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Results & Observations
References
D’Arrigo, R., Wilson, R., Wiles, G., Anchukaitis, K. J., Solomina, O., Davi, N.,
Deser, C., Matskovsky, V., Dolgova, E., in review, Distinct circulation features
of western North Pacific climate over four centuries: Journal of Climate.
Wiles, G.C., Solomina, O., D’Arrigo, R., Anchukaitis, K.J., Gensiarovsky, Y.V., and
Wiesenberg, N., 2014, Reconstructed summer temperatures over the last 400
years based on Larix gmelinii ring widths: Sakhalin Island, Russian Far East:
Climate Dynamics.
Solomina, O., Wiles, G., Shiraiwa, T., D’Arrigo, R., 2007, Multiproxy records of
climate variability for Kamchatka for the past 400 years: Climate of the Past, v.
3, p. 119-128.
Stokes, M.A., and Smiley, T.L., 1996, An introduction to tree-ring dating: Tucson,
Arizona, The University of Arizona Press, 73 p.
Field Sites
The Far East of Russia.
Collection sites (yellow)
are each labeled with the
site code.
Some controls on oceanic
(blue) and atmospheric
(black) circulation are
also shown.
These combined with a
variety of other factors,
including Amur River
input, form a complex
climate system.
The Utility of Tree-Rings
Tree-rings are valuable for paleoclimatology:
• Annual growth rings allow for absolute dating.
• Growth is influenced by the local climate conditions.
• A tree’s unique pattern of growth rings may be used as high-
resolution proxy data to reconstruct past fluxes in climate
variable(s) that the tree’s growth is sensitive to.
Acknowledgments
Support for this research was provided by the National
Science Foundation Paleoclimatology Program, Grants
AGS-1159430 and 1202218. We thank Nick Wiesenberg,
Javi Martin Fernandez, and College of Wooster students,
Zach Downes, Willy Nelson, and Kaitlin Starr, for their
assistance in processing data used in this study.
The above figure illustrates crossdating, the
technique of matching rings between trees.
500 km
North Pacific
Bering Sea
Sea of Okhotsk
Sea of Japan
144E
52N
Kamchatka
Sakhalin
Island
Vladivostok
Yuhzno-
Sakhalinsk
Petropavlovsk
Esso
Hokkaido
Kuril Islands
Alaskan Current
East Kamchatka
Current
East-Sakhalin
Current
East Asia Monsoon
(summer)
Siberian High
(winter)
50
74 70
80
106
GD
CV
NRA,B,C,D
SV
BD
TBT, LTB, MTB
162
KH
CR
VK, UVK, LVK
ES
WP, MWP
KG
PK
VV
UG
PP
MK
BP
URKED
UP
KP
SR
GK
SN
SG
K01
K02
K03
K04
K05
K06
K09
K10
K11
MV
SP
MONOG/SON
RN
CHAM
NAM
Significance
Reconstructions of Amur River
discharge beyond the existing
observational record provides another
dimension from which to understand
past conditions of the river basin and
Sea of Okhotsk system.
Such reconstructions may allow for
better river planning and management
practices as warming climate brings an
increased risk of drought and flooding
to the region.
The Amur River
• One of the largest rivers of the world with a basin area of ~1,8600,000 km2.
• Discharges into the Sea of Okhotsk, and is a large control on both the formation of
seasonal sea ice and biological productivity in the Northwest Pacific.
• Two discharge peaks:
1.  May: reflects spring snow melt
2.  Autumn: result of monsoonal rains
FREDERICK, Sarah1, WILES, Greg1, SOLOMINA, Olga2, D’ARRIGO, Rosanne3, ANCHUKAITIS, Kevin3, DOLGOVA, Ekaterina4, MATSKOVSKY, Vladimir4, KUDERINA, Tatiana5, GRABENKO, Evgenii6, and DAVI, Nicole7
1) Department of Geology, The College of Wooster, 2) Institute of Geography, Moscow State University, Russian Academy of Sciences, 3) Lamont Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University, 4) Department of Geography, Moscow State University,
5) Department of Physical Geography and Natural Management Problems, Moscow State University, 6) Kavkazskii State Biosphere Reserve, Kavkazskii, 7) Environmental Science, William Paterson University
Methods
1.  Living larch, spruce, oak, and pine
trees were cored across the Far East.
2.  These cores were prepared using
standard dendrochronological
methodologies, dated and measured
(Stokes and Smiley, 1996).
3.  COFECHA and ARSTAN were used to
develop chronologies that were then
compared to meteorological data and
statistically analyzed for climate
signals.
Images from fieldwork in
Kamchatka, Russia.
Figure 1
Figure 2
Figure 3
….Figure 4
Dendroclimatology in the Far East of Russia:
Two-century tree-ring reconstructions of Amur River flow
Conclusions
1.  Growth of these trees tends to be
highly sensitive to summer
temperatures and precipitation.
2.  Growth exhibits a strong
correlation with the observational
record of Amur River discharge.
3.  Tree ring-width functions as a
strong proxy for discharge of the
Amur River, particularly for
autumn and winter months, and
can be used to produce statistically
significant reconstructions of Amur
River flow beyond the existing
observational record.
4.  Amur River discharge is highly
variable through time, however,
some flux may be explained by
changes in just a few variables.
Declines in flow correlate with
cooler periods in the temperature
reconstruction (Figure 3) and, less
consistently, with decreased solar
irradiance (Figure 4).
Objectives
1.  Develop tree-ring chronologies, which provide an extensive
record of climate, particularly temperature, precipitation,
and larger-scale indices, in the Far East.
2.  Reconstruct Amur River discharge beyond the observational
record using dendroclimatology and dendrohydrology.
3.  Better understand the climatic role of the Amur River as a
driver and/or responder to regional conditions.
Figures	
  1	
  &	
  2.	
  Average	
  discharge	
  for	
  the	
  months	
  of	
  Sept.-­‐March	
  
