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Tralac Annual Conference
September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town
1
The Emergence of an EPA
A CARICOM Perspective
Calvin Manduna, Trade Policy Analyst,
Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Foreign Trade,
Kingston, Jamaica
&
Keisha-Ann Thompson, Senior Trade
Remedy Analyst,
Anti-dumping and Subsidies Commission,
Kingston, Jamaica
Tralac Annual Conference
September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town
2
Presentation Overview
CARICOM and CARIFORUM Overview
CARIFORUM EPA Objectives
Progress in selected negotiating areas
The road ahead – concluding the EPAs
CARICOM, CARIFORUM
Overview
Keisha-Ann Thompson
Senior Trade Remedy Analyst
Anti-dumping and Subsidies
Commission
Tralac Annual Conference
September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town
4
CARICOM
Members – 15 Member States
5 Associate Members
7 Observers, including Dominican Republic
Established by Treaty of Chaguaramus, 1973
Antigua and Barbuda, The Bahamas, Barbados, Belize, Dominica,
Grenada, Guyana, Haiti, Jamaica, Montserrat, St. Kitts and Nevis, St.
Lucia, St. Vincent & the Grenadines, Suriname, Trinidad & Tobago.
Tralac Annual Conference
September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town
5
CARICOM Integration Progress
Efforts at Integration started as early as 1958 (British West Indies
Federation 1958 to 1962)
Free Trade Area = CARIFTA (1967) to a Customs Union = CARICOM
(1973)
Caribbean Single Market and Economy (2001) (CSME) – Not fully
Implemented
CSM covers the free movement of goods, services, capital and skilled
persons
CSM implemented for 12 of 15 members
CSM – 5 areas still subject to study and agreement but should be
consolidated by 2008
CSME – Process will start in 2008 and is to be fully completed by
December 31, 2015
Not political integration but rather focused on policy coordination
Note- within CARICOM 7 members belong to a CU with shared
currency and central bank – OECS
Tralac Annual Conference
September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town
6
Community Organs and Bodies
Conference of Heads
Of Government
Council of
Ministers
The Council for Finance
and Planning
(COFAP)
The Council for Trade
and Economic Development
(COTED)
The Council for Foreign
and Community Relations
(COFCOR)
The Council for
Human and Social
Development
(COHSOD)
Administrative Organ
CARICOM Secretariat
The Legal Affairs
Committee
The Budget
Committee
The Committee
of
Central Bank Governors
Caribbean Regional Negotiating Machinery (CRNM)
Chief Negotiator - DG
Technical Experts (subject areas, Arenas)
Tralac Annual Conference
September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town
7
What is CARIFORUM
CARIFORUM refers to CARICOM and the DR
in the context of the EPAs
Not a legal entity = not an integrated grouping
Some level of integration - CARICOM/DR FTA
(operational since 2001- goods)
Raises some important concerns in the
context of the EPAs
Tralac Annual Conference
September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town
8
Concerns
The nature of obligations and how these should be undertaken
Whether the EPAs require the formation of a Customs Union
with CARIFORUM – i.e. Does the EPA force deeper
integration?
Would the formation of a Customs Union resolve all issues in
the EPA?
Market Access - Free Circulation Issues
Services and Investment
SPS Measures
Competition Policy
Tralac Annual Conference
September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town
9
Answers
Deeper Integration-A CARIFORUM CU?
No necessarily – no need for supranational
entities- cooperation
Observer status of DR allows some level of
coordination at various policy levels (any of the 4
organs as well as Council) since according to the
Treaty they can be invited to participate on specific
agenda items
CU cannot resolve all issues – Essence of Article
XXIV
Tralac Annual Conference
September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town
10
CARIFORUM Trade Profile
Intra-Regional Trade has been described as stagnant , despite CSM
(90% liberalised trade) and FTA with DR
Services are major contributor to GDP (excl. Guyana)
All charcterised by deficits in merchandise trade (persistent)
Exports concentrated in a few products (agriculture, tourism – the
strength shared by all!)
Share in world trade 0.04%
For the majority of goods the bound rate is above the applied rate
The region has an average trade to GDP ratio of 123%, reflecting a
high degree of openness
Trade Taxes 8.5 % of GDP
Majority of the Region’s trade is with the US
The EU is the 2nd largest trading partner, but declining
Trade deficit with the EC
Total value of Trade with the EC – US$4 bn (2002-04 Average)
Tralac Annual Conference
September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town
11
Top 5 (by Value) Exports to the EC
CARIFORUM (2002-2004)
Excursion Boats
Aluminum Oxide
Undenatured ethanol
Yachts
Sugar Cane
Tralac Annual Conference
September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town
12
CARIFORUM Diversity - Market Size
Antigua and Barbuda, 0.082,
0%
Bahamas, The, 0.329, 1%
Barbados, 0.279, 1%
Belize, 0.301, 1%
Dominica, 0.072, 0%
Grenada, 0.106, 0%
Guyana, 0.759, 3%
Hati, 8.478, 36%
Jamaica, 2.673, 12%
Montserrat, 0.09439, 0%
St Kitts & Nevis, 0.041, 0%
Saint Lucia, 0.165, 1%
St. Vincent & the Grenadines,
0.107, 0%
Suriname, 0.518, 2%
Trinidad & Tobago, 1.298, 6%
Dominican Republic, 8.651,
37%
Total Population =23.95339 (WTO 2006)
DR = 37% (9 million)
CARICOM =63 % (15 countries, 15 million)Source: WTO 2006
Tralac Annual Conference
September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town
13
CARIFORUM Diversity - Income Levels
HighIncome , 5,
31%
Upper Middle
Income , 7, 44%
Lower Middle
Income, 3, 19%
LowIncome, 1, 6%
•Average GDP per
capita = US$7,107
•OECS (7) dominate
high to upper Income
group
•US$500 and US$19,
000 per capita
(approx.)
