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1
ANALYST MEETING
MIKKO HELANDER
JUKKA ERLUND
22.9.2016
2
MARKETS AND
FINANCIAL
DEVELOPMENT
-4,0
-2,0
0,0
2,0
4,0
6,0
8,0
10,0
12,0
Estonia
Lithuania
Sweden
Norway
Latvia
Finland
RETAIL TRADE TRENDS IN OPERATING
COUNTRIES
ROLLING 3 MO
3
Source: Eurostat, excl. motor vehicles and fuels
%(rolling3mo)
KEY FIGURES, ROLLING 12 MO
4
Net sales, €m 9 024 8 881 8 780 8 679 8 610 8 993
Change in net sales, % * +0,7 -2,2 +1,2 +0,9 +0,2 +4,6
Gross margin, % 13,6 13,5 13,3 13,1 13,1 13,5
Operating profit**, €m 240,0 248,8 247,2 244,5 250,2 253,0
Earnings per share,
comparable, €, basic *
1,69 1,72 1,66 1,70 1,78 1,85
Interest-bearing net debt, €m +41 -359 -394 -448 -311 +330
ROCE, % ** 10,2 10,9 11,3 11,7 12,4 12,6
Capita expenditure, €m 202 205 195 219 218 672
* In local currencies, excl. Acquisitions and divestments ** comparable
Q1/15 Q2/15 Q3/15 Q4/15 Q1/16 Q2/16
RETURN ON CAPITAL EMPLOYED
COMPARABLE, ROLLING 12 MO
5
14.0
13.1
9.0 9.8 9.9
11.7
12.6
0
4
8
12
16
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Q2 2016
%
Target
14%
RETURN ON CAPITAL EMPLOYED BY DIVISION
COMPARABLE, ROLLING 12 MO
6
Group totalBuilding and
technical trade
Grocery trade Car trade
%
22.2
10.1
22.5
12.6
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
KESKO GROUP'S SALES IN EUROS,
EXCLUDING VAT, IN JANUARY-AUGUST 2016
7
1.1. - 31.8.2016 Comparable
€ million Change, % change, %
Grocery trade, total 3,396.4 +10.3 +0.2
Building and technical trade, Finland
1,379.1 +12.5 +0.7
Building and technical trade, other
countries 1,241.0 +16.8 +5.9
Building and technical trade, total
2,620.0 +14.5 +3.2
Car trade, total 570.4 +7.8 +7.8
Common functions and
eliminations -4.7
Grand total 6,582.2 +11.6 +1.8
Finland, total 5,268.3 +10.4 +1.0
Other countries, total 1,313.9 +16.3 +7.2
Grand total 6,582.2 +11.6 +1.8
8
GROCERY TRADE
KESKO GROCERY TRADE
9
Net sales €4,867m
Operating profit* €174m
Operating margin* 3.6%
ROCE* 22.2%
K-Group 32.7%
S-Group 45.9%
Lidl 8.3%
Suomen Lähikauppa 6.4%
Others 6.7%
Total market €16.6 billion in 2015
Source: Nielsen
* comparable
Q3/2015-Q2/2016
CONSUMER PRICE INDEX – FOOD AND NON-
ALCOHOLIC BEVERAGES
ANNUAL CHANGE, %
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
10
Source: Statistics Finland
11
GROCERY TRADE STRATEGY PROGRESSING AS
PLANNED
• Renewal of neighbourhood store
network and conversion of Siwa and
Valintatalo stores into K-Markets
• Renewal of K-citymarket chain
• 70 renewed Neste K service station
stores by 2017
• Best digital services in the trading
sector
CONVERSION OF SIWA AND VALINTATALO
STORES INTO K-MARKETS
• K-neighbourhood store selection and Pirkka products
introduced
• Prices as much as 20% lower
• Some 100 stores already converted, over 200 by
the end of 2016
• Synergy benefits are estimated at approximately
€25–30 million at EBITDA level as of 2018
• The costs of store and network conversion, to be
treated as non-recurring restructuring cost, will
total approximately €30 million in 2016–2018
12
13
BUILDING AND
TECHNICAL TRADE
BUILDING AND TECHNICAL TRADE
14
Net sales €3,335m
Operating profit* €82m
Operating
margin*
2.4%
ROCE* 10.1%
Sports trade
€186m
Furniture trade
€179m
Agricultural and machinery
trade Finland €500m
Others
€37m
Building and home improvement
trade Belarus €116m
Building and home
improvement trade
Russia €192m
Building and home
improvement trade
Finland €794m
