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Because learning changes everything.®
Chapter 2
Strategic Leadership:
Managing the Strategy
Process
© 2021 McGraw Hill. All rights reserved. Authorized only for instructor use in the classroom.
No reproduction or further distribution permitted without the prior written consent of McGraw Hill.
© McGraw Hill
LEARNING OBJECTIVES
1. Explain the role of strategic leaders and what they do.
2. Outline how you can become a strategic leader.
3. Compare and contrast the roles of corporate, business, and
functional managers in strategy formulation and implementation.
4. Describe the roles of vision, mission, and values in a firm’s strategy.
5. Evaluate the strategic implications of product-oriented and customer-
oriented vision statements.
6. Justify why anchoring a firm in ethical core values is essential for
long-term success.
7. Evaluate top-down strategic planning, scenario planning, and
strategy as planned emergence.
8. Describe and evaluate the two distinct modes of decision making.
9. Compare and contrast devil’s advocacy and dialectic inquiry as
frameworks to improve strategic decision making.
© McGraw Hill
What Is Strategic Leadership?
Successful use of power and influence.
Directing the activities of others.
Pursuing an organization’s goals.
Enabling organizational competitive advantage.
Power:
• The ability to influence others to do things.
• Formal authority ( position), informal authority
(persuasion).
© McGraw Hill
Leaders Can Positively Impact
Performance
Mark Zuckerberg of Facebook
Elon Musk of Tesla and SpaceX
Jeff Bezos of Amazon
Oprah Winfrey of HARPO
Sheryl Sandberg of Facebook
Angela Ahrendts of Apple
Mary Barra of General Motors
Howard Schultz of Starbucks
© McGraw Hill
Leaders Can Destroy Shareholder Value
Ken Lay of Enron
John Sculley of Apple
Bernard Ebbers of WorldCom
Richard Fuld of Lehman Brothers
Richard Wagoner of General Motors
Robert Nardelli of The Home Depot and Chrysler
Ron Johnson of JC Penney
© McGraw Hill
What Strategic Leaders Do
Exhibit 2.1
Source: Data from O. Bandiera, A.
Prat, and R. Sadun (2012),
“Management capital at the top:
Evidence from the time use of
CEOs,” London School of
Economics and Harvard Business
School Working Paper.
Access the text alternative for slide image.
© McGraw Hill
How Do You Become a Strategic Leader?
It is a function of innate abilities and learning.
Leadership actions reflect:
• Age, education, and career experiences.
• Personal interpretations of situations.
Upper Echelons Theory:
• Organizational outcomes reflect values of top management team.
• Their unique perspectives and values.
Outcomes include:
• Strategic choices and performance levels.
© McGraw Hill
Strategic Leaders: The Level-5 Pyramid
Exhibit 2.2
Source: Adapted from Collins, J. (2001), Good to Great: Why Some Companies Make the Leap . . . And Others Don’t (New
York: HarperCollins), 20.
Access the text alternative for slide image.
© McGraw Hill
Great Companies
Great companies share:
• Transition from average
performance to sustained
competitive advantage
• Stock returns 7x the
general market.
• Consistent patterns of
leadership.
• Summarized in the Level-
5 Leadership Pyramid.
Best-selling book Good
to Great:
• Written by Jim Collins.
• Over 1,000 companies
were analyzed.
© McGraw Hill
Progression of Leaders Through the Pyramid
Each level builds upon
the previous one.
Prior levels must be
mastered before moving
on.
Each level helps
individuals develop the
capacity for greater
success.
A Level-5 executive:
• Works to help the
organization succeed.
• Helps others reach their
full potential.
© McGraw Hill
The Strategy Process
Strategy Formulation:
• The choice of strategy.
• Where and how to compete.
Strategy Implementation:
• Organization, coordination,
integration.
• How work gets done.
• The execution of strategy.
Three distinct areas:
corporate,
business, and
functional.
© McGraw Hill
The Strategy Process Across Levels
Corporate Strategy
• Where to compete?
