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Results and Outlook
February 2019
2018 Results and Outlook
Consistently delivering
Delivering on objectives
• Outstanding production growth
• Capex and Opex discipline
• Best-in-class Profitability
Strong cash flow growth underpins shareholder
returns
Integrating along the oil, gas and low carbon
electricity value chains to capture upside
Attractive portfolio in hand to deliver the
strategy post-2020
2
2018 Results and Outlook
4 fatalities in 2018 Successfully implementing Total safety culture
Safety, Total’s core value
Cornerstone of operational efficiency
Saft (battery business) TRIR**
Per million man-hours
Total Recordable Injury Rate for Total and peers*
Per million man-hours
1
2
2013 2018
0.9
5
10
2016 2017 2018
* Group TRIR excl. Specialty Chemicals
Peers: BP, Chevron, ExxonMobil, Shell
** Acquired Saft in 2016 and integrated in Total reporting since 2017
3
2018 Results and Outlook
85
100
Oil market volatility
Supply-demand and OECD inventories
Mb/d, days of demand cover
Demand
Supply
2010 2018
Increasing demand but sensitive to price
and emerging market growth
Growing supply: opposing trends
• OPEC & Russia announced 1.2 Mb/d
production cuts
• Debottlenecking US shale supply
• Venezuela, Libya and export from Iran
• Underinvestment in the industry
* Source: IEA
+1.3 Mb/d
demand
in 2018*
4
Market fundamentally volatile
Nov. 2018:
59.6 days
2018 Results and Outlook
+10% in 2018 (China +41%) Opportunity for low breakeven projects
Strong LNG demand growth driven by Asia
Supportive government policies for natural gas
2015-30 LNG supply
Mt/y
2015-30 LNG demand
Mt/y
250
500
2015 2018 2025 2030
Japan
Korea
Taiwan
China
Rest of Asia
Europe
Middle East
Other
250
500
2015 2018 2025 2030
Needs to be
sanctioned
Under
construction
Existing
supply
Demand
5
5%
CAGR
9%
CAGR
2018 results: consistently delivering
2018 Results and Outlook
Consistently delivering strong results
Best-in-class profitability with ROACE and ROE at 12%
Return on average capital employed (ROACE)
%
Adjusted net income
B$
54Brent ($/b) 44
2016 2017
71
2018
8.3 B$
10.6 B$
13.6 B$
iGRP: integrated LNG (upstream and midstream) + GRP assets
* E&P and iGRP restated for 2016-18
Segments include minority interests and allocation of Corporate costs
5%
10%
15%
+28%
Exploration &
Production*
Refining & Chemicals
Marketing & Services
Cost of net debt
Integrated Gas,
Renewables & Power*
Targeting 12% ROE at 60 $/b
Peers: BP, Chevron, ExxonMobil, Shell – based on public data
7
2018 Results and Outlook
Growing cash flow generation
Increasing contribution from high margin new projects
Organic free cash flow
B$
2018 cash flow allocation
B$
Organic pre-dividend breakeven < 30 $/b
CFFO Capital investment
Dividend
Buyback
15.624.7
-5
5
10 > 15 B$
2015
2018
2016
2017
Sources Uses
52 44 54Brent ($/b) 71
7.7
1.5
8
2018 Results and Outlook
NAMIBIA
11B-12B Block
SOUTH AFRICA
Outeniqua Basin
Brulpadda
(Total 45% Op)
Recent discovery
Prospects
Total AcreageRecent discovery
Major facilities
Exploration delivery underway
Budget ~ 1.2 B$ in 2019
Glengorm gas condensate discovery
~250 Mboe, Maersk Oil portfolio
Discoveries in core area
#2 operator in the North Sea
Opening a world-class play
in South Africa
Novatek in Russia
(Total, shareholder with 19.4%)
Significant gas condensate & light oil discovery
Four other prospects
Potential resources of ~1 Bboe
> 20 Tcf discovered in 2018
North-Obskoye largest global discovery > 10 Tcf
Glendronach
(Total 60% Op)
Glengorm
(Total 25%)
Sheltand Gas Plant
Elgin Franklin
Culzean
Ekofisk
DUC
Alwyn
Johan Sverdrup
Source: Novatek, Wood Mackenzie
9
Salmanov Jurassic
North-Obskoye
Yamal LNG
Nyakhartinskoye
Arctic LNG 2
Recent discovery
Projects with Total 0 100km 200km
11B-12B Block
2018 Results and Outlook
5
10
Additions Asset Sales
10
20
2017 2018
70% of 2P reserves in 8 countries, including 4 OECD
countries: Australia, Canada, Norway & USA
M&A highgrading portfolio and renewing reserves
Strong 2018 proved reserve replacement of 157%
Proved and probable reserves
Bboe
2018 E&P M&A and License extensions
B$
10
Main assets:
• Martin Linge
• Fort Hills
• Ichthys
Main assets:
• Adnoc offshore
• Iara
• Lapa
Maersk Oil
(shares & debt) +1.4
Bboe
~40
Organic cash
breakeven ($/boe) <30
Note: 2P reserves as per SPE
2018 Results and Outlook
7
2016 2017 2018
Maintaining strong CFFO
while selling 8 B$ assets over 2015-18
Non-cyclical M&S
Expanding Petrochemicals in US, Asia and MENA*
Downstream: best-in-class >25% ROACE
Diversified portfolio generating stable cash flow
2018 Downstream CFFO
%
Downstream CFFO
B$
ERMI ($/t) 34 41 32
~6.5 B$
Refining Chemicals
Marketing & Services
11
* Middle East & North Africa
