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2023 State of the Wine
Industry Report
Virtual Event
January 2023
Wednesday, January 18, 2023
9:00 a.m. – 10:30 a.m. PST
State of the Wine Industry
Housekeeping
• All lines have been placed on mute to prevent backgroundnoise.
• Please feel free to submit any questions in the Q&A panel.
• We will send a link to the recordingafter the webinar.
2
Featured Speakers
Rob McMillan
EVP & Founder
SVB Wine Division
Amy Hoopes
Chief Revenue Officer
The Wine Group
Paul Mabray
CEO
Pix
Pix
Philana Bouvier
President
Demeine Estates
3
4
Which age bands show the best/worst growth in consumption?
Good news: >60 is growing share Bad news: <60 is dropping share
Change in Share
2007 - 2021
Source:Customer Vineyard,SovosShipCompliant
5
20.13%
22.28%
10.24%
5.19%
0.91% 0.39% 0.64% 0.00%
3.31%
-0.62% -0.90%
-10.00%
-5.00%
0.00%
5.00%
10.00%
15.00%
20.00%
25.00%
2000 2005 2010 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Percent
Growth
in
Gallons
GrowthRate
Percent change in total US Wine Consumptionby Volume
A second consecutive year of negative growth
Source:Shanken's ImpactDatabank ReviewandForecast,2021, 2022 est.
LinearTrend
6
Change in Share
2007 - 2021
Age Groups 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
80+ -6.82x -5.89x -5.17x -4.90x -4.25x -3.96x -3.67x -3.40x -3.22x -2.99x -2.71x -2.50x -2.44x -2.22x -2.35x 4.47x
70 - 80 -2.52x -2.22x -1.94x -1.73x -1.43x -1.48x -1.36x -1.28x -1.23x -1.16x -1.08x -1.03x -1.03x 1.02x 1.04x 3.56x
60 - 70 1.25x 1.31x 1.40x 1.46x 1.47x 1.50x 1.51x 1.53x 1.50x 1.50x 1.52x 1.54x 1.56x 1.52x 1.55x 0.30x
50 - 60 1.66x 1.69x 1.72x 1.73x 1.72x 1.75x 1.74x 1.72x 1.70x 1.68x 1.65x 1.65x 1.66x 1.56x 1.58x -0.08x
40 - 50 1.53x 1.48x 1.45x 1.42x 1.39x 1.36x 1.35x 1.33x 1.31x 1.29x 1.27x 1.25x 1.25x 1.26x 1.26x -0.27x
30 - 40 -1.12x -1.15x -1.28x -1.36x -1.40x -1.43x -1.44x -1.43x -1.41x -1.38x -1.36x -1.39x -1.41x -1.34x -1.44x -0.33x
21 - 30 -4.74x -5.30x -5.72x -6.23x -6.39x -6.69x -6.81x -6.50x -5.59x -5.53x -5.61x -5.90x -6.54x -6.08x -6.39x -1.66x
The impact of our outreach to age bands since 2007
The greatest loss in consumption share is with 21 – 40 year old consumers
Source:Customer Vineyard,SovosShipCompliant
Multiple of consumptionshare above or below
LDA population share
7
15%
28% 29% 29%
49%
20%
29%
26%
29%
18%
17%
13%
10%
16%
8%
17%
11%
8%
4%
2%
16%
6% 7%
5%
3%
9% 9% 10%
8%
4%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
21-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+
Percent
of
age
group
responding
Age Range
Wine Beer Spirits Flav Malt Bev Hard Seltzers RTDs/Cider
Q: What wouldyou most likely bring to share at a party?
At least a 20%
drop in mind-
share from +65
to other age
bands
Wine
Wine
Wine
Wine
Wine
Source: TheHarris Poll
Survey conducted onlineby The Harris Poll on behalf of the Wine Executive Exchange November 9-11,2021
among 1,949 U.S.adults ages 21+.
What alcoholicbeverage would you most likely bring to a party?
Half the consumers older than 65 bring wine. What do younger consumers bring?
8
25%
20%
25%
30% 31%
37%
12%
10%
7%
11% 11%
11%
35%
36% 36%
28% 24% 14%
13%
13%
15% 15%
16%
16%
16% 20% 17% 16% 19% 23%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
21-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60-69 70+
Percent
of
Sample
Age Bands
Core Wine Drinker
Marginal Wine
Drinker
Alcohol, not wine
Infrequent Alcohol
Abstainer
Source:Wine MarketCouncil –U.S. Wine Consumer SegmentationSurveys
Core and marginal wine consumers increase share as they age
Non-wine drinkers have lower share as they age. Where is the share going?
+ 60 Consumers
Definitions
Core Consumers Drink wine at least once a
week.
Marginal
Consumers
Drink wine at least every 2 - 3
months. Also includes those
who drink wine 1 - 3 times per
month.
Alcohol, NotWine Drink alcohol but not wine,
every 2 - 3 months
Infrequent
Alcohol
Consume less than every 2-3
months
Abstainers Don't drink alcohol
TOTAL TOTAL
2017 TREND 2022
Core 22% 18%
Marginal 19% 15%
Not Wine 26% 29%
Infrequent 9% 10%
Abstainer 24% 28%
9
2%
17%
34%
40%
7%
2%
17%
35%
40%
6%
3%
20%
35%
37%
5%
4%
20%
35%
36%
5%
4%
20%
34%
37%
5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
Gen Z (21-25) Millennials (26 - 41) Gen X (42 - 57) Boomers (58 - 76) Mature (77+)
Percent
of
Club
Participation
Annual Trended Cohort Composition of Wine Clubs
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Source:SVBStateof the Industry Surveys
SVB Annual Survey informationis consistent with other charts
Millennial consumers aren’t improving their share of consumption
10
Wine Beer Spirits
Hard
Seltzer
None of
these
Is low calorie 10% 9% 9% 24% 56%
Is low carb 11% 7% 14% 21% 56%
Contains less sugar 9% 13% 14% 21% 52%
Is a good option when dieting 18% 4% 9% 18% 59%
Is healthier than other alc. bev. 34% 6% 5% 13% 48%
Is lower in alcohol 14% 23% 1% 22% 47%
Source:Wine MarketCouncil
Associationof wellness attributes by type of drink
Hard seltzer has more health associations versus wine
Hard seltzer has more perceived
health associationsversus wine
for the wide population.