• Industry, markets, and geography.
Business Strategy
• How to compete?
• Cost leadership, differentiation, or value innovation.
Functional Strategy
• How to implement a chosen business strategy?
• Different strategies require different activities.
© McGraw Hill
Strategic Formulation and Implementation
across Levels: Corporate, Business, and
Functional Strategy
Exhibit 2.3
Access the text alternative for slide image.
© McGraw Hill
Vision, Mission, Values
Vision: What do we want to accomplish ultimately?
Mission: How do we accomplish our goals?
Values:
• What commitments do we make?
• What safeguards do we put in place?
• How do we act both legally and ethically as we pursue our
vision and mission?
© McGraw Hill
Vision
Captures an organization’s aspiration.
Spells out what the organization wants to
accomplish.
Identifies the long-term objective.
Should be forward-looking and inspiring.
An effective vision:
• Is expressed as a statement.
• Should be forward-looking and inspiring.
• Should provide meaning for employees in pursuit of the
organization’s ultimate goals.
© McGraw Hill
Vision Is Strategic Intent
Outlines a firm’s stretch goal.
Is based on a firm’s vision.
Actions based on vision will:
• Build necessary resources.
• Build capabilities.
• Ensure continuous organizational learning.
• Ensure learning from failure.
© McGraw Hill
Vision and Competitive Advantage
Research shows that vision statements and firm
performance are related.
This relationship is strongest when:
• The vision is customer-oriented.
• Internal stakeholders help define the vision.
• Organizational structures align to the vision, for example,
compensation.
© McGraw Hill
Customer- vs. Product-Oriented Vision
Statements
Customer-oriented
vision statements:
• Allow companies to adapt
to changing
environments.
• Focus on problem solving
for the customer.
Product-oriented vision
statements:
• Focus on improving
existing products and
services
© McGraw Hill
Product-Oriented Vision Statements
Define a business in terms of a good or service
provided.
• Force managers to take a more myopic view.
• Can hinder understanding of the competitive landscape.
Example: U.S. Railroad companies.
• They were focused on the railroad business.
• They should have been focused on transportation and
logistics.
© McGraw Hill
Customer-Oriented Vision Statements
Define a business in terms providing solutions to
customer needs.
• Customer needs may change.
• The means of meeting those needs may change also.
Example: Ford Motor Company.
• Entered the market in the early 1900s.
• Ford didn’t build a better horse and buggy.
• Ford’s focus: “to provide personal mobility for people
around the world.”
© McGraw Hill
Mission
What an organization actually does.
• The products and services it will provide.
• The markets in which it will compete.
Defines how the vision is accomplished.
© McGraw Hill
Mission: Strategic Commitments
Credible actions that back up the vision and mission
statements.
These commitments are often:
• Costly.
• Long-term oriented.
• Difficult to reverse.
© McGraw Hill
Customer-Oriented Vision Statements
Company Vision Statement
Alibaba To make it easy to do business anywhere.
Amazon To be Earth’s most customer-centric company, where customers can find and
discover anything they might want to buy online.
Better World Books To harness the power of capitalism to bring literacy and opportunity to people
around the world.
Facebook To make the world more open and connected.
GE To move, cure, build and power the world.
Google To organize the world’s information and make it universally accessible and
useful.
Nike To bring inspiration and innovation to every athlete in the world.
SpaceX To accelerate the world’s transition to sustainable energy.
Tesla To be the best retailer in the hearts and minds of consumers and employees.
© McGraw Hill
Values
Organizational core
values:
• Ethical standards and
norms.
• Govern the behavior of
individuals.
• Provide stability to the
strategy.
• Serve as guardrails to
keep the company on
track.
Help employees:
• Understand the company
culture.
• Deal with complexity.
• Resolve conflict.
© McGraw Hill
Three Approaches to Organizational
Strategy
Strategic planning:
• A formal, top-down approach.
Scenario planning:
• A formal, top-down approach.
