http://www.forexconspiracyreport.com/how-do-populist-leaders-help-stocks-and-hurt-currencies/
How Do Populist Leaders Help Stocks and Hurt Currencies?
The so-called Trump bump stock rally is not unique. When populist leaders get elected across the globe the stock market in their country goes up. Later on, all too often, the local currency does not do so well in the Forex market. How do populist leaders help stocks and hurt currencies? For the first part we look at an article posted on Bloomberg Markets, populism is great for stock returns.
If the last two decades of anti-establishment rule are any guide, the world may be on the brink of some monster stock rallies as it takes a turn toward populism.
A look at 10 of the 21st century’s most recognized populist leaders shows that in the three years after their election, local equities soared an average of 155 percent in dollar terms. And the rallies often continued as long as a decade after the vote.
This happens because populist leaders create a short term stimulus while running up their nation’s debt.
Market performance under populist leaders is an issue front-and-center for investors as firebrand leaders who promise to put their people first go on the march from the U.S. to India to Turkey and the Philippines. Though economists say policies such as cracking down on imports, championing local industries and raising government spending will stifle growth in the long term, data compiled by Bloomberg shows that stock buyers can do quite well for years after a populist comes to office.
But So Good in the Long Term
The article notes that Lula da Silva in Brazil and Putin in Russia oversaw huge stock market rallies for up to ten years. The underlying problem in almost all of these situations is mounting debt coupled with questionable governance. Venezuela is a clear example of a country that paid off the supporters of the ruling party to the detriment of the economy and its currency.
4. http://www.forexconspiracyreport.com/how-do-populist-leaders-help-stocks-and-hurt-currencies/
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