 Spinal fusion 3.8 2.1 1.3
  • 69. 30 day readmission Hammill BG,Curtis,LH,Bennett-Guerrior E,O’Connor,CM,Jollis JC,Schulman KA,Hernandez AF.Impact of heart failure on patients undergoing major noncardiac surgery.Anesthesiology 2008;108:559-67 HF CAD normal total 17.1 10.8 8.1 > Knee amput 25.2 21.6 18.9 <knee amput 24.1ns 23.4ns 19.9 ns Carotid endarterectomy 15.2 10.8 8.7 Colon cancer resection 18 13.2 10.5 Hip replacement 16.6 10.3 8.8 Knee replacement 9.9 6.2 4.7 Laparoscopic 16.4 10.1 8.4 cholecystectomy Lower extremity bypass 27.2 18.2 16.2 Open AAA repair 14.8 10.3 11.4 Other abdominal cancer 17.3 12.6 11.8 resections Pulmonary cancer resection 17.4 15.5 11.3 Spinal fusion 13.3 9.4 7.7
  • 70. Conclusion from the study of Hammil et al • Heart Failure patients : –mortality risk 63% –Readmission risk 51%
  • 71. Periop cardiovascular events are associated World J Surg. 2011 Nov;35(11):2411-6.Increased aortic stiffness can predict perioperative cardiovascular outcomes in patients undergoing noncardiac, nonvascular surgery. Biteker M, Duman D, Dayan A, Ilhan E • Impaired elastic properties of the aorta are associated with increased Periop.Cardiovasc.Event rates in patients undergoing noncardiac, nonvascular surgery • Aortic distensibility and strain(echo) • Diabetes mellitus • LVEF
  • 72. Insomma….. • Insuff cardiaca e FA prognosi peggiore della ischemia miocardica!!
  • 73. Valvular heart disease……. AORTIC STENOSIS(AS)
  • 74. Severe valvular disease (part of the active cardiac conditions) • stenosis is severe when: • Mitral stenosis is symptomatic • Aortic stenosis: – Mean pressure gradient > 40 mmHg – Area< 1cm2 – Symptomatic
  • 75. Monin J-L, Lancellotti P, Monchi M, et al. Risk score for predicting outcome in patients with asymptomatic aortic stenosis. Circulation 2009; 120: 69–75 3 parameters were independent predictors of outcome: female sex, serum BNP, and peak aortic-jet velocity at baseline. Risk score was calculated according to the following formula: Score[=peak velocity (m/s)x 2]+(natural logarithm of BNP x1.5)+1.5 (if female sex).
  • 76.
  • 77. HYPERTENSION AS A RISK FACTOR
  • 78. • its importance as a clinical risk factor is still debated……………..
  • 79. Weksler N, Klein M, Szendro G, Rozentsveig V, Schily M, Brill S, Tarnopolski A, Ovadia L, Gurman GM: The dilemma of immediate preoperative hypertension: to treat and operate, or to postpone surgery? J Clin Anesth 2003; 15: 179-83 • There is a great deal of debate regarding a trigger to delay or cancel a surgical procedure in a patient with poorly or untreated hypertension • In the absence of end-organ changes, such as renal insufficiency or left ventricular hypertrophy with strain, it would seem appropriate to proceed with surgery. • A randomized trial of treated hypertensive patients without known CAD who presented the morning of surgery with an elevated diastolic blood pressure was unable to demonstrate any difference in outcome between those who were actively treated versus those in whom surgery was delayed. • In contrast, a patient with a markedly elevated blood pressure and the new onset of a headache should have surgery delayed for further evaluation and potential treatment..
  • 80. Howell SJ, Sear YM, Yeates D, Goldacre M, Sear JW, Foëx P. Hypertension, admission blood pressure and perioperative cardiovascular risk. Anaesthesia 1996;51:1000-1004. • A retrospective case-controlled study which found that a history of hypertension was an important predictor for perioperative cardiac death but not admission blood pressure. • The study implies that end-organ damage resulting from hypertension is the likely villain in this group of patients.
  • 81. Forrest plot for a meta-analysis of the risk of perioperative cardiovascular complications in hypertensive and normotensive patients. Howell SJ, Sear JW, Foex P. Hypertension, hypertensive heart disease and perioperative cardiac risk. Br J Anaesth 2004; 92:570–83
  • 82. SITE AND EXTENT OF SURGERY:SURGERY CONTRIBUTION…
  • 83. La stratificazione chirurgica degli interventi dal punto di vista del rischio cardiaco (ASA/AHA); surgical risk estimates • rischio di MI o morte cardiaca superiore al 5%: – chirurgia vascolare maggiore(aortica) e quella periferica; • a rischio intermedio ,compreso fra 1 e 5%: la chirurgia intraperitoneale ed intratoracica endoarterectomia carotidea chirurgia della testa e del collo chirurgia ortopedica maggiore chir prostatica. • rischio minore,inferiore all’1% : – procedure endoscopiche(urol/ortop), – superficie corporea – chirurgia per cataratta – Chir mammaria. ESA 2010
  • 84. Trapianti?????vedi il registro olandese …. Da :Priebe,BJA 2011
  • 85. Noordzij PG, Poldermans D, Schouten O, et al. Postoperative mortality in The Netherlands: a population-based analysis of surgery-specific risk in adults. Anesthesiology 2010; 112:1105–1115. • . • 3.7 million surgical procedures • 102 hospitals in The Netherlands during 1991-2005. • Patients older than 20 yr who underwent an elective, nonday case, open surgical procedure were enrolled. • Patient data included main (discharge) diagnosis, secondary diagnoses, dates of admission and discharge, death during admission, operations, age, sex, and a limited number of comorbidities classified according to the International Classification of Diseases 9th revision Clinical Modification. • The main outcome measure was postoperative all-cause mortality. Univariable and multivariable logistic regression analyses were applied to evaluate the relationship between type of surgery and the main outcome. • RESULTS: • Postoperative all-cause death was observed in 67,879 patients (1.85%). • In a model based on a classification into 11 main surgical categories, breast surgery was associated with lowest mortality (adjusted incidence, 0.07%), and vascular surgery was associated with highest mortality (adjusted incidence, 5.97%). In a model based on 36 surgical subcategories, the adjusted mortality ranged from 0.07% for hernia nuclei pulposus surgery to 18.5% for liver transplant. The c-index of the 36-category model was 0.88, which was significantly (P < 0.001) higher than the c-index that was associated with the simple surgical classification (low vs. high risk) in the commonly used Revised Cardiac Risk Index (c-index, 0.83). • CONCLUSIONS: • This population-based study provided a detailed and contemporary overview of postoperative mortality for the entire surgical spectrum, which may act as reference standard for surgical outcome in Western populations
  • 86. trapianti milza Fegato pancreas stomaco Esofago intestino
  • 87. Severe(cardiac death,MI,alveolar pulm.edema,cardiac arrest,non fatal ventric.tachycardia or fibrillation) and serious cardiac complications( unstable angina,CHF without pulm edema) Kumar R, McKinney WP, Raj G, Heudebert GR, Heller HJ, Koetting M, et al. Adverse cardiac events after surgery: assessing risk in a veteran population. J Gen Intern Med 2001;16:507-18 Surgery Complications:severe Serious aortic 24% 32% carotid 8.3% 10% Vasc periph. 11.8% 14.7% Intrabdominal & intrathoracic 9% 13.1% Head,neck,major orthopedic,neurosurg 2.9% 3.3% Ophtalmic,maxillo facial,plastic,low risk orthopedic, 0.27% 1.1%
  • 89. MET: equivalenti energetici 1 MET is defined as 3.5 mL O2 uptake/kg per min, which is the resting oxygen uptake in a sitting position) indice delle possibilità energetiche per varie attività • scaletta dei MET :risposta a domande semplici,quali: • sei in grado di avere cura di te stesso?mangiare,bere,usare la toilette(MET 1)?; • puoi camminare in casa (MET 2) ; • puoi camminare 100-200m in piano alla velocità di 3-4.5 Km/h?(Met 3); • puoi eseguire lavori di casa leggeri come spolverare o lavare i piatti?(MET 4); • puoi salire una rampa di scale o in salita?o camminare in piano a 6,5 Km/h o correre per una breve distanza?(Met 5). • Puoi fare lavori di casa pesanti come spazzare i pavimenti o sollevare o muovere mobilio pesante(Met 6-7)? • Puoi partecipare a attività ricreative leggere come giocare a golf,a bocce,ballare,giocare a tennis in doppio,o lanciare la palla a baseball o calcio(MET 8-9)? • Puoi partecipare a sport pesanti come il nuoto,tennis in singolo,calcio,pallacanestro o sci?(Met 10).