For older consumers, wine still
resonatessomewhat as the
healthier beverage choice overall
11
$0.0
$200.0
$400.0
$600.0
$800.0
$1,000.0
$1,200.0
$1,400.0
$1,600.0
1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Millions
$
Years
Total Annual Advertising Spend for AlcoholicBeverages
Beer
Spirits
Wine
FMB
Millionsof Dollars
Total Alcohol Beverage Advertising Spend*
Can our industry compete with other categories?
Source:Shanken ImpactDatabank
*Comprehensive view. Includes TV, radio, web,
onlinevideo, mobile, magazines and more
12
-9.8%
-8.8%
-10.3%
-3.5%
6.4% 6.4%
10.0%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
35.0%
-15.0%
-10.0%
-5.0%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
<$4.50 $4.50-$7.99 $8.00-$10.99 $11.00-$14.99 $15.00-$24.99 $25.00-$49.99 $50.00+
Volume
Share
of
Table
Wine
Sales
Growth
vs
Last
Year
Share Trend
Growing
Depletionson Trailing12-Mo basis
Shrinking
Wine Business Bifurcation
The largest gap between volume and premium producers in memory
Source:SipSource
5.3% 5.3%
6.2%
4.8% 4.9%
5.7%
6.4%
7.4% 7.8% 7.9%
6.8%
7.5%
6.3% 6.4% 6.8%
8.7% 8.7%
8.2%
7.6%
6.3% 6.0%
5.5%
4.4%
3.8% 3.4%
0.2%
1.0%
0.6%
1.5% 1.1% 1.0% 1.0%
-0.5%
-1.4%
-2.1%
-2.8% -3.5% -3.3%
-4.5%
-5.0% -5.2% -5.2% -5.3% -5.6% -5.9% -6.3% -5.9%
-6.6% -6.9% -6.8% -6.7%
-8.6%
-10.0%
-8.0%
-6.0%
-4.0%
-2.0%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
Depletions
Spirits Wine
BusinessReopening
13
Restricted Business Conditions
Combined Industry On- Off-Premise Depletions
How could wholesaler wine depletions fall as restaurants reopened?
Source:SipSource
14
Three years of small harvest yields in CA
A year with good yields today is unwelcome
Source:CaliforniaDepartmentof Food and Agriculture
3.3
3.0
3.1
2.9
2.8
3.8
3.1
3.2
3.1
3.7 3.6
3.4
4.0
4.2
3.9
3.7
4.0 4.0
4.3
3.9
3.4
3.6
3.7
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
4.5
Millions
of
Tons
California Crush ofWinegrapes
*2022 Estimated
86%
28% 28% 27% 26% 25%
6% 4% 3%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Glass Barrels Labels Equipment Cartons /
Corrugate
Corks None Capsules Other
Percent
of
Respondents
Supply Category
Wineries supply chain issues by production category
Glass has and continues to be a problem
Source:SVBStateof the Wine IndustrySurvey 15
*Respondents could selectmorethan one option
120.0
125.0
130.0
135.0
140.0
145.0
150.0
155.0
160.0
165.0
Nov-17
Feb-18
May-18
Aug-18
Nov-18
Feb-19
May-19
Aug-19
Nov-19
Feb-20
May-20
Aug-20
Nov-20
Feb-21
May-21
Aug-21
Nov-21
Feb-22
May-22
Aug-22
Nov-22
Index
Dec
2003
=
100
Index Value Poly. (Index Value)
16
The costs of doing business are increasing
Can increased costs be passed on to consumers?
28.5%
7.1%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
9%
10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
Mar-18
Jul-18
Nov-18
Mar-19
Jul-19
Nov-19
Mar-20
Jul-20
Nov-20
Mar-21
Jul-21
Nov-21
Mar-22
Jul-22
Nov-22
CPI
Freight
Index
Change
Freight Index Change CPI Inflation
Producer Price Index - Glass
Ground Parcel Rate Index vs CPI
Source:St.Louis Fed
Source:Cowen/AFS
17
14%
39%
42%
1% 1%
3%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
Increase in
premium and
increase in
coverage
Increase in
premium and
decrease in
coverage
Premium and
coverage
similar to
prior year
Decrease in
premium and
increase in
coverage
Decrease in
premium and
decrease in
coverage
Could not
acquire
property
insurance
Percent
of
Respondents
The costs of doing business are increasing
Climate change is causing some of the cost increases
1%
19%
33%
22%
12% 12%
1%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
Severe
Negative
Impact
Substantial
Negative
Impact
Moderate
Negative
Impact
Modest
Negative
Impact
Minimal
Negative
Impact
No
Significant
Impact
Net
Positive
Impact
Obtaining Insurance Impact of ClimateChange
53% report moderate
or worse impact from
climatechange
Source:SVBStateof the Wine IndustrySurvey
18
8%
12%
3% 3%
48%
52%
25% 26%
44%
36%
72% 71%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
2019 2020 2021 2022
Percent
of
Respondents
Decrease Hold
Increase Linear (Decrease)
Linear (Hold) Linear (Increase)
Annual Forecast of Hoped for Bottle Price Increases in 2023
Widespread increases expected, but probably small
0
1% 2%
26%
47%
22%
2%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
Percent
of
Respondents
2023 Size of Expected Increase
Annual Trendof Increases
Source:SVBStateof the Wine IndustrySurvey
19
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Napa $57.26 $57.35 $58.46 $56.88 $58.35 $58.58 $55.39 $53.34 $58.14 $62.86 $57.82 $65.49 $73.34
OR $31.10 $31.12 $33.10 $32.43 $33.62 $35.83 $37.72 $37.75 $38.58 $42.78 $38.35 $38.66 $46.69
Sonoma $32.05 $34.07 $35.59 $36.17 $37.68 $39.38 $42.16 $40.85 $41.67 $40.85 $37.46 $39.64 $44.96
WA $19.72 $21.24 $22.96 $25.83 $25.65 $25.20 $24.51 $25.95 $28.06 $28.33 $29.73 $29.44 $33.54
All Regions $39.31 $39.75 $41.39 $41.27 $42.19 $41.77 $38.35 $33.41 $35.94 $41.00 $39.02 $43.92 $51.91
$57.26
$73.34
$31.10
$46.69
$32.05
$44.96
$19.72
$33.54
$39.31
$51.91
$0.00
$10.00
$20.00
$30.00
$40.00
$50.00
$60.00
$70.00
$80.00
$90.00
$100.00
Average
Bottle
Price
Napa OR Sonoma WA All Regions
Avg. Annual
Growth Rate
2.34%
4.18%
3.36%
5.84%
2.67%
Regional Average DTC Bottle Price Changes 2010 - 2022
Annual avg. price increases have been modest. Recent larger increases.
