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What’s Driving Corporate Treasurers?

                      August 23, 2009

                          Presented By:
                       Anthony J Carfang
                                  To:
            Crane’s Money Fund Symposium

          © 2009 Treasury Strategies, Inc. All rights reserved.
What’s Driving Corporate Treasurers?
• Expanding Role of Treasurers

• Corporate Liquidity Market

• Regulatory Changes Impacting Treasurers

• Preparing for the New (Post Crisis) World




                      w w w . T r e a s u r y S t r a t e g i e s . c om   2
Expanding Role of Treasurers
• Liquidity

• Global Visibility of Cash

• Risk & Compliance Management

• Availability & Cost of Capital

• Dealing With Impact of Regulation




                       w w w . T r e a s u r y S t r a t e g i e s . c om   3
Corporate Liquidity Markets
                  Total Corporate Liquidity (in $ Trillions)
                               2004 - 2008




              w w w . T r e a s u r y S t r a t e g i e s . c om   4
Corporate Liquidity Markets




              w w w . T r e a s u r y S t r a t e g i e s . c om   5
Corporate Liquidity Market
• Liquidity portfolios vary by geographic location




                         w w w . T r e a s u r y S t r a t e g i e s . c om   6
Corporate Liquidity Market
  • Selection criteria for money market mutual funds


Most Popular MMF
Investment             Large Corporate               Mid-Corporate               Middle Market
Determinates
                    Underlying Instruments          Underlying               Underlying Instruments
US
                                                    Instruments
                    Size of Fund                    Other                    Underlying Instruments /
UK                                                                           Offered through
                                                                             Concentration Bank
                    Underlying Instruments /        Underlying               Advisory Services
                    Advisory Services /             Instruments /
France
                    Offered through                 Advisory
                    Concentration Bank              Services




                        w w w . T r e a s u r y S t r a t e g i e s . c om                         7
Regulatory Change Impacting Treasurers
• Massive, Intrusive & Global

• Major Regulatory Initiatives

  – United Kingdom - The Turner Report, CP0822

  – European Union - The de la Rossier Report

  – United States - “Framework,” Group of 30

  – Others - BCBS/BIS, Walker, G20, …




                      w w w . T r e a s u r y S t r a t e g i e s . c om   8
Regulatory Change Impacting Treasurers
• Major Regulatory Themes

  – Curtail non-bank money market activity

  – Raise capital requirements

  – Increase low return liquidity buffers




                      w w w . T r e a s u r y S t r a t e g i e s . c om   9
Regulatory Change Impacting Treasurers
• Banking Pre 1965

  – High Concentration Risk
  – Lack of transparency

                                  Commercial
                                    Banks

                99%                                                       99%


            Investors &                                        Borrowers
            Depositors



                     w w w . T r e a s u r y S t r a t e g i e s . c om         10
Regulatory Change Impacting Treasurers
• Modern Money Markets                      Direct Instruments
                                            Markets (CP, Repo)
 – Efficient
 – High transparency                        Money Market Funds
 – Diversified risk portfolio


                                              Securities Dealers


                80%-90%                                                               80%-90%
                                             Commercial Banks

                                  10%-20%                                   10%-20%

                             Investors &                                Borrowers
                             Depositors
                       w w w . T r e a s u r y S t r a t e g i e s . c om                       11
Regulatory Change Impacting Treasurers
• Future Environment                        Direct Instruments
                                            Markets (CP, Repo)
  – Features unknown
                                            Money Market Funds
                        80%-90%                                               80%-90%
                                              Securities Dealers


                                                  Government
                                  ?                                          ?
                                             Commercial Banks

                                   >20%                                     >20%

                             Investors &                                Borrowers
                             Depositors
                       w w w . T r e a s u r y S t r a t e g i e s . c om               12
Regulatory Change Impacting Treasurers
• It may be 5-7 years before market returns to equilibrium
     – Initial regulatory initiatives
         » Each country, multiple agencies within each country

     –   International bodies attempt at harmonization

     –   Regulatory competition

     –   Responses by financial institutions to these regulations
         » Consolidation
         » New products and price points
         » New target markets and target customers

     –   Responses by corporates and FIs to the new environment

     –   Responses by regulators to corporate and FI responses

     –   Everyone fine-tunes

     –   New equilibrium - 5 to 7 years later

                       w w w . T r e a s u r y S t r a t e g i e s . c om   13
Preparing For The New (Post Crisis)
World
• New Environment for Corporate Treasurer

  –   Higher cost of capital
  –   Higher cost of credit
  –   Higher cost of operating services
  –   Higher cost of market risk
  –   Higher cost of market compliance