2018 Results and Outlook
Gearing ~+3%
Capital employed +5 to 6 B$
DACF ~+1 B$
Adjusted net income ~0
2.1 B$ non-recurring items in 2018
Strong balance sheet
Delivering on objective to maintain gearing < 20%
IFRS 16 impact in 2019
Net-debt-to-capital
%
2015 2016 2017 2018
21%
15.5%
12%
22%
12
2018 Results and Outlook
Delivering on objectives
2018 objectives
Target Realized
Capital investment ~ 16 B$ 15.6 B$
Cost reduction > 4 B$ 4.2 B$
Upstream Opex
5.5
$/boe
5.7
$/boe
Production growth 6% 8%
Downstream CFFO ~ 7 B$ 6.5 B$
Dividend increase 3.2% 3.2%
Share buyback
5 B$
2018-20
1.5 B$
2018
13
2018 Results and Outlook
-4%
5%
20%
5%
15%
30%
Outperforming peers in 2018
Downstream ROACE
%
Net-debt-to-capital
%
Production growth
%
Peers: BP, Chevron, ExxonMobil, Shell – based on public data
Group ROACE
%
14
Discipline and cash flow growth
2018 Results and Outlook
Delivering outstanding production growth
8 major start-ups in 2018-19
• Egina, Kaombo North, Ichthys
and Yamal LNG ramp-ups
• Iara 1, Kaombo South, Culzean
and Johan Sverdrup start-ups
> 40% increase in LNG production
Short cycle projects contributing
~60 kboe/d in 2019
Managing decline rate at ~3%
2
2.5
3
2017 2018 2019
Production* growth
Mboe/d
+8%
> +9%
Best-in-class 5% CAGR for 2017-22
* EP + iGRP production
16
2018 Results and Outlook
2018 2019 2020
1-2 B$ net acquisitions
Capital investment discipline
2019 capital investment
%
Capital investment*
B$
* Organic Capex + net acquisitions
Exploration
& Production
iGRP:
Integrated
Gas
Renewables
& Power
Downstream
15-16 15-1715.6
17
Guidance
Feb 2018 ~16 15-17 15-17
iGRP: integrated LNG (upstream and midstream) + GRP assets
2018 Results and Outlook
2018 2019 2020
Targeting 5.5 $/boe in 2019
Maintaining discipline on Opex
Competitive advantage on cost
Production costs (ASC 932)
$/boe
Opex savings vs. 2014 base
B$
5
10
15
> 5 B$
4.7 B$
4.2 B$
Downstream
& Corporate
Upstream
9.9
7.4
5.9
2014 2018
5.4
Continuing to cut costs
5.7
18
2018 Results and Outlook
10
30
2017 2018 2019
+8 B$ in 2020 at 60 $/b vs. 2017
Clear visibility on cash flow growth
Debt adjusted cash flow (DACF)*
B$
Strong contribution from 2018 project start-ups
• 3 B$ in 2019** from Kaombo, Ichthys, Egina
Solid cash generation from acquisitions
• 2.5 B$ in 2019** from Maersk Oil, Brazil and
Adnoc offshore
Capturing oil price upside, 2019 sensitivity
3.2 B$ for 10 $/b liquid realized price
19
* ERMI = 35 $/t
22.2
70 $/b
54 $/b
71 $/b
50 $/b
60 $/b
26.1
** At 60 $/b
2018 Results and Outlook
Clear priorities for cash flow allocation 2018-20
15-17 B$ per year
Capital
investment
1
10% increase
over 2018-20
Dividend
2
Maintain
gearing < 20%
grade A credit rating
Balance
sheet
3
5 B$ over 2018-20
Share
buyback
4
20
2019 vs. 2017: +6.5%
Ending scrip dividend
from 2019 AGM
2018: 1.5 B$
2019: 1.5 B$ at 60 $/b
Preparing for future growth
2018 Results and Outlook
300
2017 2040
Integrating climate into strategy
Taking into account anticipated market trends
Global energy demand
Mboe/d
IEA 2°C
scenario*
Renewables
Nuclear
Coal
Oil
Natural gas
Focusing on
oil projects
with low
breakeven
Expanding
along the
gas value
chain
Developing
profitable &
sizeable
low carbon
electricity
business
* IEA Sustainable Development Scenario
22
2018 Results and Outlook
Oil & Gas: Building on our strengths
Leveraging expertise in 7 core areas
23
Deepwater1 LNG2 Retail & Lubricants4Petrochemicals3
Africa
Market leader
5
Middle East & North Africa
Partner of choice
6
North Sea
#2 operator
7
2018 Results and Outlook
20
Acquisitions Divestments
Countercyclical M&A creating value
Acquisitions and divestments 2015-18
B$
24
Maersk Oil
(shares & debt)
• 7 Bboe of resources added at < 2.5 $/boe
• > 4 B$/y CFFO at 60 $/b from 2019 on average
• ROACE at 60 $/b ~10%
E&P 2015-18 acquisitions
• ~10 Mt/y of LNG contracts
• Cameron LNG T1-3 start-up 2019 + T4-5 expansion
• 300-400 M$/y CFFO
• ROACE ~20%
Engie LNG
2018 Results and Outlook
Sanctioning high return projects for future growth
Launching > 700 kboe/d by 2020
25
* Direct + indirect.
** Subject to closing
Fenix
60 kboe/d, 38% Op.
Mero 2
150 kb/d, 20%
Mero 3
150 kb/d, 20%
Zinia 2
40 kb/d, 40%, Op.
Tilenga & Kingfisher
230 kb/d, 44%**, Op.
Ikike
45 kboe/d, 40% Op.
Johan Sverdrup 2
220 kb/d, 8%
Al Shaheen 2
85 kb/d, 30%
Arctic LNG 2
600 kboe/d, 22%*
Papua LNG
160 kboe/d, 31% Op.
Ballymore
170 kb/d, 40%
Mero 4
150 kb/d, 20%
GLNG Roma/Arcadia
30 kboe/d, 28%
Owowo
180 kboe/d, 18%
NLNG extension
7.5Mt/y, 15%
Cameron LNG T4/T5
9 Mt/y, 17%
North Platte
70 kb/d, 60% Op.
Vaca Muerta
40 kboe/d, 41% Op.
Glendronach
25 kboe/d, 60%, Op.
A6
60 kboe/d, 40% Op.
Troll, Ekofisk
360 kboe/d, ~21% average
Anchor
80 kb/d, 33%
Iara 3
150 kb/d, 23%
Lapa 3
30 kb/d, 35% Op.