Source:Customer Vineyard,SovosShipCompliant
20
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
Percent
of
Change
by
week
vs
same
period
prior
year
WEEKLY OFF-PREMISE VOLUME & VALUE CHANGES IN 2020 -2022
VERSUS PRIOR YEAR, SAME PERIOD
Value Chg YA Volume Chg YA
Normalizing
Business
Channel Shifting - Off-Premise
Normalizing but what does normalized business look like now?
Source:Nielsen
COVIDRestricted
Reopening
COVID
Closures
Pre-COVID
21
11%
32%
10% 10%
13%
10%
13%
1%
8% 7%
10%
21%
24%
29%
2%
8%
13%
14%
25%
23%
17%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
The most difficult year
in our history
One of our most
challenging years ever
A disappointing year Neither a good year or
a bad year
A good year One of our better
years
The best year in our
history
Percent
of
Respondents
Quality of Year Rating
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Linear (2020) Linear (2022)
How was your year?
Premium wineries report a difficult 2020, but a rebound since
2021 was a spectacular year
2022 wasn’t as good, but it’s
hard to top ‘21
Source:SVBStateof the Wine IndustrySurvey
22
SVB Winery Net Sentiment Index
Despite reporting a good year in 2022,wineries are very concernedabout tomorrow
-55
19
9
-2
-30
-12
-17
-9
-32
-24
-15
-80
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
Economy Consumer
Demand
Sales
Channels
Grape Supply Labor Alcohol Laws Capital Foreign
Competition
Substitutes Water
Availability*
Overall
Net
Sentiment
Index
Industry Sentiments
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Source:SVBStateof the Wine IndustrySurvey
*WaterAvailabilityfirsttrackedin2021
23
12/31/2012 12/31/2013 12/31/2014 12/31/2015 12/31/2016 12/31/2017 12/31/2018 12/31/2019 12/31/2020 12/31/2021 9/30/2022
Gross Margin 53.4% 54.8% 56.8% 56.9% 57.4% 58.5% 57.4% 57.1% 59.0% 55.6% 57.5%
Sales Growth 7.7% 9.2% 11.9% 8.8% 9.6% 3.1% 5.3% 5.6% -0.6% 18.6% 9.7%
Pretax Profit 6.9% 6.6% 8.0% 9.6% 10.2% 9.9% 8.3% 5.0% 7.4% 14.6% 10.2%
18.6%
9.7%
45.0%
47.0%
49.0%
51.0%
53.0%
55.0%
57.0%
59.0%
-10.0%
-5.0%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
Gross
Margin
Sales
Growth
and
Pretax
Profit
9
months
2022
Financial Performance of Premium Wineries
Sales growth is slowing – but it’s growth off a great year!
Source:SVBPeerGroup AnalysisDataBase
Median case production in the database is 18,000
cases, with a range of 1,000 to 2.3 million cases.
The average retail bottle price is about $28.
24
Change in Avg. Size Winery Channel Mix
The Small Premium End of the Market Stabilized in 2022
Wholesale - On Premise
19%
Wholesale - Off Premise
11%
Tasting Room
29%
Wine Club
22%
Mailing List/Subscription
4%
Online
9%
Other
2%
Exports
2%
Phone
2%
2021
Wholesale - On
Premise
18%
Wholesale - Off
Premise
10%
Tasting Room
30%
Wine Club
24%
Mailing
List/Subscription
4%
Online
9%
Other
2% Exports
2%
Phone
1%
2022
Source:SVBStateof the Wine IndustrySurvey
Trend of Sales Channel Mix (Value)
Premium wineries report a difficult 2020, but a rebound since
25
*Collection of Online channel data began in 2020; Other includes Export and Phone sales
6% 6%
7% 6% 5%
11%
10%
4% 4% 4%
10% 9% 9%
17%
19% 18%
11% 10%
17%
15%
11%
19% 18%
22% 23% 22% 22%
24%
27%
28% 28%
29% 30%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Percent
of
Total
Sales
($)
Year
Other Mailing List/Subscription Online Wholesale Off-Premise Wholesale On-Premise Wine Club Tasting Room
Source:SVBStateof the Wine IndustrySurvey
26
$57,897
$78,081
$0
$10,000
$20,000
$30,000
$40,000
$50,000
$60,000
$70,000
$80,000
$90,000
$100,000
Average
Sales
Calendar Week
2019 2020 2021 2022
Source:NielsenCGA
Average Sales per Restaurant
Back above 2019 sales, but still fewer restaurant locations still
27
Annual Average Tasting Room Purchase by Region
Napa and Sonoma showing great results early in 2022
Source:SVBDirectto Consumer Surveys
$52.23
$110.99 $107.07 $85.54
$145.14 $119.11
$233.17
$162.31
$377.87
$-
$50.00
$100.00
$150.00
$200.00
$250.00
$300.00
$350.00
$400.00
$450.00
Rest of US Washington Santa Barbara Rest of
California
Oregon Paso Robles Sonoma County Average Napa County
Purchase
Amount
Region
Mar-17 Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-21 Mar-22
28
Why was tasting room visitation down in 2022?
Is it a trend or part of post-COVID reopening?
155.7%
43.6%
8.8%
0.4%
-17.2% -17.4% -19.3% -16.3% -19.1% -13.7%
145.8%
56.8%
23.6%
16.1%
-3.1% -7.2% -9.5% -6.2% -6.3% -9.7%
-50.0%
0.0%
50.0%
100.0%
150.0%
-40.0%
-20.0%
0.0%
20.0%
40.0%
60.0%
80.0%
100.0%
120.0%
140.0%
160.0%
180.0%
Jan-2022 Feb-2022 Mar-2022 Apr-2022 May-2022 Jun-2022 Jul-2022 Aug-2022 Sep-2022 Oct-2022
Tasting
Room
Sales
Visitation
Months
Tasting room sales vs sales in the same month, prior
Decline
Source:CommunityBenchmark
29
-0.05
-0.04
-0.03
-0.02
-0.01
0
0.01
0.02
0.03
Nov-21 Dec-21 Jan-22 Feb-22 Mar-22 Apr-22 May-22 Jun-22 Jul-22 Aug-22 Sep-22 Oct-22
Trailing
12
Month
Percentage
Growth
Rates
Visitors TR Sales Total DTC Sales
Trailing 12 month growth trends of West Coast Visitation
Is it a new trend or a ripple from post-COVID reopening?