•OECS + Haiti = Lesser
Developed Countries
(LDC)
•Diff from UN designation
•Implications for S & D
and compatibility of EPAs
with Treaty
Source: WTO 2006
Tralac Annual Conference
September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town
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CARIFORUM Diverse Trade Pattern
- Trade With the EC (2002-2004)
0
100000000
200000000
300000000
400000000
500000000
600000000
700000000
800000000
900000000
A
ntigua
&
B
arbuda
B
aham
as
B
arbados
B
elize
D
om
inica
D
om
inican
R
epublic
G
renada
G
uyana
H
aiti
Jam
aica
S
tK
itts
&
N
evis
S
tLucia
S
tV
incent&
G
renadines
S
urinam
e
Trinidad
&
Tobago
US$
Total Exports to EU Total Imports fromEU
Source: CRNM
Tralac Annual Conference
September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town
15
Some Critical Issues Shaping The
EPA in the Region
Small Size (implications for negotiating capacity, ability to
deal with costs of adjustment)
WTO Compatibity (affects the level of asymmetry secured
in the EPA as well as the extent that issues peculiar to
small states are addressed)
How will EPA be managed to achieve a more equitable
result
How to achieve compatibility with the Treaty (including the
OECS and Haiti)
CARUIFORUM EPA
Objectives
Calvin Manduna, Trade Policy
Analyst, Ministry of Foreign Affairs
and Foreign Trade, Kingston,
Jamaica
Tralac Annual Conference
September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town
17
CARIFORUM Objectives in the EPA
The core objectives of the partnership are:
Establish a comprehensive framework for future EU –
ACP relations;
Economic development, poverty reduction and
eradication;
Integration of ACP States into the world economy;
Allow for transition to a different type of export profile;
Socially and environmentally sustainable economic
development;
Structural transformation
Appropriate pace of adjustment
Tralac Annual Conference
September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town
18
CARIFORUM EPA negotiations guided
by Article 34 Cotonou principles
Establish a WTO-compatible trading
arrangement;
Support and build on regional integration
process;
Promote CARIFORUM development objectives
S&DT for CARIFORUM SVEs,
An asymmetrical approach to trade liberalisation
and variable geometry;
Tralac Annual Conference
September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town
19
CARIFORUM EPA negotiations guided
by Article 34 Cotonou principles:
Flexibility regarding individual countries’
implementation schedules;
Use of the Lomé and Cotonou acquis in respect of
market access for both traditional and non-traditional
Caribbean exports;
Establish a commitment to engage in consultations
on any matter deemed necessary in order to
safeguard the benefits of the agreement;
Enhance international competitiveness and assist in
capacity building by synchronizing the delivery of
development cooperation with the process of trade
liberalization and the adjustment.
Tralac Annual Conference
September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town
20
Organisation of the negotiations
A. Structure
The EPA negotiations involves a three-tier structure:
• Ministerial level – troika of Ministers, Barbados as
lead Ministerial Spokesperson
• Principal Negotiator – CRNM Director General,
• College of Negotiators – deal with specific
negotiating areas at a technical level
This structure is supported by:
Technical Working Groups – to develop negotiating positions
on different subject areas
Tralac Annual Conference
September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town
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Organisation of the negotiations
Regional Preparatory Task Force – A joint body
established in order to cement the strategic link
between EPA negotiations and development co-
operation.
Membership of the RPTF includes representatives of
regional and national authorising officers, regional
secretariats, Non-State Actors.
Recourse to other organs when decisions required,
e.g. COTED, COFAP etc.
Tralac Annual Conference
September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town
22
Organisation of the negotiations
B. Schedule of the CARIFORUM - EU EPA
1st Phase: Apr - Sept 2004
Establishing Negotiating Priorities
Identifying main objectives, concerns and interests, policies
and tools for CARIFORUM regional integration
Consider priority issues for in-depth discussions in
subsequent phases
2nd Phase: (Sept 2004–Sept 2005)
Convergence on Strategic Approach to CARIFORUM
Regional Integration
Establish a common understanding of the priorities for
support of Caribbean regional integration
Tralac Annual Conference
September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town
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Organisation of the negotiations
3rd Phase: Structuring and Consolidating of
Negotiations (Sept 2005–Dec 2006)
The focus of this phase was to:
Forge consensus on the structure of the EPA
agreement
Consolidate the outcomes of discussions on priority
issues for CARIFORUM regional integration
Agree on an approach to trade liberalisation
Tralac Annual Conference
September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town
24
Organization of the negotiations
Final Phase: Finalisation of the Agreement (Jan– Dec
2007)
The focus of this phase is to:
Conclude market access, services and investment
negotiations
Complete final text of EPA, initial and begin ratification
process
No new or more discriminatory measures against foreign
services & service suppliers should be introduced by
either Party after start of negotiations.
Tralac Annual Conference
September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town
25
Organisation of the negotiations
C. Substantive discussions
Four negotiating groups:
Market Access (goods & agriculture)
Services and Investment
Trade related Issues (competition, IP, Government
Procurement, trade remedies, etc.)
Legal and Institutional Issues (dispute settlement, etc.)
Tralac Annual Conference
September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town
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Focus of CARIFORUM Preparations
The CRNM has been developing CARIFORUM
negotiating positions through research and consultations
and Technical Working Groups
Developing CARIFORUM market access requests and
offers for goods, services and investment
Developing the EPA text (especially development and
S&DT provisions)
Identifying specific market access interests – offensive
and defensive
Developing sector-specific development projects which
can be EU-funded
Tralac Annual Conference
September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town
27
Costs and benefits of the EPA
for CARIFORUM
Difficult to quantify either the costs or the benefits.
CARICOM has been seeking to conduct EPA impact
assessment studies at the national and regional
levels;
Address the challenge of lack of Competitiveness
across firms and industries.
Tralac Annual Conference
September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town
28
Costs and benefits of the EPA
for CARIFORUM
Benefits
Secure preferential market access for diversified products
and services into the EU market
Stimulate development of products outside of traditional
exports
Renewed focus on services sector as the driver for
economic growth
Locking-in economic and policy reforms
Accelerated harmonization and regional integration
Securing sustained EU assistance for diversification and
innovation, adjustment and pursuit of competitiveness
Harness increased inflows of EU FDI and technical
support
Tralac Annual Conference
September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town
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Costs and benefits of the EPA
for CARIFORUM
Costs
Erosion of preference for sugar and bananas
Loss of tariff revenue
Competition from increased EC imports
Costs associated with sectoral restructuring and
adjustment
Costs of implementation
Experience with trade agreements has shown poor
private sector uptake – lack of supply capacity
Challenge of developing exports beyond UK
Reduced policy space, e.g. EC proposals relating to
investment
Tralac Annual Conference
September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town
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Specific Negotiating Areas:
Where are we now?
Major areas of convergence
Developed consolidated draft legal text covering 4 subject
areas, albeit with a number of square brackets.
Convergence of views on the centrality of Development
and issues such as Competition Policy, Transparency in
Government Procurement, Treatment of Environmental
Issues, Personal Data Protection, TBT and SPS
Legal and Institutional issues – there is a convergence of
views on the scope and structure of the agreement and
the establishment of an EPA Council to oversee its
implementation
Collective vs individual obligations?
Tralac Annual Conference
September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town
31
Specific Negotiating Areas:
Where are we now?
Major areas of divergence
Approach to Tariff Liberalization
Nature of Parties to the Agreement
Attaining binding commitments on EC Development
Cooperation (Funding)
Good Governance in Taxation. I will comment
briefly on these four areas of divergence.
Tralac Annual Conference
September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town
32
Approach to liberalization:
variable geometry
CARIFORUM emphasis on two levels of regional integration in the
Caribbean which created a need for a “variable geometry” in the
context of an EPA.
Special provisions for CARICOM-designated LDCs within the
framework of the Revised Treaty of Chaguaramas and external
bilateral trade arrangements.
