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PRODUCT TAXONOMY &
MODEL RISK MANAGEMENT:
‘Putting the beans back into coffee’



Markus Krebsz
6th Annual Stress Testing Conference
30 Nov - 2 Dec 2011, London
PRODUCT TAXONOMY




         ‘Putting the beans..
       ..back into coffee’      2
DEFINITION & STRUCTURE
Τάξις = taxis (meaning 'order' or 'arrangement') and νόμος = nomos (meaning 'law’)




                                                                                     3
WHY?


                Risk modeling &
                 Stress testing


                                             Valuation &
                                             P+L explain
                        PRODUCT
  Certification &
  Model control


                              Risk Reporting &
                                Management



                                                           4
OBJECTIVE                                      ‘COMPLETE MENU’
 Fully classified product suite across the firm:
  i.e. Fixed Income, Equities, F/X, Structured Rates & Credit, Commodities divisions




 Ability to model Risks & monitor Model performance:
 Models, Model data, Product certifications, Valuation adjustments and P+L explain     5
OBJECTIVE                            (External / Regulatory drivers)
 Bank for International Settlements/ Financial Stability Board:
  Senior Supervisors Group’s white paper of the “Observations on developments in risk
  appetite frameworks and IT infrastructure” – Dec . 2010

 Financial Services Authority (UK):
  - ‘Dear CEO letter’ entitled “Valuation and product control” – Aug. 2008
  - New assessment framework for prudent valuation to promote a more systematic
    approach to the assessment of valuation uncertainty and prudent valuation.
  - BIPRU 7.10 – Use of VaR-models prescribing 4 different types of products
  - FSA is also likely going to assess granular judgmental analysis by firms at product level.

 Dodd-Frank act (US):
  introduces several new concepts to derivatives processing:
  - Taxonomy, identifies the type of traded product (e.g. simple EQ option)
  - Unique product identifiers (UPI), identifies traded product (e.g. a 5Y-USD-LIBOR
    interest rate swap) – but not necessarily a specific contract
  - Standardised product, i.e. derivatives products that have standard terms and
    are listed on an execution platform

 International Swaps and Derivatives Association                                                6
CONCEPTUAL MODEL




Important:
 Mandatory vs. Product-specific nodes
  - Mandatory nodes apply to all products, regardless of the asset class
  - Product-specific nodes are not always populated

 Product-specific vs. Trade-specific features
  - a Cappuccino to ‘drink-in’ vs. ‘Take-away’  the product is the same

 Based on observable trade facts & the lowest level of ‘product’
                                                                           7
CLASSIFICATION APPROACH
 Vanilla      Structured                              Exotic
  < Flow products >        < Templated >          < Non-templated >




‘Locked-down’          Building blocks           Freely scripted
 = Tea-Bag            = Hot water + Espresso   = Cappuccino with Soy milk,
                      + Semi-skimmed milk      fair-trade coffee, sugar-free
                                               Hazelnut syrup and…
System-compiled Template-driven Human-compiled
                                                                           8
TAXONOMY DEVELOPMENT CYCLE

           Determine                                        Identify                            Develop draft

         requirements                                      concepts                                taxonomy

   Scope?; Purpose? ; Type of content          Where and what is the content?;               Develop upper taxonomy levels:
   format?; Target audience & users?;          Perform content inventory;                    Start broad, not deep; Bottom up
   Business objectives?                        Conduct user interviews                       and/or top down approach

    Business case document,                    Identify “high value”                        Establish common rules
     Scope statement, Project plan,              content                                       for: Taxonomy format,
     Issue log                                                                                 Structure & Relationship,
                                                                                               Guidelines & standards


     Review with SMEs                          Refine             Apply taxonomy                Manage & Maintain
           & Users                          taxonomy                                                   taxonomy
                                                                      to content

