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EXPLAINING HETEROGENEITY
ACROSS FIRMS IN THE EFFECT OF
R&D SUPPORT POLICY



                         MOVE-IESE-ACC1Ó,
                              March 9, 2011



  Liliana Gelabert, IE
  Andrea Fosfuri, UC3M
  Josep Tribó, UC3M
2

MOVE-IESE-ACC1Ó,
     March 9, 2011
3

MOVE-IESE-ACC1Ó,
     March 9, 2011
4

                                            MOVE-IESE-ACC1Ó,
                                                 March 9, 2011




MOTIVATION
• Imperfect appropriability in the production of knowledge
  generates underinvestment in R&D activities (Arrow,
  Griliches, Jaffe, among others)

  ▫ Research institutes, national laboratories, etc.

  ▫ Stronger IPRs

  ▫ Public support to R&D activity
5

                                             MOVE-IESE-ACC1Ó,
                                                  March 9, 2011




MOTIVATION
• Are R&D support policies effective?

• Evaluation of public support policies
  ▫ It is important to understand whether public intervention is
    effective or not – public money may be used elsewhere
  ▫ Large empirical literature attempts to measure effectiveness
    (references in the paper)
      Surveys by Hall et al. (2000), David et al. (2000), Klette et al.
      (2000)
  ▫ Crowding out of private investment vs. stimulus
6

                               MOVE-IESE-ACC1Ó,
                                    March 9, 2011




Private investment in R&D


Private investmentsupport
            Public in R&D              CROWDING OUT



Private investment in R&DPublic support


   Private investment in R&D            Public support

                                               STIMULUS
7

                                        MOVE-IESE-ACC1Ó,
                                             March 9, 2011




STIMULUS

• Public support can reduce both the fixed and the marginal
  cost of R&D activity
  ▫ Upgrading facilities for research
• Positive endorsement
  ▫ Signal of quality   reduce the cost of other funds
8

                                       MOVE-IESE-ACC1Ó,
                                            March 9, 2011




CROWDING OUT

• Agencies fund projects with higher success probabilities
  ▫ Public money substitutes private money
• Focus only on subsidized projects
  ▫ The additional private money on the project comes from other
    firm projects
9

                                           MOVE-IESE-ACC1Ó,
                                                March 9, 2011




RELATED LITERATURE
• Wallsten (2000) finds that grants provided by the Small Business and
  Innovation Program (a program directed to provide grants to small
  US firms), crowd-out private financed R&D dollar for dollar
• Busom (1999) analyzes the effect of Spanish government subsidies
  on private R&D and employment using a sample of 147 firms, and
  finds that for 30% of the firms full crowding out cannot be ruled out
• Lach (2002) reports a strong effect of public subsidies on private
  R&D spending in Israel
• Gonzalez et al. (2006) show that some firms become more likely to
  start R&D activities as a consequence of the subsidy
  ▫ Effect is positive but small
10

                                            MOVE-IESE-ACC1Ó,
                                                 March 9, 2011




However ...
• … we know little about the determinants of effectiveness of
  public support
  ▫ Firm size (Gonzalez et al., 2006; Gonzalez & Pazó, 2006)
  ▫ Technological opportunities (Gonzalez and Pazó, 2006)
  ▫ Financial constraints (Hyytinen & Toivanen, 2005)
• Surprisingly, no research on the relationship between
  IPRs protection and effectiveness of public support to
  R&D
  ▫ Both are policy instruments, it is important to understand their
    interaction
11

                                           MOVE-IESE-ACC1Ó,
                                                March 9, 2011




Theoretical relationship between appropriability and
effectiveness of public support

• Intuitive argument: Public support should generate a
  greater response when appropriability is weak
  ▫ Under perfect appropriability a firm’s investment in R&D is close to
    the optimum, thus public support would not change it very much
• Certification effect is stronger for firms with weak
  appropriability
  ▫ Quality is easier to communicate when appropriability is high
    because of reduced fear of misappropriation
12

                                        MOVE-IESE-ACC1Ó,
                                             March 9, 2011




DATA

• Spanish CIS for 2000-2005
  ▫ Firms receiving any kind of public support to R&D in the last
    20 years (exhaustive)
  ▫ Performing firms (exhaustive)
  ▫ Random sample stratified by size and sector of non
    performing firms
• Unbalanced panel of more than 1000 R&D performing firms
• 5045 firm-year observations (about 25% of firms receive
  public support)
13