Source:CommunityBenchmark
30
28.0%
24.0%
5.2%
17.6%
25.5%
18.4%
21.2%
22.3%
2.8%
-3.8%
19.8%
12.2%
7.7%
9.2%
11.9%
8.8%
9.6%
3.1%
5.3% 5.6%
-0.6%
18.6%
14.5%
9.7%
-10.0%
-5.0%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
Percent
Growth
Rate
Great
Recession
COVID
Sales Growth of Premium Wineries Through Recessions
Are we reverting to the mean? There is a pattern.
Tech
Bubble
Source:SVBPeerGroupDatabase
2022 Harvest Yields
Over half reported lower than normal yields again.
Source:SVBStateof the Wine IndustrySurvey
13%
45%
24%
15%
3%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
At or near record low yields Weaker than historical average
yields
Close to average historical
yields
Better than historical average
yields
At or slightly below record high
yields
Percent
of
Respondents
Harvest Yield Rating
31
0
2,000,000
4,000,000
6,000,000
8,000,000
10,000,000
12,000,000
JAN.
2020
FEB.
2020
MAR.
2020
APR.
2020
MAY.
2020
JUNE.
2020
JULY.
2020
AUG.
2020
SEPT.
2020
OCT.
2020
NOV.
2020
DEC.
2020
JAN.
2021
FEB.
2021
MAR.
2021
APR.
2021
MAY.
2021
JUN.
2021
JUL.
2021
AUG.
2021
SEPT.
2021
OCT.
2021
NOV.
2021
DEC.
2021
JAN.
2022
FEB.
2022
MAR.
2022
APR.
2022
MAY.
2022
JUN.
2022
JUL.
2022
AUG.
2022
SEPT.
2022
OCT.
2022
NOV.
2022
Gallons
CABERNET SAUVIGNON CHARDONNAY MERLOT PINOT NOIR ZINFANDEL
32
0
5,000,000
10,000,000
15,000,000
20,000,000
25,000,000
30,000,000
JAN.
2020
APR.
2020
JULY.
2020
OCT.
2020
JAN.
2021
APR.
2021
JUL.
2021
OCT.
2021
JAN.
2022
APR.
2022
JUL.
2022
OCT.
2022
QUARTERLY TOTAL
California Bulk Wine Availability
Presently in a stable pattern on light harvests
Acute Oversupply Balanced
Source:Ciatti
33
3%
5%
6%
10%
10%
11%
13%
16%
24%
24%
42%
48%
10%
53%
24%
62%
43%
18%
67%
55%
47%
41%
36%
43%
24%
36%
24%
19%
35%
16%
11%
21%
29%
29%
12%
5%
55%
5%
37%
10%
11%
39%
8%
5%
6%
9%
5%
7%
2%
9%
1%
16%
3%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Washington
Napa County
Oregon
Santa Cruz & Monterey
Other
Virginia
Sonoma County
Santa Barbara
San Luis Obispo County
Paso Robles
New York
Sierra Foothills
Record Low Lower than Average Average Better than Average Record High
Reported harvest yield trend lower throughout the regions
Virginia had above average yields. CA Foothills had a challenging year.
13%
45%
24%
15%
3%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
Overall Harvest Yield
Percent of Respondents Rating
Source:SVBStateof the Wine IndustrySurvey
Harvest Yield
75% of respondents reported harvest quality as good to excellent
Oregon & Washington topped reported quality but 2022 will be a very good year.
34
5.26%
8.33%
6%
12%
15%
19%
21%
27%
35%
37%
39%
43%
44%
45%
59%
41%
45%
38%
47%
47%
48%
32%
45%
38%
48%
34%
18%
18%
27%
19%
24%
19%
10%
16%
8%
19%
7%
21%
12%
24%
12%
14%
8%
6%
6%
11%
8%
6%
6%
10%
1%
2%
5%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Paso Robles
San Luis Obispo County
New York
Sierra Foothills
Other
Sonoma County
Napa County
Virginia
Santa Barbara
Santa Cruz & Monterey
Oregon
Washington
Percent of total respondents that rated a given quality response in the survey
Excellent Good Average Below Average Poor
2%
7%
16%
45%
30%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
Overall Harvest Quality
Source:SVBStateof the Wine IndustrySurvey
Harvest Yield
Reported Year End Volume and Value Changes
With light harvests,volume changes are less than value changes
35
10% 10%
-2%
17%
6%
9%
8%
6%
17%
4%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Percent
Sales
Growth
Year
Change in $ Sales Change in Case Sales
Source:SVBStateof the Wine IndustrySurvey
Disclaimer
36
This material,includingwithoutlimitationtothestatistical
informationherein,isprovided forinformationalpurposes only. The
informationshould not be viewedas tax,investment,legalor other
advice,nor is itto be reliedon inmaking an investmentorother
decision.You should obtainrelevantand specificprofessionaladvice
beforemaking anyinvestmentdecision.Nothingrelatingto the
materialshould be construedas a solicitation,offeror
recommendationtoacquireor dispose of any investmentorto
engage in anyother transaction.The viewsexpressedin this report
aresolely those of theauthor and do not necessarilyreflecttheviews
of SVBFinancialGroup,SiliconValleyBank,or anyof its affiliates.
SiliconValleyBankis not selling or distributingwineor wine-related
products. Through the onlineinformationalplatform,SVBCellar
Selections,SiliconValleyBankprovidesmaterialtoemployeesabout
a varietyof premiumSiliconValleyBankwineryclientsandtheir
wines.These communicationsareforinformationalpurposes only.
SiliconValleyBankis not responsible for(or a participantin)the
sales of anywineries’products in any fashionor manner and makes
no representationsthatany promotion or sales of alcoholic
beverageswillor willnot be conducted in a lawfulmanner.Further,
SiliconValleyBankdisclaimsanyresponsibilityor warrantyforany
products sold by wineriesorother wineindustryserviceproviders.