Energia Costa Azul
2.5 Mt/y, 17%
Preowei
70 kboe/d, 24% Op.
FEED, under studyLaunched 2019 targeted FID
Wt. avg. IRR
>15%
at 50 $/b
Prod. growth
2020-25
> 2%/y
2018 Results and Outlook
Delivering profitable short cycle developments
Launching 400 Mboe by end-2019
Short cycle projects launched in 2018
Short cycle reserve split
Bboe
Dalia 3 and Clov 2 (Angola),
Elgin Franklin (UK), TFT (Algeria)
> 1 Bboe
reserves
Sanctioned
in 2018-19
2020+
sanctions
26
Average IRR
> 20%
at 50 $/b
Capex
< 7 $/boe
2018 Results and Outlook
Production
Fully integrated along the oil value chain
Investing through the cycle and resilient in a volatile market
27
Note: 2018 data
1.6 Mb/d
Refining Marketing & Services
1.9 Mb/d 1.8 Mb/d
2018 Results and Outlook
Expanding high return petrochemicals
Leveraging world class integrated platforms
Investing in growing markets
Building on low cost gas feedstock
Founding member of new global
alliance to end plastic waste
Petrochemical projects
Port Arthur
Satorp
Qatar
Daesan
Normandy
Antwerp
New ethane cracker
PE capacity increase
Start up 2021
US: Total Borealis Nova JV
Propane cracker expansion
PE & PP capacity increase
Start up 2019-20
South Korea: Hanwha Total JV
New mixed feed cracker
New PE capacity
> 15% IRR, FEED ongoing
Saudi Arabia: SATORP
Petrochemicals
New Propane dehydrogenation
+ PP capacity
> 15% IRR, FEED ongoing
Algeria: Sonatrach Total JV
28
2018 Results and Outlook
Marketing & Services targeting large growing markets
Expanding worldwide network of 14,000 service stations
3
2018 2022
Delivering non-cyclical
cash flow growth
Marketing & Services CFFO
B$
2018 M&A and partnerships
JV with Adani
Targeting 1,500 stations over 10 years
India
Alliance with local partners
~400 stations by 2022
Mexico
JV with Sonangol
Initial 50 stations doubling over 5 years
Angola
Acquiring 280 stations
doubling over 5 years
Brazil
Retail2018 M&A and partnerships
29
+100 M$
per year
2018 Results and Outlook
2
4
Accelerating integrated LNG growth CFFO growing ~2x by 2020
iGRP: investing for growth
Capturing the value of integrated gas and low carbon electricity
CFFO
B$
Capital Investments
B$*
30
2019-202018
2
4
2018 2019 2020
70 $/b
60 $/b
71 $/b
* At 60$/b
2018 Results and Outlook
3
2018 2019 2020
~60% growth by 2020
Strong contribution from 2018 start-ups
Growing world-class LNG portfolio
Priority to low cost, brownfield projects
Integrated LNG CFFO
B$*
New LNG projects in key supply regions
LNG Trading portfolio : doubling to 20 Mt/y
from 2019
Pre-FID projects Equity Project capa.
Arctic LNG 2 Russia 22%** 20 Mt/y
Energia Costa Azul Ph1 Mexico 10-17% 2.5 Mt/y
Nigeria LNG extension Nigeria 15% 7.5 Mt/y
Papua LNG Papua 31% 5.5 Mt/y
Cameron LNG T4-5 USA 16.6% 9 Mt/y
* at 60$/b ** Direct + indirect.
31
2018 Results and Outlook
10%
20%
Building a profitable low carbon electricity business
Integrated approach: production, trading and marketing
Renewables project value creation
Nominal IRR %
Generating returns through leverage and farm down
>15%
Investing 1.5-2 B$/y in low carbon electricity
Supply &
Trading 5-7%
32
Europe
~3 GW* by 2020
Gas to electricity
Worldwide
~7 GW by 2022
Renewables to electricity
4 M customers in Europe in 2018
targeting 7 M by 2022
Marketing
* including 2 planned CCGT acquisitions from EPH, 1 in development ** Source Wood Mackenzie
Typical
Project IRR**
Leverage Farm down TOTAL
Equity IRR
2018 Results and Outlook
50
100
2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040
Strategy contributing to tackle climate change
Reducing the carbon intensity of our energy sales
2015 2040
Ambition
-15%
2015-30
Further improving efficiency of our operations
Growing in natural gas
Developing a profitable low carbon
electricity business
Promoting sustainable biofuels
Investing in carbon sink businesses
(natural sinks & CCUS)
Carbon intensity
Base 100 in 2015 (75 gCO2/kbtu)
IEA NPS
IEA SDS
2030
NPS: New Policy Scenario ~2.7°C by 2100
SDS: Sustainable Development Scenario ~2°C by 2100
Possible sales mix 2040
Natural gas : 45-55%
Oil (incl. biofuels): 30-40%
Low carbon electricity: 15-20%
33
2018 Results and Outlook
Total, the Responsible Energy Major
Balancing added value distribution among stakeholders
~100,000 employees
Working in > 130 countries worldwide
450,000 institutional and individual investors
Supporting network of ~100,000 suppliers
Serving 15 million customers daily
2010-18 added value, ~50 B$/y
B$
Salaries
& benefits
Dividends
Taxes
Net
investments
34
2018 Results and Outlook
Consistently delivering
Delivering on objectives
• Outstanding production growth
• Capex and Opex discipline
• Best-in-class Profitability
Strong cash flow growth underpins
shareholder returns
• Increasing dividend by 3.1% in 2019
• Ending scrip option from 2019 AGM
• 1.5 B$ buyback at 60 $/b in 2019
Integrating along the oil, gas and low carbon
electricity value chains to capture upsides
Attractive portfolio in hand to deliver the
strategy post-2020
35
Appendix
2018 Results and Outlook
kboe/d Share Country
Yamal LNG T1 150 29.7% Russia
Fort Hills 180 24,5% Canada
Vaca Muerta 100 41% Op. Argentina
Timimoun 30 38% Algeria
Yamal LNG T2 150 29.7% Russia
Kaombo North 115 30% Op. Angola
Ichthys LNG 340 30% Australia
Halfaya 3 200 22.5% Iraq
Egina 200 24% Op. Nigeria
Yamal LNG T3 150 29.7% Russia
Tempa Rossa 55 50% Op. Italy
Iara 1 150 22.5% Brazil
Kaombo South 115 30% Op. Angola
Culzean 100 49.99% Op. UK
Johan Sverdrup 1 440 8.44% Norway
Yamal LNG T4 20 29.7% Russia
Iara 2 150 22.5% Brazil
Absheron 35 50% Azerbaijan
Zinia 2 40 40% Op. Angola
2018-20 major start-ups
Delivering ~600 kboe/d by 2020
2018
2019
2020
37
Yamal: direct + indirect working interest
2018 Results and Outlook
Targeted Total hubs
7
2017 2020
Benefiting from
900 kb/d low sulfur production
Well positioned for new IMO regulation
Positive for E&P and R&C, a new opportunity for M&S
Low fuel oil yield (<5%)
High distillate output (50%)
Building supply
network on main hubs
Crude Oil
Low sulfur crude value increasing
Products value
HSFO decreasing, distillates increasing
Alternative fuel
Development of LNG for bunkering
Total:
60%
low sulfur
World:
42%
low sulfur
38
2
Antwerp modernization
Port Arthur coker
Logistic segregation
LS/HS crude
flexibility
Mt/y
IMO: International Maritime Organization
2018 Results and Outlook
This document may contain forward-looking information on the Group (including objectives and trends), as well
as forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, notably
with respect to the financial condition, results of operations, business, strategy and plans of TOTAL. These data do
not represent forecasts within the meaning of European Regulation No. 809/2004.