                                            MOVE-IESE-ACC1Ó,
                                                 March 9, 2011



CORE VARIABLES
 • Dependent variable: Private internal R&D expenses
 • Independent variables:
   ▫ Public support: total amount of public funds received by the
     firm to finance internal R&D activities excluding public loans
   ▫ Appropriability: average index of survey questions about
     effectiveness of IPRs to protect innovations
 • Controls
   ▫ Financial constraints, size, start-up, export propensity, skilled
     workers, geographical, sector and time dummies, and firm
     fixed effects
14

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     March 9, 2011
15

MOVE-IESE-ACC1Ó,
     March 9, 2011
16

                                           MOVE-IESE-ACC1Ó,
                                                March 9, 2011




Econometric Issues
 • Problem: Endogeneity of public support
   ▫ What if public support goes to the more innovative
     companies?
   ▫ They will receive more public support and invest more in
     innovation
 • Remedies
   ▫ Include several time varying controls and firm fixed effects
   ▫ Instrumental variables: Instrument for public support is the
     public budget by sector and geographical region for R&D
     support
   ▫ Use a matching approach
17

MOVE-IESE-ACC1Ó,
     March 9, 2011
18

MOVE-IESE-ACC1Ó,
     March 9, 2011
19

                             MOVE-IESE-ACC1Ó,
                                  March 9, 2011


  Derivative of
private R&D wrt
 public support




                  Stimulus


                                      0.65              Appropiability

                                                  Crowding
                                                       out
20

                                         MOVE-IESE-ACC1Ó,
                                              March 9, 2011




Robustness checks

•   Include External R&D, other funds for R&D
•   Disaggregate subsidies from public contracts
•   Different measures of appropriability (legal and strategic)
•   Correct for unbalanced panel
•   Tobit model (because of the zeros)
•   Check validity of instruments
21

                                      MOVE-IESE-ACC1Ó,
                                           March 9, 2011




Robustness checks: Matching approach

• Estimate a probit model of the probability to obtain public
  support
• Use the estimated parameters to obtain predictions about
  probabilities of obtaining public support and thus generate
  the matching
22

                                      MOVE-IESE-ACC1Ó,
                                           March 9, 2011




Robustness checks: Matching approach

• Estimate a probit model of the probability to obtain public
  support
• Use the estimated parameters to obtain predictions about
  probabilities of obtaining public support and thus generate
  the matching
23

                                      MOVE-IESE-ACC1Ó,
                                           March 9, 2011




Conclusions
• Heterogeneity in the effect of public support
• Firms for which IPRs are more effective invest relatively
  less in R&D when they receive public support
• Average effect of public support is 1.25 (1.75 for low
  appropriability and 0.60 for high appropriability)
• Importance of allocation stage
24

       MOVE-IESE-ACC1Ó,
            March 9, 2011




Thank you!

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Com mesurar l’efectivitat de la inversió pública en R+D