Identify appropriate SMEs for   Iterative process; Incorporate Integrate taxonomy globally   Establish taxonomy ownership,
taxonomy validation             user feedback; Living/growing across firm with existing      governance & Change control
                                tool, i.e. never finished      applications; Associate       process; Conduct periodic review
 Does structure make                                          taxonomy terms with           to establish if it still “fits”
  sense?                         But: stop when good          products; Address links to
  Does it go too deep?          “enough” and Observe           other concepts                 Documentation, Ongoing
  Are all major products        balance: Value vs. detail       Provide guidelines for      review, approval and change
  included?                                                    use, application and          implementation, Version control
  Are there any gaps?                                          training for users

                                                                                                                                9
CHALLENGES




             10
BENEFITS
 Meeting a large selection of cross-functional requirements enabling
  - Model control & Stress testing
  - Model certifications
  - Product control
  - Management of Trading mandate
  - P+L explain
  - Proper valuation adjustments and management of model reserves

 Greater transparency and comparability of (derivative) products

 Post-trade transparency is ticking the Regulators’ ‘boxes’




                                                                    11
CLOSE
Thank you very much
for your attention, contribution and listening today!
________________________________________




________________________________________
CONTACT:
+ 44 (0) 79 85 065 045
www.riskguide.net             www.markuskrebsz.info     12
Markus Krebsz
Subject matter expert : Rating agencies & Securitisation
        •   Freelance Consultant with nineteen years experience in banking & financial institutions - thereof ten years covering rating agencies
        •   Credit rating advisor for the World Bank as part of various large-scale projects involving GSEs of several African & Asian nations
        •   Industry expert in credit rating agency as well as Structured finance-related issues and frequent speaker on international conferences
        •   Author and passionate reviewer/editor of several risk workbooks
        •   Frequent contributor to various industry working groups consulting regulators, exchanges and central banks



Publications
        •   ‘Securitisation & Structured Finance post Credit Crunch: A Best Practice Deal Lifecycle Guide’, John Wiley & Sons Inc., Apr. 2011
        •   ‘Product Taxonomy: A Key Tool for Understanding Risk/Return within the Banking Framework’ Qfinance chapter, exp. Jan 2012
        •   ‘Investor Requirements for 2011 and beyond: Due diligence and Risk analysis in a post-crisis world’, Euromoney Yearbook chapter
        •   Workbooks of the Chartered Institute for Securities & Investments (CISI): ‘Derivatives’ (Senior Reviewer), ‘IT in Investment
            Operations’, (Senior reviewer), ‘Operational Risk’ , (Senior reviewer) & ‘Risk in Financial Services’, (Technical Reviewer)
        •   ‘Frontiers of Risk management – Chapter 14: Credit rating agencies and the IRB approach’, Euromoney Book, 2007
        •   Numerous special, research and criteria reports on Fitch Rating’s website as Performance & Rating analyst, Aug 2004 to Oct 2006
        •   SAP Risk Analyzer Manual (in-house publication, in German), Jan 2002

Professional qualifications & affiliations                               Assignments (Past & current)
        •   Individually Chartered Member of the Chartered                            •   The World Bank
            Securities and Investment Institute (CISI)                                •   Deutsche Bank & UBS
        •   Bachelor of Banking Services and Operations, CCI                          •   Lloyds Banking Group
        •   ‘Train the Trainers’ Certificate                                          •   Bank of Scotland Treasury
        •   ‘Banking in Britain’ Certificate                                          •   The Royal Bank of Scotland Group
        •   German Banking Certificate (‘Bankkaufmann’)                               •   HypoVereinsbank / Unicredit
        •   Volunteer at and Member of the Professional Risk                          •   Dresdner Bank
            Manager’s International Association (PRMIA)                               •   Primary insight (Subsidiary of Bear Stearns)
        •   Member of the Global Association of Risk                                  •   De Matteo Monness (Subsidiary of Goldman Sachs)
            Professionals (GARP)
                                                                                      •   Fitch Ratings
www.markuskrebsz.info / www.markuskrebsz.co.uk                                        •   Vista Research (Subsidiary of Standard & Poor’s)
                                                                                                                                                     13
APPENDIX:   Further references




                                 14
FURTHER REFERENCES
Book:
Krebsz, Markus. Securitization and Structured Finance post Credit Crunch: A Best
Practice Deal Lifecyle Guide, Wiley, 2011.
Some chapters are available to browse/read online at Google books:
http://books.google.com/books?id=28mO9cjAWwsC&printsec=frontcover&source=g
bs_atb#v=onepage&q&f=false