Such forward-looking information and statements included in this document are based on a number of
economic data and assumptions made in a given economic, competitive and regulatory environment. They
may prove to be inaccurate in the future, and are subject to a number of risk factors that could lead to a
significant difference between actual results and those anticipated, including the price of petroleum products,
the ability to realize cost reductions and operating efficiencies without unduly disrupting business operations,
changes in regulations including environmental and climate, currency fluctuations, as well as economic and
political developments and changes in business conditions. Certain financial information is based on estimates
particularly in the assessment of the recoverable value of assets and potential impairments of assets relating
thereto.
Neither TOTAL nor any of its subsidiaries assumes any obligation to update publicly any forward-looking
information or statement, objectives or trends contained in this document whether as a result of new information,
future events or otherwise. Further information on factors, risks and uncertainties that could affect the Group’s
business, financial condition, including its operating income and cash flow, reputation or outlook is provided in
the most recent Registration Document filed by the Company with the French Autorité des Marchés Financiers
and annual report on Form 20-F filed with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”).
Financial information by business segment is reported in accordance with the internal reporting system and
shows internal segment information that is used to manage and measure the performance of TOTAL. In addition
to IFRS measures, certain alternative performance indicators are presented, such as performance indicators
excluding the adjustment items described below (adjusted operating income, adjusted net operating income,
adjusted net income), return on equity (ROE), return on average capital employed (ROACE) and gearing ratio.
These indicators are meant to facilitate the analysis of the financial performance of TOTAL and the comparison
of income between periods. They allow investors to track the measures used internally to manage and measure
the performance of the Group. These adjustment items include:
(i) Special items
Due to their unusual nature or particular significance, certain transactions qualified as "special items" are
excluded from the business segment figures. In general, special items relate to transactions that are significant,
infrequent or unusual. However, in certain instances, transactions such as restructuring costs or asset disposals,
which are not considered to be representative of the normal course of business, may be qualified as special
items although they may have occurred within prior years or are likely to occur again within the coming years.
(ii) Inventory valuation effect
The adjusted results of the Refining & Chemicals and Marketing & Services segments
are presented according to the replacement cost method. This method is used to assess
the segments’ performance and facilitate the comparability of the segments’ performance with those of its
competitors.
In the replacement cost method, which approximates the LIFO (Last-In, First-Out) method, the variation of
inventory values in the statement of income is, depending on the nature of the inventory, determined using either
the month-end price differentials between one period and another or the average prices of the period rather
than the historical value.
The inventory valuation effect is the difference between the results according to the FIFO (First-In, First-Out) and
the replacement cost.
(iii) Effect of changes in fair value
The effect of changes in fair value presented as an adjustment item reflects for some transactions differences
between internal measures of performance used by TOTAL’s management and the accounting for these
transactions under IFRS.
IFRS requires that trading inventories be recorded at their fair value using period-end spot prices. In order to best
reflect the management of economic exposure through derivative transactions, internal indicators used to
measure performance include valuations of trading inventories based on forward prices.
Furthermore, TOTAL, in its trading activities, enters into storage contracts, which future effects are recorded at fair
value in Group’s internal economic performance. IFRS precludes recognition of this fair value effect.
The adjusted results (adjusted operating income, adjusted net operating income, adjusted net income) are
defined as replacement cost results, adjusted for special items, excluding the effect of changes in fair value.
Euro amounts presented herein represent dollar amounts converted at the average euro-dollar (€-$) exchange
rate for the applicable period and are not the result of financial statements prepared in euros.
This document also contains extra-financial performance indicators, including a carbon intensity indicator for
TOTAL energy sales that measures the weighted average greenhouse gas emissions of energy products sold by
TOTAL, from their production in TOTAL facilities to their end use by TOTAL customers. This carbon intensity indicator
covers, besides direct GHG emissions of TOTAL (scope 1), indirect GHG emissions (scopes 2 and 3) that TOTAL
does not control (for the definitions of scopes 1, 2 and 3, refer to Total’s Registration Document).
