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Statistically Speaking:
The Past, The Present, and the Future


            Jan D. Freitag
        Senior Vice President


                                        1
www.hotelnewsnow.com
Click on “Hotel Data Presentations”




                                      2
Supply / Demand Imbalance Drove Last 12 Months

                                                     % Change

   •   Room Supply*                      1.8 bn        0.4%
   •   Room Demand*                      1.06 bn       4.6%
   •   Occupancy                         60.3%         4.2%
   •   A.D.R.                            $102          3.8%
   •   RevPAR                            $61           8.2%
   •   Room Revenue*                     $109 bn       8.7%


  12 Months Ending February 2012, Total US Results
  * All Time High                                               3
ADRs Are Growing (But Will Comps Get More Difficult?)

                                                                  4.4
                           4.1         4.0          4.1
              3.9                                         4.0                 3.9 4.0
                                 3.7
                                              3.5                       3.5                 3.5 3.6
3.1
                    2.9
        2.6




1/11                4/11               7/11               10/11               1/12   2/12   3/3     3/10
                                                                                            Weekly data


       * Total US, ADR $ % Change, by Month, 1/11 – 2/12, by Week 3/3 – 3/10                               4
ADRs Are Growing Across All Channels
                                        137
                              134 133                                            2009         2010        2011
                        129
              127 127
                                                                                122 123
                                                                             118
    112 115
 112

                                                                       102                                      102
                                                                                                        99 98
                                                                  95
                                                             93
                                                85 84 87




                                                                                                   65
                                                                                           59 59



 Brand.com    CRS/Voice          GDS              Prop        OTA -          OTA - Retail OTA- Opaque STAR Total
                                              Direct/Other   Merchant


 *ADR by Channel for Chain Affiliated Hotels
 YE 2009 - 2011                                                                                                       5
Strong Demand Growth, Supply Not An Issue

                                                                      Supply
                                                     6.7
        6.2
                                                                      Demand
                                     5.9


                      4.5                                           4.6

                                                                                     3.5


                               1.8             1.9
                1.5
  1.1
                                                              0.8
                                                                               0.2

  Luxury      Upper Upscale     Upscale    Upper Midscale    Midscale          Economy




  *Supply / Demand % Change, by Scale, 12 Months Ending 2/12
  Upper Mid / Midscale: Same Store Basis to Account for Best Western Reclassification      6
Entering 2nd Stage Of Recovery Where ADR % > OCC %

                                                                       Occupancy
  5.1 5.2
                                                                       ADR
                                            4.7

                              4.0 4.0
                      3.6                                  3.7
                                                                           3.3
                2.9                               3.0                            2.9

                                                                 2.2




  Luxury     Upper Upscale    Upscale    Upper Midscale   Midscale         Economy



  *OCC / ADR % Change, by Scale, 12 Months Ending 2/12
  Upper Mid / Midscale: Same Store Basis to Account for Best Western Reclassification   7
Total United States
Forecast 2012 / 2013
Key Performance Indicator % Change
                             2012       2013
                           Forecast   Forecast

            Supply           0.8%      1.4%

            Demand           1.3%      2.0%

           Occupancy         0.5%      0.5%

             ADR             3.8%      4.4%

            RevPAR           4.3%      4.9%

                                                 8

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March 2012 STR Presentation

  • 1. Statistically Speaking: The Past, The Present, and the Future Jan D. Freitag Senior Vice President 1
  • 2. www.hotelnewsnow.com Click on “Hotel Data Presentations” 2
  • 3. Supply / Demand Imbalance Drove Last 12 Months % Change • Room Supply* 1.8 bn 0.4% • Room Demand* 1.06 bn 4.6% • Occupancy 60.3% 4.2% • A.D.R. $102 3.8% • RevPAR $61 8.2% • Room Revenue* $109 bn 8.7% 12 Months Ending February 2012, Total US Results * All Time High 3
  • 4. ADRs Are Growing (But Will Comps Get More Difficult?) 4.4 4.1 4.0 4.1 3.9 4.0 3.9 4.0 3.7 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.6 3.1 2.9 2.6 1/11 4/11 7/11 10/11 1/12 2/12 3/3 3/10 Weekly data * Total US, ADR $ % Change, by Month, 1/11 – 2/12, by Week 3/3 – 3/10 4
  • 5. ADRs Are Growing Across All Channels 137 134 133 2009 2010 2011 129 127 127 122 123 118 112 115 112 102 102 99 98 95 93 85 84 87 65 59 59 Brand.com CRS/Voice GDS Prop OTA - OTA - Retail OTA- Opaque STAR Total Direct/Other Merchant *ADR by Channel for Chain Affiliated Hotels YE 2009 - 2011 5
  • 6. Strong Demand Growth, Supply Not An Issue Supply 6.7 6.2 Demand 5.9 4.5 4.6 3.5 1.8 1.9 1.5 1.1 0.8 0.2 Luxury Upper Upscale Upscale Upper Midscale Midscale Economy *Supply / Demand % Change, by Scale, 12 Months Ending 2/12 Upper Mid / Midscale: Same Store Basis to Account for Best Western Reclassification 6
  • 7. Entering 2nd Stage Of Recovery Where ADR % > OCC % Occupancy 5.1 5.2 ADR 4.7 4.0 4.0 3.6 3.7 3.3 2.9 3.0 2.9 2.2 Luxury Upper Upscale Upscale Upper Midscale Midscale Economy *OCC / ADR % Change, by Scale, 12 Months Ending 2/12 Upper Mid / Midscale: Same Store Basis to Account for Best Western Reclassification 7
  • 8. Total United States Forecast 2012 / 2013 Key Performance Indicator % Change 2012 2013 Forecast Forecast Supply 0.8% 1.4% Demand 1.3% 2.0% Occupancy 0.5% 0.5% ADR 3.8% 4.4% RevPAR 4.3% 4.9% 8