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11/24/20087:36 PM Pacific




We are not completely out of the woods, but things are looking really good for an
intermediate term rally. By my calculation we completed wave (3) of 3. If the rally
unfolds according to my thesis, tomorrow we should reach 891ish for wave (5) of 3 and
the completion of 3 waves.

We will only really know that we are out of the woods when the retracement following
three completed waves is commensurate with a 4th wave retracement instead of a DUMP
of all the gains.

Fourth waves typically retrace .384 or roughly even with the start of the 4th wave of one
lesser degree. That would be wave (4) of 3, right where we are now. So, a rally to
891ish, then a retrace back to 840-850 is normal and conducive to moving higher. We
don’t have to retrace that much, but it is common.

I am able to get the confluence between the .618 wave (5) extension (of waves (1)-(3)),
and a 1.618 extension of wave 1, by measuring the start of wave (5) at 840.
11/24/20087:36 PM Pacific



The NQ (NASDAQ e-minis) chart is almost identical. I am measuring wave (5) from
(1127) in order for wave 3(5) to align with the 1.618 extension of wave 1.




TMD/DW

The market detective provides personal market opinion based on sound technical
analysis and research. However, no warranty is given or implied as to its true reliability.
The market detective will make errors and mistakes. The market detective is not
an investment adviser and is not making recommendations to buy, sell, or place orders
relating to the futures contracts, ETFs, or stocks that he writes about. The responsibility
for decisions made from information contained in this service are solely that of the
individual subscriber. The individual must fully research and make his/her own
decisions before acting on any information provided by the market detective. The
market detective assumes no responsibility for subscriber investment or trading results.

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11242008 Evening Edition

  • 1. 11/24/20087:36 PM Pacific We are not completely out of the woods, but things are looking really good for an intermediate term rally. By my calculation we completed wave (3) of 3. If the rally unfolds according to my thesis, tomorrow we should reach 891ish for wave (5) of 3 and the completion of 3 waves. We will only really know that we are out of the woods when the retracement following three completed waves is commensurate with a 4th wave retracement instead of a DUMP of all the gains. Fourth waves typically retrace .384 or roughly even with the start of the 4th wave of one lesser degree. That would be wave (4) of 3, right where we are now. So, a rally to 891ish, then a retrace back to 840-850 is normal and conducive to moving higher. We don’t have to retrace that much, but it is common. I am able to get the confluence between the .618 wave (5) extension (of waves (1)-(3)), and a 1.618 extension of wave 1, by measuring the start of wave (5) at 840.
  • 2. 11/24/20087:36 PM Pacific The NQ (NASDAQ e-minis) chart is almost identical. I am measuring wave (5) from (1127) in order for wave 3(5) to align with the 1.618 extension of wave 1. TMD/DW The market detective provides personal market opinion based on sound technical analysis and research. However, no warranty is given or implied as to its true reliability. The market detective will make errors and mistakes. The market detective is not an investment adviser and is not making recommendations to buy, sell, or place orders relating to the futures contracts, ETFs, or stocks that he writes about. The responsibility for decisions made from information contained in this service are solely that of the individual subscriber. The individual must fully research and make his/her own decisions before acting on any information provided by the market detective. The market detective assumes no responsibility for subscriber investment or trading results.