Cautionary Note to U.S. Investors – The SEC permits oil and gas companies, in their filings with the SEC, to
separately disclose proved, probable and possible reserves that a company has determined in accordance with
SEC rules. We may use certain terms in this presentation, such as resources, that the SEC’s guidelines strictly
prohibit us from including in filings with the SEC. U.S. investors are urged to consider closely the disclosure in our
Form 20-F, File N° 1-10888, available from us at 2, Place Jean Millier – Arche Nord Coupole/Regnault - 92078 Paris-
La Défense Cedex, France, or at our website: total.com. You can also obtain this form from the SEC by calling 1-
800-SEC-0330 or on the SEC’s website: sec.gov.
39
Disclaimer

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Total's 2018 Results and Outlook

  • 2. 2018 Results and Outlook Consistently delivering Delivering on objectives • Outstanding production growth • Capex and Opex discipline • Best-in-class Profitability Strong cash flow growth underpins shareholder returns Integrating along the oil, gas and low carbon electricity value chains to capture upside Attractive portfolio in hand to deliver the strategy post-2020 2
  • 3. 2018 Results and Outlook 4 fatalities in 2018 Successfully implementing Total safety culture Safety, Total’s core value Cornerstone of operational efficiency Saft (battery business) TRIR** Per million man-hours Total Recordable Injury Rate for Total and peers* Per million man-hours 1 2 2013 2018 0.9 5 10 2016 2017 2018 * Group TRIR excl. Specialty Chemicals Peers: BP, Chevron, ExxonMobil, Shell ** Acquired Saft in 2016 and integrated in Total reporting since 2017 3
  • 4. 2018 Results and Outlook 85 100 Oil market volatility Supply-demand and OECD inventories Mb/d, days of demand cover Demand Supply 2010 2018 Increasing demand but sensitive to price and emerging market growth Growing supply: opposing trends • OPEC & Russia announced 1.2 Mb/d production cuts • Debottlenecking US shale supply • Venezuela, Libya and export from Iran • Underinvestment in the industry * Source: IEA +1.3 Mb/d demand in 2018* 4 Market fundamentally volatile Nov. 2018: 59.6 days
  • 5. 2018 Results and Outlook +10% in 2018 (China +41%) Opportunity for low breakeven projects Strong LNG demand growth driven by Asia Supportive government policies for natural gas 2015-30 LNG supply Mt/y 2015-30 LNG demand Mt/y 250 500 2015 2018 2025 2030 Japan Korea Taiwan China Rest of Asia Europe Middle East Other 250 500 2015 2018 2025 2030 Needs to be sanctioned Under construction Existing supply Demand 5 5% CAGR 9% CAGR
  • 7. 2018 Results and Outlook Consistently delivering strong results Best-in-class profitability with ROACE and ROE at 12% Return on average capital employed (ROACE) % Adjusted net income B$ 54Brent ($/b) 44 2016 2017 71 2018 8.3 B$ 10.6 B$ 13.6 B$ iGRP: integrated LNG (upstream and midstream) + GRP assets * E&P and iGRP restated for 2016-18 Segments include minority interests and allocation of Corporate costs 5% 10% 15% +28% Exploration & Production* Refining & Chemicals Marketing & Services Cost of net debt Integrated Gas, Renewables & Power* Targeting 12% ROE at 60 $/b Peers: BP, Chevron, ExxonMobil, Shell – based on public data 7
  • 8. 2018 Results and Outlook Growing cash flow generation Increasing contribution from high margin new projects Organic free cash flow B$ 2018 cash flow allocation B$ Organic pre-dividend breakeven < 30 $/b CFFO Capital investment Dividend Buyback 15.624.7 -5 5 10 > 15 B$ 2015 2018 2016 2017 Sources Uses 52 44 54Brent ($/b) 71 7.7 1.5 8
  • 9. 2018 Results and Outlook NAMIBIA 11B-12B Block SOUTH AFRICA Outeniqua Basin Brulpadda (Total 45% Op) Recent discovery Prospects Total AcreageRecent discovery Major facilities Exploration delivery underway Budget ~ 1.2 B$ in 2019 Glengorm gas condensate discovery ~250 Mboe, Maersk Oil portfolio Discoveries in core area #2 operator in the North Sea Opening a world-class play in South Africa Novatek in Russia (Total, shareholder with 19.4%) Significant gas condensate & light oil discovery Four other prospects Potential resources of ~1 Bboe > 20 Tcf discovered in 2018 North-Obskoye largest global discovery > 10 Tcf Glendronach (Total 60% Op) Glengorm (Total 25%) Sheltand Gas Plant Elgin Franklin Culzean Ekofisk DUC Alwyn Johan Sverdrup Source: Novatek, Wood Mackenzie 9 Salmanov Jurassic North-Obskoye Yamal LNG Nyakhartinskoye Arctic LNG 2 Recent discovery Projects with Total 0 100km 200km 11B-12B Block
  • 10. 2018 Results and Outlook 5 10 Additions Asset Sales 10 20 2017 2018 70% of 2P reserves in 8 countries, including 4 OECD countries: Australia, Canada, Norway & USA M&A highgrading portfolio and renewing reserves Strong 2018 proved reserve replacement of 157% Proved and probable reserves Bboe 2018 E&P M&A and License extensions B$ 10 Main assets: • Martin Linge • Fort Hills • Ichthys Main assets: • Adnoc offshore • Iara • Lapa Maersk Oil (shares & debt) +1.4 Bboe ~40 Organic cash breakeven ($/boe) <30 Note: 2P reserves as per SPE
  • 11. 2018 Results and Outlook 7 2016 2017 2018 Maintaining strong CFFO while selling 8 B$ assets over 2015-18 Non-cyclical M&S Expanding Petrochemicals in US, Asia and MENA* Downstream: best-in-class >25% ROACE Diversified portfolio generating stable cash flow 2018 Downstream CFFO % Downstream CFFO B$ ERMI ($/t) 34 41 32 ~6.5 B$ Refining Chemicals Marketing & Services 11 * Middle East & North Africa
  • 12. 2018 Results and Outlook Gearing ~+3% Capital employed +5 to 6 B$ DACF ~+1 B$ Adjusted net income ~0 2.1 B$ non-recurring items in 2018 Strong balance sheet Delivering on objective to maintain gearing < 20% IFRS 16 impact in 2019 Net-debt-to-capital % 2015 2016 2017 2018 21% 15.5% 12% 22% 12