Articles:
Bank for International Settlements (BIS) Financial Stability Board. “Observations on
developments in risk appetite frameworks and IT infrastructure.” BIS, December 23,
2010. Online: www.fsa.gov.uk/pubs/other/ssg_2010.pdf

Bennett, M. “Financial securities ontology.” Hypercube Ltd., May 2007. Online:
www.hypercube.co.uk/docs/ontologyexploration.doc

International Swaps and Derivatives Association (ISDA). “Product representation for
standardized derivatives.” White paper, April 14, 2011. Online:
www.cftc.gov/ucm/groups/public/@swaps/documents/dfsubmission/dfsubmission_04
2111_706_0.pdf
                                                                                       15
FURTHER REFERENCES (cont.)
International Swaps and Derivatives Association (ISDA). “Implementation plan for
unique product identifiers.” June 30, 2011.
Online: www.fpml.org/_wgmail/_eqdwgmail/pdfRK0ZIeMu8T.pdf

Sants, H. “Dear CEO: Valuation and product control.” Financial Services Authority,
August 13, 2008. Online: www.fsa.gov.uk/pubs/ceo/valuation.pdf

Whittaker, M., and Breininger, K. “Taxonomy development for knowledge
management.” Presented at World Library and Information Congress, 74th IFLA
General Conference and Council, Quebec, Canada, August 10–14, 2008.
Online: http://archive.ifla.org/IV/ifla74/papers/138-Whittaker_Breininger-en.pdf

Websites:
HandCoded Software Ltd.: www.handcoded.com

Enterprise Data Management (EDM) Council’s “Semantics Repository.”
www.edmcouncil.org/sec_semantics.aspx

Taxonomy Strategies—information management consultancy that specializes in
applying taxonomies, metadata and automatic classification:
www.taxonomystrategies.com
                                                                                     16
AND FINALLY…
               More on Asset/product classification, Risk
               & rating models, Model risk and Analytical
               tools is in my latest book ‘Securitization
               and Structured Finance post Credit
               Crunch – A Best Practice Deal
               Lifecycle Guide.’

               A special offer for a 30% discount (of the
               RRP) for orders is currently available

               for     a     limited     time      only,

               if the order is placed directly at the
               publisher's   website  www.wiley.com

               and the promotion code 'VA817' is
               entered.

               Thank you for your interest.
                                                        17

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Product Taxonomy & Model Risk Management: 'Putting the Beans back into Coffee'