  • 90. Reilly DF, McNeely MJ, Doerner D, et al. Self-Reported Exercise Tolerance and the Risk of Serious Perioperative Complications. Arch Intern Med. 1999; 159: 2185-2192. • Division of General Internal Medicine, University of Washington Medical Center, Seattle 98195-6330, USA. dreilly@u.washington.edu • To determine the relationship between self-reported exercise tolerance and serious perioperative complications. • 600 consecutive outpatients referred to a medical consultation clinic at a tertiary care medical center for preoperative evaluation before undergoing 612 major noncardiac procedures. • Patients were asked to estimate the number of blocks they could walk and flights of stairs they could climb without experiencing symptomatic limitation. Patients who could not walk 4 blocks and climb 2 flights of stairs were considered to have poor exercise tolerance. • All patients were evaluated for the development of 26 serious complications that occurred during hospitalization. • RESULTS: • Patients reporting poor exercise tolerance had more perioperative complications (20.4% vs 10.4%; P<.001). Specifically, they had more myocardial ischemia (P = .02) and more cardiovascular (P = .04) and neurologic (P = .03) events. Poor exercise tolerance predicted risk for serious complications independent of all other patient characteristics, including age (adjusted odds ratio, 1.94; 95% confidence interval, 1.19-3.17). The likelihood of a serious complication occurring was inversely related to the number blocks that could be walked (P = .006) or flights of stairs that could be climbed (P = .01). Other patient characteristics predicting serious complications in multivariable regression analysis included history of congestive heart failure, dementia, Parkinson disease, and smoking greater than or equal to 20 pack-years. • CONCLUSION: • Self-reported exercise tolerance can be used to predict in-hospital perioperative risk, even when using relatively simple and familiar measures. • Comment in
  • 91. 25 20 15 10 5 0 good exercise tolerance poor exercise tolerance Reilly DF, McNeelyMJ, Doerner D, et al. Self-Reported Exercise Tolerance and the Risk of Serious Perioperative Complications. Arch InternMed. 1999; 159: 2185-2192.
  • 92. Br J Anaesth. 2011 Oct 5. Validity of the 6 min walk test in prediction of the anaerobic threshold before major non-cardiac surgery. Sinclair RC, Batterham AM, Davies S, Cawthorn L, Danjoux GR. • Source • Department of Anaesthesia, The James Cook University Hospital, Middlesbrough, UK. • For perioperative risk stratification, a robust, practical test could be used where cardiopulmonary exercise testing (CPET) is unavailable. The aim of this study was to assess the utility of the 6 min walk test (6MWT) distance to discriminate between low and high anaerobic threshold (AT) in patients awaiting major non-cardiac surgery. • METHODS: • /st>In 110 participants, we obtained oxygen consumption at the AT from CPET and recorded the distance walked (in m) during a 6MWT. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was used to derive two different cut-points for 6MWT distance in predicting an AT of <11 ml O(2) kg(-1) min(-1); one using the highest sum of sensitivity and specificity (conventional method) and the other adopting a 2:1 weighting in favour of sensitivity. In addition, using a novel linear regression-based technique, we obtained lower and upper cut-points for 6MWT distance that are predictive of an AT that is likely to be (P≥0.75) <11 or >11 ml O(2) kg(-1) min(-1). • RESULTS: • /st>The ROC curve analysis revealed an area under the curve of 0.85 (95% confidence interval, 0.77-0.91). The optimum cut-points were <440 m (conventional method) and <502 m (sensitivity-weighted approach). The regression-based lower and upper 6MWT distance cut-points were <427 and >563 m, respectively. • CONCLUSIONS: • /st>Patients walking >563 m in the 6MWT do not routinely require CPET; those walking <427 m should be referred for further evaluation. In situations of 'clinical uncertainty' (≥427 but ≤563 m), the number of clinical risk factors and magnitude of surgery should be incorporated into the decision-making process. The 6MWT is a useful clinical tool to screen and risk stratify patients in departments where CPET is unavailable. • Test robusto pratico: se in 6 min cammina > 563 mt è ok
  • 93. When exercise capacity is unclear • cardiopulmonary exercise testing may be performed • Wilson et al. [7] – 847 patients,infra-abdominal surgery. – An anaerobic threshold of less than 11 ml/kg/min was associated with a relative risk (RR) of 6.8 [95%confidence interval (CI) 1.6–29.5] of in-hospital mortality.
  • 94. • Low exercise tolerance is associated with poor perioperative outcome. • Older P, Smith R, Courtney P, Hone R. Pre-operative evaluation of cardiac failure and ischemia in elderly patients by cardiopulmonary exercise testing. Chest 1993; 104: 701–4 • Older P, Hall A, Hader R. Cardiopulmonary exercise testing as a screening test for peri-operative management of major surgery in the elderly. Chest 1999; 116: 355–62 • Win T, Jackson A, Sharples L, et al. Cardiopulmonary exercise tests and lung cancer surgical outcome. Chest 2005; 127:1159–65 • Murray P, Whiting P, Hutchinson SP, Ackroyd R, Stoddard CJ,Billings C. Pre-operative shuttle walking testing and outcome after oesophagogastrectomy. Br J Anaesth 2007;99: 809–11 • Carlisle J, Swart M. Mid-term survival after abdominal aortic aneurysm surgery predicted by cardiopulmonary exercise testing. Br J Surg 2007; 94: 966–9 • Crawford RS, Cambria RP, Abularrage CJ, et al. Pre-operative functional status predicts peri-operative outcomes after infrainguinal bypass surgery. J Vasc Surg 2010; 51: 351–9
  • 95. Cardiac tests •Incremental shuttle walk test( ISWT) I •Cardiopulmonary exercise testing
  • 96. Integrated assessment of cardiopulmonary function • Cardiopulmonary exercise testing (CPET) • global assessment of the integrated response to exercise involving the pulmonary, cardiovascular, and skeletal muscle systems. • CPET is a programmed exercise test on either a cycle ergometer or a treadmill during which inspired and expired gases are measured through a facemask or a mouthpiece. • This test provides information on oxygen uptake and utilization. • The most commonly used data from this test are : • O2 consumption at peak exercise (VO2peak) and at anaerobic threshold (VO2AT),defined as the point when metabolic demands exceed oxygen delivery, and anaerobic metabolism begins to occur.
  • 97.
  • 98.