©2023 SVBFinancialGroup.All Rights Reserved.SVB,SVBFINANCIAL GROUP,SILICONVALLEYBANK,andthechevrondeviceareregisteredtrademarksof SVB
FinancialGroup,used under license.SiliconValleyBankis a memberof the FDIC and of theFederalReserveSystem.SiliconValley Bankisthe Californiabank
subsidiaryof SVBFinancialGroup(Nasdaq: SIVB).
Thank you.
37

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2023 State of the Wine Industry Virtual Event Preview

  • 1. 2023 State of the Wine Industry Report Virtual Event January 2023 Wednesday, January 18, 2023 9:00 a.m. – 10:30 a.m. PST
  • 2. State of the Wine Industry Housekeeping • All lines have been placed on mute to prevent backgroundnoise. • Please feel free to submit any questions in the Q&A panel. • We will send a link to the recordingafter the webinar. 2
  • 3. Featured Speakers Rob McMillan EVP & Founder SVB Wine Division Amy Hoopes Chief Revenue Officer The Wine Group Paul Mabray CEO Pix Pix Philana Bouvier President Demeine Estates 3
  • 4. 4 Which age bands show the best/worst growth in consumption? Good news: >60 is growing share Bad news: <60 is dropping share Change in Share 2007 - 2021 Source:Customer Vineyard,SovosShipCompliant
  • 5. 5 20.13% 22.28% 10.24% 5.19% 0.91% 0.39% 0.64% 0.00% 3.31% -0.62% -0.90% -10.00% -5.00% 0.00% 5.00% 10.00% 15.00% 20.00% 25.00% 2000 2005 2010 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Percent Growth in Gallons GrowthRate Percent change in total US Wine Consumptionby Volume A second consecutive year of negative growth Source:Shanken's ImpactDatabank ReviewandForecast,2021, 2022 est. LinearTrend
  • 6. 6 Change in Share 2007 - 2021 Age Groups 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 80+ -6.82x -5.89x -5.17x -4.90x -4.25x -3.96x -3.67x -3.40x -3.22x -2.99x -2.71x -2.50x -2.44x -2.22x -2.35x 4.47x 70 - 80 -2.52x -2.22x -1.94x -1.73x -1.43x -1.48x -1.36x -1.28x -1.23x -1.16x -1.08x -1.03x -1.03x 1.02x 1.04x 3.56x 60 - 70 1.25x 1.31x 1.40x 1.46x 1.47x 1.50x 1.51x 1.53x 1.50x 1.50x 1.52x 1.54x 1.56x 1.52x 1.55x 0.30x 50 - 60 1.66x 1.69x 1.72x 1.73x 1.72x 1.75x 1.74x 1.72x 1.70x 1.68x 1.65x 1.65x 1.66x 1.56x 1.58x -0.08x 40 - 50 1.53x 1.48x 1.45x 1.42x 1.39x 1.36x 1.35x 1.33x 1.31x 1.29x 1.27x 1.25x 1.25x 1.26x 1.26x -0.27x 30 - 40 -1.12x -1.15x -1.28x -1.36x -1.40x -1.43x -1.44x -1.43x -1.41x -1.38x -1.36x -1.39x -1.41x -1.34x -1.44x -0.33x 21 - 30 -4.74x -5.30x -5.72x -6.23x -6.39x -6.69x -6.81x -6.50x -5.59x -5.53x -5.61x -5.90x -6.54x -6.08x -6.39x -1.66x The impact of our outreach to age bands since 2007 The greatest loss in consumption share is with 21 – 40 year old consumers Source:Customer Vineyard,SovosShipCompliant Multiple of consumptionshare above or below LDA population share
  • 7. 7 15% 28% 29% 29% 49% 20% 29% 26% 29% 18% 17% 13% 10% 16% 8% 17% 11% 8% 4% 2% 16% 6% 7% 5% 3% 9% 9% 10% 8% 4% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 21-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Percent of age group responding Age Range Wine Beer Spirits Flav Malt Bev Hard Seltzers RTDs/Cider Q: What wouldyou most likely bring to share at a party? At least a 20% drop in mind- share from +65 to other age bands Wine Wine Wine Wine Wine Source: TheHarris Poll Survey conducted onlineby The Harris Poll on behalf of the Wine Executive Exchange November 9-11,2021 among 1,949 U.S.adults ages 21+. What alcoholicbeverage would you most likely bring to a party? Half the consumers older than 65 bring wine. What do younger consumers bring?
