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#AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org
What do we know
about PrEP:
from efficacy to effectiveness
to impact
Jared Baeten MD PhD
Vice Chair, Department of Global Health
Professor, Departments of Global Health, Medicine, and Epidemiology
Director, UW/Fred Hutch Center for AIDS Research (CFAR)
Co-Director, International Clinical Research Center
Co-Principal Investigator, Microbicides Trials Network
University of Washington
#AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org
Disclosures & Off-Label Use
• I have received research funding for PrEP,
microbicides, and related HIV prevention options from
the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, CDC, NIH,
PEPFAR, and USAID. For some research studies,
medication has been donated by Gilead Sciences, the
International Partnership for Microbicides, and other
partners. I have served on an advisory board for
Gilead Sciences.
• FTC/TDF (Truvada®) PrEP, used daily, has a formal
label indication in several countries. Other dosing
strategies for combination FTC/TDF and other uses of
antiretrovirals for HIV preventionhave normative
agency recommendations without formal label
approval.
#AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org
Acknowledgement
The results of PrEP research are a result of the
volunteerism of tens of thousands of persons at risk
for and living with HIV.
#AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org
And then, there was PrEP…
#AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org
Now, PrEP is standing room only
#AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org
What do we know
about PrEP:
from efficacy to effectiveness
to impact
Clinical Trials
Open-Label
Extensions &
Demonstration
Projects
Implementation
and Scale-Up
#AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org
What do we know
about PrEP:
from efficacy to effectiveness
to impact
Clinical Trials
Open-Label
Extensions &
Demonstration
Projects
Implementation
and Scale-Up
#AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org
Efficacy: Clinical Trials
>12 studies, across countries and continents
>20,000 participants
M/W/TGW; adults (adolescents); injection & sexual exposure
#AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org
Efficacy: Clinical Trials
iPrEx
51% adherence /
44% efficacy
Bangkok
67% adherence /
49% efficacy
TDF2
79% adherence /
62% efficacy
Partners PrEP
81% adherence /
75% efficacy
%
population
adherent
HIV protection efficacy
IPERGAY &
PROUD
~100%
adherence /
86% efficacy
FEM-PrEP & VOICE
<30% adherence /
no efficacy
#AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org
Efficacy: Near Complete Protection with
High Adherence
HIV risk reduction
Partners PrEP
any tenofovir
90%
iPrEx / iPrEx OLE
any tenofovir
92%
iPrEx / iPrEx OLE
≥4 doses/wk
*also on-demand PrEP in MSM
100%
Baeten et al. NEJM 2012; Grant et al. NEJM 2010 &
Lancet ID 2014; Molina et al. NEJM 2015
#AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org
Efficacy: Safety
The bar for safety is very high for a
preventative medication.
Trials demonstrated the safety of PrEP:
well-tolerated,
without significant renal or other toxicity,
rare antiretroviral resistance
#AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org
Efficacy: Reproductive Safety
Mugo et al. JAMA 2014
Matthews et al. JAIDS 2013
Murnane et al. AIDS 2014
Heffron et al. AIDS 2014
Were et al. AIDS 2014
Mugwanya et al. PLoS Med 2016
Mofenson et al. AIDS 2017
Heffron et al. AIDS 2018
Through an intentional series of studies, PrEP has
has been found to appear safe across the
reproductive life cycle:
Conception / Safer Conception
Pregnancy
Lactation
Contraception
#AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org
Efficacy: Regulatory Approval
Guidelines “..the use of daily oral pre-exposure prophylaxis
is recommended as an additional prevention choice for
people at substantial risk of HIV infection as part of
combination prevention approaches..”
Deborah Birnkrant, director of the Division of Antiviral Products,
US FDA, 16 July 2012
#AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org
What do we know
about PrEP:
from efficacy to effectiveness
to impact
PrEP works
#AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org
What do we know
about PrEP:
from efficacy to effectiveness
to impact
Clinical Trials
Open-Label
Extensions &
Demonstration
Projects
Implementation
and Scale-Up
#AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org
Effectiveness > Efficacy
In health, we expect that efficacy measured in clinical trials will
be the best we can hope for, and that effectiveness in
implementation settings will always be less.
PrEP has been the opposite.
.