CARIFORUM proposed the concept of variable geometry and
S&DT in relation to CARICOM LDCs
Question of Haiti and Bahamas in the context of the CSME
The EC initially pressed for CARIFORUM to establish a Customs
Union. This was rejected by CARIFORUM.
The EC is now pressing for the completion of single regimes in
goods, services, investment and a range of other disciplines.
Tralac Annual Conference
September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town
33
CARIFORUM Priority Needs
CARIFORUM identified 11 priority needs that were submitted
to the Regional
Preparatory Task Force (RPTF) for consideration. These
included support for:
Investment Promotion and Statistics;
Structural Reform of Financial Services and Taxation
Issues;
Technical Barriers to Trade (TBT), Sanitary and
Phytosanitary (SPS) Measures;
Trade Facilitation/Risk Analysis;
Harmonization and Rationalization of Incentive Systems;
Competition Policy, Government Procurement and
Intellectual Property Rights.
Tralac Annual Conference
September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town
34
Funding and development
cooperation
Concern over the non-delivery of resources to support
measures identified as priority issues to prepare the Region
for the start of negotiations.
EC – no additional resources for the EPA negotiations
EC proposes that RPTF priority issues be funded from the
10th European Development Fund (EDF) programme, the
EC’s Aid for Trade allocation to developing countries in
the context of the WTO, and from an international donor
pledging conference.
Tralac Annual Conference
September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town
35
Market Access
Both areas of convergence and divergence
The EC initially pressed for CARIFORUM to
establish a Customs Union. This was rejected by
CARIFORUM.
The EC is now pressing for the completion of single
regimes in goods, services, investment and a range
of other disciplines.
CARIFORUM has countered with the concept of
variable geometry and the established principle of
differentiation in relation to CARICOM LDCs.
Tralac Annual Conference
September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town
36
Market Access
EC proposed a single starting tariff
schedule (requiring harmonization of tariffs
in a unified region) – based on the lowest
applied tariff in the region.
April 2007 – EC offered duty free – quota
free (DFQF) access to its market for all
products from all ACP countries, with
transition period for sugar.
Tralac Annual Conference
September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town
37
Market Access - Sugar
Sugar will be transition to DFQF over 10 years.
Sugar protocol will cease to apply in 2009. Additional
tariff quota will operate up to 2015 on a first come
first served basis. After 2015 sugar will be DFQF i.e.
fully liberalized.
EC will seek to maintain the price at a level above
the prevailing world market price through a
safeguard mechanism.
EC intends to denounce the Sugar Protocol
Tralac Annual Conference
September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town
38
Other issues
Taxation/Governance Issues
Intellectual Property
Transparency in Government
Procurement
Investment
Tralac Annual Conference
September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town
39
CARIFORUM – EU Services Trade
-
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
EUROS
MILLIONS
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 Average
UK SERVICES IMPORTS FROM ALL CARIFORUM
EU SERVICES IMPORTS FROM ALL CARIFORUM
Dominated by UK –
accounts for an
average of 33% of
services exports to
CARIFORUM (1999-
2003) and an
average of 59% of
services imports
from CARIFORUM
between 1999-2003.
Mostly travel by UK
residents
EU Versus UK Services Imports from CARIFORUM 1999-2003
Tralac Annual Conference
September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town
40
CARIFORUM – EU Services
Trade
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
Euros
Millions
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 Average
UK Services Exports to CARIFORUM
Total EU Services Exports to CARIFORUM
EU services
imports
dominated
services exports
resulting in a net
services trade
deficit for the EU
with CARIFORUM
in all years from
1999-2003
This amounts to
a net services
trade surplussurplus
from the
perspective of
CARIFORUM
EU Versus UK Services Exports to CARIFORUM 1999-2003
Tralac Annual Conference
September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town
41
AverageAverage Value of EU Exports to, & Imports from
CARIFORUM 1999-2003 (Euros Millions)
(16)171Government services
112Personal, cultural and recreational services
81150231Other business services
011Royalties and licence fees
23123Computer and information services
201131Financial services
147185Insurance services
252247Construction services
(39)423Communication services
(895)1,000105Travel
(64)11449Transport
(976)1,672696TOTAL EU SERVICES WITH ALL CARIFORUM
59%33%
UK SERVICES AS % TOTAL EU SERVICES WITH
CARIFORUM
(721)937216UK SERVICES WITH ALL CARIFORUM
Services
Balance
Services
Imports
Services
ExportsAverage (1999-2003)
Tralac Annual Conference
September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town
42
CARIFORUM – EU Services Trade
Service categories where CARIFORUM enjoys trade surplus with EU:
Travel
Transport
Communication services
Government services
Service categories where EU exports to CARIFORUM exceed imports:
Other business services
Insurance
Financial
Construction services
Computer & Information services
Royalties & licence fees
Personal, cultural and recreational services
Tralac Annual Conference
September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town
43
EU Services Exports to CARIFORUM as %EU Services Exports to CARIFORUM as %EU Services Exports to CARIFORUM as %EU Services Exports to CARIFORUM as %
of Total Services Exports (Average1999of Total Services Exports (Average1999of Total Services Exports (Average1999of Total Services Exports (Average1999----
2003)2003)2003)2003)
Computer and
information
services
3%
Financial
services
4%Royalties and
licence fees
0%
Insurance
services
12%
Other
business
services
34%
Personal,
cultural and
recreational
services
0%
Government
services, n.i.e.
0%
Construction
services
7%
Travel
15%
Communication
services
3%
Transport
7%
Undisclosed
18%
Tralac Annual Conference
September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town
44
EU Services Imports from CARIFORUM as
% Total Services Imports (Average1999-
2003)
Computer and
information
services
0%
Construction
services
1%
Financial services
1%
Insurance
services
4%
Communication
services
3%
Royalties and
licence fees
0%
Other business
services
9%
Personal, cultural
and recreational
services
0%
Government
services, n.i.e.
1%
Undisclosed
14%
Transport
7%
Travel
60%
Tralac Annual Conference
September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town
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What are “other business services”?
Other business services are a leading services export category from the EU comprising:
Merchanting and other trade-related services
Other trade-related services
Operational leasing services
Miscellaneous business, professional, and technical services
Legal, accounting, management consulting, and public relations
Accounting, auditing, bookkeeping, and tax consulting services
Business and management consulting and public relations services
Advertising, market research, and public opinion polling
Research and development
Architectural, engineering, and other technical services
Agricultural, mining, and on-site processing services
Waste treatment and depollution
Agricultural, mining, and other on-site processing services
Services between related enterprises
Tralac Annual Conference
September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town
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Which services is the EU
interested in?