Strategy as planned emergence:
• Begins with a strategic plan, but it is less formal.
© McGraw Hill
Top Down Strategic Planning: Overview
Data-driven strategy process.
Top management attempts to program future success
through analysis of:
• Prices.
• Costs.
• Margins.
• Market demand.
• Head count.
• Production runs.
• Five-year plans and budgets.
• Performance monitoring.
© McGraw Hill
Top-Down Strategic Planning in the AFI
Strategy Framework
Exhibit 2.5
Access the text alternative for slide image.
© McGraw Hill
Shortcomings of the Top-Down Approach
1.May not adapt well to change.
2.Formulation is separate from implementation.
3.Information flows one-way.
4.Leaders’ future vision can be wrong.
Example: Apple.
• Steve Jobs predicted customers needs.
• Apple didn’t engage in market research.
• Since Cook took over, their planning process has evolved.
© McGraw Hill
Scenario Planning: Overview
Asks “what if” questions:
• Top management envisions different scenarios.
• Then they derive strategic responses.
Optimistic and pessimistic futures are planned.
Considerations can include:
• New laws.
• Demographic shifts.
• Changing economic conditions.
• Technological advances.
© McGraw Hill
Scenario Planning within the AFI Strategy
Framework
Exhibit 2.6
Access the text alternative for slide image.
© McGraw Hill
Approaches to Scenario Planning
Obtain input from different levels and functions:
• R&D, manufacturing, and marketing and sales.
Determine how to compete situationally.
Attach probabilities into different future states:
• Highly likely vs. unlikely.
© McGraw Hill
Black Swan Event
The high impact of a highly improbable event.
It can affect strategic planning
People once assumed all swans were white.
• When they first encountered swans that were black, they
were surprised.
Examples:
• Security breach of an IT system.
• Accounting scandals: Enron.
• Real estate bubble: 2008 financial crisis.
© McGraw Hill
Questions to Ask in Scenario Planning
1.What resources and capabilities do we need to
compete successfully in each future scenario?
2.What strategic initiatives should we put in place to
respond to each respective scenario?
3.How can we shape our expected future
environment?
© McGraw Hill
Strategy as Planned Emergence
Top-Down & Bottom-Up:
• Bottom-up strategic
initiatives emerge.
• Evaluated and
coordinated by
management.
• Less formal and less
stylized.
Relies on data, plus:
• Personal experience.
• Deep domain expertise.
• Front line employee
insights.
© McGraw Hill
Realized Strategy Is a Combination of Top-
Down Intended Strategy and Bottom-Up
Emergent Strategy
Exhibit 2.7
Access the text alternative for slide image.
© McGraw Hill
Key Points About Strategy
Intended strategy:
• Outcome of a rational and structured top-down strategic plan.
Emergent strategy:
• Any unplanned strategic initiative.
• Bubbles up from the bottom of the organization.
• Can influence and shape a firm’s overall strategy.
Realized strategy:
• Combination of intended and emergent strategy.
© McGraw Hill
Strategic Initiatives
An activity a firm pursues to explore and develop:
• New products and processes.
• New markets.
• New ventures.
Can bubble up from deep within a firm through:
• Autonomous actions.
• Serendipity.
• Resource-allocation process (RAP).
© McGraw Hill
Autonomous Actions, Serendipity,
Resource Allocation
Autonomous Actions:
• Strategic initiatives undertaken by employees.
• A response to unexpected situations.
Serendipity:
• Random events, surprises, coincidences.
• Has an effect on strategic initiatives.
Resource Allocation Process (RAP):
• How a firm allocates resources based on policy.
• Helps shape realized strategy.
© McGraw Hill
Strategic Decision Making
Can be limited due to our cognitive limitations:
• Choosing “good enough” options vs. optimal solutions.
• Human decision making has cognitive limitations, biases.
• Artificial intelligence can augment the information at our
fingertips.
Managers can become better at decision making.
• Theories and frameworks help make sense of uncertain
information.