  • 1. PRODUCT TAXONOMY & MODEL RISK MANAGEMENT: ‘Putting the beans back into coffee’ Markus Krebsz 6th Annual Stress Testing Conference 30 Nov - 2 Dec 2011, London
  • 2. PRODUCT TAXONOMY ‘Putting the beans.. ..back into coffee’ 2
  • 3. DEFINITION & STRUCTURE Τάξις = taxis (meaning 'order' or 'arrangement') and νόμος = nomos (meaning 'law’) 3
  • 4. WHY? Risk modeling & Stress testing Valuation & P+L explain PRODUCT Certification & Model control Risk Reporting & Management 4
  • 5. OBJECTIVE ‘COMPLETE MENU’  Fully classified product suite across the firm: i.e. Fixed Income, Equities, F/X, Structured Rates & Credit, Commodities divisions  Ability to model Risks & monitor Model performance: Models, Model data, Product certifications, Valuation adjustments and P+L explain 5
  • 6. OBJECTIVE (External / Regulatory drivers)  Bank for International Settlements/ Financial Stability Board: Senior Supervisors Group’s white paper of the “Observations on developments in risk appetite frameworks and IT infrastructure” – Dec . 2010  Financial Services Authority (UK): - ‘Dear CEO letter’ entitled “Valuation and product control” – Aug. 2008 - New assessment framework for prudent valuation to promote a more systematic approach to the assessment of valuation uncertainty and prudent valuation. - BIPRU 7.10 – Use of VaR-models prescribing 4 different types of products - FSA is also likely going to assess granular judgmental analysis by firms at product level.  Dodd-Frank act (US): introduces several new concepts to derivatives processing: - Taxonomy, identifies the type of traded product (e.g. simple EQ option) - Unique product identifiers (UPI), identifies traded product (e.g. a 5Y-USD-LIBOR interest rate swap) – but not necessarily a specific contract - Standardised product, i.e. derivatives products that have standard terms and are listed on an execution platform  International Swaps and Derivatives Association 6
  • 7. CONCEPTUAL MODEL Important:  Mandatory vs. Product-specific nodes - Mandatory nodes apply to all products, regardless of the asset class - Product-specific nodes are not always populated  Product-specific vs. Trade-specific features - a Cappuccino to ‘drink-in’ vs. ‘Take-away’  the product is the same  Based on observable trade facts & the lowest level of ‘product’ 7
  • 8. CLASSIFICATION APPROACH Vanilla Structured Exotic < Flow products > < Templated > < Non-templated > ‘Locked-down’ Building blocks Freely scripted = Tea-Bag = Hot water + Espresso = Cappuccino with Soy milk, + Semi-skimmed milk fair-trade coffee, sugar-free Hazelnut syrup and… System-compiled Template-driven Human-compiled 8
  • 9. TAXONOMY DEVELOPMENT CYCLE Determine Identify Develop draft requirements concepts taxonomy Scope?; Purpose? ; Type of content Where and what is the content?; Develop upper taxonomy levels: format?; Target audience & users?; Perform content inventory; Start broad, not deep; Bottom up Business objectives? Conduct user interviews and/or top down approach  Business case document,  Identify “high value”  Establish common rules Scope statement, Project plan, content for: Taxonomy format, Issue log Structure & Relationship, Guidelines & standards Review with SMEs Refine Apply taxonomy Manage & Maintain & Users taxonomy taxonomy to content Identify appropriate SMEs for Iterative process; Incorporate Integrate taxonomy globally Establish taxonomy ownership, taxonomy validation user feedback; Living/growing across firm with existing governance & Change control tool, i.e. never finished applications; Associate process; Conduct periodic review  Does structure make taxonomy terms with to establish if it still “fits” sense?  But: stop when good products; Address links to Does it go too deep? “enough” and Observe other concepts  Documentation, Ongoing Are all major products balance: Value vs. detail  Provide guidelines for review, approval and change included? use, application and implementation, Version control Are there any gaps? training for users 9
  • 11. BENEFITS  Meeting a large selection of cross-functional requirements enabling - Model control & Stress testing - Model certifications - Product control - Management of Trading mandate - P+L explain - Proper valuation adjustments and management of model reserves  Greater transparency and comparability of (derivative) products  Post-trade transparency is ticking the Regulators’ ‘boxes’ 11
  • 12. CLOSE Thank you very much for your attention, contribution and listening today! ________________________________________ ________________________________________ CONTACT: + 44 (0) 79 85 065 045 www.riskguide.net www.markuskrebsz.info 12