Professional Services (including mode 4 for Legal,
Accounting, Engineering, Management Consultants,
Computer Related, Environmental Services)
Distribution Services
Business Services
Communications Services
Construction & related Engineering
Environmental Services
Financial Services
News Agency
Tourism & Travel
Transport
Ground-handling services related to air-transport
services, includes airport management
Trade Defence Instruments
and
Competition
Keisha-Ann Thompson, Senior
Trade Remedy Analyst,
Anti-dumping and Subsidies
Commission
Tralac Annual Conference
September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town
48
Trade Defence Instruments
Anti-dumping Measures
CVD measures
Safeguards
Debate over whether they should be
included in RTA or not
A majority of RTAs, including Customs
Unions allow members to impose measures.
Tralac Annual Conference
September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town
49
Factors that Determine the
inclusion of TDIs in RTAs
Clear domestic political support for
unfettered imports into the market
The promise of deeper integration into a
single economic space
The harmonisation of competition policies
and stricter disciplines on subsidies
If these elements are present, TDIs take less
prominence (Debate whether deeper integration is the most
important determinant of the abolition of TDIs, or they are a
consequence of the desire to abolish them)
Tralac Annual Conference
September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town
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TDIs in FTAs
Three tracks
1. Abolition
2. Application irrespective of intra-trade and trade with non-
members
3. Abolition in principle
The EC retains TDI provisions in most of its FTAs
Standard features across Agreements
AD and CVD adopt WTO principles
Safeguards tiered approach (Global, Bilateral, Transitional)
Global – adopt WTO principles
Safeguard triggers may go beyond standard WTO SG for
Bilateral and Transitional
Tralac Annual Conference
September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town
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Are TDIs important in an EPA?
Studies have shown that small states stand to gain little
from an EPA without putting in the necessary regulatory
frameworks (Trade Remedies, Subsidies, Competition
polices, Standards) to manage the increased flow of trade
Harmonised Competition rules are viewed as alternatives
to AD and CV- without them then TDIs are necessary
Particularly important for CARIFORUM, given its small
market size relative to EC export capacity and its
undiversified and declining exports, in addition to the
levels of EC support
Caution –TDIs are insurance policies, but can be a double edged
sword (impact of increased duties on consumers and trade diverting
effects), so rules need to crafted to limit potential instances of abuse
Tralac Annual Conference
September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town
52
Considerations for the Crafting
of TDIs
WTO consistency – Does Article 24 really apply?
Extent of deviation from WTO disciplines
Relevant for AD, CVD and Global SG
For AD and CVD, if parties to an Agreement have the
right to determine obligations, and the rules are by
nature discriminatory (product and country specific), is
there scope for deviation from WTO principles (S&D)?
For Global SG, not much room to deviate from WTO
principles; but there is some room for asymmetry
(WTO jurisprudence)
Tralac Annual Conference
September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town
53
Evolution – Towards the
Inclusion of TDIs in RTA
In early stages of the EPA negotiations, no real
discussions on TDI
CARIFORUM Draft Text (2006)
Principles shaping CARIFORUM
demands in AD and CV
Asymmetry
No cumulation
Higher de minimis standards
Constructive Remedies (WTO plus)
Individual obligations
Consultations
Tralac Annual Conference
September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town
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Principles shaping CARIFORUM demandsPrinciples shaping CARIFORUM demandsPrinciples shaping CARIFORUM demandsPrinciples shaping CARIFORUM demands ---- SGSGSGSG
Three tiered regime (Global, Bilateral,
Transitional)
Parallelism – exclude CARIFORUM from
application of SG’s
Asymmetrical application
Predictability (tariffs vs. quantitative
restrictions)
Consultations - Individual obligations
Tralac Annual Conference
September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town
55
Assessing Potential Text
Major reason for EC resistance to S&D proposals –
Conflict with non-discrimination rules (EC red line
issue)
Look to see
• Whether the rules result in any difference in the
application of measures than under a WTO regime
• Does it have provisions that are different from WTO
and would make use against CF more difficult ?
Tralac Annual Conference
September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town
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Safeguards – Evolution
CARIFORUM Proposal (2006)
EC Draft text (2007)
Final text to be agreed
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September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town
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Main Features and Concerns
Multilateral Regime - Parallelism and
Asymmetry (time bound)
Bilateral – Easier triggers (controversial
– actual versus effective asymmetry?)
Ensure that WTO principles/ standards
are not exceed where they have been
adopted (measure be equal to injury)
Longer time lines for non-application
against CARIFORUM
Tralac Annual Conference
September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town
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Implications for Regional
Coordination regarding TDIs
ALL MEMBERS have the ability to act INDIVIDUALLY, but all
members do not have the necessary legislative framework or
competence. This is a major concern since TDIs come into
effect once the Agreement enters into force (January 2008?)
Where imports of a product affect more than one Member
State some level of coordination is required. Capacity and
resource constraints and the need to avoid double protection,
necessitate a regional mechanism.
Positive - Treaty contemplates a regional TR authority and
also has mechanisms to adjust the CET.
DR as part of CARIFORUM, facilities level of regional
cooperation
Tralac Annual Conference
September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town
59
A Case for Competition Policy in
an EPA?
Classic arguments
Less trade distorting alternative to AD and CV
Anticompetitive actions may impair or nullify
trade liberalisation
Prevent negative spillovers from other
countries regimes
Harmonisation or at a minimum cooperation
can reduce compliance costs and uncertainty
for business
Tralac Annual Conference
September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town
60
A Word on Competition
As with TDIs, most member states do not have
established Competition authorities
Unlike TDIs however, there are plans to establish such a
CARICOM Authority to administer regional competition
rules, Protocol VIII, Article 30(c)
What about DR? There are no immediate plans to
establish a CARIFORUM Authority, but DR observer
status allows some level of participation in and
coordination with the CARICOM process
No currently contemplated CARIFORUM Competition
body, so obligations will have to be taken on individually
In light of these unresolved issues, there should be an
appropriate time frame before the implementation of the
provisions.
Tralac Annual Conference
September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town
61
How can Competition rules work in the
EPAs?
The main implication is that CARICOM has to
consolidate efforts in these areas,
The problem is that ongoing work in the
context of the CSME is not necessarily
coordinated with activity related to the EPAs
Laws will need to be strengthened especially
as regards to confidential treatment of records.
Tralac Annual Conference
September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town
62
Competition rules can be operational in
the EPAs from the perspective of
cooperation between authorities rather
than through harmonization of rules.
There is the need to be careful in crafting
provisions since having both TDIs and
Competition rules in an Agreement has
the potential to be trade restrictive.
Tralac Annual Conference
September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town
63
CARIFORUM Negotiations –
what is left to be accomplished?