© McGraw Hill
Two Decision Making Modes
System 1:
• Brain’s default mode.
• Gut reaction.
• Familiar, efficient,
automatic.
• Requires little energy.
System 2:
• Logical, analytical,
deliberate.
• Requires more energy.
• Slower.
© McGraw Hill
Two Distinct Modes of Decision Making
System 1 System 2
Fast Slow
Unconscious Conscious
Automatic Effortful
Everyday, Snap Decisions Complex, Analytical Decisions
Error Prone, Higher
Likelihood of Biases
Reliable, Lower Likelihood of
Biases
Exhibit 2.9
Source: Author’s creation based on D. Kahneman (2011), Thinking, Fast and Slow (New York: Farrar, Straus and Giroux).
© McGraw Hill
Cognitive Biases
Bias: Description:
Illusion of Control Our tendency to overestimate our ability to control
events.
Escalating Commitment Continuing to support a project when it is showing
signs that it may not succeed.
Confirmation Bias Searching for information to support existing
beliefs.
Reason by Analogy The tendency to use simple analogies to make
sense out of complex problems.
Representativeness Drawing conclusions based on small samples or
anecdotes.
Groupthink When opinions coalesce around a leader without
individuals critically evaluating and challenging that
leader’s opinions and assumptions.
© McGraw Hill
How to Improve Decision Making
Devil’s Advocacy:
• The path forward is
challenged with alternative
viewpoints.
• Highlights what can go
wrong.
• Criticisms are offered.
Dialectic Inquiry:
• Alternatives are explored.
• Compromises are
discussed.
© McGraw Hill
How to Use a Devil’s Advocate to Improve
Strategic Decision Making
Exhibit 2.10
Source: Frank T. Rothaermel
Access the text alternative for slide image.
© McGraw Hill
How to Use Dialectic Inquiry to Improve
Strategic Decision Making
Exhibit 2.11
Source: Frank T.
Rothaermel
Access the text alternative for slide image.
Because learning changes everything.®
www.mheducation.com
© 2019 McGraw Hill. All rights reserved. Authorized only for instructor use in the classroom.
No reproduction or further distribution permitted without the prior written consent of McGraw Hill.

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Roth5_Lecture_PPT_C02_Final_R.pptx

  • 1. Because learning changes everything.® Chapter 2 Strategic Leadership: Managing the Strategy Process © 2021 McGraw Hill. All rights reserved. Authorized only for instructor use in the classroom. No reproduction or further distribution permitted without the prior written consent of McGraw Hill.
  • 2. © McGraw Hill LEARNING OBJECTIVES 1. Explain the role of strategic leaders and what they do. 2. Outline how you can become a strategic leader. 3. Compare and contrast the roles of corporate, business, and functional managers in strategy formulation and implementation. 4. Describe the roles of vision, mission, and values in a firm’s strategy. 5. Evaluate the strategic implications of product-oriented and customer- oriented vision statements. 6. Justify why anchoring a firm in ethical core values is essential for long-term success. 7. Evaluate top-down strategic planning, scenario planning, and strategy as planned emergence. 8. Describe and evaluate the two distinct modes of decision making. 9. Compare and contrast devil’s advocacy and dialectic inquiry as frameworks to improve strategic decision making.
  • 3. © McGraw Hill What Is Strategic Leadership? Successful use of power and influence. Directing the activities of others. Pursuing an organization’s goals. Enabling organizational competitive advantage. Power: • The ability to influence others to do things. • Formal authority ( position), informal authority (persuasion).