  • 99. CPET as a risk predictor: • low risk: VO2peak >15 mL/kg/min and VO2AT >11mL/kg/min. (= 4/5 METs ) • pulmonary lobectomy or pneumonectomy:VO2peak <20mL/kg/min was a predictor of pulmonary complications, cardiac complications, and mortality; VO2peak <12 mL/kg/min was associated with a 13-fold higher rate of mortality – . Brunelli A, Belardinelli R, Refai M, Salati M, Socci L, Pompili C, Sabbatini A. Peak oxygen consumption during cardiopulmonary exercise test improves risk stratification in candidates to major lung resection. Chest 2009; 135:1260–1267. • 187 elderly ,major abdominal surgery;overall mortality 5.9%. • Patients who had a VO2AT <11mL/kg/min mortality 18% ;VO2AT >11mL/kg/min mortality 0.8% (risk ratio 24,95% CI 3.1–183). • Older P, Smith R, Courtney P, Hone R. Preoperative evaluation of cardiac failure and ischemia in elderly patients by cardiopulmonary exercise testing. Chest 1993; 104:701–704. • signs of myocardial ischaemia during testing: mortality 42% for patients whose VO2AT <11 mL/kg/min and only 4% for those whose VO2AT was >11 mL/kg/min(
  • 100. prognostic information in heart failure patients • Normal: HR increases fairly linearly with VO2 until max HR reached; O2 pulse increases linearly until a plateau occurs • Heart disease: HR vs. VO2 curve shifts leftward and up; O2 pulse reaches an early plateau – SV limitation requires higher HR for any level of work
  • 101. Anaerobic Threshold • Estimation of the onset of metabolic acidosis • Occurs at approximately 40-50% VO2max in normal individuals – low (early) AT suggests problems in O2 delivery, muscle oxidative capacity, or both • More important is whether it occurs, rather than at what %VO2max – indicates test is at least close to maximal exercise – not under voluntary control, not affected by psychological factors
  • 102. Anaerobic Threshold • Direct measurement requires measuring lactate levels in blood – requires frequent blood sampling; impractical • Noninvasive assessment using gas exchange parameters – buffering of lactate by bicarbonate produces disproportionate increase in VCO2 – “V-slope method”
  • 104. Ventilatory Response to Exercise • Normal resting VE: 5-10 L/min – higher suggests anxiety, low suggests either equipment problems or is of no significance • Normally, there is adequate ventilatory reserve during exercise – MVV = predicted maximum VE – peak VE close to or above predicted max VE indicates a ventilatory limitation – early in exercise, increase in VE due to increase in VT; later mainly from increase in RR
  • 105. Ventilatory Response to Exercise • Normal subjects reach only about 75% MVV with predicted VO2max • Lung disease: curve shifts up and left, and MVV is reduced
  • 106. QUINDI FIN QUI ABBIAMO VISTO:
  • 107. Fattori che determinano il rischio cardiaco periop • Marcatori clinici • Intervento chirurgico • Capacità funzionale
  • 108. Condizioni associate ad alto rischio per complicanze cardiovascolari perioperatorie • Presenza dei fattori predittivi di aumentato rischio cardiovascolare periop • Scarsa capacità funzionale(<4 MET) • Chirurgia ad alto rischio (rischio cardiovascolare periop > 5%)
  • 109. Allora ,se rimuoviamo i pazienti con il rischio + alto……….. • ‘major clinical predictors’ or ‘active cardiac conditions’.( AHA/ACC And ESC algorithms ) which have the highest specificity for an adverse cardiac outcome, effectively reduces both the disease prevalence and the risk of a cardiac event in the remaining population. • It is from this population, with a reduced pre-test probability, that we now need to effectively discriminate patients at increased cardiovascular risk.
  • 110. Cardiac evaluation and care algorithm for patients undergoing noncardiac surgery, based on active cardiac conditions, known cardiovascular disease, and cardiac risk factors in patients aged 50 years or older. Freeman W K , Gibbons R J Mayo Clin Proc. 2009;84:79-90
  • 111.
  • 112. Recommendations • (1) If active cardiac disease is suspected in a patient scheduled for surgery, the patient should be referred to a cardiologist for assessment and possible treatment (grade of recommendation: D). • (2) In patients currently taking b-blocking or statin therapy, this treatment should be continued perioperatively (grade of recommendation: A).
  • 114. Preoperative cardiac risk assessment:Clinical indices • generic indices • Lee • Goldman • Larsen • Gilbert • estimate a patient’s risk through determination of how many predictors of risk (e.g., history of angina, diabetes, emergent surgery) the patient has. • Bayesian risk indices • Kumar • Detsky • modify the hospital’s average cardiac event rate for a specific surgery (pretest probability) through use of a patient’s individual index score (likelihood ratio), which is based on how many predictors of risk (e.g., history of angina, diabetes) the patient has; this results in an estimate of the patient’s risk of a perioperative cardiac event (posttest probability).
  • 115. Decision tools • American College of Physicians (ACP) and American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association (ACC/AHA), – algorithmic approaches that make direct recommendations about whether to pursue cardiac testing. – These tools are designed to be widely applicable to potential candidates for noncardiac surgery. • risk score or index – which the user must interpret and translate into perioperative recommendations. – The physician must also assure that the index is appropriate to the patient being evaluated by considering the original study’s patient selection criteria, the setting in which the rule was validated (eg, referral center), and which outcomes the rule predicts.
  • 116. Critical Elements for Risk Stratification in Patients Undergoing Noncardiac Surgery • Risk-assessment tool must be accurate • Predicts perioperative events (positive likelihood ratio 10) • Predicts absence of perioperative events (negative likelihood ratio 0.2) • Risk-assessment tool must influence outcome • Identifies subgroups in which surgery should be cancelled or treatment changed • Identifies subgroups that do or do not benefit from proven therapy to reduce risk • Risk-assessment tool must have a favorable harms–benefit tradeoff
  • 117. Risk factor Definition (Goldman) points Definition (Detsky) point s CAD MI within 6 months 10 MI within 6 months 10 MI > 6 months ago 5 class III angina 10 class IV angina 20 unstable angina within 6 months 10 CHF S3 gallop or JVD 11 pulmonary edema within 1 week Ever 10 5 Rhythm rhythm other than sinus or PACs on last ECG prior to surgery 7 rhythm other than sinus or sinus + PACs on last ECG 5 > 5 PVCs/minute at any time before surgery 7 > 5 PVCs/minute at any time 5 Valvular disease important aortic stenosis 3 suspected critical aortic stenosis 20 General medical status pO2 < 60 or PCO2 >50 or K+ < 3.0 or HCO3 < 20 or BUN > 50 or Cr > 3.0 or signs of chronic liver disease or bedridden from noncardiac causes 3 same as Goldman 5 Age > 70 5 70 5 Surgery type intraperitoneal, intrathoracic or aortic 3 emergency surgery 10
  • 118. Goldman index Detsky index • Class I < 15, • Class II = 20-30 • Class III > 30 points • Class I < 5, • Class II = 6-12 • Class III = 13-25 • Class IV >25 points. Cardiac risk estimate Goldman DEtsky low low <30 <15 Cardiac risk estimate high >25 >30
  • 119. Goldman index Class Point Prob. of life-threatening complications I 0-5 0.7 II 6-12 5 III 13-25 11 IV >25 22
  • 120. Revised cardiac risk index(RCRI) Lee TH, Marcantonio ER, Mangione CM, Thomas EJ, Polanczyk CA, Cook EF, Sugarbaker DJ, Donaldson MC, Poss R, Ho KK, Ludwig LE, Pedan A, Goldman L: Derivation and Prospective Validation of a Simple Index for Prediction of Cardiac Risk of Major Noncardiac Surgery. Circulation 1999; 100: 1043-1049 • High risk surgery • intraperitoneal, intrathoracic or suprainguinal vascular procedures • Ischemic heart disease (MI,+stress test results,current complaint of chest pain or nitrate use,ECG with pathological Q waves) • H/O CHF (pulm edema,parox,noct.dyspnea,S3 gallop or pulm.rales on physical examination,RX with pulmonary vascular resistance ) • H/O Cerebrovascular disease: (Stroke ,TIA) • Insulin therapy for DM • Preop Cr>2.0mg/dl 1 point each
  • 121.
