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Chapter 2: Modeling
Individual Choice
 Purpose: Develop a model to
describe how individuals make
choices (allocate scarce resources).
 Start with a simple model, then adapt
to allow for more complex decisions.
 Assumption that always holds:
Individuals are rational -- always
make best choice.
Key Concepts of the
Model
 Total Utility (TU) -- total satisfaction/
happiness
 Consumption -- act of deriving 得到
utility.
 Marginal Utility (MU) -- the change in
TU resulting from a change in the
quantity (Q) consumed (MU = ΔTU/ΔQ).
 Diminishing MU -- an assumption that
utility diminishes with each successive
Decision Rule With One
Good (No Scarcity)
 Consume up to the point before total
utility falls (beyond this point will take
away from total utility).
 Decision rule: MU=0 (make decisions
at the margin).
 Referred to as satiation or bliss point.
Decision Rule with n
Choices (No Scarcity)
 If money is not scarce, consume until
fully satiated from each choice:
MU1/$=0 and MU2/$=0 and MU3/$=0
and………. and MUn/$=0.
 If time is resource, $ replaced with
unit of time.
 Decision rule:
MU1= MU2=MU3=…….=MUn=0.
Decision Rule n
Options and Scarcity
 Must determine optimal allocation --
allocation of resources that
maximizes utility.
 Decision Rule:
MU1/unit = MU2/unit =…..= MUn /unit = X
 Known as Equal Margins Principle --
maximize utility when margins are
equal.
Decision Rule With
Production
 Endowment -- our natural productive
resources, such as labor.
 Based on our endowment-- produce to
consume and consume to maximize
utility. Thus, produce to maximize
utility.
 Must decide how to get the most utility
from endowment.
Decision Rule With
Production
 Marginal Product (MP) -- change in
output (Q) due to productive resource.
MP (of labor N) = ΔQ/ΔN
o Assume MP diminishes.
 Determine Value of the Marginal
Product (V) -- utility derived from a
successive unit of productive resource.
o Combines MP and MU
Decision Rule with
Production (No Scarcity)
 Based on V, must decide when to stop
producing.
 If no scarcity, at the point where no
further utility is derived.
 Decision Rule:
V1= V2= V3=……..= Vn=0
 The optimal allocation is reached
when there is no other opportunity
that offers higher utility.
 Decision rule:
V1= V2= V3=………..= Vn=X (X>0)
 If constraints change, must find a
new allocation.
Several Choices,
Production, and Scarcity
Decisions with Future
Consequences
 Most important choices are generally
intertemporal-- have consequences
across time, such as going to college.
 Two concepts aid in decisions that
affect our future: Present Value and
Discount rate.
 Present Value (P) -- value of future
utility for choices put in a value today--
allows comparisons across time.
 Discount rate (DR)-- a measure of
one’s willingness to wait for utility.
-- Low DR - more willing to wait.
-- High DR - less willing to wait.
 Our discount rates can change.
Decisions with Future
Consequences
Decision Rule For
Intertemporal Choices
 Decision rule:
PV1 = PV2 = PV3 =……….= PVn.
-- V: value of marginal product
(utility derived from productive
resources).
-- P: present value (future utility in
today’s value).
Adding Risk to the
Decision Rule
 Risks (E) -- events that may affect
one’s decision with some perceived
probability.
 Uncertainty -- events that may affect
one’s decision, but with no perceived
probability.
 Risk enters the decision rule;
uncertainty does not.
Adding Risk To the
Decision Rule
 Decision rule:
EPV1 = EPV2 = EPV3 =……= EPVn.
“Expected Present Value”
-- V: value of marginal product (utility
derived from resources).
-- P: present value (today’s value of
our future decisions).
-- E: adjustment for perceived risk.

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Modeling Individual Choise

  • 1. Chapter 2: Modeling Individual Choice  Purpose: Develop a model to describe how individuals make choices (allocate scarce resources).  Start with a simple model, then adapt to allow for more complex decisions.  Assumption that always holds: Individuals are rational -- always make best choice.
  • 2. Key Concepts of the Model  Total Utility (TU) -- total satisfaction/ happiness  Consumption -- act of deriving 得到 utility.  Marginal Utility (MU) -- the change in TU resulting from a change in the quantity (Q) consumed (MU = ΔTU/ΔQ).  Diminishing MU -- an assumption that utility diminishes with each successive
  • 3. Decision Rule With One Good (No Scarcity)  Consume up to the point before total utility falls (beyond this point will take away from total utility).  Decision rule: MU=0 (make decisions at the margin).  Referred to as satiation or bliss point.
  • 4. Decision Rule with n Choices (No Scarcity)  If money is not scarce, consume until fully satiated from each choice: MU1/$=0 and MU2/$=0 and MU3/$=0 and………. and MUn/$=0.  If time is resource, $ replaced with unit of time.  Decision rule: MU1= MU2=MU3=…….=MUn=0.
  • 5. Decision Rule n Options and Scarcity  Must determine optimal allocation -- allocation of resources that maximizes utility.  Decision Rule: MU1/unit = MU2/unit =…..= MUn /unit = X  Known as Equal Margins Principle -- maximize utility when margins are equal.
  • 6. Decision Rule With Production  Endowment -- our natural productive resources, such as labor.  Based on our endowment-- produce to consume and consume to maximize utility. Thus, produce to maximize utility.  Must decide how to get the most utility from endowment.
  • 7. Decision Rule With Production  Marginal Product (MP) -- change in output (Q) due to productive resource. MP (of labor N) = ΔQ/ΔN o Assume MP diminishes.  Determine Value of the Marginal Product (V) -- utility derived from a successive unit of productive resource. o Combines MP and MU
  • 8. Decision Rule with Production (No Scarcity)  Based on V, must decide when to stop producing.  If no scarcity, at the point where no further utility is derived.  Decision Rule: V1= V2= V3=……..= Vn=0
  • 9.  The optimal allocation is reached when there is no other opportunity that offers higher utility.  Decision rule: V1= V2= V3=………..= Vn=X (X>0)  If constraints change, must find a new allocation. Several Choices, Production, and Scarcity
  • 10. Decisions with Future Consequences  Most important choices are generally intertemporal-- have consequences across time, such as going to college.  Two concepts aid in decisions that affect our future: Present Value and Discount rate.
  • 11.  Present Value (P) -- value of future utility for choices put in a value today-- allows comparisons across time.  Discount rate (DR)-- a measure of one’s willingness to wait for utility. -- Low DR - more willing to wait. -- High DR - less willing to wait.  Our discount rates can change. Decisions with Future Consequences
  • 12. Decision Rule For Intertemporal Choices  Decision rule: PV1 = PV2 = PV3 =……….= PVn. -- V: value of marginal product (utility derived from productive resources). -- P: present value (future utility in today’s value).
  • 13. Adding Risk to the Decision Rule  Risks (E) -- events that may affect one’s decision with some perceived probability.  Uncertainty -- events that may affect one’s decision, but with no perceived probability.  Risk enters the decision rule; uncertainty does not.
  • 14. Adding Risk To the Decision Rule  Decision rule: EPV1 = EPV2 = EPV3 =……= EPVn. “Expected Present Value” -- V: value of marginal product (utility derived from resources). -- P: present value (today’s value of our future decisions). -- E: adjustment for perceived risk.

Editor's Notes

  1. If x=0, then no scarcity.