Effectiveness Efficacy
PROUD = 86%
(nearly all adherent)
iPrEx = 44%
(51% adherent)
Partners Demo= 95%
(85% adherent)
Partners PrEP = 75%
(81% adherent)
McCormack et al. Lancet 2016; Baeten et al. PLoS Med 2016
#AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org
Effectiveness: Real-World
STI rates were
high, but no HIV
occurred, in one
large PrEP
program from the
US
(Volk et al. Clin Infec Dis
2015)
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Any CT GC TP HIV
zero
Kaiser-Permanente, CA, USA
N=657
12-month cumulative STI
percentages
#AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org
Effectiveness: HIV incidence
#AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org
Effectiveness: Adherence
Liu et al. JAMA Intern Med 2016
#AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org
Effectiveness: What PrEP Offers
• What PrEP-takers say:
– Decreased anxiety, increased self-efficacy
– Increased communication, disclosure,
trust
– Increased sexual pleasure & intimacy
#AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org
What do we know
about PrEP:
from efficacy to effectiveness
to impact
PrEP is
workable
#AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org
What do we know
about PrEP:
from efficacy to effectiveness
to impact
Clinical Trials
Open-Label
Extensions &
Demonstration
Projects
Implementation
and Scale-Up
#AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org
Impact: Normative Guidance
Guidelines “..the use of daily oral
pre-exposure prophylaxis is
recommended as an additional
prevention choice for people at
substantial risk of HIV infection as part
of combination prevention
approaches..”
#AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org
Impact: Slow to Start
2013
#AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org
Impact: Growth
Cohen, Science,
March 2018 & WHO
Global estimate ~300-350,000
cumulative to date
#AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org
Impact: New Prevention Messaging
#AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org
Impact: Normalization & Stigma
P=P
#AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org
Impact: Seattle
Knowledge & Use of PrEP Among
Seattle MSM Gay Pride Attendees,
2009-2017
Source: WA/KC 2017 HIV/AIDS Epidemiology Report & Matt Golden
Heard of PrEP
Ever Taken
PrEP
New HIV diagnoses, prevalence,
AIDS diagnoses, and deaths,
Seattle
42% ↓
in new
infections
since 2010
#AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org
Impact: Big Cities
San Francisco 50+% reduction in
new HIV infections in
the past decade
Sydney 32% reduction with
roll-out
London 42% reduction in 2016
SFDPH Annual Report 2017
Grulich et al. CROI 2018
Nwokolo et al. Lancet HIV 2017
All in context of high levels of testing & ART
#AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org
Impact: Programmatic Roll-Out
#AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org
Impact: PrEP at AIDS 2018
• What works:
– Easy access / differentiated care
• Easy to get, few labs, general
population approach
– Delivery settings
• Integrated services, MCH & FP
settings, youth-friendly, community-
based, online, standard of care in
prevention trials
– Dosing daily & on demand (for MSM)
#AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org
What do we know
about PrEP:
from efficacy to effectiveness
to impact
PrEP is working
#AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org
What do we know
about PrEP:
from efficacy to effectiveness
to impact
PrEP works
PrEP is workable
PrEP is working
#AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org
What do we know
about PrEP:
from efficacy to effectiveness
to impact
But it is not yet enough…
#AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org
Not Enough: Goals
#AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org
Not Enough: Expectations
• Expectations of what is success for
PrEP are still undefined:
• Uptake
• Adherence, retention
• Cost/cost-effectiveness (incidence)
#AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org
Not Enough: Continuation
%
of
Patients
Graphic = Gilead Sciences
In the US, PrEP
continuation was
initially poor.
Continuation has
improved with time –
as PrEP has
normalized in
communities.
#AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org
Not Enough: Barriers
Stigma
HIV, risk, antiretrovirals
Access
policy, program, funding
Knowledge
marketing, community, normalization
#AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org
Not Enough: Awareness
#AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org
Not Enough: Complexity
PrEP is not treatment.
PrEP is primary prevention =
analogous to contraception.
Easier strategies are necessary:
streamlined access, same-day start,
integrated services, peer engagement,
minimized laboratory testing, community
delivery, etc.
#AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org
Not Enough: STIs
Diagnoses
per
1000
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
2007 2008 20092010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Syphilis
↑195%
GC
↑237%
CT
↑114%
HIV
Seattle MSM
STI diagnoses
Needed:
better diagnostics, active screening and
treatment, access to STI medications, new
strategies for preventing STIs
Reminder:
We are in the business of preventing disease, not
preventing sex.
#AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org
Not Enough: Disparities
Source: CDC
US:
Globally:
#AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org
Not Enough: Choice
For contraception, women regularly weigh side
effects, efficacy, life burden, and “medicalization”
when making choices.
People want options so they can make choices
BNAbs /
Vaccine
Vaginal/rectal
inserts
#AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org
EfficacyEffectivnessImpactEnough?
#AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org
What’s the most important progress we’ve made this
decade in the HIV epidemic?
Treatment as prevention and
preexposure prophylaxis,
really implement them properly,
theoretically you could shut the
epidemic off.