  • 122. Preoperative cardiac risk stratification: Revised Cardiac Risk Index:estimated risk of a major cardiac event according to the Lee index predictors Class Number of predictors Major cardiac events, % * All cardiac events, % ** I 0 0.4 (0.1-0.8) 0.5 (0.05-1.5) II 1 1.0 (0.5-1.4) 0.9 (0.3-2.1) III 2 2.4 (1.3-3.5) 6.6 (3.9-10.3) IV ≥3 5.4 (2.8-7.9) 11.0 (5.8-18.4) •*Major cardiac events = cardiac arrest, MI (fatal or non-fatal) •**All cardiac events = cardiac arrest, MI (fatal or non-fatal), pulmonary edema, or complete heart block. Lee TH. Circulation. 1999;100:1043-9. Bertges, Vasc surg. 2.6 6.7, 11.6, 18.4 Cardiovasc ular Death 0.3 0.7 1.7 3.6
  • 123. Performance (and limitations) of RCRI • moderately well in distinguishing patients at low compared to high risk for all types of non-cardiac surgery • less accurate in patients undergoing only vascular non-cardiac surgery. • RCRI did not predict all-cause mortality well, but this is expected, as it does not capture risk factors for noncardiac causes of perioperative mortality. • Only one third of perioperative deaths are due to cardiac causes. • The original RCRI risk prediction model did not take mortality into account • Emergency surgery not included
  • 124. Risk factors and severity of disease • RCRI : dichotomous risk factors vs a continuum of severity • as the severity of a risk factor increases, there is a proportional ‘semi-logarithmic’ increase in patient risk:Risk factor thresholds: their existence underscrutiny. Br Med J 2002; 324: 1570–6 • Seattle Heart Failure Model:Levy WC, Mozaffarian D, Linker DT, et al. The Seattle heart failure • model: prediction of survival in heart failure. Circulation 2006;113: 1424–33 • A 50-yr-old female with heart failure of ischaemic aetiology,NYHA grade 2, and an ejection fraction of 55% has an expected 1 yr mortality of 12% and a mean life expectancy of 6.2 yr. • A 75-yr-old male with heart failure of ischaemic aetiology, NYHA grade 3, and an ejection fraction of 30% has an expected 1 yr mortality of 21% and a mean life expectancy of 3.9 yr. • Despite this difference in risk, the RCRI would allocate an equal risk score to both these patients. • Thus, the risk associated with the diagnosis of heart failure in the individual patient has been replaced 0by a generic risk factor describing the risk associated with the diagnosis of heart failure in a population.
  • 125. New York Heart Association functional classification of heart disease NYHA Class 1 No limitations Ordinary activity does not cause symptoms Class 2 Slight limitations Comfortable at rest, ordinary activity causes symptoms Class 3 Marked limitations Comfortable at rest, less than ordi nary activity causes symptoms Class 4 Inability to carry on any physical activity Symptoms at rest
  • 126.
  • 127. A more subtle classification of surgery and age allowed a better predictive value: Boersma E, Kertai MD, Schouten O, Bax JJ, Noordzij P, Steyerberg EW,Schinkel AF, van Santen M, Simoons ML, Thomson IR, Klein J, van Urk H,Poldermans D. Perioperative cardiovascular mortality in noncardiac surgery: validation of the Lee cardiac risk index. Am J Med 2005; 118:1134–1141
  • 128. Case 1 A 72 year old male is admitted to the hospital with a left hip fracture. A preoperative medical evaluation is requested by the orthopedic surgeon. The injury was suffered after he tripped on a rug in his home. He is fairly active and walks approximately one mile daily with rare angina and can climb 2 flights of stairs in his home without difficulty. His past medical history is notable for CAD with prior MI and subsequent CABG x3; hypertension; prior TIA; and recently diagnosed type 2 diabetes mellitus. Current medications: aspirin 325 mg qd, simvastatin 20 mg qd, glyburide 5 mg bid, atenolol 25 mg qd, and lisinopril 10 mg qd. Vital signs on admission are pulse 84 and blood pressure 162/90. Cardiopulmonary examination is unremarkable. ECG is notable for pathologic q waves in leads 1 and avL.
  • 129. Case 1 1) What is the estimated cardiac risk? “His past medical history is notable for CAD with prior MI and subsequent CABG x3; hypertension; prior TIA; and recently diagnosed type 2 diabetes mellitus.” – RCRI score = 2 – ~5-10% risk of perioperative cardiac complications
  • 130. RCRI within specialties • Ackland et al.demonstrated that, in patients undergoing major orthopedic surgery, a RCRI at least 3 is associated with a 1.7-fold increase in noncardiac complications (infectious, respiratory, and neurological) and prolonged hospital stay. • Bertges et al. ( Vascular Study Group-Cardiac Risk Index (VSG-CRI), which adds age,smoking, COPD, and beta-blocker use, and predicts a risk of cardiac complications ranging from 2.6 to 14.3%.) reported that the RCRI underestimates the risk of cardiac complications in their cohort of vascular surgery patients. – Observed event rates were 2.6,6.7, 11.6, and 18.4% in patients with 0, 1, 2, and at least 3 risk factors. This model might be more appropriate than the RCRI for risk stratification of vascular surgery patients.
  • 131. Arch Intern Med. 2006 Apr 24;166(8):914-20.Predicting medical and surgical complications of carotid endarterectomy: comparing the risk indexes.Press MJ, Chassin MR, Wang J, Tuhrim S, Halm EA. • Department of Health Policy, Mount Sinai School of Medicine, New York, NY 10029, USA. • A multicenter retrospective observational cohort study of 1998 patients undergoing carotid endarterectomy (CEA). • Complications within 30 days of surgery : death or nonfatal stroke and cardiac, noncardiac medical, minor neurologic, and wound complications. • Logistic regression and receiver operating characteristic curve analyses assessed the predictive abilities of the Goldman, Detsky, Revised Cardiac Risk, and American Society of Anesthesiologists indexes and of 2 CEA-specific risk models (the Halm and Tu scores). • RESULTS: • Death or stroke occurred in 3.2% of patients, cardiac complications in 4.0%, noncardiac medical complications in 3.2%, minor neurologic complications in 6.9%, and wound complications in 6.0%. • All risk models (except the Tu score) significantly predicted cardiac complications equally well (P<.05). All 6 risk models were equivalent in predicting noncardiac medical complications. Only the Revised Cardiac Risk Index and the 2 CEA-specific risk models (Halm and Tu scores) predicted death or stroke and minor neurologic and wound complications. The Halm score was superior in predicting death or stroke compared with the Tu score and the Revised Cardiac Risk Index (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, 0.72 vs 0.62 and 0.61, respectively; P<.05). Patients with cardiac, noncardiac medical, minor neurologic, or wound complications had 3- to 16-fold increased odds of death or stroke. • CONCLUSION: • The Halm score CEA-specific risk model and the generic Revised Cardiac Risk Index predicted a broad range of medical, neurologic, and surgical complications following CEA • Tu JV, Wang H, Bowyer B, Green L, Fang J, Kucey D. Risk factors for death or • stroke after carotid endarterectomy: observations from the Ontario Carotid Endarterectomy • Registry. Stroke. 2003;34:2568-2573. • Halm EA, Hannan EL, Rojas M, et al. Clinical and operative predictors of outcomes • of carotid endarterectomy. J Vasc Surg. 2005;42:420-428
  • 132. Arch Intern Med. 2006 Apr 24;166(8):914-20. Predicting medical and surgical complications of carotid endarterectomy: comparing the risk indexes. Press MJ, Chassin MR, Wang J, Tuhrim S, Halm EA.