  • 13. 2018 Results and Outlook Delivering on objectives 2018 objectives Target Realized Capital investment ~ 16 B$ 15.6 B$ Cost reduction > 4 B$ 4.2 B$ Upstream Opex 5.5 $/boe 5.7 $/boe Production growth 6% 8% Downstream CFFO ~ 7 B$ 6.5 B$ Dividend increase 3.2% 3.2% Share buyback 5 B$ 2018-20 1.5 B$ 2018 13
  • 14. 2018 Results and Outlook -4% 5% 20% 5% 15% 30% Outperforming peers in 2018 Downstream ROACE % Net-debt-to-capital % Production growth % Peers: BP, Chevron, ExxonMobil, Shell – based on public data Group ROACE % 14
  • 15. Discipline and cash flow growth
  • 16. 2018 Results and Outlook Delivering outstanding production growth 8 major start-ups in 2018-19 • Egina, Kaombo North, Ichthys and Yamal LNG ramp-ups • Iara 1, Kaombo South, Culzean and Johan Sverdrup start-ups > 40% increase in LNG production Short cycle projects contributing ~60 kboe/d in 2019 Managing decline rate at ~3% 2 2.5 3 2017 2018 2019 Production* growth Mboe/d +8% > +9% Best-in-class 5% CAGR for 2017-22 * EP + iGRP production 16
  • 17. 2018 Results and Outlook 2018 2019 2020 1-2 B$ net acquisitions Capital investment discipline 2019 capital investment % Capital investment* B$ * Organic Capex + net acquisitions Exploration & Production iGRP: Integrated Gas Renewables & Power Downstream 15-16 15-1715.6 17 Guidance Feb 2018 ~16 15-17 15-17 iGRP: integrated LNG (upstream and midstream) + GRP assets
  • 18. 2018 Results and Outlook 2018 2019 2020 Targeting 5.5 $/boe in 2019 Maintaining discipline on Opex Competitive advantage on cost Production costs (ASC 932) $/boe Opex savings vs. 2014 base B$ 5 10 15 > 5 B$ 4.7 B$ 4.2 B$ Downstream & Corporate Upstream 9.9 7.4 5.9 2014 2018 5.4 Continuing to cut costs 5.7 18
  • 19. 2018 Results and Outlook 10 30 2017 2018 2019 +8 B$ in 2020 at 60 $/b vs. 2017 Clear visibility on cash flow growth Debt adjusted cash flow (DACF)* B$ Strong contribution from 2018 project start-ups • 3 B$ in 2019** from Kaombo, Ichthys, Egina Solid cash generation from acquisitions • 2.5 B$ in 2019** from Maersk Oil, Brazil and Adnoc offshore Capturing oil price upside, 2019 sensitivity 3.2 B$ for 10 $/b liquid realized price 19 * ERMI = 35 $/t 22.2 70 $/b 54 $/b 71 $/b 50 $/b 60 $/b 26.1 ** At 60 $/b
  • 20. 2018 Results and Outlook Clear priorities for cash flow allocation 2018-20 15-17 B$ per year Capital investment 1 10% increase over 2018-20 Dividend 2 Maintain gearing < 20% grade A credit rating Balance sheet 3 5 B$ over 2018-20 Share buyback 4 20 2019 vs. 2017: +6.5% Ending scrip dividend from 2019 AGM 2018: 1.5 B$ 2019: 1.5 B$ at 60 $/b
  • 22. 2018 Results and Outlook 300 2017 2040 Integrating climate into strategy Taking into account anticipated market trends Global energy demand Mboe/d IEA 2°C scenario* Renewables Nuclear Coal Oil Natural gas Focusing on oil projects with low breakeven Expanding along the gas value chain Developing profitable & sizeable low carbon electricity business * IEA Sustainable Development Scenario 22
  • 23. 2018 Results and Outlook Oil & Gas: Building on our strengths Leveraging expertise in 7 core areas 23 Deepwater1 LNG2 Retail & Lubricants4Petrochemicals3 Africa Market leader 5 Middle East & North Africa Partner of choice 6 North Sea #2 operator 7
  • 24. 2018 Results and Outlook 20 Acquisitions Divestments Countercyclical M&A creating value Acquisitions and divestments 2015-18 B$ 24 Maersk Oil (shares & debt) • 7 Bboe of resources added at < 2.5 $/boe • > 4 B$/y CFFO at 60 $/b from 2019 on average • ROACE at 60 $/b ~10% E&P 2015-18 acquisitions • ~10 Mt/y of LNG contracts • Cameron LNG T1-3 start-up 2019 + T4-5 expansion • 300-400 M$/y CFFO • ROACE ~20% Engie LNG
  • 25. 2018 Results and Outlook Sanctioning high return projects for future growth Launching > 700 kboe/d by 2020 25 * Direct + indirect. ** Subject to closing Fenix 60 kboe/d, 38% Op. Mero 2 150 kb/d, 20% Mero 3 150 kb/d, 20% Zinia 2 40 kb/d, 40%, Op. Tilenga & Kingfisher 230 kb/d, 44%**, Op. Ikike 45 kboe/d, 40% Op. Johan Sverdrup 2 220 kb/d, 8% Al Shaheen 2 85 kb/d, 30% Arctic LNG 2 600 kboe/d, 22%* Papua LNG 160 kboe/d, 31% Op. Ballymore 170 kb/d, 40% Mero 4 150 kb/d, 20% GLNG Roma/Arcadia 30 kboe/d, 28% Owowo 180 kboe/d, 18% NLNG extension 7.5Mt/y, 15% Cameron LNG T4/T5 9 Mt/y, 17% North Platte 70 kb/d, 60% Op. Vaca Muerta 40 kboe/d, 41% Op. Glendronach 25 kboe/d, 60%, Op. A6 60 kboe/d, 40% Op. Troll, Ekofisk 360 kboe/d, ~21% average Anchor 80 kb/d, 33% Iara 3 150 kb/d, 23% Lapa 3 30 kb/d, 35% Op. Energia Costa Azul 2.5 Mt/y, 17% Preowei 70 kboe/d, 24% Op. FEED, under studyLaunched 2019 targeted FID Wt. avg. IRR >15% at 50 $/b Prod. growth 2020-25 > 2%/y
  • 26. 2018 Results and Outlook Delivering profitable short cycle developments Launching 400 Mboe by end-2019 Short cycle projects launched in 2018 Short cycle reserve split Bboe Dalia 3 and Clov 2 (Angola), Elgin Franklin (UK), TFT (Algeria) > 1 Bboe reserves Sanctioned in 2018-19 2020+ sanctions 26 Average IRR > 20% at 50 $/b Capex < 7 $/boe
  • 27. 2018 Results and Outlook Production Fully integrated along the oil value chain Investing through the cycle and resilient in a volatile market 27 Note: 2018 data 1.6 Mb/d Refining Marketing & Services 1.9 Mb/d 1.8 Mb/d
  • 28. 2018 Results and Outlook Expanding high return petrochemicals Leveraging world class integrated platforms Investing in growing markets Building on low cost gas feedstock Founding member of new global alliance to end plastic waste Petrochemical projects Port Arthur Satorp Qatar Daesan Normandy Antwerp New ethane cracker PE capacity increase Start up 2021 US: Total Borealis Nova JV Propane cracker expansion PE & PP capacity increase Start up 2019-20 South Korea: Hanwha Total JV New mixed feed cracker New PE capacity > 15% IRR, FEED ongoing Saudi Arabia: SATORP Petrochemicals New Propane dehydrogenation + PP capacity > 15% IRR, FEED ongoing Algeria: Sonatrach Total JV 28