2/3 of EPA Draft Text has been agreed
Conclude the respective texts
Finalise a CARIFORUM market access and service offers
Finalise investment exclusions
Schedule of activities
September 19-21 Special Session of COTED
2 TNGs in September
TWG in early October
TNG (prospectively the final)
Initial Agreement - October 31
Ratification
“ We are behind on the critical core issue of market access and this objective of
the series of meetings is that by the time we complete the Ministerial meeting
we will have a CARIFORUM market access offer” RNM DG
Tralac Annual Conference
September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town
64
Concerns/ Challenges
Challenge is in finding a common position in
CARIFORUM, given the diversity of tariff rates and
the fiscal implications of lower tariffs, and sensitive
products
Challenge is to make EPAs work for all
CARIFORUM (distribute benefits equally)
Why is there is strong push to meet the deadline and
is there a disadvantage?
Review provisions, have we pursued these enough?
Thank You
Calvin Manduna
cmanduna@gmail.com
Keisha-Ann Thompson
kthompson@jadsc.gov.jm

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CARIFORUM EPA Objectives and Progress

  • 1. Tralac Annual Conference September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town 1 The Emergence of an EPA A CARICOM Perspective Calvin Manduna, Trade Policy Analyst, Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Foreign Trade, Kingston, Jamaica & Keisha-Ann Thompson, Senior Trade Remedy Analyst, Anti-dumping and Subsidies Commission, Kingston, Jamaica
  • 2. Tralac Annual Conference September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town 2 Presentation Overview CARICOM and CARIFORUM Overview CARIFORUM EPA Objectives Progress in selected negotiating areas The road ahead – concluding the EPAs
  • 3. CARICOM, CARIFORUM Overview Keisha-Ann Thompson Senior Trade Remedy Analyst Anti-dumping and Subsidies Commission
  • 4. Tralac Annual Conference September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town 4 CARICOM Members – 15 Member States 5 Associate Members 7 Observers, including Dominican Republic Established by Treaty of Chaguaramus, 1973 Antigua and Barbuda, The Bahamas, Barbados, Belize, Dominica, Grenada, Guyana, Haiti, Jamaica, Montserrat, St. Kitts and Nevis, St. Lucia, St. Vincent & the Grenadines, Suriname, Trinidad & Tobago.
  • 5. Tralac Annual Conference September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town 5 CARICOM Integration Progress Efforts at Integration started as early as 1958 (British West Indies Federation 1958 to 1962) Free Trade Area = CARIFTA (1967) to a Customs Union = CARICOM (1973) Caribbean Single Market and Economy (2001) (CSME) – Not fully Implemented CSM covers the free movement of goods, services, capital and skilled persons CSM implemented for 12 of 15 members CSM – 5 areas still subject to study and agreement but should be consolidated by 2008 CSME – Process will start in 2008 and is to be fully completed by December 31, 2015 Not political integration but rather focused on policy coordination Note- within CARICOM 7 members belong to a CU with shared currency and central bank – OECS
  • 6. Tralac Annual Conference September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town 6 Community Organs and Bodies Conference of Heads Of Government Council of Ministers The Council for Finance and Planning (COFAP) The Council for Trade and Economic Development (COTED) The Council for Foreign and Community Relations (COFCOR) The Council for Human and Social Development (COHSOD) Administrative Organ CARICOM Secretariat The Legal Affairs Committee The Budget Committee The Committee of Central Bank Governors Caribbean Regional Negotiating Machinery (CRNM) Chief Negotiator - DG Technical Experts (subject areas, Arenas)
  • 7. Tralac Annual Conference September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town 7 What is CARIFORUM CARIFORUM refers to CARICOM and the DR in the context of the EPAs Not a legal entity = not an integrated grouping Some level of integration - CARICOM/DR FTA (operational since 2001- goods) Raises some important concerns in the context of the EPAs
  • 8. Tralac Annual Conference September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town 8 Concerns The nature of obligations and how these should be undertaken Whether the EPAs require the formation of a Customs Union with CARIFORUM – i.e. Does the EPA force deeper integration? Would the formation of a Customs Union resolve all issues in the EPA? Market Access - Free Circulation Issues Services and Investment SPS Measures Competition Policy
  • 9. Tralac Annual Conference September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town 9 Answers Deeper Integration-A CARIFORUM CU? No necessarily – no need for supranational entities- cooperation Observer status of DR allows some level of coordination at various policy levels (any of the 4 organs as well as Council) since according to the Treaty they can be invited to participate on specific agenda items CU cannot resolve all issues – Essence of Article XXIV
  • 10. Tralac Annual Conference September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town 10 CARIFORUM Trade Profile Intra-Regional Trade has been described as stagnant , despite CSM (90% liberalised trade) and FTA with DR Services are major contributor to GDP (excl. Guyana) All charcterised by deficits in merchandise trade (persistent) Exports concentrated in a few products (agriculture, tourism – the strength shared by all!) Share in world trade 0.04% For the majority of goods the bound rate is above the applied rate The region has an average trade to GDP ratio of 123%, reflecting a high degree of openness Trade Taxes 8.5 % of GDP Majority of the Region’s trade is with the US The EU is the 2nd largest trading partner, but declining Trade deficit with the EC Total value of Trade with the EC – US$4 bn (2002-04 Average)
  • 11. Tralac Annual Conference September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town 11 Top 5 (by Value) Exports to the EC CARIFORUM (2002-2004) Excursion Boats Aluminum Oxide Undenatured ethanol Yachts Sugar Cane
  • 12. Tralac Annual Conference September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town 12 CARIFORUM Diversity - Market Size Antigua and Barbuda, 0.082, 0% Bahamas, The, 0.329, 1% Barbados, 0.279, 1% Belize, 0.301, 1% Dominica, 0.072, 0% Grenada, 0.106, 0% Guyana, 0.759, 3% Hati, 8.478, 36% Jamaica, 2.673, 12% Montserrat, 0.09439, 0% St Kitts & Nevis, 0.041, 0% Saint Lucia, 0.165, 1% St. Vincent & the Grenadines, 0.107, 0% Suriname, 0.518, 2% Trinidad & Tobago, 1.298, 6% Dominican Republic, 8.651, 37% Total Population =23.95339 (WTO 2006) DR = 37% (9 million) CARICOM =63 % (15 countries, 15 million)Source: WTO 2006
  • 13. Tralac Annual Conference September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town 13 CARIFORUM Diversity - Income Levels HighIncome , 5, 31% Upper Middle Income , 7, 44% Lower Middle Income, 3, 19% LowIncome, 1, 6% •Average GDP per capita = US$7,107 •OECS (7) dominate high to upper Income group •US$500 and US$19, 000 per capita (approx.) •OECS + Haiti = Lesser Developed Countries (LDC) •Diff from UN designation •Implications for S & D and compatibility of EPAs with Treaty Source: WTO 2006
  • 14. Tralac Annual Conference September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town 14 CARIFORUM Diverse Trade Pattern - Trade With the EC (2002-2004) 0 100000000 200000000 300000000 400000000 500000000 600000000 700000000 800000000 900000000 A ntigua & B arbuda B aham as B arbados B elize D om inica D om inican R epublic G renada G uyana H aiti Jam aica S tK itts & N evis S tLucia S tV incent& G renadines S urinam e Trinidad & Tobago US$ Total Exports to EU Total Imports fromEU Source: CRNM
  • 15. Tralac Annual Conference September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town 15 Some Critical Issues Shaping The EPA in the Region Small Size (implications for negotiating capacity, ability to deal with costs of adjustment) WTO Compatibity (affects the level of asymmetry secured in the EPA as well as the extent that issues peculiar to small states are addressed) How will EPA be managed to achieve a more equitable result How to achieve compatibility with the Treaty (including the OECS and Haiti)
  • 16. CARUIFORUM EPA Objectives Calvin Manduna, Trade Policy Analyst, Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Foreign Trade, Kingston, Jamaica
  • 17. Tralac Annual Conference September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town 17 CARIFORUM Objectives in the EPA The core objectives of the partnership are: Establish a comprehensive framework for future EU – ACP relations; Economic development, poverty reduction and eradication; Integration of ACP States into the world economy; Allow for transition to a different type of export profile; Socially and environmentally sustainable economic development; Structural transformation Appropriate pace of adjustment
  • 18. Tralac Annual Conference September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town 18 CARIFORUM EPA negotiations guided by Article 34 Cotonou principles Establish a WTO-compatible trading arrangement; Support and build on regional integration process; Promote CARIFORUM development objectives S&DT for CARIFORUM SVEs, An asymmetrical approach to trade liberalisation and variable geometry;
  • 19. Tralac Annual Conference September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town 19 CARIFORUM EPA negotiations guided by Article 34 Cotonou principles: Flexibility regarding individual countries’ implementation schedules; Use of the Lomé and Cotonou acquis in respect of market access for both traditional and non-traditional Caribbean exports; Establish a commitment to engage in consultations on any matter deemed necessary in order to safeguard the benefits of the agreement; Enhance international competitiveness and assist in capacity building by synchronizing the delivery of development cooperation with the process of trade liberalization and the adjustment.