  • 4. © McGraw Hill Leaders Can Positively Impact Performance Mark Zuckerberg of Facebook Elon Musk of Tesla and SpaceX Jeff Bezos of Amazon Oprah Winfrey of HARPO Sheryl Sandberg of Facebook Angela Ahrendts of Apple Mary Barra of General Motors Howard Schultz of Starbucks
  • 5. © McGraw Hill Leaders Can Destroy Shareholder Value Ken Lay of Enron John Sculley of Apple Bernard Ebbers of WorldCom Richard Fuld of Lehman Brothers Richard Wagoner of General Motors Robert Nardelli of The Home Depot and Chrysler Ron Johnson of JC Penney
  • 6. © McGraw Hill What Strategic Leaders Do Exhibit 2.1 Source: Data from O. Bandiera, A. Prat, and R. Sadun (2012), “Management capital at the top: Evidence from the time use of CEOs,” London School of Economics and Harvard Business School Working Paper. Access the text alternative for slide image.
  • 7. © McGraw Hill How Do You Become a Strategic Leader? It is a function of innate abilities and learning. Leadership actions reflect: • Age, education, and career experiences. • Personal interpretations of situations. Upper Echelons Theory: • Organizational outcomes reflect values of top management team. • Their unique perspectives and values. Outcomes include: • Strategic choices and performance levels.
  • 8. © McGraw Hill Strategic Leaders: The Level-5 Pyramid Exhibit 2.2 Source: Adapted from Collins, J. (2001), Good to Great: Why Some Companies Make the Leap . . . And Others Don’t (New York: HarperCollins), 20. Access the text alternative for slide image.
  • 9. © McGraw Hill Great Companies Great companies share: • Transition from average performance to sustained competitive advantage • Stock returns 7x the general market. • Consistent patterns of leadership. • Summarized in the Level- 5 Leadership Pyramid. Best-selling book Good to Great: • Written by Jim Collins. • Over 1,000 companies were analyzed.
  • 10. © McGraw Hill Progression of Leaders Through the Pyramid Each level builds upon the previous one. Prior levels must be mastered before moving on. Each level helps individuals develop the capacity for greater success. A Level-5 executive: • Works to help the organization succeed. • Helps others reach their full potential.
  • 11. © McGraw Hill The Strategy Process Strategy Formulation: • The choice of strategy. • Where and how to compete. Strategy Implementation: • Organization, coordination, integration. • How work gets done. • The execution of strategy. Three distinct areas: corporate, business, and functional.
  • 12. © McGraw Hill The Strategy Process Across Levels Corporate Strategy • Where to compete? • Industry, markets, and geography. Business Strategy • How to compete? • Cost leadership, differentiation, or value innovation. Functional Strategy • How to implement a chosen business strategy? • Different strategies require different activities.
  • 13. © McGraw Hill Strategic Formulation and Implementation across Levels: Corporate, Business, and Functional Strategy Exhibit 2.3 Access the text alternative for slide image.
  • 14. © McGraw Hill Vision, Mission, Values Vision: What do we want to accomplish ultimately? Mission: How do we accomplish our goals? Values: • What commitments do we make? • What safeguards do we put in place? • How do we act both legally and ethically as we pursue our vision and mission?
  • 15. © McGraw Hill Vision Captures an organization’s aspiration. Spells out what the organization wants to accomplish. Identifies the long-term objective. Should be forward-looking and inspiring. An effective vision: • Is expressed as a statement. • Should be forward-looking and inspiring. • Should provide meaning for employees in pursuit of the organization’s ultimate goals.
  • 16. © McGraw Hill Vision Is Strategic Intent Outlines a firm’s stretch goal. Is based on a firm’s vision. Actions based on vision will: • Build necessary resources. • Build capabilities. • Ensure continuous organizational learning. • Ensure learning from failure.
  • 17. © McGraw Hill Vision and Competitive Advantage Research shows that vision statements and firm performance are related. This relationship is strongest when: • The vision is customer-oriented. • Internal stakeholders help define the vision. • Organizational structures align to the vision, for example, compensation.
  • 18. © McGraw Hill Customer- vs. Product-Oriented Vision Statements Customer-oriented vision statements: • Allow companies to adapt to changing environments. • Focus on problem solving for the customer. Product-oriented vision statements: • Focus on improving existing products and services
  • 19. © McGraw Hill Product-Oriented Vision Statements Define a business in terms of a good or service provided. • Force managers to take a more myopic view. • Can hinder understanding of the competitive landscape. Example: U.S. Railroad companies. • They were focused on the railroad business. • They should have been focused on transportation and logistics.