  • 29. 2018 Results and Outlook Marketing & Services targeting large growing markets Expanding worldwide network of 14,000 service stations 3 2018 2022 Delivering non-cyclical cash flow growth Marketing & Services CFFO B$ 2018 M&A and partnerships JV with Adani Targeting 1,500 stations over 10 years India Alliance with local partners ~400 stations by 2022 Mexico JV with Sonangol Initial 50 stations doubling over 5 years Angola Acquiring 280 stations doubling over 5 years Brazil Retail2018 M&A and partnerships 29 +100 M$ per year
  • 30. 2018 Results and Outlook 2 4 Accelerating integrated LNG growth CFFO growing ~2x by 2020 iGRP: investing for growth Capturing the value of integrated gas and low carbon electricity CFFO B$ Capital Investments B$* 30 2019-202018 2 4 2018 2019 2020 70 $/b 60 $/b 71 $/b * At 60$/b
  • 31. 2018 Results and Outlook 3 2018 2019 2020 ~60% growth by 2020 Strong contribution from 2018 start-ups Growing world-class LNG portfolio Priority to low cost, brownfield projects Integrated LNG CFFO B$* New LNG projects in key supply regions LNG Trading portfolio : doubling to 20 Mt/y from 2019 Pre-FID projects Equity Project capa. Arctic LNG 2 Russia 22%** 20 Mt/y Energia Costa Azul Ph1 Mexico 10-17% 2.5 Mt/y Nigeria LNG extension Nigeria 15% 7.5 Mt/y Papua LNG Papua 31% 5.5 Mt/y Cameron LNG T4-5 USA 16.6% 9 Mt/y * at 60$/b ** Direct + indirect. 31
  • 32. 2018 Results and Outlook 10% 20% Building a profitable low carbon electricity business Integrated approach: production, trading and marketing Renewables project value creation Nominal IRR % Generating returns through leverage and farm down >15% Investing 1.5-2 B$/y in low carbon electricity Supply & Trading 5-7% 32 Europe ~3 GW* by 2020 Gas to electricity Worldwide ~7 GW by 2022 Renewables to electricity 4 M customers in Europe in 2018 targeting 7 M by 2022 Marketing * including 2 planned CCGT acquisitions from EPH, 1 in development ** Source Wood Mackenzie Typical Project IRR** Leverage Farm down TOTAL Equity IRR
  • 33. 2018 Results and Outlook 50 100 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 Strategy contributing to tackle climate change Reducing the carbon intensity of our energy sales 2015 2040 Ambition -15% 2015-30 Further improving efficiency of our operations Growing in natural gas Developing a profitable low carbon electricity business Promoting sustainable biofuels Investing in carbon sink businesses (natural sinks & CCUS) Carbon intensity Base 100 in 2015 (75 gCO2/kbtu) IEA NPS IEA SDS 2030 NPS: New Policy Scenario ~2.7°C by 2100 SDS: Sustainable Development Scenario ~2°C by 2100 Possible sales mix 2040 Natural gas : 45-55% Oil (incl. biofuels): 30-40% Low carbon electricity: 15-20% 33
  • 34. 2018 Results and Outlook Total, the Responsible Energy Major Balancing added value distribution among stakeholders ~100,000 employees Working in > 130 countries worldwide 450,000 institutional and individual investors Supporting network of ~100,000 suppliers Serving 15 million customers daily 2010-18 added value, ~50 B$/y B$ Salaries & benefits Dividends Taxes Net investments 34
  • 35. 2018 Results and Outlook Consistently delivering Delivering on objectives • Outstanding production growth • Capex and Opex discipline • Best-in-class Profitability Strong cash flow growth underpins shareholder returns • Increasing dividend by 3.1% in 2019 • Ending scrip option from 2019 AGM • 1.5 B$ buyback at 60 $/b in 2019 Integrating along the oil, gas and low carbon electricity value chains to capture upsides Attractive portfolio in hand to deliver the strategy post-2020 35
  • 37. 2018 Results and Outlook kboe/d Share Country Yamal LNG T1 150 29.7% Russia Fort Hills 180 24,5% Canada Vaca Muerta 100 41% Op. Argentina Timimoun 30 38% Algeria Yamal LNG T2 150 29.7% Russia Kaombo North 115 30% Op. Angola Ichthys LNG 340 30% Australia Halfaya 3 200 22.5% Iraq Egina 200 24% Op. Nigeria Yamal LNG T3 150 29.7% Russia Tempa Rossa 55 50% Op. Italy Iara 1 150 22.5% Brazil Kaombo South 115 30% Op. Angola Culzean 100 49.99% Op. UK Johan Sverdrup 1 440 8.44% Norway Yamal LNG T4 20 29.7% Russia Iara 2 150 22.5% Brazil Absheron 35 50% Azerbaijan Zinia 2 40 40% Op. Angola 2018-20 major start-ups Delivering ~600 kboe/d by 2020 2018 2019 2020 37 Yamal: direct + indirect working interest
  • 38. 2018 Results and Outlook Targeted Total hubs 7 2017 2020 Benefiting from 900 kb/d low sulfur production Well positioned for new IMO regulation Positive for E&P and R&C, a new opportunity for M&S Low fuel oil yield (<5%) High distillate output (50%) Building supply network on main hubs Crude Oil Low sulfur crude value increasing Products value HSFO decreasing, distillates increasing Alternative fuel Development of LNG for bunkering Total: 60% low sulfur World: 42% low sulfur 38 2 Antwerp modernization Port Arthur coker Logistic segregation LS/HS crude flexibility Mt/y IMO: International Maritime Organization