• Fewer financial service options

  – Fewer (and much larger) providers
  – Fewer available instruments
  – Government allocation of liquidity



                       w w w . T r e a s u r y S t r a t e g i e s . c om   14
Preparing For The New (Post Crisis)
World
• New Imperatives for Treasurers

  –   Solidify availability of credit
  –   Shore up balance sheet, capital structures
  –   Improve global cash visibility
  –   Improve global risk visibility
  –   Improve cash forecasting
  –   Become working capital efficient
  –   Update investment guidelines




                       w w w . T r e a s u r y S t r a t e g i e s . c om   15
Preparing For The New (Post Crisis)
World
• How Treasurers say they would react to a floating NAV




                                                       Potential Destination of Departing MMMF Asset s
                                                           Percentage of all survey responses




                                Percentages do not sum to 100% as multiple response are included
                                Source: Treasury Strategies Inc.




                     w w w . T r e a s u r y S t r a t e g i e s . c om                                  16
Preparing For The New (Post Crisis)
World
• Greater role for Money Market Mutual Funds

  –   Increased importance as a liquidity tool
  –   Risk management & credit analysis tool
  –   Vechle for global visability of liquidity
  –   Diversification tool
  –   Compliance tool
  –   Simplification tool (administrative ease, accounting simplicity)




                        w w w . T r e a s u r y S t r a t e g i e s . c om   17
For More Information, Contact or Follow Us

 Anthony J. Carfang
 Tony_Carfang@TreasuryStrategies.com
 312-443-0840

 www.Twitter.com/TreasuryStrat
 www.Linkedin.com/in/carfang
 www.TreasuryStrategies.com




                     w w w . T r e a s u r y S t r a t e g i e s . c om   18
About Treasury Strategies, Inc.
 Who We Are
 Treasury Strategies, Inc. is the leading treasury consulting firm working with corporations and financial
 services providers. Our experience and thought leadership in treasury management, working capital
 management, liquidity and payments, combined with our comprehensive view of the market, rewards
 you with a unique perspective, unparalleled insights and actionable solutions.


 What We Do

 Corporations                                         Financial Services
 We help you maximize worldwide treasury              Our experience, analytic approach and
 performance and navigate regulatory and              benchmarks provide unique consulting
 payment system changes through a focus on            solutions to help you strengthen and grow
 best practices, technology, liquidity and            your business.
 controls.

 Treasury Technology
 We provide guidance through every step of
 the technology process. Our expert
 approach will uncover opportunities to
 optimize the value of your treasury through
 fully integrated technology solutions.

                              w w w . T r e a s u r y S t r a t e g i e s . c om                         19

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What Is Driving Corporate Treasurers?