- Anthony Fauci, JAMA, July
2018
Parting thought…

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PrEP overview -- AIDS2018 -- July 2018 -- Baeten.pptx

  • 1. #AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org What do we know about PrEP: from efficacy to effectiveness to impact Jared Baeten MD PhD Vice Chair, Department of Global Health Professor, Departments of Global Health, Medicine, and Epidemiology Director, UW/Fred Hutch Center for AIDS Research (CFAR) Co-Director, International Clinical Research Center Co-Principal Investigator, Microbicides Trials Network University of Washington
  • 2. #AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org Disclosures & Off-Label Use • I have received research funding for PrEP, microbicides, and related HIV prevention options from the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, CDC, NIH, PEPFAR, and USAID. For some research studies, medication has been donated by Gilead Sciences, the International Partnership for Microbicides, and other partners. I have served on an advisory board for Gilead Sciences. • FTC/TDF (Truvada®) PrEP, used daily, has a formal label indication in several countries. Other dosing strategies for combination FTC/TDF and other uses of antiretrovirals for HIV preventionhave normative agency recommendations without formal label approval.
  • 3. #AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org Acknowledgement The results of PrEP research are a result of the volunteerism of tens of thousands of persons at risk for and living with HIV.
  • 4. #AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org And then, there was PrEP…
  • 5. #AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org Now, PrEP is standing room only
  • 6. #AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org What do we know about PrEP: from efficacy to effectiveness to impact Clinical Trials Open-Label Extensions & Demonstration Projects Implementation and Scale-Up
  • 7. #AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org What do we know about PrEP: from efficacy to effectiveness to impact Clinical Trials Open-Label Extensions & Demonstration Projects Implementation and Scale-Up
  • 8. #AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org Efficacy: Clinical Trials >12 studies, across countries and continents >20,000 participants M/W/TGW; adults (adolescents); injection & sexual exposure
  • 9. #AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org Efficacy: Clinical Trials iPrEx 51% adherence / 44% efficacy Bangkok 67% adherence / 49% efficacy TDF2 79% adherence / 62% efficacy Partners PrEP 81% adherence / 75% efficacy % population adherent HIV protection efficacy IPERGAY & PROUD ~100% adherence / 86% efficacy FEM-PrEP & VOICE <30% adherence / no efficacy
  • 10. #AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org Efficacy: Near Complete Protection with High Adherence HIV risk reduction Partners PrEP any tenofovir 90% iPrEx / iPrEx OLE any tenofovir 92% iPrEx / iPrEx OLE ≥4 doses/wk *also on-demand PrEP in MSM 100% Baeten et al. NEJM 2012; Grant et al. NEJM 2010 & Lancet ID 2014; Molina et al. NEJM 2015
  • 11. #AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org Efficacy: Safety The bar for safety is very high for a preventative medication. Trials demonstrated the safety of PrEP: well-tolerated, without significant renal or other toxicity, rare antiretroviral resistance
  • 12. #AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org Efficacy: Reproductive Safety Mugo et al. JAMA 2014 Matthews et al. JAIDS 2013 Murnane et al. AIDS 2014 Heffron et al. AIDS 2014 Were et al. AIDS 2014 Mugwanya et al. PLoS Med 2016 Mofenson et al. AIDS 2017 Heffron et al. AIDS 2018 Through an intentional series of studies, PrEP has has been found to appear safe across the reproductive life cycle: Conception / Safer Conception Pregnancy Lactation Contraception
  • 13. #AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org Efficacy: Regulatory Approval Guidelines “..the use of daily oral pre-exposure prophylaxis is recommended as an additional prevention choice for people at substantial risk of HIV infection as part of combination prevention approaches..” Deborah Birnkrant, director of the Division of Antiviral Products, US FDA, 16 July 2012
  • 14. #AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org What do we know about PrEP: from efficacy to effectiveness to impact PrEP works
  • 15. #AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org What do we know about PrEP: from efficacy to effectiveness to impact Clinical Trials Open-Label Extensions & Demonstration Projects Implementation and Scale-Up
  • 16. #AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org Effectiveness > Efficacy In health, we expect that efficacy measured in clinical trials will be the best we can hope for, and that effectiveness in implementation settings will always be less. PrEP has been the opposite. . Effectiveness Efficacy PROUD = 86% (nearly all adherent) iPrEx = 44% (51% adherent) Partners Demo= 95% (85% adherent) Partners PrEP = 75% (81% adherent) McCormack et al. Lancet 2016; Baeten et al. PLoS Med 2016
  • 17. #AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org Effectiveness: Real-World STI rates were high, but no HIV occurred, in one large PrEP program from the US (Volk et al. Clin Infec Dis 2015) 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Any CT GC TP HIV zero Kaiser-Permanente, CA, USA N=657 12-month cumulative STI percentages
  • 18. #AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org Effectiveness: HIV incidence
  • 19. #AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org Effectiveness: Adherence Liu et al. JAMA Intern Med 2016
  • 20. #AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org Effectiveness: What PrEP Offers • What PrEP-takers say: – Decreased anxiety, increased self-efficacy – Increased communication, disclosure, trust – Increased sexual pleasure & intimacy
  • 21. #AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org What do we know about PrEP: from efficacy to effectiveness to impact PrEP is workable
  • 22. #AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org What do we know about PrEP: from efficacy to effectiveness to impact Clinical Trials Open-Label Extensions & Demonstration Projects Implementation and Scale-Up
  • 23. #AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org Impact: Normative Guidance Guidelines “..the use of daily oral pre-exposure prophylaxis is recommended as an additional prevention choice for people at substantial risk of HIV infection as part of combination prevention approaches..”