  • 39. 2018 Results and Outlook This document may contain forward-looking information on the Group (including objectives and trends), as well as forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, notably with respect to the financial condition, results of operations, business, strategy and plans of TOTAL. These data do not represent forecasts within the meaning of European Regulation No. 809/2004. Such forward-looking information and statements included in this document are based on a number of economic data and assumptions made in a given economic, competitive and regulatory environment. They may prove to be inaccurate in the future, and are subject to a number of risk factors that could lead to a significant difference between actual results and those anticipated, including the price of petroleum products, the ability to realize cost reductions and operating efficiencies without unduly disrupting business operations, changes in regulations including environmental and climate, currency fluctuations, as well as economic and political developments and changes in business conditions. Certain financial information is based on estimates particularly in the assessment of the recoverable value of assets and potential impairments of assets relating thereto. Neither TOTAL nor any of its subsidiaries assumes any obligation to update publicly any forward-looking information or statement, objectives or trends contained in this document whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. Further information on factors, risks and uncertainties that could affect the Group’s business, financial condition, including its operating income and cash flow, reputation or outlook is provided in the most recent Registration Document filed by the Company with the French Autorité des Marchés Financiers and annual report on Form 20-F filed with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”). Financial information by business segment is reported in accordance with the internal reporting system and shows internal segment information that is used to manage and measure the performance of TOTAL. In addition to IFRS measures, certain alternative performance indicators are presented, such as performance indicators excluding the adjustment items described below (adjusted operating income, adjusted net operating income, adjusted net income), return on equity (ROE), return on average capital employed (ROACE) and gearing ratio. These indicators are meant to facilitate the analysis of the financial performance of TOTAL and the comparison of income between periods. They allow investors to track the measures used internally to manage and measure the performance of the Group. These adjustment items include: (i) Special items Due to their unusual nature or particular significance, certain transactions qualified as "special items" are excluded from the business segment figures. In general, special items relate to transactions that are significant, infrequent or unusual. However, in certain instances, transactions such as restructuring costs or asset disposals, which are not considered to be representative of the normal course of business, may be qualified as special items although they may have occurred within prior years or are likely to occur again within the coming years. (ii) Inventory valuation effect The adjusted results of the Refining & Chemicals and Marketing & Services segments are presented according to the replacement cost method. This method is used to assess the segments’ performance and facilitate the comparability of the segments’ performance with those of its competitors. In the replacement cost method, which approximates the LIFO (Last-In, First-Out) method, the variation of inventory values in the statement of income is, depending on the nature of the inventory, determined using either the month-end price differentials between one period and another or the average prices of the period rather than the historical value. The inventory valuation effect is the difference between the results according to the FIFO (First-In, First-Out) and the replacement cost. (iii) Effect of changes in fair value The effect of changes in fair value presented as an adjustment item reflects for some transactions differences between internal measures of performance used by TOTAL’s management and the accounting for these transactions under IFRS. IFRS requires that trading inventories be recorded at their fair value using period-end spot prices. In order to best reflect the management of economic exposure through derivative transactions, internal indicators used to measure performance include valuations of trading inventories based on forward prices. Furthermore, TOTAL, in its trading activities, enters into storage contracts, which future effects are recorded at fair value in Group’s internal economic performance. IFRS precludes recognition of this fair value effect. The adjusted results (adjusted operating income, adjusted net operating income, adjusted net income) are defined as replacement cost results, adjusted for special items, excluding the effect of changes in fair value. Euro amounts presented herein represent dollar amounts converted at the average euro-dollar (€-$) exchange rate for the applicable period and are not the result of financial statements prepared in euros. This document also contains extra-financial performance indicators, including a carbon intensity indicator for TOTAL energy sales that measures the weighted average greenhouse gas emissions of energy products sold by TOTAL, from their production in TOTAL facilities to their end use by TOTAL customers. This carbon intensity indicator covers, besides direct GHG emissions of TOTAL (scope 1), indirect GHG emissions (scopes 2 and 3) that TOTAL does not control (for the definitions of scopes 1, 2 and 3, refer to Total’s Registration Document). Cautionary Note to U.S. Investors – The SEC permits oil and gas companies, in their filings with the SEC, to separately disclose proved, probable and possible reserves that a company has determined in accordance with SEC rules. We may use certain terms in this presentation, such as resources, that the SEC’s guidelines strictly prohibit us from including in filings with the SEC. U.S. investors are urged to consider closely the disclosure in our Form 20-F, File N° 1-10888, available from us at 2, Place Jean Millier – Arche Nord Coupole/Regnault - 92078 Paris- La Défense Cedex, France, or at our website: total.com. You can also obtain this form from the SEC by calling 1- 800-SEC-0330 or on the SEC’s website: sec.gov. 39 Disclaimer