  • 133.
  • 134. Arch Intern Med. 2006 Apr 24;166(8):914-20. Predicting medical and surgical complications of carotid endarterectomy: comparing the risk indexes. Press MJ, Chassin MR, Wang J, Tuhrim S, Halm EA
  • 135. Gilbert K, Larocque BJ, Patrick LT. Prospective evaluation of cardiac risk indices for patients undergoing noncardiac surgery. Ann Intern Med 2000;133:356-9 Existing indices for prediction of cardiac complications perform better than chance, but no index is significantly superior.
  • 136. . Grading of Angina of by the Canadian CardiovascularSociety • I. "Ordinary physical activity does not cause ... angina," such as walking and climbing stairs. Angina with strenuous or rapid or prolonged exertion at work or recreation. • II. "Slight limitation of ordinary activity." Walking or climbing stairs rapidly, walking uphill, walking or stair climbing after meals, or in cold, or in wind, or under emotional stress, or only during the few hours after awakening. Walking more than 2 blocks on the level and climbing more than one flight of ordinary stairs at a normal pace and in normal conditions. • III. "Marked limitation of ordinary physical activity." Walking one to two blocks on the level and clim-bing one flight of stairs in normal conditions and at normal pace. • IV. "Inability to carry on any physical activity without discomfort.- anginal syndrome may be present at rest."
  • 137. Ann Intern Med. 2010 Jan 5;152(1):26-35. Systematic review: prediction of perioperative cardiac complications and mortality by the revised cardiac risk index.Ford MK, Beattie WS, Wijeysundera DN. • Source • Toronto General Hospital and University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada. • Abstract • BACKGROUND: • The Revised Cardiac Risk Index (RCRI) is widely used to predict perioperative cardiac complications. • PURPOSE: • To evaluate the ability of the RCRI to predict cardiac complications and death after noncardiac surgery. • DATA SOURCES: • MEDLINE, EMBASE, and ISI Web of Science (1966 to 31 December 2008). • STUDY SELECTION: • Cohort studies that reported the association of the RCRI with major cardiac complications (cardiac death, myocardial infarction, and nonfatal cardiac arrest) or death in the hospital or within 30 days of surgery. • DATA EXTRACTION: • Two reviewers independently extracted study characteristics, documented outcome data, and evaluated study quality. • DATA SYNTHESIS: • Of 24 studies (792 740 patients), 18 reported cardiac complications; 6 of the 18 studies were prospective and had uniform outcome surveillance and blinded outcome adjudication. The RCRI discriminated moderately well between patients at low versus high risk for cardiac events after mixed noncardiac surgery (area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve [AUC], 0.75 [95% CI, 0.72 to 0.79]); sensitivity, 0.65 [CI, 0.46 to 0.81]; specificity, 0.76 [CI, 0.58 to 0.88]; positive likelihood ratio, 2.78 [CI, 1.74 to 4.45]; negative likelihood ratio, 0.45 [CI, 0.31 to 0.67]). Prediction of cardiac events after vascular noncardiac surgery was less accurate (AUC, 0.64 [CI, 0.61 to 0.66]; sensitivity, 0.70 [CI, 0.53 to 0.82]; specificity, 0.55 [CI, 0.45 to 0.66]; positive likelihood ratio, 1.56 [CI, 1.42 to 1.73]; negative likelihood ratio, 0.55 [CI, 0.40 to 0.76]). Six studies reported death, with a median AUC of 0.62 (range, 0.54 to 0.78). A pooled AUC for predicting death could not be calculated because of very high heterogeneity (I(2) = 95%). • LIMITATION: • Studies generally were of low methodological quality, had varied definitions of cardiac events, and were statistically and clinically heterogeneous. • CONCLUSION: • The RCRI discriminated moderately well between patients at low versus high risk for cardiac events after mixed noncardiac surgery. It did not perform well at predicting cardiac events after vascular noncardiac surgery or at predicting death. High-quality research is needed in this area of perioperative medicine.
  • 138. Computation of the cardiac risk from: Kumar R, McKinney WP, Raj G, Heudebert GR, Heller HJ, Koetting M, et al. Adverse cardiac events after surgery: assessing risk in a veteran population. J Gen Intern Med 2001;16:507-18 Preop risk variable points Odds ratio(OR) MI < 6 mo 25 4.9 Emerg surgery 15 2.6 MI > 6 mo 10 2.2 Praevious CHF(but > 1 10 1.9 week) Rythm non sinus 10 1.7
  • 139. 1)Select a point indicating the selected complication rate on the the pretest side of the nomogram 2)Connect this point to a point on the center column that reflect the index score and associated likelihood ratio 3)Extend this line to intersect the left post test side of the nomogram The point of tintersection gives the post test probability,i.e. the risk of perioperative cardiac complications Kumar R, McKinney WP, Raj G, Heudebert GR, Heller HJ, Koetting M, et al. Adverse cardiac events after surgery: assessing risk in a veteran population. J Gen Intern Med 2001;16:507-18 VA nomogram
  • 141. Burris JM, Subramanian A, Sansgiry S, et al. Perioperative atrial arrhythmias in noncardiothoracic patients: a review of risk factors and treatment strategies in the veteran population. Am J Surg 2010; 200:601–605. • Department of General Surgery, Michael E. DeBakey Veterans Affairs Medical Center, Houston, TX, USA. • Perioperative atrial arrhythmias (PAAs) in noncardiothoracic patients • The surgical intensive care unit database was queried for patients who developed PAAs from 2008 to 2009 • 561 patients were admitted to the surgical intensive care unit. • 354 (63%) had noncardiothoracic surgery, and 30 (8.5%) developed PAAs. • The mean age of patients with PAAs was 66 ± 7.3 years, compared with 64 ± 11 years for controls (P = NS), with most patients undergoing general (60%) and vascular (33%) surgery. PAA patients were more likely to have coronary artery disease (P = .029), cardiomegaly (P = .011), and premature atrial contractions (P = .016) and to take aspirin (P = .010). On multivariate logistic regression, predictors of atrial arrhythmias were premature atrial contractions, preoperative hypokalemia, intraoperative adverse events, and cardiomegaly. Most PAA patients received amiodarone (63%). Ten percent required electrical cardioversion, and 26% received anticoagulation. PAA patients had significantly longer intensive care unit lengths of stay (P = .032). • CONCLUSION: • Coronary artery disease, cardiomegaly, hypokalemia, and premature atrial contractions were significantly associated with PAAs in noncardiothoracic patients. Prospective studies are needed to define treatment guidelines
  • 142. Burris JM, Subramanian A, Sansgiry S, et al. Perioperative atrial arrhythmias in noncardiothoracic patients: a review of risk factors and treatment strategies in the veteran population. Am J Surg 2010; 200:601–605. • predictors of atrial arrhythmias: – Coronary artery disease – premature atrial contractions – preoperative hypokalemia – intraoperative adverse events – cardiomegaly.