  • 20. © McGraw Hill Customer-Oriented Vision Statements Define a business in terms providing solutions to customer needs. • Customer needs may change. • The means of meeting those needs may change also. Example: Ford Motor Company. • Entered the market in the early 1900s. • Ford didn’t build a better horse and buggy. • Ford’s focus: “to provide personal mobility for people around the world.”
  • 21. © McGraw Hill Mission What an organization actually does. • The products and services it will provide. • The markets in which it will compete. Defines how the vision is accomplished.
  • 22. © McGraw Hill Mission: Strategic Commitments Credible actions that back up the vision and mission statements. These commitments are often: • Costly. • Long-term oriented. • Difficult to reverse.
  • 23. © McGraw Hill Customer-Oriented Vision Statements Company Vision Statement Alibaba To make it easy to do business anywhere. Amazon To be Earth’s most customer-centric company, where customers can find and discover anything they might want to buy online. Better World Books To harness the power of capitalism to bring literacy and opportunity to people around the world. Facebook To make the world more open and connected. GE To move, cure, build and power the world. Google To organize the world’s information and make it universally accessible and useful. Nike To bring inspiration and innovation to every athlete in the world. SpaceX To accelerate the world’s transition to sustainable energy. Tesla To be the best retailer in the hearts and minds of consumers and employees.
  • 24. © McGraw Hill Values Organizational core values: • Ethical standards and norms. • Govern the behavior of individuals. • Provide stability to the strategy. • Serve as guardrails to keep the company on track. Help employees: • Understand the company culture. • Deal with complexity. • Resolve conflict.
  • 25. © McGraw Hill Three Approaches to Organizational Strategy Strategic planning: • A formal, top-down approach. Scenario planning: • A formal, top-down approach. Strategy as planned emergence: • Begins with a strategic plan, but it is less formal.
  • 26. © McGraw Hill Top Down Strategic Planning: Overview Data-driven strategy process. Top management attempts to program future success through analysis of: • Prices. • Costs. • Margins. • Market demand. • Head count. • Production runs. • Five-year plans and budgets. • Performance monitoring.
  • 27. © McGraw Hill Top-Down Strategic Planning in the AFI Strategy Framework Exhibit 2.5 Access the text alternative for slide image.
  • 28. © McGraw Hill Shortcomings of the Top-Down Approach 1.May not adapt well to change. 2.Formulation is separate from implementation. 3.Information flows one-way. 4.Leaders’ future vision can be wrong. Example: Apple. • Steve Jobs predicted customers needs. • Apple didn’t engage in market research. • Since Cook took over, their planning process has evolved.
  • 29. © McGraw Hill Scenario Planning: Overview Asks “what if” questions: • Top management envisions different scenarios. • Then they derive strategic responses. Optimistic and pessimistic futures are planned. Considerations can include: • New laws. • Demographic shifts. • Changing economic conditions. • Technological advances.
  • 30. © McGraw Hill Scenario Planning within the AFI Strategy Framework Exhibit 2.6 Access the text alternative for slide image.
  • 31. © McGraw Hill Approaches to Scenario Planning Obtain input from different levels and functions: • R&D, manufacturing, and marketing and sales. Determine how to compete situationally. Attach probabilities into different future states: • Highly likely vs. unlikely.
  • 32. © McGraw Hill Black Swan Event The high impact of a highly improbable event. It can affect strategic planning People once assumed all swans were white. • When they first encountered swans that were black, they were surprised. Examples: • Security breach of an IT system. • Accounting scandals: Enron. • Real estate bubble: 2008 financial crisis.
  • 33. © McGraw Hill Questions to Ask in Scenario Planning 1.What resources and capabilities do we need to compete successfully in each future scenario? 2.What strategic initiatives should we put in place to respond to each respective scenario? 3.How can we shape our expected future environment?