(SM)	
  (Figure	
  1)	
  and	
  Sept.-­‐Nov.	
  (SN)	
  (Figure	
  2).	
  Discharge	
  was	
  
reconstructed	
  using	
  tree-­‐ring	
  chronologies	
  from	
  across	
  the	
  Far	
  
East	
  that	
  had	
  the	
  most	
  robust	
  correlaDon	
  with	
  available	
  Amur	
  
River	
  discharge	
  data	
  (1933-­‐1984	
  monthly	
  discharge	
  measured	
  
at	
  the	
  Komsomolsk	
  staDon).	
  The	
  models	
  were	
  created	
  using	
  
principle	
  component	
  analysis:	
  the	
  SM	
  model	
  (Figure	
  1)	
  uDlized	
  
3	
  principle	
  components	
  and	
  explains	
  38.2%	
  of	
  the	
  variance,	
  
while	
  the	
  SN	
  model	
  (Figure	
  2)	
  uDlized	
  2	
  principle	
  components	
  
and	
  explains	
  43%	
  of	
  the	
  variance.	
  
Figure	
  3.	
  The	
  Amur	
  River	
  discharge	
  
reconstrucDons	
  -­‐	
  SM	
  (blue)	
  and	
  SN	
  (green)	
  –	
  
are	
  ploTed	
  along	
  with	
  a	
  mean	
  JJAS	
  
temperature	
  reconstrucDon	
  for	
  Nemuro,	
  
Japan	
  (gray)	
  (Jacoby	
  et	
  al.,	
  2004)	
  and	
  a	
  
mean	
  max.	
  JJAS	
  temperature	
  reconstrucDon	
  
for	
  Kunashir	
  (red)	
  (D’Arrigo,	
  et	
  al.,	
  2014).	
  	
  
Figure	
  4.	
  The	
  Amur	
  River	
  discharge	
  
reconstrucDons	
  –	
  SM	
  (blue)	
  and	
  SN	
  (green)	
  –	
  
ploTed	
  along	
  with	
  a	
  total	
  solar	
  irradiance	
  
reconstrucDon	
  (Steinhilber	
  et	
  al.,	
  2009	
  ).	
  
• Time lag between peak precipitation (July)
and peak discharge is ~2 months.

