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Data for the Classroom from
     Ed Dolan’s Econ Blog
http://dolanecon.blogspot.com/

US GDP: Private Economy
 Grows 2.8% in Q1 2012,
Government Continues to
        Shrink
           Posted April 28, 2012




            Terms of Use: These slides are made available under Creative Commons License
     Attribution—Share Alike 3.0 . You are free to use these slides as a resource for your economics
    classes together with whatever textbook you are using. If you like the slides, you may also want to
               take a look at my textbook, Introduction to Economics, from BVT Publishers.
Q1 GDP Grows at 2.2 percent, Private Sector at 2.8%



 US GDP growth slowed to 2.2% in
  Q1 2012, down from 3% in Q4 2011,
  according to the advance estimate
  from the BEA
 The private sector grew at 2.8%
 It was the 11th consecutive quarter of
  growth
 The advance estimate is based on
  partial data and is often substantially
  revised




            Posted April 28, 2012 on Ed Dolan’s Econ Blog http://dolanecon.blogspot.com
Expansion Continues


 According to standard business cycle
  terminology, the recession phase of the
  business cycle is the downward
  movement of GDP from its previous peak
 The recovery phase is the upward
  movement from the trough (low point) of
  the recession and continues until GDP
  again reaches its previous peak.
 Once GDP moves above its previous
  peak, the expansion phase begins.
 Q1 2012 GDP was solidly above pre-
  recession peak, continuing the expansion
  that the economy entered in Q3 2011


           Posted April 28, 2012 on Ed Dolan’s Econ Blog http://dolanecon.blogspot.com
Sources of US GDP Growth in Q3 2011

                                                            Table shows the contribution
                                                            of each sector to the 2.2% total
 Consumption contributed 2.04 percentage                   GDP growth in Q1 2012
  points to Q1 growth, up from 1.47 in Q4
 Investment slowed, but inventory
  investment accounted for much less of the
  total in Q1 than in Q4
 Government spending continued its steady
  decline, led by defense cuts; state and local
  government spending also fell
 Export growth contributed .73 percentage
  points, up from .37 in Q4. Net exports were
  flat


           Posted April 28, 2012 on Ed Dolan’s Econ Blog http://dolanecon.blogspot.com
Government Continues to Shrink




Posted April 28, 2012 on Ed Dolan’s Econ Blog http://dolanecon.blogspot.com
Nominal GDP A Little Above Trend, Gap Remains Large

 Q1 nominal GDP (NGDP) growth was
  3.8% (quarterly growth stated as
  annual rate), the same as in Q4
 NGDP growth consisted of 2.2% real
  growth and 1.6% inflation
 An increasing number of economists
  focus on NGDP growth as a key policy
  target. Real potential GDP growth has
  averaged about 2.3 percent over the
  past 10 years. Adding 2 percent for the
  Fed’s target rate of inflation gives 4.3
  percent. NGDP targeters could thus
  make a case for a more stimulative
  policy

          Posted April 28, 2012 on Ed Dolan’s Econ Blog http://dolanecon.blogspot.com

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US GDP Data: Private Sector Grows 2.8% in Q1 2012

  • 1. Data for the Classroom from Ed Dolan’s Econ Blog http://dolanecon.blogspot.com/ US GDP: Private Economy Grows 2.8% in Q1 2012, Government Continues to Shrink Posted April 28, 2012 Terms of Use: These slides are made available under Creative Commons License Attribution—Share Alike 3.0 . You are free to use these slides as a resource for your economics classes together with whatever textbook you are using. If you like the slides, you may also want to take a look at my textbook, Introduction to Economics, from BVT Publishers.
  • 2. Q1 GDP Grows at 2.2 percent, Private Sector at 2.8%  US GDP growth slowed to 2.2% in Q1 2012, down from 3% in Q4 2011, according to the advance estimate from the BEA  The private sector grew at 2.8%  It was the 11th consecutive quarter of growth  The advance estimate is based on partial data and is often substantially revised Posted April 28, 2012 on Ed Dolan’s Econ Blog http://dolanecon.blogspot.com
  • 3. Expansion Continues  According to standard business cycle terminology, the recession phase of the business cycle is the downward movement of GDP from its previous peak  The recovery phase is the upward movement from the trough (low point) of the recession and continues until GDP again reaches its previous peak.  Once GDP moves above its previous peak, the expansion phase begins.  Q1 2012 GDP was solidly above pre- recession peak, continuing the expansion that the economy entered in Q3 2011 Posted April 28, 2012 on Ed Dolan’s Econ Blog http://dolanecon.blogspot.com
  • 4. Sources of US GDP Growth in Q3 2011 Table shows the contribution of each sector to the 2.2% total  Consumption contributed 2.04 percentage GDP growth in Q1 2012 points to Q1 growth, up from 1.47 in Q4  Investment slowed, but inventory investment accounted for much less of the total in Q1 than in Q4  Government spending continued its steady decline, led by defense cuts; state and local government spending also fell  Export growth contributed .73 percentage points, up from .37 in Q4. Net exports were flat Posted April 28, 2012 on Ed Dolan’s Econ Blog http://dolanecon.blogspot.com
  • 5. Government Continues to Shrink Posted April 28, 2012 on Ed Dolan’s Econ Blog http://dolanecon.blogspot.com
  • 6. Nominal GDP A Little Above Trend, Gap Remains Large  Q1 nominal GDP (NGDP) growth was 3.8% (quarterly growth stated as annual rate), the same as in Q4  NGDP growth consisted of 2.2% real growth and 1.6% inflation  An increasing number of economists focus on NGDP growth as a key policy target. Real potential GDP growth has averaged about 2.3 percent over the past 10 years. Adding 2 percent for the Fed’s target rate of inflation gives 4.3 percent. NGDP targeters could thus make a case for a more stimulative policy Posted April 28, 2012 on Ed Dolan’s Econ Blog http://dolanecon.blogspot.com