  • 143. J Vasc Surg. 2010 Sep;52(3):674-83, 683.e1-683.e3. Epub 2010 Jun 8. The Vascular Study Group of New England Cardiac Risk Index (VSG-CRI) predicts cardiac complications more accurately than the Revised Cardiac Risk Index in vascular surgery patients. Bertges DJ, Goodney PP, Zhao Y, Schanzer A, Nolan BW, Likosky DS, Eldrup-Jorgensen J, Cronenwett JL; Vascular Study Group of New England. • Source • Divisions of Vascular Surgery of University of Vermont College of Medicine, Burlington, Vt 05401, USA. daniel.bertges@vtmednet.org • Abstract • OBJECTIVE: • The Revised Cardiac Risk Index (RCRI) is a widely used model for predicting cardiac events after noncardiac surgery. We compared the accuracy of the RCRI with a new, vascular surgery-specific model developed from patients within the Vascular Study Group of New England (VSGNE). • METHODS: • We studied 10,081 patients who underwent nonemergent carotid endarterectomy (CEA; n = 5293), lower extremity bypass (LEB; n = 2673), endovascular abdominal aortic aneurysm repair (EVAR; n = 1005), and open infrarenal abdominal aortic aneurysm repair (OAAA; n = 1,110) within the VSGNE from 2003 to 2008. First, we analyzed the ability of the RCRI to predict in-hospital major adverse cardiac events, including myocardial infarction (MI), arrhythmia, or congestive heart failure (CHF) in the VSGNE cohort. Second, we used a derivation cohort of 8208 to develop a new cardiac risk prediction model specifically for vascular surgery patients. Chi-square analysis identified univariate predictors, and multivariate logistic regression was used to develop an aggregate and four procedure-specific risk prediction models for cardiac complications. Calibration and model discrimination were assessed using Pearson correlation coefficient and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. The ability of the model to predict cardiac complications was assessed within a validation cohort of 1873. Significant predictors were converted to an integer score to create a practical cardiac risk prediction formula. • RESULTS: • The overall incidence of major cardiac events in the VSGNE cohort was 6.3% (2.5% MI, 3.9% arrhythmia, 1.8% CHF). The RCRI predicted risk after CEA reasonably well but substantially underestimated risk after LEB, EVAR, and OAAA for low- and higher-risk patients. Across all VSGNE patients, the RCRI underestimated cardiac complications by 1.7- to 7.4-fold based on actual event rates of 2.6%, 6.7%, 11.6%, and 18.4% for patients with 0, 1, 2, and >or=3 risk factors. In multivariate analysis of the VSGNE cohort, independent predictors of adverse cardiac events were (odds ratio [OR]) increasing age (1.7-2.8), smoking (1.3), insulin-dependent diabetes (1.4), coronary artery disease (1.4), CHF (1.9), abnormal cardiac stress test (1.2), long-term beta-blocker therapy (1.4), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (1.6), and creatinine >or=1.8 mg/dL (1.7). Prior cardiac revascularization was protective (OR, 0.8). Our aggregate model was well calibrated (r = 0.99, P < .001), demonstrating moderate discriminative ability (ROC curve = 0.71), which differed only slightly from the procedure-specific models (ROC curves: CEA, 0.74; LEB, 0.72; EVAR, 0.74; OAAA, 0.68). Rates of cardiac complications for patients with 0 to 3, 4, 5, and >or=6 VSG risk factors were 3.1%, 5.0%, 6.8%, and 11.6% in the derivation cohort and 3.8%, 5.2%, 8.1%, and 10.1% in the validation cohort. The VSGNE cardiac risk model more accurately predicted the actual risk of cardiac complications across the four procedures for low- and higher-risk patients than the RCRI. When the VSG Cardiac Risk Index (VSG-CRI) was used to score patients, six categories of risk ranging from 2.6% to 14.3% (score of 0-3 to 8) were discernible. • CONCLUSIONS: • The RCRI substantially underestimates in-hospital cardiac events in patients undergoing elective or urgent vascular surgery, especially after LEB, EVAR, and OAAA. The VSG-CRI more accurately predicts in-hospital cardiac events after vascular surgery and represents an important tool for clinical decision making
  • 144. The Vascular Study Group of New England Cardiac Risk Index (VSG-CRI estimate of RISK in vascular surgery patients Risk factors Lee RCIR VSG CRI VSG risk factors 0 2.6 3.1%, 0 to 3 1 6.7%, 5.0% 4- 5 2 11.6% 6.8% 6 3 or + 18.4 11.6-14,3 >6
  • 145. VSGNE The Vascular Study Group of New England Cardiac Risk Index (VSG-CRI • independent predictors of adverse cardiac events for vascular surgery were : • increasing age (1.7-2.8), • smoking (1.3), • insulin-dependent diabetes (1.4), • coronary artery disease (1.4), • CHF (1.9), • abnormal cardiac stress test (1.2), • long-term beta-blocker therapy (1.4) • chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (1.6) • creatinine >or=1.8 mg/dL (1.7). – Prior cardiac revascularization was protective (OR, 0.8)
  • 146. Head Neck. 2010 Nov;32(11):1485-93. Incidence and prediction of major cardiovascular complications in head and neck surgery. Datema FR, Poldermans D, Baatenburg de Jong RJ • . • Source • Department of Otorhinolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery, Erasmus Medical Center, Rotterdam, The Netherlands. f.datema@erasmusmc.nl • Abstract • BACKGROUND: • Patients with head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) usually have a history of tobacco and alcohol abuse. These 2 intoxications not only are main oncologic risk factors but also show a strong causal relationship with certain comorbid conditions. Examples are coronary artery disease, stroke, renal dysfunction, and heart failure, which are all proven major risk factors for an adverse postoperative outcome after stressful noncardiac surgery. Preoperative identification of these conditions could lead to preventive measures in patients with HNSCC that undergo extensive surgery. Preventing morbidity and mortality is of medical and economical importance. • METHODS: • All comorbidity of 135 consecutive patients with HNSCC that underwent extensive oncologic and reconstructive surgery as the first form of treatment between 2001 and 2007 was investigated. Based on these data, a Lee Cardiac Risk Index (LCRI) Score and an overall Adult Comorbidity Evaluation (ACE-27) severity score were calculated. The predictive value of these scores and the American Society of Anesthesiologists' (ASA) classification toward major cardiovascular complication development were investigated. Major cardiovascular complications were defined as: cardiac death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, heart failure, and cardiac arrhythmias. The impact of these complications on duration of hospitalization, medical costs, and short-term mortality (defined as death within 6 months after primary tumor diagnosis) were investigated as well. The cardioprotective effect of preoperatively prescribed beta blockers and statins are discussed. • RESULTS: • Twenty-two patients developed 23 major cardiovascular complications (16.3%). In univariate and multivariate analyses, a higher LCRI score was associated with an increased risk for major cardiovascular complications, as was an age >70 years (all values of p < .01). The area under the receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve (AUC) for the multivariate model was 0.84, indicating a good prognostic value. In univariate and multivariate analysis, a higher ACE-27 score was associated with an increased risk for major cardiovascular complications, as was as age >70 years (all values of p < .01). The AUC for this model was 0.84, indicating a performance similar to that of the LCRI score model. No statistically significant results were found for the ASA scores (p = .38). Preoperative beta-blocker use showed a significant cardioprotective function in univariate analysis, whereas statins did not. The mean duration of hospitalization was prolonged by 7 days in patients with a major cardiovascular complication. In economic terms, this means a cost increase of at least 3500 euros. None of the patients died during admission because of a major cardiovascular complication. The short-term mortality rate was 11.1%, but no specific cardiovascular cause of death was reported in these patients. • CONCLUSIONS: • Prevention of major complication occurrence after extensive HNSCC surgery is of medical and economic importance. Our results show that the ACE-27 and the LCRI are suitable instruments for preoperative major cardiovascular complication risk assessment. Addition of the variable age >70 years shows an improvement in predictive value of both instruments. Because of its simplicity we advise the implementation of the LCRI into preoperative HNSCC screening protocols. We advise the exploration of low-dose long-acting beta blockers as a preventive treatment strategy
  • 147. Indian J Anaesth. 2010 May;54(3):219-25. Comparative evaluation of ASA classification and ACE-27 index as morbidity scoring systems in oncosurgeries. Thomas M, George NA, Gowri BP, George PS, Sebastian P • . • Source • Department of Anaesthesiology, Regional Cancer Centre, Thiruvananthapuram, Kerala, India. • Abstract • The primary intention of the study was to find out whether Adult Comorbidity Evaluation Index (ACE-27) was better than the American Society of Anaesthesiologists' (ASA) risk classification system in predicting postoperative morbidity in head and neck oncosurgery. Another goal was to identify other risk factors for complications which are not included in these indexes. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed on 250 patients to determine the impact of seven variables on morbidity-ACE-27 grade, ASA class, age, sex, duration of anaesthesia, chemotherapy and radiotherapy. In univariate analysis ACE-27 index, ASA score, duration of anaesthesia, radiotherapy and chemotherapy were significant. As both comorbidity scales were significant in univariate analysis they were analyzed together and separately in multivariate analysis to illustrate their individual strength. In the first multivariate analysis (excluding ACE-27 grade) ASA class, duration of anaesthesia, radiotherapy and chemotherapy were significant. The positive predictive value (PPV) of this model to predict morbidity was 60.86% and negative predictive value (NPV) was 77.9%. The sensitivity was 75% and specificity 62.2%. In the second multivariate analysis (excluding ASA class) ACE-27 grade, duration of anaesthesia and radiotherapy were significant. The PPV of this model to predict morbidity was 62.1% and NPV was 76.5%. The sensitivity was 61.6% and specificity 70.9%. In the third multivariate analysis which included both ACE-27 grade and ASA class only ASA class, duration of anaesthesia, radiotherapy and chemotherapy remained significant. In conclusion, ACE- 27 grade and ASA class were reliable predictors of major complications but ASA class had more impact on complications than ACE-27 grade
  • 148. Comorbidity calculator • on http://oto.wustl.edu/clinepi/calc.html (Clinical Outcomes Research Office’s Website).