  • 13. Markus Krebsz Subject matter expert : Rating agencies & Securitisation • Freelance Consultant with nineteen years experience in banking & financial institutions - thereof ten years covering rating agencies • Credit rating advisor for the World Bank as part of various large-scale projects involving GSEs of several African & Asian nations • Industry expert in credit rating agency as well as Structured finance-related issues and frequent speaker on international conferences • Author and passionate reviewer/editor of several risk workbooks • Frequent contributor to various industry working groups consulting regulators, exchanges and central banks Publications • ‘Securitisation & Structured Finance post Credit Crunch: A Best Practice Deal Lifecycle Guide’, John Wiley & Sons Inc., Apr. 2011 • ‘Product Taxonomy: A Key Tool for Understanding Risk/Return within the Banking Framework’ Qfinance chapter, exp. Jan 2012 • ‘Investor Requirements for 2011 and beyond: Due diligence and Risk analysis in a post-crisis world’, Euromoney Yearbook chapter • Workbooks of the Chartered Institute for Securities & Investments (CISI): ‘Derivatives’ (Senior Reviewer), ‘IT in Investment Operations’, (Senior reviewer), ‘Operational Risk’ , (Senior reviewer) & ‘Risk in Financial Services’, (Technical Reviewer) • ‘Frontiers of Risk management – Chapter 14: Credit rating agencies and the IRB approach’, Euromoney Book, 2007 • Numerous special, research and criteria reports on Fitch Rating’s website as Performance & Rating analyst, Aug 2004 to Oct 2006 • SAP Risk Analyzer Manual (in-house publication, in German), Jan 2002 Professional qualifications & affiliations Assignments (Past & current) • Individually Chartered Member of the Chartered • The World Bank Securities and Investment Institute (CISI) • Deutsche Bank & UBS • Bachelor of Banking Services and Operations, CCI • Lloyds Banking Group • ‘Train the Trainers’ Certificate • Bank of Scotland Treasury • ‘Banking in Britain’ Certificate • The Royal Bank of Scotland Group • German Banking Certificate (‘Bankkaufmann’) • HypoVereinsbank / Unicredit • Volunteer at and Member of the Professional Risk • Dresdner Bank Manager’s International Association (PRMIA) • Primary insight (Subsidiary of Bear Stearns) • Member of the Global Association of Risk • De Matteo Monness (Subsidiary of Goldman Sachs) Professionals (GARP) • Fitch Ratings www.markuskrebsz.info / www.markuskrebsz.co.uk • Vista Research (Subsidiary of Standard & Poor’s) 13
  • 14. APPENDIX: Further references 14
  • 15. FURTHER REFERENCES Book: Krebsz, Markus. Securitization and Structured Finance post Credit Crunch: A Best Practice Deal Lifecyle Guide, Wiley, 2011. Some chapters are available to browse/read online at Google books: http://books.google.com/books?id=28mO9cjAWwsC&printsec=frontcover&source=g bs_atb#v=onepage&q&f=false Articles: Bank for International Settlements (BIS) Financial Stability Board. “Observations on developments in risk appetite frameworks and IT infrastructure.” BIS, December 23, 2010. Online: www.fsa.gov.uk/pubs/other/ssg_2010.pdf Bennett, M. “Financial securities ontology.” Hypercube Ltd., May 2007. Online: www.hypercube.co.uk/docs/ontologyexploration.doc International Swaps and Derivatives Association (ISDA). “Product representation for standardized derivatives.” White paper, April 14, 2011. Online: www.cftc.gov/ucm/groups/public/@swaps/documents/dfsubmission/dfsubmission_04 2111_706_0.pdf 15
  • 16. FURTHER REFERENCES (cont.) International Swaps and Derivatives Association (ISDA). “Implementation plan for unique product identifiers.” June 30, 2011. Online: www.fpml.org/_wgmail/_eqdwgmail/pdfRK0ZIeMu8T.pdf Sants, H. “Dear CEO: Valuation and product control.” Financial Services Authority, August 13, 2008. Online: www.fsa.gov.uk/pubs/ceo/valuation.pdf Whittaker, M., and Breininger, K. “Taxonomy development for knowledge management.” Presented at World Library and Information Congress, 74th IFLA General Conference and Council, Quebec, Canada, August 10–14, 2008. Online: http://archive.ifla.org/IV/ifla74/papers/138-Whittaker_Breininger-en.pdf Websites: HandCoded Software Ltd.: www.handcoded.com Enterprise Data Management (EDM) Council’s “Semantics Repository.” www.edmcouncil.org/sec_semantics.aspx Taxonomy Strategies—information management consultancy that specializes in applying taxonomies, metadata and automatic classification: www.taxonomystrategies.com 16
  • 17. AND FINALLY… More on Asset/product classification, Risk & rating models, Model risk and Analytical tools is in my latest book ‘Securitization and Structured Finance post Credit Crunch – A Best Practice Deal Lifecycle Guide.’ A special offer for a 30% discount (of the RRP) for orders is currently available for a limited time only, if the order is placed directly at the publisher's website www.wiley.com and the promotion code 'VA817' is entered. Thank you for your interest. 17