  • 20. Tralac Annual Conference September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town 20 Organisation of the negotiations A. Structure The EPA negotiations involves a three-tier structure: • Ministerial level – troika of Ministers, Barbados as lead Ministerial Spokesperson • Principal Negotiator – CRNM Director General, • College of Negotiators – deal with specific negotiating areas at a technical level This structure is supported by: Technical Working Groups – to develop negotiating positions on different subject areas
  • 21. Tralac Annual Conference September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town 21 Organisation of the negotiations Regional Preparatory Task Force – A joint body established in order to cement the strategic link between EPA negotiations and development co- operation. Membership of the RPTF includes representatives of regional and national authorising officers, regional secretariats, Non-State Actors. Recourse to other organs when decisions required, e.g. COTED, COFAP etc.
  • 22. Tralac Annual Conference September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town 22 Organisation of the negotiations B. Schedule of the CARIFORUM - EU EPA 1st Phase: Apr - Sept 2004 Establishing Negotiating Priorities Identifying main objectives, concerns and interests, policies and tools for CARIFORUM regional integration Consider priority issues for in-depth discussions in subsequent phases 2nd Phase: (Sept 2004–Sept 2005) Convergence on Strategic Approach to CARIFORUM Regional Integration Establish a common understanding of the priorities for support of Caribbean regional integration
  • 23. Tralac Annual Conference September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town 23 Organisation of the negotiations 3rd Phase: Structuring and Consolidating of Negotiations (Sept 2005–Dec 2006) The focus of this phase was to: Forge consensus on the structure of the EPA agreement Consolidate the outcomes of discussions on priority issues for CARIFORUM regional integration Agree on an approach to trade liberalisation
  • 24. Tralac Annual Conference September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town 24 Organization of the negotiations Final Phase: Finalisation of the Agreement (Jan– Dec 2007) The focus of this phase is to: Conclude market access, services and investment negotiations Complete final text of EPA, initial and begin ratification process No new or more discriminatory measures against foreign services & service suppliers should be introduced by either Party after start of negotiations.
  • 25. Tralac Annual Conference September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town 25 Organisation of the negotiations C. Substantive discussions Four negotiating groups: Market Access (goods & agriculture) Services and Investment Trade related Issues (competition, IP, Government Procurement, trade remedies, etc.) Legal and Institutional Issues (dispute settlement, etc.)
  • 26. Tralac Annual Conference September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town 26 Focus of CARIFORUM Preparations The CRNM has been developing CARIFORUM negotiating positions through research and consultations and Technical Working Groups Developing CARIFORUM market access requests and offers for goods, services and investment Developing the EPA text (especially development and S&DT provisions) Identifying specific market access interests – offensive and defensive Developing sector-specific development projects which can be EU-funded
  • 27. Tralac Annual Conference September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town 27 Costs and benefits of the EPA for CARIFORUM Difficult to quantify either the costs or the benefits. CARICOM has been seeking to conduct EPA impact assessment studies at the national and regional levels; Address the challenge of lack of Competitiveness across firms and industries.
  • 28. Tralac Annual Conference September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town 28 Costs and benefits of the EPA for CARIFORUM Benefits Secure preferential market access for diversified products and services into the EU market Stimulate development of products outside of traditional exports Renewed focus on services sector as the driver for economic growth Locking-in economic and policy reforms Accelerated harmonization and regional integration Securing sustained EU assistance for diversification and innovation, adjustment and pursuit of competitiveness Harness increased inflows of EU FDI and technical support
  • 29. Tralac Annual Conference September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town 29 Costs and benefits of the EPA for CARIFORUM Costs Erosion of preference for sugar and bananas Loss of tariff revenue Competition from increased EC imports Costs associated with sectoral restructuring and adjustment Costs of implementation Experience with trade agreements has shown poor private sector uptake – lack of supply capacity Challenge of developing exports beyond UK Reduced policy space, e.g. EC proposals relating to investment
  • 30. Tralac Annual Conference September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town 30 Specific Negotiating Areas: Where are we now? Major areas of convergence Developed consolidated draft legal text covering 4 subject areas, albeit with a number of square brackets. Convergence of views on the centrality of Development and issues such as Competition Policy, Transparency in Government Procurement, Treatment of Environmental Issues, Personal Data Protection, TBT and SPS Legal and Institutional issues – there is a convergence of views on the scope and structure of the agreement and the establishment of an EPA Council to oversee its implementation Collective vs individual obligations?
  • 31. Tralac Annual Conference September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town 31 Specific Negotiating Areas: Where are we now? Major areas of divergence Approach to Tariff Liberalization Nature of Parties to the Agreement Attaining binding commitments on EC Development Cooperation (Funding) Good Governance in Taxation. I will comment briefly on these four areas of divergence.