  • 8. 8 25% 20% 25% 30% 31% 37% 12% 10% 7% 11% 11% 11% 35% 36% 36% 28% 24% 14% 13% 13% 15% 15% 16% 16% 16% 20% 17% 16% 19% 23% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 21-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60-69 70+ Percent of Sample Age Bands Core Wine Drinker Marginal Wine Drinker Alcohol, not wine Infrequent Alcohol Abstainer Source:Wine MarketCouncil –U.S. Wine Consumer SegmentationSurveys Core and marginal wine consumers increase share as they age Non-wine drinkers have lower share as they age. Where is the share going? + 60 Consumers Definitions Core Consumers Drink wine at least once a week. Marginal Consumers Drink wine at least every 2 - 3 months. Also includes those who drink wine 1 - 3 times per month. Alcohol, NotWine Drink alcohol but not wine, every 2 - 3 months Infrequent Alcohol Consume less than every 2-3 months Abstainers Don't drink alcohol TOTAL TOTAL 2017 TREND 2022 Core 22% 18% Marginal 19% 15% Not Wine 26% 29% Infrequent 9% 10% Abstainer 24% 28%
  • 9. 9 2% 17% 34% 40% 7% 2% 17% 35% 40% 6% 3% 20% 35% 37% 5% 4% 20% 35% 36% 5% 4% 20% 34% 37% 5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% Gen Z (21-25) Millennials (26 - 41) Gen X (42 - 57) Boomers (58 - 76) Mature (77+) Percent of Club Participation Annual Trended Cohort Composition of Wine Clubs 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Source:SVBStateof the Industry Surveys SVB Annual Survey informationis consistent with other charts Millennial consumers aren’t improving their share of consumption
  • 10. 10 Wine Beer Spirits Hard Seltzer None of these Is low calorie 10% 9% 9% 24% 56% Is low carb 11% 7% 14% 21% 56% Contains less sugar 9% 13% 14% 21% 52% Is a good option when dieting 18% 4% 9% 18% 59% Is healthier than other alc. bev. 34% 6% 5% 13% 48% Is lower in alcohol 14% 23% 1% 22% 47% Source:Wine MarketCouncil Associationof wellness attributes by type of drink Hard seltzer has more health associations versus wine Hard seltzer has more perceived health associationsversus wine for the wide population. For older consumers, wine still resonatessomewhat as the healthier beverage choice overall
  • 11. 11 $0.0 $200.0 $400.0 $600.0 $800.0 $1,000.0 $1,200.0 $1,400.0 $1,600.0 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Millions $ Years Total Annual Advertising Spend for AlcoholicBeverages Beer Spirits Wine FMB Millionsof Dollars Total Alcohol Beverage Advertising Spend* Can our industry compete with other categories? Source:Shanken ImpactDatabank *Comprehensive view. Includes TV, radio, web, onlinevideo, mobile, magazines and more
  • 12. 12 -9.8% -8.8% -10.3% -3.5% 6.4% 6.4% 10.0% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0% -15.0% -10.0% -5.0% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% <$4.50 $4.50-$7.99 $8.00-$10.99 $11.00-$14.99 $15.00-$24.99 $25.00-$49.99 $50.00+ Volume Share of Table Wine Sales Growth vs Last Year Share Trend Growing Depletionson Trailing12-Mo basis Shrinking Wine Business Bifurcation The largest gap between volume and premium producers in memory Source:SipSource
  • 13. 5.3% 5.3% 6.2% 4.8% 4.9% 5.7% 6.4% 7.4% 7.8% 7.9% 6.8% 7.5% 6.3% 6.4% 6.8% 8.7% 8.7% 8.2% 7.6% 6.3% 6.0% 5.5% 4.4% 3.8% 3.4% 0.2% 1.0% 0.6% 1.5% 1.1% 1.0% 1.0% -0.5% -1.4% -2.1% -2.8% -3.5% -3.3% -4.5% -5.0% -5.2% -5.2% -5.3% -5.6% -5.9% -6.3% -5.9% -6.6% -6.9% -6.8% -6.7% -8.6% -10.0% -8.0% -6.0% -4.0% -2.0% 0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% Depletions Spirits Wine BusinessReopening 13 Restricted Business Conditions Combined Industry On- Off-Premise Depletions How could wholesaler wine depletions fall as restaurants reopened? Source:SipSource
  • 14. 14 Three years of small harvest yields in CA A year with good yields today is unwelcome Source:CaliforniaDepartmentof Food and Agriculture 3.3 3.0 3.1 2.9 2.8 3.8 3.1 3.2 3.1 3.7 3.6 3.4 4.0 4.2 3.9 3.7 4.0 4.0 4.3 3.9 3.4 3.6 3.7 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 Millions of Tons California Crush ofWinegrapes *2022 Estimated
  • 15. 86% 28% 28% 27% 26% 25% 6% 4% 3% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Glass Barrels Labels Equipment Cartons / Corrugate Corks None Capsules Other Percent of Respondents Supply Category Wineries supply chain issues by production category Glass has and continues to be a problem Source:SVBStateof the Wine IndustrySurvey 15 *Respondents could selectmorethan one option
  • 16. 120.0 125.0 130.0 135.0 140.0 145.0 150.0 155.0 160.0 165.0 Nov-17 Feb-18 May-18 Aug-18 Nov-18 Feb-19 May-19 Aug-19 Nov-19 Feb-20 May-20 Aug-20 Nov-20 Feb-21 May-21 Aug-21 Nov-21 Feb-22 May-22 Aug-22 Nov-22 Index Dec 2003 = 100 Index Value Poly. (Index Value) 16 The costs of doing business are increasing Can increased costs be passed on to consumers? 28.5% 7.1% 0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% Mar-18 Jul-18 Nov-18 Mar-19 Jul-19 Nov-19 Mar-20 Jul-20 Nov-20 Mar-21 Jul-21 Nov-21 Mar-22 Jul-22 Nov-22 CPI Freight Index Change Freight Index Change CPI Inflation Producer Price Index - Glass Ground Parcel Rate Index vs CPI Source:St.Louis Fed Source:Cowen/AFS
  • 17. 17 14% 39% 42% 1% 1% 3% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% Increase in premium and increase in coverage Increase in premium and decrease in coverage Premium and coverage similar to prior year Decrease in premium and increase in coverage Decrease in premium and decrease in coverage Could not acquire property insurance Percent of Respondents The costs of doing business are increasing Climate change is causing some of the cost increases 1% 19% 33% 22% 12% 12% 1% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% Severe Negative Impact Substantial Negative Impact Moderate Negative Impact Modest Negative Impact Minimal Negative Impact No Significant Impact Net Positive Impact Obtaining Insurance Impact of ClimateChange 53% report moderate or worse impact from climatechange Source:SVBStateof the Wine IndustrySurvey