  • 1. 1 EXPLAINING HETEROGENEITY ACROSS FIRMS IN THE EFFECT OF R&D SUPPORT POLICY MOVE-IESE-ACC1Ó, March 9, 2011 Liliana Gelabert, IE Andrea Fosfuri, UC3M Josep Tribó, UC3M
  • 2. 2 MOVE-IESE-ACC1Ó, March 9, 2011
  • 3. 3 MOVE-IESE-ACC1Ó, March 9, 2011
  • 4. 4 MOVE-IESE-ACC1Ó, March 9, 2011 MOTIVATION • Imperfect appropriability in the production of knowledge generates underinvestment in R&D activities (Arrow, Griliches, Jaffe, among others) ▫ Research institutes, national laboratories, etc. ▫ Stronger IPRs ▫ Public support to R&D activity
  • 5. 5 MOVE-IESE-ACC1Ó, March 9, 2011 MOTIVATION • Are R&D support policies effective? • Evaluation of public support policies ▫ It is important to understand whether public intervention is effective or not – public money may be used elsewhere ▫ Large empirical literature attempts to measure effectiveness (references in the paper) Surveys by Hall et al. (2000), David et al. (2000), Klette et al. (2000) ▫ Crowding out of private investment vs. stimulus
  • 6. 6 MOVE-IESE-ACC1Ó, March 9, 2011 Private investment in R&D Private investmentsupport Public in R&D CROWDING OUT Private investment in R&DPublic support Private investment in R&D Public support STIMULUS
  • 7. 7 MOVE-IESE-ACC1Ó, March 9, 2011 STIMULUS • Public support can reduce both the fixed and the marginal cost of R&D activity ▫ Upgrading facilities for research • Positive endorsement ▫ Signal of quality reduce the cost of other funds
  • 8. 8 MOVE-IESE-ACC1Ó, March 9, 2011 CROWDING OUT • Agencies fund projects with higher success probabilities ▫ Public money substitutes private money • Focus only on subsidized projects ▫ The additional private money on the project comes from other firm projects
  • 9. 9 MOVE-IESE-ACC1Ó, March 9, 2011 RELATED LITERATURE • Wallsten (2000) finds that grants provided by the Small Business and Innovation Program (a program directed to provide grants to small US firms), crowd-out private financed R&D dollar for dollar • Busom (1999) analyzes the effect of Spanish government subsidies on private R&D and employment using a sample of 147 firms, and finds that for 30% of the firms full crowding out cannot be ruled out • Lach (2002) reports a strong effect of public subsidies on private R&D spending in Israel • Gonzalez et al. (2006) show that some firms become more likely to start R&D activities as a consequence of the subsidy ▫ Effect is positive but small
  • 10. 10 MOVE-IESE-ACC1Ó, March 9, 2011 However ... • … we know little about the determinants of effectiveness of public support ▫ Firm size (Gonzalez et al., 2006; Gonzalez & Pazó, 2006) ▫ Technological opportunities (Gonzalez and Pazó, 2006) ▫ Financial constraints (Hyytinen & Toivanen, 2005) • Surprisingly, no research on the relationship between IPRs protection and effectiveness of public support to R&D ▫ Both are policy instruments, it is important to understand their interaction
  • 11. 11 MOVE-IESE-ACC1Ó, March 9, 2011 Theoretical relationship between appropriability and effectiveness of public support • Intuitive argument: Public support should generate a greater response when appropriability is weak ▫ Under perfect appropriability a firm’s investment in R&D is close to the optimum, thus public support would not change it very much • Certification effect is stronger for firms with weak appropriability ▫ Quality is easier to communicate when appropriability is high because of reduced fear of misappropriation
  • 12. 12 MOVE-IESE-ACC1Ó, March 9, 2011 DATA • Spanish CIS for 2000-2005 ▫ Firms receiving any kind of public support to R&D in the last 20 years (exhaustive) ▫ Performing firms (exhaustive) ▫ Random sample stratified by size and sector of non performing firms • Unbalanced panel of more than 1000 R&D performing firms • 5045 firm-year observations (about 25% of firms receive public support)
  • 13. 13 MOVE-IESE-ACC1Ó, March 9, 2011 CORE VARIABLES • Dependent variable: Private internal R&D expenses • Independent variables: ▫ Public support: total amount of public funds received by the firm to finance internal R&D activities excluding public loans ▫ Appropriability: average index of survey questions about effectiveness of IPRs to protect innovations • Controls ▫ Financial constraints, size, start-up, export propensity, skilled workers, geographical, sector and time dummies, and firm fixed effects
  • 14. 14 MOVE-IESE-ACC1Ó, March 9, 2011
  • 15. 15 MOVE-IESE-ACC1Ó, March 9, 2011
  • 16. 16 MOVE-IESE-ACC1Ó, March 9, 2011 Econometric Issues • Problem: Endogeneity of public support ▫ What if public support goes to the more innovative companies? ▫ They will receive more public support and invest more in innovation • Remedies ▫ Include several time varying controls and firm fixed effects ▫ Instrumental variables: Instrument for public support is the public budget by sector and geographical region for R&D support ▫ Use a matching approach
  • 17. 17 MOVE-IESE-ACC1Ó, March 9, 2011
  • 18. 18 MOVE-IESE-ACC1Ó, March 9, 2011
  • 19. 19 MOVE-IESE-ACC1Ó, March 9, 2011 Derivative of private R&D wrt public support Stimulus 0.65 Appropiability Crowding out
  • 20. 20 MOVE-IESE-ACC1Ó, March 9, 2011 Robustness checks • Include External R&D, other funds for R&D • Disaggregate subsidies from public contracts • Different measures of appropriability (legal and strategic) • Correct for unbalanced panel • Tobit model (because of the zeros) • Check validity of instruments
  • 21. 21 MOVE-IESE-ACC1Ó, March 9, 2011 Robustness checks: Matching approach • Estimate a probit model of the probability to obtain public support • Use the estimated parameters to obtain predictions about probabilities of obtaining public support and thus generate the matching
  • 22. 22 MOVE-IESE-ACC1Ó, March 9, 2011 Robustness checks: Matching approach • Estimate a probit model of the probability to obtain public support • Use the estimated parameters to obtain predictions about probabilities of obtaining public support and thus generate the matching
  • 23. 23 MOVE-IESE-ACC1Ó, March 9, 2011 Conclusions • Heterogeneity in the effect of public support • Firms for which IPRs are more effective invest relatively less in R&D when they receive public support • Average effect of public support is 1.25 (1.75 for low appropriability and 0.60 for high appropriability) • Importance of allocation stage
  • 24. 24 MOVE-IESE-ACC1Ó, March 9, 2011 Thank you!