  • 32. Tralac Annual Conference September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town 32 Approach to liberalization: variable geometry CARIFORUM emphasis on two levels of regional integration in the Caribbean which created a need for a “variable geometry” in the context of an EPA. Special provisions for CARICOM-designated LDCs within the framework of the Revised Treaty of Chaguaramas and external bilateral trade arrangements. CARIFORUM proposed the concept of variable geometry and S&DT in relation to CARICOM LDCs Question of Haiti and Bahamas in the context of the CSME The EC initially pressed for CARIFORUM to establish a Customs Union. This was rejected by CARIFORUM. The EC is now pressing for the completion of single regimes in goods, services, investment and a range of other disciplines.
  • 33. Tralac Annual Conference September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town 33 CARIFORUM Priority Needs CARIFORUM identified 11 priority needs that were submitted to the Regional Preparatory Task Force (RPTF) for consideration. These included support for: Investment Promotion and Statistics; Structural Reform of Financial Services and Taxation Issues; Technical Barriers to Trade (TBT), Sanitary and Phytosanitary (SPS) Measures; Trade Facilitation/Risk Analysis; Harmonization and Rationalization of Incentive Systems; Competition Policy, Government Procurement and Intellectual Property Rights.
  • 34. Tralac Annual Conference September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town 34 Funding and development cooperation Concern over the non-delivery of resources to support measures identified as priority issues to prepare the Region for the start of negotiations. EC – no additional resources for the EPA negotiations EC proposes that RPTF priority issues be funded from the 10th European Development Fund (EDF) programme, the EC’s Aid for Trade allocation to developing countries in the context of the WTO, and from an international donor pledging conference.
  • 35. Tralac Annual Conference September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town 35 Market Access Both areas of convergence and divergence The EC initially pressed for CARIFORUM to establish a Customs Union. This was rejected by CARIFORUM. The EC is now pressing for the completion of single regimes in goods, services, investment and a range of other disciplines. CARIFORUM has countered with the concept of variable geometry and the established principle of differentiation in relation to CARICOM LDCs.
  • 36. Tralac Annual Conference September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town 36 Market Access EC proposed a single starting tariff schedule (requiring harmonization of tariffs in a unified region) – based on the lowest applied tariff in the region. April 2007 – EC offered duty free – quota free (DFQF) access to its market for all products from all ACP countries, with transition period for sugar.
  • 37. Tralac Annual Conference September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town 37 Market Access - Sugar Sugar will be transition to DFQF over 10 years. Sugar protocol will cease to apply in 2009. Additional tariff quota will operate up to 2015 on a first come first served basis. After 2015 sugar will be DFQF i.e. fully liberalized. EC will seek to maintain the price at a level above the prevailing world market price through a safeguard mechanism. EC intends to denounce the Sugar Protocol
  • 38. Tralac Annual Conference September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town 38 Other issues Taxation/Governance Issues Intellectual Property Transparency in Government Procurement Investment
  • 39. Tralac Annual Conference September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town 39 CARIFORUM – EU Services Trade - 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 EUROS MILLIONS 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 Average UK SERVICES IMPORTS FROM ALL CARIFORUM EU SERVICES IMPORTS FROM ALL CARIFORUM Dominated by UK – accounts for an average of 33% of services exports to CARIFORUM (1999- 2003) and an average of 59% of services imports from CARIFORUM between 1999-2003. Mostly travel by UK residents EU Versus UK Services Imports from CARIFORUM 1999-2003
  • 40. Tralac Annual Conference September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town 40 CARIFORUM – EU Services Trade 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 Euros Millions 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 Average UK Services Exports to CARIFORUM Total EU Services Exports to CARIFORUM EU services imports dominated services exports resulting in a net services trade deficit for the EU with CARIFORUM in all years from 1999-2003 This amounts to a net services trade surplussurplus from the perspective of CARIFORUM EU Versus UK Services Exports to CARIFORUM 1999-2003
  • 41. Tralac Annual Conference September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town 41 AverageAverage Value of EU Exports to, & Imports from CARIFORUM 1999-2003 (Euros Millions) (16)171Government services 112Personal, cultural and recreational services 81150231Other business services 011Royalties and licence fees 23123Computer and information services 201131Financial services 147185Insurance services 252247Construction services (39)423Communication services (895)1,000105Travel (64)11449Transport (976)1,672696TOTAL EU SERVICES WITH ALL CARIFORUM 59%33% UK SERVICES AS % TOTAL EU SERVICES WITH CARIFORUM (721)937216UK SERVICES WITH ALL CARIFORUM Services Balance Services Imports Services ExportsAverage (1999-2003)
  • 42. Tralac Annual Conference September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town 42 CARIFORUM – EU Services Trade Service categories where CARIFORUM enjoys trade surplus with EU: Travel Transport Communication services Government services Service categories where EU exports to CARIFORUM exceed imports: Other business services Insurance Financial Construction services Computer & Information services Royalties & licence fees Personal, cultural and recreational services
  • 43. Tralac Annual Conference September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town 43 EU Services Exports to CARIFORUM as %EU Services Exports to CARIFORUM as %EU Services Exports to CARIFORUM as %EU Services Exports to CARIFORUM as % of Total Services Exports (Average1999of Total Services Exports (Average1999of Total Services Exports (Average1999of Total Services Exports (Average1999---- 2003)2003)2003)2003) Computer and information services 3% Financial services 4%Royalties and licence fees 0% Insurance services 12% Other business services 34% Personal, cultural and recreational services 0% Government services, n.i.e. 0% Construction services 7% Travel 15% Communication services 3% Transport 7% Undisclosed 18%
  • 44. Tralac Annual Conference September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town 44 EU Services Imports from CARIFORUM as % Total Services Imports (Average1999- 2003) Computer and information services 0% Construction services 1% Financial services 1% Insurance services 4% Communication services 3% Royalties and licence fees 0% Other business services 9% Personal, cultural and recreational services 0% Government services, n.i.e. 1% Undisclosed 14% Transport 7% Travel 60%
  • 45. Tralac Annual Conference September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town 45 What are “other business services”? Other business services are a leading services export category from the EU comprising: Merchanting and other trade-related services Other trade-related services Operational leasing services Miscellaneous business, professional, and technical services Legal, accounting, management consulting, and public relations Accounting, auditing, bookkeeping, and tax consulting services Business and management consulting and public relations services Advertising, market research, and public opinion polling Research and development Architectural, engineering, and other technical services Agricultural, mining, and on-site processing services Waste treatment and depollution Agricultural, mining, and other on-site processing services Services between related enterprises
  • 46. Tralac Annual Conference September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town 46 Which services is the EU interested in? Professional Services (including mode 4 for Legal, Accounting, Engineering, Management Consultants, Computer Related, Environmental Services) Distribution Services Business Services Communications Services Construction & related Engineering Environmental Services Financial Services News Agency Tourism & Travel Transport Ground-handling services related to air-transport services, includes airport management
  • 47. Trade Defence Instruments and Competition Keisha-Ann Thompson, Senior Trade Remedy Analyst, Anti-dumping and Subsidies Commission
  • 48. Tralac Annual Conference September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town 48 Trade Defence Instruments Anti-dumping Measures CVD measures Safeguards Debate over whether they should be included in RTA or not A majority of RTAs, including Customs Unions allow members to impose measures.
