En plus de la guerre civile, nous risquons d'avoir un bain de sang sur notre continent en cas d'intervention militaire au Venezuela avec la participation des États-Unis, de la Colombie et du Brésil.

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VENEZUELA UNDER THE RISK OF CIVIL WAR AND INTERNATIONAL
CONFLICT
Fernando Alcoforado*
In the article Scenarios of the Crisis in Venezuela published on 01/28/2019, we affirmed
that Venezuela would walk briskly towards the outbreak of a bloody civil war and that
there would be a risk of US military intervention to take over the oil reserves, the largest
of the world, with the support of some Latin American countries, including Brazil, in
flagrant disregard for the United Nations Charter which could result in a conflict
involving several countries in Latin America. We also affirm that this situation tends to
promote the intensification of the new Cold War between the United States and the
allied Russia of Venezuela and the worsening of relations between the United States and
China, also allied with Venezuela.
An indisputable fact is that Venezuela is a country divided and polarized to the extreme
between chavistas and antichavistas whose radicalization reached culminancias with the
defeat in the last parliamentary elections of chavismo to the forces of opposition that
today are majority in the National Assembly presided by the deputy Juan Guaidó who,
in turn, intends to remove Nicolas Maduro from power. On January 23, Juan Guaidó,
president of the National Assembly, proclaimed himself President of the Republic of
Venezuela, with the support of the Trump government, the OAS, President Ivan Duque
of Colombia and Bolsonaro of Brazil. In the sequence, Guaidó had the rapid recognition
of more than 50 countries of the world. The exceptions that have been declared against
the most recent operation to remove Maduro from power among the Latin American
countries were the Mexican, Cuban and Bolivian governments. Turkey, Russia and
China also opposed the US intervention in Venezuela.
Russia warned that the recognition of Deputy Juan Guaidó as president of Venezuela by
the United States could lead to a "bloodbath" in the country. In a statement, the Russian
Foreign Ministry said that events in Venezuela are reaching a dangerous point and that
Washington is in breach of international law. Russia also warned the United States not
to carry out a military intervention in Venezuela, saying that such action could lead to a
catastrophe. In another statement, the Kremlin said it continues to support Maduro and
that attempts to seize power in Venezuela violate international law. Venezuela is
therefore facing a humanitarian catastrophe of gigantic proportions.
In an effort to destabilize the government of Nicolás Maduro, the United States and its
allies organized what was called "humanitarian aid" with the delivery of food and
medicines to the Venezuelan population that was considered by the Venezuelan
government as a pretext for military intervention which would be in progress. Guaidó
set for next January 23 the entry of aid from other countries in Venezuela. Volunteers
will go through caravans to the land and sea borders of the country to help. But Maduro
refuses to receive international aid, which he says is a pretext for a military invasion of
Venezuela and a subsequent coup to get chavism out of power. Tensions between
Colombia and Venezuela and Brazil and Venezuela on the eve of the day set by the
United States for the entry of alleged humanitarian aid to Venezuelans are increasing.
Maduro ordered the closure of Venezuela's border with Brazil. Usually the passage is
closed at night and reopens around 7am the next day what did not happen this morning.

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A Brazilian Air Force (FAB) aircraft with 22.8 tons of powdered milk and 500 first-aid
kits for Venezuelans took off from Brasilia towards Boa Vista in the state of Roraima.
From the capital of Roraima, the products will be taken from Venezuelan trucks and
drivers to Pacaraima and later to Venezuela.
Afin d'empêcher l'entrée de ce que l'on appelle "l'aide humanitaire", le gouvernement de
Nicolás Maduro positionné près de la frontière avec le Brésil, qui a été fermé à 20h00
jeudi (21/01), son système de missile de défense aérienne S-300VM développé par le
Les Russes depuis la guerre froide qui constituent un système échelonné allant du
niveau le plus bas avec des canons aux missiles à la haute altitude. Le système anti-
aérien comprend des lanceurs, des radars et des systèmes d'assistance. Il est situé dans la
région de l'aéroport de Santa Elena de Uairén, à 11 km de la ville frontalière de
Pacaraima au Brésil. En plus de la guerre civile, nous risquons d'avoir un bain de sang
sur notre continent en cas d'intervention militaire au Venezuela avec la participation des
États-Unis, de la Colombie et du Brésil.
The events in Venezuela are extremely serious. It is necessary to prevent Brazil from
engaging in a military conflict that only has to be lost with the death of many of our
young people to please and to satisfy the imperialist ambition of the United States that
would be the great beneficiary when they seize Venezuela's oil reserves, the largest in
the world. The Brazilian people should not condone with these illegal practices that
violate the International Law and the sovereignty of the peoples. Our Deputies and
Senators must prevent this provocation from being consummated against a sovereign
country, Venezuela, however execrable its government may be, that must only be
removed of the power by the action of the own Venezuelan people .. . Before we give
food and medicine to Venezuelans, we must provide food to our poor and medicines to
our hospitals.
* Fernando Alcoforado, 79, holder of the CONFEA / CREA System Medal of Engineering Merit, member
of the Bahia Academy of Education, engineer and doctor in Territorial Planning and Regional
Development by the University of Barcelona, university professor and consultant in the areas of strategic
planning, business planning, regional planning and planning of energy systems, is the author of 14 books
addressing issues such as Globalization and Development, Brazilian Economy, Global Warming and
Climate Change, The Factors that Condition Economic and Social Development, Energy in the world and
The Great Scientific, Economic, and Social Revolutions that Changed the World.