  • 24. #AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org Impact: Slow to Start 2013
  • 25. #AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org Impact: Growth Cohen, Science, March 2018 & WHO Global estimate ~300-350,000 cumulative to date
  • 26. #AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org Impact: New Prevention Messaging
  • 27. #AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org Impact: Normalization & Stigma P=P
  • 28. #AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org Impact: Seattle Knowledge & Use of PrEP Among Seattle MSM Gay Pride Attendees, 2009-2017 Source: WA/KC 2017 HIV/AIDS Epidemiology Report & Matt Golden Heard of PrEP Ever Taken PrEP New HIV diagnoses, prevalence, AIDS diagnoses, and deaths, Seattle 42% ↓ in new infections since 2010
  • 29. #AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org Impact: Big Cities San Francisco 50+% reduction in new HIV infections in the past decade Sydney 32% reduction with roll-out London 42% reduction in 2016 SFDPH Annual Report 2017 Grulich et al. CROI 2018 Nwokolo et al. Lancet HIV 2017 All in context of high levels of testing & ART
  • 30. #AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org Impact: Programmatic Roll-Out
  • 31. #AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org Impact: PrEP at AIDS 2018 • What works: – Easy access / differentiated care • Easy to get, few labs, general population approach – Delivery settings • Integrated services, MCH & FP settings, youth-friendly, community- based, online, standard of care in prevention trials – Dosing daily & on demand (for MSM)
  • 32. #AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org What do we know about PrEP: from efficacy to effectiveness to impact PrEP is working
  • 33. #AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org What do we know about PrEP: from efficacy to effectiveness to impact PrEP works PrEP is workable PrEP is working
  • 34. #AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org What do we know about PrEP: from efficacy to effectiveness to impact But it is not yet enough…
  • 35. #AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org Not Enough: Goals
  • 36. #AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org Not Enough: Expectations • Expectations of what is success for PrEP are still undefined: • Uptake • Adherence, retention • Cost/cost-effectiveness (incidence)
  • 37. #AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org Not Enough: Continuation % of Patients Graphic = Gilead Sciences In the US, PrEP continuation was initially poor. Continuation has improved with time – as PrEP has normalized in communities.
  • 38. #AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org Not Enough: Barriers Stigma HIV, risk, antiretrovirals Access policy, program, funding Knowledge marketing, community, normalization
  • 39. #AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org Not Enough: Awareness
  • 40. #AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org Not Enough: Complexity PrEP is not treatment. PrEP is primary prevention = analogous to contraception. Easier strategies are necessary: streamlined access, same-day start, integrated services, peer engagement, minimized laboratory testing, community delivery, etc.
  • 41. #AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org Not Enough: STIs Diagnoses per 1000 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 2007 2008 20092010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Syphilis ↑195% GC ↑237% CT ↑114% HIV Seattle MSM STI diagnoses Needed: better diagnostics, active screening and treatment, access to STI medications, new strategies for preventing STIs Reminder: We are in the business of preventing disease, not preventing sex.
  • 42. #AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org Not Enough: Disparities Source: CDC US: Globally:
  • 43. #AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org Not Enough: Choice For contraception, women regularly weigh side effects, efficacy, life burden, and “medicalization” when making choices. People want options so they can make choices BNAbs / Vaccine Vaginal/rectal inserts
  • 44. #AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org EfficacyEffectivnessImpactEnough?
  • 45. #AIDS2018 | @AIDS_conference | www.aids2018.org What’s the most important progress we’ve made this decade in the HIV epidemic? Treatment as prevention and preexposure prophylaxis, really implement them properly, theoretically you could shut the epidemic off. - Anthony Fauci, JAMA, July 2018 Parting thought…