  • 18. 18 8% 12% 3% 3% 48% 52% 25% 26% 44% 36% 72% 71% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 2019 2020 2021 2022 Percent of Respondents Decrease Hold Increase Linear (Decrease) Linear (Hold) Linear (Increase) Annual Forecast of Hoped for Bottle Price Increases in 2023 Widespread increases expected, but probably small 0 1% 2% 26% 47% 22% 2% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% Percent of Respondents 2023 Size of Expected Increase Annual Trendof Increases Source:SVBStateof the Wine IndustrySurvey
  • 19. 19 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Napa $57.26 $57.35 $58.46 $56.88 $58.35 $58.58 $55.39 $53.34 $58.14 $62.86 $57.82 $65.49 $73.34 OR $31.10 $31.12 $33.10 $32.43 $33.62 $35.83 $37.72 $37.75 $38.58 $42.78 $38.35 $38.66 $46.69 Sonoma $32.05 $34.07 $35.59 $36.17 $37.68 $39.38 $42.16 $40.85 $41.67 $40.85 $37.46 $39.64 $44.96 WA $19.72 $21.24 $22.96 $25.83 $25.65 $25.20 $24.51 $25.95 $28.06 $28.33 $29.73 $29.44 $33.54 All Regions $39.31 $39.75 $41.39 $41.27 $42.19 $41.77 $38.35 $33.41 $35.94 $41.00 $39.02 $43.92 $51.91 $57.26 $73.34 $31.10 $46.69 $32.05 $44.96 $19.72 $33.54 $39.31 $51.91 $0.00 $10.00 $20.00 $30.00 $40.00 $50.00 $60.00 $70.00 $80.00 $90.00 $100.00 Average Bottle Price Napa OR Sonoma WA All Regions Avg. Annual Growth Rate 2.34% 4.18% 3.36% 5.84% 2.67% Regional Average DTC Bottle Price Changes 2010 - 2022 Annual avg. price increases have been modest. Recent larger increases. Source:Customer Vineyard,SovosShipCompliant
  • 20. 20 -40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% Percent of Change by week vs same period prior year WEEKLY OFF-PREMISE VOLUME & VALUE CHANGES IN 2020 -2022 VERSUS PRIOR YEAR, SAME PERIOD Value Chg YA Volume Chg YA Normalizing Business Channel Shifting - Off-Premise Normalizing but what does normalized business look like now? Source:Nielsen COVIDRestricted Reopening COVID Closures Pre-COVID
  • 21. 21 11% 32% 10% 10% 13% 10% 13% 1% 8% 7% 10% 21% 24% 29% 2% 8% 13% 14% 25% 23% 17% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% The most difficult year in our history One of our most challenging years ever A disappointing year Neither a good year or a bad year A good year One of our better years The best year in our history Percent of Respondents Quality of Year Rating 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Linear (2020) Linear (2022) How was your year? Premium wineries report a difficult 2020, but a rebound since 2021 was a spectacular year 2022 wasn’t as good, but it’s hard to top ‘21 Source:SVBStateof the Wine IndustrySurvey
  • 22. 22 SVB Winery Net Sentiment Index Despite reporting a good year in 2022,wineries are very concernedabout tomorrow -55 19 9 -2 -30 -12 -17 -9 -32 -24 -15 -80 -60 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 Economy Consumer Demand Sales Channels Grape Supply Labor Alcohol Laws Capital Foreign Competition Substitutes Water Availability* Overall Net Sentiment Index Industry Sentiments 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Source:SVBStateof the Wine IndustrySurvey *WaterAvailabilityfirsttrackedin2021
  • 23. 23 12/31/2012 12/31/2013 12/31/2014 12/31/2015 12/31/2016 12/31/2017 12/31/2018 12/31/2019 12/31/2020 12/31/2021 9/30/2022 Gross Margin 53.4% 54.8% 56.8% 56.9% 57.4% 58.5% 57.4% 57.1% 59.0% 55.6% 57.5% Sales Growth 7.7% 9.2% 11.9% 8.8% 9.6% 3.1% 5.3% 5.6% -0.6% 18.6% 9.7% Pretax Profit 6.9% 6.6% 8.0% 9.6% 10.2% 9.9% 8.3% 5.0% 7.4% 14.6% 10.2% 18.6% 9.7% 45.0% 47.0% 49.0% 51.0% 53.0% 55.0% 57.0% 59.0% -10.0% -5.0% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% Gross Margin Sales Growth and Pretax Profit 9 months 2022 Financial Performance of Premium Wineries Sales growth is slowing – but it’s growth off a great year! Source:SVBPeerGroup AnalysisDataBase Median case production in the database is 18,000 cases, with a range of 1,000 to 2.3 million cases. The average retail bottle price is about $28.
  • 24. 24 Change in Avg. Size Winery Channel Mix The Small Premium End of the Market Stabilized in 2022 Wholesale - On Premise 19% Wholesale - Off Premise 11% Tasting Room 29% Wine Club 22% Mailing List/Subscription 4% Online 9% Other 2% Exports 2% Phone 2% 2021 Wholesale - On Premise 18% Wholesale - Off Premise 10% Tasting Room 30% Wine Club 24% Mailing List/Subscription 4% Online 9% Other 2% Exports 2% Phone 1% 2022 Source:SVBStateof the Wine IndustrySurvey
  • 25. Trend of Sales Channel Mix (Value) Premium wineries report a difficult 2020, but a rebound since 25 *Collection of Online channel data began in 2020; Other includes Export and Phone sales 6% 6% 7% 6% 5% 11% 10% 4% 4% 4% 10% 9% 9% 17% 19% 18% 11% 10% 17% 15% 11% 19% 18% 22% 23% 22% 22% 24% 27% 28% 28% 29% 30% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Percent of Total Sales ($) Year Other Mailing List/Subscription Online Wholesale Off-Premise Wholesale On-Premise Wine Club Tasting Room Source:SVBStateof the Wine IndustrySurvey
  • 26. 26 $57,897 $78,081 $0 $10,000 $20,000 $30,000 $40,000 $50,000 $60,000 $70,000 $80,000 $90,000 $100,000 Average Sales Calendar Week 2019 2020 2021 2022 Source:NielsenCGA Average Sales per Restaurant Back above 2019 sales, but still fewer restaurant locations still
  • 27. 27 Annual Average Tasting Room Purchase by Region Napa and Sonoma showing great results early in 2022 Source:SVBDirectto Consumer Surveys $52.23 $110.99 $107.07 $85.54 $145.14 $119.11 $233.17 $162.31 $377.87 $- $50.00 $100.00 $150.00 $200.00 $250.00 $300.00 $350.00 $400.00 $450.00 Rest of US Washington Santa Barbara Rest of California Oregon Paso Robles Sonoma County Average Napa County Purchase Amount Region Mar-17 Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-21 Mar-22