Building and home
improvement trade
Scandinavia €627m
Building and home
improvement trade
Baltics €461m
Agricultural and machinery
trade Baltics €115m
* comparable
2015
Q3/2015-Q2/2016
GRANTED BUILDING PERMITS AND BUILDING
STARTS, MIL. M3, MOVING ANNUAL TOTAL
15
Source: Statistics Finland
GOOD PROFIT PERFORMANCE IN THE BUILDING
AND TECHNICAL TRADE DIVISION
• Good sales performance
• Strong growth in B2B trade
• Profitability improved especially in
the Baltics, Sweden and Norway
• Kesko Senukai’s profitability good
• Market still has significant growth
potential
16
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
Comparable rolling 12 mo operating profit
M€
STRENGTHENING OF PROFITABILITY AND
GROWTH
17
• Combination of Onninen and Kesko to
become the strongest B2B entity in the
market
• Widest selection in the market
• Most comprehensive store network and
largest sales organisation of northern Europe
• Most customer oriented logistics and digital
services for B2B customers
• Realisation of synergies has started
• Full synergies at EBITDA level around
€30 million per year as of 2020
GROWTH FROM EUROPE AND B2B SALES
• Growth from both B2C and B2B sales
• Strengthening of market position in
Finland
• Accelerating of growth and further
strengthening of positions in
Scandinavia
• Boosting Kesko Senukai’s growth
18
Current operating country
Poland with acquisition of Onninen as of 1 June
19
CAR TRADE
CAR TRADE
20
Net sales €786m
Operating profit* €25m
Operating margin* 3.2%
ROCE* 22.5%
Volkswagen 11.0%
Toyota 10.8%
Skoda 9.7%
Ford 8.1%
Volvo 6.3%
Nissan 6.1%
Kia 6.1%
Audi 5.2%
Seat 2.0%
Others 34.7%* comparable
Q2/
2016
Q3/2015-Q2/2016
FIRST REGISTRATIONS OF PASSENGER CARS IN
FINLAND
21
Source: Statistics Finland
Analyst meeting 220916

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Analyst meeting 220916

  • 3. -4,0 -2,0 0,0 2,0 4,0 6,0 8,0 10,0 12,0 Estonia Lithuania Sweden Norway Latvia Finland RETAIL TRADE TRENDS IN OPERATING COUNTRIES ROLLING 3 MO 3 Source: Eurostat, excl. motor vehicles and fuels %(rolling3mo)
  • 4. KEY FIGURES, ROLLING 12 MO 4 Net sales, €m 9 024 8 881 8 780 8 679 8 610 8 993 Change in net sales, % * +0,7 -2,2 +1,2 +0,9 +0,2 +4,6 Gross margin, % 13,6 13,5 13,3 13,1 13,1 13,5 Operating profit**, €m 240,0 248,8 247,2 244,5 250,2 253,0 Earnings per share, comparable, €, basic * 1,69 1,72 1,66 1,70 1,78 1,85 Interest-bearing net debt, €m +41 -359 -394 -448 -311 +330 ROCE, % ** 10,2 10,9 11,3 11,7 12,4 12,6 Capita expenditure, €m 202 205 195 219 218 672 * In local currencies, excl. Acquisitions and divestments ** comparable Q1/15 Q2/15 Q3/15 Q4/15 Q1/16 Q2/16
  • 5. RETURN ON CAPITAL EMPLOYED COMPARABLE, ROLLING 12 MO 5 14.0 13.1 9.0 9.8 9.9 11.7 12.6 0 4 8 12 16 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Q2 2016 % Target 14%
  • 6. RETURN ON CAPITAL EMPLOYED BY DIVISION COMPARABLE, ROLLING 12 MO 6 Group totalBuilding and technical trade Grocery trade Car trade % 22.2 10.1 22.5 12.6 0 5 10 15 20 25 30
  • 7. KESKO GROUP'S SALES IN EUROS, EXCLUDING VAT, IN JANUARY-AUGUST 2016 7 1.1. - 31.8.2016 Comparable € million Change, % change, % Grocery trade, total 3,396.4 +10.3 +0.2 Building and technical trade, Finland 1,379.1 +12.5 +0.7 Building and technical trade, other countries 1,241.0 +16.8 +5.9 Building and technical trade, total 2,620.0 +14.5 +3.2 Car trade, total 570.4 +7.8 +7.8 Common functions and eliminations -4.7 Grand total 6,582.2 +11.6 +1.8 Finland, total 5,268.3 +10.4 +1.0 Other countries, total 1,313.9 +16.3 +7.2 Grand total 6,582.2 +11.6 +1.8