  • 149. National Surgical Quality Improvement Program(NSQIP) Circulation. 2011 Jul 26;124(4):381-7.. Development and validation of a risk calculator for prediction of cardiac risk after surgery. Gupta PK, Gupta H, Sundaram A, Kaushik M, Fang X, Miller WJ, Esterbrooks DJ, Hunter CB, Pipinos II, Johanning JM, Lynch TG, Forse RA, Mohiuddin SM, Mooss AN. , • Patients who underwent surgery were identified from the American College of Surgeons' 2007 National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database, a multicenter (>250 hospitals) prospective database (211410 patients) • The cardiac risk calculator provides a risk estimate of perioperative myocardial infarction or cardiac arrest and is anticipated to simplify the informed consent process. • Its predictive performance surpasses that of the Revised Cardiac Risk Index
  • 150. Preoperative variables significantly associated with an increased risk for MI/CA Circulation. 2011 Jul 26;124(4):381-7. Epub 2011 Jul 5. Development and validation of a risk calculator for prediction of cardiac risk after surgery. Gupta PK, Gupta H, Sundaram A, Kaushik M, Fang X, Miller WJ, Esterbrooks DJ, Hunter CB, Pipinos II, Johanning JM, Lynch TG, Forse RA, Mohiuddin SM, Mooss AN. ASA class, dependent functional status, increasing age, abnormal creatinine (1.5 mg/dL) type of surgery organ-based classification of is the most appropriate approach for MICA risk assessment, providing a more precise estimate of risk.
  • 151. • available online at http://www.surgicalriskcalcul ator.com/miorcardiacarrest • free download. • When the required input is entered into this calculator for a given patient, it returns a model-based percent estimate of MICA • In the risk calculator, values are entered as 0 and 1 for absence or presence, respectively, of the significant predictive factors or as the actual value for continuous variables
  • 152. • Perioperative Cardiac Risk Calculator • Full methodology in the paper- Circulation. 2011 Jul 26;124(4):381-7. Epub 2011 Jul 5. • • For accompanying editorial, click here • • For excel 2007 or above users, you can download the cardiac risk calculator here. • For excel 2003 users, you can download the risk calculator here • • Iphone version available through the app - 'Calculate' by QxMD
  • 153. Dove lo trovate……. • Perioperative Cardiac Risk Calculator - Surgical Risk Calculator • www.surgicalriskcalculator.com/miorcardiacarr... - Traduci questa pagina • Hai fatto +1 pubblicamente su questo elemento. Annulla • Full methodology in the paper-. Circulation. 2011 Jul 26;124(4):381-7. Epub 2011 Jul 5. For accompanying editorial, click here. For excel 2007 or above users , ... • Development and Validation of a Risk Calculator for Prediction of ... • circ.ahajournals.org/content/124/4/381.full.pdf - Traduci questa pagina • Hai fatto +1 pubblicamente su questo elemento. Annulla • di PK Gupta - 2011 - Citato da 2 26 Jul 2011 – http://www.surgicalriskcalculator.com/miorcardiacarrest for free download. When the required input is entered into this calculator for a given ...
  • 154. 15
  • 155. • Ricerca Google per “surgery risk calculator”
  • 156. www.vasgbi.com/riskdets ky.htmCopia cache - Simili - Traduci questa pagina Detsky and Goldman calculators.
  • 157.
  • 158.
  • 159.
  • 160.
  • 161. Calculations of risk scores Possum e derivati,EPASS,VBHOM,surgical apgar,Saps,Apache,Sofa….
  • 162. Risk prediction on line • Risk prediction in surgery [http://www.riskprediction.org.uk/p pindex.php]. • SFAR
  • 163. Surgical Risk scores • ACPGBI CRC Model - Association of Coloproctology of GB & I Colorectal Cancer Model for mortality in colorectal cancer • ACPGBI MBO Model - Association of Coloproctology of GB & I model for mortality prediction in malignant bowel obstruction • ACPGBI Lymph Node Harvesting Model - Association of Coloproctology of GB & I model for determining the number of nodes that should be found in each resection • St Mark's Lymph Node Positivity Model - calculates the probability of lymph node metastases in patients undergoing local resection of rectal cancers and for patients whose nodal harvest was not sufficient to adequately stage the rectal cancer. • CCF CLC Model - The Cleveland Clinic Colorectal Laparoscopic Conversion Model for prediction of conversion of lapararoscopic to open surgery in patients undergoing colonic or rectal surgery for benign or malignant disease. • CCF IPF Model - The Cleveland Clinic Ileal Pouch Failure Model for prediction of ileal pouch failure in patients undergoing restorative proctocolectomy. • CR-POSSUM - Used for predicting mortality in Colorectal Surgery (benign & malignant) • P-POSSUM - Used for predicting mortality (& morbidity by POSSUM) in General Surgery • O-POSSUM - Used for predicting mortality in Oesophagogastric Surgery • Vascular-POSSUM - Used for predicting mortality in Vascular Surgery (all 4 models available • MUST screening tool (malnutrition)
  • 164. •POSSUM: • physiological and operative severity scoring system for enumeration of morbidity and mortality
  • 165.
  • 166.
