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How Often Are Studies Wrong?
AHCJ 2016
Cleveland
Ivan Oransky
Vice President, Global Editorial Director, MedPage Today
Co-Founder, Retraction Watch
Distinguished Writer In Residence,
New York University Arthur Carter Journalism Institute
@ivanoransky
“Fifty-three papers were deemed 'landmark' studies. It was
acknowledged from the outset that some of the data might not hold
up, because papers were deliberately selected that described
something completely new, such as fresh approaches to targeting
cancers or alternative clinical uses for existing therapeutics.
Nevertheless, scientific findings were confirmed in only 6 (11%)
cases. Even knowing the limitations of preclinical research, this was
a shocking result.”
"An analysis of past studies indicates that the cumulative
(total) prevalence of irreproducible preclinical research
exceeds 50%, resulting in approximately
US$28,000,000,000 (US$28B)/year spent on preclinical
research that is not reproducible—in the United States
alone."
Retractions on the Rise
http://pmretract.heroku.com/byyear
Which Journals Retract?
-Infection and Immunity 2011
What Scientists Are Doing About It
What Scientists Are Doing About It
Contact Info/Acknowledgements
ivan-oransky@erols.com
http://retractionwatch.com
@ivanoransky
Thanks:
The MacArthur Foundation
The Arnold Foundation
The Helmsley Trust
Nancy Lapid, Reuters Health

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How Often Are Studies Wrong?

  • 1. How Often Are Studies Wrong? AHCJ 2016 Cleveland Ivan Oransky Vice President, Global Editorial Director, MedPage Today Co-Founder, Retraction Watch Distinguished Writer In Residence, New York University Arthur Carter Journalism Institute @ivanoransky
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4. “Fifty-three papers were deemed 'landmark' studies. It was acknowledged from the outset that some of the data might not hold up, because papers were deliberately selected that described something completely new, such as fresh approaches to targeting cancers or alternative clinical uses for existing therapeutics. Nevertheless, scientific findings were confirmed in only 6 (11%) cases. Even knowing the limitations of preclinical research, this was a shocking result.”
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 7.
  • 8. "An analysis of past studies indicates that the cumulative (total) prevalence of irreproducible preclinical research exceeds 50%, resulting in approximately US$28,000,000,000 (US$28B)/year spent on preclinical research that is not reproducible—in the United States alone."
  • 9.
  • 10. Retractions on the Rise http://pmretract.heroku.com/byyear
  • 12. What Scientists Are Doing About It
  • 13. What Scientists Are Doing About It
  • 14. Contact Info/Acknowledgements ivan-oransky@erols.com http://retractionwatch.com @ivanoransky Thanks: The MacArthur Foundation The Arnold Foundation The Helmsley Trust Nancy Lapid, Reuters Health