  • 9. KESKO GROCERY TRADE 9 Net sales €4,867m Operating profit* €174m Operating margin* 3.6% ROCE* 22.2% K-Group 32.7% S-Group 45.9% Lidl 8.3% Suomen Lähikauppa 6.4% Others 6.7% Total market €16.6 billion in 2015 Source: Nielsen * comparable Q3/2015-Q2/2016
  • 10. CONSUMER PRICE INDEX – FOOD AND NON- ALCOHOLIC BEVERAGES ANNUAL CHANGE, % -4 -2 0 2 4 6 8 10 Source: Statistics Finland
  • 11. 11 GROCERY TRADE STRATEGY PROGRESSING AS PLANNED • Renewal of neighbourhood store network and conversion of Siwa and Valintatalo stores into K-Markets • Renewal of K-citymarket chain • 70 renewed Neste K service station stores by 2017 • Best digital services in the trading sector
  • 12. CONVERSION OF SIWA AND VALINTATALO STORES INTO K-MARKETS • K-neighbourhood store selection and Pirkka products introduced • Prices as much as 20% lower • Some 100 stores already converted, over 200 by the end of 2016 • Synergy benefits are estimated at approximately €25–30 million at EBITDA level as of 2018 • The costs of store and network conversion, to be treated as non-recurring restructuring cost, will total approximately €30 million in 2016–2018 12
  • 14. BUILDING AND TECHNICAL TRADE 14 Net sales €3,335m Operating profit* €82m Operating margin* 2.4% ROCE* 10.1% Sports trade €186m Furniture trade €179m Agricultural and machinery trade Finland €500m Others €37m Building and home improvement trade Belarus €116m Building and home improvement trade Russia €192m Building and home improvement trade Finland €794m Building and home improvement trade Scandinavia €627m Building and home improvement trade Baltics €461m Agricultural and machinery trade Baltics €115m * comparable 2015 Q3/2015-Q2/2016
  • 15. GRANTED BUILDING PERMITS AND BUILDING STARTS, MIL. M3, MOVING ANNUAL TOTAL 15 Source: Statistics Finland
  • 16. GOOD PROFIT PERFORMANCE IN THE BUILDING AND TECHNICAL TRADE DIVISION • Good sales performance • Strong growth in B2B trade • Profitability improved especially in the Baltics, Sweden and Norway • Kesko Senukai’s profitability good • Market still has significant growth potential 16 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 Comparable rolling 12 mo operating profit M€
  • 17. STRENGTHENING OF PROFITABILITY AND GROWTH 17 • Combination of Onninen and Kesko to become the strongest B2B entity in the market • Widest selection in the market • Most comprehensive store network and largest sales organisation of northern Europe • Most customer oriented logistics and digital services for B2B customers • Realisation of synergies has started • Full synergies at EBITDA level around €30 million per year as of 2020
  • 18. GROWTH FROM EUROPE AND B2B SALES • Growth from both B2C and B2B sales • Strengthening of market position in Finland • Accelerating of growth and further strengthening of positions in Scandinavia • Boosting Kesko Senukai’s growth 18 Current operating country Poland with acquisition of Onninen as of 1 June
  • 20. CAR TRADE 20 Net sales €786m Operating profit* €25m Operating margin* 3.2% ROCE* 22.5% Volkswagen 11.0% Toyota 10.8% Skoda 9.7% Ford 8.1% Volvo 6.3% Nissan 6.1% Kia 6.1% Audi 5.2% Seat 2.0% Others 34.7%* comparable Q2/ 2016 Q3/2015-Q2/2016
  • 21. FIRST REGISTRATIONS OF PASSENGER CARS IN FINLAND 21 Source: Statistics Finland