  • 167. • MedCalc: Perioperative Cardiac Evaluation • Guidelines for Perioperative Cardiovascular Evaluation for Noncardiac Surgery American College of Cardiology / American Heart Association JACC 1996; 27:910-948; and Circulation 1996; 93:1278-1317. Pocket Guideline: requires Adobe Acrobat Reader • Go BACK
  • 168. TABLE 1 Progra m informa tion Algorith m Progra m Version Size Cost Source ACC/AH A1 2002 STAT Cardiac Clearanc e 1.1 97 KB Free http://w ww.statc oder.com Detsky3 MedRule s 2.5 324 KB Free http://pb rain.hyp ermart.n et/ Detsky6 InfoRetri ever 4.2 (beta) 2.1 MB Beta is free;cost of final version unknown http://w ww.infop oems.co m
  • 169. • STAT Cardiac Clearance (September 10, 2001) • STAT Cardiac Clearance will help guides clinicians through steps for evaluating patients before they go in for non-cardiac surgery. It uses the guidelines set by the American College of Cardiology, the American Heart Association Task Force on Practice Guidelines and the American College of Physicians. This item is part of the collection: Tucows Software Library Identifier: tucows_214418_STAT_Cardiac_Clearance Date: 2001-09-10 Creator: http://www.statcoder.com/ Rights: Freeware Publisher: Tucows Inc. Mediatype: software Addeddate: 2004-10-17 22:10:26 Publicdate: 2004-10-25 11:45:05 Keywords: palm pilot; palm pilot software; palm pilot downloads; palm; palm os; downloads; palm downloads • Individual Files • Whole Item Format Size clearance.zip ZIP 78.6 KB Image Files Item Image Screenshot of STAT Cardiac Clearance 9.2 KB Information Format Size tucows_214418_STAT_Cardiac_Clearance_files.xml Metadata [file] tucows_214418_STAT_Cardiac_Clearance_meta.xml Metadata 1.5 KB tucows_214418_STAT_Cardiac_Clearance_reviews.xml Metadata 197.0 B
  • 170. STAT Cardiac Clearance (September 10, 2001)
  • 171. Medrules • Current Medical Therapeutics (September 7, 2000) • Current Medical Therapeutics is designed for the resident or internist. All one has to do to utilize the program is simply input the name of an acute medical condition. Once that is complete, you can view a whole document that will explain the "dos and don'ts" for each condition. This item is part of the collection: Tucows Software Library Identifier: tucows_79012_Current_Medical_Therapeutics Date: 2000-09-07 Creator: http://pbrain.hypermart.net/files/MedRx4.zip Tucows_rating: 4 Rights: Freeware Publisher: Tucows Inc. Mediatype: software Addeddate: 2004-10-17 22:03:14 Publicdate: 2004-10-26 02:09:43 Keywords: palm pilot; palm pilot software; palm pilot downloads; palm; palm os; downloads; palm downloads • Individual Files • Whole Item Format Size currentmed.zip ZIP 43.7 KB Image Files Item Image Screenshot of Current Medical Therapeutics 2.3 KB Information Format Size tucows_79012_Current_Medical_Therapeutics_files.xml Metadata [file] tucows_79012_Current_Medical_Therapeutics_meta.xml Metadata 1.4 KB
  • 174. B. M. Biccard* and R. N. Rodseth) British Journal of Anaesthesia 107 (2): 133– 43 (2011 Utility of clinical risk predictors for preoperative cardiovascular risk prediction • Summary. Cardiovascular risk prediction using clinical risk factors is integral to both the • European and the American algorithms for preoperative cardiac risk assessment and • perioperative management for non-cardiac surgery. We have reviewed these risk factors • and their ability to guide clinical decision making. We examine their limitations and • attempt to identify factors which may improve their performance when used for clinical • risk stratification. To improve the performance of the clinical risk factors, it is necessary • to create uniformity in the definitions of both cardiovascular outcomes and the clinical • risk factors. The risk factors selected should reflect the degree of organ dysfunction • rather than a historical diagnosis. Parsimonious model design should be applied, making • use of a minimal number of continuous variables rather than creating overfitted models. • The inclusion of age in the model may assist partly in controlling for the duration of risk • factor exposure. Risk assignment should occur throughout the perioperative period and • the risk factors chosen for model inclusion should vary depending on when the • assignment occurs (before operation, intraoperatively, or after operation).
  • 176. • With our current approach to risk stratification, it is true that ‘we are not yet near the situation where we can give a specific risk value for an individual’, although this is what we should strive for” – B. M. Biccard,R. N. Rodseth. Utility of clinical risk predictors for preoperative cardiovascular risk prediction.British Journal of Anaesthesia 107 (2): 133–43 (2011)
  • 177. STEND
  • 179. Io consiglio • avoid overly aggressive preoperative investigation. – The ACC/AHA state in their guideline on perioperative risk assessment that “intervention is rarely necessary simply to lower the risk of surgery unless such intervention is indicated irrespective of the preoperative context.”
  • 180. Scopi dei test aggiuntivi cardiovascolari • Fornire una misura obbiettiva di capacità funzionale • Identificare una ischemia preop miocardica importante • Diagnosticare aritmie cardiache rilevanti • Stimare il rischio cardiaco periop e definire una prognosi
  • 181. Invasive tests and CABG • Coronary arteriography has a 0.3% mortality risk. • Coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) is associated with an overall operative mortality risk of 3%.11 • In patients undergoing noncardiac surgery who have significant coronary artery disease without antecedent CABG, overall cardiac mortality is 2.4%, compared with 0.5% for those with antecedent CABG.12 • Therefore, performing otherwise unnecessary bypass grafting simply to lower the risk of a subsequent surgical procedure incurs an antecedent mortality of greater than 3% from the CABG, whereas proceeding directly to the indicated procedure, on average, produces a 2.4% cardiac mortality.
  • 182. • However, patients who are otherwise candidates for CABG may be first identified when being evaluated for another surgical procedure. In such cases, when the intended surgery can be safely delayed, performing the CABG first is then most logical because the combined mortality of the procedures will be lowest when the CABG is performed first. • All of these tools focus exclusively on cardiovascular risk stratification or preoperative cardiac management (except the decision tool of Steyerburg et al 7; see below). Interestingly, few or none incorporate such risk factors as smoking, hypertension, or serum albumin, which are not independent predictors of major perioperative cardiac events. Two risk factors common to all algorithms are heart failure and prior myocardial infarction (MI). Seven of the 8 algorithms incorporate renal insufficiency, signs or symptoms of current coronary ischemia, and age. In branching algorithms, factors that may be included in an algorithm may not always be considered for a particular patient.
  • 183. • intervention is rarely necessary to simply lower the risk of surgery unless such intervention is indicated irrespective of the preoperative context. • No test should be performed unless it is likely to influence patient treatment. • The goal of the consultation is the optimal care of the patient
  • 184. Noninvasive cardiac testing • is recommended in patients at increased risk of cardiac complications in the 2009 ESC guidelines on perioperative care [4]. • ECG is recommended in patients with clinical risk factors or undergoing intermediate or high-risk surgery. • Assessment of left ventricular function should be considered in patients undergoing high-risk surgery. • Cardiac stress testing is recommended in patients with 3 or + RCRI risk factors undergoing highrisk surgery and may be considered in ntermediaterisk surgery and patients with two or less risk factors undergoing high-risk surgery. – Multiple options for cardiac stress testing are available, including exercise electrocardiography, dobutamine stress echocardiography (DSE), MRI, and nuclear imaging.
  • 185.
  • 186. Dipiridamolo tallio • the presence of a redistribution defect on dipyridamole thallium imaging in patients undergoing peripheral vascular surgery is predictive of postoperative cardiac events. In order to increase the predictive value of the test, several strategies have been suggested. Lung uptake, left ventricular cavity dilation, and redistribution defect size have all been shown to be predictive of subsequent morbidity.10
  • 187. Dobutamine stress test • Dobutamine stress echocardiography has been suggested as the best preoperative test in several recent meta-analyses.11 The appearance of new or worsened regional wall motion abnormalities is considered a positive test. The advantage of this test is that it is a dynamic assessment of ventricular function. Dobutamine echocardiography has also been studied and was found to have among the best positive and negative predictive values. Poldermans et al. demonstrated that the group at greatest risk were those who demonstrated regional wall motion abnormalities at low heart rates.12 The presence of 5 or more segments of new regional wall motion abnormalities denotes a high risk group who did not benefit from perioperative beta blockade in one trial.13 Beattie and colleagues performed a meta-analysis of stress echocardiography versus thallium imaging and demonstrate that stress echocardiography has better negative predicative characteristics.11 A moderate-to-large perfusion defect by either test predicted postoperative MI and death