  • 49. Tralac Annual Conference September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town 49 Factors that Determine the inclusion of TDIs in RTAs Clear domestic political support for unfettered imports into the market The promise of deeper integration into a single economic space The harmonisation of competition policies and stricter disciplines on subsidies If these elements are present, TDIs take less prominence (Debate whether deeper integration is the most important determinant of the abolition of TDIs, or they are a consequence of the desire to abolish them)
  • 50. Tralac Annual Conference September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town 50 TDIs in FTAs Three tracks 1. Abolition 2. Application irrespective of intra-trade and trade with non- members 3. Abolition in principle The EC retains TDI provisions in most of its FTAs Standard features across Agreements AD and CVD adopt WTO principles Safeguards tiered approach (Global, Bilateral, Transitional) Global – adopt WTO principles Safeguard triggers may go beyond standard WTO SG for Bilateral and Transitional
  • 51. Tralac Annual Conference September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town 51 Are TDIs important in an EPA? Studies have shown that small states stand to gain little from an EPA without putting in the necessary regulatory frameworks (Trade Remedies, Subsidies, Competition polices, Standards) to manage the increased flow of trade Harmonised Competition rules are viewed as alternatives to AD and CV- without them then TDIs are necessary Particularly important for CARIFORUM, given its small market size relative to EC export capacity and its undiversified and declining exports, in addition to the levels of EC support Caution –TDIs are insurance policies, but can be a double edged sword (impact of increased duties on consumers and trade diverting effects), so rules need to crafted to limit potential instances of abuse
  • 52. Tralac Annual Conference September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town 52 Considerations for the Crafting of TDIs WTO consistency – Does Article 24 really apply? Extent of deviation from WTO disciplines Relevant for AD, CVD and Global SG For AD and CVD, if parties to an Agreement have the right to determine obligations, and the rules are by nature discriminatory (product and country specific), is there scope for deviation from WTO principles (S&D)? For Global SG, not much room to deviate from WTO principles; but there is some room for asymmetry (WTO jurisprudence)
  • 53. Tralac Annual Conference September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town 53 Evolution – Towards the Inclusion of TDIs in RTA In early stages of the EPA negotiations, no real discussions on TDI CARIFORUM Draft Text (2006) Principles shaping CARIFORUM demands in AD and CV Asymmetry No cumulation Higher de minimis standards Constructive Remedies (WTO plus) Individual obligations Consultations
  • 54. Tralac Annual Conference September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town 54 Principles shaping CARIFORUM demandsPrinciples shaping CARIFORUM demandsPrinciples shaping CARIFORUM demandsPrinciples shaping CARIFORUM demands ---- SGSGSGSG Three tiered regime (Global, Bilateral, Transitional) Parallelism – exclude CARIFORUM from application of SG’s Asymmetrical application Predictability (tariffs vs. quantitative restrictions) Consultations - Individual obligations
  • 55. Tralac Annual Conference September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town 55 Assessing Potential Text Major reason for EC resistance to S&D proposals – Conflict with non-discrimination rules (EC red line issue) Look to see • Whether the rules result in any difference in the application of measures than under a WTO regime • Does it have provisions that are different from WTO and would make use against CF more difficult ?
  • 56. Tralac Annual Conference September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town 56 Safeguards – Evolution CARIFORUM Proposal (2006) EC Draft text (2007) Final text to be agreed
  • 57. Tralac Annual Conference September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town 57 Main Features and Concerns Multilateral Regime - Parallelism and Asymmetry (time bound) Bilateral – Easier triggers (controversial – actual versus effective asymmetry?) Ensure that WTO principles/ standards are not exceed where they have been adopted (measure be equal to injury) Longer time lines for non-application against CARIFORUM
  • 58. Tralac Annual Conference September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town 58 Implications for Regional Coordination regarding TDIs ALL MEMBERS have the ability to act INDIVIDUALLY, but all members do not have the necessary legislative framework or competence. This is a major concern since TDIs come into effect once the Agreement enters into force (January 2008?) Where imports of a product affect more than one Member State some level of coordination is required. Capacity and resource constraints and the need to avoid double protection, necessitate a regional mechanism. Positive - Treaty contemplates a regional TR authority and also has mechanisms to adjust the CET. DR as part of CARIFORUM, facilities level of regional cooperation
  • 59. Tralac Annual Conference September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town 59 A Case for Competition Policy in an EPA? Classic arguments Less trade distorting alternative to AD and CV Anticompetitive actions may impair or nullify trade liberalisation Prevent negative spillovers from other countries regimes Harmonisation or at a minimum cooperation can reduce compliance costs and uncertainty for business
  • 60. Tralac Annual Conference September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town 60 A Word on Competition As with TDIs, most member states do not have established Competition authorities Unlike TDIs however, there are plans to establish such a CARICOM Authority to administer regional competition rules, Protocol VIII, Article 30(c) What about DR? There are no immediate plans to establish a CARIFORUM Authority, but DR observer status allows some level of participation in and coordination with the CARICOM process No currently contemplated CARIFORUM Competition body, so obligations will have to be taken on individually In light of these unresolved issues, there should be an appropriate time frame before the implementation of the provisions.
  • 61. Tralac Annual Conference September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town 61 How can Competition rules work in the EPAs? The main implication is that CARICOM has to consolidate efforts in these areas, The problem is that ongoing work in the context of the CSME is not necessarily coordinated with activity related to the EPAs Laws will need to be strengthened especially as regards to confidential treatment of records.
  • 62. Tralac Annual Conference September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town 62 Competition rules can be operational in the EPAs from the perspective of cooperation between authorities rather than through harmonization of rules. There is the need to be careful in crafting provisions since having both TDIs and Competition rules in an Agreement has the potential to be trade restrictive.
  • 63. Tralac Annual Conference September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town 63 CARIFORUM Negotiations – what is left to be accomplished? 2/3 of EPA Draft Text has been agreed Conclude the respective texts Finalise a CARIFORUM market access and service offers Finalise investment exclusions Schedule of activities September 19-21 Special Session of COTED 2 TNGs in September TWG in early October TNG (prospectively the final) Initial Agreement - October 31 Ratification “ We are behind on the critical core issue of market access and this objective of the series of meetings is that by the time we complete the Ministerial meeting we will have a CARIFORUM market access offer” RNM DG
  • 64. Tralac Annual Conference September 20-21, 2007, Cape Town 64 Concerns/ Challenges Challenge is in finding a common position in CARIFORUM, given the diversity of tariff rates and the fiscal implications of lower tariffs, and sensitive products Challenge is to make EPAs work for all CARIFORUM (distribute benefits equally) Why is there is strong push to meet the deadline and is there a disadvantage? Review provisions, have we pursued these enough?