  • 28. 28 Why was tasting room visitation down in 2022? Is it a trend or part of post-COVID reopening? 155.7% 43.6% 8.8% 0.4% -17.2% -17.4% -19.3% -16.3% -19.1% -13.7% 145.8% 56.8% 23.6% 16.1% -3.1% -7.2% -9.5% -6.2% -6.3% -9.7% -50.0% 0.0% 50.0% 100.0% 150.0% -40.0% -20.0% 0.0% 20.0% 40.0% 60.0% 80.0% 100.0% 120.0% 140.0% 160.0% 180.0% Jan-2022 Feb-2022 Mar-2022 Apr-2022 May-2022 Jun-2022 Jul-2022 Aug-2022 Sep-2022 Oct-2022 Tasting Room Sales Visitation Months Tasting room sales vs sales in the same month, prior Decline Source:CommunityBenchmark
  • 29. 29 -0.05 -0.04 -0.03 -0.02 -0.01 0 0.01 0.02 0.03 Nov-21 Dec-21 Jan-22 Feb-22 Mar-22 Apr-22 May-22 Jun-22 Jul-22 Aug-22 Sep-22 Oct-22 Trailing 12 Month Percentage Growth Rates Visitors TR Sales Total DTC Sales Trailing 12 month growth trends of West Coast Visitation Is it a new trend or a ripple from post-COVID reopening? Source:CommunityBenchmark
  • 31. 2022 Harvest Yields Over half reported lower than normal yields again. Source:SVBStateof the Wine IndustrySurvey 13% 45% 24% 15% 3% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% At or near record low yields Weaker than historical average yields Close to average historical yields Better than historical average yields At or slightly below record high yields Percent of Respondents Harvest Yield Rating 31
  • 32. 0 2,000,000 4,000,000 6,000,000 8,000,000 10,000,000 12,000,000 JAN. 2020 FEB. 2020 MAR. 2020 APR. 2020 MAY. 2020 JUNE. 2020 JULY. 2020 AUG. 2020 SEPT. 2020 OCT. 2020 NOV. 2020 DEC. 2020 JAN. 2021 FEB. 2021 MAR. 2021 APR. 2021 MAY. 2021 JUN. 2021 JUL. 2021 AUG. 2021 SEPT. 2021 OCT. 2021 NOV. 2021 DEC. 2021 JAN. 2022 FEB. 2022 MAR. 2022 APR. 2022 MAY. 2022 JUN. 2022 JUL. 2022 AUG. 2022 SEPT. 2022 OCT. 2022 NOV. 2022 Gallons CABERNET SAUVIGNON CHARDONNAY MERLOT PINOT NOIR ZINFANDEL 32 0 5,000,000 10,000,000 15,000,000 20,000,000 25,000,000 30,000,000 JAN. 2020 APR. 2020 JULY. 2020 OCT. 2020 JAN. 2021 APR. 2021 JUL. 2021 OCT. 2021 JAN. 2022 APR. 2022 JUL. 2022 OCT. 2022 QUARTERLY TOTAL California Bulk Wine Availability Presently in a stable pattern on light harvests Acute Oversupply Balanced Source:Ciatti
  • 33. 33 3% 5% 6% 10% 10% 11% 13% 16% 24% 24% 42% 48% 10% 53% 24% 62% 43% 18% 67% 55% 47% 41% 36% 43% 24% 36% 24% 19% 35% 16% 11% 21% 29% 29% 12% 5% 55% 5% 37% 10% 11% 39% 8% 5% 6% 9% 5% 7% 2% 9% 1% 16% 3% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Washington Napa County Oregon Santa Cruz & Monterey Other Virginia Sonoma County Santa Barbara San Luis Obispo County Paso Robles New York Sierra Foothills Record Low Lower than Average Average Better than Average Record High Reported harvest yield trend lower throughout the regions Virginia had above average yields. CA Foothills had a challenging year. 13% 45% 24% 15% 3% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% Overall Harvest Yield Percent of Respondents Rating Source:SVBStateof the Wine IndustrySurvey Harvest Yield
  • 34. 75% of respondents reported harvest quality as good to excellent Oregon & Washington topped reported quality but 2022 will be a very good year. 34 5.26% 8.33% 6% 12% 15% 19% 21% 27% 35% 37% 39% 43% 44% 45% 59% 41% 45% 38% 47% 47% 48% 32% 45% 38% 48% 34% 18% 18% 27% 19% 24% 19% 10% 16% 8% 19% 7% 21% 12% 24% 12% 14% 8% 6% 6% 11% 8% 6% 6% 10% 1% 2% 5% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Paso Robles San Luis Obispo County New York Sierra Foothills Other Sonoma County Napa County Virginia Santa Barbara Santa Cruz & Monterey Oregon Washington Percent of total respondents that rated a given quality response in the survey Excellent Good Average Below Average Poor 2% 7% 16% 45% 30% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% Overall Harvest Quality Source:SVBStateof the Wine IndustrySurvey Harvest Yield
  • 35. Reported Year End Volume and Value Changes With light harvests,volume changes are less than value changes 35 10% 10% -2% 17% 6% 9% 8% 6% 17% 4% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Percent Sales Growth Year Change in $ Sales Change in Case Sales Source:SVBStateof the Wine IndustrySurvey
  • 36. Disclaimer 36 This material,includingwithoutlimitationtothestatistical informationherein,isprovided forinformationalpurposes only. The informationshould not be viewedas tax,investment,legalor other advice,nor is itto be reliedon inmaking an investmentorother decision.You should obtainrelevantand specificprofessionaladvice beforemaking anyinvestmentdecision.Nothingrelatingto the materialshould be construedas a solicitation,offeror recommendationtoacquireor dispose of any investmentorto engage in anyother transaction.The viewsexpressedin this report aresolely those of theauthor and do not necessarilyreflecttheviews of SVBFinancialGroup,SiliconValleyBank,or anyof its affiliates. SiliconValleyBankis not selling or distributingwineor wine-related products. Through the onlineinformationalplatform,SVBCellar Selections,SiliconValleyBankprovidesmaterialtoemployeesabout a varietyof premiumSiliconValleyBankwineryclientsandtheir wines.These communicationsareforinformationalpurposes only. SiliconValleyBankis not responsible for(or a participantin)the sales of anywineries’products in any fashionor manner and makes no representationsthatany promotion or sales of alcoholic beverageswillor willnot be conducted in a lawfulmanner.Further, SiliconValleyBankdisclaimsanyresponsibilityor warrantyforany products sold by wineriesorother wineindustryserviceproviders. ©2023 SVBFinancialGroup.All Rights Reserved.SVB,SVBFINANCIAL GROUP,SILICONVALLEYBANK,andthechevrondeviceareregisteredtrademarksof SVB FinancialGroup,used under license.SiliconValleyBankis a memberof the FDIC and of theFederalReserveSystem.SiliconValley Bankisthe Californiabank subsidiaryof SVBFinancialGroup(Nasdaq: SIVB).