  • 34. © McGraw Hill Strategy as Planned Emergence Top-Down & Bottom-Up: • Bottom-up strategic initiatives emerge. • Evaluated and coordinated by management. • Less formal and less stylized. Relies on data, plus: • Personal experience. • Deep domain expertise. • Front line employee insights.
  • 35. © McGraw Hill Realized Strategy Is a Combination of Top- Down Intended Strategy and Bottom-Up Emergent Strategy Exhibit 2.7 Access the text alternative for slide image.
  • 36. © McGraw Hill Key Points About Strategy Intended strategy: • Outcome of a rational and structured top-down strategic plan. Emergent strategy: • Any unplanned strategic initiative. • Bubbles up from the bottom of the organization. • Can influence and shape a firm’s overall strategy. Realized strategy: • Combination of intended and emergent strategy.
  • 37. © McGraw Hill Strategic Initiatives An activity a firm pursues to explore and develop: • New products and processes. • New markets. • New ventures. Can bubble up from deep within a firm through: • Autonomous actions. • Serendipity. • Resource-allocation process (RAP).
  • 38. © McGraw Hill Autonomous Actions, Serendipity, Resource Allocation Autonomous Actions: • Strategic initiatives undertaken by employees. • A response to unexpected situations. Serendipity: • Random events, surprises, coincidences. • Has an effect on strategic initiatives. Resource Allocation Process (RAP): • How a firm allocates resources based on policy. • Helps shape realized strategy.
  • 39. © McGraw Hill Strategic Decision Making Can be limited due to our cognitive limitations: • Choosing “good enough” options vs. optimal solutions. • Human decision making has cognitive limitations, biases. • Artificial intelligence can augment the information at our fingertips. Managers can become better at decision making. • Theories and frameworks help make sense of uncertain information.
  • 40. © McGraw Hill Two Decision Making Modes System 1: • Brain’s default mode. • Gut reaction. • Familiar, efficient, automatic. • Requires little energy. System 2: • Logical, analytical, deliberate. • Requires more energy. • Slower.
  • 41. © McGraw Hill Two Distinct Modes of Decision Making System 1 System 2 Fast Slow Unconscious Conscious Automatic Effortful Everyday, Snap Decisions Complex, Analytical Decisions Error Prone, Higher Likelihood of Biases Reliable, Lower Likelihood of Biases Exhibit 2.9 Source: Author’s creation based on D. Kahneman (2011), Thinking, Fast and Slow (New York: Farrar, Straus and Giroux).
  • 42. © McGraw Hill Cognitive Biases Bias: Description: Illusion of Control Our tendency to overestimate our ability to control events. Escalating Commitment Continuing to support a project when it is showing signs that it may not succeed. Confirmation Bias Searching for information to support existing beliefs. Reason by Analogy The tendency to use simple analogies to make sense out of complex problems. Representativeness Drawing conclusions based on small samples or anecdotes. Groupthink When opinions coalesce around a leader without individuals critically evaluating and challenging that leader’s opinions and assumptions.
  • 43. © McGraw Hill How to Improve Decision Making Devil’s Advocacy: • The path forward is challenged with alternative viewpoints. • Highlights what can go wrong. • Criticisms are offered. Dialectic Inquiry: • Alternatives are explored. • Compromises are discussed.
  • 44. © McGraw Hill How to Use a Devil’s Advocate to Improve Strategic Decision Making Exhibit 2.10 Source: Frank T. Rothaermel Access the text alternative for slide image.
  • 45. © McGraw Hill How to Use Dialectic Inquiry to Improve Strategic Decision Making Exhibit 2.11 Source: Frank T. Rothaermel Access the text alternative for slide image.
  • 46. Because learning changes everything.® www.mheducation.com © 2019 McGraw Hill. All rights reserved. Authorized only for instructor use in the classroom. No reproduction or further distribution permitted without the prior written consent of McGraw Hill.