  • 1. What’s Driving Corporate Treasurers? August 23, 2009 Presented By: Anthony J Carfang To: Crane’s Money Fund Symposium © 2009 Treasury Strategies, Inc. All rights reserved.
  • 2. What’s Driving Corporate Treasurers? • Expanding Role of Treasurers • Corporate Liquidity Market • Regulatory Changes Impacting Treasurers • Preparing for the New (Post Crisis) World w w w . T r e a s u r y S t r a t e g i e s . c om 2
  • 3. Expanding Role of Treasurers • Liquidity • Global Visibility of Cash • Risk & Compliance Management • Availability & Cost of Capital • Dealing With Impact of Regulation w w w . T r e a s u r y S t r a t e g i e s . c om 3
  • 4. Corporate Liquidity Markets Total Corporate Liquidity (in $ Trillions) 2004 - 2008 w w w . T r e a s u r y S t r a t e g i e s . c om 4
  • 5. Corporate Liquidity Markets w w w . T r e a s u r y S t r a t e g i e s . c om 5
  • 6. Corporate Liquidity Market • Liquidity portfolios vary by geographic location w w w . T r e a s u r y S t r a t e g i e s . c om 6
  • 7. Corporate Liquidity Market • Selection criteria for money market mutual funds Most Popular MMF Investment Large Corporate Mid-Corporate Middle Market Determinates Underlying Instruments Underlying Underlying Instruments US Instruments Size of Fund Other Underlying Instruments / UK Offered through Concentration Bank Underlying Instruments / Underlying Advisory Services Advisory Services / Instruments / France Offered through Advisory Concentration Bank Services w w w . T r e a s u r y S t r a t e g i e s . c om 7
  • 8. Regulatory Change Impacting Treasurers • Massive, Intrusive & Global • Major Regulatory Initiatives – United Kingdom - The Turner Report, CP0822 – European Union - The de la Rossier Report – United States - “Framework,” Group of 30 – Others - BCBS/BIS, Walker, G20, … w w w . T r e a s u r y S t r a t e g i e s . c om 8
  • 9. Regulatory Change Impacting Treasurers • Major Regulatory Themes – Curtail non-bank money market activity – Raise capital requirements – Increase low return liquidity buffers w w w . T r e a s u r y S t r a t e g i e s . c om 9
  • 10. Regulatory Change Impacting Treasurers • Banking Pre 1965 – High Concentration Risk – Lack of transparency Commercial Banks 99% 99% Investors & Borrowers Depositors w w w . T r e a s u r y S t r a t e g i e s . c om 10
  • 11. Regulatory Change Impacting Treasurers • Modern Money Markets Direct Instruments Markets (CP, Repo) – Efficient – High transparency Money Market Funds – Diversified risk portfolio Securities Dealers 80%-90% 80%-90% Commercial Banks 10%-20% 10%-20% Investors & Borrowers Depositors w w w . T r e a s u r y S t r a t e g i e s . c om 11
  • 12. Regulatory Change Impacting Treasurers • Future Environment Direct Instruments Markets (CP, Repo) – Features unknown Money Market Funds 80%-90% 80%-90% Securities Dealers Government ? ? Commercial Banks >20% >20% Investors & Borrowers Depositors w w w . T r e a s u r y S t r a t e g i e s . c om 12
  • 13. Regulatory Change Impacting Treasurers • It may be 5-7 years before market returns to equilibrium – Initial regulatory initiatives » Each country, multiple agencies within each country – International bodies attempt at harmonization – Regulatory competition – Responses by financial institutions to these regulations » Consolidation » New products and price points » New target markets and target customers – Responses by corporates and FIs to the new environment – Responses by regulators to corporate and FI responses – Everyone fine-tunes – New equilibrium - 5 to 7 years later w w w . T r e a s u r y S t r a t e g i e s . c om 13
  • 14. Preparing For The New (Post Crisis) World • New Environment for Corporate Treasurer – Higher cost of capital – Higher cost of credit – Higher cost of operating services – Higher cost of market risk – Higher cost of market compliance • Fewer financial service options – Fewer (and much larger) providers – Fewer available instruments – Government allocation of liquidity w w w . T r e a s u r y S t r a t e g i e s . c om 14
  • 15. Preparing For The New (Post Crisis) World • New Imperatives for Treasurers – Solidify availability of credit – Shore up balance sheet, capital structures – Improve global cash visibility – Improve global risk visibility – Improve cash forecasting – Become working capital efficient – Update investment guidelines w w w . T r e a s u r y S t r a t e g i e s . c om 15
  • 16. Preparing For The New (Post Crisis) World • How Treasurers say they would react to a floating NAV Potential Destination of Departing MMMF Asset s Percentage of all survey responses Percentages do not sum to 100% as multiple response are included Source: Treasury Strategies Inc. w w w . T r e a s u r y S t r a t e g i e s . c om 16
  • 17. Preparing For The New (Post Crisis) World • Greater role for Money Market Mutual Funds – Increased importance as a liquidity tool – Risk management & credit analysis tool – Vechle for global visability of liquidity – Diversification tool – Compliance tool – Simplification tool (administrative ease, accounting simplicity) w w w . T r e a s u r y S t r a t e g i e s . c om 17
  • 18. For More Information, Contact or Follow Us Anthony J. Carfang Tony_Carfang@TreasuryStrategies.com 312-443-0840 www.Twitter.com/TreasuryStrat www.Linkedin.com/in/carfang www.TreasuryStrategies.com w w w . T r e a s u r y S t r a t e g i e s . c om 18
  • 19. About Treasury Strategies, Inc. Who We Are Treasury Strategies, Inc. is the leading treasury consulting firm working with corporations and financial services providers. Our experience and thought leadership in treasury management, working capital management, liquidity and payments, combined with our comprehensive view of the market, rewards you with a unique perspective, unparalleled insights and actionable solutions. What We Do Corporations Financial Services We help you maximize worldwide treasury Our experience, analytic approach and performance and navigate regulatory and benchmarks provide unique consulting payment system changes through a focus on solutions to help you strengthen and grow best practices, technology, liquidity and your business. controls. Treasury Technology We provide guidance through every step of the technology process. Our expert approach will uncover opportunities to optimize the value of your treasury through fully integrated technology solutions. w w w . T r e a s u r y S t r a t e g i e s . c om 19