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FrederickSymposiumPoster

  • 1. Results & Observations References D’Arrigo, R., Wilson, R., Wiles, G., Anchukaitis, K. J., Solomina, O., Davi, N., Deser, C., Matskovsky, V., Dolgova, E., in review, Distinct circulation features of western North Pacific climate over four centuries: Journal of Climate. Wiles, G.C., Solomina, O., D’Arrigo, R., Anchukaitis, K.J., Gensiarovsky, Y.V., and Wiesenberg, N., 2014, Reconstructed summer temperatures over the last 400 years based on Larix gmelinii ring widths: Sakhalin Island, Russian Far East: Climate Dynamics. Solomina, O., Wiles, G., Shiraiwa, T., D’Arrigo, R., 2007, Multiproxy records of climate variability for Kamchatka for the past 400 years: Climate of the Past, v. 3, p. 119-128. Stokes, M.A., and Smiley, T.L., 1996, An introduction to tree-ring dating: Tucson, Arizona, The University of Arizona Press, 73 p. Field Sites The Far East of Russia. Collection sites (yellow) are each labeled with the site code. Some controls on oceanic (blue) and atmospheric (black) circulation are also shown. These combined with a variety of other factors, including Amur River input, form a complex climate system. The Utility of Tree-Rings Tree-rings are valuable for paleoclimatology: • Annual growth rings allow for absolute dating. • Growth is influenced by the local climate conditions. • A tree’s unique pattern of growth rings may be used as high- resolution proxy data to reconstruct past fluxes in climate variable(s) that the tree’s growth is sensitive to. Acknowledgments Support for this research was provided by the National Science Foundation Paleoclimatology Program, Grants AGS-1159430 and 1202218. We thank Nick Wiesenberg, Javi Martin Fernandez, and College of Wooster students, Zach Downes, Willy Nelson, and Kaitlin Starr, for their assistance in processing data used in this study. The above figure illustrates crossdating, the technique of matching rings between trees. 500 km North Pacific Bering Sea Sea of Okhotsk Sea of Japan 144E 52N Kamchatka Sakhalin Island Vladivostok Yuhzno- Sakhalinsk Petropavlovsk Esso Hokkaido Kuril Islands Alaskan Current East Kamchatka Current East-Sakhalin Current East Asia Monsoon (summer) Siberian High (winter) 50 74 70 80 106 GD CV NRA,B,C,D SV BD TBT, LTB, MTB 162 KH CR VK, UVK, LVK ES WP, MWP KG PK VV UG PP MK BP URKED UP KP SR GK SN SG K01 K02 K03 K04 K05 K06 K09 K10 K11 MV SP MONOG/SON RN CHAM NAM Significance Reconstructions of Amur River discharge beyond the existing observational record provides another dimension from which to understand past conditions of the river basin and Sea of Okhotsk system. Such reconstructions may allow for better river planning and management practices as warming climate brings an increased risk of drought and flooding to the region. The Amur River • One of the largest rivers of the world with a basin area of ~1,8600,000 km2. • Discharges into the Sea of Okhotsk, and is a large control on both the formation of seasonal sea ice and biological productivity in the Northwest Pacific. • Two discharge peaks: 1.  May: reflects spring snow melt 2.  Autumn: result of monsoonal rains FREDERICK, Sarah1, WILES, Greg1, SOLOMINA, Olga2, D’ARRIGO, Rosanne3, ANCHUKAITIS, Kevin3, DOLGOVA, Ekaterina4, MATSKOVSKY, Vladimir4, KUDERINA, Tatiana5, GRABENKO, Evgenii6, and DAVI, Nicole7 1) Department of Geology, The College of Wooster, 2) Institute of Geography, Moscow State University, Russian Academy of Sciences, 3) Lamont Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University, 4) Department of Geography, Moscow State University, 5) Department of Physical Geography and Natural Management Problems, Moscow State University, 6) Kavkazskii State Biosphere Reserve, Kavkazskii, 7) Environmental Science, William Paterson University Methods 1.  Living larch, spruce, oak, and pine trees were cored across the Far East. 2.  These cores were prepared using standard dendrochronological methodologies, dated and measured (Stokes and Smiley, 1996). 3.  COFECHA and ARSTAN were used to develop chronologies that were then compared to meteorological data and statistically analyzed for climate signals. Images from fieldwork in Kamchatka, Russia. Figure 1 Figure 2 Figure 3 ….Figure 4 Dendroclimatology in the Far East of Russia: Two-century tree-ring reconstructions of Amur River flow Conclusions 1.  Growth of these trees tends to be highly sensitive to summer temperatures and precipitation. 2.  Growth exhibits a strong correlation with the observational record of Amur River discharge. 3.  Tree ring-width functions as a strong proxy for discharge of the Amur River, particularly for autumn and winter months, and can be used to produce statistically significant reconstructions of Amur River flow beyond the existing observational record. 4.  Amur River discharge is highly variable through time, however, some flux may be explained by changes in just a few variables. Declines in flow correlate with cooler periods in the temperature reconstruction (Figure 3) and, less consistently, with decreased solar irradiance (Figure 4). Objectives 1.  Develop tree-ring chronologies, which provide an extensive record of climate, particularly temperature, precipitation, and larger-scale indices, in the Far East. 2.  Reconstruct Amur River discharge beyond the observational record using dendroclimatology and dendrohydrology. 3.  Better understand the climatic role of the Amur River as a driver and/or responder to regional conditions. Figures  1  &  2.  Average  discharge  for  the  months  of  Sept.-­‐March   (SM)  (Figure  1)  and  Sept.-­‐Nov.  (SN)  (Figure  2).  Discharge  was   reconstructed  using  tree-­‐ring  chronologies  from  across  the  Far   East  that  had  the  most  robust  correlaDon  with  available  Amur   River  discharge  data  (1933-­‐1984  monthly  discharge  measured   at  the  Komsomolsk  staDon).  The  models  were  created  using   principle  component  analysis:  the  SM  model  (Figure  1)  uDlized   3  principle  components  and  explains  38.2%  of  the  variance,   while  the  SN  model  (Figure  2)  uDlized  2  principle  components   and  explains  43%  of  the  variance.   Figure  3.  The  Amur  River  discharge   reconstrucDons  -­‐  SM  (blue)  and  SN  (green)  –   are  ploTed  along  with  a  mean  JJAS   temperature  reconstrucDon  for  Nemuro,   Japan  (gray)  (Jacoby  et  al.,  2004)  and  a   mean  max.  JJAS  temperature  reconstrucDon   for  Kunashir  (red)  (D’Arrigo,  et  al.,  2014).     Figure  4.  The  Amur  River  discharge   reconstrucDons  –  SM  (blue)  and  SN  (green)  –   ploTed  along  with  a  total  solar  irradiance   reconstrucDon  (Steinhilber  et  al.,  2009  ).   • Time lag between peak precipitation (July) and peak discharge is ~2 months.